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We walk through the market and policy drivers that could swing agriculture next week, from USDA May data and the wheat tour to a Trump Xi summit that may reshape demand for key commodities. We also connect geopolitics, drought, energy, and Washington decisions to the real-world risk farmers and traders manage every day.
• cotton rally context and what could extend it
• grain pullback after a strong run and why crude oil matters
• cattle and feeder cattle trend amid drought and slow herd rebuilding
• soybean oil spread dynamics tied to renewable fuels policy and 45Z expectations
• winter wheat tour focus on HRW production and abandonment risk
• Iran ceasefire uncertainty and why geopolitics now drives market volatility
• drought map takeaways for planting progress and yield psychology
• year-round E15 prospects in Congress and the infrastructure lag
• Trump Xi summit deliverables and potential ag purchase commitments
• tariff court ruling, Section 301 path, and timing risks
• tariff refunds and liquidity implications for companies
• interest rates, sticky inflation, and debt pressure
• farm aid and ag disaster package timeline and legislative vehicle questions
• DOJ action on AgriStats and what it signals for the meat sector
• fertilizer price constraints now and possible long-term domestic supply strategy
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