Highlights from O'Reilly's No Spin News - July 31, 2025

Summary

Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis: Highlights from July 31, 2025

In the July 31, 2025 episode of Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis, host Bill O'Reilly delves into a range of pressing national and international issues, offering his unfiltered perspective on tariffs, trade deficits, media coverage, U.S.-China relations, and the escalating crime situation in New York City. The episode also features a spirited debate on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) policies with political scientist Frankie Wilmer.

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Tariffs and the U.S. Trade Deficit

Bill O'Reilly opens the discussion by examining the current state of U.S. tariffs, highlighting their financial impact and the ongoing trade deficit. He emphasizes the administration's success in generating revenue through tariffs, stating:

“This year alone, the United States government has generated $125 billion from tariffs. Now that money goes into the U.S. treasury.” ([02:15])

O'Reilly criticizes the previous administration's handling of the trade deficit, asserting that President Donald Trump’s tariff policies have resulted in significant gains. He notes a remarkable increase in tariff revenue compared to the prior year:

“This is up 131% from the same time last year under President Biden, who did not care at all about the trade deficit.” ([03:00])

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Media Coverage of Tariff Policies

O'Reilly turns his attention to how major news networks have reported on Trump's tariff initiatives. He contrasts the depth of coverage among networks, pointing out discrepancies in the attention given to this critical economic issue:

“CBF Evening News did its job. Four minutes it spent on the tariffs... NBC Nightly News, 35 seconds. ABC, 36 seconds.” ([05:10])

He criticizes ABC for dedicating more time to weather forecasting than to significant economic policies, characterizing the coverage as superficial compared to CBF's more substantive reporting.

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U.S.-China Trade Relations

Addressing international trade, O'Reilly underscores the importance of a potential trade deal between the United States and China. He forecasts that such an agreement could enhance global stability and economic prosperity:

“If Trump can pull off a trade deal with China that both countries are happy with, the world immediately becomes a safer and more prosperous place.” ([07:45])

O'Reilly anticipates negotiations to intensify towards the end of September or early October, suggesting that a successful deal could pressure other geopolitical adversaries, notably Russia’s Vladimir Putin.

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Crime and Social Disorder in New York City

A significant portion of the episode focuses on the alarming rise in violent crime within New York City. O'Reilly discusses a recent mass shooting, drawing parallels to systemic issues in urban centers:

“All of these evil mass murderers got away with it because the people in their countries looked away.” ([26:30])

He highlights legislative changes that have weakened law enforcement's ability to combat crime effectively, citing reforms that limit bail and complicate prosecution processes. O'Reilly argues that these policies have led to increased lawlessness and a decline in social order.

To provide a scholarly perspective, political scientist Frankie Wilmer engages in a debate with O'Reilly about the Democratic Party's prospects and the impact of current policies on voter behavior. Their conversation touches on the challenges facing Democrats in maintaining voter support amid policy criticisms.

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Debate on Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion (DEI) Policies

The episode features a contentious debate on DEI initiatives, with O'Reilly and Wilmer sharing opposing views. O'Reilly contends that DEI efforts result in favoritism based on race and ethnicity, arguing:

“DEI is favoritism towards certain groups.” ([20:10])

Wilmer counters by clarifying that DEI aims to create a qualified workforce that reflects America's diversity, asserting:

“Recruit a qualified workforce that looks like America. It's that simple.” ([20:57])

The exchange underscores the broader national debate on the role and implementation of DEI policies in institutions.

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Mass Shooting in New York City

O'Reilly reports on a tragic mass shooting in Midtown Manhattan, where four individuals, including a NYPD officer, were killed. He provides details about the shooter, Shane Tamora, and explores potential motives:

“He writes a suicide note that says he has a brain disease and it's the National Football League's fault.” ([37:00])

The discussion shifts to the prevalence of mental illness, citing statistics that one-third of Americans grapple with mental health or substance abuse disorders:

“One out of every three people you encounter not really all there. And a lot of them might hurt you.” ([38:26])

O'Reilly emphasizes the need for society to address mental health challenges to prevent such tragedies.

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Conclusion and Upcoming Book Promotion

Wrapping up the episode, O'Reilly promotes his forthcoming book, highlighting its focus on Vladimir Putin and his rise to power. He provides an audio excerpt that chronicles Putin's early years and transformation into a formidable political figure:

“We chronicle Putin's atrocities from the time he was 10 years old confronting evil.” ([41:53])

O'Reilly encourages listeners to pre-order the book through his website, billoreilly.com, positioning it as a comprehensive exploration of Putin's influence on global politics.

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In this episode, Bill O’Reilly delivers his characteristic no-nonsense analysis, tackling complex economic policies, critiquing media practices, and addressing urgent social issues. Through interviews and debates, the show provides listeners with a robust examination of current events, encouraging critical thinking and informed discourse.

Transcript

[Bill O'Reilly]

Foreign here and around the country, especially in the South. About 98 where I live, 100 plus in New York City. Gonna relocate tomorrow out to eastern Long island by the ocean. It's 15 degrees cooler out there than here. And there you have the no spin weather forecast. Sound like David Muir on abc. We'll get to him in a minute. The talking points memo is on. This tariff success that Donald Trump is having could be temporary. No euphoria. Stock market has not responded. It's kind of flat this week, maybe down a little bit. But the President took a gamble in April and it has paid off so far. I think that's fair and accurate. All right, so this year alone, the United States government has generated $125 billion from tariffs. Now that money goes into the U.S. treasury. I'll explain in a moment. This is up 131% from the same time last year under President Biden, who did not care at all about the trade deficit. Never looked at it, never examined it. He was second worst president ever and ignored most of the problems. And the trade deficit is a problem. Okay, so we call the Treasury Department, and they wouldn't even respond to us. Nice, right? Boy, oh, boy, those bureaucrats in Washington. Anyway, we did our own investigation, and all of the money so far has gone into the general fund, which can be used for anything the Trump administration wants it to be used for. It's not going to pay down the debt at this moment. I hope it will. And I am going to go on a little campaign to embarrass certain people to get some of this money to pay down that $37 trillion debt, because it's mounting and mounting and mounting. Look, this is going to go into the trillions that the United States is going to get from foreign nations trying to sell products here. So why not pay down a debt with it? Okay. Most Americans love their country. Doesn't matter. Whether you're Democrat, Republican, or liberal or Libertarian. Doesn't matter. Say it and it's good. So far, it's working out. But not Senator Charles Schumer, the minority leader. No, no, he doesn't like it. Roll the tape. Trump would have you believe it's the biggest deal ever. That's his words dangling. $250 billion of new energy purchases and more in new investments. There's just one hiccup. It's fake. No, it's not. Schumer's lying. And I very rarely use that word. I usually say he's misleading or he's a propagandist, which he is, but he's just lying. He's just head down reading something that's been written for him by one of his propaganda people. And, you know, I used to have a decent relationship with him and I run into him from time to time in New York. I have no respect for Charles Schumer. None, None. He doesn't love this country, in my opinion. He's not looking out for you or me or anybody else. He is a rank propagandist. And again, I don't use this kind of rhetoric. All right? I usually can see two sides to this story. You know, that this guy. Oof. When we are evaluating the economy, it all has to do with how you are doing the American consumer. Because. Because the consumer drives the economy. Yes. We're going to get a lot of investment in here under the Trump plan. And that will provide more jobs for Americans, higher paying jobs, too. Okay. It'll take a little while because they got to build the plants and they've got to reorganize what it is. But the key is that the money going out of the United States is now declining sharply, which is a good, good thing if you know anything about economics, anything at all. Okay? Now, will this last? Will this go into the annals of a successful economy? We'll know by December, because that's when all of the Trump stuff will coalesce. So you will see that it either works or it doesn't. That is a fair barometer. December. But I will tell you that in 24 last year under Biden, the second worst president of all time, okay, the U.S. trade deficit stood at 1.2 trillion. 1.2 trillion. You figured that would get his attention. I don't know how it's going to be in 25 because there's no estimate, but it's down 11% in one month. June, the trade deficit. So if you do the math, Trump is winning. And that's the memo. All right, so the left wing media will never admit that Trump is winning on anything. You know that. I know that. Which is why you're here watching and listening to me. Not that I'm rooting for President Trump, but I give him a fair shake and I report accurately, unlike 90% of the others. All right, so last night on the World News roundups, the evening news on the three networks, here's how much time they gave the Trump tariff, which is a huge story for you. Okay? CBF Evening News did its job. Four minutes it spent on the tariffs. And CBS Evening News is changing rapidly because they're all afraid they're going to get fired with when the merger goes in in October. NBC Nightly News, 35 seconds. ABC, 36 seconds. So they ignored it. NBC and ABC, what did they do instead? ABC did 3 minutes and 11 seconds on the weather because that's what David Muir does every night. He's a weather man. I don't even know him. I have nothing against him. I thought he did a terrible job. But moderating the debate. But if you put on ABC World News Tonight, it's a weather forecast because surveys show that's what Americans respond to. They like the weather. So 311 on the weather for ABC last night, 36 seconds on the tariffs. NBC is ridiculous. It's just off the board. So they're on the Epstein Jag. So Epstein last night got two minutes on NBC Nightly News, and tariffs got 35 seconds. Now I think we've exhausted the Epstein thing, have we not? I think so. I'm going to do a thing tomorrow on this. Ghislaine Maxwell now says she should be released. No, I'll do that tomorrow, but I'm not going to keep going over and over as NBC News does. It's ridiculous. So next up is China. Now, it's the most important thing. If Trump can pull off a trade deal with China that both countries are happy with, the world immediately becomes a safer and more prosperous place. That's why I went to Beijing in May, okay. And I know that right now Donald Trump wants to go to Beijing. I think that will happen. It's going to happen probably end of September, early October. And there are things in place where, if you were a betting person, odds are the deal is going to happen. And if it happens, that squeezes Putin, okay? Big, big, big, big. China is it? And then as a footnote, Canada and Mexico, they have to make a deal. They have to. Because if they don't, their respective economies go into a depression, not a recession. So in Ottawa and Mexico City.

[Sean Spicer]

Hey, it's Sean Spicer from the Sean Spicer show podcast reminding you to tune into my show every day to get your daily dose inside the world of politics. President Trump and his team are shaking up Washington like never before. And we're here to cover it from all sides, especially on the topics the mainstream media won't. So if you're a political junkie on a late lunch or getting ready for the drive home, new episodes of the Sean Spicer show podcast drop at 2pm East coast every day. Make sure you tune in. You can find us at Apple Podcasts Spotify or wherever you get your podcast.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Hey, Mike Baker here, host of the President's Daily Brief podcast. If you want straight talk on national security, foreign policy and the biggest global story stories going on of the day, this is the show for you. We publish twice a day, Monday through Friday, once in the morning, again in the afternoon, and on the weekend we go longer with the PDB Situation Report with excellent guests including national security insiders and foreign policy experts. Check us out on Spotify, Apple or wherever you get your podcasts. Also on our YouTube channel at President's Daily Brief. Hey, just get the best deal you can because you don't have any choice. You have no bargaining power at all. The EU took every bit of bargaining power away from you. The EU deal on the tariffs. Gaza, terrible. Awful. You know there are no adjectives, right? Starving people there, children. It's awful. Hamas is to blame mostly. Won't give up the hostages. They're just terrorists. They're never going to stop. You got to kill them. All of them. Every one of them. And Israel knows that. But the problem is Israel is making it very difficult to get food into Gaza. And then when it gets into Gaza, Hamas steals it and other thugs so it doesn't get to the poor kids. That's what happened in Haiti. All the billions of dollars went to Haiti. None of it got to the people. Same thing in Gaza. And Israel can't control that. Okay, but Israel is being too harsh in delaying shipments of food, things like that, because Netanyahu couldn't care less. He couldn't care less. But Trump now is involved. Roll the tape. But we're going to be getting some good, strong food. We can save a lot of people. I mean, some of those kids are. That's real starvation stuff. I see it. And you can't fake that.

[Sean Spicer]

So we're going to be even more involved.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Good. We are a humanitarian nation. Boy, what a. What a problem over there. Joining us now from Denver, Colorado is Frankie Wilmer. He's a PhD professor of political Science at the University of Colorado Boulder, which has a lot of liberal people and Democrats. I worked in Denver for a couple of years. I am well versed at the UC Boulder. So first of all, Doctor, thank you for helping us. And am I making any mistakes?

[Frankie Wilmer]

Not so far, for sure. I have to tell you something, though. This is the time we met. Did you mention I was a legislator? Right. In elected office for eight years. I actually bought political ads on your AM radio talk show.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Good. And I hope they helped out. Well, you are, you are A registered Democrat. Because I asked my staff, I said, get me a, give me a smart Democrat. Get me somebody who's not going to come in here and just throw propaganda my way. So from your perch in the Rocky Mountains now, do you see any hope for your party in the next few years?

[Frankie Wilmer]

Well, you know, you talked about the polls. The polls go up and down. There have been times in the past you said this is the lowest point for Democrats in 35 years. Yeah, 35 years. And just in 2014, 2013 and 2017, polls showed Republicans at about the same place. So it's even more recently. So, yeah, they go up and down. I don't think we've seen the effects of the tariffs, whenever they're going to come and go, come and go on inflation. We definitely have not seen the impact of the Medicare, Medicare cuts, Medicaid cuts, especially to the rural hospitals and health caregivers. And those rural states are mostly red too, by the way. So I think that's going to have an impact. And, you know, we talked about the cratering of support for or favorability for Democrats. Donald Trump's popularity has been cratering as well. I mean, he's at 37, we're at.

[Bill O'Reilly]

33, but he's 46 in a Journal poll.

[Frankie Wilmer]

July 7 through July.

[Bill O'Reilly]

You know, but we. Okay, we know. We know where he is. Right. Okay. All right.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Pretty reliable. The point is that the Republicans control all three branches. They control both houses and the presidency and they have more Republican appointed Supreme Court justices.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Well, the only hope you have is if people turn on Trump. But my analysis is even if that happens, they're not going to vote. They're not going to vote for you. They're not going to vote for you guys, because all of the things that I listed are in stone. They happen. So if, say there's an independent voters and they, and they make the calls now and I go, I don't think Trump's doing a good job for whatever reason. Some of the reasons that you mentioned, they're not going to go in and pull a lever for Democrats after Biden and Harris and all of these people disappointed everybody so badly, they just won't vote.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Biden's first election and Obama's two elections both polled very positively with independents. And as you know, this same Wall Street Journal poll shows that independents were the biggest chunk of losses for the Republicans, 29% or something down among independents. So, yeah, swing voters are where it's at. I actually think part of the problem is that voters, first of all, as you know, politics is mostly emotional, not so rational. It's about how people identify and how they feel about things. And so that can be very different than reality. And that's about getting the message and the messengers to deliver the message in a clear.

[Bill O'Reilly]

But who's. Who's the. Who's the messenger? You don't have a leader. Democratic Party has no leader.

[Frankie Wilmer]

It's not just that. I could go through a list of people. You name some of them. I think they're very articulate, but nobody.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Knows who they are. There's not one Democrat out outside of the Communist Party until the convention.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Nobody knew who Obama was either.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Okay, but we're talking closer to the.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Election cycle, to the campaign cycle. Messengers will emerge. Buddha Judge. Gretchen.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Buddha Judge. You can't eat. The air traffic controller situation is destined.

[Frankie Wilmer]

We've got plenty.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Well, well, well, well, well, Doc. I like Wes Gavin, but nobody knows who the. Governor Moore. Nobody knows who he is. Gavin Newsom is poison for your party. You've got to know that.

[Frankie Wilmer]

It's. It's not time. But I want to make a little bit of a different point, kind of as a political scientist. The voters clearly in the. Mamdani, and. Are you going to call him a communist? We'll talk about communism later, maybe, but his election in the mayoral primary, Democrat and Biden's. I mean, Trump's election as president has a really clear message for all of us, which is voters are tired of. And they don't want to support candidates who are canned, candidates who are scripted to. Candidates who are handled.

[Bill O'Reilly]

I agree with that. But. But you're getting. You're putting. Remember, Doctor, Remember. Remember Sarah Palin when she got the nomination in Minneapolis, the famous line that she stole. You're putting lipstick on a pig. All right, so Mamdani is a communist. The guy wants to seize socialist, just like everybody. That's what he says he is. But then when you read his screens, he wants to seize control of the private economy. Which is what he said. That's what he said.

[Frankie Wilmer]

But I've listened to him four times.

[Bill O'Reilly]

I live here. You live there. I live here. I know what he says, okay?

[Frankie Wilmer]

He's a Social Democrat, just like everybody in Scandinavia is a democratic socialist, and they're not communist.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Way more than that. Way more than that. Now, listen, if you're going to bank on Mandani to be a positive for the Democratic Party, you're going to be sorely disappointed.

[Frankie Wilmer]

That was the message of his win. We don't.

[Bill O'Reilly]

His win was 22%, only 22% of the Democratic registered voters cast a ballot in that. In the primary. That was nothing. It's. It's New York. It's chaos. He's not going to win. He's not going to win a mayoral race. But what they're going to do, you.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Know, we can talk about mayoral race another time. The point is.

[Bill O'Reilly]

No, no, we're not going to talk about it now. The Republicans. Doctor, give me 30. I'll give you 30. Republicans are going to tie a millstone, the Democratic mills. Because the Democrats ran right around this guy's neck, okay? And that's what they're going to do because he's so far out there. But just the fact that you brought him up and we're talking about him now shows there isn't one mainstream Democrat, not one, okay, that can spur the message of the Democratic Party. There isn't anybody.

[Frankie Wilmer]

I like Chris Murphy. I like.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Who is he? Nobody knows him.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Gavin Newsom. I like Gavin Newsom. Presidents who lost their first run and then won the second term, and presidents two times, Cleveland and Trump won a first term, lost a second, came back for a third. So I don't write off Kamala Harris even.

[Bill O'Reilly]

I got. I got one specific question for you. When Gavin Newsom took over from Jerry Brown in California, the state had a surplus of more than $100 million. They are now 34 billion in dollars in debt or something. And you like them?

[Frankie Wilmer]

I said I like him.

[Bill O'Reilly]

What, you like his hair? Come on, guys. As inefficient as any politician I've ever seen. And Buttigieg is second. You can't even get on a plane.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Bill, I'm gonna go back to two things you said. One is that DEI is about showing favorability for people because of their skin color. That is not what it is.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Equity. That is what equity is, and that's in dei.

[Frankie Wilmer]

People who want to misinform and mislead the public are saying that. But I worked in that business in civil rights legislation.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Looked up equity favoritism in certain groups.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Look it up for white men for 200 years.

[Bill O'Reilly]

So what? So what?

[Frankie Wilmer]

Favoritism.

[Bill O'Reilly]

You don't correct the historical wrong by instituting another wrong.

[Frankie Wilmer]

I've heard you say that before, too. But you know what? You didn't write the Constitution, and still you want the rights that it presents you.

[Bill O'Reilly]

So I want. I want everybody to have an equal opportunity to pursue happiness.

[Frankie Wilmer]

You can't just pick the parts of history that benefit you.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Look, come on, Doctor. You know, DEI is deeply unpopular. You know, it's deeply unpopular about what it is.

[Frankie Wilmer]

It's unpopular the way it's presented, the way you just said. Which is not what it is.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Yes, it is. Yes, it is. It's favoritism towards certain groups. Don't give me that. It is favoritism.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Recruit a workforce, a qualified workforce that looks like America. It's that simple.

[Bill O'Reilly]

That's favoring certain people based on skin color and ethnicity.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Aspiration not a policy.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Aspiration is fine. Knocking people out because they're not the right color isn't. And that's what the Democrats support has ruled on this.

[Frankie Wilmer]

That's not.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Why do you think DEI is not is so far down in the polls? Do you realize it's 60, 65 people.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Like you who are giving misinformation to people.

[Bill O'Reilly]

My information. Look it up. Look up equity. Look up the definition.

[Frankie Wilmer]

I could read you Title seven, word for word. It prevents employment, fiscal, financial, credit, housing, discrimination against protected classes of people.

[Bill O'Reilly]

That's fine.

[Frankie Wilmer]

That's fine.

[Bill O'Reilly]

We're talking about hiring and admissions to universities who don't do that on skin color. And they have been doing it.

[Frankie Wilmer]

You know, it said that you don't. The Supreme Court agrees with that.

[Bill O'Reilly]

And you don't think colleges, employers do that? You don't think Boulder does that? Come on.

[Frankie Wilmer]

I don't think they choose a less qualified person because their skin color. No.

[Bill O'Reilly]

All right, look, I want to go. Next time you visit the land of Oz, I want to go with you.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Is this the Land of Oz?

[Bill O'Reilly]

I appreciate the. I appreciate the lively debate, doctor. Thank you very much. Thank you. All right. NYC shooting. You know, it's a saturation coverage. You know all about it. Some nut walks into Ryan Reynolds here from Mint Mobile.

[Sean Spicer]

With the price of just about everything going up, we thought we'd bring our prices back down.

[Bill O'Reilly]

So to help us, we brought in.

[Sean Spicer]

A reverse auctioneer, which is apparently a thing.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Mint Mobile Unlimited premium wireless, Everybody to get 30.

[Sean Spicer]

30 a bit. Get 30.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Better to get 20. 20, 20. Get 20. 20. Better get 15. 15, 15, 15. Just 15 bucks a month. Sold.

[Sean Spicer]

Give it a [e-mail] Switch upfront payment.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Of $45 for three month plan equivalent to $15 per month required new customer.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Offer for first three months only.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Speed slow. After 35 gigabytes of networks busy. Taxes and fees extra.

[Sean Spicer]

See mintmobile.com this episode is brought to you by LifeLock between two factor authentication strong. You try to be in control of how your info is protected. But many other places also have it and they might not be as careful. That's why LifeLock monitors hundreds of millions of data points a second for threats. If your identity is stolen, they'll fix it, guaranteed, or your money back. Save up to 40% your first year. Visit lifelock.com podcast for 40% off terms apply.

[Bill O'Reilly]

A building in midtown Manhattan, and he kills four people, including a NYPD officer. All right, Shane Tamora, 27, African American, shot himself after he killed the four. Horrible. Could have been anywhere. You know, at the same time he was doing this, there was a mass shooting in Reno, Nevada. It got no coverage. Now, this is elevated because a police officer was shot and his name is Diderol Islam. Interesting story here with this man. 36 years old, immigrant from Bangladesh. Of course he's legal. He signs up to the cops. Three and a half years ago, the good man, by all accounts, two young sons, wife pregnant, okay? And he's dead because his nut shot him for no reason. And I've been looking at the motivation, which is the important part of the story. So this guy was really insane. The shooter, Tamara, he writes a suicide note that says he has a brain disease and it's the National Football League's fault. He has a brain disease. He never played football. So he walks into the building where the NFL headquarters are. That's the story. Totally out of his mind. Okay? Now, the bigger picture is that I said this could happen anywhere, and it's absolutely true. But in New York City, there is a climate of fear. After this broadcast, I have to go into that city, all right? 100 degrees, and everybody knows me. I'm a hometown boy, and I talk to people and they're afraid. And here's what I said on News Nation last night go. The state of the country is this. In the rural areas and in most smaller cities, you don't have this chaotic anarchy as far as crime. In states like Texas and Florida, big, big states, all right? Throughout the south, they do enforce the law. They punish violent criminals harshly. Okay? There is a separation. The only solution to violent crime is punishment. That is it. You know, I wrote a book called Confronting Evil. It'll be out in September. All of these evil mass murderers got away with it because the people in their countries looked away. Just like the people in Los Angeles and San Francisco, New York City, on and on, they looked away. You will not stop these monsters unless you punish them. Now, New York City has declined in social order significantly. Everybody knows that. All right? The past 12 years have been horrific under de Blasio and the current mayor, Eric Adams. Why? Because the legislature In Albany passed a law that says you can commit a violent crime. You can punch somebody in the face. Face. Breaking their nose. And you will not be held on any bail at all. You can go out and punch somebody else. Okay, that's insane. Because Democrats control New York City and state and there isn't any Democrat who is opposed to it. So social order has declined drastically in almost every area. The city is filthy. The subways and certain lines are dangerous. The thugs run wild. The drug addicts are ruining neighborhoods. This is a quality of life. Now, when you have that atmosphere in any city, San Francisco, probably the best example. All right, Violence rises. The violent culture kicks in. Now, that's not to say this guy, because he's from Nevada, the shooter yesterday, all right, was part of that culture, but he came to New York. All right. And was I surprised? No. Because I see violent crime every day in this city. I wasn't surprised. Joining us now is Rafael Manguel. He is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute. The Manhattan Institute studies New York City, all right. And state to some extent. So Rafael wrote a book called Criminal Injustice. What the Push for Decarceration and De. Policing Gets Wrong and who It Hurts the Most. All right, now we have a mayoral race coming up, as everybody knows, and this Ma', am, Donnie, who won the Democratic primary, is a communist. And he wants to basically, he's not going to admit anymore. He wants to defund the police, even though he said that. But he is anti police. He doesn't believe in. And the only thing that's keeping New York City even afloat is the police department. That's it. Okay. And he'll not attack, but he'll marginalize the police department if he wins. Are you with me so far, Rafael? Do you agree with that?

[Sean Spicer]

I'm with you so far, yeah.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Okay, 100%.

[Sean Spicer]

Go even further.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Okay.

[Sean Spicer]

Probably go even further.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Let's say. Let's play a conservative here, okay? You know, let's just do that. Because the city's quality of life is so far out of control now, the man is going to make it worse. And that'll lead to an exit exodus of affluent people out of New York City and State, taking their tax revenue with them. Your mayor, Rafael. Okay, this happened before. This happened before. Giuliani came in after a series of weakmares and cleaned it up. Could that happen again?

[Sean Spicer]

Oh, it could absolutely happen again. We know not only from history that we've been able to clean up a mess far bigger than the one that we have now, but we also have the lessons that were learned during that period of how to do it. We also have the technology to do it much more efficiently and quickly now. So, you know, there really is a key component here, and you put your finger on it earlier, which is that the NYPD has to be front and center in this effort. And that is one of the things that I do think scares voters about this Zoran Mamdani character. Because not only is he on the record multiple times saying that he wants to defund and abolish the nypd, not to mention jails and prisons and all of those things that help keep us safe, but even as he's moderated or pretended to moderate on those positions, he's moderated to a level that is still unsatisfactory. I mean, the most recent thing that I think he said was that he would try to maintain the current force level that the NYPD has. Well, the current force level that the NYPD has is significantly below the ideal.

[Bill O'Reilly]

10,000.

[Sean Spicer]

The turn of the century is 10,000.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Below what a JPEGs. What? Okay, so say that he. I don't think he's going to win. I think something's going to happen here and this mash, this shooting is going to hurt him, Mamdani. So he gets people's attention. And are you going to vote for a soft on crime guy? It's going to hurt him. But what has to happen in the city? You say the police have to take the lead. I agree. But the police can arrest as many people as they want. If the judges are just kicking them back to the street because of the state legislature signed by Cuomo, another person running for mayor, then there's no solution. You arrest, guy goes in, judge lets him out, he commits more crimes, right?

[Sean Spicer]

That's exactly right. So the bail reform, as well as the two other recent state level reforms to the state's discovery laws, which impose administrative burdens on prosecutors who have to now do significantly more work to bring cases such that they have to triage and choose which cases they're going to prosecute and which they're going to allow to be dismissed for failure to comply with these regulations. But also there was a juvenile justice bill that was passed in 2018 called the Raise the age law, which basically makes it impossible to incarcerate 16 and 17 year olds who can.

[Bill O'Reilly]

No matter what they do, right? No matter what they do. All right, so you can't put it. All right, so what is the solution?

[Sean Spicer]

Let me just quickly tell you that the worst part about all of this because even if we were to fix the NYPD and even if we were to convince the legislature to undo these bad laws, Rikers island, which is New York City's jail complex, is set to close in August of 2027. And there is not going to be a jail system that is going to.

[Bill O'Reilly]

I don't think that's going to happen. Let's, let's let. I don't think that's going to happen. The feds will take it over.

[Sean Spicer]

I sure hope not.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Okay, but again, I'm want solutions here. You say if we can convince Albany to do X and Y. You know what the state is the highest tax state in the Union is run by far left people and the Democratic machine. I don't think it's realistic. They may moderate a little bit because Hochul is really underwater in the governor campaign, but in the city itself, you've had such poor leadership for 12 years. I mean, what is a new mayor going to come in? What is he going to do? What, what should he do?

[Sean Spicer]

I think the most important thing the mayor can do is a keep Jessica Tisch in charge of the nypd.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Okay. That's a police commissioner. She's done a good job. I agree.

[Sean Spicer]

Invest in hiring at least 7 to 10,000 more police officers and to do it very, very quickly without. And this is the real challenge, without maintaining the lower standards.

[Bill O'Reilly]

But nobody wants. Look, they can't even get people to sign up because the police officers don't want to come into a system where they make an arrest and it doesn't matter. And if you're a police officer in New York City, right, if you make one mistake, you're. You're going to be sued civilly or charged criminally. Who wants to go into a system like that? You're never going to get 10,000 people to come in, ever. I'm Piers Morgan, the host of the Piers Morgan Uncensored podcast. We do big interviews and we do big debates about whatever's getting people talking. We make news, we make noise, and we make a little bit of trouble, too. If you want to see what all the fuss is about, you can listen to Piers Morgan Uncensored on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Amazon Music, or wherever you get your podcast.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Hey, I'm Caitlin Becker, the host of the New York Post Cast, and I've got exactly what you need to start your weekdays. Every morning, I'll bring you the stories that matter, plus the news. People actually talk about the juicy details in the worlds of politics, business, pop culture, and everything in between. It's what you want from the New.

[Bill O'Reilly]

York Post wrapped up in one snappy show.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Ask your smart speaker to play the.

[Bill O'Reilly]

NYPostcast podcast, listen and subscribe on Amazon.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Music, Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

[Sean Spicer]

That's exactly right. I mean, and this is the real challenge, because what people don't really understand is that as bad as the recruiting and retention crisis in the NYPD is now, it's about to get significantly worse over the next couple years because we have several thousand officers who are going to become eligible for retirement and they're.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Going to take it.

[Sean Spicer]

I do think that that's the case.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Right.

[Sean Spicer]

So there are things, though, I do think that the next mayor can do to innovate and make the job more attractive to high quality candidates.

[Bill O'Reilly]

One of those things, I'm not sure. Not with that legislature. All right, final question. Your opinion is that it has to come from law enforcement, the changes in the city, the quality of life changes have to come from the police themselves. I don't think that's possible. When you have marijuana smoke on every city, when you. On every block in the city, when you have Alvin Bragg And Darcelle Clark, DA's of Manhattan and the Bronx, and these people do not want to prosecute most crimes. You know that. I know that. The stats show that, okay, the cops can't do it by themselves. And if you have a weak mayor and none of the candidates we asked to have the Republican running, Curtis Lewa on as a guest tonight to show to put out his platform, he wouldn't. Come on. You don't want to come up against me. He doesn't want to answer those specific questions. So I assume a Democrat will win and that Democrat will just do what the other Democrats. Maybe not quite as bad. Cuomo is not going to be as bad as de Blasio. But is he a reformer? Cuomo? No. Last word? No.

[Sean Spicer]

Yeah. I certainly don't think Cuomo's a reformer. In fact, his name is on many of the pieces of legislation that are causing a lot of the problems that we are still dealing with. But I do think it's going to take a mayor that has recognized that the problems lie in Albany, that those laws need to change, and who is committed to investing in the NYPD and putting pressure in using the bully pulpit on people like Alvin Bragg and Darcelle Clark to do more and to do more quickly.

[Bill O'Reilly]

I don't know. This city needs about six months of martial law, and that's what it needs, that. And if it doesn't get it. It's going to be next year at this time, 100 times worse than now. And that's, that's going to be. There's going to be disorder in the streets. Rafael, thanks very much for the time. I appreciate it very much. Ghislaine Maxwell is making demands. She is in prison, federal prison in Miami for helping Jeffrey Epstein commit heinous crimes with underage girls. I, if I were President Trump, I would say you're not getting a deal. We're not pulling you out of there. You're serving you 20 years and that's it. We don't need her. Goodbye. All right, that's it. So. And I hope she doesn't get a pardon because that would be. Couldn't come back from that. Let's see what else I want to tell you about. CNN says the shooter in New York City is possibly wiped. Roll the tape.

[Frankie Wilmer]

John, stay with me. I know you're obviously getting information here.

[Bill O'Reilly]

In real time as we're talking.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Shimon, back with us on the phone on the scene.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Shawn, you heard John's reporting that they.

[Frankie Wilmer]

Do know the fit, what he looks.

[Bill O'Reilly]

Like, male, possibly white, mustache, sunglasses, in that building, isolated, they believe to various locations, including upper floors, is where they're focused now. She was referring to John Miller, who does a security analysis for cnn. And he had described the shooter as possibly white. There is nothing wrong with that. They're talking about what the man looks like and who he might be. And I know that Aaron Burnett has been. This is not fair. I would have done the same thing. One third of Americans in 2024 had mental illness or substance abuse disorders. A third of us. This is from the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration. That's frightening. That means that one out of every three people you encounter not really all there. And a lot of them might hurt you. That is a tremendous story. All right. And we as Americans need to grapple with that. I don't know if it's higher here than other countries, but boy, when I said that, I know the addiction thing is out of control because we just enable it and we shouldn't, but boy, oh, boy, media madness. This is NewsBusters again. NewsBusters.org fabulous job. They are a conservative organization, but that doesn't matter. Their stats are unbelievable. The View so far this year has booked a, has booked 102 guests to talk about politics. 102, okay. 102 have been liberal. Not one conservative guest on the View, not one Disney, abc. I'm telling you, you got to stop it. You're using your power Disney to propagandize. It's wrong in every way. Smart life Americans say they need $100,000 salary to be financially secure. You need a lot more than that. Just tell you 100,000 is you're not going to be financially secure if you're making 100,000. And here's a stat that's right when Joe Biden became president, $100,000 is worth now 125,000. So what you could buy with 100,000 when Biden came in, you now need 125,000. Thanks, Joe. Good job. Final thought of the day, we got the audio version already made. They're going to start shipping it in about 10 days to the various bookstores all over the country. You can order it on bill o'reilly.com and Putin I think is the most powerful chapter in the book because we got all kinds of new stuff about him. And Putin was part of the kgb, as you may know. And that's the audio clip. Go.

[Narrator]

It has been a fast rise for Vladimir Putin. Born to World War II veterans and raised in the slums of Leningrad, the young man earns a rough reputation as a local gang leader and judo champion. He quickly gains the attention of undercover KGB agents and is recruited into the agency. The 22 year old Putin is trained in hand to hand combat, counterintelligence and torture. His first assignment is the surveillance of foreigners in Leningrad. For five years, Vladimir hunts Russia's perceived enemies. Dozens of alleged spies are taken into custody by the kgb. Many are innocent. Some vanish. The communist leaders in Moscow are pleased. In 1985, Putin is promoted to lieutenant colonel and assigned to lead the KGB's operations in East Germany, a major job.

[Bill O'Reilly]

There.

[Narrator]

His training in torture is put to use. First target, Freya Clear, the pro Western theater director is allegedly spreading democratic propaganda through underground newsletters. Under Putin's order, the 36 year old woman is placed under constant surveillance. She is soon arrested in Dresden and subjected to Zerzetsung corrosion. For weeks she endures isolation, surveillance, threats and efforts to destroy her reputation and personal relationships. Freya ultimately relents. Facing certain death, the activist accepts expulsion from Dresden and is forcibly relocated to West Germany. Destitute and alone.

[Bill O'Reilly]

So we chronicle Putin's atrocities from the time he was 10 years old confronting evil. You can pre order the book or the audio. Billowrigh.com you're going to like it. You're going to learn a lot. Thank you for watching and listening to the no Spin News. I'm Bill O'Reilly. We'll see you tomorrow.