B (10:04)

Tito's handmade vodka is America's favorite vodka for a reason. From the first legal distillery in Texas, Tito's is six times distilled till it's just right and naturally gluten free, making it a high quality spirit that mixes with just about anything from the smoothest martinis to the best Bloody Marys. Tito's is known for giving back, teaming up with nonprofits to serve its communities and do good for dogs. Make your next cocktail with Tito's distilled and bottled by 5th Generation Inc. Austin, Texas. 40% alcohol by volume. Savor responsibly.

C (10:34)

Press, radio and Internet in all three of these cases. The printing press, once Johannes Gutenberg invented it, it started spreading very quickly. Within a decade it had jumped borders and within 100 years it was literally all over Europe and America and starting to spread other places. Now what's really interesting is the, is the printing press was actually banned in places like the Ottoman Empire for three centuries. There's a reason that the Ottoman Empire no longer exists, put it that way. So any, the lesson there is that any nation or company that resists these technologies will cease to exist eventually. Because eventually you get so far behind that it's like the inverse of the first movers advantage. It's like if you get too far behind on this, you lose. And when I say you lose, you lose forever. You cease to exist. So that was the printing press radio again. Once, once the radio was figured out it was too democratic. You can't put the genie back in the bottle there. And likewise, the Internet itself is literally designed to be used by everyone. And so the printing press, the, the historical impacts of the printing press are very difficult to overstate because everything from the Enlightenment, which led to democracy and the fall of the hegemony of the church, all of that can be traced back to the printing press because. And the reason that that is, is. Hey, Ryan Reynolds here for Mint Mobile. You know, one of the perks about having four kids that you know about is Actually getting a direct line to the big man up north. And this year he wants you to know the best gift that you can give someone is the gift of Mint Mobile's unlimited wireless for $15. Now you don't even need to wrap it. Give it a try@mintmobile.com Switch upfront payment.

B (12:15)

Of $45 for three month plan equivalent to $15 per month required. New customer offer for first three months only. Speed slow after 35 gigabytes if network's busy, taxes and fees extra.

C (12:22)

See mintmobile.com because it dramatically raised literacy rates and it dramatically democratized the marketplace of ideas, the Internet has taken that to its maximal conclusion where everyone can share every idea, which includes, you know, flat earthers and anti vaxxers and QAnon and all that fun stuff. Everyone has an opinion and everyone can share their opinion. And whatever opinions most resonate with you, you can adopt those opinions whether or not they are supported by empirical evidence. So we have reached maximal democratic democracy of information with the Internet. So that, and the radio also helped with that because radio is instant broadcast and long distance communication. So the reason that I cluster these three together is because they are fundamentally information technologies. The printing press was the first form of really mass produced information technology, followed by radio, well, which led to newspapers, then radio and then Internet. So these are basically three generations. And now we have the fourth generation information technology, which is you can compress literally all human knowledge into a single model. And it's not. Hey, be nice. Sorry, we just had the dogs. Like we've had them for a week. And so they're still getting used to each other. They're very sweet, but sometimes they have miscommunications. Go on, be nice. Anyways, so the fourth generation of information technology is artificial intelligence, which it's not just a repository of knowledge and facts. It is also a cognitive engine. It is also a problem solver. And yeah, so it's really difficult to oversell the magnitude of this new technology because it's not just the book, it's. It's the book that is interactive. And that's a really oversimplified way of characterizing artificial intelligence. But anyways, all right, now taking a bigger step back, what are the global impacts of this democratic access to artificial intelligence? Number one is that every nation will have access. When you look at the fact that you can start running some of These models on MacBooks, even the poorest nations on the planet can afford a MacBook, which means that literally every nation on the planet can afford to run artificial Intelligence. Now you might say, okay, well is that good or bad? Because you don't necessarily want, you know, some chaotic rogue actor like North Korea to have access to AGI, which I would tend to agree, and we'll get to that. But on the other hand, this will reduce conflict because it basically, when there is no gradient, when there is no technological gradient, there's not really any advantage. Now when I, I need to have a gigantic caveat to that because again, in this world, the number of data centers you have is basically, that's your, that's your military base, that's your economic base. And the United States has literally exactly 12 times the number of data centers as China. So in this geopolitical competition, America has already won. That's just sight unseen. Because even if China releases a better model, guess what? We can run more of them. And, and yeah, so that, that's, that's a done deal. But in the, in the, the longer term, the long view of humanity, the fact that this technology is intrinsically democratic. Oh and by the way, it actually benefits more from cooperation. The more you share your data, the better the AI gets. And so this, this creates a really interesting attractor state or, or Nash equilibrium where the Nash equilibrium is everyone pools their resources. It is, it is in, it's like, I'm not going to say socialist, but it's very, very, it's very collectivist in terms of what this technology affords us because the more data it has, the smarter it gets. The more you share computational resources, the smarter it gets. Now that's not saying that the maximally, you know, thing is just everything should be open source and free forever because there is still some, some competition. But I am not joking when I say in the long run, I suspect that artificial intelligence will be the unifying force that creates a unified global humanity. Now I'm not saying like a one world government that's going to control everyone forever. I do think eventually it would make sense to have a, a layer above federal governments where you have, you know, a global government. But I think it should be again, federal, where it's basically all the nation states are treated like states. And here in America where there's some level of autonomy anyways, yeah, it's, it's really, really difficult to, to oversell the long term geopolitical, social and technological impact of the fact that artificial intelligence seems to be intrinsically democratic. That is just how the math has played out. No monopolies. And that, and the fact that there are no monopolies applies also to nations as well as companies. So we're heading towards what I call cognitive hyperabundance. All right, so let me just put it into perspective. Right now there are global. The global estimates are about 15 to 20 million doctorates. So that's PhDs, MDs, ED Ds, you know, you know, if you're, if you're, if you're, if your title ends with doctorate, you know, PhD, that's, you know, doctorate of physics or doctor, sorry, doctorate of philosophy or MD, medical doctorate, then there are only 15 to 20 million of you in the world. That's not enough. Like, we are we. And it takes time to make new human PhDs. So if you want to cure cancer, guess what? You have to find people that are smart enough to help you cure cancer. If you want to get to Mars, you, you have to find people that are smart enough to help you build rockets. And by the way, one PhD is not fungible for another PhD. If you have a PhD in cell microbiology, then that is not going to help you to get to Mars unless you need like biofuels or something. But when we, as we develop and deploy these technologies, we're going to turn this up by a factor of 1000. Because imagine if, you know, in basically probably by the end of this year or next year, we have the equivalent of 15 to 20 billion PhDs on the planet. And they can do any top, like, anything. Like, again, that's why I keep saying like. And I'm driving this point home. You cannot oversell the long term scientific and economic impact of what is happening right now. I mean, yeah, so just cognitive hyperabundance, that's what we're heading for. Let's talk about some of the risks though, as promised. So the risk of this is, number one, cyber risks. These things can already write code and you can jailbreak them and they can write malicious code. So basically that means any bored teenager or, you know, disgruntled federal employee or whoever can write great software viruses. And now what I will say, one mitigating factor though, is that just because one disgruntled person has AGI in their pocket or super intelligence in their pocket, so does every IT department, so does every firewall, eventually. So I'm not as worried about cyber risks because there's always an arms race, like, oh, you know, you get a faster computer. Well, guess what, the cybersecurity experts also got faster computers. You get artificial superintelligence. Guess what, the other, the red, you know, the blue team, so it's, you know, red Team and Blue Team experience.

B (19:46)

A membership that backs what you're building with American Express Business Platinum. Enjoy complimentary access to the American Express Global Lounge collection and a welcome offer of 200,000 points after you spend $20,000 on purchases on the card within your first three months of membership. American Express Business Platinum. There's nothing like it. Terms apply. Learn more@americanexpress.com Business Platinum.

C (20:14)

Shopping is hard, right? But I found a better way. Stitch fix online Personal styling makes it easy. I just give my stylist my size, style and budget preferences. I order boxes when I want and how I want. No subscription required. And he sends just for me pieces, plus outfit recommendations and styling tips. I keep what works and send back the rest. It's so easy. Make style easy. Get started today@stitchfix.com Spotify that's stitchfix.com Spotify. Your planet is now marked for death. Marvel Studios the Fantastic Four First Steps is now streaming on Disney. We will protect you as a family. Line em up, Johnny Marvel's first family is certified fresh on Rotten Tomatoes. That is fantastic. And critics say it's one of the best superhero movies of all time. Marvel Studios the Fantastic Four first steps now streaming on Disney Plus. Rated PG 13. What time is it, Ben? It's clobber DIII. Blue Team also gets the same tools. Now, what I've mentioned before, though, is that to me, the greatest risk is always the bio. Like, bioweapons. Because, you know, state actors, rational state actors, they know, like, hey, I'm not gonna benefit from releasing a bioweapon that kills everyone. We already saw that with COVID Don't do that. That's just nobody, nobody wins in that situation. That's a lose lose. So that's a. That's basically the same game theory as mutually assured destruction. So, like, nobody launches the first nuke. Because if you launch a nuke, everyone loses. It's kind of like you know, someone. Just like, if you get angry and like, you just throw the Monopoly board, everyone loses. Likewise, rational state actors are probably after the COVID pandemic, probably not going to release bioweapons. That doesn't mean that an irrational actor, like a terrorist organization or a rogue state, like North Korea won't just say, ha ha ha, if I can't win, nobody wins. You know, like, like a Littlefinger from Game of Thrones, like, chaos is a ladder, right? Psychopaths think like that. So there might be some psychopath out there that says, you know what? I'm going to use this technology to make a bioweapon just because I think it'll be funny, right? Some people think like that. So those are the biggest risks in my view. Now, some people will say, well, what about, you know, upsetting the jobs and blah, blah, blah, blah. Look, if we have cognitive hyperabundance, your needs are going to get met. That's long story short, like, you're not going to starve. You're not going to go homeless. We will figure that out. I have that much faith in humanity. Now, everyone's role in AI advancement, by this point, you might be saying, well, okay, there's nothing I can do. You don't have to do anything, right? Like, I. I wanted to. I tried to do that for a little while. I was like, you know what? I'm just gonna let it play out. And. And eventually I got bored, and I was like, you know what? I still have a role to play. Actually, it was Julia convinced me that I still had a role to play because I wrote a tweet. And this is Julia McCoy, by the way. I wrote a tweet saying, like, I can just kick back and relax and just let it play out because I have no contribution to make. And she's like, that's not true, Dave. And I'm like, all right, you're right. She's. She's. We call her team Mom. I call her team Mom. She's like, no, that's not true. Anyways, so what can you do? Not everyone is going to be doing core research. Not everyone needs to be working at OpenAI. Basically, once the thing exists, and the thing already exists, we have all these AIs out there, and there's more and more coming every day. If you can get into core AI research, great, go do that. But that's only the first piece of the puzzle. Education. So if you can teach people, you teach friends, family, co workers. If you can teach a business, if you can teach on the Internet.

B (23:54)

Running a business comes with a lot of what ifs, but luckily, there's a simple answer to them. Shopify. It's the commerce platform behind millions of businesses, including Thrive Cosmetics and Momofuku. And it'll help you with everything you need. From website design and marketing to boosting sales and expanding operations. Shopify can get the job done and make your dream a reality. Turn those what ifs into Sign up for your $1 per month trial at shopify.com specialoffer. VRBO helps you swap gift wrap time for quality time. Go to VRBO now and book a Last minute week long stay and save over $390 this holiday season. Book your next vacation rental home on VRBox. Average savings $396. Select homes only.

C (24:38)

Teach everyone that you can about AI. How to use it. What is it good for? What is it not good for? Then you can deploy it. If you actually use it in your life or your business. Share that the more you deploy this stuff, the harder you push, the faster it will get adopted. So it's, you know, adoption, acceleration, deployment and integration. That's everything. Also, my dog is trying to initiate some wrestling with me. I know making videos is boring. We should just play with the dogs. Also, if you want to know what to do, get dogs. I'm serious. Because dogs don't care about AI. All they care about is like love, affection, food, good walks and quality time together. They are so immediate. I need to take them for a walk after this. Anyways, so deployment and then best practices. So best practices. Basically I kind of make. I break best practices down there. We go into two overarching categories. Number one is what is it good for? How do you use it? And then number two is how do you not use it? What is it not good for? What problems can't it solve? So you Capacity and constraints is kind of the two Cs. So capacity constraint, what can you use it for? What can you not use it for? Knowing what something can't do is just as valuable as knowing as what it can do. And then finally, network effects. So this is where I'll end and basically saying, you won't necessarily know the impact that you're having. I don't even know the impact that I'm having. But every now and then I get someone messaging me saying, you know, Dave, this video that you made a year ago inspired me and now I'm doing all this other stuff. Or Dave, this thing that you published, like solved so many problems for me and it generated, you know, $10 million of revenue and nobody has given me a commission check for that yet. Anyways, just saying if you want to pay me for any help that I've rendered, that would be great. Yeah, so the network effects, you often don't see the impact that you're having, but that's how it works. So anyways, thanks for watching to the end and I'll check you next time. Bye.