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Ryan Sean Adams
Foreign. Station is the first week of March. It's time for the bankless weekly roll up. We've got a war going on and so what are the wartime markets look like? How did the markets react to the conflict in Iran? We also have to talk about the flight to safety asset. What was it? Was it gold, was it bitcoin, was it something else?
David Hoffman
And then Trump domestically has taken a side on stablecoin yields, choosing crypto over the banks. Some very loud tweets both from Trump and Trump Jr. About the clarity act and how the banks need to fall in line. Some real good drama on the timeline this week.
Ryan Sean Adams
More bad news for the banks to Kraken is going bankless. They get a bank license of some sort, access to Fed wire and I think that's pretty bullish. A historic first.
David Hoffman
Can you go bankless by becoming a bank? Does that work? I think they don't have any banks anymore. They are one.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yes. I mean this is a long standing bankless prediction let's say. I mean we, we always thought the crypto banks, the exchanges we called them crypto banks from the very, very beginning would become more bank like over time and now they're, they're actually becoming banks at this point. That's pretty bullish though for crypto I'd say. Also Eric Voorhees, AI Crypto Privacy Project. We're going to talk about that. Is this the AI plus crypto fusion we've been waiting for?
David Hoffman
Also AAVE loses a key contributor just after it lost another one just a couple of weeks ago. Zach XBT catches a criminal who stole $46 million from the government. And then of course the bottom signal of all bottom signals in New York Times, right a writes a crypto is dead article. So we're going to read that article to you here on the show. But before we do, we're going to talk to our friends and sponsors over at Figure Figures, the number one non bank HELOC lender in the United States, HELOC Home equity line of credit. If you own home, you probably know what that is. They're bringing institutional grade defi to you. They have crypto backed loans offering like 8.9% at 50% LTV with your Bitcoin held in segregated MPC custody. Not pooled, not rehypothecated. So they also offer liquidation protection for volatile markets if that's your deal. But I think the really cool thing from Figure Ryan is the democratized prime. So instead of Wall street funding figures, home equity loans, you can, there's this token ylds, it's the first SEC registered yield bearing sharing stablecoin. You take that token, you lend it into figures, loan pools, while DS earns 3.8% as a base, but then lending it out gets you all the way up to 9%. And that who are you? Who are you loaning it to? You're loaning it to people who have mortgages or crypto collateralized loans. So bankless CC figure they use the blockchain to service their loans and they pass the savings back on to you.
Ryan Sean Adams
You should be a tokenized landlord here, huh?
David Hoffman
A defi landlord.
Ryan Sean Adams
Is that what you are? I think something like that. David. Let's talk about the big news on the week.
David Hoffman
Saturday morning, February 28th, all of us woke up realizing that we had gone into conflict with Iran. We had killed the Ayatollah Khamenei. Not like a few hours into the conflict, there's a joint conflict with both the US and Israel doing targeting strikes all over the entire country. Ayatollah Khamenei killed in just a few hours. But the conflict has been going on and on and on. It continues today. We were five, now six days into it, the Iranian response, they just launched missiles and drone attacks against the United States, Israel, and then also a lot of the allies in the region. So Qatar, the United States, Arabs, Arab Emirates, the Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Kuwait, kind of just like spraying their drones all over the region. The Revolutionary Guard, the way that this started to impact financial markets, closed the Strait of Hormuz, which is the large artery of oil that comes out of Iran, shutting that down, which when that happens, the perceived price of oil is about to go up. So the markets had to digest that. About 20% of globally traded oil moves through the Strait of Iranian.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, it's not. That's not just Iranian oil, is it? It's like oil from the entire region, right? Yeah.
David Hoffman
So that's why so much, right? Yeah. Oil jumped to about $80 a barrel. Some speculators, some analysts speculated that prices could go up to $120 if the Strait remains blocked or dangerous.
Ryan Sean Adams
That was up. So this is from like $65 per barrel, right?
David Hoffman
Yeah, yeah.
Ryan Sean Adams
It's quite a jump.
David Hoffman
So I think that is something that the markets are watching very closely. I think, Ryan, the markets are pricing in that the strait won't be closed for that long.
Ryan Sean Adams
Okay.
David Hoffman
Mainly because the entire Iranian fleet is completely decimated. So their means to keep these straight over muse closed is likely not that substantial.
Ryan Sean Adams
It's still closed at the time of recording.
David Hoffman
I believe it is still closed at the time of recording. I looked it up this morning and there was nothing to suggest that it was open.
Ryan Sean Adams
Okay, so this is year to date, the price of oil has spiked almost 40% year to date. I mean on the one year though it's not, it's not kind of at. Well, it's close to all time highs let's say. But on the five year timeline in 2022, actually in June of 2022, oil was up to $115 per barrel. I'm going over these numbers because I don't often look at the oil prices. I don't know if you do, but most of the time oil manifests in my life at the price of the pump when you're refilling the car or something like that. So that has definitely been part of the market reaction to this. Oil has increased. What about the safe haven asset? Because if there's wartime, there's usually a class of assets that respond in kind that people, investors pour money into them as sort of the hafe, the safe haven. In times of uncertainty, you'd think one of those assets would be gold, the historic multi thousand year safe haven asset.
David Hoffman
Safe haven asset, yeah, right. Well, what happened to gold?
Ryan Sean Adams
It was not the case. Spot gold actually fell below 5,100 per ounce. And silver also fell. At first gold was up after this news, but then it kind of spiked down. Not by a large percentage. I mean we're talking like 1 to 2 to 3% or so since the conflict began. But gold was not a safe haven asset for this particular news. Here's a quote from a Reuters article. Instead of piling into gold, investors seem to sprint for dollar cash, offloading anything that caught a speculative head of steam before last weekend's attack. So that gives a hint to what the safe haven asset actually was. David, it was the dollar, the good old fashioned greenback. Okay, so the DXY went up, approached 100 or so. So it was up about 2%. And dollars actually proved themselves to be the safe haven asset, at least in the initial phases of this conflict. So you got oil spiking, you got dollars doing fine. Gold trading down a little bit. U.S. bonds, they were also down. So bonds were not the safe haven asset. Normally in a crisis, like a geopolitical crisis, people would buy bonds and prices would go up. You know, the bonds would be U.S. government bonds would be a safe haven asset. That's the classic flight to safety. But this time the 10 year treasury yield actually rose to about 4.1, 2%. So yields are rising and bonds selling off. And a lot of analysts are saying the reason for this is because the market's primary fear isn't entirely risk off or recession. It's more inflationary. Right. And so inflation as a result goes up.
David Hoffman
When energy costs go up, that, that increases the price of everything, which is inflation. Which means that like, you know, you don't want to have your, your capital as exposed to inflation, which is where bonds are.
Ryan Sean Adams
That's exactly what the market reaction has been. So the oil spike is causing people to think inflation is going to stay, stay for, for longer and that gives the Fed less leeway to actually cut. The new Fed chair, you know, maybe he's not able to cut as much as he would have if inflation was, was going down. Okay, now how about stocks? How did they react to this?
David Hoffman
Yeah, so there was definitely some volatility in the morning, S and P on Monday. So we announced the, the conflict Saturday morning. So we had all of Saturday and Sunday to go through. S and P opened up on Monday down pretty hard, but then it closed essentially flat on Monday. On Tuesday, the stock market fell once again pretty strongly. Felt like 1% as like, I think the market started to digest, like, oh, this is not a simple operation. This is not a weekend operation or a week long operation. We're going to be here for a while. So like Tuesday was a pretty, pretty bad day in the market. Kind of a bloodbath. Wednesday, yesterday, from the time of recording, everything recovered. So I think we actually are higher now than when we opened up on the week. And so like Wednesday was a very, very green day. One of the greener days I've seen in like over a month, really so far on the week, Ryan SPY, the SPX and QQQ, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ indices both up a quarter of a percent on the week, which I would consider in the grand scheme of things, inside of the range of noise. And so you're like, definitely some volatility in the market, but ultimately we're doing okay. Interestingly, Bitcoin up 8%, Ether up 10%. Like, you know, crypto assets are volatile, so 8%, 10%. You know, that can happen in any given week. But the fact that it happened on the week that a. One of the most major conflicts in the Middle east has happened in decades, kind of, kind of notable.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah. I saw an analyst talk about the stock performance as surprisingly benign. Like stocks just kind of shrugged it off, didn't do a thing. We're not worried about this. It is sort of weird that crypto had such a rebound and much of this rebound came on Wednesday. I don't know if that's noise in the market or just some sort of mean reversion or if this is. I don't know, this speaks to how the market is actually thinking about crypto assets like, like bitcoin and ether, but certainly from the, you know, stock trader perspective, not worried about this conflict at all.
David Hoffman
Yeah, I am. I don't know if we're ever going to get this, but the irgc, the Iranian military, is one of the biggest users of crypto because of all the sanctions that are placed on Iran. And so they absolutely have stockpiles of bitcoin.
Ryan Sean Adams
Really?
David Hoffman
Oh, yeah.
Ryan Sean Adams
You have sources for that. You've seen this? I know that they were using, like,
David Hoffman
this is a known thing, like tether,
Ryan Sean Adams
and there was some freezing related to that. I didn't actually. I've not ever read anything or seen any data on how much bitcoin or ether or other crypto assets they actually had or are using.
David Hoffman
I think a lot of the data is just missing or incomplete. But we do know that crypto broadly is used to facilitate oil trades between China and Iran. I don't know if it's like every single deal or. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah. Again, we don't know to the scope. Maybe it's small, maybe it's large. We do know that the people of Iran have a distaste for crypto because the irgc, the, the, the military that like, murders those people, uses crypto very heavily to finance their operations. Again, we don't know the full scope of those things, but, like, that is a thread that I'm hoping kind of gets pulled just for just what, like postmortem when hopefully the IRGC is gone and we can like, actually do an autopsy of like, everything. It's like, how. What were they doing? How were they doing it? What were they using Bitcoin or stablecoins for? So, like, we're kind of just seeing whatever, to whatever degree that they were using Bitcoin. We will be seeing the, you know, results of that, the shape of that in the market today, but we won't really know about it until the future.
Ryan Sean Adams
So the story here, the big story when I see this market reaction, is that the hierarchy of what is a safe haven asset has really shifted the flight to safety. It was the dollar, it wasn't US Bonds. Gold went down. So this, this shows maybe some inflation worries and stocks pretty much Benign crypto had a bounce. That could be market noise, that could be for some other reasons, but it definitely not what I would have anticipated. In this type of conflict, war type scenario, there was a lot of market activity on Polymarket. So Polymarket had its second largest day ever. Daily notional trading volumes spiked to almost $500 million. And a lot of this was the war driven, the conflict driven flows.
David Hoffman
Geopolitics.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, geopolitics. The markets alone contributed about 220 million that day. And indeed there's a lot of fantastic information markets on polymarket predicting various outcomes of this war. So this is one. Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? First, this has been spiking in different ways throughout the week. It was as high as 30%. It's now trading lower to 12%.
David Hoffman
In the grand scheme of things, March 31 is not far away. That's 25 days for an entire regime to fall. So you, I think you would expect volatility in this market.
Ryan Sean Adams
Well, there's April one, here's April's 23% chance, June 40% chance, and by the end of this year, 50% chance.
David Hoffman
There is millions of dollars of volume on the. On the March 31st, I think there was something like 20/8 million million dollars of volume on this one. On December 31st 7, $8 million of volume. The second largest day ever of Polymarket volume, as you said, the first being US Election day. So daily notional volume on one particular day this week, 487 million. U.S. election Day, $531 million.
Ryan Sean Adams
Wow.
David Hoffman
Also does kind of like throw a flag at the notion that prediction markets are all sports gambling. Polymarket has a very distributed volume categories across all the different categories. And global Geopolitics is one of the biggest ones. Yeah.
Ryan Sean Adams
And these are fascinating markets, I got to say, whenever there's conflict going. How about this one? Well, you know about this story. So Reza. How do you pronounce Reza's last name?
David Hoffman
Reza Pahlavi. Pahlavi.
Ryan Sean Adams
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? And there's an 18% probability of that. He was. Is he kind of an ousted.
David Hoffman
He is the son of the former crown. Pri. Crown. The former Shah. He's the son of the former Shah. So people call him the Crown Prince.
Ryan Sean Adams
And he's in exile in the U.S. right now.
David Hoffman
Exile in the U.S. yeah. So he's been like. He is the name that the Iranian protesters are chanting in the streets. And he has a team of people to establish a. What he calls a democratic Transition. So he just wants to be this, this figurehead to transition Iran from where it is now to a democracy. So when I see this polymarket market saying an 80% chance that Iran, that he will lead Iran, that's like 18% chance that Iran gets democracy this year, which is higher than it's ever been in the last 47 years.
Ryan Sean Adams
One interesting tie off from our story last week. Remember we ended the week and we were talking about the DoD versus anthropic. They were in a scuffle. Well, that escalated on the Friday that we, you know, finished recording. And what's interesting about this is Claude was actually used in the Iranian strikes. So for things like intel purposes, US Central Command in the Middle east used Claude for intel purposes. Claude was used for intelligence assessments, target identification, simulating battle scenarios. The US Government, though, is phasing Claude out because on Friday, the, I guess the scuffle that the DoD had with anthropic escalated to the point that Trump and Pete Hegseth, the Secretary of War, said that they were banning Claude from all government use. And they were also going to put them, designate them as potentially a supply chain risk, which that's somewhat vague, but it means that other US Government contractors can also not use Anthropic and Claude.
David Hoffman
Yeah, yeah, this was, and this was just a threat, by the way. This was not actually gone through in an actual like court order or whatever that would need to become, to become reality. So so far that, that is just a threat. But, but Dario, the, the founder, CEO of Anthropic, they requested a unadulterated version of Claude. The US Government, the Department of Defense did, where there was basically no constraints on Claude. And they wanted said no. Our two hard lines are no mass surveillance.
Ryan Sean Adams
That's right.
David Hoffman
United States citizens, and no autonomous weapons. And then Pete Hegseth, the Department of War guy, was like, you don't get to tell us what to do. And Dario said, well, I'm not giving you what you want. And so that's what escalated and they canceled the contract.
Ryan Sean Adams
And they also said that potentially they would be a supply chain risk. The US Government labeled Anthropic as hostile software. This is Trump. Anthropic better get its act together. I will use the full power of the presidency to make them comply. It's crazy.
David Hoffman
That is the largest like, targeting, threatening of a United States company. That doesn't, that doesn't happen. Like, we don't just like randomly, or not randomly, but we don't just like, say this company is a risk to American national security, that has never happened. Unprecedented.
Ryan Sean Adams
A large number of things going on here, of course with this story. It's like one is AI, clearly is military technology, isn't it? I mean it was used.
David Hoffman
I want to know what it's like to use Claude for military purposes. Are they typing in like how, how do I strike the IRGC base? Oh my God, I have no idea.
Ryan Sean Adams
I imagine it's, I imagine it's more sophisticated than that. There's also an OpenAI thread line here too. So Sam Altman came in and said okay, well if Anthropic sellers sees the opportunity, it's my opportunity.
David Hoffman
So Claude is out, ChatGPT is in.
Ryan Sean Adams
So OpenAI submitted a bid to replace Anthropic in a deal with the Pentagon. So basically if Anthropic's out, then maybe it's OpenAI's opportunity. There was many users actually migrated off of ChatGPT in favor of Claude just in, you know, given this news in protest. So Claude hit the number one spot on the Apple App Store and ChatGPT uninstalls surged by about 300%. This is costing ChatGPT in the PR department, isn't it?
David Hoffman
Yeah. So ChatGPT won the contract, the like $200 million plus contract. Anthropic lost it but, but Anthropic is gaining all of the retail users who are in support of Anthropic giving the middle finger to the department of War saying no, you can't use our software for weapons.
Ryan Sean Adams
There's actually a crypto chart for this that where Anthropic is trading on a platform called Ventuals. So this is bringing real world assets to hyper liquid perps I believe. And Anthropic is not just real world
David Hoffman
assets but like Anthropic is a private company and that's how they've somehow they've made you able to, to trade on that private company. Yeah, it's gotta be a synthetic market. So like unsure what is actually being traded here. Yeah but people are allegedly trading on private shares of Anthropic on a hyper liquid derivative market.
Ryan Sean Adams
So this is. Anthropic is implied valuation right now about $614 billion. And you can see here on the 28th it's spiking down to 470 billion or so before fully recovering, fully recovering to almost all time highs. So Anthropic from a price perspective at least if this price discovery is true, somewhat unbothered by all of this back and forth with the DoD in fact maybe is benefiting from it.
David Hoffman
Yeah. So I switched from ChatGPT to Cloud on the backs of this just because, I mean we did our AI safety episodes. I understand the AI plus military weapons. That's a thing that scares me. Is it inevitable? Probably. But like Claw's just better dude. It's just like a better product.
Ryan Sean Adams
I'm finding it so as well. I mean the new Opus model, seeing how it's being used with Open Claw, using it in Claude Cowork, which is a lot of my use case for it nowadays, like it's definitely surpassed everything. Like for me personally, I was a ChatGPT power user, but cloud is just a better product.
David Hoffman
It's just a better product.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, I didn't do anything out of protest, but like, I guess, yeah, it was more that. It's just drawing me because it's, it's a stronger product at this point. Mm.
David Hoffman
All right, coming up next, the power shift going on in dc. Crypto banks are gaining power versus the trad banks. Oh man, this is. It was a bad week to be a bank, Ryan. Let me tell you that. Kraken gets the historic First a Skinny Master account to fedwire. We're going to talk about what a Skinny Master account is. I know you're dying to know. And then Trump and Trump Jr. Tell banks they need to bend the knee to Coinbase and give people their stablecoin shields. Like I said, bad day debate being. We're going to talk about all that and more. But first, a message from some of these fantastic sponsors that make the show possible. Galaxy operates where digital assets and next generation infrastructure come together, serving institutions end to end. On the market side, Galaxy is a leading institutional platform providing access to spot derivatives, structured products, defi lending, investment banking and financing. With more than 1600 trading counterparties, Galaxy helps institutions navigate every phase of the market cycle. The platform also supports long term allocators through actively managed strategies and institutional grade staking and blockchain infrastructure. That scale is real. Galaxy has over $12 billion in assets on the platform and averaged a $1.8 billion loan book in late 2025, reflecting deep trust across the ecosystem. Beyond digital assets, Galaxy is also building infrastructure for an AI powered future. Its Helios Data center campus is purpose built for AI and high performance computing with 1.6 GW of approved power capacity making it one of the largest sites of its kind. From global markets to AI ready data centers, Galaxy is serving the digital asset ecosystem end to end. Explore galaxy@galaxy.com bankless or click the link in the show Notes World is a fully on chain exchange for spot perps and lending. All running through a universal margin system with a fully on chain matching engine. No trust me bro, backend, no shadow trading desk where the Venue trades against its users with World. The chain is the venue only possible on Mega Eth. World hosts the entire business logic of a Spot order book, a perps exchange and margin lending inside of a single on chain platform. When the entire exchange runs on chain, World can give its users the safety and sovereignty of DEFI with the scalability and liquidity of cefi. The secret sauce is the universal margin system on World. Every position nets out against every other because World leverages mega Eth scale to have the total computational assurances over the full state of user positions. This lets World treat your portfolio as one single account, allowing your yield, bearings, spot, unrealized P and L vault investments and loans to contribute towards your available margin. In effect, users make more money with less money. This is how real markets work in tradfi. And thanks to Mega Eth scalability, it is now fully possible on chain. Everything on World is denominated in USDM Mega ETH's native currency. Once you're funded, you can trade spot perps and loans from the same interface under one universal margin system. World is, as they say, better than sex. Make more money@world.inc or read the docs at docs.world.in, kraken becomes the first digital assets bank inside the United States. So there's Kraken Financial, which is not. Not the same entity as what like Kraken Exchange is, but it doesn't really matter. Subsidiary is a. It's a Kraken Wyoming Chartered bank becomes the first digital asset bank in the United States to plug in directly to the Fed to the Fed's payment infrastructure. This operates Kraken on the same rails as traditional banks. And there's a, there's a clip from Cynthia, Cynthia Lummis. Senator Cynthia Lummis about this. So let's go hear from this clip. Then we'll talk about why this is a big deal. This is going to be a huge asset.
Ryan Sean Adams
And today's announcement by Kraken that they now have access to a Skinny Master
David Hoffman
account is going to add another opportunity
Ryan Sean Adams
for the new integration of the fiat dollar with digital assets. This is a huge step forward.
David Hoffman
Very happy to see the Fed finally realize that we can integrate these financial
Ryan Sean Adams
products in a way that benefits Americans. Senator Lummis of course, is a Wyoming Senator. That's part of the reason she's so excited about this and she's also been a longtime crypto advocate. But why is this such a big deal?
David Hoffman
So you remember operation choke point 2.0, Ryan, where we were getting cut off from the banking industry and so if you wanted to get money into a crypto exchange or anything, well, you couldn't because they lost all of their banking access.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, that was the choke point. Right.
David Hoffman
You can't. Yeah, like they were choking us out, they were disconnecting us from the banking rails. You can't. And with, if Kraken or, and other crypto exchanges have direct access to the Fed, there's nothing to choke. They are the bank. And so we have completely. There's a, there's a famous Elon Musk quote where like the best part in a machine is no part. We took out the part of needing to have a bank to, to deposit money into so people can finance their, their accounts on Coinbase or Kraken or whatever. So, you know, you know, like, I don't know when's the last time you sent money to a crypto exchange, but like if you send money to Coinbase, you send money to like One River Financial or something like that.
Ryan Sean Adams
It's a corresponding bank that services Coinbase. Because Coinbase doesn't have this fedwire account.
David Hoffman
Exactly. If you want to send. Now, today, if you want to send money to Kraken, you send money to Kraken. You send money to like Kraken Financial. And so like we just cut out that, we cut out the banks because now Kraken is a bank. Now, how did we get here? What was the unlock that allowed for this? There's this thing called a Skinny Master account at the Fed. This was created in December of last year, so four months ago. So this is a brand new type of Fed account and Kraken Financial is the first and only entity who has a Skinny Master account. What is a Skinny Master account? What does it get you? What does it not get you? It does get you direct access to FedWire, the real time settlement system and the ability to clear and settle payments without any other intermediary banks. What it does not get you, this is the skinny part is you don't get interest on reserves, you don't get access to the Fed's discount window. So no emergency lending. You don't get daylight overdraft privileges. So if your balance hits zero, payments just get rejected. So you don't have, I guess like a buffer or whatever. And then there's also some, some potential balance caps. So like, the way I'll describe this is they get the payments, they don't get any of the banking.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yes.
David Hoffman
So there's like extra banking service products that Kraken will not be getting. I don't think they really care. They mostly just focus on the payments side of things. So they get access to fedwire and they can make payments using fedwire.
Ryan Sean Adams
The payments is a big deal. A Skinny Master account is a big deal because the way the banking system works and access to Fedwire works is there's about 4,500 different banks and credit unions that act as proof, almost like proof of stake validators on a permissioned fedwire network. Right. These are the only validators that can actually submit transactions for fedwire. And now Kraken is one of those validators.
David Hoffman
They're like, hey, we get to write the deposits and the credits in the books and you guys have to write those down too.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, it's very cool. And as you said, this is just payments only. So some people might think of the idea of like, oh, what about the idea of a narrow bank where you not only get Fed wire access privileges, but you also get some of those other bank privileges, the ability to get interest, the ability to participate in the Fed's discount window, that sort of thing. And if you had that next level of access, something that Kraken's not being given here, but if you had that, then you could create what some economists have called a narrow bank, which is essentially you wouldn't do any lending and borrowing, but you would give consumers and users access to the Fed fund rate and they could just keep their deposits in your bank and it would almost be like a stablecoin with yield type of apparatus where you're just passing on the Fed funds rate. The Fed has previously been very against this. So there have been narrow banks that have tried at this before. One was called TNB usa and the Fed denied them and TNB actually sued the New York Fed over the denial. They lost in court. So the Fed has been very resistant to the whole narrow bank idea because they think it will destabilize the system, undermine monetary policy. Right. Because you're taking the banks out of the loop and create some systemic risk. I somewhat wonder though, if this step of the way, getting Kraken on a Skinny Master account is a step towards a narrow bank license. Maybe at some point in the future, maybe the Fed will actually open up to that. And if so, that will fundamentally change monetary policy and banking in the U.S. you think the banks are happy about
David Hoffman
this, David, this brings us to my favorite part of this part of the story. So within hours of the announcement that happened on Wednesday, the Bank Policy Institute said that it was deeply concerned that the approval came before the Federal Reserve finalized its policy framework, arguing the decision ignores public comment and was issued with no transparency into the process. And they are worried that this innovation might destabilize the banking sector. These, like, when the banks tell you that they're worried something is destabilizing the banking sector, they're basically saying, hey, our business model is under threat. Like, we're going to make less money from this. The other favorite part of this story here, I think, is this Jesse Powell tweet where he tweeted out the Cynthia Lummis clip that we just shared.
Ryan Sean Adams
The founder of Kraken.
David Hoffman
Founder of Kraken.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah.
David Hoffman
He goes, sorry about your monopoly. Thank you, Senator Lummis. Great state of Wyoming and the Kraken team. We're the bankers now. Saddle up.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yes.
David Hoffman
Oh, my God.
Ryan Sean Adams
Haven't they.
David Hoffman
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Ryan Sean Adams
This is Mike Epolito commenting on this. Kraken gaining access to the Fed's payment system. Trump openly berating the banks to get clarity paths. We're about to talk about this. This would have blown the expectations of even the most bullish, bullish Crypto evangelists in 2020, 2017 out of the water. Crazy how many people in crypto are giving up on eve of victory. This is another case of all of the crypto prophecies. Wildest dreams are starting are coming true. You know, the crypto exchanges, which were kind of ostracized on some periphery of the financial system, are now being admitted as validators to, you know, the Fed Fed wire. I mean, this is a big freaking deal. And this goes to kind of our next story on the week, which is Trump slapping back the banks and coming out in support of crypto and stablecoin yield. So he tweeted this just days ago. The Genius act is being threatened and undermined by the banks, and that is unacceptable. We're not going to allow it. The US Needs to get market structure done asap. Americans should earn more money on their money. The banks are hitting record profits. We're not going to allow them to undermine our powerful crypto agenda that will end up going to China and other countries if we don't get the Clarity act taken care of. This industry cannot be taken away from the people of America when it's so close to becoming successful. Right. And they need to get in line with and let stablecoin yield go to consumers. This is something that Brian Armstrong and Coinbase has been arguing for in the Clarity act from the very beginning. But this is Trump using the truth social bully pulpit to absolutely slam the banks over the head on this issue.
David Hoffman
He literally says they need to make a good deal with the crypto industry. And Trump wasn't the only one. Trump Jr. Eric, he tweets out, big banks are lobbying overtime.
Ryan Sean Adams
That's not Trump Jr. Wait, actually, which one is? I guess they're both juniors. Never mind, There's Donald Trump Jr. Little
David Hoffman
Trump, you know, whatever Eric Trump said, tweet tweeted out, big banks are lobbying overtime to block Americans from getting higher yields on their savings while trying to block any rewards or perks from being given to customers. So like Eric, Trump also comes in with the second of the two punches. He goes in like, you know, today the banks are desperately targeting crypto stablecoins, where platforms plan to offer 4% yield rewards. The ABA and other lobbyists are spending millions trying to ban or restrict those yields via bills like the Clarity act, crying fairness and using words like stability, which. That's what I said. Like, if it's a threat to the stabilization of the finance sector, that just means their profits.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yes.
David Hoffman
But it's really about protecting their low rate monopoly and preventing deposit flight. So the timing on this whole thing was interesting. Right? So like we had these two tweets back to back. Trump on Truth Social, Eric Trump on Twitter. The hours before, or maybe, maybe the day before, President Trump had a meeting with Brian Armstrong. And so the Politico reported that Trump and Armstrong met behind closed doors at the White House on Tuesday. Yes, Just hours before the Trump's Truth Social post blasting the banks. And so that's it. That's interesting. The timing is very, very interesting. So Brian Trump here, definitely.
Ryan Sean Adams
I mean, this is what it seems like. This is what the timeline is revealing. Of course, this was Brian Armstrong's issue and Coinbase's issue. This is why they withdrew support from the Clarity Act. And a lot of other people in the crypto industry said, guys, we have to compromise Coinbase.
David Hoffman
Look at our good things in the Clarity Act. We can't die on this one hill of stablecoin yields. And Brian was like, I'm gonna do it.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, I'm gonna do it. And he is kind of a gambit. But now he's got Trump weighing in on his side on this, so it's paying off for him. I suppose this goes back to, remember a few weeks ago, we were Talking about Davos and Jamie Dimon apparently getting in Brian Armstrong's face, wagging his finger over this issue.
David Hoffman
What did he call him? You're full of shit, he said, you're full of shit.
Ryan Sean Adams
You're full of shit. I guess, I mean, good on Brian for getting in there and playing the DC lobbyist and in fighting on this issue. It looks like it's paying off.
David Hoffman
Yeah, it's not over yet. This is a tweet from Ron Hammond. He's a pretty trusted political commentator. He tweeted out, the closer we get to election, the midterms, the odds for the Clarity act passage gets lower. The banks know this stall for long enough till election politics takes over. It's a classic lobbying tactic. But Trump is the kind of X factor that could force the political calculus to change. And so this is just like some, some good old Clarity commentary about the timing and the strategy of this whole thing. If you go to Polymarket, we are at a 71% chance that the clarity gets signed into law in 2026. It's up, up 6% on the week, but it's just been like, kind of creeping upwards for a while. Alex Thorne, who also definitely, absolutely pays attention to this matter, he tweeted out, is there alpha in the Delta between these two images? The one image is the 71% chance on polymarket. The second image is Crypto Bill hits new impasse, raising doubts over its future, which is an article on Reuters. So he's pointing out that Polymarket is pricing in a lot of optimism on the Clarity passage than what reporting is suggesting. So there is a dislocation between these two things. Unsure as to how it resolves. The game's not over yet. We haven't won yet.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, no, we haven't won yet. And it's. I don't know, it does feel like a long shot. Although I will say, I mean, Polymark is generally right on these things. Maybe 7% odds is kind of accurate.
David Hoffman
Yeah, let's see, $300,000 of volume, so not a crazy amount of volume here. So that could be a little bit better to just have better signal. I don't know what it's like to be behind these closed doors, but also, like, this is everything for the banks. Yield on deposits and who gets that is the whole thing for the banks. So, like, it's optional. This is the same calculation we were talking about two weeks ago. It's optional for the crypto industry to die on this Hill. It doesn't seem optional for the banking industry to die on this hill? Yeah.
Ryan Sean Adams
And I mean, they. Are they going to let some little upstart industry, upstart company, kind of your
David Hoffman
$100 billion Coinbase company, disrupt them?
Ryan Sean Adams
Are they going to let them kind of steal their golden goose? I don't know. I'm sure we haven't heard the last from them, but getting Trump, it is
David Hoffman
really nice to have Trump on our side.
Ryan Sean Adams
That's a big deal. All right, we got a lot more to cover. Coming up next, Voorhees project. It's a crypto project for private AI. Private. Was it recommended by OpenClaw this week? It kind of was. We'll talk about that. Also, X is rolling out X money. Will this include stablecoins and crypto? And David, the story. Remember the kid who stole $46 million from the government? Well, he got apprehended by special forces.
David Hoffman
Didn't get away with it.
Ryan Sean Adams
How?
David Hoffman
By special Forces?
Ryan Sean Adams
Yes, yes. French Special forces. How did we think this would end? How did he think this would end? We'll talk about all that and more. But before we do, we want to thank the sponsors that made this episode possible.
David Hoffman
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Ryan Sean Adams
Some exciting news. We are launching a new podcast to help people figure out the crypto cycle. How to navigate it? The the best crypto cycle investor I know, his name is Michael Naito. He runs the Defi Report. This is the guy that sent me a sell alert before the 10:10 price drop happened. His cycle analysis has been absolutely on point. I've been following him for years and this year we started recording weekly podcast episodes. Each one we get into his portfolio, what he's holding, the market structure, entry targets, fair market value of Bitcoin and ether. And where we are in the cycle. There's new episodes that are released every Wednesday. They're 30 minutes, they're short, they're punchy. I think this crypto cycle is harder to navigate than most. So let's do it together. Go subscribe to this podcast, Search the Defi Report wherever you get your podcasts, YouTube, Apple, Spotify, or find a link in the show Notes. There's a new episode waiting for you now. So, David, have you been following Eric Voorhees project? It's called Venice. It's a LLM. It's an AI project. Have you been looking at this at all?
David Hoffman
I wouldn't say I have both my eyes on it. I think I have one eye on it every once in a while, which is to say not, not much. But like, I understand that sometimes, Ryan, just hypothetically, I'm typing a prompt into Claude or ChatGPT and I'm like, you know what, maybe I'll take this one to Venice. I'll do this one in Venice. I don't want to do this one in Venice.
Ryan Sean Adams
This is a little private, right?
David Hoffman
I mean, yeah, this is.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, it's well known that private AI really doesn't exist outside of some small pockets. Maybe Proton, minimize, kind of an instant. That's what Venice is trying to deliver. Actually, I've started hearing about it more in mainstream podcasts. So I think Venice has been running some ads and mainstream podcasts and Venice is actually pulling in some pretty impressive numbers. So this is a tweet from Eric Voorhees. Each color is a different model. So what Venice does is it runs private AI instances, generally open source models, in kind of a cloud type of environment. And it can run anything. So it can run. You know, Kimi, here are actually some of the top models. The top five glm.
David Hoffman
There's a lot of colors here.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, a lot of colors. A lot of different models. GLM4.6, Venice Uncensored 1.1 Kimik 2.2.5 Groq 4.1. Its specialty is really these open source modules and it's running them in its cloud. And Venice's claim is that everything is run in a, in a private way. So there isn't a third party that can actually access your, your transcript and your chat logs and like what you're, what you're doing inside of the interface.
David Hoffman
Just for the podcast listeners out there. Last October, Venice was clocking in about 8 billion tokens per day they were running for their APIs or people showing up to their website today, March 36 billion per day. So quite the growth.
Ryan Sean Adams
Now, Eric Voorhees claims that Venice neither observes nor stores prompts or responses. So there's no eavesdropping, there's no records of Convos conversations of any kind. Of course those are with the open source models that are run by Venice specifically. Obviously you can also use Venice to sort of almost provide a VPN layer on top of your query, but then it would route to a cloud model like an OpenAI, a Google Anthropic. Of course those companies can see the chat log, but they, they don't see the metadata, so they don't know who it it comes from. But you kind of have to right now trust that Venice is actually keeping these things private and is not storing any of the prompts or responses.
David Hoffman
If there is one person I'm going to trust in this industry to uphold the values that he talks about and espouses publicly and has for decades, it's era 40s, I agree, I don't have a doubt in my mind that that man actually believes this thing that he says.
Ryan Sean Adams
Sure, I agree with that. But also it's just like that's not good enough for people in crypto. It shouldn't be the status quo, should it be not trust an individual?
David Hoffman
That wouldn't be good enough for Eric,
Ryan Sean Adams
it wouldn't be good enough. And so Eric responds to some of that criticism basically a little bit of the trust me bro privacy. And he said lots of discussion around Bennis's privacy model in the past few days. To date, Venice is private in that prompts and responses are not stored on Venice servers. This is private today, but it's not provable. Venice users are not mainly crypto people and for them, as we just said, the above has been sufficient empirically given the growth, but proving the privacy is much better and we need to do so. This has been on our roadmap since inception, so you get the sense that Venice is going to deliver some proof of privacy as well. So it's not just a trust me bro type of model. But anyway, this is the only place you can really get private LLMs unless you're running it locally, which is why I think it's such an attractive service.
David Hoffman
Yeah, I'm sure Eric understands the trade off between like, like building a product that is 100 committed to like principles and like transparency and all that kind of stuff and like the UX UI trade Offs that, that presents where I'm sure he's thinking, like, I need to get this product into the hands as many people as possible, because a private product like this is harder than Linda, Claude or a ChatGPT, you know, very much in the same vein as like Moxie and Signal. It's interesting to me how similar this product is to Shapeshift, his first crypto project, which is just like, let me basically run a private no sign up, no KYC exchange. I'll do the work for you in the background by routing your trade, your crypto trades to the right order, and then I'll give you the tokens you want back and you don't have to sign up for everything. Same thing, but this is just LLM models.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, similar ethos. I think some of the growth has been the usage of Venice with openclaw. So if you want a completely private open claw with an open LLM model, like, where else do you spin this up? And Venice has provided that. So much so that some of OpenClaws onboarding docs actually recommended Venice as a private LLM that was since rescinded. So openclaw said, we want to maintain a neutral, you know, platform and we don't want to.
David Hoffman
It was rescinded for the reasons you said, where, like, you don't know that it's actually private. Like they don't have. That's part of it too, Eric. Part of the thread saying, like, understood. We're working on that.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah. Have you looked at the Venice token and what this thing does?
David Hoffman
Yeah. Yes, very briefly, I kind of understand it, that it represents just like a share of the compute of the whole system.
Ryan Sean Adams
That's right. It's a true utility token, I suppose, from that perspective. So instead of paying per API call, you can actually stake these Venice tokens. It's VVV tokens. And you get a pro ratish share of Venice's inference capacity indefinitely.
David Hoffman
Which reminds me of the EOS token model, bro. That's eos. You own a percentage of the compute of the network.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah. And the reason this is somewhat interesting is as compute gets cheaper over time, the inference capacity, like the intelligence behind each token or each pro rata portion of all of Venice's compute, that's gotta grow.
David Hoffman
And. Yeah.
Ryan Sean Adams
So you're.
David Hoffman
Does Venice own a data center somewhere or are they renting it from someone? How does that work?
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, I, I still have a lot of questions about this. And I have a lot of questions. Yes, you don't have to stake VVV in Order to participate in this, you could just like buy Venice instances. I believe they have a separate token called diem, which represents AI inference credits. So I don't know.
David Hoffman
Oh, we tokenize credits. Oh, that's cool. Honestly, like, usually when I see a token, I'm just like, why do we need a token? And this, I'm like, oh, this makes total sense. One token is a credit. One owns the actual compute and. And hardware. I think that makes sense, dude.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, and good for vor. He's for stepping into this, like applying crypto values to. To LLM. Certainly much needed. David, we got more drama from the A space. What, what is this? On the week.
David Hoffman
Okay, so Mark Zeller's aci, the A chan initiative, which is kind of like, kind of like a governance delegate platform. Think of it like a. A voting block inside of the AAVE dao. They are leaving. They are leaving aave. They have decided to not renew its engagement with the AAVE Dao and will wind down operations over the next four months, exiting by July. This is kind of the second high profile departure from aave the system aave, the DAO downstream of just like the governance tensions inside of aave. This happened after AAVE Labs introduced the AAVE Will Win proposal. And that caused, you know, it was some people liked it, some people didn't like it. Mark did not like it. I'm guessing Mark highlighted that three Labs linked wallets when they voted on the temperature check for the AAVE Will Win proposal, realized that the AAVE Labs can simply vote. They have enough voting power to dictate things. And then especially if the AAVE Labs AAVE Will Win proposal goes through, they will be rewarded with even further aave. So it kind of functionally enshrines AAVE Labs voting power. And so AAVE becomes essentially AAVE Labs is the critique that Mark has. And so he decided that he doesn't want to be under the governance authority over AAVE Labs because what if they just cancel ACI's funding stream whenever they want? That was something that Mark put into the governance forums. And so instead they are, they are electing to wind down. Mark Zeller has been effectively the pseudo CEO, operator, operator in chief of the, of the dao. And so a very key person. Like, it's like Stani on one side and Mark on the other. And Mark is saying like, I don't want to work under these conditions. And he's throwing in the towel, which is so not great.
Ryan Sean Adams
Daos are so messy. So messy. I wish it wasn't this way. But I mean, I guess the question is, is it over now? Are the remaining parties aligned with the proposal?
David Hoffman
And I would assume so, yeah. Like the defectors need to defect so that all the people who have consensus can coordinate together.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah.
David Hoffman
It's like a messy way to lose talent, but, like, maybe that was inevitable.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah. And I wonder if Mark is leaving the space entirely or if he's just leaving aave.
David Hoffman
I think just. I think the latter. I think the latter.
Ryan Sean Adams
Okay. Okay. This was big news. New York Stock Exchange parent company ICE invested in the crypto exchange OkX at a $25 billion valuation. The reason for this they gave was a push towards tokenized stocks. I did not see this one coming. Kind of out of left field investment. Um, but I think it makes sense to have some share in one of these emerging new crypto banks, crypto exchanges.
David Hoffman
I think what was really what we're starting to see is that there have been just the exchange wars since the genesis of crypto. Uh, and now I think if you are still alive and operating in 2026 and you have like, you know, if you're profitable, you are starting to be gobbled up by traditional institutions or, or you are, you have now made it over the threshold. And so profitable exchanges in 2026, which are far fewer than they've ever been before, are now working their way into the actual. Exactly. Yeah. They're actually working this way into the economy.
Ryan Sean Adams
A threshold is about to be reached. David. We are about to mine our 20 millionth Bitcoin. Okay. So we're about to hit that. That's going to happen, I believe sometime next week. So that would be March 9th or 10th or something. Yeah, yeah. That would be 95% of the eventual 21 million bitcoins that have been mined. So only 1 million left to go. And that last 1 million will take roughly 114 more years for that remaining 5%.
David Hoffman
It's funny, out of the 21 million total bitcoins, 1 million of the bitcoins will pay for the security budget for 114 years.
Ryan Sean Adams
That's all we got left. And the only question is, how much will those 1 million be worth in fiat terms? That's a question that's still unresolved. But big milestone next week as we hit the 20 millionth number. Also, David, X Money, the Twitter X platform, their long awaited financial service. I suppose there were some leaked screenshots from that. What are we seeing here?
David Hoffman
This has been a long time in the making. I think Elon said that he Wanted to do this with X since buying it in the first place. But we're seeing screenshots of an account with a balance. William Shatner is the one tweeting this. Don't know how that.
Ryan Sean Adams
Why is William Shatner.
David Hoffman
I don't know. I don't know. But there's a deposit button, a request button and a send button. These are all buttons that very much look like crypto buttons. The request is a QR code there. Nothing in here is explicitly talking about crypto, but you could only imagine, especially if there's a request with a QR code. The rumors are there's a tweet with rumors. What I'm hearing, it seems like Cross river for holding funds with FDIC insurance. Same bank that Coinbase uses. X Payments LLC has money transmitter licenses in 40 states. Visa for money movements and sardine for AML. Who cares about that part?
Ryan Sean Adams
Just kind of a NEO bank, though. That's the Neo bank they're using. It's like a Mercury Traffic kind of NEO bank approach. I don't see anything about crypto or stablecoins here.
David Hoffman
I don't quite see anything, but. But you could imagine. It would be hard to imagine that stablecoin Payments would not be in here.
Ryan Sean Adams
It's gotta be at some point.
David Hoffman
It's gotta be in here.
Ryan Sean Adams
Right? They're taking the. The fintech route, at least. First it looks like. Speak of Elon Musk, SpaceX, they're getting ready to IPO. Did you remember that they have a pretty substantial bitcoin stack on the balance sheet? Yeah, I remember reading about this. But it's going public. They had about, at one point in time, $780 million worth of Bitcoin. So almost a billion in bitcoin. That's worth about half that now, just given prices.
David Hoffman
I wonder what. Like, I know that SpaceX does a ton of stablecoin commerce because they, like, sell. Oh, yeah, because they own Starlink.
Ryan Sean Adams
Right.
David Hoffman
And Starlink sells a lot of starlinks all across the world, across different fiat currencies and stable coins. So they just use stable coins to rectify everything and just have that be seamless?
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah.
David Hoffman
What does that have to do with Bitcoin? Unsure.
Ryan Sean Adams
Unsure. Are you asking why they own Bitcoin?
David Hoffman
Yeah, I'm asking why they own bitcoin.
Ryan Sean Adams
Maybe they just heard Michael Saylor talking about it and they were very excited about that.
David Hoffman
All the normal reasons.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah. I mean, it is interesting. And we'll see how investors react to that portion of the balance sheet. Maybe they'll Ask about it on future earnings calls. David, if you are excited about justice, then you should be excited about this. News on the week. Zach XPT got another one. Do you remember that story of this guy? His nickname was Lick, but his name is John De Gida. We were talking about him, I don't know, six weeks ago, something like this. This was the son of a government contractor. So this government contractor was contracted by the U.S. marshals for custodying seized crypto assets, I think primarily bitcoin. Suddenly, the son of this government, who was supposed to be doing that, it was revealed that he had stolen approximately $46 million worth of crypto assets from the U.S. marshals. From the U.S. government. Okay, so Zach XPT revealed this, published a thread about it. This guy has been on the run ever since, and he was just caught. This is a tweet from FBI Director Kash Patel. Last night, John Gadeta, a US government contractor who allegedly stole more than $46 million in cryptocurrency, was arrested on the island of St Martin by the French premier elite tactical units. I wonder what that was like. And he goes on. The FBI will continue working 24. 7 to, you know, pursue these apprehenders no matter where they hide. Zach XPT tweeted this out. He said, in late January 2026, I exposed how John stole 46 million in seized crypto assets from the US government by abusing access to his father's company. John then taunted me multiple times by a telegram channel, and dust attacked my public wallet address with stolen funds. Thanks for the last laugh, John. He says, though, after Zach XPT revealed all of this lick, apparently, like, started Dust attacking Zach XPT and taunting him via telegram like, you'll never catch me.
David Hoffman
Yeah. Huh?
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah.
David Hoffman
There's like, screenshots of the chat between Zach and this guy. Like, man, if you stole. First you stole $46 million from U.S. marshals, and then you're. And then you're taunting crypto's most sophisticated onchain sleuth who is just like, I don't. Like, I don't know what Zach XPT's capabilities are, but they are incredible. I'm sure he's developed the craziest skill set out of anyone in this industry. Yeah.
Ryan Sean Adams
This is insane behavior. This is absolute mad lad behavior.
David Hoffman
Like, other than the fact that this guy is going to jail, like, sometimes I kind of wish I was this dumb because it seems like a good time.
Ryan Sean Adams
Well, the other thing. Do you recall this original story? I mean, he. I mean, he. The the reason Zach XBT caught him was because he was basically flaunting his, his wealth on telegram chats and videos. And all of this tied back to addresses that you were obviously tied to him. I mean, he's just a dumb criminal, David.
David Hoffman
He's just a complete idiot. I mean, is this kid even 18? How old is this guy?
Ryan Sean Adams
I, I, I don't know how old he is. I mean, he doesn't, he looks young. He doesn't look young.
David Hoffman
He looks pretty.
Ryan Sean Adams
Mug shots.
David Hoffman
He looks pretty young.
Ryan Sean Adams
So. Got another one. Justice is served.
David Hoffman
One by one. We're making crypto better. Okay, I've got another server for you, Ryan. Okay, so the South Korean police also came up on some crypto recently. They seized some crypto the National Tax Service, excuse me, accent. The National Tax Service of South Korea seized about $5.6 million in crypto from about 125 high value tax evaders. So they got got some crypto assets from some tax evaders and put a large amount of that crypto in ledger hard wallets as evidence in custody. Or like maybe they, they like seized the ledger with the wallets as you know. You know how like the police will like sometimes take pictures of their perpetrators or like they'll take pictures with all the drugs that they see.
Ryan Sean Adams
Like, oh yeah, they always look at
David Hoffman
what we've got away. Like we like seize these assets.
Ryan Sean Adams
Confiscated haul. They take it.
David Hoffman
Yeah, exactly. So I don't know why they do that.
Ryan Sean Adams
Why did they do that?
David Hoffman
Kind of proof that they're doing a good job. You know, they're kind of like proving that, like, hey, we're, we're, we are worth our tax money. So that's what South Korea's tax service did. They took a photo of the ledgers and the seed phrases associated with the ledgers, and then they posted them online.
Ryan Sean Adams
Wow.
David Hoffman
Do you know how quickly it took people to drain those wallets?
Ryan Sean Adams
How quickly?
David Hoffman
About four minutes. Four minutes. Four minutes after they posted the unadulterated uncentered seed phrases next to the ledger in question. Four minutes later, those wallets were drained. The agency followed up with a statement offering a deep apology. They took the photos down, by the way, not that it matters anymore. And then they offered a deep apology, admitting there was no excuse for failing to mask the wallet password. Wow.
Ryan Sean Adams
My God, that's hilarious. Says 5.6 million.
David Hoffman
And somebody new has that somebody somewhere in the world. No clue.
Ryan Sean Adams
That's a criminal, right? Is that a, that's a criminal. Somebody stole.
David Hoffman
They are now.
Ryan Sean Adams
It almost felt like, it almost felt like the authorities were giving someone that. But I, you know, it's technically that was a criminal act, I suppose.
David Hoffman
Oh, you know what's a good conspiracy is somebody who had access to those private keys first, seized it, then posted it online, and then they were like,
Ryan Sean Adams
had a friend go nab it.
David Hoffman
Yeah, exactly. Exactly.
Ryan Sean Adams
Well, we may never know unless Zach XBT gets involved and then we certainly will know in a few weeks. David last to close out the week, I was actually bullish about this because this is the New York Times opinion article with something about crypto saying crypto is pointless. Not even the White House can fix it. Since its peak last fall, bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency, has lost almost half its value. That's how the article starts. Nearly 2 trillion in wealth has evaporated from crypto since October. We have just one question. What took so long outside of crimes and scams, the technology is useless and its economics are even worse. These are two economic advisors for the Biden administration giving a an opinion piece on how pointless crypto is and how not even Trump and you know, Trump's favors for the industry can actually save it because it's a pointless technology that is only good for crimes and scams. And this is the type of bear market opinion piece from the New York Times. I see every single cycle during the bear and is just a good sign. It's just a good sign for things ahead.
David Hoffman
What took so long is right. Like, why haven't they written this article sooner?
Ryan Sean Adams
Man, I feel like we're going to
David Hoffman
make this is a rite of passage. Like we get to clown on people like this at the top, they get to clown like people like us on the bottom. The cycle repeats, we get richer, they stay the same.
Ryan Sean Adams
Yeah, it's definitely a bottom signal confirmed and a signal to me that we're going to be okay. Okay, let's end it there. You guys know crypto is risky. You could lose what you put in the frontier. It's not for everyone, but we're glad you're with us on the bankless journey. Thanks a lot.
Episode: ROLLUP: Wartime Markets | Kraken Gets Fedwire | Trump vs Banks | AI vs Pentagon | NYT Says Crypto Is Dead
Date: March 6, 2026
Hosts: Ryan Sean Adams & David Hoffman
This Bankless Weekly Rollup focuses on seismic shifts in crypto, global finance, and geopolitics. The hosts dig into wartime market reactions to conflict in Iran, discuss the historic moment as Kraken becomes the first U.S. crypto bank with Fedwire access, delve into political drama with Trump siding with crypto over banks, unpack the Pentagon’s battle with leading AI companies, and reveal why yet another “Crypto is Dead” headline from The New York Times could signal a market bottom.
[02:57 – 13:59]
Escalation in Iran:
Market Reaction:
Oil: Spiked from $65 to $80 per barrel; could hit $120 if the situation persists.
Safe Haven Assets:
Stocks:
Crypto:
Iran & Crypto Use:
Prediction Markets:
[15:22 – 21:13]
Claude Used in Military Intel:
Political Fallout:
Trump and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth threatened to blacklist Anthropic as “hostile software.”
[17:14] Quote:
"Anthropic better get its act together. I will use the full power of the presidency to make them comply. It's crazy."
—Ryan Sean Adams
OpenAI offered to step in, sparking a public migration of users from ChatGPT to Claude in protest (Claude hit #1 in app downloads, ChatGPT saw 300% uninstall surge).
Despite lost Pentagon contract, Anthropic’s private value rebounded to near all-time highs.
[24:33 – 31:59]
Historic Banking Shift:
Kraken Financial (Wyoming charter) received the first “Skinny Master Account” from the Federal Reserve.
Enables direct Fedwire access: Kraken can process fiat payments like a traditional bank, bypassing intermediaries.
[24:40] Quote (Senator Cynthia Lummis):
"This is a huge step forward for the new integration of the fiat dollar with digital assets."
Features of the Skinny Master Account:
Strategic Impact:
“Operation Chokepoint” era is over for exchanges like Kraken—they are the bank now.
Incumbent banks voiced "deep concerns" about destabilization.
[30:44] Quote (Jesse Powell, Kraken Founder):
"Sorry about your monopoly. We're the bankers now. Saddle up."
[31:59 – 37:47]
Trump Bros Slam Banks, Back Crypto:
Trump on Truth Social demanded banks “fall in line” and not stifle stablecoin yields (Clarity Act drama).
[31:59] Quote:
"We're not going to allow them to undermine our powerful crypto agenda... Americans should earn more money on their money."
—Donald Trump via Ryan Sean Adams
Eric Trump echoed anti-bank sentiment, supporting stablecoin yield for consumers.
Coinbase’s Role:
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong allegedly met with Trump, influencing the timing and content of the pro-crypto statements.
Clarity Act passage odds up to 71% on Polymarket, but skeptics remain.
[36:49] Quote:
"Yield on deposits and who gets that is the whole thing for the banks."
—David Hoffman
[40:14 – 47:13]
Venice Private AI:
Decentralized, privacy-focused large language model (LLM) platform; booming growth (from 8B to 36B tokens/day).
[41:56] Quote:
"Venice neither observes nor stores prompts or responses. There’s no eavesdropping, no records of conversations."
—Ryan Sean Adams
Not yet provable privacy—Voorhees says cryptographic proof is on the roadmap.
Crypto Utility Token Model:
Venice’s VVV token represents a pro-rata share of compute/inference capacity—a “true” utility token for private AI.
[47:13] Quote:
"I think that makes sense dude."
—David Hoffman
[47:37 – 50:13]
Mark Zeller and the ACI voting block exiting over governance centralization fears—AAVE Labs’ dominance cited.
[49:37] Quote:
"Mark is saying, I don't want to work under these conditions. ... It's so not great."
—David Hoffman
[50:13 – 51:14]
[51:14 – 54:36]
[54:36 – 60:16]
[54:36] John De Gida, son of a U.S. custody contractor, stole $46M in seized government crypto, was caught after taunting onchain sleuth ZachXBT.
South Korean Tax Service accidentally posted seed phrases for seized wallets—$5.6M drained in 4 minutes.
[60:31 – 62:06]
NYT op-ed claims "crypto is pointless," calling the technology useless outside crime and scams.
Hosts frame this as the ultimate “market bottom” signal, a cycle rite of passage.
The episode ends with the irony and optimism Bankless is known for: a mainstream obituary for crypto signals not the end, but likely the beginning of the next upcycle.
For listeners who missed it:
This episode is a must for anyone seeking insight into how macro, regulatory, technological, and cultural moments are converging to reshape the financial landscape—crypto is not just surviving, it's evolving.