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Brian Klass
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Don Wildman
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Nick Cheeseman
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Brian Klass
Did you get those social media posts scheduled for the seal migration?
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Ryan Reynolds
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Unknown
$45 upfront payment equivalent to $15 per month. New customers, taxes and fees, extra Speed slower above 40 gigabytes. CD tails.
Don Wildman
We've all had them. Those desperate dreams. You're turning a doorknob, but the door won't open. You scribble onto a page, but the ink just disappears. You walk through a maze that never seems to end. You are helpless against impossible odds. No impact. No ability to change the circumstance, no matter how hard you try. Throughout history and across the world, this has been the case. Case with so many elections in so many nations. But this is no Freudian influence. This is the conscious work of authoritarian leaders pulling at the puppet strings, swinging the vote as they see fit. The dire consequences of rigged elections. You are listening to American history Hit. Nice to have you here. I'm Don Wildman. Every week I get word from my producer Sophie that we'll be doing this or that episode on historical subjects far and wide. They're all fascinating, full of learning, best part of the job. But there are those subjects that bear direct relevance to what's in the News today. And that's always cool. This is such an episode. Back in 2018, an important book was released. It was entitled how to Rig an Election. And it was published in the aftermath of so much that was coming out about the 2016 contest that brought Donald Trump to power. The news about foreign interference in the election, new ideas to most Americans like Russian bots, cyber security measures and clandestine social media based influencing operations. All this lingo from alarmed officials in the federal government warning us that new platforms like TikTok and Facebook and others had suddenly made our election process porous and accessible to enemies and allies alike seeking to influence our democratic process. Our phones and our computers, so much a part of our lives, have finally enabled mass accessibility to the electorate. In those dark days, we understood that we were being played. It was a new twist on an old and sinister game, electoral fraud, traditionally played by despotic regimes. Voter intimidation, vote buying, ballot manipulation, ballot box stuffing, to name but a few. To remain in power, corrupt leaders have an authoritarian toolbox available to them. And that's a term I lifted straight from the new edition of how to Rig an Election, released this year in 2024. It was written by Brian Klass and Nick Cheeseman, and one half of that team joins me now. Brian Klass, welcome to American History Hit.
Brian Klass
Thanks for having me.
Don Wildman
Before we talk about the negative, let's define the positive in this conversation. In these cynical times, I need to say the words free and fair election. It feels good. What does that mean? And why? Is it an important place to start?
Brian Klass
Yeah, it's an important place to start because this is the aspiration of billions of people around the world to choose their leaders without manipulation. Right. And so a free and fair election refers to the idea that you are free to choose who you would like to elect, so you don't have your choices given to you. A lot of elections that involve dictators only have one name on the ballot, for example, and that it's fair that there's actually competition. And this is where you know the core idea of democracy, when you really think about it, it's competition. It's that there are people who are competing for votes, competing for ideas and policies and so on. And if you have a rigged election, you have undercut the core pillar of democracy because you no longer have the ability to choose your own leaders. And that's why this sort of idea of free and fair elections is so central to what democracy is all about.
Don Wildman
Yeah, but fact is, many elections are not free and fair. They just exist to give the Impression of democracy. That is another fact of life. And this has been going on for a long time. As I mentioned in the opening, when did this begin? Authoritarian leaders agreeing to hold elections, but in name only, sort of. Right?
Brian Klass
Yeah. I mean, there are examples of rigged elections throughout history. There's even references to them in sort of Greek mythology and so on. So humans have had an impulse to try to manipulate any sort of electoral process or quasi electoral process for a very long time. What I would say is that you have this period after World War II in which there's a rise of authoritarian regimes around the world that hold elections simply to validate their powers. These are called one party elections. So this is where the dictator, the classic example Americans will know is Saddam Hussein, where you've got one name on the ballot, he wins 99.9% of the vote. And they call it an election. And of course, it's not actually an election. It's something that we in the book refer to as an election style event because we don't want to refer to it as an election because that comes with all sorts of good and positive connotations. Now, what happened over time is that in the 1990s, a lot of the world started to hold multiparty elections. And this is a byproduct of the fact that the US beats the Soviet Union and ends the Cold War. And so the US is sort of the only game in town. They're this big superpower and they can start to sort of say to other countries, like, look, if you want foreign aid from us, or if you want to be respected and legitimate in the international community, you've got to hold a real election. So there's this surge of genuinely competitive elections starting after 1991. And a lot of the world, I'm simplifying the story somewhat, but this is sort of one of the big trends. And what you see over the span of the next 10 to 15 years is that the politicians learn how to rig them more effectively. So in the early stage, they don't even have competition. Then they start having competition and then they get better at rigging them. And this is sort of why we argue that there's this central paradox to modern politics, which is that there are more elections than there have ever been before in the history of humanity. I mean, this was the year of elections in 2024. And yet the world is consistently getting less democratic. And that's obviously a bizarre paradox because a lot of people think that elections equals democracy. And that's not true. If a lot of the elections are rigged. So that's the sort of broad picture is that there's a lot of elections and most of them are of pretty poor quality around the world.
Don Wildman
It's worth reflecting. I mean, a person of my age born in 1961 when the Soviet Union collapsed and the Cold War was over, boy, there was a wonderful feeling of hope, you know, because it was that feeling like finally we proved that that whole authoritarian thing doesn't work. It failed. The biggest example of it failed right there. And there was a good couple of years there where you thought, this is going to be a great next half of my life. If you were my age at the time and you were thinking this is all smooth sailing, Quite the opposite happened, for reasons that you mentioned already, that there were automatically people back on their heels figuring, how am I going to hold onto this power that I had or still want and all of this would happen? That leads to a lot of examples of what we're going to talk about. But I want to point out that as I mentioned before, this is a re released book and you have an update to this new edition that is a chilling thing to read, I have to say. May I take a moment to read something that you wrote?
Brian Klass
Of course, Please do. Yeah.
Don Wildman
It's right off from the beginning. It has been more than five years since how to Rig an Election was first published and we regret to inform you that things have got worse. The dictators have innovated, the watchdogs have struggled to keep pace, and major democracies from Brazil to the United States have faced major crises as elections have been challenged by disinformation, polarization and dwindling citizen confidence in political institutions. You are hearing this every day in the news. To root this in the election process is really useful and that's what this book does. It's very distressing, but you're basically unpacking something we've got to understand really starts with voting.
Brian Klass
Yeah, I mean, it's the core of democratic choice. And I think what I really worry about is that it's useful. I think that you put this in the historic context of the sort of optimism after the Cold War, because what a lot of people experienced, I think in the sort of generations, whether it was the generation that went through World War II or the generation that went through the Cold War, is they had a very clear choice. Right. It's democracy or it's fascism and Nazism and so on, or it's democracy and it's communism. Right. Dictatorial Communism and the 1990s were a period where there wasn't an obvious rival. Right now, China has emerged and so on. But because of that, I think there's a lot of people who just sort of look at the problems of democracy and think, oh, the grass is probably greener. And so what you have is this sort of start of the flirtation with the idea that maybe democracy isn't so great. And there's a lot of data that support that. There's this change where people who lived through World War II or lived through the Cold War are way less likely to say that democracy isn't all it's cracked up to be. But younger generations are more willing to sort of flirt with alternatives because they didn't experience the sort of rival that was so clearly worse. And I think this is something where we just are not keeping pace with all these changes to how we get information about the world. There's a lot of politicians who are taking advantage of this, and as a result, there's a lot of people even in the most rich democracies in the world, including the United States, that just don't have faith in the electoral process. We can talk about that a little bit in terms of whether it's warranted and so on. But regardless of the detail of what's true and what's false, it is a very bad sign that a large number of people in democracies that are the most important ones don't believe the elections are legitimate. Yeah, that is a very bad sign. And we're going to have to grapple with that, I think, for a generation and figure out how to ensure that we restore trust in these processes.
Don Wildman
It's also a chicken and egg situation. How much of that cynicism has been set in motion by the very practices we're about to talk about, which is really quite sophisticated and everything. But I do want to underscore what you just said. This is not just United States, Eastern Europe thing, you know, that's how much we're so keyed into that because of our culture. But this is a worldwide phenomenon. You know, you spend a lot of time talking about Asia and Indonesia and places like that that Americans don't generally think about in their daily life, perhaps, but it really is everywhere and it's growing. So let's talk about the title, what the title suggests. How do rigors undermine the electoral process? There's quite a long checklist. We're going to do just a few of them and talk about how these things started and where they impact vote buying. Interesting. I never thought of that as being such a large factor in this, but indeed it is.
Brian Klass
Yeah. So, I mean, there's sort of the smart strategies and the stupid strategies and they've evolved over time. And one of the early and crude strategies is vote buying. And the reason it's so to put it into context of what it actually means, it's literally paying people to vote for you. And there's a lot of places in the world where this still exists. I mean, there are lots of political machines where they raise money and they don't use it for TV ads like you have in the United States. They use it to literally pay voters. And it's depending on the economy and how poor the country is, it might just be a couple of dollars that they give you in exchange for your vote. Sometimes it's a little bit less overt. Where I've been in places where they'll hand out T shirts and other things and you might imagine the United States, this wouldn't sway you. But if you only have four shirts, well, all of a sudden a T shirt is worth something. And so in places that have severe poverty, vote buying can be very effective because it's not very expensive and it produces results. One of the problems for people who do vote buying is they can't guarantee that you're actually going to vote for them. Because if it's a secret ballot, how do they know that you don't just take the money and vote for the opponent? So one of the things that's really amazing is the way they engineer sophisticated methods to ensure that this happens. So one of the craziest ones I think is an election in sub Saharan Africa, I believe is in Senegal, where in this system, every single political party has its own ballot. So what you do to vote is you don't check a box, you just leave the ballot of the political party that you intend to vote for in the envelope and you take all the other ballots with you. Right? And what they did was they held a concert with one of the main pop stars where the ticket to get in was all the other ballots. So if you left their ballot in the envelope and you took all of the opponents ballots, then you could prove that you had voted for the right party, quote unquote, the right party, and then you'd get access to see the pop star. It's a crude system in vote buying, but sometimes they're clever about how they ensure that you actually cast the quote unquote, right ballot.
Don Wildman
2012-16 more than two thirds of elections in Africa and Almost half of the elections in Asia and in post Soviet Europe featured vote buying. It was a very, very widespread practice.
Brian Klass
Yeah, it's extremely widespread. It happens all over the world and it still happens today.
Don Wildman
The dark side of this also is the threat of violence. More than a third of elections in Africa Asia saw state violence targeting opposition parties and their supporters. Once you've used this in the past, you can then threaten to use it in the future. I mean, it becomes a very flexible tool, isn't it?
Brian Klass
Yeah. So I mean, violence is a feature of elections all over the world and we see this a lot. Mexico, for example, is a place where there's a lot of violence in politicians right now, just getting gunned down in the street and so on. But it's used strategically and the clever people, and I say this not with admiration, but just it's very sophisticated and smart how they're doing this. My co author Nick Cheeseman coined this term called shaking the matchbox. And it makes sense when you understand the story of where it came from. So in Zimbabwe there was an election where because all the opposition or many of the opposition voters lived in the same neighborhoods in one of the elections, they used violence. They burned down a ton of the houses in the opposition areas. So they use arson. And it was obviously a very violent, heavy handed tactic. But the downside of this is that you get a news story about this in the New York Times, right? There's sort of, there's a cost to doing it because people notice that you're rigging the election by burning down the homes of the opposition voters. So what they did the next time around was rather than burning down the houses again, they just had people from the regime walk through the neighborhoods shaking a matchbox. And it was a very clear threat. It was that if we come back, it's not just going to be shaking the matchbox. We will burn down your houses. So you better not vote. And of course nobody's going to write the story in the New York Times that says man walks through neighborhood carrying matchbox. So it's the way that you get the threat across without actually having to provoke the backlash in international attention. And this underscores this broader point we make in the book, that there's this constant sort of cat and mouse game where people are trying to catch people who rig elections and then the people who rig them are trying to innovate. They're trying to come up with smarter strategies so they can sort of hit that sweet spot of getting away with it and also winning. And A lot of the world's elections are, you know, constantly defined by people who are coming up with new and clever ploys to try to steal elections.
Don Wildman
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Matt Lewis
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Don Wildman
You make the point about a 1998 election that was going on in St. Petersburg on the local level. Tell me that story. It's Oleg Sergeyev.
Brian Klass
Yeah, this story is amazing. It actually has an update since the book came out, which is even more sinister. So Oleg Sergeyev is running for this local official position in St. Petersburg, and the powers that be don't want him to win. Now, in this race, they don't have any party affiliation. They don't have any photographs. They just have the names. So what they do is they recruit two other people who are also called Oleg Sergeyev, and they get them to run for office. And so the voters go into the. Into the booth to cast their ballot, and they see a ballot that has three Oleg Sergeyevs in it.
Don Wildman
Wow.
Brian Klass
Right? And they say, well, which one's the right one? So they just pick one of them. I actually, when I teach this in my class, what I do is I say, you know, I'm a dog lover and I like dogs more than cats. So I have them say, what kind of pet do you like more? And there's. There's four options. Dog, cat, cat. Cat. Right. And what I do is I say, oh, well, I split the cat vote three ways. So of course dogs win. Right, because you all voted for cat A or cat B or cat C. And it's exactly the same thing with Oleg Sergeyev. So of course he loses because they don't know how to vote for them. Now, to try to combat this, and this tells you how smart these people are and how sinister they are, they changed the ballot process where they put photographs on. Now, in a more recent election in Russia, they didn't just recruit people who had the same names. They convinced them to change their name legally after they found people who looked like the opposition leader.
Don Wildman
Wow.
Brian Klass
And they made them look the same. So they literally had them trim their beard the same way, shave their head so they looked like this bald guy with a beard, and then legally change their name so that when they went to cast their ballots, it's not just that you have three people the same name. They all look identical. I mean, it's just like. It's comical on the one hand, but on the other hand, it's also very serious because they're undercutting the legitimacy of the elections. And of course, all the voters know what's going on right. This is the other thing that undermines faith in the process. Of course, nobody has faith in Russian elections anyway, but you go into the cast your ballot, you know exactly what they're doing when they have these doubles and all this type of stuff. So it's a pretty crazy links that people will go to to rig elections.
Don Wildman
Well, I think it's, you know, so much a part of our modern times, politically speaking or electorally speaking, is about end justifying means. If you are somebody who sees this as a system that serves you, you want this result, then you're allowed in your own mind to do what you need to do. There are, of course, laws, and you might be aware of them or not, but, you know, the government can only do so much when the personality is so. When the values are tilted in one direction. And so I think that these generations we're in have begun to see the electoral process as something to rig. You know, like that's, like that's the point, it seems.
Brian Klass
Yeah. And I think, you know, the stakes, when the stakes are high, the rigging becomes more attractive too. It's one of the things that is really important for people to understand outside of the sort of context of democracies is that a lot of these people who lose power in a dictatorship, they get killed or they go to jail or they're forever exiled. It's not like they go on a book tour and become sort of this emissary for diplomacy and all this stuff. The stakes are really high here. And so this is why they're rigging elections all the time, because losing power is very dangerous in most of the world. They get persecuted or prosecuted by their enemies and so on. So it's one of these aspects where the carrot and the stick is operating. The carrot is the corruption, where you get a lot of money if you win, and the stick is that you might die. And I think if I faced those incentives, you can understand why someone would try to think a lot about how to ensure that they didn't end up getting killed after they lost an election.
Don Wildman
Of course. Yeah. I mean, we are so lucky to be inside our bubble here, which things are relatively safe, relatively ordered. Of course, we'll get to this in a moment that things have changed a lot. But your book takes us to corners of the world we don't think about that much. The last of this before we get to the United States is a story about Madagascar, the 2006 election there. Fascinating story of excluding opposition candidates.
Brian Klass
Yeah. So this is. I've spent a lot of time in Madagascar. It's one of the most interesting islands and places in the world. And I got to know the guy who. Who did this, the former president who rigged this election and asked him about it. His name is Mark Ravalo Manana. And basically he sort of becomes this kingpin with a dairy empire. He becomes very rich selling yogurt and becomes the president and decides that he wants to rig the 2006 election. And his main rival has been exiled. Right. This happens a lot in these countries where they sort of force their opponent to live abroad. Now he changes the law so that if you want to run for office, you have to come back to Madagascar and do it in person. You can't file electronically. You can't fax your application, and you got to sign the paperwork in person. So his main opponent starts to get on airplanes to come back. These are like commercial flights. They're like Air France flights back to Madagascar from Paris, where he's in exile. And every time the airplane enters Malagasy airspace in Madagascar, the president picks up the phone and calls the air authority and says, close the airspace. No planes can now land. So, like five or six times, this presidential candidate gets turned away midair. And then eventually the deadline for filing to run for office ends and he doesn't make it. And so the election unfolds without him on the ballot. And of course, the incumbent wins in a landslide. And the problem with this, and this is one of the issues that I think is really hard to grapple with, is that there was nothing illegal about what he did. It was totally illegitimate. Right. But according to the law, the guy didn't file his paperwork in person, so he couldn't be a candidate.
Don Wildman
Right.
Brian Klass
And the judges verified this, and they said, yes, okay, all the I's were dotted, all the t's were crossed. And so it's the problem where, like, the international community then gave the thumbs up to this election because the law was followed. And so this is where a lot of the rigging is happening in ways that are not illegal explicitly, but they're totally, totally illegitimate. And it's one of the problems we have in sort of criticizing or condemning these rigged elections is that most of the time, all we can really say was that was against the law. And you can very clearly see that this was illegitimate but not illegal.
Don Wildman
Mostly we hear about voter suppression tactics, but one of the big ones, the headline really, is the gerrymandering, which happened, again, this is like the invisible type of rigging because it happened over a generation, really. All across the south, tactics were enacted. I mean, gerrymandering is not new. This is a 19th century phenomenon that both sides have employed, of course, but in recent times, gigantic amounts of manipulation has been happening very questionably. Update us as to where we're at with that right now.
Brian Klass
Yeah, so this is, given that we're on a history podcast. I'll just give you a brief history of this, which I think is interesting because the term gerrymandering comes from Elbridge Gary. I'm told reliably by historians that it's Gary, it's pronounced Gary, but that the term that his name has now been associated with is, of course, gerrymandering. So we don't say gerrymandering even though it's Elbridge gerrymandering. Now, the point is that there was this map that was drawn and it was this incredibly convoluted district map that looked, according to one political cartoonist of the time, as a salamander. And so the political cartoonist drew it as though it were a salamander, these districts. And this is where the name comes from. It's a gerrymander. That becomes then a gerrymander. So that's where gerrymandering comes from. It's Elbridge Gehry and the Salamander from this famous political cartoon. Now, the short version of what it is, and I think this is a nice way of thinking about it, is you're allowing politicians to pick their voters rather than having voters pick their politicians. Right. So you're allowing the politicians to draw the maps and then they get to decide which voters are in their district. And of course, this creates terrible incentives. I mean, it's the electoral foxes guarding the hen house, as it were. Now, in recent years, you have a lot of gerrymandering, and so this, both parties do it in the United States. Currently there's more gerrymandering in Republican states, but it's, you know, it's been done by both parties. And what this means is that you've undercut one of the core ideas of democracy, which is competition. So I crunched the numbers in the 2016 elections and for the U.S. house of Representatives races, which is, you know, there's 435 seats. The average margin of victory in those 435 elections was 37.1%. So what that means is that the average politician in the House was elected in a 70, 30 landslide. Now, that's terrible, right, because it means that it's a foregone conclusion. We know who's going to win the election. And the overwhelming majority of seats are not competitive. And part of the reason for that is because of gerrymandering, where the districts have been drawn to be safe so that you never lose the election. And so this is one of the areas of election, and we do call this election rigging. I mean, I think it is election rigging in the United States. It's one of the areas where the US Is the most sophisticated in the world. And it's also one of the areas where it's done completely openly and completely legally. And when you explain this to other people in most democracies in the rest of the world, I mean, I live in the United Kingdom, and they say, wait a minute, you let the politicians draw the districts. Why do you do that? And there's no justification. I mean, we have clear evidence that this is a terrible practice. It should be a bipartisan reform. And it's impossible to get people to vote for it because they'd be voting themselves out of their seats. But it is one of the most insidious features of American elections, and it's really bad for democracy.
Don Wildman
I'll be back with more American history after this short break.
Matt Lewis
I'm Matt Lewis. And I'm Dr. Eleanor Yanaga. And in Gone Medieval, we get into the greatest mysteries, the gobsmacking details, and latest groundbreaking research from the greatest millennium in human history. We're talking Vikings, Normans, Kings and Popes who were rarely the best of friends. Murder, rebellions and crusades. Find out who we really were by subscribing to Gone Medieval from History. Hit on Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.
Unknown
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Don Wildman
And you're speaking to us from the UK it is as much a problem there, isn't it? Gerrymandering has been happening there as well.
Brian Klass
Well, it's less of a problem in the uk. It has a history where it used to be very bad, with things called rotten boroughs where they would carve out these little districts and you might have, you know, a very small number of constituents just to keep one person in charge.
Don Wildman
You mentioned rotten borough. What does that mean, Brian?
Brian Klass
Yeah, so a rotten borough was something where you had this sort of very small electorate specifically carved out to make basically a rich person in the UK get elected in a safe seat. And so it was an opportunity for people who are well connected, often aristocrats, to become members of Parliament through totally uncompetitive elections where they carved out basically who they wanted to vote for them. But most democracies, including the UK have sort of independent districting commissions now. And some states have done this in the U.S. right. There's a few states that have either judges draw maps or they have independent citizen commissions and so on. And so this is one of those things that just drives me crazy because there's such obvious remedies. Right. Like there's a lot of problems in the world that are hard. Yeah. This is not one of the hard problems to solve. This is one that has a really obvious remedy. Just make it so the people who have a self, self interest in the districting process are nowhere near it. And, you know, Democrats and Republicans don't agree on much. We should agree on this. And it's, it's something where, you know, I just, I feel very frustrated about it because it would, it would pay huge dividends. Because we talked briefly about polarization when you were, you were talking about some of the things that are going wrong in American democracy now. Part of that is because the districts are not competitive and the politicians therefore have every incentive to polarize us because they want to win by galvanizing their base. Right. They don't want to win over the other side in a 5248 or 5149 race. They just want to fire up their base. So the structural aspects of how elections are run plays into the polarization that creates toxic politics. And that's why gerrymandering is one of the things that I would put top of the list for what we need to fix about US Elections.
Don Wildman
Agreed. It also sets the table for more corruption. I mean, if you're doing this legally, and let's just be clear, when a party wins the state legislature, that's. That's when they have the right to start redistricting. It's part of the law. That's how it's always done. You're suggesting a kind of revolution in that regard where nationwide we reexamine that process, which has been accepted since the beginning of the country. Do you think there's any practical chance that that will happen?
Brian Klass
I think there is. It will require citizens from both Parties banding together. And I think they can. I think this is one of those rare issues where actually everybody should agree we want competitive elections. It's just better for Democrats and better for Republicans. The people it's worse for is the existing politicians. It's better for everybody else. Right. What I think is also an interesting idea is that I think when you draw districts, there's no perfect district. Right. There's. There's no reason why this district should be there and this district should be there. I mean, it's arbitrary no matter what. There's a subjective aspect to it. I think we should maximize competition. I mean, I think if you're drawing districts, you have this bizarre thing that happens in American elections where sometimes you have these swing states where they're genuinely like 50, 50 states, and then they have like 10 congressional seats and one of them is competitive because the district has been drawn to be nine uncompetitive races and then one competitive race, even though there's half the state is Republican and half the state's Democrat. So I think that when we think about how to do redistricting better, first off, we got to get the politicians out of it. And secondly, we should try to maximize competition. I mean, it's a divided country, Right. The country is really split evenly. So our elections should be as close as possible. And that will maximize the incentives for politicians to behave responsibly and to try to win over the other side a bit more. And that will sort of detoxify some of our politics.
Don Wildman
Right. I think that time is coming. It's such an onerous idea. Everything you're talking about, as far as gerrymandering is concerned, that it's just a matter of time before people get so tired of this polarized society we live in, really, that's. That drives so much in America, really, people just get sick and tired of it. And we have enough rights baked into our constitution that we can actually speak out about things. I think eventually they're speaking about this because I think it lays. It is the fertile ground in which so much of what we live in now grows from. I want to talk about one last example. Just because it involves invisible ink, which I just. From my childhood. I love the idea. It's the Ukrainian election of 2004 presidential election. Tell me how Disappearing Inc. Played a factor.
Brian Klass
This is one of my favorites. It's a wild story of how brazen they were. But basically what happened was there was an area in Ukraine where a lot of the opposition voters lived and the opposition voters go to cast their ballots. And they check the box as you do. They pick up the pens, they check the box, everything is normal. What they don't realize is that the pens they have been given had disappearing ink in them and they disappeared after 10 or 15 minutes. But of course, by this point, the voters left, they can't see the ballot, it's in the ballot box, et cetera. So when they go to count the votes, they're all completely blank, all of them. And so the problem is you can't just guess what they were. And of course, this means that this opposition area had zero votes. And so everyone knew what happened, but there was no real remedy. I mean, you imagine this happening in the United States. It would be like you have the entirety of Alabama or the entirety of California just has blank ballots. I mean, what do you do?
Matt Lewis
Right?
Brian Klass
Would they give them disappearing ink? And I think what this highlights is that if you can think of a bizarre but sort of clever way of manipulating elections, it's probably been done because politicians around the world are motivated by power and elections are one of the ways that they lose power and so they manipulate them. And it's incumbent on citizens, especially in democracies, to demand that we have the best quality elections because it's such a central feature of what it means to live in a democratic state.
Don Wildman
Yeah, it's a really fun read this book and I want to point out, I mentioned at the top the update that you put in this new edition, and I want to circle back to that because it describes a democratic world in severe decline. I mean, you don't pull punches here. According to your criteria, it has been a straight 17 year downward trend, which is, you know, a 30,000 foot way to, to say that democracy is dying and fast. But there are hopeful signs. And this has prompted, I guess this prompted I guess the 14 points that you make about how to combat this trend. I mean, how do we stop this from happening? I know it's a deep dive for that, but if you can mention a few ideas, that'd be helpful.
Brian Klass
Yeah, I mean, I am a short term pessimist and a long term optimist on this. The trends are bad. But I think that, you know, I've traveled around the world and I think people want to have a say over how their lives are governed. There's this thirst for democracy and genuine democracy, right? So if we can harness that, we can solve these problems. There's ways to reform elections and make them more transparent, more accountable, et cetera. One of the ways in which we could do this, for example. It's a simple idea with technology is, and it's being used in some places is that in the developing world, they often have, like, plastic tubs as ballot boxes and they print out zip ties that have barcodes on them. And what they do is they check to make sure that the barcode for the zip tie is the same barcode at the beginning of the day and at the end of the day. So no one has opened it up. It costs almost no money, but it ensures that they haven't opened it up and tampered with the ballot box. So you can see how little tweaks can make these things more secure. You also have ways in which apps can be used. For example, in a lot of the developing world, the way that elections are rigged is by them just manipulating the vote count. And one of the things you can do is at the precinct level, they count all the votes. At the end, there's a school, and they count the votes and all this stuff the same way we do in the United States. And then they often will write on the blackboard in the school what the tally was in the. In that location. Ordinary people can take pictures of that. Right. They couldn't do that 10 years ago and send it to the Electoral commission. So that if there's a difference between the number that was counted and the number that's reported, all of a sudden citizens are empowered to actually showcase that there's a discrepancy. So, but the bigger picture, and I think this is one where the United States has an outsized role in this, is we have to sort of demand that elections are good quality. And it starts first off by setting an example in the United States. And by and large, American elections are well run. I mean, they're well run aside from gerrymandering, aside from voter suppression, and aside from the role of money in politics. But the tabulation, the counting of elections in the United States is pretty good. And we have to sort of insist that that's the gold standard internationally. And there's ways we can certify elections more effectively. We can be sticklers for saying we're not going to recognize governments if they've clearly had a sham election, using that power of being the world's superpower to try to influence the ways in which dictators and despots stop manipulating elections. And I am genuinely hopeful over the long run, I think that there is a lot of opportunity for people to demand that these things are done fairly, cleanly, freely, and so on. And I Hope that the 21st century is sort of it starts with a bit of a stumble and that the democracy declining is sort of the beginning of the story. But I think there's ways to write a much more hopeful ending.
Don Wildman
It really matters a lot on our side. We can educate ourselves, strengthen our bonds to democratic institutions, volunteer to be a voting officer or a person sitting in that gymnasium and so forth. And for goodness sakes, everybody needs to vote. That is one of the things that has come out of these past controversial elections is that people have really come out to vote, which is a promising sign to me. Brian Klaas is the co author of how to Rig an Election, newly re released as I say, and available through your preferred means. Brian writes for the Atlantic magazine as well as works as an associate professor at University College London. It has been an honor. Thank you so much, Brian. We'll see you again sometimes.
Brian Klass
Thank you. Thanks for having me on the show.
Don Wildman
Hey, thanks for listening to American History hit. You know, every week we release new episodes, two new episodes dropping Mondays and Thursdays. All kinds of content from mysterious missing colonies to powerful political movements to some of the biggest battles across the centuries. Don't miss an episode by hitting like and follow. You help us out, which is great. But you'll also be reminded when our shows are on. And while you're at it, share it with a friend. American History hit with me, Don Wildman. So grateful for your support.
Brian Klass
So good, so good, so good.
Unknown
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Don Wildman
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Brian Klass
Yes, please. It's perfect.
Unknown
Did we just score the greatest gifts of all time?
Brian Klass
Yeah.
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American History Hit Episode Summary: "Elections Explained: A History of Rigged Elections"
Release Date: November 4, 2024
Host: Don Wildman
Guest: Brian Klass, Co-Author of "How to Rig an Election" and Associate Professor at University College London
In this compelling episode of American History Hit, host Don Wildman delves into the intricate and often sinister world of election rigging with guest Brian Klass, co-author of the newly updated edition of "How to Rig an Election." The discussion centers on how authoritarian leaders manipulate electoral processes to maintain power, the global prevalence of such practices, and the dire consequences they have on democracy.
Don Wildman opens the conversation by emphasizing the importance of understanding what constitutes a free and fair election. He states:
"[04:29] Brian Klass: ... free and fair election refers to the idea that you are free to choose who you would like to elect, so you don't have your choices given to you. A lot of elections that involve dictators only have one name on the ballot, for example, and that it's fair that there's actually competition."
Brian Klass underscores that free and fair elections are foundational to democracy, where genuine competition allows voters to choose their leaders without manipulation or coercion.
The episode traces the history of election rigging from ancient times, such as references in Greek mythology, to modern authoritarian regimes. Klass explains:
"[05:36] Brian Klass: ... after World War II in which there's a rise of authoritarian regimes around the world that hold elections simply to validate their powers. These are called one-party elections... They don’t have competition, undermining the core pillar of democracy."
Post-Cold War, the proliferation of multiparty elections seemed to signal a global shift towards democracy. However, Klass points out a paradox:
"[06:00] Brian Klass: ... more elections than there have ever been before in the history of humanity. I mean, this was the year of elections in 2024. And yet the world is consistently getting less democratic."
This paradox highlights that while the frequency of elections has increased, their integrity has often waned due to sophisticated rigging techniques.
Klass details how vote buying remains a pervasive method of election manipulation:
"[12:19] Brian Klass: ... vote buying is literally paying people to vote for you. In places with severe poverty, even small incentives like T-shirts can sway votes."
He shares an ingenious example from Senegal, where the government ensured vote compliance by making access to pop star concerts contingent upon valid voting declarations.
Violence is another tool used to suppress opposition:
"[14:35] Brian Klass: ... more than a third of elections in Africa and Asia saw state violence targeting opposition parties and their supporters."
Using the term "shaking the matchbox," Klass describes subtler forms of intimidation designed to avoid international backlash while effectively deterring opposition voters.
One of the most audacious methods discussed involves manipulating ballot integrity:
"[35:25] Brian Klass: ... in the Ukrainian presidential election of 2004, opposition ballots were rendered blank using disappearing ink, nullifying their votes without immediate detection."
This episode underscores the lengths to which authoritarian regimes will go to ensure electoral outcomes favor incumbents, often leaving the international community powerless to respond.
Klass recounts the 1998 local election in St. Petersburg, where multiple candidates with the same name confused voters:
"[20:25] Brian Klass: ... recruited two other candidates named Oleg Sergeyev. Voters, unable to distinguish between them, split their votes, ensuring his loss."
In subsequent elections, the regime took this further by making candidates physically identical, making it nearly impossible for voters to choose correctly.
In Madagascar, Klass explains how President Marc Ravalomanana manipulated the electoral process to exclude his main opponent:
"[23:55] Brian Klass: ... changed the law requiring in-person filing, repeatedly denying his opponent access by closing airspace, ensuring the rival couldn't register and thus steering the election outcome."
This manipulation remained legally compliant yet entirely illegitimate, highlighting the challenges in distinguishing lawful acts from covert rigging.
Don Wildman brings the discussion to the United States, focusing on gerrymandering—a practice that distorts electoral fairness through strategic districting.
"[26:05] Brian Klass: ... gerrymandering is allowing politicians to pick their voters rather than voters picking their politicians. This results in many uncompetitive districts where elections are decided far in advance."
Klass shares alarming statistics:
"[26:35] Brian Klass: ... in the 2016 U.S. House elections, the average margin of victory was 37.1%, meaning most races were decided by a landslide, eliminating genuine competition."
He emphasizes that gerrymandering erodes democracy by removing the incentive for politicians to appeal to a broad electorate, thereby fostering polarization and toxic politics.
The manipulation of elections has profound effects on democratic institutions and public trust. Klass warns:
"[09:27] Brian Klass: ... there's a lot of cynicism set in motion by these practices, leading to diminished trust in even the most robust democracies, including the United States."
Don Wildman reflects on the post-Cold War optimism that has since been undermined by these persistent rigging tactics, creating a narrative where democracy is under constant threat from within.
Despite the grim outlook, Klass remains cautiously optimistic, suggesting several strategies to combat election rigging:
"[37:34] Brian Klass: ... demand that elections are of good quality, starting with setting an example in the United States where, aside from gerrymandering, elections are relatively well-run."
Don Wildman echoes this sentiment, emphasizing the importance of civic engagement and the collective effort needed to restore faith in democracy.
The episode concludes with a call to action for listeners to engage actively in the democratic process, whether through voting, volunteering as election officers, or advocating for electoral reforms. Don Wildman thanks Brian Klass for his invaluable insights and encourages the audience to remain vigilant in protecting the integrity of elections worldwide.
"[40:28] Don Wildman: ... educate ourselves, strengthen our bonds to democratic institutions, volunteer to be a voting officer... everybody needs to vote."
Brian Klass shares his optimism for a democratic resurgence, contingent on sustained efforts to demand and implement fair electoral practices.
"Elections Explained: A History of Rigged Elections" offers a thorough examination of the myriad ways elections can be manipulated, the historical and contemporary examples of such practices, and the urgent need for reforms to safeguard democracy. Through engaging dialogue and expert analysis, this episode serves as a crucial reminder of the fragility of democratic institutions and the continuous vigilance required to preserve their integrity.
Notable Quotes:
"[04:29] Brian Klass: ... free and fair election refers to the idea that you are free to choose who you would like to elect..."
"[14:53] Brian Klass: ... called shaking the matchbox... walk through the neighborhoods shaking a matchbox to threaten voters."
"[20:25] Brian Klass: ... recruited two other candidates named Oleg Sergeyev. Voters, unable to distinguish between them, split their votes, ensuring his loss."
"[26:05] Brian Klass: ... gerrymandering is allowing politicians to pick their voters rather than voters picking their politicians."
About the Authors:
Further Listening:
For those intrigued by this discussion, consider exploring other episodes of American History Hit, as well as related shows like Dan Snow’s History Hit, Not Just The Tudors, and Betwixt the Sheets available on the History Hit network.