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Paula Pant
Joe, when you were a financial planner, did you ever have a client who tried to calculate their own retirement number or their own financial independence number, but they severely miscalculated?
Joe Solsihai
No, actually, not that I can remember. What I do remember, though, which is equally as interesting, is people would come to me specifically because they wanted to know how much they needed, what that number was and how close they were, and then, kind of gross. A question I didn't like. How do I compare to everybody else? That part I didn't like because it didn't matter, but that's what everybody wonders. But a lot of people, though, came to me because they're like, I bet you've got the good calculators and you've done this before, so can you help me come up with that number? Absolutely.
Paula Pant
Wow. Well, we are going to answer a question from a listener who is trying to calculate her financial independence number, but she's worried that she is acutely miscalculating this. Oh, exactly. Major. Oh. We're also going to hear from a listener who is wondering about some of the advice that our guest, Paul Merriman shared on our recent interview. Paul Merriman very much advocated for value funds, but she's wondering, what about growth funds? Why value and not growth? So we're going to answer her question, but we're going to kick off with a question that comes from someone who is confident about the money that she's saving for the short term, confident about the money that she's saving for the long term, but what about that messy middle? How should that money get invested? We're going to answer all of these questions in today's episode.
Joe Solsihai
All of them. All of them in one episode.
Paula Pant
In one episode. Can you believe it?
Joe Solsihai
Oh, my goodness, I gotta ask for a raise.
Paula Pant
What's 5% of zero?
Joe Solsihai
Oh, crap. Foiled again. Maybe if somebody had a negotiation course, maybe that would help.
Paula Pant
If only, if only one day. Well, welcome to the Afford Anything podcast, the show that understands you can afford anything, but not everything. Every choice carries a trade off. And that's true not just for your money, but for your time, your focus, your energy, your attention for any limited resource you need to manage. So what matters most? And how do you make choices accordingly? Those are the two questions that this podcast is here to solve. I'm Paula Pant, your host. I trained in economic reporting at Columbia. I'm here to help you prioritize so you can build wealth. Every other episode, I answer questions that come from you, and I do so with my buddy, the former financial Planner Joe Salsehai. What's up, Joe?
Joe Solsihai
I am super happy to be back and your new studio almost done. Last time you and I were together it was just starting to get done and man, we're just about there.
Paula Pant
It is still very much under construction. I'm not recording from any of the official equipment yet because we haven't done proper sound checks with it, we haven't run it through its battery of tests.
Joe Solsihai
Haven'T had the ribbon cutting.
Paula Pant
Yeah, exactly, exactly. But the base setup, we've made some serious progress in the past week. I'd say probably by the time that you and I are together next, this thing should be ready.
Joe Solsihai
Oh, I'm holding you to it.
Paula Pant
Well, let's hear our first question which comes from Joanne.
Joanne
Hi, Paula and Jo. My name is Joanne. I am a 45 year old single mother of two kids and I'm recently divorced. My kids are 10 and 12 years old. I've worked for over 20 years and plan to retire or semi retire in a month or two. I have a doctoral degree in my field, but that doesn't mean I know anything about personal finance. I really didn't start learning until very recently as my partner had always taken care of things and so I've really had to catch up and your show's been a key part of that for me. My question is about medium term investing, but before I ask my question, I'll just give you some of my background. I have 1.5 million in retirement accounts. I've been making about 150k at my job, which I plan to quit very soon and I've been making the maximum contributions. I've been pretty good about that. I believe I'm in good shape for a post age 60 retirement. I also own two condominiums. When I first divorced I downsized to a small condo and it proved to be too small for me and my kids. And so luckily I was able to buy the adjoining unit and connect them. And so now the kids have their space and I have my space as well. Once they come of age to go to college, I'll seal up the condos and sell one back and make that money back. They're worth about 400k each at the moment and they're both paid off. Right now I have about 500k in CDs and a CD ladder. So I was nervous about money after getting divorced and I thought I'd be conservative. This includes a 2 year CD, a 3 year CD and three 5 year CDs all at a little over 4%. So that's 500k in this ladder. I have some passive real estate income from a family real estate property. With this money, along with interest from investments like currently these CDs and some child support money that goes to living expenses for the kids, I think my expenses for early retirement will be pretty much covered. I will also be receiving additional settlement payments from the divorce for the next four years. And some of this money will go into funding my children's 529s for college. As I've been learning about personal finance, there have been some basics that are clear to me. You know, I need to have a fully funded emergency fund. I need to have. For me, it's like one to two years of living expenses and cash so I can feel comfortable. So like the short term part, it's like I've got that down. I also understand about long term investing, like letting things ride out in an index fund or a target date fund. Also in my case, I have the second condo, right, that I can sell back in 10 years. So my question is, what about the middle term? Like, what about money I'll need in five years? I was lucky enough, or some might say too conservative, I don't know. In building this seedy ladder, which will reach full maturity in five years and the CDs mature, I've gained interest and that will, you know, I'll get the liquid cash back at the end, but that opportunity is going away. So now how do I plan for the medium term? Like do I do more bonds or some bonds when the CDs mature? How do I reinvest that money? That's really my question.
Paula Pant
Joanne, first of all, I am honored to hear that this show could be a part of your personal finance education. You are absolutely correct in that even people who have the highest possible level of formal education within their particular field don't necessarily have any training in personal finance. I think one of the major shortcomings of our society is that we give no personal finance education to our teenagers or to our young adults. So big congratulations to you for taking the initiative and being proactive about seeking out personal finance information. And that extends, Joanne, not just to you but to every single person who is listening to this. You are all taking the initiative to go out and get the learning that you didn't get in school.
Joe Solsihai
I just had a discussion, by the way, Paula, with a mutual friend of ours, Jackie Cummings Koski. And Jackie went through a divorce in her late 30s and told me this wonderful story about how she used to get upset because her husband handled the money and she would get upset when she had to go to the bank to sign, like, refinancing the mortgage papers. She didn't want anything to do with anything. And so then after her divorce, she was horrified because now she has to handle all of it. And what was really empowering for her was when she started handling it. And Joanne, I'm speaking directly to you now. Not only did she find that it was easier than she thought, she actually liked it enough that now she's in the podcasting ring with us. She's teaching people about money all the time. And her big message is, you can do this. So, Joanne, you can do this. It's going to be a really fun ride.
Paula Pant
Well, not just Joanne, not just that you can, but she has. I mean, the long term and the short term, Joanne, you've nailed it both. And as you acknowledged in your voicemail, some people might say that's too conservative, but Joanne, you've clearly identified that your risk comfort level is aligned with the amount of money that you have in short term investments. So you are aware of the fact that some people might call it too conservative. And maybe if you compare yourself to others. Sure, But Joe, as you said earlier, don't play the comparison game.
Joe Solsihai
No, not at all.
Paula Pant
You have clearly given a lot of thought to what helps you sleep best at night. And you've identified the amount of money that you need in laddered CDs so that you can have short term money.
Joe Solsihai
Yeah, but what I also like, Paula, is she has identified also that that is a problem. Right, because it is a problem. But. And now that she's at the point that she's ready to do something more, definitely she needs to do more. Because the key to this game is going to be to beat inflation. And those CDs are not going to beat inflation.
Paula Pant
Yeah, it was a viable path when we had that very particular moment in history when inflation was high. And so CDs were paying 4% rates, but inflation was rapidly coming down. So you could sort of, at that very particular point in history, grab onto these high rates. Inflation is good for savers. So you could grab onto these high rates that reward savers and lock that in into an economic context where now we have 2.6% inflation as of October 2024. So now you've got a CD that's going to handsomely beat inflation. But that was an opportunity that existed at a moment in time that no longer does.
Joe Solsihai
Yeah. So definitely she needs to change. So what do you think? Because this isn't just hard for you. This is hard for everybody. I've been doing this for a long, long, long time. The middle is the most difficult part to plan for long term equities, meaning anything that is a stock based, widely diversified investment or diversified real estate investment is going to be a surefire way to beat inflation. Short term, having those CDs is fantastic. Having money in a high yield savings account is fantastic. But that messy middle, Paula.
Paula Pant
Right. Well, okay. So I'll tell you, and I agree the messy middle is the hardest part. So Joanne, you've identified that perfectly the idea that I don't like and Joe, I'm curious to know what you think about this. I don't like the idea of tilting too heavily into bonds. Now I'm going to put a big asterisk here, especially for the sake of everyone listening. Of course the average person should have a well balanced asset allocation that if you choose, might have some bond allocation. But I don't like the idea for that messy middle of an overreliance on bonds because if we do have an inflationary environment that will beat up bond prices and you saw recently bond prices tanked on investor worries about increasing inflation.
Joe Solsihai
In the future, my co host on the Stacking Benjamin show and your friend OG and quite a few other CFPs for the very reason you talked about, Paula, embrace a keep more money in cash for that middle and then have more money in the stock portion deflect to big huge companies that are going to move less than the stock market in general. I'm talking about things like utility companies, that sort of thing. But because of the fact that stocks tend to go where the economy goes by keeping more money in cash and keeping more money in stocks, you actually historically have done very well.
Paula Pant
So what you're describing, Joe, having more cash and more equities, that's referred to as a barbell allocation. The reason it's called that, if you think of a barbell at the gym, you've got that tiny, tiny little rod in the, in the center and then all of the weight is on one extreme end or the other extreme end. So just like a barbell, you would want to have a lot of cash, a lot of equities and that's the barbell allocation. And personally that's what I have and.
Joe Solsihai
The whole goal poll is to do what you emphasized at the beginning. You don't want to overemphasize bonds. And that is going to be really more about Joanne's ability to take on.
Paula Pant
The risk, the psychological risk you will.
Joe Solsihai
Make it there with the barbell allocation. Will you sleep at night with that allocation is really the question.
Paula Pant
Yeah. So when we talk about risk, there's two components. There's risk tolerance and risk capacity. Risk tolerance is psychological and risk capacity is logistical. So a person might have either a small or a large amount of risk capacity. They're logistical, spreadsheet based, dollars and cents, mathematical capacity to take on risk without ruining themselves. That's a person's risk capacity. But your psychological risk tolerance is different. And risk tolerance is not necessarily related to risk capacity. Right. You're the psychology of money is in many ways independent of the actual logistics of your money. And so when we talk about risk management, we're talking about both risk capacity and risk tolerance. But between the two, what we have seen over and over and over is that the psychological, behavioral, risk tolerance is more important because for the same reason that I don't eat steamed broccoli at every meal. And I'm not saying that's the only thing you should eat, but I know I would be healthier if I ate more steamed broccoli. I have full education on that. There's no knowledge gap, there's an implementation gap. And the implementation gap is psychological. It's because I am more likely to reach for spicy queso and a chocolate bar than I am steamed broccoli. That's not due to a lack of information or education or awareness. That is purely due to the psychology of food. So what we know is that people treat their money in the same way they treat their food. Psychology matters most.
Joe Solsihai
I have this with my own risk tolerance. I've talked a lot in the past about using myself as an example because I think people think that because we do this podcast that we're perfect investors. I have some money that is sandbox money that I could put into crypto. I get the crypto argument. I say I like the crypto argument when I've owned it in the past. I don't love owning it. I don't understand what makes it go up, I don't understand what makes it go down. And I have been an investor for so long, Paula, I feel much more comfortable with taking a risk that I understand than one that I've realized I'm not going to understand. So could I make more money? Could I have made more money if my brother in law back in 2017 had convinced me to get into Bitcoin like he did? He's made well over a million dollars just in crypto and I sat alongside him and Went, yeah, can't do it. I can't do it. Has nothing to do with my belief in crypto. Has to do with me when I've owned it. It's too big a roller coaster ride for me.
Paula Pant
Right. The psychology of it.
Joe Solsihai
Yeah. Whereas an example for AI, I talked to you about my crazy investment in Lumen, this company that has had a lot of debt that now is refinancing their debt. I love my investment in L. It might be the dumbest thing I've ever done. Love it. I think it's great. Just for the sandbox part of my portfolio. One works and one doesn't, but it is clearly risk capacity, not risk tolerance. My risk tolerance is fine with Bitcoin. It's fine. My risk capacity, no, thank you.
Paula Pant
Going back to the subject of bonds, there's one pervasive myth about bonds that I want to bust, and that is the myth that bonds and stocks move in inverse correlation to one another. They do not. Bond prices and bond yields move inversely to one another. But bonds and stocks are not inversely correlated. They historically often have moved that way. But there have been times, like in 2022 when they didn't. When in 2022, they moved in tandem. And so people will often try to allocate a portion of their portfolio towards bonds because they think that that will offset some of the volatility of equities. But it won't.
Joe Solsihai
Well, the answer is it's on a different fulcrum. Yeah, but the reason is it's a different fulcrum, not because it's inverse.
Paula Pant
Right. So it's independent rather than inverse.
Joe Solsihai
Yeah, absolutely. We saw that also going back in time, in 2007, 2008, when everything went down, there was truly no place to go for safety. Gold historically has been the thing that rallies a lot when the stock market's down. Paula. Even more than bonds, gold has been the rallying cry. 2007, 2008 wasn't the case there either. Gold also went through the floor. Didn't matter what you owned, people were selling it.
Paula Pant
Yeah, well. And so what's happening now to take a look at the current economic landscape. It's a wait and see game, but there is anticipation of the possibility that prices might rise in 2025 across the board. And the reason that bond yields have skyrocketed and therefore bond prices have fallen is because of that anticipation. And so we're seeing that play out in the market right now.
Joe Solsihai
We can talk about specifically, because I definitely have a wait and see approach. And I roll my eyes a little on Stacky Benjamin's. We did a headline talking about this where economists predict that the national debt will go up somewhere between $1.1 trillion and $15.6 trillion, which is hilarious for those of you not watching the video. Paula just gave me the same look that OG did when we did this headline, which is nobody knows. Just looking at how huge that field goal is.
Paula Pant
Yeah, that's when you set a field goal that is the size of planet Earth.
Joe Solsihai
Right. It could go up a little or go up a lot. So that shows how little people know what's going to happen. And that is because our incoming President Donald Trump said the reason why people worry about that is tariffs, specifically tariffs on goods. And if he does implement a tariff strategy, Wall street is worried that that will make prices go up. Now, will that happen? Nobody knows. It's kind of a let's wait and see. But bond yields have gone up because of that possibility of inflation. That's also the reason why as the Fed drops interest rates, we haven't seen mortgage rates come down like other rates have come down.
Paula Pant
Right. Because mortgage rates are actually more tied to the 10 year treasury yield than they are to the Fed's interest rate.
Joe Solsihai
If there ends up being no tariff policy and we keep open markets, well, then you actually could see mortgage rates drop significantly in the future as the Fed continues to lower interest rates.
Paula Pant
Right. It's possible. And the thing about tariffs is that there are two possibilities. There's the possibility that we have a one time step up in prices once the tariffs are implemented, and then we just stay at that new level. Option B is the possibility of retaliatory tariffs. And if we end up being subject to retaliatory tariffs from other nations, that could create this back and forth scenario in which prices increasingly go up. To be precise, tariffs are technically not inflationary if they are a one time step up in prices, but they can have an inflationary effect if there is a retaliatory tariff.
Joe Solsihai
A domino effect.
Paula Pant
Right, exactly. And so that's where the wait and see game comes. And that's why it was on November 6th. That was the day that bond prices plummeted. And so all of this is to say I would not recommend making bonds a big part of the middle, that messy middle portion of your portfolio, because the bond market in general is going to have a lot of volatility, I think in 2025 because there's so much uncertainty about what is going to happen in our markets, that is absolutely impossible. To know in advance. And so investors are going to be trading bonds based on that uncertainty. And so we're going to see bond prices rise and fall and rise and fall and rise and fall throughout 2025, depending on how the situation shakes out.
Joe Solsihai
And also just long term, even without this short term discussion. I like the biased against it anyway. The biased against it historically is the right move you open with that I would stay away from bonds. I think a long term investor should be looking at how do I implement bonds in a way that it makes me sleep at night, but doesn't wreck my ability to really beat the pants off inflation because I don't have enough money to invest dollar for dollar the amount I'm going to need later. That's the reason we need to beat inflation. Think about your lifestyle today. Even if you decrease that by 20 or 30% trying to live for 25 years without money and you've got to save dollar for dollar because your, quote, risk tolerance doesn't allow you to invest in things that beat inflation, you're never going to do it. You're going to end up working jobs that you don't like. You're going to end up living a life that's less than what you want to live. Because the only ways to beat inflation are to invest in the things that are the drivers of inflation in the first place, which are the price of goods, the price of real estate. Those are two big drivers in the inflationary game.
Paula Pant
Right. So Joe, I'm curious. You suggested a barbell allocation, even with that messy middle portion of the portfolio. Her question was what should she do with money that frees up as the CDs mature?
Joe Solsihai
Yeah, clearly wouldn't do that for Joanne though, just based on the fact that she had half a million dollars in CDs. The barbell allocation does not work for Joanne. I have three choices. The first is to divide the portfolio as she's investing into two different funds. One would be value based, really huge companies. Again, I talked about utility companies. I would just go with Maybe the S P500 value index is an easy way to get this done. And then the other half, I would go further than Ginny Maze or Tips. I like that. For a second tier, more aggressive. If you're going to just overweight cash that you don't need for two or three years, then use Ginny Mae's. But this is more middle than that. I'm looking five, six, seven years out. So I'm buying a good intermediate term index bond fund. So go with the two fund approach, intermediate term bonds and the S&P 500 value. If you want to make it easier but a little more messy, meaning that you're not going to get to decide how much in bonds and how much in stocks. You want to give that to somebody else. You could buy a balanced mutual fund. That's a fund that's going to buy large companies and it's going to buy intermediate term bonds. The problem I have with that one, Paula, is that when you go to sell that, you don't know what bonds and stocks you're selling. So you can't pick your poison about what to choose. But if you want to press the easy button, you're going to be well off that way. I've gone on record many times saying I can't stand target date funds. I really can't. I think you're smart enough to do it yourself. I don't think it's hard. We hear about people saying, hey, keep it easy, keep it simple. It's simpler than you think. But if you're going to use a target date fund, find a 10 year target date fund because target date funds quote, land the plane quicker than they should. You're going to have a big pie of investments. Use a target date fund for that messy middle that's maybe a 10 years out into the future from today. Target date fund.
Paula Pant
So that would be like target date.
Joe Solsihai
2035 by a 2035 fund. So I like the three of those.
Paula Pant
If she actually intends to use the money in 2030 by the 2035.
Joe Solsihai
Absolutely. Yeah. Buy a little bit further than when she out. Than when she. Because target date funds have a lot of COVID your butt in them to put it nicely.
Paula Pant
Yeah.
Joe Solsihai
So I like those. My favorite is the first one. I know that's going to feel too complicated for a lot of people to buy the two funds, Paula, and then make some investing decisions. But I could be happy with any of those three. Wow.
Paula Pant
That was not at all what I thought you were going to say. I thought you were going to recommend Ginny Mazin tips.
Joe Solsihai
No, not aggressive enough for me. I don't think we get that interest rate where we needed to be to beat inflation, which is my worry. I hear, Joanne, what you're saying about feeling like you're right for the middle. You didn't tell us how much money's coming in to cover it. You said you think that you're covered. I just do the math on your assets and you're not covered. So I'm hoping that these numbers that you didn't give us for cash flow coming in from other places is enough to make sure that even with inflation that you're covered in the future. A lot of the time when I was a financial planner, Paula, people would think they're covered because they have enough for today. But five years, seven years, eight years from now, all of a sudden it feels much tighter than it did. You're like, what happened? Well, the price of bread went up. That's what happened.
Paula Pant
So, Joanne, those are three options for how you could handle that messy middle as well as a lengthy explanation of what not to do. Don't overweight to bonds. So thank you again for the question and best of luck and call us back at some point and let us know. Give us an update.
Joe Solsihai
She's like, I decided to just buy lottery tickets. I'm sure that's where Joanne's going.
Paula Pant
Put it all in crypto.
Joe Solsihai
Yeah. Horse number three in the fifth race.
Paula Pant
All right, we're going to take a moment to hear from the sponsors who make this show possible. And when we return, we are going to hear from someone who is wondering about Paul Merriman's advice. Why value stocks and not growth stocks? We're going to answer that question and then we're going to hear from a caller who is wondering if she has correctly calculated her financial independence number. Stay tuned.
Joe Solsihai
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Paula Pant
Welcome back. Our next question comes from Jessie.
Jessie
Hi Paula, thanks for a great episode with Paul Merriman on diversifying your portfolio to increase your gains. I wanted to ask I noticed that his recommendations tended to lean towards diversifying with value stocks rather than diversifying with growth index funds. And I wanted to ask if there would be similar findings if you were diversifying with growth focused index funds or if his findings suggest that value funds would be more productive for most everyday investors to diversify with. Thanks for everything you do, Jesse.
Paula Pant
Thank you for the question. So fundamentally the question is why? Why value? Why not growth? And you're tapping into an age old debate in the investing world. So historically there were two famous investors. One was named Benjamin Graham and the other was named Philip Fisher. Benjamin Graham is known as the father of value Investing. Philip Fisher was the father of growth investing. Ironically, Philip Fisher's son is a value investor. Of course. Yeah, exactly.
Joe Solsihai
Because every time dad talk, he rolled his eyes. That's why. Dad.
Paula Pant
Warren Buffett has said that his investing philosophy is a mashup between Benjamin Graham and Philip Fisher. But it's not a 5050 mashup. Warren Buffett has said that his investing philosophy is 85% Benjamin Graham, 15% Philip Fisher. So his investing philosophy is basically 85% value, 15% growth.
Joe Solsihai
And the part of Philip Fisher that he says he likes a lot is Philip Fisher's penchant for diving in and learning every single little thing he can learn about the company. It is less to do with the growth part, Paula, than the piece of Fisher's investment philosophy, that before I invest in an individual company, I'm going to know the heartbeat 100% of what that company does. Which is why Warren Buffett, you and me trying to be like you and I, we all agree that's why the average investor, one of many reasons why the average investor should just by indexes. Because doing it the Fisher way requires lots and lots and lots and lots and lots of diving in deep, right?
Paula Pant
Yeah. Like enormous due diligence to the point where it's your obsession. It's not just your full time work, it's your obsession. Exactly. So what we've seen and what Paul Merriman shows in his research is that historically value oriented investments tend to do better over the long term. That being said, there is that space, that Philip Fisher philosophy. There is that space for growth. But it's harder to succeed in a growth environment, particularly for the average investor who isn't doing this full time.
Joe Solsihai
Yeah. And the reason depends on the size company that we're looking at overall. It's funny, growth in value over long periods of time. If you look at the S and p growth index versus the S& P value index over long, long, long periods of time. The growth index to your point, Paula, slightly below the value index, but not by a ton. The bigger reason why Merriman's research and a lot of people's research will land in the large company side on value is because we don't know when you're getting off the train. And because we don't know when you're getting off the train, it is easier and more probable that value's not going to suck at the time that you need to sell it. Growth funds over short periods of times will have phenomenal spikes because when you're a growth investor, you're going to ignore some of the information that a value investor really is interested in. A value investor wants to make sure that the pieces of the company, a special equal a deal like I can buy this company and I'm going to get stuff that's on sale. That's what they're looking for. A growth investor just wonders if they're going to take over the world. If a value investor is wrong, maybe it's not a deal now, maybe it's just fairly market valued. So that. Or maybe just a little bit on the oops side where a growth investor. If I think a company's going to take over the world and they don't like the downside, right now, if we find out that insiders at the top of Nvidia have been embezzling money or cooking the books and nobody knew it, right? That's 100% a growth company. There is no value there. It's all growth. If somebody pops that bubble, the downside is huge, right? It's absolutely huge.
Paula Pant
Right.
Joe Solsihai
So that's why on the large company side, Merriman goes with value. Because when you go to sell it, there's not as much of a roller coaster ride as there is in growth. Now if you're there for 50 years, you're going to probably be great with growth. If you're there for 10 years, growth is either going to be way ahead or way behind value stocks on the large side. It's actually different though, Paula, with small companies. We get to small companies, it's a whole different rationale. Why we go with value versus growth.
Paula Pant
Oh, tell me why.
Joe Solsihai
Well, because when a company is small, a company is either undiscovered or discovered. And actually a small company value stock is usually going to be a value stock because the masses haven't discovered the genius of what this company does yet. If it's a little tiny company and it's value oriented, value oriented small companies tend to get the biggest pop of anybody in the market because all of a sudden they go, oh, I had no idea that this company was as cool as it is. And when it is, small value often graduates to large growth. Right. Small growth is problematic because everybody expects this company to be a hot company and they're still small. And so the growth investors try to get in there early and a lot of these companies don't do as well. So small growth is super risky. Small value, if I've got 100 companies or 500 companies that I'm underpaying for 500, the chance that three or four of these are going to be 10 years from now the next hot thing.
Paula Pant
Right.
Joe Solsihai
I'm going to find a few. And by the way, I can miss on a lot of underpriced tiny company stocks and get that one big hit or two or three big hits. Those cure a lot of the mistakes that I made in picking so small value. We're actually looking for the next hot growth stock, large value. We're actually not trying to make a mistake. And when we get off the train.
Paula Pant
And you know, and that makes sense, just intuitively, that makes sense because one of the fastest ways to kill a small company is to force it to grow too quickly.
Joe Solsihai
Right? Feed it a bunch of cash and.
Paula Pant
Yeah, yeah, I have many, many friends. They're entrepreneurs with small companies that have outside funding. The problem with outside funding, the problem with other investors coming in is that they are expecting a growth multiple that is very hard to sustain. And so what happens is you take on more and more risk. You hire faster and really kind of before you're ready. You don't have the processes in place. You're building the plane as you're flying it. And to an extent, every small business is always building the plane as you're flying it. But if you are undiscovered and you can move at a slower pace and you can figure out how to build the plane as you're flying it, every small company is building the machine as they go. But it's nice to have the time to do it properly so that you can really. Here's where I'm mixing metaphors so you can cement that foundation before you build to that next level. If you can't quite get a stable foundation and you're already building the next level, and then you just keep Jenga towering new levels on top of shaky, shaky foundation, eventually that whole Jenga tower falls apart.
Joe Solsihai
We can actually look at, Paula, a couple case studies that I think a lot of our Ford anything audience knows in this case, companies that have survived that are vastly different than they were when they started, and it was because they had this huge speed bump when it came to growing too quickly. Sofi, I think, is a company that a lot of people in the audience knows. You look at the Sofi management team, it's 100% different people than started that company. And part of that was they had this massive growth. They ended up having a lot of scandal inside the company and that company nearly got wiped off the planet. Luckily, they were able to turn it around Away Luggage is another company that had big Time growth problems.
Paula Pant
They had huge problems. Oh, my goodness. Away poor. I love their product. So it made me too very, very sad to hear about what was happening in the company. Their product is incredible, but growing too quickly.
Joe Solsihai
In both of those companies, it changed the corporate culture because they hired a ton of people very quickly and didn't have a lot of the oversight, the systems, the ability to deal with the massive changes happening inside the company with all these new hires and just a mess. And luckily both of them are still around, especially for away because I like that luggage too. I think those are a couple case studies about. Exactly, Paula, what you're talking about.
Paula Pant
Right, exactly. And Joe, I think you raised an important point when you said that today's small cap value often become tomorrow's large cap growth.
Joe Solsihai
Yeah, big difference. Why Merriman would go with small cap value than with large cap value. I've been pointing to Paul Merriman a lot lately. This isn't Paul Merriman making stuff up. And he's not like Gandalf, the wizard of investing who's magically picking these allocations. He's just a guy that's done a lot of research.
Paula Pant
Yeah, he's done a ton of research.
Joe Solsihai
I don't point people toward Paul Merriman's research because of the fact that he's a whiz kid guru on where the market's headed tomorrow. If you ask Paul Merriman where the market's headed tomorrow, he will tell you. Don't know, don't care. That is not his game. His game is what has worked in the past. Because when it comes to the future, the economy, is it going to look different? Sure it will. But is it going to rhyme with the past 100%? Absolutely. The trends that we've had for the past 80, 100 years in these markets is going to some degree continue.
Paula Pant
Right. You know, our YouTube video with our Paul Merriman interview is one of our Most watched recent YouTube videos right out of the gate. It just blew most of our other videos out of the water. That and our interview with Christine Benz. Those two just. There's a huge hunger for voice of reason. Yeah. You know, both of them are incredible researchers. I mean, they have spent decades immersed in research and data that back the financial conclusions that they've reached. And so is a testament to not just to the incredible research that they've both done, but also to the how smart this audience is that they want to learn from the best. And Paul Merriman absolutely is one of the best. If you haven't heard the show. I encourage you to watch it on YouTube. YouTube.com afford anything because on the YouTube video we have charts and graphs and visual supplements that enhance what he's talking about. So you can find that again on our YouTube channel, YouTube.com affordanything. But if you want to find the audio episode, it's episode 550. That's affordanything.com episode 550. Well, thank you, Jesse, for the question, and I hope that gave you a solid discussion of why value and not growth. We're going to take one final break to hear from the sponsors who make this show possible. And when we return, we will hear from a member of this community who's wondering if she calculated her financial independence number correctly.
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Paula Pant
But for a lot of you, you're.
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Paula Pant
Carols by the fire or you bake cookies.
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Paula Pant
Welcome back. Our final question today comes from Nancy.
Nancy
Hi Pahla. My name is Nancy. I've called before for sage advice many, many years ago, and I figured I would give this a try with you today. I'm trying to understand my fire number based off of understanding better the amount that I have invested. I have money split between a Vanguard account as well as TSP and real estate. I think it's pretty straightforward when it comes to Vanguard. I can just see what my balance is with tsp. I'm wondering if you would consider the amount invested, the amount that I've put in, the amount that I put in plus the amount that my employers put in, or the current value of my portfolio now, which includes its interest. But much of that is not a Roth, so I don't know how much would be taken out with taxes. And then when it comes to real estate, I'm also curious about what does it mean to assess how much I've invested. So are we talking about the amount of cash that I've put in, whether that be from the actual down payment and my monthly payments, that entire accumulation, that amount? Or are we talking about the equity minus the loan value? Are we talking about the full current valuation or the amount of the purchase price? All of those numbers are different and I'm just curious how you would advise us to look at those numbers when thinking about our fire number and the amount invested we would need to retire or to work when we wanted to work optional. Thanks so much for your guidance. Have a great one.
Joe Solsihai
Paula. I'm wondering if Nancy's sitting at her desk at work going, how do I.
Paula Pant
Get the hell out of here, as many people do. Well, so Nancy, what strikes me about your question is that I hear almost a conflation of two different questions. I hear the question how do I calculate my net worth. And then I also hear the question, how do I calculate my phi number? And those are two different questions. So when you ask, for example, about the TSP node, what do you count? Your contributions or your + your employer's contributions or the total portfolio value, that, to me, sounds like a question about how do I calculate my net worth? And similarly with the house, do I calculate the equity in the home, or do I calculate the total value of the home? That also, again, sounds like a question about how do I calculate my net worth? We'll answer that question in just a moment, but I want to first make a distinction between the questions of how do I calculate my net worth? And then the question of how do I calculate my FI number? Because your FI number is an estimate of how much you would need in order to make work optional. Whereas your net worth is a snapshot of where you are at this point in time. And I understand many people will base their phi number on what ultimately ends up being a total net worth, but that is not necessarily how it should be done, for reasons that we can get into in a moment. So to answer the first portion of your question, which is, how do I calculate my net worth? Just think of it like this. Your net worth is everything you own minus everything you owe. So I would take the total portfolio value of your tsp, because that is included in everything you own. And then for your home, I would, in the plus side, have the value of your home, and in the minus side, subtract out the balance of your mortgage. So that way it's everything you own minus everything you owe. Now, that's how you calculate your net worth. And many people will use as their phi number a given net worth. So, for example, hypothetically, a person might say, when I have a net worth of 2 million, I will be financially independent, or 2.5 million or 3 million. But I think that there is a risk when it comes to using your total net worth as your FI number for the very reason that you've identified, which is that your net worth is made up of both liquid and illiquid investments.
Joe Solsihai
Well, and not just illiquid investments, but also investments that you are not going to want to use as fuel, possibly for financial independence. So, as an example, the house that you live in, unless that house you live in is going to be fuel for your financial independence, you don't want to use any of the equity in the house you live in.
Paula Pant
Right? So when you're calculating the bucket of money that you have for fi, I would calculate Money that you would actually be willing to tap, which is different from total net worth. And so when it comes to your home, and this is totally up to you, I know some people who are like, as soon as I reach financial independence, bam, I'm going to sell my home. I'm going to move, move into an rv. I'm going to RV around the country, or I'm going to sell my home, I'm moving to Costa Rica. So there are some people who will tap that home equity because they plan on liquidating that house at the time that they reach financial independence.
Joe Solsihai
But I still question that number as well. I question both of those scenarios as well.
Paula Pant
Ooh. Because they might not want to live in that RV or live in Costa Rica.
Joe Solsihai
Yeah. Because our feelings change over time. I mean, it's funny because you and I, I think both interviewed Bill Perkins a long time ago, but that dude's having a moment right now. I have no idea why. In all the online communities, everybody's talking about Bill and about die with zero again, but Bill's main tenant is you change over time. And so if I say that I'm very comfortable, Paula, living in a tent down by the river, I might not be comfortable living in a tent down by the river 15 years from now.
Paula Pant
Right.
Joe Solsihai
I might not want to go to Costa Rica 15 years from now. So if I'm doing that because standard of living wise, it's the lowest common denominator, denominator plan, and I can barely scrape by, I'm going to be really nervous that I'm in Costa Rica going, what the hell am I doing here? I don't want to be here. And now I want to upgrade my lifestyle, and I can't.
Paula Pant
Right. And that, in a way, almost gets to the question of Lean Fi versus Fat Fi in terms of do you define fi or work optional as the smallest amount of money that you would need to live in order to get by and be okay, or do you define it more as some bigger amount of money where you would have flexibility? Yeah, flexibility and comfort.
Joe Solsihai
I guess I should. Where I stand there.
Paula Pant
Yeah. So a part of it is, are you aiming for the psychological comfort that comes with Lean Phi? Because Lean Fi does have. There is an enormous sense of relief. Like I can tell you personally, I feel an enormous sense of relief knowing that if I needed to, I could move into one of my rental properties, which is all of them. I have seven, and they're fully paid off free and clear. I could move into one out of those seven, rent out the Other six and I'd be okay. I wouldn't be going to bars and restaurants and concerts every weekend, but I'd be okay.
Joe Solsihai
I love that psychologically because it gives you the power to think long term with your decision making.
Paula Pant
Right.
Joe Solsihai
You're not thinking about, how am I going to eat tomorrow? How am I going to make a decision that supports me? You're able to go, I'm going to tell the boss to shove it today because I hate this job and there's no amount of money worth working here.
Paula Pant
Right.
Joe Solsihai
But acting on it then to go live in that apartment is. I love the psychological part.
Paula Pant
I think Lean Phi is great for the psychological benefit, but actually acting on it is hard to sustain long term. It's a great option. If you're in a situation that you have to get out of, are you playing offense or are you playing defense? If you're playing defense and you're in a situation that is toxic and you need to get out of that situation, Lean Phi is a great, fabulous, fantastic, fantastic mechanism. But if you're playing offense, then for that bucket of money for offensive fi, you'll want to calculate that with money that you actually would be willing to tap.
Joe Solsihai
Well. And I'll tell you what else I like, and you know, Paula, more than anybody how much I hate these terms. I can't stand any term, but I'm going to lean into them.
Paula Pant
Oh, you ready? Look at that punishment.
Joe Solsihai
Lean Coast Fi, meaning I'm not there yet, but I know that for two years I could coast. And taking that two year sabbatical to go find the right thing, that's even a powerful spot to be like, I don't even need to be 100% there, but just knowing I could take a couple years off savings and I'm still going to be okay, that's pretty kick ass too, when it comes to some of those toxic situations.
Paula Pant
Mm, exactly.
Joe Solsihai
But I think I just said a bunch of terms that made me throw up in my mouth.
Paula Pant
Joe's going to come around to the fire movement eventually.
Joe Solsihai
Well, it's not that I'm there. I just think we need more people to experience the fire movement. For those of you that are new here, and these terms are exclusionary because people that are brand new to this movement are like, what the F are you talking about?
Paula Pant
I disagree. I think having a common vocabulary.
Joe Solsihai
Oh, I think it's horrible.
Paula Pant
Common vocabulary is what unites a group. It's what creates in group cohesion.
Joe Solsihai
Well, then Roth IRA would be far easier for people to get around or a straddle option strategy. All these great terms that we have. 72T. I don't know. I think we need fewer of those terms. I think the more we get the jargon out of it, we. We make it open to more people. It's great.
Paula Pant
Joe and I are disagreeing again.
Joe Solsihai
Yes. And as usual, I'm right as we.
Paula Pant
Are want to do.
Joe Solsihai
Can I give Nancy something else?
Paula Pant
Yeah.
Joe Solsihai
If this is a really important goal for you and Nancy, I'm not talking to you. I'm talking to everybody. Get on a calculator and start to put together a real plan because of the fact that this 25 times your income number. That also makes me throw up in my mouth because it so doesn't apply to anybody. It applies to zero people. But this is such an important goal, Paula, for everybody. It's such an important thing. And yet every study shows we spend more time planning our next vacation than we planning our retirement. Now, clearly that's not this community, but we still try to press the easy button on this thing that means so much to us. And it is not that much harder. And it's incredibly sticky if we just get on a calculator and say, what exactly do I want? What do I want financial independence to look like? For me, it ain't going to be 25x my number today. It's not going to be that. It's going to be something that's unique to me. And when I take the time to pour myself into that goal, guess what happens? The goal becomes even stickier. Like, don't get me wrong, Nancy, I can hear you're there right now. Right. That's why I joke that maybe Nancy's sitting at her desk going, how do I get out of here? But dive into some calculators and look at this a little more analytically. Because when you do that, you're going to find things like what I'm going to mention next, which is you talked about the real estate equity minus the loan value. But if you're not going to sell that piece of real estate, it then becomes a cash flow engine. And now I don't want to use the equity at all because the equity in that house is my golden goose. And so the equity versus the cash flow is not going to 25x no matter how you do it. So I would go get a calculator and I would really dive into this because A, it's fun and it gets more fun the more you do these what if scenarios. What if I did this? What if I did this. Ooh, maybe I'll try this. And then you become incredibly committed because you spent some time on it.
Paula Pant
But I think Nancy's asking, what number should she plug in? Or what set of numbers should she plug in?
Joe Solsihai
But I think she's got to plug in the cash flow on the real estate piece, which is going to blow up the rest of the calculation if she talks about her fine number.
Paula Pant
When you say cash flow in the real estate piece, Joe, are you saying if she were to move out of her home and rent it out?
Joe Solsihai
I'm saying for anybody. And this is why this doesn't apply to Nancy. Anybody that has cash flowing property or cash flowing positions where they're using the cash flow and not the equity to fund their financial independence. That's where Nancy's whole question becomes more difficult to answer.
Paula Pant
So in other words, if a person wanted to calculate their fine number, perhaps the number that they're calculating is not some kind of a net worth, but rather it's, how do I make, let's say, $5,000 a month? Hypothetically? We'll just use that as a illustrative example. And if the goal is $5,000 a month, then the calculation becomes, all right, what combination of rental property income or residual income from other businesses that I run or have an ownership stake in.
Joe Solsihai
Income streams in general.
Paula Pant
Yeah, exactly. What income streams do I have? And if it's equities, are you pulling out the dividends? Are you selling off a portion of your portfolio? 4%. So what income streams do I have that would tally up to $5,000 per month?
Joe Solsihai
And what I like that we're doing from the very beginning with what you just said. What I love about that is it really also answers Nancy, your exact question. Because Nancy's like, joe, why'd you go off on that? Because I don't have half of that. It wasn't about you. It was de. Definitely about why I don't like this calculation. What I like about what you just said is that we automatically then take out any number from that net worth number that doesn't meet our financial independence goal. So I'm not going to include my equity in my home unless to your point, I'm going to move and downsize. If I'm going to move and downsize, then I'll take some of the equity. But it clearly then Nancy answers your question about, does this count? Does net not count?
Paula Pant
Right. And that's why calculating the fine number is distinct from calculating your net worth. Because your net worth, Nancy, is the Total portfolio value of your tsp, and it is the total current market value of your home minus the outstanding mortgage balance. So that's how you'll know what your net worth is. And that's a nice number to know because it's so what gets measured gets managed. So it's important to measure that number, I'd say, at least once a year, have a. An annual marker of where that number is.
Joe Solsihai
It's funny because I don't find net worth to be that useful myself, except for one thing. One thing. It's like my annual accounting of all my stuff, right? And then that gets my. That gets my subconscious brain going on. Am I optimally using each of these things? Because often we'll have an old IRA over here or a savings account at this other bank that we forgot about, and I'm like, what use do I have for that anymore? Does the reason I had it last year still make sense? That's the only reason for me. I like net worth.
Paula Pant
Right. Just to use kind of an exaggerated example for the sake of illustration. If you lived in a fully paid off $2 million home.
Joe Solsihai
Oh, okay.
Paula Pant
But you had only $10,000 in portfolio assets, in investable assets.
Joe Solsihai
Oh, I'm out.
Paula Pant
Right. And this is an exaggerated example for the sake of illustration. Yes, you would own your home free and clear, but you would have virtually zero income stream. Even if you were to draw down that $10,000 at a 4% rate or a, heck, a 5% rate, it would amount to nothing, not even enough to pay your electricity bill. And obviously that is a caricature of an example. Nobody is actually going to have that type of a position. But it illustrates how in that example, you could have a $2 million net worth, but you wouldn't be anywhere close to phi, because the amount of tappable money would be so small.
Joe Solsihai
It also shows why this idea that my home is the cornerstone of my investment empire is so misguided.
Paula Pant
Right. Primary residence. Yes.
Joe Solsihai
And I saw it again last week in a forum that so many people still see their primary residence as the centerpiece of their investment portfolio. We got to work harder getting that word out, Paul.
Paula Pant
Yeah, we do. So, Nancy, I hope this helps answer your question. And there are two numbers you need to calculate your net worth, which is just fun to know, but more importantly for you, your tappable money. What are your income streams to get you to the amount that you would need every month when work becomes optional?
Joe Solsihai
A number that I like to calculate for people that aren't close. We don't know if Nancy's close or not. Maybe she's calculating it because she thinks she might be there, which would be awesome, but for people that aren't close, I also like calculating how much time can I spend away and still be okay, because that also gives you power against the killer of long term vision, which is doing short term and obvious stuff versus long term and not so obvious, but far healthier stuff.
Paula Pant
Yeah. Yeah. I have a friend right now, actually. She's on a sabbatical. She was an engineer at a tech company for a long time and is now intentionally taking a sabbatical before she goes into her next position. And I haven't asked her about her numbers, so I, I don't think that she is five for life, but she's definitely five for as long as I've known her, you know, she's. She's definitely been five for a solid, like year.
Joe Solsihai
Hey, it's. The reason why I'm here with you is because at age 40, I had that guy I looked up to said, I've done a great job of saving and I don't love being a financial planner. I like it, but I don't love it. And I think I have other mountains to climb. And he took time to go find himself and now runs an adventure travel company, has climbed most of the tall peaks in the world. We thought it was a metaphor. Turns out it wasn't. He really had mountains to climb and that was so inspiring to me. The fact that somebody could take time to just go find it versus doing the same thing I did yesterday. That might not be 100% what I want to do. That is a great, great, great thing.
Paula Pant
Thank you for the question, Nancy, and best of luck as you build to work optionality. And everyone who's ever called in, please call us back with an update. Call us a year from now and tell us how things have gone. Joe, we've done it again.
Joe Solsihai
Oh, fabulous as always, Paula.
Paula Pant
Amazing. Joe, where can people find you if they'd like to know more of you?
Joe Solsihai
Well, what I'd like to focus on is where they can find both of us because hopefully by the time this comes out, tickets are not completely gone as we record this, they're half gone and they are selling very quickly. But you and I and our friend Doc G are having an event in Manhattan. We're coming to see Paul.
Paula Pant
Yes, yes. We're having an event in New York City on December 12th.
Joe Solsihai
Also a special guest, my co host on stacking Benjamins OG is joining us as is our friend Jillian John's Rood. And we're talking to some other celebrities.
Paula Pant
Celebrities, personal finance celebrities, fire celebrities, and PF celebrities.
Joe Solsihai
Yes. But we don't have room for everybody, so we don't want you to be left out in the cold. So if you're anywhere close to Manhattan on December 12th, the place to go to sign up is stackingbenjamins.com NYC so stackingbenjamins.com NYC gets you to the place to grab tickets. And we hope we get to hang out with you on December 12th.
Paula Pant
Yes. I can't wait. That's going to be so much fun.
Joe Solsihai
Yes. We're violating so many restraining orders all at the same time.
Paula Pant
I thought you were going to say health code violations.
Joe Solsihai
Maybe that too.
Paula Pant
Well, thank you to all of you for tuning in, for being part of this community. If you enjoyed today's episode, please do three things. First, sign up for our newsletter affordanything.com newsletter. Second, please leave us a review in your favorite podcast playing app. While you're there, make sure that you hit the follow button so that you catch all of our amazing upcoming episodes. And third, please share this with your friends, your family, your neighbors, your colleagues. Share this with the people in your life. Thank you again for tuning in. This is the Afford Anything podcast. I'm Paula Pant.
Joe Solsihai
I'm Joe Solsihai and we'll meet you.
Paula Pant
In the next episode.
Afford Anything Podcast Summary
Episode: Q&A: Why Your Retirement Math Isn’t Adding Up
Release Date: November 26, 2024
Host: Paula Pant
Guest Co-Host: Joe Solsihai
In this episode of the Afford Anything podcast, host Paula Pant teams up with co-host and former financial planner Joe Solsihai to address listener questions about retirement planning and investment strategies. The episode delves into the complexities of calculating financial independence (FI) numbers, the debate between value and growth funds, and strategies for managing mid-term investments. Throughout the discussion, Paula and Joe emphasize the importance of critical thinking, understanding behavioral finance, and tailoring financial strategies to individual comfort levels with risk.
Listener: Joanne
Timestamp: [03:19]
Question: Joanne is a 45-year-old single mother recently divorced, seeking advice on medium-term investing. She has a conservative investment strategy with $500k in CDs but is concerned about optimizing her investments for the next five years.
Paula commends Joanne for her proactive approach to personal finance, highlighting the societal lack of financial education. She emphasizes the importance of distinguishing between net worth and FI numbers.
Key Points:
Net Worth vs. FI Number:
Quote:
Paula Pant [07:07]: “You caught up, and your show's been a key part of that for me.”
Managing the "Messy Middle":
Quote:
Joe Solsihai [10:33]: “Short term, having those CDs is fantastic. But that messy middle, Paula.”
Strategies for Medium-Term Investments:
Quote:
Joe Solsihai [25:17]: “So that would be like target date.”
Conclusion:
Joanne is advised to adopt a diversified investment strategy that balances cash and equities, ensuring she can cover medium-term financial needs while positioning for long-term growth to combat inflation.
Listener: Jessie
Timestamp: [30:49]
Question: Jessie inquires why Paul Merriman advocates for value funds over growth funds and whether growth-focused index funds could be equally effective for diversifying a portfolio.
Paula and Joe explore the historical performance and strategic differences between value and growth investing, referencing investment legends like Benjamin Graham and Philip Fisher.
Key Points:
Historical Performance:
Quote:
Paula Pant [32:14]: “Warren Buffett has said that his investing philosophy is a mashup between Benjamin Graham and Philip Fisher.”
Risk Management:
Quote:
Joe Solsihai [35:58]: “Small value often graduates to large growth.”
Small-Cap vs. Large-Cap Strategies:
Quote:
Joe Solsihai [36:28]: “Small growth is super risky. Small value, if I've got 100 companies, the chance that three or four of these are going to be 10 years from now the next hot thing.”
Conclusion:
Value funds are recommended for their balance of risk and return, especially for investors seeking stability and consistent growth. Growth funds, while potentially lucrative, require more intensive research and a higher risk appetite, making them less suitable for the average investor aiming for long-term financial independence.
Listener: Nancy
Timestamp: [46:21]
Question: Nancy seeks guidance on calculating her FI number, unsure whether to consider current portfolio values, contributions, and how to account for real estate investments.
Paula and Joe dissect the nuances between assessing net worth and determining an accurate FI number, stressing the importance of focusing on liquid and actionable assets.
Key Points:
Defining Net Worth vs. FI Number:
Quote:
Paula Pant [50:35]: “Your net worth is everything you own minus everything you owe.”
Evaluating Real Estate Investments:
Quote:
Joe Solsihai [50:56]: “Anytime that has cash flowing property... that's where Nancy's whole question becomes more difficult to answer.”
Determining FI Needs:
Quote:
Paula Pant [60:03]: “What income streams do I have that would tally up to $5,000 per month?”
Psychological Comfort vs. Financial Planning:
Quote:
Paula Pant [54:50]: “Are you aiming for the psychological comfort that comes with Lean Phi? ... or do you define it more as some bigger amount of money where you would have flexibility?”
Conclusion:
Nancy is advised to separate her FI number from her overall net worth, focusing solely on liquid and income-generating assets. By clearly defining income needs and identifying reliable income streams, she can accurately determine her FI number, ensuring a sustainable and stress-free retirement.
Throughout the episode, Paula and Joe underscore the importance of personalized financial strategies that align with individual risk tolerance and financial goals. Key takeaways include:
Avoid Overreliance on Bonds: Especially in uncertain economic times, bonds can be volatile and may not effectively counterbalance equity risks.
Value Investing as a Reliable Strategy: Historical data supports the long-term benefits of value investing, making it a preferred choice for steady growth and lower risk.
Separate Net Worth from FI Planning: Understanding the difference between total net worth and FI numbers is crucial for accurate retirement planning.
Utilize Diversified Investment Approaches: Whether through a barbell allocation or a combination of value and bond funds, diversification is essential for managing different investment horizons.
Quote:
Paula Pant [62:16]: “It's important to measure that number, I'd say, at least once a year, as an annual marker of where that number is.”
This episode of Afford Anything provides listeners with actionable advice on navigating the complexities of retirement planning and investment strategies. By addressing real-life questions from listeners like Joanne, Jessie, and Nancy, Paula Pant and Joe Solsihai offer nuanced insights that empower individuals to make informed financial decisions tailored to their unique circumstances.
For more insights and detailed discussions, listen to the full episode on Afford Anything or subscribe via your preferred podcast platform.