← The a16z Show
The a16z Show
Ben Horowitz on Venture Capital and AI
01:09:06
Anjney Midha, founder of AMP PBC, speaks with Ben Horowitz, cofounder of a16z, about how venture capital changed from a small, relationship-driven business into a scalable system for backing new technology companies. They discuss network effects, firm design, leadership, culture, and how AI is reshaping both the capital race and the kinds of companies that can be built now.
Loading summary
Transcript147 lines
- [00:00]
A
If you share control, it becomes very, very difficult to change the organization because everybody's got to agree. I quoted Lil Wayne. I said, when I see another VC coming at me with the peace sign, all I see is the trigger and the middle finger. And everybody hated me for that. There would only be 15 technology companies that would ever get to $100 million in revenue. And we really thought that was going to change because look at that time, we thought software was going to eat the world and, and every new company was gonna be a technology company, and therefore there were gonna be more like 200 companies a year that would hit that bar, not 15. If you have a network with a billion people on it, it's gonna be very valuable. But, like, how did Alexander Graham Bell sell the first telephone when there was nobody to talk to? Like, that part is actually really hard.
- [00:51]
B
The rules of venture capital were built for a different era. Recorded live at Stanford for CS153 Frontiers, this conversation explores how Ben Horowitz helped rethink the structure of venture capital as software expanded. What startups could become from network effects and firm design to leadership and culture. It traces how the system evolved and why it may be changing again. Now AI is shifting the equation once more. Code is less of a moat, capital matters more. And the bottlenecks are moving toward compute energy and organizational design. Anjni Mirha, founder of AMP PPC, speaks with Ben Horowitz, founder of A16Z.
- [01:36]
C
Please join me in welcoming Ben Horowitz.
- [01:40]
A
Thank you.
- [01:44]
C
So how many of you heard the song that was playing right before? Does anyone know the name of that song? We Are the World.
- [01:52]
A
Yes, that's correct.
- [01:54]
C
We Are the World is a 1985 single by a super group of musicians that all came together to raise. It's a. It was a charity single that was produced to help raise funds for the famine in Ethiopia, I believe in 1985.
- [02:15]
A
Yeah, Lionel Richie made a good documentary on it, if you're interested.
- [02:18]
C
Correct. The reason I'm bringing it up is because Ben is known for many things. He's the co founder of Andreessen Horowitz. I'm very lucky to have called him my boss for a few years. He's also been a founder or CEO. He's built several technology companies. He's behind one of the reasons venture capital still exists today after many moments when there were times when it got threatened, including the SVB financial crisis. But the thing I've learned most about Ben is from a documentary that Ben told me to watch about a year and a Half ago.
- [02:51]
A
Yeah, yeah, yeah. Triple O. G. Yeah, yeah.
- [02:53]
C
It's called the Greatest Night in Pop. And I would really recommend folks who haven't watched it to go watch it. We're going to put it in the reading assignment for this class. It's on Netflix, so anyone can go watch it. But it is the documentary about the making of that song. You just heard We Are the World. And there's somebody in the documentary that you'll observe if you watch it by the name of Quincy Jones. How many people have heard of Quincy Jones? Okay, about 30%. So we need to school the kids a little bit on it.
- [03:24]
A
Yeah. He was the greatest. Great, great human being.
- [03:27]
C
Great human being. And more importantly, great leader.
- [03:31]
A
Yeah. Well, that was the thing he could do. He was the best at handling. Super talented. Difficult to handle people of all times. No question. Yep. And you can see it in the doc.
- [03:43]
C
Yep. There's a moment in the documentary where the camera is following Quincy around, and he's walking into the studio where the musicians all are, and he points to the top of the door and he says, read that. And there's a sign above the door that he's scrawled on a piece of paper and he's stuck up there. This is at, like, around midnight, before the recording session's supposed to start. And it says, check your ego at the door. I think it says, leave your ego at the door. Leave your ego at the door.
- [04:15]
A
Sorry. Yeah.
- [04:17]
C
And if I had to summarize Ben Horowitz in sort of one line, I would say he's the Quincy Jones of technology.
- [04:25]
A
That's a lot.
- [04:27]
C
High bar.
- [04:27]
A
Yeah. That's hard to take that credit. He is amazing. Yeah.
- [04:31]
C
Ben.
- [04:32]
A
Thank you.
- [04:32]
C
Is known for many things, but I think the thing he will be most known for throughout history will be his leadership. The lessons he's left with a lot of people over the years, many leadership lessons which I think are still not legible to the world yet and will only become clear over time. But today, Ben, I think it would be helpful to take everybody here a little bit behind the scenes of what it took for you to become the Quincy Jones of tech. You're not supposed to be blushing this hard, Ben.
- [05:06]
A
No, no, I mean Quincy. Yeah. Having known him, he's a very high bar.
- [05:12]
C
That's a high bar. Anyway, thank you for being here. Why don't we start with. Let's zoom back all the way to the founding of Andreessen Horowitz.
- [05:18]
A
Let's start there. Yeah.
- [05:20]
C
This is a systems class. Andreessen Horowitz ended up being one of the most important innovations in the systems design of venture capital, of how capital should be deployed. Where we'd love to contextualize this is the students have heard that three or four of the largest bottlenecks to progress are data, context, feedback, compute, capital and culture. And we haven't talked that much about capital and culture. So today, I hope you can take us a little bit to the frontier. What's going on in capital and culture, especially in labs, in startups and teams that are pushing the frontier. But I think to get there, we should rewind a little bit and start with what was the system that you created to even allow capital to get to this point?
- [06:06]
A
Yeah, so we started the firm back in 2009, and at that time, there were a couple of ideas about venture capital that I would say we thought were dated. One was, like, it was mostly an investment idea. So the product for investors, LPs, was really good in that they had very high returns. But the product for entrepreneurs, I thought was, like, pretty bad in that they didn't do much for you other than give you money. So that was kind of idea one, that we thought we could just build a better product for entrepreneurs. And then the other idea that was very, very kind of prevalent in venture capital was this idea that you, in any given year, and the historical data really supported this, there would only be 15 technology companies that would ever get to a hundred million dollars in revenue. So the whole industry was just about getting invested in as many of those 15 as you could. And that kind of just limited the size of the whole industry and the capital in the game. And we really thought that was going to change because, look at that time, we thought software was going to eat the world. And every company that was going to be interesting, every new company was going to be a technology company. And therefore there were going to be more like 200 companies a year that would hit that bar, not 15. And so we decided, you know, one of the things that I did as kind of the CEO of the operation was to say, okay, how do you scale this? Because venture capital firms kind of notoriously didn't scale because they didn't have to. It was. I remember Dave Swenson, who is the most famous lp, said, yeah, a good venture capital firm is like the size of a basketball team, you know, five guys and then a six man or something like that. And that was not going to be enough to have a great product for entrepreneurs and then also invest in such a large number of companies. And so to get to scale. There was a couple of ideas that we had that sound very, very simple but ended up being important. The first was normally in venture capital. It's a partnership and the partners share economics and control. And the problem with that idea, and you experience this in your career at other venture capital firms, is if you share control, then it becomes very, very difficult to change the organization because everybody's got to agree. And if you know anything about running an organization, the one thing about a reorg is some people are going to hate it because it's a redistribution of power. And it's not necessarily the people who aren't good. It's just like some people are just going to hate it because nobody likes to lose power. And if people get a vote, then there's no way to effectively reorg a business. And so our idea was like, you can't share control. We'll share economics, but we'll centralize control. And that ended up enabling us to reorganize and enabling us to get into many more kind of categories like American dynamism or crypto or bio or these kinds of things. Because we could change the organization and scale it and so forth. And that ended up being an important kind of systems idea. And then because investing is always a conversation and you need a very, very high fidelity conversation to get to the truth, you never want to more people in the room than can have a conversation. And so you can't have a conversation with 30 people. It's not possible. That's a presentation over the years.
- [09:46]
C
What do you think is the optimal construct of a truth seeking conversation when you're trying to understand the future of a technology that's super complex?
- [09:52]
A
Yeah, I think that like if you have really good chemistry and rapport, it can be like seven. But if you don't, then even that gets problematic. But yeah, you just can't do it with a large group. And so what we ended up doing is we just kept kind of splitting the firm into smaller and smaller groups over time and each group would address a certain part of the market. And that, you know, that ended up being very effective.
- [10:19]
C
And to contextualize for folks, when you started the firm, the first fund was about 300 something million, 320.
- [10:27]
A
300 million 300 million.
- [10:28]
C
And you had all these sort of institutional folks like David Swensen and so on who had these like sort of long held for whatever reason, priors and assumptions which, what did you find was the most effective way to realign them or get them to revisit those Assumptions in order or update those priors in a way that was aligned with your mission.
- [10:46]
A
Well, succeed. I mean, like, that's all it is. Like, I think one thing, you think another thing. We're going to find out if I'm right. So the first thing that that happened was we invested like, a quarter of that $300 million fund into the Skype buyout, which everybody thought was insane. But, like, we. We knew there was a bunch of things we knew that other people didn't know. So the first thing that made it insane was, like, the deal itself when it spun out of eBay. EBay didn't own the IP. They own the company, but not the IP. Which how they ended up there is like a crazy dumb story. But by the way, never do that, Never buy the company without buying the ip. So the founders kind of had this hold on them where they could have sued them and shut down the service. And so everybody was like, oh, that's an unbiased asset. But, like, we knew the founders, Yanis and Nicholas, and we knew, like, the one thing they had in life that defined them was Skype. So they weren't going to shut that thing down. It was just a matter of, like, how much money did they want? Did they want to be on the board?
- [11:59]
C
Like, the IP at the time was basically the Skype client and the user base.
- [12:03]
A
It wasn't the client. It was the underlying kind of library that controlled the protocol. Oh, sure, okay. The communications, yeah, which was, you know, very hard to replace and all that kind of thing. So anyway, we bought it, and then 18 months later, we got, like a 4x return on it. And so, like, you got a 4x on a quarter of the fund in 18 months, and everybody goes, okay, well, even though we thought you were nuts, like, maybe you're not completely insane.
- [12:31]
C
There's so many interesting parallels to that era and now. But, you know, one property of that era was the explosion of networks. The idea of network effects became legible for the first time as a systems concept. So can you talk a little? Take us back. You know, I think it's hard for people now to just take these for granted, but at the time, can you talk about why was it novel? Why were people resistant to it? And what were the insights that then led to the architecture of the firm being a network effect driven from.
- [12:59]
A
Yeah, I mean, I think that. I think people just didn't understand network effects as well. So the big era of networking kind of started with the Internet, and then people thought the Internet itself was just Like a unique network. And it was weird. It was different because nobody, like people got value from things built on the Internet. But the Internet was not owned by anybody. It was like the kind of first real decentralized network. And so people didn't know what to make of kind of networks that like, I mean, Facebook early on had, you know, there weren't like a ton of people giving them money for the first round. That's why Peter Thiel was able to do it, you know, at a really good price. And then, you know, kind of the same thing with Twitter and so forth. Like, people just didn't know that basically the they how invincible those things got when you kind of got them up to strength. So the bigger, you know, it's basically like an N squared value. So every node you add kind of increases the value by, you know, kind of N squared. So like if you have five people on the network, you know, that's 25, but if you have six, that's a 36 and so forth. And the value, if you get up to Internet size is just invincible. Like nobody's going to ever build a rival to the Internet or. Very unlikely. And so at that point, us being involved in the Internet and Twitter and Facebook and so forth, we had a really good understanding of that. And so we always thought of the firm as a network. And so, you know, from the very beginning we thought, okay, the more relationships that we have, the stronger our network effect. And so we ended up doing things that other firms didn't do. Like we tried to build relationships with like every engineer in Silicon Valley and, you know, every executive and every everything and that, and then every corporation that bought technology and so forth. And we were in our minds creating kind of this network effect that would just make us the, the best place to raise money from, because we were like an automatic. You could tap into that network and become extremely powerful, like right off the rip. And, you know, I think a lot of people didn't understand, like, how hard that was to do. And then the bootstrapping of any network is always the most difficult thing. So like, yes, if you have a network with a billion people on it, it's going to be very valuable. But like, you know, how did Alexander Graham Bell sell the first telephone when there was nobody to talk to? Like, that part is actually really hard. And so figuring that out and how to bootstrap the network effect, kind of coming from behind in venture capital was the idea.
- [15:57]
C
Well, I mean, could you say a little bit about how you bootstrapped it? What Were the things that may be now lost to the annals of history where there were individuals or asymmetric? One of the things we talked about in the first class is, um, you know, often the students get excited about the speakers, like you up here, but we reminded them that one of the most valuable assets they have is the people sitting next to them.
- [16:14]
A
Right.
- [16:15]
C
It's. It's the relationships they build. When you were bootstrapping that's getting more
- [16:18]
A
important, by the way.
- [16:19]
C
Exactly. If there's anything that's going up, it's that value, Right? So, but if you zoom back when you were trying that bootstrapping and you didn't. You didn't have the largest firm in the valley, you didn't have the most capital, you didn't have the. You had no track record as a venture capitalist other than your angel investments. How did you boot. What were the moments where that may not be legible to folks here, that you used something that was asymmetric that allowed you to bootstrap the network?
- [16:40]
A
Well, the really simple idea was we knew, like, venture capitalists made a lot of money, right? So they would take the fee money and then they'd pay themselves big salaries. And so we were like, well, what if we didn't pay ourselves anything? And we just took all the money and we basically spent it on building this network, right? So we would hire people to, like, bring people in. We, you know, with our kind of, you know, how do you get relationships with every big corporation? FedEx and this and that and the other. And the, the, the trick that we had there was we had sold the previous company to Hewlett Packard. And so we knew the people in their Enterprise Briefing Center. And so we would call them every week and say, who's coming to the briefing center this week? And can we get their numbers? And we would call those companies and we would have them come to our briefing center, and we just show them all the startups. So it would be like, you know, and we'd. They like all the donuts and all that stuff, you know, so it was like very unventure capital, like, but, you know, the corporations loved it. So all of a sudden we knew more big companies than VCs who had been around 50 years because we had this hack through the HP Enterprise Briefing Center.
- [17:51]
C
I think it's very poetic that we're sitting at Hewlett 200. By the way, this is the name of the auditorium. It all comes back full circle. So, you know, when you started doing that, usually when somebody new shows up on the block. With an insight like that, from a systems perspective, what we've observed is often the antibodies come out. Yeah, right. The immune response of the existing incumbent system comes out. At the time, I was across the street with Mike, actually a Kleiner, and I remember, you know, there was a 16Z was in the headlines all the time. And like our CMO at the time, great lady, but I remember taking one of the headlines turned saying like, you know, we should do this too. And she said an just executive briefing sentence. Oh, that's just marketing.
- [18:36]
A
Yeah.
- [18:36]
C
And I said, yeah, that's your job. This is working.
- [18:40]
A
Yeah.
- [18:41]
C
And I've been consistently shocked by the Number of times A16Z has done something from a product insight. Deliver that to the entrepreneur. And then everybody else just says, oh, that's just marketing. Am I being overly facetious or is that true? And what were the immune responses like that that you were experiencing and how did you deal with them?
- [18:58]
A
Yeah, well, it was funny. Every time we'd meet with our investors, our LPs, they would say every time we meet with another venture capital firm, all they want to do is talk about you and say mean things. And I'm like, well, that's fantastic. That's great.
- [19:15]
C
The best form of flattering.
- [19:16]
A
That's good. They used to call us a ho. That was their nickname. The other VCs, you know, they hated us. Some of it was my fault though, you know, like, because when we started, I was coming from enterprise software, which is like a very competitive bare knuckle kind of. There's no such thing as coopetition in enterprise software. It's just like kill or be killed. So I did a. I did it like I wrote this blog post called 4 Things that VCs do that. I don't like that, where I just like attack them all. And then I did this big. There was this Sarah Lacy had this big, big event and she interviewed me on it and she's like, well, you know, you seem like kind of you don't like other VCs. And I quoted Lil Wayne. I said, when I see another VC coming at me with the peace sign, all I see is the trigger and the middle finger. You know, and everybody hated me for that. So, you know, I drew that. But it kind of worked because they hated me so much they weren't willing to copy what we were doing, even though what we were doing was working. So it kind of backed. I don't know if I would have been that antagonistic again. But, you know, it worked. So you can't argue with it.
- [20:28]
C
Well, okay, well I think we should come back to that later on what you do differently.
- [20:32]
A
But yeah, so great.
- [20:34]
C
You bootstrapped the network effect that allows capital deployment to start scaling into a bunch of startups now. It really does feel like a back to the future moment a little bit.
- [20:45]
A
Right? Yeah, yeah.
- [20:46]
C
What's going through your mind right now?
- [20:48]
A
Yeah, I mean, I think so the biggest, the big thing that's changed is that or the kind of most fundamental thing that's changed from a VC standpoint in my mind is it used to be, I mean for my entire career the one thing that you knew about technology companies is you couldn't throw money at the problem. So if somebody had a two year lead on you, you could not hire a thousand engineers and catch them. That like was never gonna work because you know, nine women can't have a baby in a month. Like there were just things you could not parallelize and then the communication overhead would kill you. And my favorite joke used to be, you know, what's a man year? It's like 700 IBMers before lunch, right? Like that. You know, it's nothing, you can't, you can't catch that that way. With AI that's really changed and that you can throw money at the problem because if you have enough GPUs and enough data, you can basically solve most problems right now. Like that. That just is what it is. And so now the capital race becomes a real thing and you have to think through, okay, code is not really a moat the way it was in the past. And like user interface isn't really a moat. And so like what is like your barrier to entry? Like what is the thing that differentiates you? Over time these have become like really, really different. And it's happening at the same time that, you know, demand for the technology is unlimited because the products work so much better than anything we've built before. Like these. I mean many of you are too young to remember the products of old, but like none of them worked this well before. Like this is like wild how well this works.
- [22:38]
C
Oh, you mean companies didn't always go from 9 to 30 billion in run rate in like six weeks?
- [22:41]
A
Well, none of them. But the reason they go that fast is like you use them and you go, wow, this works perfectly. You know, I, how can I do more with it? Whereas in the old days, like if you bought Siebel system software, it took two years to deploy the thing and a million dollars or at minimum. And like, so that's going to limit demand. There is no limit on demand when technology works as well.
- [23:07]
C
So you would say, Anj, that the technology is working and in a way that collapses the sort of gap that existing companies might have as a result of their human capital investments over the last whatever decade of software. There's willingness to pay at levels that are extreme.
- [23:27]
A
I mean the return is crazy. Right. So I mean if you make an engineer 20 times as productive, right. And you're paying that engineer well, if you're zuck, you're paying that engineer a billion dollars. But you know, like if you're paying whatever, it's going to be at least several hundred thousand dollars a year. That's a hell of a return. Right.
- [23:46]
C
So that creates this. So you know, the final project for the class, for the students is the one person, Frontier Lab. Because what we're trying to get everybody to realize is there's actually an extraordinary amount they can accomplish with the right tools.
- [23:58]
A
Yeah, right. But we have an entrepreneur like that right now building a global VPN by himself.
- [24:05]
C
Yeah. And this, this started to become more common, I would say on when we were seeing pitches, I mean almost a year and a half, two years ago now. Right?
- [24:12]
A
Yeah.
- [24:13]
C
What does that mean for folks here who don't have necessarily access to the most capital, may not have access to a ton of compute either. What would you say is and but want to make a difference to the frontier, Right.
- [24:28]
A
Well, I mean I think saying I just be careful, a little careful with like people don't have access. Like anybody with a great idea these days has like trust me, you have access in that there's like unlimited money for good ideas currently. You know, maybe that changes over time, but like it's definitely there. And I would just say this, you know, the world is changing and you can just think of it as like the jobs we had before the industrial revolution are all gone. And we've been kind of living with the post industrial revolution and then the post computer age jobs since then. And we're going to get to like a whole nother class of jobs and a whole nother class of companies over the next 10 years that replace most of what we have now. And so if you're young, like that's the best thing possible for your career and for your life. Because in the opposite scenario where it's all the same companies, then you got to start at the bottom and work 30 years to get yourself to be a mid level manager and you've got a politic and then the old people who aren't as smart as you get all the money, and that sucks. But in this world, it's the old people who have the challenge because they know how to do the old thing, they don't know how to do the new thing. And you can walk in and learn anything. And trust me, when you're old, it's harder to learn new things. Like it just something about your brain stops functioning as well. It's all filled up with old stuff you don't need anymore. And you can't learn enough new stuff. And so I think that the main thing is just understand the future and then the future is yours, is the way I would think about it if I was 19 or 20 years old.
- [26:28]
C
Well, you said something that's pretty important there, which is for the right ideas, there's unlimited capital, right? Could you talk a little bit about what do you think is the shape of good ideas today that that's emerging in your mind?
- [26:41]
A
Well, look, I mean, I think that, you know, it always comes down to like, can you build something, a product, an organization, a culture, an offering that people want? And then if you don't build it, is it getting built by somebody else or do they need you to do that? Does the world need you to do that? Or it doesn't exist is always the best entrepreneurial idea. And so anything that needs to exist that doesn't otherwise exist is a good idea. And that was the whole story with a venture capital firm. Now, did the world need another venture capital firm? Generically, no. Did it need a different kind of venture capital firm? Absolutely it did. And so that's what we built. Now, I think that's kind of true for, I mean, if you look at OpenAI, they weren't the only ones trying to do AI, right? Like Google, like, was, it was assumed like Google was just going to own AI and it was panicking everybody. And that's why Elon, by the way, co founded it with Sam. And Elon's still mad about like what Sam did with it, but that's a different longer story. But, you know, it was one of those things, well, we need an AI, we need an alternative. The world needs this alternative to Google. And you know, that becomes a really, really good idea. So anything. And like the world, the world is changing so fast that the needs are going to, the new needs are going to multiply. There's going to be many, many, many things that need to be done. I mean, if you look at, I think, you know, kind of the old nobody, the one thing that's interesting about the SaaS apocalypse is it's definitely true that like the barrier to entry on like building software and user interfaces is getting much smaller. But by the same token, like kind of the most boring thing in the world is to just like rebuild Salesforce. Like, you know. No, like Salesforce at a half the cost or a quarter of the cost isn't nearly as interesting as like, what do you really want for your sales organization? Because it's not that, I mean, I don't think, you know, and then the question is, can you build it before they can? But do you really want your salespeople like entering data in like a crappy user interface? And then, you know, most of the things that they work on aren't captured in the system and this and that and the other. Like, so, you know, going to the future, figuring out what, like in a world of AI, like what does that look like?
- [29:20]
C
One of the traps that students often fall into is, I call it the dorm room problem. Right? Which is you've got sort of direct visibility into problems that are in your kind of cone of the light cone, so to speak, of your visibility, which is quite narrow when you're still a student.
- [29:42]
A
Right? Yeah. And sometimes like when your friends are high in the dorm room and you have that conversation that sounds really good, it's not actually that good.
- [29:49]
C
You should at least sleep for one night.
- [29:51]
A
I've seen a lot of those over the years. Make sure it sinks in and you
- [29:56]
C
still think it's a good idea, at least one night. But you know, as you know, just because you're a student in a dorm doesn't mean you don't want to have an impact on big problems and work on things that have an impact at scale.
- [30:11]
A
Right.
- [30:11]
C
And sometimes these things are mission critical things. Healthcare, financial services, the economy, enterprise, the excellent enterprises. But these things are not directly in your sort of line of sight, right. When you're very young. And how would you advise folks to in particular to bring it back to these AI systems? You know, the context feedback loop we've talked about is quite critical, but getting access to those context feedback loops when they can make a huge difference is challenging. When you're young, in your career and you don't have a big network and so on. So how would you go about bootstrapping that problem?
- [30:40]
A
Yeah, look, I think the main thing is to just solve a problem. And what tends to happen is when you go to solve a problem, particularly if it's a hard problem, you find some other problem that's more important. I mean, and this is well known in scientific discovery, right? Like, penicillin was like an accident. They weren't trying to solve that one. It just kind of rolled off of the side. And then, by the way, like, Meta was an accident. He was building Hot or not. And, you know, he kind of stumbled into, like, this much bigger idea. And, you know, my friend Drew at Dropbox, you know, he was like, literally tired of having USB where he'd have to move his presentation from one thing to another. He was just solving a problem for himself. So I think the best way to come on a good. A really important idea is to go try and solve something. Not necessarily build a company, just try and solve a problem. And then in that problem, if it's like a problem that you have, that means it's probably real. And then in solving it, you'll probably. Or you'll likely find something much bigger, and then that may kind of force you to build the company. And those are the things that work. The best that we've seen are. Are these big things. I mean, it's really hard to. And even like, Elon Musk didn't start his career trying to build Tesla, right? Like, he. He was solving a much smaller problem. And, you know, that's. That's generally how you. How you build up to that. I think trying to swallow the earth from the beginning with no experience is. Doesn't usually work. It's good for your pitch deck, but it's not good for your company.
- [32:26]
C
I think Elon's first attempt was like a classic Yellow Pages competitor, something.
- [32:29]
A
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, exactly.
- [32:30]
C
A little bit more mundane.
- [32:31]
A
Yeah. Yellow Pages and then PayPal and then, you know, Tesla and SpaceX.
- [32:37]
C
Well, so on that point, you know, the time horizon on which sometimes you find entrepreneurs sort of have an impact on humanity is that is quite long. Right. They bootstrap sort of the impact. The old. I would say. Well, let me put this. One of the old ways we've seen, the generation of entrepreneurs that belong to Elon's generation, is that they feel like they have to start, you know, somewhat with a narrow scope and then bootstrap, like bigger and bigger scope with every successive project. But just a few minutes earlier, you said, actually, you know, things are going through a lot of change. Yeah. You can have a lot of impact very quickly relative to incumbents who may have had to be a little bit more measured in their approaches.
- [33:17]
A
Right, yeah.
- [33:18]
C
How do you resolve these two?
- [33:19]
A
I think it's. I think, thinking of it like, how big a thing am I going to do is the wrong way to think about it. You have to start with like, what problem can I solve? And then you solve. If you can solve that problem, that's where to start. Like you have to size it to you. Not everybody is the same. Like different people have different capabilities. You become kind of your full like most effective self at a different age. Like some people are really good when they're. By the way, like, Zuck is way different now than he was when he was 20 years old. Like I knew when he was 20 years old. Like he was. It's a miracle if he didn't have a network effect business like that when it worked at all. He just wasn't very good, you know, but he developed that like entirely over the year. And because he had that kind of business that had a vertical takeoff, he could develop into that and look, so if he didn't have that, like, he might have been better off, you know, finishing Harvard or whatever. You know, that was just one of those things where he happened to solve a problem at that age that was important enough that it created a company.
- [34:29]
C
So I, I, I want to take it in a slightly different direction. Which is it or, or analogous, which is, you know, when Zuck, when Facebook was getting started, it had a very
- [34:39]
A
unique culture and, and some good, some bad. Yes.
- [34:45]
C
And it's not always clear what is good and what's bad until much later.
- [34:48]
A
I think my friend Sean got in trouble with the law with that culture. But yeah.
- [34:52]
C
What did he get in trouble for? Napster? Wasn't that one culture earlier?
- [34:55]
A
No, he got in trouble at Facebook
- [34:57]
C
also at Facebook as well.
- [34:58]
A
Okay.
- [34:58]
C
So I don't know.
- [34:59]
A
It was a different problem with the law at Facebook.
- [35:01]
C
I see. Yeah, he generally tends to get into
- [35:03]
A
trouble a lot, but you know, he is a genius.
- [35:07]
C
Well, this is the thing, right, with genius, sort of where you often find outlier technical and, or any kind of outlier capability. Often you find. One of the problems I'm discovering today right in, in the field is that you often have really talented teams, try to start a new lab or a new company and sometimes they fall apart. You just don't get very far from the outside. You'd be like, oh, this is totally going to succeed. Star entrepreneur, lots of capital, great problem. And then like six months in to 12 months in, teams are just struggling a lot to make progress, you know, and sometimes people leave, they gotta. Why is that? You know, what do you think it is about the right cultural initialization that sets apart teams that can do this and hit that. Takeoff versus stumble along. And how do you skip the painful parts?
- [35:56]
A
Yeah, so I think there's a few things. Like, first of all, building a company is hard, and no matter what era or whatever, like, the press always makes it seem easy because they hate entrepreneurs. But it's not easy. It's always extremely hard. So some are going to fail. Like, I just say that up front, but in terms of, like, the team and the dynamic and so forth, yeah, it's a combination of leadership and culture. And culture is a very kind of amorphous thing. Um, but it ends up being very important. So basically, the way to think about it is it's not like people think of culture as, like, you know, corporate values or some bullshit, but it's not that. You know, it's not. We have integrity, we have each other's backs. Or like. Like some of these, like, whatever platitudes people say. It's like, how do we behave? Exactly. Like, what are the behaviors? The samurai have a great kind of line, which is, a culture is not a set of beliefs. It's a set of actions. And so what do we mean by behaviors? Well, like, do we come to the office or not? Do we, like, do we go home at 5 or do we stay longer? Do we. If somebody asked me a question, do I get back to them, like, instantly or in a week? You know, like, all those kinds of things end up mattering. Like, do we believe the best idea wins, or does it, like, matter who was the founder? You know, all. All that stuff you kind of have to agree on as a team. And, like, very specifically, not like, just like some highfaluting idea. And then you have to live by it. And then if you have that. If you have a standard, if you have a cultural standard, then if somebody's not living up to that standard, then it's a simple thing. If you have no standard and people aren't living up to where you want them to, then you're pissed. And then. But then that just starts infighting. Then it gets political, right? Because it's like, well, why the fuck is he going home? Well, we never said he needed to be here. We never agreed on that. Like, he, you know, has a date or whatever. Or, like, you know, he's got a family, he's got to go home. Like, we never, like, said what that was. And then, you know, people stop liking each other. And then you hit the first hard issue, and it's like, you know, effort. I'm out. OpenAI is going to pay Me a lot of money. Screw you guys. Screw you guys. I'm going home. As Cartman would say.
- [38:44]
C
So but what happens if you started by standardizing on some set of beliefs, set of actions, and then the world changes, right? And what you thought was gonna be the right standard six months ago in a world where stuff changes so fast, needs to be updated.
- [39:01]
A
Yeah, yeah. Look, cultures can evolve, like, but you know, you kind of have to evolve together and you need a leader. You need like having. This is why I hate the idea of like co CEOs or like we're all equal or like we're gonna run a communist organization. It doesn't actually work in a company because you need somebody who's going to break the tie. Okay, yeah, you want it to be that way? You want it to be that way? We're going this way. If you don't like it, get the fuck out. Like that's, that's how you have to run an organization in order for it to succeed. And I think people are, you know, we culturally got away from that idea in Silicon Valley a little bit, you know, in the end of the fat happy network effect era. But like it's back now, so.
- [39:48]
C
Could you say more? What do you mean by that?
- [39:51]
A
Well, you know, every, everybody wanted like a vote on what the company values were and this and that and you know, and then like CEOs cave to that and that. That ended up not working well for any.
- [40:04]
C
Companies are not democracies. They are. They are.
- [40:07]
A
Yeah. Well, I think a dictatorship always beats a democracy in a competitive battle. And so because it takes a long time to describe, to decide things in a democracy. Now look, for a country, it's different. There are things when you have to last several hundred years that no matter how good the monarch is, if they die and a worse monarch comes into play, that could be an issue.
- [40:35]
C
Well, I'm going to push a little bit on this assumption that it's different for countries versus companies because something I've learned from you is the way you approach, you know, the most exciting. The businesses I look up to the most, especially the ones in the A16 portfolio, are often with leaders who are thinking so long term, the way they talk about the, their impact on humanity is not that different from the timescale sometimes of political leaders. In fact, arguably some of the entrepreneurs are thinking longer term than political leaders these days.
- [41:05]
A
Well, it is longer term, but um, so like if you have a king, let's say you had a king running the United States, right? If it's a Great king who was not interested in their own, like, enrichment or their family or their friends and so forth. That works.
- [41:24]
C
Like, who cared about the public benefit?
- [41:26]
A
Basically, who cares about the public benefit? I think, you know, that works better than our current system. The problem with it is as soon as you get somebody who's not like that, that's just too much power. So you're better off decentralizing power so that the system is resistant to bad leadership. Like, I think a country has to be resilient to bad leadership in that. Like, if a company goes away, like, okay, fine, whatever. Like, so, you know, the. The. Well, Dave Packard and Bill Hewlett, you know, like, they're gone. They passed away. The new leaders weren't so good. Like, that's the end of the company. Fine, whatever. It's a company. Yeah, they did their thing, they did their job, they fulfilled their mission. You know, a country has to persist beyond that. And so, like, I think we already see that, you know, here. Be it like, you know, on the nation level, on the state level, on, you know, even on the city level, you can see, like, eventually you get politicians who just start giving stuff to their friends, and then, like, everybody suffers. At least you can vote them out. At least you can do something. Whereas, you know, I think in a company, you want to be as efficient as possible while, you know, while the sun is shining.
- [42:47]
C
I know I could keep going forever, but we probably have a bunch of questions piling up, so I'm going to ask you one more question. Then we're going to switch to students. Yeah. Which is, you know, there you talked about David Swensen, Right. And he had some strong assumptions that then you felt these were leaders of the previous generation that you felt just didn't get it.
- [43:07]
A
Well, I just think that, you know, not that he, like, by the way, Yale is still like, an investor in US today. So I just think, like, you can't let your investor, by the way, including us, like, run your company because you're on the ground in real time seeing what's happening. They have knowledge of the past, and they have light knowledge of what you're doing, but not full context. So they can be like, it's an interesting conversation, but the investor can't run the company. And that's just the way it goes with him and us.
- [43:44]
C
Well, so my question for you is, what prior do you feel like you now have to update so that, you know, given that you felt like Yale at that time needed to update their priorities faster today, what do you feel Is like the biggest assumption that you've changed about the venture capital industry. That maybe was a strong belief you held, you know, 10 years ago.
- [44:06]
A
Well, I mean, like I said, I think for one, I mean there's so many things that are changing. But you know, and I, I talked about like, you can throw money at the problem. That's a massive change. I think that the bottlenecks have moved. So we used to have a bottleneck on software engineers. I think we've got bottlenecks on things like electricity now. So I think that changes how we think about investment. And then companies are so big in the private markets that they now require things that venture capital firms didn't, you know, previously provide. Like, so when you get up to, you know, a billion dollars in revenue, then you have to be like multi country, multi channel, multi product. You know, these capabilities most VCs just have never had. Right. But I think now we have to have them. And then I think the, you know, the private capital markets aren't quite don't have all the functions of the public market. So, you know, that needs to be addressed. So there's a lot of things that are changing.
- [45:16]
C
This is definitely not new questions. A follow up to that, which is you said culture is a set of actions, right?
- [45:21]
A
Yes.
- [45:23]
C
By the way, this is on the wall at a 16Z and every day I would go to the office in San Francisco and I'd rent one of these. We could all book our own offices. And the one that was my favorite was in the back corner, near, closest to the bathroom because I could dash to the bathroom between meetings. But in that corner it says, you know, from the Bushido, you know, culture's set of actions, not just beliefs.
- [45:43]
A
Yeah. Like I tell people when they come in, like, I don't care what you think, I don't care how you feel, I don't care what's in your heart. I just care what you do. And like what you do matters. And that the, and that's the way you have to run an organization or like you get into this bullshit.
- [45:56]
C
So, so I mean, that's my follow up is a culture is often also what you don't do, what you say no to. Right?
- [46:02]
A
Yeah.
- [46:02]
C
What are the things that you've had to say no to? Because you're like, well, that's just not that that could be an interesting opportunity. It might even help an entrepreneur out. But that's just not in our mission. That's not, that's not us.
- [46:13]
A
Yeah. Well, so I just give you one example so the biggest one that got proposed to me like 18 times was, well, with AI, AI is like, is very much like when the spreadsheet happened, that kind of launch private equity, right? Because all of a sudden you could go in and make all these big companies much more efficient by like having them adopt this new technology and AI even more so, right? You can go in and you can go into an old company and you can make it much more efficient with AI. And there's like many VCs who are kind of going with that idea. And for me, like, there's, I would say, two big reasons I didn't want to do it. One is it's culturally the opposite of venture capital. So you're talking about like leveraged buyouts? Basically, yeah, LBOs. So like, look, venture capital is about investing in entrepreneurs with new ideas and focusing on how they can grow fast. Leverage buyouts are about, you know, entry price, making it more efficient, firing people. And I don't really want to grow it. I just want to make more money out of what it is. And so if you're in the venture capital mindset, you're looking for the great entrepreneur to go build something amazing. If you're in the leverage buyout market, you're caring about, like, okay, I'm going to bring in a professional, I'm going to have them run this more efficiently and so forth. So it's the opposite motion. And so for me, I was like, well, I don't want to split the culture that way. Like, I think that's not going to be a good idea. And then the other thing is like, I don't want to do that with my life. Like, I have the opportunity to fund like the greatest new ideas that are going to push humanity forward. I don't want to like leverage, buyout, See's Candy and fire all the old ladies who work there. Like, I'm not doing that with my life.
- [48:11]
C
Fuck that.
- [48:12]
A
You know, like, go to another VC if you want to do that stupid shit or like that. Like, it's not stupid. I think it's a good business. Um, but it's not a business for me.
- [48:22]
C
So sometimes you're saying it's okay to impose bottlenecks on your own growth because that's just not what.
- [48:27]
A
Yeah, you don't, you know, like you don't have to be in every business just cause there's money there. Um, you know, you look, I, I, I believe in like you, you, you build a company to kind of do something larger than yourself and make the world A better place. And then if you do that, you will make money. Um, but if you are in business just for making money, like that's not for me, like that's. There are a lot of people who think that way and I'll let them do that. But like, I think that great companies don't think like that to me, like companies that you would want to be part of that I would want to be part of don't work that way. And so I'm not going to build that thing just because like, oh, there's money over there. Let's go run to the money.
- [49:15]
C
We're going to switch to questions. So the way it's going to work is they've been putting their questions in discord and they're all voting on each other's questions. And the top ones that get voted by each other, we'll go through them one by one.
- [49:25]
A
First question, the question is, if I was a college student, where would I put my energy and effort and what do I think about encouraging people to drop out of college? So I think that if I was in college now, I would put a tremendous amount of. I would view AI as like a very powerful tool set. So almost think of it like, I think the best analog is electricity. So like, okay, if you knew electricity was coming and you wanted to do something interesting in life and you were in the pre electricity world, right, like, you know, where like it's six o', clock, we gotta be at home because it's gonna get dark. We're not going anywhere.
- [50:11]
C
Like that world sounds like San Francisco.
- [50:13]
A
Yeah, well, yes, you know, so, so then, okay, this whole new world is coming. Let me really understand this technology. And then like what is interesting to me in the world and that could be biology, it could be material science, it could be, you know, rocketry, it could be anything. But like you want to have those tools in your bag when you go do that. Or it could be, you know, like, by the way, it could be in the creative field. So you know, people I think misunderstand what's about to happen in the creative world. But like somebody who used to be like, who in my era would have been like a pretty good guitar player, can now make a sci fi motion picture scored and everything by himself. And like, like this is like the world is really, really different. So I would definitely kind of figure out what I'm interested and then master this new tool set and kind of apply it together. I think that's, that, that's probably the, the, you know, the thing that's definitely going to work in terms of dropping out of school. Like, I, I, I, I think that this is very. So, like, you mature at different points in life, you know, Like, I think that I finished college myself, and that was good for me. Like, I think, you know, it was good for Zuck to drop out, given the idea he had and given the kind of company he was able to build. And, you know, so I think that with career advice, let me just say this, that nobody can give you good career advice. They can give them good career advice. So I can give you good advice for me. They can't give you good advice for you. And particularly your friends are gonna give you good advice for them, not for you. And so don't listen to your friends and figure out who you are and what the best path for you is. I would just say on that. Yeah. So, by the way, so just on political donations, I also donated $5 million to the Kamala Harris campaign. Important fact. Yeah. Often not report on, just, just, just say, well, it is reported on, on Twitter. Every time the MAGA people get mad at me. Look, on politics, our. Let me kind of just tell you where that came from and how I'm thinking about it. In general, tech had like, very little voice in Washington, D.C. and that had extremely severe negative consequences for tech. And specifically. So I can go through a few things in the Biden administration. One is they basically almost ended the crypto industry by enforcing things that weren't even in the law to shut down companies. And then they were like, the same thing was happening with AI. So the last Biden administration executive order was to require for all sales of GPUs worldwide that they any time you sold one, you'd first need government approval, US Government approval. So that would have basically taken us out of the AI race entirely. And the issue behind that was basically that we had no voice, like the whole industry had no voice in Washington. So we kind of launched a very, very big effort to have a voice in Washington. And I would say that it's worked very well. So we have much better AI policy, much better energy policy, and much better crypto policy now than we did before we got involved. So I'd say I'm like, very happy about that. And then all the kind of money and conversations have been about that. Look, I mean, the other thing is, like I said, I gave money to Kama because I know where I'd known her for 15 years. She's been to my house 17 times. My wife sat next to her in Church the whole time. So I knew her, so I knew I could talk to her. Biden, like, we never could get a meeting with Biden for the whole time he was in office. And if you speak to Tim Cook or Sundar Pichai or Dave Ricks, who runs Eli Lilly, none of them got a meeting with him in four years. Now, we all know why now, but at the time, we didn't know. And the result of that was like, tech had no voice in Washington for those times. So, you know, it was a correction that we had to make. I'm not going to defend everything that Trump does or everything that Kamala would have done, because, like, there's a lot wrong with both of them and, like, I know them both, but there's a lot, like the. The things that we needed to influence to kind of both make the country stronger and make the tech sector stronger, I think worked out well. So I guess the answer is yes, I'm happy with that. Oh, here we go. Remember, that's a good question. So the question to repeat the question for the podcast is, how do I think being in a rap group in college kind of affected me and then, can I rap for us now? So the story of that was, you know, I had a friend who got shot in the face and became blind. And so we started a. And he was very, very depressed, so I would send him rap music. And in those days, rap had just kind of gotten started, and that kind of cheered him up over time. So we started a rap group called the Blind and Deaf Crew. D, E, F. And we became a group, and I wrote some rhymes. So, like, one of the rhymes was the Blind Deaf Crew. You Nowhere fly, three of us, but we got four eyes. No. Plus, he got his eyes. All right.
- [56:26]
C
Thank you, man.
- [56:30]
A
There are so many very memorable and intriguing pitches. Well, one of the most memorable was actually databricks, because it was so bad. So the pitch was Jan Stoica, who is a professor at Berkeley, presented the company and the slides he made. It was like going to, like, a computer science lecture that you couldn't understand in college. That's what the date Rick's pitch felt like. So that was very memorable. It was memorable because of that, and then it was memorable because of what it turned into.
- [57:10]
C
Well, why'd you invest? If you couldn't make sense of it, why'd you invest?
- [57:14]
A
Well, the whole reason I had him coming to pitch is because Scott Shanker, who was another professor at Berkeley who I knew, had called me and said, ben, I have the best distributed Systems guy that we've seen in the last 10 years in academia. His name is Mate Zaharias. Do you want to meet him? And I knew as soon as he said that to me, I was going to invest in the company. Yeah. But that pitch kind of scared my partners.
- [57:43]
C
Thank God they didn't talk you out of it.
- [57:45]
A
Yeah. Yes, it's funny. So the question is about Clulee and what do I think about it now in terms of momentum and this and that and the other. Look, I think that an easier way to think about it is we invest in founders. And you want founders who are original thinkers and have kind of breakthrough thinking on whatever it is they're working on. And I think those guys had a bunch of breakthrough ideas, including marketing. I think they are kind of marketing geniuses in a sense, and that you know about them. They're not, you know, they're not the biggest company in the world, but they're the ones that you know about. There's something to that. So you know, what it becomes from here and where it goes. We'll see. But like I always say, you know, these things are early. And there's only one unforgivable sin in business, and that's running out of money. And until you've run out of money, like, I don't count any of these companies out, by the way. Like, I've seen like Slack was in dire straits before he figured it out. You know, he had built a game on Flash called Glitch, and Steve Jobs outlawed Flash on the iPad. And it was an iPad game. And, like, that's how dead he was, you know, and he had like $6 million left and he turned it into Slack. But that's Stuart Butterfield, you know, he's a great entrepreneur. So, like, companies go through changes and this and that. If you've, you know, like, if you're a special founder and you don't run out of cash, I'm still for that and would bet on that. Question is, given the SAS apocalypse and given that we have long time horizon, how do you think about how can you invest in anything? Because Xanthropic is just going to one shot it all. This is the Wall street view, by the way. Anytime Wall street thinks one thing and Silicon Valley thinks another thing, that arbitrage is worth a lot of money. And Wall Street's always wrong. So I think there's actually a lot of opportunity now in that case. Look, I think, you know, for some of these things are, you know, the whole moat is the code and the ui. And I think that's a difficult position to be in right now for sure. But there's a lot of companies. One, like most of the new companies, like nobody's coming in with like new SaaS companies at this point. Like people kind of know like, okay, that's not that defensible. Like you know, you can build it and so forth. So that's not the new idea. So then if you go to the old ones and you go, well, you know, are they all dead like Wall street thinks? I think, you know, not really. So like for, I'll just give you one example of a company that I'm on the board of. So I'm on the board of a company called Navon. And Navon is like a software travel agency for businesses. So you know, in a company your biggest kind of variable expense is travel. So you need to have like very tight policies around it and so forth. And then to build a travel company you actually need to have supply chain relationships with not every airline in the United States, but every airline in the world, every hotel in the world. And like if you scrape their websites and do that kind of thing, they literally cut you off, they send you a cease and desist and they sue you and life, you're out of business instantly. So it's not that hard to build all those global supply chain relationships. And then you can't sell to any significant company that travels worldwide if you don't have all of them because like I need to be able to travel everywhere and then you've got to like integrate with all their, whatever they're doing for their, you know, cruddy other systems in their, in their company and then the channel to sell it, you're actually selling to somebody called the travel manager, which by the way, like Anthropic is like the, the chance that Anthropic would build a channel to sell to the travel manager when like there's gold bricks everywhere, they're not going to pick up a silver brick. Like they're just not going to do it. Like I, I can tell you, Ange can tell you, like that's the last fucking thing on their mind. In fact, they've got an open rec now to hire a travel manager at Anthropic to manage the Navon relationship. Nonetheless, Navon lost two thirds of its value in the SaaS apocalypse and it's, you know, accelerated revenue since then. It's, you know, I think, I mean it's, I gotta be careful because it's a public company and so Forth. But like, I think they'll be fine for a very long time. So, you know, it's just one of those things where. And there's a saying on Wall street, when the Patty wagon backs up to the house of ill repute, which is, by the way, for those of you too young to know what that is, that's a whorehouse. Everybody goes to jail, you know, not just the people who are committing crimes. And so in the SaaS apocalypse, everybody's in jail, whether or not they should be in jail. So, like, just, just be aware.
- [62:56]
C
What do you think it's going to take for the markets to realize that?
- [63:01]
A
Time, time, time. Like so. So I think what's happened. So if you look at the Navon stock, it was at like $25. It went to $8. It's out $15. If they put up two more quarters in a row, it'd probably be at $30. It's just like that kind of thing. It's just time and education, I guess. Yeah, well, and you learn, Paul. So the way Wall street works is. And Warren Buffett always says, you know, in the short term, it's a voting machine. In the long term, it's a weighing machine. Well, why is that? Well, the reason is it's a narrative. They buy the narrative. They don't buy the facts, they buy the narrative. So the story, if the story is this is a victim of the SaaS apocalypse, barring any new results from that, that's going to be a winning story because it's like such a good story. And by the way, all the portfolio managers who own SaaS companies got fired. So, like, nobody wants to jump into that, you know, kind of thing if you got the new job. And so that story's going to hold for a while, but eventually when the quarters come in, the weighing machine will go, well, maybe that narrative wasn't right for that company because why are they making so much damn money if they're a victim of if anthropics can one shot them? That doesn't make any sense. Don't the customers know the one shot is coming? And so then the narrative will change and a new narrative will win, and then it becomes a weighing machine. And that's true for, by the way, every company.
- [64:33]
C
What's stratum advice is super overrated today.
- [64:36]
A
I don't know what advice? P. That's a good question. I'm not sure, like, what kind of advice are you getting? What I get? I mean, look, I think you have to pay much more attention, like I think the thing that is true is, like, you can't ignore AI. I remember kind of before the Internet came, which I was also alive for, you know, there were a lot of tech companies, and anyone that ignored the Internet was just gone. Like, you can't ignore a change that big. Like, there's no way that something that worked before AI can ignore AI and survive. So, like, that part is true. And so if you're starting a company and you're not dealing with not only AI today, but what's likely to happen, you know, as the models get bigger and so forth, like, it's just not going to be a very interesting company. So that part of advice is very correct. I think the part of the advice that's wrong is there aren't going to be any employees, and there's going to, you know, companies aren't going to hire people, and it's just going to be AI bots running everything. By the way, like, all the data kind of is going in the opposite direction of that. Like, even, like, software engineering jobs are growing, like, very fast, despite what Dario says. And by the way, they're growing very fast at anthropic. So it's like, at what point do you call, like, bullshit on that idea?
- [66:10]
C
So I think sometimes things get taken out of context. Right. Like with the political donation question, like, what was missing context was that there are donations to both sides. I think one of the things that gets taken out of context with Dario is he's often saying, hey, during the transition, some types of jobs that are low skill will get. Those will go away, and those people will then have to, you know, take new jobs.
- [66:31]
A
Yeah, so there will be a job. So Dario is very right on that. There will be a job change. So not the advice Dario gives, but how he gets written up.
- [66:38]
C
Exactly. It's the tweets. It's the tweets. The tweets are the problem.
- [66:42]
A
Yeah. So. So those tweets turn out to be, I would just say, like, like, very overblown and not kind of representative of what's likely going to happen. Uh, so, you know, don't. And in general, like, the. The doom and gloom, I. I just think gets overstated, you know, a lot on AI the most. By the way, the. The most dangerous thing, I think, on AI by far, is that we kind of fail as a country. We get too scared. We overregulate. We do what Bernie Sanders recommends, and some of you are Bernie Sanders fans, but, like, we put a moratorium on data centers, and then China wins. And look, I think a world where, by the way, either China has like super intelligence and we don't, or we have it and they don't is a much more dangerous world than having some kind of balance to the power. You know, concentrations of power historically have been the worst thing for humanity. And so I think that that would be the thing to be scared of. So I think the fear could cause actually a worse problem than what people fear.
- [67:57]
C
Well, here at AI Coachella, we are rational optimists. All right, so thank you for coming to AI Coachella.
- [68:03]
A
Ben all right, thank you.
- [68:05]
B
Thanks for listening to this episode of the A16Z podcast. If you like this episode, be sure to like, comment, subscribe, leave us a rating, or review and share it with your friends and family. For more episodes, go to YouTube, Apple Podcasts, and Spotify. Follow us on X1 6Z and subscribe to our substack@a16z.substack.com thanks again for listening and I'll see you in the next episode. This information is for educational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy, hold, or sell any investment or feed financial product. This podcast has been produced by a third party and may include paid promotional advertisements, other company references, and individuals unaffiliated with A16Z. Such advertisements, companies and individuals are not endorsed by AH Capital Management, LLC, A16Z or any of its affiliates. Information is from sources deemed reliable on the date of publication, but A16Z does not guarantee its accuracy.