Podcast
Avory - Markets and Investing
Hosted by Avory & Co. · EN
Around the Desk: This is where we at Avory think out loud, challenge narratives, and look for signal through the noise. Each episode, the Avory & Co. team dives into what’s moving markets, how companies are performing, and where opportunities may be forming. We break down earnings, macro trends, and investor sentiment — all from the lens of a concentrated, high-conviction portfolio.
*** The views expressed on Avory Podcast: Around the Desk are those of the hosts and guests and do not constitute investment advice. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon to make investment decisions. All investments involve risk, including potential loss of capital. Avory & Co. may hold positions in the companies discussed.
15episodes
Episodes
Newest firstAll episodes
What Data Says About Oil Spike, Vix Spike, and AI
Mar 1300:23:10Tap to summarizeIn this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., walks through several market signals that stood out this week.Markets are seeing multiple spikes simultaneously:• Oil prices jumping sharply• Volatility surging• Corporate insider buying rising in financials• Massive AI infrastructure spending from hyperscalersRather than reacting to headlines, we step back and ask the more important question: what do these signals historically mean for markets?00:00 Market Signals Overview01:51 Disclaimer and Setup02:10 Oil Spike Playbook03:34 VIX Volatility Spike04:32 Software and AI Reset06:24 Consumer Liquidity Boost07:36 Financial Insider Buying08:26 Oil Impact and Scenarios10:37 Election Incentives11:39 AI Adoption Trends15:33 CapEx Winners and Apple16:57 AI Market Structure and Ads21:28 Earnings Week Ahead22:13 Wrap Up and Key TakeawaysHosted bySean EmoryFounder & Chief Investment OfficerAvory & Co.Websitewww.avory.xyzDisclaimerThis presentation is for informational purposes only and does not constitute an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to buy or sell any security. Past performance is not indicative of future results. All opinions expressed are as of the date of recording and are subject to change without notice. Any securities discussed may or may not remain in the portfolio. Please consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.© 2026 Avory & Co. All rights reserved.
Transcribe →What did we learn from NVIDIA and Software this Week?
Feb 2700:27:51Tap to summarizeAI vs SaaS: Seat + Consumption Can CoexistSalesforce, Workday, Nvidia, Zoom, Block | Around the DeskThis week on Around the Desk, Sean Emory breaks down a pivotal week for AI and enterprise software.Are seat-based models being replaced?Or is AI expanding the value of platforms?Using earnings and data from Salesforce, Workday, Nvidia, Zoom, and Block, Sean argues AI is enhancing durable platforms, not eliminating them. The winners are likely multi-product ecosystems with compliance depth, proprietary data, and embedded workflows. Not point solutions.00:00 Welcome and Disclaimer00:43 AI vs SaaS Big Week02:13 Platforms vs Point Solutions03:46 Salesforce Seats + Agents07:06 Jobs Data10:08 Buybacks + Workday12:07 Inflation + Breadth14:17 Nvidia + Valuations17:26 AI Adoption + Limits19:03 Capitulation Setup22:08 Portfolio Updates26:19 ClosingDisclaimerThis content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. The views expressed are as of the recording date and may change. The host and affiliated entities may hold positions in the companies discussed. Investing involves risk, including potential loss of principal. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.© 2026 Avory & Co. All rights reserved.
Transcribe →Are we closing in on a Software Bottom or No?
Feb 2000:14:56Tap to summarizeIn this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., walks through the key market signals this week and asks a central question:Are we getting close to a bottom in software?Insiders are buying.Business formations are surging.Software job postings are rising.App creation is accelerating.Yet sentiment remains stretched.We break down what the data is actually saying. 00:00 Welcome + Disclosures 00:41 AI & Software Focus 01:20 Insider Buying Spike 02:50 Tariffs Update 05:25 Business Formation Surge 06:27 Travel & Dining Stable 06:58 Software Washout Signal 08:41 AI vs Jobs Data 10:05 App Creation Surge 11:08 Zoom + Car Wash Update 12:37 Big Earnings Week 13:50 Are We Near a Bottom? AI is reshaping software. But the data suggests expansion, not contraction.Hosted by:Sean Emory : Founder & Chief Investment Officer, Avory & Co. https://www.avory.xyz📩 Questions: team@avoryco.com🎙 Podcast: Around the Desk📺 YouTube: @AvoryCoDisclaimerThis content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Opinions expressed are as of the recording date and are subject to change. We may hold positions in companies discussed. Investing involves risk, including potential loss of principal. Please conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.© 2026 Avory & Co. All rights reserved.
Transcribe →The AI Scare Trade: Jensen Says Its Illogical - We Agree
Feb 1300:21:32Tap to summarizeIn this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., breaks down the recent software selloff and the broader AI scare trade.Inflation is cooling.Jobs are stable.Earnings are holding up.Yet parts of software are trading as if AI is about to eliminate entire business models.Does that make sense?Chapters:00:00 Welcome + Disclaimer00:40 Software Selloff vs AI Boom02:20 Inflation Cooling: CPI, Break-evens, Rates03:55 Jobs & Wages: Stability vs AI Fears07:00 Zillow: Growth in a Flat Market08:10 Airbnb: Global Growth + AI Tailwinds08:45 The AI Scare Trade11:05 Bonds Calm, Stocks Volatile12:10 If AI Wins: Model Layer + Zoom’s Anthropic Upside15:50 What Flips the Narrative: CapEx, Valuations, Retention, Buybacks19:05 Positioning: Earnings Up, Prices Down20:55 Closing: AI Expands Software, Not Shrinks ItWe cover macro signals, earnings from Zillow and Airbnb, headline-driven AI panic across industries, why credit markets look far calmer than equities, and the asymmetric upside in model-layer winners.AI is transformative. But transformation does not automatically mean extinction.When narrative and fundamentals diverge, opportunity can emerge.—Hosted by:Sean Emory — Founder & Chief Investment Officer, Avory & Co.https://www.avory.xyzQuestions: team@avoryco.comPodcast: Around the DeskYouTube: @AvoryCo—Disclaimer:This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer, or a solicitation to buy or sell any security. Opinions expressed are as of the recording date and are subject to change. We may hold positions in companies discussed. Investing involves risk, including loss of principal. Please conduct your own research or consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.© 2026 Avory & Co. All rights reserved.
Transcribe →Is Software Dead? and What Big Tech's Spending Reveals About the Future...
Feb 600:18:12Tap to summarizeIn this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder and Chief Investment Officer at Avory & Co., steps back from the AI noise to focus on what actually matters right now.Using recent earnings from Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta, this conversation breaks down what the massive AI CapEx buildout really signals, how different business models monetize AI very differently, and why many of the fears around software disruption may be overstated.This episode explores AI through a capital allocation lens, separating defensive spending from offensive opportunity, and what Big Tech behavior tells us about the true health of the underlying economy.Topics covered include:• The scale of Big Tech AI CapEx and why it matters more than feature launches • Defensive vs offensive AI spending and how to think about moats • Why AI CapEx is also an economic confidence signal • Different monetization paths at Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, and Google • Why Meta may be the cleanest AI beneficiary • The narrative vs data gap around Google Search and AI disruption • Why the “AI breaks software” panic may be overdone • Enterprise security, governance, and why AI rollout feels fast and slow at the same time • Platforms vs single-purpose tools and where risk actually sits • What recent software earnings say about demand, renewals, and long-term contracts • How AI likely becomes embedded inside platforms rather than replacing themThis conversation is for informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice. Avory & Co. may hold positions in some of the companies discussed. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions._____DisclaimerAvory is not an investor in either company mentioned. .Avory & Co. is a Registered Investment Adviser. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Avory & Co. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. No advice may be rendered by Avory & Co. unless a client service agreement is in place.Listeners and viewers are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.“Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors, or our services. While we monitor comments and “likes,” we do not endorse or necessarily share the opinions expressed by site users. Any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please limit posts to industry-related educational information and comments.Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation.Please reach out to Houston Hess, our Head of Compliance and Operations, for any further details.
Transcribe →Inside Dollar General & Dollar Tree: with TSOH Investing Owner Alex Morris
Jan 601:06:39Tap to summarizeIn this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder and CIO of Avory & Co., sits down with Alex Morris of TSOH Investment Research to unpack investing philosophy, portfolio construction, and the real fundamentals behind dollar store economics.Alex shares his path into finance, the influence of Warren Buffett, and why transparency and process matter in research. The conversation then dives deep into Dollar General (DG) and Dollar Tree (DLTR), covering store traffic, margin pressure, capital allocation, and how these businesses are adapting amid competitive and operational challenges.A grounded, fundamentals-first discussion on how mature retailers evolve, where risks remain, and what ultimately drives long-term value.Chapters00:00 Intro & Guest Welcome01:16 Alex’s Background & Investing Roots03:51 Research Process & Transparency05:07 Core Investment Philosophy07:05 Baseball Analogies & Decision-Making10:13 Portfolio Construction & Concentration12:11 Dollar General Overview14:19 Competitive Landscape (Walmart, Amazon)16:40 Pandemic Impact & E-commerce18:21 Margin Pressure & Execution Risks21:39 Store Growth & Home Depot Analogy44:15 Dollar Tree vs. Dollar General52:31 Capital Allocation & Valuation60:26 Key Takeaways62:40 Where to Find Alex & OutroFind his book: Buffett and Munger Unscripted: - https://www.amazon.com/Buffett-Munger-Unscripted-Investment-Shareholder/dp/1804091413DisclaimerAvory is an investor in Block.Avory & Co. is a Registered Investment Adviser. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Avory & Co. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. No advice may be rendered by Avory & Co. unless a client service agreement is in place.Listeners and viewers are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.“Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors, or our services. While we monitor comments and “likes,” we do not endorse or necessarily share the opinions expressed by site users. Any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please limit posts to industry-related educational information and comments.Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation.Please reach out to Houston Hess, our Head of Compliance and Operations, for any further details.
Transcribe →Fireside Chat with Fiverr Founder and CEO Micah Kaufman
Dec 900:38:59Tap to summarizeThis fireside chat with Micha Kaufman, founder and CEO of Fiverr, hosted by Sean Emory and the Avory team. The discussion covers Fiverr's origin story, its evolution into a leading global freelance marketplace, and the dynamics of its two-sided platform connecting buyers and sellers across nearly 800 service categories. Micha explains how Fiverr has adapted to changing trends, including the rise of AI, and highlights the company's focus on trust, repeat business, and expanding services for both small businesses and large enterprises. The conversation also touches on Fiverr's financial growth, operational strategies, and vision for the future, emphasizing its resilience and leadership in the digital services economy.DisclaimerAvory is an investor in Block.Avory & Co. is a Registered Investment Adviser. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Avory & Co. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. No advice may be rendered by Avory & Co. unless a client service agreement is in place.Listeners and viewers are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.“Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors, or our services. While we monitor comments and “likes,” we do not endorse or necessarily share the opinions expressed by site users. Any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please limit posts to industry-related educational information and comments.Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation.Please reach out to Houston Hess, our Head of Compliance and Operations, for any further details.
Transcribe →Block Q3 Postmortem: Foot on Gas No Breaks.
Nov 700:13:30Tap to summarizeBlock Q3 2025 Post-Mortem: Acceleration With An AI EnginePost MortemIn this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., breaks down why Block is re-accelerating across Cash App and Square, how Borrow economics compound inside the ecosystem, and why Goose AI is the quiet operating layer powering efficiency and product velocity.DisclaimerAvory is an investor in Block.Avory & Co. is a Registered Investment Adviser. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Avory & Co. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. No advice may be rendered by Avory & Co. unless a client service agreement is in place.Listeners and viewers are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.“Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors, or our services. While we monitor comments and “likes,” we do not endorse or necessarily share the opinions expressed by site users. Any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please limit posts to industry-related educational information and comments.Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client’s evaluation.Please reach out to Houston Hess, our Head of Compliance and Operations, for any further details.
Transcribe →Google Q3 2025 Postmortem: Why the market likes it...
Oct 3000:08:04Tap to summarizeGoogle Q3 2025 Post-Mortem: AI Execution Over AI HypePost MortemIn this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., breaks down why investors are rewarding Google’s spending while punishing others, and how its strategy from TPUs to Gemini shows real ROI in the new compute era.We cover:• Revenue acceleration across Search, YouTube, and Cloud (+15% to +34%)• Gemini’s rapid growth to 650M users, 300M paid• Why CAPEX to $93B is seen as productive, not reckless• Anthropic’s commitment to TPUs and the growing Cloud backlog (+46%)• How AI integration is lifting engagement and monetization• Why Google’s AI flywheel looks more efficient than peersDisclaimer Avory is an investor in AlphabetAvory & Co. is a Registered Investment Adviser. This platform is solely for informational purposes. Advisory services are only offered to clients or prospective clients where Avory & Co. and its representatives are properly licensed or exempt from licensure. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns. Investing involves risk and possible loss of principal capital. No advice may be rendered by Avory & Co. unless a client service agreement is in place.Listeners and viewers are encouraged to seek advice from a qualified tax, legal, or investment adviser to determine whether any information presented may be suitable for their specific situation. Past performance is not indicative of future performance.“Likes” are not intended to be endorsements of our firm, our advisors or our services. Please be aware that while we monitor comments and “likes” left on this page, we do not endorse or necessarily share the same opinions expressed by site users. While we appreciate your comments and feedback, please be aware that any form of testimony from current or past clients about their experience with our firm is strictly forbidden under current securities laws. Please honor our request to limit your posts to industry-related educational information and comments. Third-party rankings and recognitions are no guarantee of future investment success and do not ensure that a client or prospective client will experience a higher level of performance or results. These ratings should not be construed as an endorsement of the advisor by any client nor are they representative of any one client's evaluation.Please reach out to Houston Hess our head of Compliance and Operations for any further details.
Transcribe →Meta Q3 2025 Post-Mortem: AI Spend vs ROI
Oct 3000:07:37Tap to summarizeMeta just reported Q3 earningsRevenue up +26% Y/Y, engagement accelerating, and yet the stock fell 8%.In this episode of Around the Desk, Sean Emory, Founder & CIO of Avory & Co., breaks down why the market is suddenly questioning Meta’s $70B+ AI spending plans, what this means for ROI, and whether we’re entering “Metaverse 2.0” territory.We explore: • Why Meta’s core business is stronger than ever • How AI infrastructure is driving engagement and ad performance • Why investors are beginning to push back on CAPEX at all costs • The tension between long-term vision and near-term returns • What this shift could mean for broader AI infrastructure players⚡ Clear growth, rising scrutiny: Meta’s results mark a turning point in how markets judge AI investment.
Transcribe →