Armchair Expert with Dax Shepard
"Stephen Dubner Returns Again" – October 22, 2025
Episode Overview
This lively, free-ranging episode welcomes back Stephen J. Dubner (author, journalist, and host of Freakonomics Radio) for his third appearance on Armchair Expert. Dax, Monica, and Stephen explore everything from cognitive framing, historical legacies, and podcasting journeys to the nuances of disgust, the peculiarities of American polarization, and even the etiquette of couples massages. Throughout, they challenge binary thinking and contemplate what it means to be a decent human in divisive times—with characteristic humor and vulnerability.
Key Discussion Points & Insights
1. Framing Experience & The Power of Mindset
- Nashville Summers & Cognitive Reframing
- Dax reflects on how spending the summer in the hot, humid Tennessee climate was more enjoyable because he chose to frame it as a positive experience, much like vacationing in the Caribbean.
- Dubner agrees, noting the challenge and value of intentionally choosing one’s mindset, but admits: "It's hard, though...It depends on the intensity of the inputs, how much you can affect the output." (05:51)
2. History Lessons, Memory, & Context
- Civil War Money & Historical Knowledge Gaps
- Playful banter about "Confederate money" leads into a serious reflection as Dubner admits he’s learning much more about the Civil War as an adult:
"I'm embarrassed to say this. I've never really known all that much about the US Civil War, which I feel kind of silly about as an American who likes history well enough and...medium smart person." (07:24) - They riff on biography authors and misunderstandings between authors Ron Chernow and David McCullough.
- Playful banter about "Confederate money" leads into a serious reflection as Dubner admits he’s learning much more about the Civil War as an adult:
3. Podcasting, TV, and Feeling Like a Novice (Again)
- Dubner's Next Venture: TV
- Stephen shares nerves starting a new TV show (“Better in Person”) despite decades of storytelling experience: "Every time you think about doing a new thing...what should feel cumulative...It's not cumulative. It's like scratch pad. You rip it off, this blank page again. This should be served with a moist towelette." (11:31)
4. ChatGPT & Interview Preparation
- Dax shares he used AI for the first time to get ideas for Dubner’s interview; Dubner and Monica confess to doing similar prep.
- Dubner: "I think AI is an amazing...I think what you did is normal or will be normal." (16:28)
- They reflect on the ethics of treating AI harshly, landing on the idea that venting at machines is preferable to misdirected anger at humans. (19:08)
5. Disgust, Human Uniqueness & Behavioral Science
- On Disgust and Societal Boundaries
- “The power of disgust is its own...what causes genocides...It's the number one thing that's leveraged and weaponized.” – Dax (12:21)
- Dubner: “When it becomes disgust in other people—wow. And we're seeing a not low level of global disgust in other people, I would say.” (12:30)
- Human Peculiarities
- Dax: “It's very, very weird that we don't [eat poop],” sparking a comedic but thoughtful riff on social norms and evolutionary changes. (13:00)
6. Lessons from Freakonomics (20th Anniversary Reflections)
- Dubner reveals the new edition of Freakonomics contains only a new foreword—no revised chapters.
- Honesty in Writing:
- He shares a story about correcting a major error in the original book, when one subject exaggerated their civil rights activism:
“If you get had or if you make a mistake, you have to admit. So anyway, that was a long way of saying that I don't think there's anything in Freakonomics that we would do really differently for the people we were then.” (26:16)
- He shares a story about correcting a major error in the original book, when one subject exaggerated their civil rights activism:
- Changing Contexts:
- Dax and Dubner discuss how context, time, and personal growth shift how authors feel about their own seminal works, referencing Malcolm Gladwell's critical reappraisal of his own "Tipping Point" ("Revenge of Tipping Point"). (23:12)
7. Binary Thinking, Polarization & The Illusion of Explanatory Depth
- Rejecting False Dichotomies
- Dax laments: "You've presented me with the two shittiest fucking options in the world," regarding forced political binaries. (38:34)
- Dubner: “There are expectations that if you don't think or say or feel a certain thing about...anything, then you're gonna be either outgrouped or thought less of. And I think that's just never the way that humans have thrived.” (32:41)
- Tribalism as a Modern Malady
- Monica objects, explaining the real need for collective protest at times, and the emboldening effect of mass movements (41:56)
- Key insight: Fewer original thoughts exist than people believe; most "stances" are tribal repetition.
8. Contempt & Marriage Metaphors for Society
- Contempt as Society’s Greatest Threat
- Dubner references Arthur Brooks' work, noting the destructive power of contempt and the need for more empathy:
“Contempt. I want to get rid of the contempt...the most dangerous part about the worst parts of our attention economy, I think, is that they incentivize people to be unkind.” (45:15, 48:56) - Dax: “Ultimately, we're in a marriage, we're not breaking up, divorce isn't an option. So can we afford to have contempt for each other? I don't think we can.” (46:43)
- Dubner references Arthur Brooks' work, noting the destructive power of contempt and the need for more empathy:
9. Can We Depoliticize Our Lives?
- Dax proposes a one-year moratorium on political talk—not voting or action, just performative broadcasting:
“I just am curious what that would look like.” (50:23) - Monica raises the challenge that "everything" has acquired a political valence (cars, beer, diet, shopping):
“If you're saying all of that is political, then how can we not talk about politics?” (53:45)
10. Judgment, Empathy & Moving Beyond Knee-Jerk Reactions
- Dubner:
- "One thing that's hard to not do...but that comes naturally, at least to me...is the impulse to judge. I think [it's] a very, very smart, healthy evolutionary trait... But often when we make a consequential decision...we make it fast. So that's really bad... At the very least...you start by empathize...that, for me, at least, changes the calculus." (58:08)
- Dax:
- "When a different opinion than yours signals a character assessment about the owner of the opinion, we've got a big problem." (60:05)
11. Optimism, Fatigue, and Generational Attitudes
- Dubner:
- Notes both optimism in younger generations and society’s collective exhaustion as possible catalysts for change:
“I think younger people than all of us are already where we're hoping that we get to...I think we're the bad generation.” (55:28)
- Notes both optimism in younger generations and society’s collective exhaustion as possible catalysts for change:
12. AI, Technology, and the Evolution of Culture
- Debating AI's Role & Its Limits
- Dubner argues recent AI is an extension of centuries-old tools and isn’t "intelligent" in a human sense, but cumulative technology should “free us up to do” new things. (62:57)
13. Curiosities and Social Nuances: From Massage Jealousy to Salad Bar Preferences
- Dax explores the social frames that govern what's acceptable in intimacy (e.g., couples’ massages with strangers vs. coworkers).
- Monica on boundaries: "Nudity is best done anonymously... It's context—again, that's why I think...you just need more information to know whether jealousy should happen or not." (98:32, 106:19)
- They also have a classic Armchair fact check about Shoney’s, donut economics, and arbitrary social rules.
Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments
-
On Cognitive Framing and Experience:
“I always have the option to frame it in a way that I'll enjoy it. And it's literally up to me.” — Dax (05:36) -
On Contempt:
“The most dangerous part about the worst parts of our attention economy...is that they incentivize people to be unkind.” — Dubner (48:56) -
On AI & Humanity:
“Ideas are one of the single best things about us humans. And that the AIs will have facsimiles of it, but not the way we do.” — Dubner (73:11) -
On Social Polarization:
"When a different opinion...signals a character assessment about the owner...we've got a big problem.” — Dax (60:05) -
On Fatigue & Hope:
“I'm just praying that we're approaching the fatigue right where it's like we all throw our hands up and be like, okay, I'm just too exhausted to do this exactly anymore.” — Dax (61:31)
Important Timestamps for Segments
| Segment | Topic | Timestamp | |---------|-------|-----------| | 05:21 | Framing Nashville summer, mindset | 05:21 – 06:43 | | 07:24 | Civil War money/history gaps | 07:24 – 08:45 | | 11:31 | Dubner on feeling like a novice, TV vs. podcasting | 11:31 – 13:00 | | 16:11 | AI in interview prep, ethics of AI use | 16:11 – 20:43 | | 12:21 | Disgust as social emotion/tool | 12:21 – 13:57 | | 23:20 | New Freakonomics 20th anniversary, correcting mistakes | 23:20 – 26:36 | | 38:32 | False dichotomies, Israel/Palestine as example | 38:32 – 41:06 | | 45:15 | Contempt, Arthur Brooks, marriage metaphor for society | 45:15 – 48:56 | | 50:23 | Dax’s “politics moratorium” thought experiment | 50:23 – 54:29 | | 55:17 | Generational turnover, “bad generation” insight | 55:17 – 56:12 | | 58:08 | Judgment vs. empathy, slowing down reactions | 58:08 – 60:05 | | 62:57 | What is AI, cumulative technology | 62:57 – 64:11 | | 73:11 | Sustaining curiosity, podcasting longevity | 73:11 – 74:35 | | 94:10 – 101:56 | Massage/coworker analogy, social boundaries explored | 94:10 – 101:56 | | 110:46 | Fact check deep dive and closing banter | 110:46 – end |
Final Thoughts
This episode illustrates why Dubner is a cherished recurring guest: he brings humility, insight, and a playful seriousness to both big-picture societal questions and the quirks of daily human life. Whether debating the ethics of AI, recounting journalistic errors, or musing on why men don't care about couples massages, Dax, Monica, and Dubner return to the question: “How should we think and relate to one another in a noisy, divided, and rapidly-evolving world?” The answer, perhaps, is with more humor, honesty, and a willingness to reframe on purpose.
Recommended for:
Fans of behavioral science, thoughtful conversations about polarization, human nature, and anyone seeking a reminder that optimism and curiosity can spark connection—even in messy times.
For more, listen to Armchair Expert or check out Freakonomics Radio's 20th Anniversary Edition, out Nov 11, 2025.
