D (27:08)
Yeah, okay. So these are both long topics, and so I'll try to do the Cliff Notes version. Yeah. So, and I'll link to the book on this. But in military theory, there's this concept called maneuver warfare, which basically just says, like, speed wins. Like, speed wins as compared to mass winning. Speed wins. And so if you believe that, then there's basically, there's this framework called the Ooda Loop. Ooda Loop, which originally was developed for fighter pilots and then later for broader military Strategy and the OODA loop, what OODA stands for, it's an acronym, it stands for Observe, Orient, Decide, Act. And so it's basically the decision making cycle, right? And so observe is like view the outside world. Orient is like figure out where you are in respect to the outside world. Decide, of course, decide what to do. Act, Act. And basically what this guy Boyd, who came up with this idea said was like any military opera, any fighter pilot, any military operation, any basketball player, any company, any government, basically goes through a decision making cycle that's like that in order to make decisions we just talked about, the New York Times has their OODA loop. It's like 24 hours to go through their process, right? Basically what he said is if speed is the thing that matters, then the person who gets through that cycle the fastest is the one who's going to win. But he said there's a second order thing that happens. So one is just like, is your OODA loop faster than the other guys? So that's one question. But he said the other thing can happen is if you can have a sustainably faster OODA loop processing cycle than the next guy. Then if you think about what happens, let's say it takes you, whatever, an hour to figure something out. It takes the other guy two hours to figure something out. Think about what happens is like, okay, you start out on an even playing field. You both start your decision making cycles, you operate, you make your decision within an hour. The other guy is still inside his own OODA loop when you make your decision, right? And so you make your decision, you act within an hour. He's only halfway through his process, he now has to start his process over, right? Because you've changed the landscape, you've changed the parameters of what's going on. So he now has to go back and re observe and reorient and start over. And then of course project forward. It's like, okay, then you decide again within an hour and then by the time he gets, and again he gets halfway through his process, he gets interrupted, he has to go back. And so what he says is if you can be sustainably faster at running your decision loop, you can get inside the other guy's loop in a systematic and perpetual way. And basically the result of that is psychological breakdown. Basically you destroy the psychology of the other side because they just simply, they just can no longer operate or function at all. They just basically go into complete panic. Nothing seems to make sense. They can never get oriented, they can never make decisions, they can never, they become completely defensive Completely responsive, you completely dominate, you know, basically the playing field. And he, you know, he was a famous fighter pilot. He was a, he was a famous fighter pilot called 15 second Boyd because his claim was, which was true, is he could beat any other fighter pilot dog fight within 15 seconds using this method. And so it's basically this premium on speed and quality of execution such that you are actually causing the decide to have a psychological break. By the way, like again, go back to the like. I think this is also big explanation for what's happened to traditional media. The fact that the Internet moves events so much faster and the sort of Internet collective crowd decides what's important so much faster, causes all the people who were television producers or news editors who thought that they were in charge of the narrative to just basically have a psychological breakdown. Like how can you even function when the Internet is just basically cycling much faster than you could. And I think this, by the way, the same is true of companies. This is what Elon does to his competitors like in the aerospace industry. This is what Anduril's now doing to companies in the defense industry. You know, this quite frankly is what we try to do to our competitors in the venture industry. So yeah, so that now to do that you have to be willing to commit to being fast. Right. And so you can't have long bureaucratic processes, you can't have a risk adverse posture, you can't stress, you need enough time to make the decision properly. But you can't run the fully deliberate strategy that a lot of companies used to have in the past where it was days to weeks to months to figure out what they were going to say about something. By the way, in politics they adapted to this probably 30 years ago with the concept of the war room. And there's a famous documentary in the Clinton campaign in I think in 88 where they called the war Room, where they show this and now they call it rapid response. And if you go to basically any political operation on the Internet right now, they'll have an X account that's literally. They call it rapid response. So it's like actually Department of War has one just as an example, Department of War rapid response. And it's literally like they're responding in real time to stuff that's happening because they want to stay inside everybody else's OODA loop. Yeah, okay, so there's that and then yeah, the oral versus written thing would probably take an hour to kind of go through the whole thing. But yeah, the long and short of it is there's Basically, in sort of human culture, there's kind of two ways to communicate. There's two fundamental modes. There's oral communication, there's written communication. You know, oral communication, you know, is the original form. And you could think about it literally as like people around a campfire telling stories, singing songs, you know, reciting poetry. You can think about. Written communication would be kind of famously the book or the scientific journal article, or the math equation, or the business plan, a written artifact. And basically the characteristic of orality or oral communication is it's sort of inherently emotion first, right? Because it's literally live interactions with another person. The characteristic of written communication is sort of abstraction, you know, and, you know, hopefully logic, the scientific method, you know, intellectual rigor, analytical rigor. It used to be the case that you could kind of really divide these, you know, in traditional mass media, it used to be the case, you could say that like newspapers and magazines are written and so they would be like more calmer and more dispassionate. You could say, you know, television was oral, right? It was people, literally people talking. And so it was going to be much more emotional and hot headed. You know, basically, like, you know, that's all broken down because of everything we've talked about. But the modern version of that is like the Internet. Like, okay, is the Internet an oral culture, a written culture? And it turns out the answer is the Internet's both. Because the Internet is everything, right? It supports every kind of media. And so a YouTube video, I will say for sure a short form TikTok or Instagram reel, for sure is oral culture. Like, it's something short and bursty and emotional and interpersonal in its experience. A long form substack post is for sure written culture. But then things get more complicated because a short tweet, even though it's written, is actually an oral culture thing, because the fact that it's short means that it has to be like again, sort of this burst of, sort of say, triggering emotionality in order to go viral. So actually, tweets, I would say, are oral culture even though they look written. And then long form podcasts are actually written culture even though they look oral, right? Because if you're going to talk about something for three hours, that's necessarily something where you're kind of getting abstractions in depth beyond just kind of a flash moment of emotion. And so the Internet lets you kind of play with these formats and the kind of impact that you want to have in a way that, you know, in the past was kind of determined by exactly which fixed media you were in. And look, we all live this like if you want to have the Internet experience of like doom scrolling and getting really pissed off at the world, like you go on TikTok and X and you can do that. If you want to like learn a lot of stuff. You can go on substack and long form YouTube podcasts and you can live in that world and like, you can like, you know, raise your IQ a point today. Like, you know, it's absolutely amazing. And so there is a choose your own adventure aspect to it. And then of course, you know, we, you know, know, firms like ours, you know, need to think hard about how we communicate because of, of the differences.