Better Offline: "Monologue: Don't Be Scared Of Sora"
Podcast: Better Offline
Host: Ed Zitron (Cool Zone Media and iHeartPodcasts)
Release Date: October 24, 2025
Duration (content): ~12 minutes
Episode Overview
In this episode of Better Offline, host Ed Zitron delivers a raw, unfiltered monologue tackling the recent hype and panic around OpenAI's Sora—an AI-powered video and audio generation tool with social media features. Amid industry unease, viral clips, and predictions of upheaval in creative work, Ed systematically dismantles the idea that Sora is either an immediate or realistic threat to filmmaking and creative jobs. Through industry analysis, lived technical perspective, and characteristic bluntness, he exposes the practical, economic, and creative limitations of current generative video models. Ed’s core message? “Don’t be scared of Sora”—at least not yet.
Key Discussion Points & Insights
1. The Sora Launch & Initial Reactions [02:19–03:40]
- Sora’s rocky debut: Ed notes OpenAI released Sora as a “half-baked social networking app attached to a compute-intensive video and audio generator.”
- Immediate misuse: Users quickly generated clips with shocking content (“Nazi Spongebobs and Pikachus with guns”), sparking copyright concerns and outcry.
- Policy reversal: After interventions from Hollywood agencies and the MLK Jr. estate, OpenAI shifted from an “opt out” model to an “opt in” for content simulation, and blocked public production of well-known characters.
- Quote: "Sora spent several days covered in Nazi Spongebobs and Pikachus with guns before multiple Hollywood talent agencies, along with the estate of Martin Luther King Jr. intervened and complained..." (03:00)
2. Perceived Threat to Creative Professions [03:41–04:50]
- Creative anxiety: Ed empathizes with filmmakers and creative workers worried by Sora’s headline-grabbing demo clips.
- "I understand that you've seen a few clips that look kind of sort of realistic, and that this, especially if you're in the creative arts, is quite terrifying..." (03:45)
- Debunking the hype: All impressive Sora clips are “cherry-picked”; useful output is rare and random.
- "Every single good, and I use the term loosely, Sora video is cherry picked from many, many, many terrible generations." (04:12)
- Technical randomness: Sora is described as a “giant video and audio slot machine”—its outputs are unpredictable and unreliable, making it impossible to budget or plan for.
3. Realities of Using Sora: Cost and Workflow Limitations [04:51–08:00]
- Commercial usage disconnect: Real professionals don’t use Sora’s app—they connect directly to the API.
- Exorbitant costs:
- Sora 2 (exploration): $0.10 per second
- Sora 2 Pro (production quality): $0.30–$0.50 per second
- Calculating the pain: For a 15-minute short film (~900 seconds), generating a single simple shot (like “a man putting on a hat”) can require dozens of expensive, slow, unusable iterations.
- "You've now spent $80 in over an hour generating a man trying to put on a hat. You're not really much closer to having useful footage." (07:20)
- Time as an even greater constraint: Each iteration takes minutes. Multiply that by every shot, every tweak, and Sora becomes impractical for filmmaking.
- "But you know what? You can find money places. You can't find more goddamn time." (07:50)
4. Structural Issues: Inconsistency and Lack of Coherence [08:00–09:30]
- Visual inconsistency: AI cannot maintain continuity of props, characters, or sets across shots (“the man now has to put the hat on and leave the house...How do you possibly keep all of these things consistent? You don’t. You can’t.”)
- Production impossibility: Using generative video for anything requiring planning, coordination, or specific storytelling is infeasible.
- "It's built specifically to make you scared of it, to create superficially impressive clips brain dead Hollywood executives can claim are the future." (09:05)
- No labor cost savings: The AI may remove some direct labor, but requires so many iterations to approach “useful” content that it loses any efficiency.
5. Case Study: The Kalshi Commercial & Industry Response [09:31–11:00]
- Actual generative AI ads: The viral Kalshi ad cost $2,000 and took days to make; the result was “completely incoherent, nonsense...with weird glitches and animations in the crowds.”
- "Just go and view the comments...people just rip the fuck out of this thing." (10:07)
- Behind the scenes reality: The ad required generating 300–400 clips for just 15 usable shots, then assembling them with traditional editing tools.
- Motivation was publicity: Kalshi’s goal was coverage, not quality.
- Other examples (Popeyes, Beckham IM8): Similarly incoherent and panned; generative video ads remain marginal and impractical, not replacing traditional production.
6. The Economics of Generative Video are Unsustainable [11:01–12:15]
- Big Tech subsidies: Prices are artificially low; once venture support dries up or the “AI bubble pops,” access will shrink or disappear.
- "While Sora might cost 30 or 50 cents a second right now, once the AI bubble bursts, these prices will either skyrocket or these models will cease to exist for public consumption." (11:25)
- Usage restrictions elsewhere: Google allows only a handful of generative clips per day even for high-paying users, hinting at unsustainable backend costs.
- "...Google only allows you to generate four or five VO3 videos a day on their $250 a month Gemini Ultra plan. That suggests that Google's video costs are brutal..." (11:35)
7. Technical Limitations are Fundamental, Not Temporary [12:16–13:15]
- Transformers and randomness: Sora and models like it are inherently probabilistic; every generation is a roll of the dice—impossible to create consistent extended narrative video.
- "Their ability to generate longer or consistent videos is inherently impossible due to the probabilistic nature of transformer based models. In simple terms, these things are rolling the dice every time." (12:30)
- Prompting ≠ creative direction: Human collaboration on set is nuanced, iterative, and context-driven—an AI prompt cannot capture that complexity.
8. Ed’s Message to Creatives and the Industry [13:16–14:28]
- Empathy for creative anxiety: “I get everyone in Hollywood who's scared right now. I get everyone in creative arts even who is scared right now. I feel for you.”
- But AI isn’t winning: “These people are losing. This stuff does not work. It's inconsistent, it's incredibly expensive on subsidized rates and in the end I really, really believe that once the bubble pops, these things are going away.”
Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments
-
On Sora’s unpredictability:
"Sora is effectively a giant video and audio slot machine. You can never, ever guarantee that Sora will generate something useful and as a result can never really budget for using it."
[04:20] -
On continuity’s futility:
"How do you possibly keep all of these things consistent? You don’t. You can’t. That's part of what makes Sora so goddamn awful."
[08:44] -
On subsidized AI economics:
"OpenAI is burning money by the bucketful to let you fuck on the Sora app. I don't recommend you do that, but if you have just know you're burning a hole in Clammy Sammy's pocket."
[11:50] -
On the real value of humans in production:
"Human beings, by the way, are extremely magical. I think you really underestimate how amazing people are... The things that operate on a film or TV set are inherently different to just plugging words into a model."
[13:10] -
On reassurance to the creative community:
*"I get everyone in Hollywood who's scared right now... These people are losing. This stuff does not work." *
[13:40]
Timestamps for Key Segments
| Time | Segment | |----------|----------------------------------------------| | 02:19 | Monologue intro; Sora’s messy launch | | 03:40 | Creative worry, “slot machine” nature | | 04:51 | Sora pricing and rendering delays explained | | 06:15 | Cost & time calculation for one simple shot | | 07:50 | Visual consistency and compounding problems | | 09:31 | Dissecting the Kalshi ad and industry use | | 11:01 | Unsustainable economics, big tech subsidies | | 12:16 | Limits of transformer models explained | | 13:16 | Ed’s empathetic message to creatives | | 14:28 | Outro (content ends) |
Takeaways
- Don’t panic about Sora or similar generative AI video tools: They remain impractical, random, and expensive to use for any substantial, professional creative work.
- Industry demos are cherry-picked and subsidized: Impressive clips hide massive inefficiency and cost.
- Fundamental technical limitations likely persist for the foreseeable future: Consistency, coherence, and extended narrative are out of reach for the architecture behind Sora and similar models.
- Human creativity and collaboration are irreplaceable in real production: AI, for now, is no substitute for the “magical” process of human filmmaking.
Tone: Ed Zitron is irreverent, direct, and empathetic—cutting through hype with technical detail, strong language, and a clear concern for his audience’s anxiety about AI’s impact.
