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Ben Carlson
Today's Animal Spirits Talk youk Book is brought to you by calamos. Go to calamos.com to learn more about their brand new Calamos Auto Callable Income ETF. It's ticker C A I E calamos.com to learn more. Welcome to Animal Spirits, a show about.
Michael Batnik
Markets, life and investing.
Ben Carlson
Join Michael Batnik and Ben Carlson as.
Michael Batnik
They talk about what they're reading, writing and watching. All opinions expressed by Michael and Ben are solely their own opinion and do not reflect the opinion of Ritholtz Wealth Management.
Matt Kaufman
This podcast is for informational purposes only.
Michael Batnik
And should not be relied upon for any investment decisions. Clients of Ritholtz Wealth Management may maintain.
Matt Kaufman
Positions in the securities discussed in this podcast.
Ben Carlson
Welcome to Animal Spirits with Michael and Ben. Michael, I gotta be honest, a lot of times when we have these talk your book segments, sometimes we'll do a little bit of research, but most of the time, if I've never heard of a strategy, I want to go in kind of blind because I want it to seem like we're going to do it live. Yeah, well, I wanted to. I want to us to be the eyes and the ears of the audience in terms of learning and a lot of times we're learning on the fly and sometimes it's because these strategies are all so new. I've got to be honest, I didn't know what an auto callable was coming into this, did you?
Matt Kaufman
I did. Only because of our previous dive down this rabbit hole.
Ben Carlson
Okay. Just not something that I'm completely familiar with as we move these like structured note products into the ETF sphere. And a lot of the structured note stuff that we've talked about in the past is more low octane.
Michael Batnik
Right.
Ben Carlson
We're putting guardrails. So the downside is defined, but it also caps your upside. You have certain levels you pick. But there are also ways in the structured note arena to have a little bit more juice and more volatility. And so I'd say this is one of those types of strategies, right, where it's. This isn't the other ones where you're downside and upside are capped. It's like there's higher income and with that higher income comes more volatility.
Matt Kaufman
One of the things that we're trying to do on this show is to make sure for every investment that we speak to, especially if it's a new category like these auto callable. Auto callables, these structured notes inside of an ETF wrapper is do our best to ask the questions that you would ask because with everything, especially income products, I think people get enamored with the sticker yield. And you know, that's about as far as our diligence goes.
Ben Carlson
Right. As long as I get the income, I'm fine. I don't care what else happens.
Matt Kaufman
Yeah. So you have to understand that no free lunch exists in the world of investing. And if you're getting X, you might give up some of Y. And so this was a very interesting conversation. I suspect it is going to be a popular category among advisors and their clients because this is the easy button for structured notes, for turning, for turning price, total return into income, which we know people, people love. So something in the water these days, but it seems to be a structural shift. Don't think it's going to be slowing down anytime soon.
Ben Carlson
Was that a play on words there? Structural shift? But the thing, I mean, the biggest question you ask here is, what's the trade off? I'm getting this yield. What am I giving up? Or what are the risks? And the great thing about the people we talk to on this show is that they're always willing to go because you're right, there is no free lunch. So we talked to Matt Kaufman from Calamos again, he's a senior vice president, head of ETFs, and we've talked to him before and he does a really good job of looking at both sides, the pros and the cons, the trade offs. Here's what you get, but here's what you're giving up to get this. And here's the potential landmines and all that stuff. So we get into all that with the new Kalamos Auto Callable Income etf. It's ticker caie. So here's our talk with Matt Kaufman from Calamos.
Matt Kaufman
Matt, welcome back to the show.
Michael Batnik
Michael, thanks for having me.
Matt Kaufman
All right, the big trend, or one of the big trends in ETF land, as Matt Levine has about, is that anything that can be ETF will be etfed. And the product that we're going to be talking about today is the perfect example of the evolution inside of this magical wrapper. Today we're talking about the Calamos Auto Callable Income etf. And this is a very interesting product. Ben and I did a cursory look over this and said, you know what, saving it for the show. I want to come and clean. So here we go. Matt, what's the story?
Michael Batnik
No, I appreciate that. I think there's a question of can and should on the etf. Side, you know, anything that is liquid and can be developed in, I would say a structured note type wrapper can be very efficiently delivered in ETFs. And so that's what we're doing here. If you follow the derivative income space, there is a massive derivative income revolution happening inside ETFs. You've seen Jepi Jeff Q. Everybody's talking about that. Those are all large covered call strategies. They're derivative income strategies. They make up $115 billion in the ETF space. Whoa.
Ben Carlson
If you go over, Jeppy's still the largest active fund. Right. Which is crazy.
Michael Batnik
Exactly.
Ben Carlson
That an income fund is that derivative income fund.
Michael Batnik
If you go over to the structured noteworld, it's no different. Derivative income still dominates, but it's dominated by a strategy called auto callable. And an auto callable is essentially a yield note that pays a coupon tied to an equity reference index. So most structured products do that. They give you something based off the performance of something else. So they give you a coupon, they give you performance. You look at other types of structured products like buffers or principal protected notes, they give you an outcome based off the performance of an underlying equity index.
Matt Kaufman
We just pause here for one second.
Michael Batnik
Yes.
Matt Kaufman
So when you say they give you yields, so for example, an investor could say, okay, I want to buy this structure note and let's say that we're using a basket of two indexes, the Russell, the S and P, whatever, and I'm going to have a 12 month maturity such that if neither of those are minimum more than I'll make up a number 30 in a 30% drawdown at the time of maturity, I'm going to get a again making this up an 8% yield.
Michael Batnik
Cool.
Matt Kaufman
That sounds like a fair trade off. Is that that's what you're talking about?
Michael Batnik
Yeah, I think you're jumping, jumping pretty deep in the weeds there. But the headline is that you get a coupon based off the performance of an underlying index and so that coupon is stable so long as, as you said the underlying index doesn't fall below a certain level. So you're taking on that deep in the money tail risk in exchange for a high stable coupon payment. So if you view the covered call strategies as buying protection or buying insurance, the reverse is true. With an auto call, you become the insurance company. You are selling insurance in this instance. So you want to avoid the crash. You want to make sure that you know you're not getting into that deep, severe sustained market decline. But that's the tail risk you're taking on. And there's $100 billion in the United States alone worth of people looking for that high income coupon tied to that equity market barrier. So it's a massive space. We are bringing that to the ETF market. We launched yesterday. There's a tremendous amount of feedback and positive reception already. It's been one day. We're seeing a ton of people have interest in this. Talked to one advisor yesterday who said, you know, this is her words. This is the easy button for me. This is the auto call easy button. I usually have papers scattered all over my desk. I have to go shop for individual notes, find the right one. I get called away in six months or so and then I have to do it all over again. I have coupon reinvestment risk, I have maturity risk, I have timing risk. All of my money's tied to a single point in time. We've solved all of that with this etf. We have a laddered portfolio of auto calls. So you're diversifying your maturity risk, diversifying all of that, timing risk out. And then we're tied to a single underlier, a single reference index that's been optimized for auto calls. So every time an auto call gets essentially called away inside the etf, we just buy a new one in the ladder. There's no more work for the advisor to do. They don't have to go shopping again. They can get all the paperwork off their desk and it gives you a really simple, easy to implement ticker.
Ben Carlson
So all these different structured note like products that are now being turned into ETFs. Some of them it's downside protection. Some of them it's like getting more upside. Some of them it's, it's putting, you know, guardrails and having a defined downside and defined upside. What is the return profile hope for this type of strategy?
Michael Batnik
I love that question. Let's make a curve. So if you make a curve of all of the different defined outcome or call it structured note profiles in the market, all the way at the top you have levered exposure proshares, they've got that covered. You know there's other firms direction doing those types of levered exposures, you can get that in structured note form. Also you go to the other end of the spectrum, you've got principal protected notes. We launched 100% capital protected ETFs about a year and a half ago, capturing that principal protected note space or FIA if you're familiar with insurance companies. So then in the Middle, you've got buffers, you got something less than 100% protection, not quite levered. The one space that has not been captured happens to be the largest. It's the auto callable market. It's very large all over the world. And it's the income category. People are hungry for income. You see it in derivative income ETFs, you see it in structured notes. And that space is, is essentially a very long dated, put replication strategy. You cannot go to the listed markets to build these, which is why we would partner with and collaborate with a counterparty like JP Morgan to then bring this into the ETF space. So it's a, it's a very clean structure. We've built an index with Mark Cube, one of the leading index providers in the country. They have the index that has the laddered exposure to all of the auto calls, all referencing the mercube US Large Cap Volume Advantage Index, long name. And that whole thing goes up into a point. We trade that price, that index on swap with JP Morgan and so advisors and investors can get auto callable exposure to a diversified basket of auto calls, all with a single trade.
Matt Kaufman
Why do you think it took so long for this rapper to come to market? Because I am suspecting, I was about to say, I'm afraid, I'm not afraid. I suspect that this is going to be a large success. I suspect that advisors are going to gobble this up on behalf of their clients. And of course, I want to make sure. Part of the reason why we do this show is that everybody understands what they're getting into, the questions to ask, some of the potential risks involved that they might not be thinking about. But before we go get into all of that stuff, why'd it take so long? Is there a bunch of complexity involved?
Michael Batnik
Well, to use our same curve, I was involved in the IP for the buffered ETF space, which was replicating a buffered note. That was the best trade when interest rates were at zero. When interest rates are at zero, you cannot give someone 100% protection. You got to do something less. So we built the buffered space, built that with ETFs. You can now deliver that into the market. Tax, efficiency, liquidity, all the good things. We're up the adoption curve on buffers. You know, I was at the Morningstar conference, saw you guys there behind the glass doing your show. And it was, it was interesting because eight or nine years ago we approached Morningstar and said, you know, you ought to have a buffer category. This is going to be big. They didn't necessarily agree with us at the time. They do now. There was a buffer ETF panel, there's a buffer ETF category in Morningstar and now rates are higher. So now we can do the 100% principal protected space that has been ETFED, if you will. We can capture that now the next iteration is the auto callable space. You cannot replicate an auto callable precisely with flex options. Like you can do a principal protected or a buffered strategy. You've got to go out and use swap. You got to use a counterparty or some, you could own notes. I think the most efficient way to do it is using swap. And so now we've got all the pieces in place to actually deliver this into the market. We have a reference index, we have an auto callable index that does all of the heavy lifting, all of the replication of the notes. We have JP Morgan as the swap counterparty. We're trading swap back and forth with them. Calamos is one of the largest alts managers in the country. So it took the collective efforts of all three of us over several years to be able to put this type of strategy into market. And you're just now seeing the pinpoint of the adoption curve. Curve with the launch yesterday. So we talk five years from now. I think that these are going to be bigger than a lot of the other outcome based categories we're seeing. Last point is I would not categorize these as defined outcomes or buffers. This is truly an auto callable space that needs a name of its own.
Ben Carlson
So this is something different.
Michael Batnik
100% different, yes.
Ben Carlson
So if you're an advisor looking through these different strategies, how would you, how would you explain each of those buckets to your clients? Because that's, that's the big thing is, is getting clients to understand and be okay with these things.
Michael Batnik
Yeah, absolutely. So if you're, if you're familiar with auto calls, this is the easy button. There's a lot of financial advisors out there already using auto callables for their high net worth investors. They are seeing this as a tremendous innovation, a way to give accessible auto callable access to their clients. If you're for, not if you're not familiar with auto callables. I think the easiest and simplest way to think about it is like a bond whose income and principal depend on the stock market not falling too far. So we want to make sure that people understand this. There's an education that needs to take place. You're taking on deep in the money tail risk. So the global financial crisis. Those instances, you would lose some of your principal in those notes that you'd be buying. But other than that, you're getting that high stable coupon in exchange for taking on that deep in the market tail risk there.
Matt Kaufman
What does high stable income look like?
Michael Batnik
If you look at the index that we're trading swap on right now, the coupon's about 14.7%. Whoa.
Matt Kaufman
Okay, that's material. Yeah. What drives that? And on the low end, let's assume 14 is the high end. I think anything higher, frankly, I'd be a little bit suspicious. What about on the low end? And what would cause it to go lower? Is it a falling stock market? Is it interest rates? What is it?
Michael Batnik
It's all the things that contribute to optionality. So if you understand options, we can keep it high level. You have interest rates, you have dividend yield, you have volatility. So you mentioned a worst of. If you look historically at the auto callable space came out just before the financial crisis. Calamos is the largest convertible bond manager in the country. The original name was of the auto callable, came out as a reverse convertible. So if you're familiar with a convert, a convertible converts to a stock on the way up. Well, a reverse convert would convert to a stock on the way down. That was the first iteration of what's now known as the auto calls. As that space matured, they started to get into what you were mentioning, a worst of strategy where, okay, I'm gonna give you a high coupon based off the worst performing of one or two or three assets like S and P, Nasdaq or Russell. I don't know many people that actually like that idea of getting the worst of something, but they take it because then you can get a high coupon for that. Well, the question is, what if you stabilize some of those parameters in the options? What if you stabilize volatility? So the reason people like those worst ofs is when one of those indexes has a volume event goes down and volume spikes, they move in because they get a really high coupon and they move a bunch of money in try to capture that high coupon. What if you stabilize volume around a high target? Now you can deliver that high coupon very consistently. And so that volume control is underlying the reference index that we're using with mercube that has been around for decades. Insurance companies have been doing volatility control for a long time. So as markets are not risky, if The S&P 500 is low from a volatility perspective, your Volatility is levered up a little bit and then if volume is very high, then volume comes down to meet that volume target. But what it results in is a very high stable coupon, historically, you know, 11 to 14, 15%.
Ben Carlson
So you have that high coupon. What does the underlying movement look like in between? And I'm curious, like, is this another one of those that you have to sort of hold for a year to get the actual outcome or is it different?
Michael Batnik
You don't have to do anything like that. This pays a monthly coupon. You can go to our website, calamos.com, go to the ETF page C, A, I E and you'll be able to see we give you tremendous transparency, more than anybody has ever done on a structured note. You can see exactly all of the underlying auto callables, what the coupons are, how many are paying a coupon, where they are relative to the maturity, the coupon barriers, it's all right there. And you can see right now that the index we're trading swap on is a 14.7% coupon. Every one of those auto calls is paying that coupon. It's a monthly distribution. And then those notes all trade at a premium or discount because they're like bonds. So if the market is down, there's actually a very cool opportunity there because you're gonna be trading at a discount, almost like a rubber band. So as long as that rubber band doesn't break, you know, fall through the barrier, you're gonna go back to par. So there's historical years on that index where you would have earned that coupon and captured significant appreciation.
Ben Carlson
And obviously the closer you get to maturity, those ones coming back or creating.
Michael Batnik
A par or premium, the most common happening or happenstance is that those notes are auto called, that's in the name. So each of them has a one year non call period and then after that they can get called away. So if the reference asset is positive after one year, those notes get called away and the principal gets reinvested back into the new rung.
Ben Carlson
Sorry, back to my original question. How much is the underlying moving? Like how much volatility is there outside of the yield? Like is there a lot of movement in the strategy in between these periods of income?
Michael Batnik
Yeah. So the notes are mark to market, the investment experience you will receive. What we've seen on that index level is a little bit more volatile than the S&P 500. So about a 20, 21% volatility is what we've seen historically and in Exchange, you get that high coupon and if you track that over 10, 15 years, you look a lot like the s and P500 over time.
Ben Carlson
Which makes sense that if you're getting that high of a yield, you would expect there, it's not free, there is no free lunch.
Michael Batnik
And if, if you track it over 15, 20 years, the total return of the S and P about matches the income you would have received on a net basis.
Matt Kaufman
So then the, the obvious question is why would you do that? Like why would you. I mean, I guess this would obviously be, be preferably done in a qualified account. Otherwise you're just going to lag. Because I would assume that this option is ordinary income. So.
Michael Batnik
No, it's not.
Matt Kaufman
Okay, so talk more. So tell me, why would you do that if this has the risk return profile ultimately of the S and P, but you're just, you're turning the price stream into an income stream. I would assume that's for income purposes, for spending purposes and hit on the tax stuff too, please.
Michael Batnik
That's exactly right. Yeah. So any, any reason somebody would buy derivative income is the same here. People are hungry for yield, hungry for income. They use equity markets as a differentiator from credit or duration to get that. So anybody looking for differentiated sources of income would be looking at the auto call market. That's where the appeal is, getting that high coupon. In the note world, a lot of that is distributed as ordinary income. When you do this inside the etf, specifically inside a swap based etf, well now we'll have a little bit of distribution of ordinary income from the collateral. We have to hold collateral. So you're distributing that SOFR rate and the rest of that. Our anticipation is that for that to be return of capital, not return of actual money, not return of your actual capital, but treated as return of capital. So that's a remarkably more efficient tax treatment than anything that we've seen on the auto callable side. But preface that with this is not tax advice.
Matt Kaufman
All right. I was about to say, obviously consult with your, with your tax person on this, but this is the type of thing as you're describing it. I could see the quants hating this and poking holes and be like, why would you pay for how much? What's the basis? How much does this cost?
Michael Batnik
74 basis points.
Matt Kaufman
Okay. Why would you pay 74 basis points when you could just create the income stream yourself, just sell S and P or whatever. But I think what they would miss. And now that, that's an entirely not valid argument, but this is the type of thing that advisors will love because it's scalable. Because if you are doing this on a client by client basis, to do all these Q sips, to do all of this, to reinvest, when these things do get called, it's a pain in the neck. And this is the ultimate easy button.
Michael Batnik
I agree. I think this is definitely the ultimately easy button. Paying yourself from capital appreciation is not a bad strategy. I think the hard part is getting people to do it. I've been trying to get people to use capital appreciation and then pay themselves from that for a long time. There's hundreds of billions of dollars, if not trillions invested in income paying instruments. People want income and they want their funds to pay them that income.
Matt Kaufman
Yeah, you might think it's irrational. It doesn't matter. The proof is in the pudding. People that hate dividends, like, oh, you could just give yourself a dividend, just sell. No, I mean, yes, in theory, but in reality we're humans and we like things to be easier.
Ben Carlson
So what's the, what's the worst case scenario? You said like the GFC, which the stock market fell almost 60%. Like what is, what does it look like in that situation? And maybe that's an extreme outlier obviously, but maybe what's, what's like a run of the mill situation where this, the volatility gets you somehow.
Michael Batnik
Yeah. So we've designed that underlying reference index, the mercube US volume advantage index is designed for auto callables. It's designed to optimize that income. So if you look at the rolling historical returns of that, the odds of that index being down below the 40% barriers, which is where these notes are struck, is remarkably low. So the great the global financial crisis is that time where you would have knocked in on some of your notes and lost some of the principal. The important thing here is if you bought one note back then and you knocked in, you would have lost some of your principal value. So the way a barrier works is if it's a 40% barrier, if the market's down 30%, you still mature at par, you still get your money back. The market's down 40%, you've lost 40% of your principal, it's a knock in barrier. So the odds of this index knocking in were remarkably low. And the global financial crisis was when you would have done that. But if you ladder this over 50 plus notes, well now if you've knocked in on one of the notes, you've lost 40% of your money on 1/50 of your portfolio. And so it's a remarkably more efficient way to deliver access into the auto call space. But you talked about your portfolio applications. We're seeing people look at this and use it as an equity alternative. If you think you're entering a low or slow growth equity market, maybe you think GDP is going to be low going forward. 14.7 is higher than the average return.
Ben Carlson
Of the S. Yeah. Why is that yield so high right now?
Michael Batnik
It's largely because we stabilize that volatility in the underlying index.
Ben Carlson
But also so in April, the yield wouldn't have looked quite as juicy.
Michael Batnik
It looks about the same. Again, our volume is about stable. People might have bought those worst ofs during that volume spike, but our volume is stable. So if you hit a big volume event where volume goes to 70, our volume target's 35, so you're about half as exposed. So it's not risky by that measure. On the upside, do you think one.
Matt Kaufman
Of the reasons why the yield is so juicy is because there is like a skew, There are more buyers for the insurance protection and you are taking the other side of it?
Michael Batnik
No, not at all. The only reason that the coupon is so high is because we've customized an underlying reference index to stabilize the volatility so that you can get a high stable coupon. That's, that's really the reason you're taking the parameters of the Black Scholes model, not to get too deep, and you're stabilizing some of those, which makes options pricing a lot more efficient.
Matt Kaufman
So this is not, it's not rocket science, but it's definitely different and it's definitely more complicated than bonds. How would you estimate advisors explain this to their clients?
Michael Batnik
The way that I talk about it is think of it like a bond that pays you steady coupons, so long as the equity reference asset doesn't fall below a specific level.
Matt Kaufman
Okay, so what happens if it does? Then you don't get paid on the entire. You don't get paid at all or just for that one?
Michael Batnik
Just for that one note. So every note inside the portfolio has a coupon and it has a maturity barrier. So if the market is down below that barrier, you know, when you pay that coupon at the month, then you just miss that coupon for that month.
Ben Carlson
So that's one of the reasons that you own 50 of these 100% to mitigate that risk.
Matt Kaufman
But let's talk about the nightmare scenario.
Michael Batnik
Yeah.
Matt Kaufman
So let's say that you buy this and then over the course of time The S and P falls below the reference point and it stays there. Is it possible that you can miss a year's worth of payments and then, and then also have the price drawdown on top of it? So it's like a double gut punch.
Michael Batnik
So the severe sustained drawdown that lasts a very long time would be your worst case scenario if the market goes down significantly below your coupon barrier, so below that 40% mark and stays there for 52 weeks. Again these are weekly laddered notes. So two of them then. Then you would miss a coupon on all 52. Then if the market stays below minus 40% for five years because these are five year notes, then at that point you'll start losing principal. So you'll have some drawdown because these mark to market but your principal is preserved over that five year note period. So it would take a very severe sustained market decline. And again, even in the global financial crisis, if you take 52 or more of these notes and ladder them, you might only lose coupons on maybe a quarter of them. So your 14 and a half coupon might have gone down to 9 or 10.
Matt Kaufman
I guess you could say, listen, if the environment that I'm describing happens, we probably have bigger things to worry about than this ostensibly smallish portion of your portfolio. This is probably not going to be a 100% replacement for everything. That would sound a bit extreme, but.
Michael Batnik
It'S important to know what you're getting into.
Matt Kaufman
Yeah, exactly. So the reference index that you keep mentioning, granted this would be a backtest, but would you have the, do you have a back test of what would have happened in an 08 like environment?
Michael Batnik
Yeah. You can see the historical performance of the laddered index that we are trading swap on. It's a mark cube index. The ticker is MQ autocl. So MQ autocl and go to mercube's website, it's on Bloomberg. You can model the performance, look at it relative to the S and P. But again the long term results are look a lot like The S&P 500, maybe a little more volatile. That might be your, your nav experience but people are buying this. For that high coupon, the high stable coupon.
Matt Kaufman
I'm going to set the bar. 12 months total, a whim at $7 billion. What do you think over under Ben?
Michael Batnik
Is that your question or mine?
Ben Carlson
I think he'd probably feel pretty good about that. Yeah, I do think for advisors looking for income solutions. I just had a conversation right before this about trying to force people to spend more money I think giving them an A, you're almost paying them a monthly income. Yeah, it's. It is a way to get over that psychological hurdle.
Michael Batnik
It's a great idea. Yeah. From my perspective, I look at the derivative income space and the massive growth growth that we've seen in that world, it's well over 100 billion in assets. You go to the structured note side, and it's no different. There's still over 100 billion in assets and derivative income strategies, but they're all tied to auto calls. We are moving that opportunity into the ETF space. I did it with the buffers, we did it with principal protection. We're doing it with auto calls. We're getting phone calls from all over the world, people saying, this was incredible. Well done. We're excited for the future of this. I think this is the flag in the ground for the auto call Space and ETF. So we would love if $7 billion came into Calamos. I think the space is going to be multiples larger than that.
Ben Carlson
There's obviously a lot of money in this, in structured notes already. So it's not like a bunch of money flowing into this type of strategy would change it in some way.
Michael Batnik
That's right. And what we. What we've seen is there is no cannibalization of structured product sales. Those sales are still booming. They're growing. Annuity sales are growing.
Ben Carlson
Oh, so you're saying that the growth of these ETFs is not really impacting the structured. No. Providers.
Michael Batnik
It's the inverse. It's shining a big old light on the whole space.
Ben Carlson
Interesting.
Matt Kaufman
All right, Matt, before we let you get out of here, last time you were on, we spoke about a bitcoin derivative etf, and Ben influenced himself, then bought it.
Ben Carlson
So here's what I. So here's what I did. And we were very skeptical before. Before you explained it to us, but so I sold.
Matt Kaufman
I would say skeptical. We were very curious.
Ben Carlson
Yes.
Michael Batnik
That's good. I appreciate it.
Ben Carlson
I sold half of my bitcoin exposure and then I thought, well, and this is like 100,000, basically. And I thought, well, what. What's the, you know, my opportunity cost here? And so I put some in the.
Michael Batnik
The.
Ben Carlson
What is it? 11% upside and then like the 33% upside just to give myself.
Michael Batnik
You bought the 0 floor and the 10 floor?
Ben Carlson
Yes. And it's sounds like you guys are potentially going to have other floors there, too.
Michael Batnik
We have a 0, a 10 and a 20.
Ben Carlson
Okay. That's right. So, yeah, so I did the 0 and the 10 just to give myself. And it worked out pretty good. During the crash, I was pretty close to when bitcoin went to whatever, 75,000. Now it's back up and on the one I still have room to run because of when I bought it.
Michael Batnik
Oh, that's fantastic. Yeah, we saw a lot of people making that similar trade. They bought in January. Bitcoin fell 25%. I don't remember when we talked, but Bitcoin fell 25% into April. People were protected through January and through April they bought the April series. And they captured upside as you went. Yeah, we just issued some research on that whole protected bitcoin space as well. You see BlackRock and others saying 1 to 2% in Bitcoin. They have to kind of cap it at that because it's so volatile. What we're finding is 5% into protected Bitcoin strategies from Calamos can actually increase returns, reduce risk and give you better experience in the portfolio.
Ben Carlson
So you're finding some people who are spreading out their entry points in that as well. They're buying every quarter or month or whatever when you guys release new ones.
Michael Batnik
That's right, yeah. And then the next one's July 8th. We got the next series coming.
Ben Carlson
So it is quarterly that you're doing it?
Michael Batnik
We're doing it quarterly. That's right.
Ben Carlson
Okay, gotcha. So I think, I'm pretty sure I did the January one right when you put it out there. I should be holding that until a year from now essentially to get what I wanted out of it.
Michael Batnik
If you, if you want, you know that that particular one is trading right around its starting point. So you could also sell out by the new one. If we're moving to a different, different protection level. If you feel like the market's not going to drop any further. Okay, yeah, could be interesting opportunity. But I love, I love that you guys are using it. That's. That's phenomenal.
Matt Kaufman
Well, Ben, as I'm Diamond Hands. All right, Matt, for advisors that want to explore this new category, how do they reach out to you?
Michael Batnik
Yeah, go to calamos.com you can find me personally, I'm on LinkedIn. You probably send my email to mcaufman. Love to talk through the strategy. If you're not familiar with the auto callable space, I would just encourage you to get familiar with it. It's going to be a category in ETFs that's going to grow significantly over the coming years. We're happy to be the, be the education provider there get you up to speed. And if you just want the easy button, you know, C, A, I, E. Yeah.
Matt Kaufman
See? Okay. I'm bullish on this. From a, from a total assets under management perspective, I think that advisors are going to like this product. So hopefully this was helpful. Educational people should understand that there are nuances of this strategy. So get educated. Go to Calamos.com Matt, thank you very much. We'll see you guys next time.
Michael Batnik
Thanks, guys.
Ben Carlson
Okay, thanks again to Matt and Calamos. Check out Calamos.com to learn more about this fund and all their other fund offerings. Email us animalspiritsompoundnews.com.
Animal Spirits Podcast Episode Summary
Title: Talk Your Book: Autocallable Income
Hosts: Michael Batnik and Ben Carlson
Guest: Matt Kaufman, Senior Vice President and Head of ETFs at Calamos
Release Date: July 7, 2025
Description: Animal Spirits explores the intersection of markets, life, and investing, with insights into the latest strategies and products. In this episode, hosts Michael Batnik and Ben Carlson discuss the newly launched Calamos Auto Callable Income ETF (CAIE) with Matt Kaufman, delving into the mechanics, benefits, and risks of auto callable income strategies.
Ben Carlson initiates the discussion by expressing the hosts' approach to exploring new investment strategies, particularly those they are unfamiliar with.
"I wanted to go in kind of blind because I want it to seem like we're going to do it live." (00:45)
Michael Batnik concurs, highlighting their mission to be educators for their audience.
Auto callables are structured notes that pay a coupon based on the performance of an underlying equity index. Unlike other structured products with capped upside and downside protection, auto callables offer higher income at the expense of increased volatility.
"With that higher income comes more volatility." (01:36)
Ben elaborates that auto callables are not defined outcome products; instead, they offer higher returns with greater risk.
Matt Kaufman introduces the CAIE as a pioneering ETF that encapsulates auto callable strategies, making them accessible and scalable for advisors and investors.
"Today we're talking about the Calamos Auto Callable Income ETF. And this is a very interesting product." (04:43)
Michael Batnik emphasizes the ETF's role in the evolving derivative income space, which already boasts significant assets through products like covered call ETFs.
"There is a massive derivative income revolution happening inside ETFs." (05:25)
The CAIE offers a laddered portfolio of auto callables, diversifying maturity and timing risks. This structure provides advisors with a streamlined solution, eliminating the need for managing individual notes.
"We've solved all of that with this ETF. We have a laddered portfolio of auto calls." (07:08)
Ben Carlson praises the ETF as an "easy button" for advisors, simplifying the implementation of structured income strategies.
The hosts discuss the crucial balance between yield and risk. Higher coupons come with the acceptance of potential principal loss if the underlying index significantly declines.
"The biggest question you ask here is, what's the trade-off? I'm getting this yield. What am I giving up?" (03:20)
Michael Batnik explains that while auto callables offer high income, they expose investors to "deep in the money tail risk," meaning significant losses during major market downturns.
Michael reveals that the CAIE currently offers a substantial coupon of approximately 14.7%, a figure driven by the ETF's ability to stabilize underlying volatility through a customized reference index.
"The coupon's about 14.7%." (14:54)
Matt Kaufman questions the sustainability of such yields, prompting Michael to explain the ETF's design features that maintain high, stable coupons.
The discussion places CAIE within the broader landscape of structured note ETFs, comparing it to leveraged exposure products and principal-protected notes. Michael showcases a spectrum where CAIE occupies the high-yield, high-volatility end.
"On the other end of the spectrum, you've got principal protected notes... The auto callable market... is a very large income category." (09:10)
Ben and Michael explore how advisors can communicate the complexities of auto callables to clients. The laddered structure of CAIE helps mitigate individual note risks, making it a manageable addition to client portfolios.
"If you're an advisor looking through these different strategies, how would you explain each of those buckets to your clients?" (13:44)
Michael likens auto callables to bonds that pay steady coupons, contingent on the equity index not falling below a specified level, aiding advisors in simplifying explanations.
"Think of it like a bond that pays you steady coupons, so long as the equity reference asset doesn't fall too far." (25:43)
The hosts address potential adverse scenarios, such as prolonged market downturns leading to missed coupons and principal losses. Michael assures that the laddered approach mitigates these risks, preventing catastrophic losses from affecting the entire portfolio.
"If the market is down below that barrier, you're going to miss that coupon for that month." (25:59)
Ben Carlson shares his personal strategy of diversifying into different protection levels within the auto callable framework, demonstrating practical application and benefits during market volatility.
"I sold half of my bitcoin exposure and then I put some in the 0 floor and the 10 floor just to give myself." (31:23)
Matt Kaufman expresses optimism about the growth potential of CAIE, positioning it as a significant player in the structured income ETF space. He anticipates that the demand for such products will continue to rise, fueled by advisors seeking scalable income solutions for clients.
"I think the space is going to be multiples larger than that [the initial target of $7 billion]." (29:19)
The episode wraps up with Matt encouraging advisors to educate themselves on auto callable strategies and consider CAIE as a viable income solution for their clients. He provides contact information for those interested in learning more.
"If you're not familiar with the auto callable space, I would just encourage you to get familiar with it... You can find me personally, I'm on LinkedIn." (33:15)
Ben Carlson (02:07):
"This isn't the other ones where your downside and upside are capped. It's like there's higher income and with that higher income comes more volatility."
Matt Kaufman (04:43):
"The product that we're going to be talking about today is the perfect example of the evolution inside of this magical wrapper."
Michael Batnik (14:54):
"The coupon's about 14.7%."
Matt Kaufman (09:10):
"We just launched yesterday. We're seeing a ton of people have interest in this."
Michael Batnik (25:29):
"The only reason that the coupon is so high is because we've customized an underlying reference index to stabilize the volatility so that you can get a high stable coupon."
Ben Carlson (13:44):
"If you're an advisor looking through these different strategies, how would you explain each of those buckets to your clients?"
Matt Kaufman (29:19):
"I think the space is going to be multiples larger than that [the initial target of $7 billion]."
Michael Batnik (33:15):
"If you're not familiar with the auto callable space, I would just encourage you to get familiar with it. It's going to be a category in ETFs that's going to grow significantly over the coming years."
Calamos Auto Callable Income ETF (CAIE): A new ETF that encapsulates auto callable income strategies, offering high stable coupons tied to equity index performance.
High Yield with Trade-offs: Investors receive substantial income payouts (~14.7%) but must accept increased volatility and potential principal loss during significant market downturns.
Laddered Portfolio Structure: CAIE's laddered approach diversifies maturity and timing risks, simplifying the implementation for advisors and enhancing portfolio stability.
Market Positioning: Positioned within the broader structured product ETF space, CAIE stands out by targeting the high-yield income segment with a scalable and manageable solution.
Advisors' Adoption: The ETF serves as an "easy button" for advisors seeking to integrate structured income strategies into client portfolios without the complexities of managing individual notes.
Future Growth: With a target of $7 billion in assets and expectations of significant expansion, CAIE is poised to become a prominent player in the income-focused ETF landscape.
This episode of Animal Spirits provides a comprehensive exploration of the Calamos Auto Callable Income ETF, shedding light on how structured income strategies are revolutionizing the ETF space. With high yields and a manageable risk framework, CAIE offers a compelling option for income-seeking investors, while emphasizing the importance of understanding the associated trade-offs. Advisors are encouraged to educate themselves on these innovative products to better serve their clients' evolving investment needs.
For more information, visit Calamos.com or reach out to Matt Kaufman directly via LinkedIn or email.