Transcript
Steve Bannon (0:00)
If and when this bill passes, I'm assuming it will pass at some point, what growth rate can we expect for the economy in the second half of the year? I Hear talk of 3% growth, maybe more. What say you? Right. I say that if you look at the Council of Economic Advisors Chairman Steve Myron's modeling of what happens if we pass this tax bill, then conservatively, you're looking at very steady 3% growth going forward. If you add 3% to the 1.8% that's in the Congressional Budget Office forecast, then that means that over 10 years you get 4 trillion more revenue from 3% growth than the current CBO forecast. And so what that means is that this tax bill basically pays for itself. If we get 3% growth, I think we're going to get more than 3% growth. Because something you've covered a lot, Stu, is that the AI productivity revolution is underway. Firms are getting more and more productive because AI is helping their workers be more productive. And there's a scholar at Stanford, Eric Bridge, who has a study out that suggests that that could increase productivity growth by one and a half, even to 2% a year. If we get that, then you're looking at 4% growth, which I think is an upside that's completely possible. And so, yeah, I think that the 1.8% CBO score is very, very conservative. And so fiscal hawks should be ambitious because they understand that. Look, last time we said we get 3% growth. We did. This time we're saying it, and we've got, like, some extra juice because of the. So I'm very comfortable with three. Is this the argument that Speaker Johnson is applying to the deficit hawks? Look, the deficit will be taken care of by 3.4percent growth just down the road. That's Speaker Johnson's argument, right? Well, I think that he's got different arguments for different people. You know, there are a lot of strong opinions on all sides, a lot of respected friends who disagree. And the thing that I'm just amazed at is that Speaker Johnson has been able to get all those cats in a room and herd them together to a very, very likely big victory for the big, beautiful bill. Probably could even start tonight and get to the floor. That will be good.
Chip Roy (2:05)
Stand here and tell the American people we cut your taxes and we can increase spending and everything is going to be just fine. But I can't do that because I'm here to deliver a dose of reality. This bill dramatically increases deficits in the near term, but promises our government will be fiscally responsible Five years from now. Where have we heard that before? How do you bind a future Congress to these promises? This bill is a debt bomb ticking. Congress can do funny math, fantasy math, if it wants, but bond investors don't. And this week they sent us a message. Moody's downgraded our credit rating. And the bond investors who buy our debt and finance our debt demanded higher interest rates on the 10 year note, the 20 year note and the 30 year note. What does this mean? Very soon the government will be paying $16,000 of interest, interest alone, per U.S. family. And what are we telling them? Instead of taking care of going to give you a $1,600 tax break under the taxing and spending levels in this bill, we're going to rack up, the authors say, $20 trillion of new debt over the next 10 years. I'm telling you, it's closer to $30 trillion of new debt in the next 10 years. Mr. Speaker, we're not rearranging deck chairs on the Titanic tonight. We're putting coal in the boiler and setting a course for the iceberg. If something is beautiful. If something is beautiful, you don't do it after midnight. I oppose this bill. On this vote, the AER 215. The nays are 214, with one answering present.
