Transcript
Guido Appenzeller (0:01)
AI coding is the first really large market for AI.
Yoko Lee (0:05)
When do we say this is all agents? We just at the end of the value chain, we're like, does this work or not work? Click yes or no. Agents more than ever need an environment to run these things. Context engineering for both humans and agents.
Guido Appenzeller (0:20)
Every single part of it is getting disrupted. It's not that there's just somebody writing code like your classical developers being disrupted, but everybody along the value chain.
Podcast Host (0:30)
We're resurfacing an episode from the 80s AI plus a16Z podcast that we think deserves a wider audience. A16Z partners Yoko Lee and Guido Appenzeller make the case that AI coding is the first truly massive market for AI, potentially worth trillions. They break down what's changing in the dev loop, where ROI is showing up first and when founders should build next. Hope you enjoy.
Guido Appenzeller (0:54)
So Joko, we just launched this, I think, amazing new dev stack for the AI coding environment. And I'm really very excited about this. Yeah, I mean the. And let me start with a very high order pitch why I think this is so incredibly exciting. I think AI coding is the first really large market for AI, right? I mean, we've seen there's a ton of investment that has flown and the question now to some degree is where's the value? Right? Why are we doing all of this? AI coding can create an incredible amount of value. If you think about this, right, we have about 30 million developers worldwide, roughly. Right. Let's say each of them generates $100,000 in value. In the United States it may be low because many of them get paid a lot more, but internationally it might be a little high, but I think in order of magnitude it holds. So in aggregate, the value we are creating here is about 30 million times a hundred thousand. So $3 trillion, I will argue even.
Yoko Lee (1:45)
More because that's just developers. But then there's also people who are development curious. They are not developers. Maybe they're. I mean, design engineering now is a big thing. Every designer, product managers, you know, write code doc writers.
Guido Appenzeller (1:57)
Exactly. Yeah. There's so many of these effects, but if you just take the $3 trillion figure, that's about the GDP of France. So the claim we're making here, as crazy as it sounds, is that we're saying the entire population of the seventh or eighth, I think, largest economy on the planet generates about as much value as a couple of startups that are reshaping the AI software development ecosystem, plus the LLMs underneath.
