← Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis
Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis
Media Ignores Tariff Success, President Trump’s Gaza Reaction, NYC Mass Shooting Update & Rafael A. Mangual Breaks Down NYC Problems
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- [00:00]
Ryan Reynolds
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- [00:26]
Bill O'Reilly
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- [00:36]
Ryan Reynolds
So they set out to change that.
- [00:37]
Bill O'Reilly
By designing glasses in house and selling directly to customers, they're able to offer prescription eyewear that's expertly crafted and unexpectedly affordable. Warby Parker glasses are made from premium materials like impact resistant polycarbonate and custom acetate. And they start at just $95, including prescription lenses. Get glasses made from the good stuff. Stop by a Warby Parker store near you. Hey, Bill O'Reilly here. Welcome to the no Spin News. Tuesday, July 29, 2025. Stand up for your country. Hot here and around the country, especially in the south, about 98 where I live, 100 plus in New York City. Gonna relocate tomorrow out to eastern Long island by the ocean. It's 15 degrees cooler out there than here and there. You have the no Spin weather forecast. Sound like David Muir on abc. We'll get to him in a minute. The talking points memo is on this tariff success that Donald Trump is having could be temporary, no euphoria. Stock market has not responded. It's kind of flat this week, maybe down a little bit. But the president took a gamble in April and it has paid off so far. I think that's fair and accurate. All right, so this year alone, the United States government has generated $125 billion from tariffs. Now that money goes into the U.S. treasury. I'll explain in a moment. This is up 131% from the same time last year under President Biden, who did not care at all about the trade deficit. Never looked at it, never examined it. He was second worst president ever and ignored most of the problems. And the trade deficit is a problem. Okay, so we call the Treasury Department and they wouldn't even respond to us. Nice, right? Boy, oh, boy, those bureaucrats in Washington. Anyway, we did our own investigation and all of the money so far has gone into the general fund, which can be used for anything the Trump administration wants it to be used for. It's not going to pay down the debt at this moment. I hope it will. And I am going to go on a little campaign to embarrass certain people to get some of this money to pay down that $37 trillion debt, because it's mounting and mounting and mounting. Look, this is going to go into the trillions that the United States is going to get from foreign nations trying to sell products here. So why not pay down a debt with it? Okay. Most Americans love their country. Doesn't matter. Whether you're Democrat, Republican or liberal or libertarian. Doesn't matter. Say that's good. So far it's working out. But not Senator Charles Schumer, the minority leader. No, no, he doesn't. He doesn't like it. Roll the tape. Trump would have you believe it's the biggest deal ever. That's his words dangling $250 billion of new energy purchases and more in new investments. There's just one hiccup. It's fake. No, it's not. Schumer's lying. And I very rarely use that word. I usually say he's misleading or he's a propagandist, which he is, but he's just lying. He's just head down reading something that's been written for him by one of his propaganda people. And, you know, I used to have a decent relationship with him and I run into him from time to time in New York. I have no respect for Charles Schumer. None, None. He doesn't love this country, in my opinion. He's not looking out for you or me or anybody else. He is a rank propagandist. And again, I don't use this kind of rhetoric. All right? I usually can see two sides to this story. You know, that this guy. Oof. When we are evaluating the economy, it all has to do with how you are doing the American consumer, because the consumer drives the economy. Yes, we're going to get a lot of investment in here under the Trump plan and that will provide more jobs for Americans. Higher paying jobs, too. Okay. It'll take a little while because they got to build the plants and they've got to reorganize what it is. But the key is that the money going out of the United States is now declining sharply, which is a good thing. If you know anything, anything about economics, anything at all. Okay? Now, will this last? Will this go into the annals of a successful economy? We'll know by December, because that's when all of the Trump stuff will coalesce. So you will see that it either works or it doesn't. That is a fair barometer. December. But I will tell you that in 24 last year, under Biden, the second worst president of all time, okay, the U.S. trade deficit stood at 1.2 trillion. 1.2 trillion. You figured that would get his attention. I don't know how it's going to be in 25 because there's no estimate, but it's down 11% in one month. June, the trade deficit. So if you do the math, Trump is winning. And that's the memo. All right, so the left wing media will never admit that Trump is winning on anything. You know that. I know that, which is why you're here watching and listening to me. Not that I'm rooting for President Trump, but I give him a fair shake and I report accurately, unlike 90% of the others. All right, so last night on the World News Roundups, the evening news on the three networks, here's how much time they gave the Trump tariff, which is a huge story for you. Okay? CBF Evening News did its job, four minutes it spent on the tariffs. And CBS Evening News is changing rapidly because they're all afraid they're going to get fired when the merger goes in in October. NBC Nightly News, 35 seconds. ABC 36 seconds. So they ignored it. NBC and ABC, what did they do instead? ABC did 3 minutes and 11 seconds on the weather because that's what David Muir does every night. He's a weatherman. I don't even know him. I have nothing against him. I thought he did a terrible job, but moderating the debate. But if you put on ABC World News Tonight, it's a weather forecast because surveys show that's what Americans respond to. They like the weather. So 3:11 on the weather for ABC. Last night, 36 seconds on the tariffs. NBC is ridiculous. It's just off the board. So they're on the Epstein Jag. So Epstein last night got two minutes on NBC Nightly News and tariffs got 35 seconds. Now, I think we've exhausted the Epstein thing, have we not? I think so. I'm going to do a thing tomorrow on this. Ghislaine Maxwell now says she should be released. No, I'll do that tomorrow, but I'm not going to keep going over and over as NBC News does. It's ridiculous. So next up is China. Now, it's the most important thing, if Trump can pull off a trade deal with China, that both countries are happy with the world immediately becomes a safer and more prosperous place. That's why I went to Beijing in May. Okay. And I know that right now Donald Trump wants to go to Beijing. I think that will happen. It's going to happen probably the end of September, early October. And there are things in place where if you were a betting person, odds are the deal is going to happen. And if it happens, that squeezes Putin. Okay?
- [09:38]
Ryan Reynolds
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- [10:08]
Bill O'Reilly
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Ryan Reynolds
So we're going to be even more involved.
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Bill O'Reilly
Good. We are a humanitarian nation. Boy, what a. What a problem over there. All right, NYC shooting, you know, it's a saturation coverage. You know all about it. Some nut walks into a building in midtown Manhattan and he kills four people, including a NYPD officer. All right, Shane Tamora, 27, African American, shot himself after he killed the four. Horrible. Could have been anywhere. You know, at the same time he was doing this, there was a mass shooting in Reno, Nevada. It got no coverage. Now, this is elevated because a police officer was shot and his name is Diderol Islam. Interesting story here with this man, 36 years old, immigrant from Bangladesh. Of course he's legal. He signs up to the cops three and a half years ago. He's a good man by all accounts. Two young sons, wife pregnant. Okay? And he's dead because his nut shot him for no reason. And I've been looking at the motivation, which is the important part of the story. So this guy was really insane. The shooter, Tamara, he writes a suicide note that says he has a brain disease and it's the National Football League's fault. He has a brain disease. He never played football. So he walks into the building where the NFL headquarters are. That's the story. Totally out of his mind. Okay? Now, the bigger picture is that I said this could happen anywhere, and it's absolutely true. But in New York City, there is a climate of fear. After this broadcast, I have to go into that city, all right? 100 degrees, and everybody knows me. I'm a hometown boy, and I talk to people and they're afraid. And here's what I said on News Nation last night. Go. The state of the country is this. In the rural areas and in most smaller cities, you don't have this chaotic anarchy as far as crime. In states like Texas and Florida, big, big states, all right? Throughout the south, they do enforce the law. They punish violent criminals harshly. Okay? There is a separation. The only solution to violent crime is punishment. That is it. You know, I wrote a book called Confronting Evil. It will be out in September. All of these evil mass murderers got away with it because the people in their countries looked away. Just like the people in Los Angeles and San Francisco. New York City, on and on, they looked away. You will not stop these monsters unless you punish them. Now, New York City has declined in social order significantly. Everybody knows that. All right? The past 12 years have been horrific under de Blasio and the current mayor, Eric Adams. Why? Because the legislature in Albany passed a law that says you can commit a violent crime. You can punch somebody in the face. Face. Breaking their nose, and you will not be held on any bail at all. You can go out and punch somebody else. Okay? That's insane. Because Democrats control New York City and state, and there isn't any Democrat who is opposed to it. So social order has declined drastically in almost every area. The city is filthy. The subways and certain lines are dangerous. The thugs run wild. The drug addicts are ruining neighborhoods. This is a quality of life. Now, when you have that atmosphere in any city, San Francisco, probably the best example, all right? Violence rises. The violent culture kicks in. Now, that's not to say this guy, because he's from Nevada, the shooter yesterday, all right, was part of that culture, but he came to New York, all right. And was I surprised? No. Because I see violent crime every day in this city. I wasn't surprised. Joining us now is Rafael Manguel. He is a senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute. The Manhattan Institute studies New York City. All right. And state, to some extent. So Raphael wrote a book called Criminal Injustice. What the Push For Decarceration and De. Policing Gets Wrong and who It Hurts the Most. All right, now, we have a mayoral race coming up, as everybody knows, and this ma', am, Donnie, who won the Democratic primary, is a communist. And he wants to, basically, he's not going to admit anymore, was to defund the police, even though he said that. But he is anti police. He doesn't believe in. And the only thing that's keeping New York City even afloat is the police department. That's it. Okay. And he'll not attack, but he'll marginalize the police department if he wins. Are you with me so far, Rafael? Do you agree with that?
- [19:33]
Ryan Reynolds
With you so far? Yeah.
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Bill O'Reilly
Okay. 100%.
- [19:35]
Ryan Reynolds
Go even further.
- [19:36]
Bill O'Reilly
Okay.
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Ryan Reynolds
But let's probably go even further.
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Bill O'Reilly
Let's say, let's play a conservative here. Okay. You know, let's just do that. Because the city's quality of life is so far out of control now, the man's going to make it worse. And that'll lead to an exit exodus of affluent people out of New York City and state, taking their tax revenue with them. Your mayor, Rafael. Okay, this happened before. This happened before Giuliani came in after a series of weak mayors and cleaned it up. Could that happen again?
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Ryan Reynolds
Oh, it could absolutely happen again. We. We know not only from history that we've been able to clean up a mess far bigger than the one that we have now, but we also have the lessons that were learned that during that period of how to do it. We also have the technology to do it much more efficiently and quickly now. So, you know, there really is a key component here, and you put your finger on it earlier, which is that the NYPD has to be front and center in this effort. And that is one of the things that I do think scares voters about this Zoran Mamdani character, because not only is he on the record multiple times saying that he wants to defund and abolish the nypd, not to mention jails and prisons and all of those things that help keep us safe, but even as he's moderated or pretended to moderate on those positions, he's moderated to a level that is still unsatisfactory. I mean, the most recent thing that I think he said was that he would try to maintain the current force level that the NYPD has. Well, the current force level that the NYPD has is is significantly below the ideal 10,000 the turn of the century.
- [21:19]
Bill O'Reilly
It'S 10,000 below what it jpegs. What okay. So I'm Ashley Graham and as a.
- [21:26]
Ryan Reynolds
Parent I know the back to school transition can be a lot when it comes to wellness. Ollie supports me and my family through it all. Kids multi is big in my house. It supports their immune system and they.
- [21:38]
Bill O'Reilly
Love to take it.
- [21:39]
Ryan Reynolds
A win win for everyone. She shop these products@ollie.com or retailers nationwide. These statements have not been evaluated by the Food and Drug Administration. This product is not intended to diagnose.
- [21:50]
Bill O'Reilly
Treat, cure or prevent any disease. Hey, Mike Baker here, host of the President's Daily Brief podcast. If you want straight talk on national security, foreign policy and the biggest global stories going on of the day, this is the show for you. We publish twice a day, Monday through Friday, once in the morning, again in the afternoon and on the weekend we go longer with the PDB Situation Report with excellent guests including national security insiders and foreign policy experts. Check us out on Spotify, Apple or.
- [22:19]
Ryan Reynolds
Wherever you get your podcasts.
- [22:21]
Bill O'Reilly
Also on our YouTube channel at President's Daily Brief say that he I don't think he's going to win. I think something's going to happen here and this mass, this shooting is going to hurt him. I'm Donnie. So it gets people's attention and are you going to vote for a soft on crime guy? It's going to hurt him. But what has to happen in the city? You say the police have to take the lead, I agree. But the police can arrest as many people as they want. If the judges are just kicking them back to the street because of the state legislature, signed by Cuomo, another person running for mayor, then there's no solution. You arrest guy goes in, judge lets him out, he commits more crimes, right?
- [23:06]
Ryan Reynolds
That's exactly right. So the bail reform as well as the two other recent state level reforms to the state's discovery laws which impose administrative burdens on prosecutors who have to now do significantly more work to bring cases such that they have to triage and choose which cases they're going to prosecute and which they're going to allow to be dismissed for failure to comply with these regulations. But also there was a juvenile justice bill that was passed in 2018 called the Raise the age law, which basically makes it impossible to incarcerate 16 and 17 year olds who can.
- [23:39]
Bill O'Reilly
No matter what they do, right? No matter what they do. All right, so you can't put it. All right, so what is the solution?
- [23:47]
Ryan Reynolds
Let Me just quickly tell you the, the worst part about all of this, because even if we were to fix the NYPD and even if we were to convince the legislature to undo these bad laws, Rikers island, which is New York City's jail complex, is set to close in August of 2027. And there is not going to be a jail system that is going.
- [24:08]
Bill O'Reilly
I don't think that's going to happen. Let's, let's. I don't think that's going to happen. The feds will take it over.
- [24:13]
Ryan Reynolds
I sure hope not.
- [24:15]
Bill O'Reilly
Okay. But again, I want solutions here. You say if we can convince Albany to do X and Y. You know what the state is the highest tax state in the union is run by far left people and the Democratic machine. I don't think it's realistic. They may moderate a little bit because Hochul is really underwater in the governor campaign. But in the city itself, you've had such poor leadership for 12 years. I mean, what is a new mayor going to come in? What is he going to do? What, what should he do?
- [24:48]
Ryan Reynolds
I think the most important thing that the mayor can do is a keep Jessica Tish in charge of the mip.
- [24:54]
Bill O'Reilly
Okay. That's a police commissioner. She's done a good job.
- [24:57]
Ryan Reynolds
I agree to stay, invest in hiring at least 7 to 10,000 more police officers and to do it very, very quickly without, and this is the real challenge, without maintaining the lower standards.
- [25:13]
Bill O'Reilly
But nobody wants. Look, they can't even get people to sign up because the police officers don't want to come into a system where they make an arrest and it doesn't matter. And if you're a police officer in New York City, right. If you make one mistake, you're. You're going to be sued civilly or charged criminally. Who wants to go into a system like that? You're never going to get 10,000 people to come in, ever.
- [25:38]
Ryan Reynolds
That's exactly right. I mean, and this is the real challenge because what people don't really understand is that as bad as the recruiting and retention crisis in the NYPD is now, it's about to get significantly worse over the next couple years because we have several thousand officers who are going to become eligible for retirement and they're.
- [25:56]
Bill O'Reilly
Going to take it years.
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Ryan Reynolds
Because I do think that that's the case.
- [26:00]
Bill O'Reilly
Right.
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Ryan Reynolds
So there are things, though, I do think that the next mayor can do to innovate and make the job more attractive to high quality candidates.
- [26:08]
Bill O'Reilly
I'm not sure, not with that legislature. Final question. Your opinion is that it has to come from law enforcement. The changes in. In the city, the quality of life changes have to come from the police themselves. I don't think that's possible. When you have marijuana smoke on every city, when you. On every block in the city, when you have Alvin Bragg And Darcelle Clark, DA's of Manhattan and the Bronx, and these people do not want to prosecute most crimes. You know that. I know that. The stats show that, okay, the cops can't do it by themselves. And if you have a weak mayor and none of the candidates we asked to have the Republican running, Curtis Lewa on as a guest tonight to show put out his platform, he wouldn't come on. You don't want to come up against me. He doesn't want to answer specific questions. So I assume a Democrat will win and the Democrat will just do what the other Democrats. Maybe not quite as bad. Cuomo is not going to be as bad as de Blasio. But is he a reformer? Cuomo? No. Last word? No.
- [27:24]
Ryan Reynolds
Yeah. I certainly don't think Cuomo's a reformer. In fact, his name is on many of the pieces of legislation that are causing a lot of the problems that we are still dealing with. But. But I do think it's going to take a mayor that is recognized that the problems lie in Albany, that those laws need to change, and who is committed to investing in the NYPD and putting pressure, using the bully pulpit on people like Alvin Bragg and Darcelle Clark to do more and to do more quickly.
- [27:49]
Bill O'Reilly
I don't know. This city needs about six months of martial law, and that's what it needs. If he doesn't get it, it's going to be next year at this time 100 times worse than now. And that's going to be. There's going to be disorder in the streets. Rafael, thanks very much for the time. I appreciate it very much. Okay. You remember in April that Chinese President Xi was mad at Trump because of tariffs, and he goes, oh, I'm going to go to Vietnam, Cambodia and Malaysia and set up new trade deals. Whereupon I said this. Go. Let's update you on the tariffs. Chinese President Xi Jinping is going to Vietnam, Malaysia and Cambodia. Hey, President Xi, let me just break it to you. Those folks have no money at all, okay? They cannot help you. They can buy your stuff because they don't have any money. That was April 14th. That was absolutely true. So the president of Malaysia, who watches me on YouTube, as almost all world leaders do, okay, his name is Anwar Ibrahim, held a press conference in Kuala Lumpur and denounced me as a quote, unquote, colonialist. A colonialist is somebody who wants, I guess, America to rule the world or something like that. Anyway, he's in trouble now, our pal in Malaysia, Anwar. There was a big demonstration, about 15,000 people, they want to boot him, all right, because his corruption, graft. Nobody's making any money. As I said, too high taxes. And so Ibrahim, he's not going to survive this. I'm taking full credit. I thought you'd like that update. What goes around comes around. Smart life. Can you change a tire? Okay, I love this. This is from Finance Buzz Talk to a thousand American adults. Only 48% can change a tire. Now, I can change a tire, but it'd take me like eight hours to do it. I know the jack and I know the essentials. I have changed tires in the past. Way back now I got every service in the world, but it takes a couple of hours for them to show up to change your tire. So 52% of Americans say they need somebody else to change the tire. All right? And the boomers are the worst. And then Gen X, then Millennials and then Gen Z. The Gen Zs can, can change the tires, but the boomers can't. 64% say they would need help to change their oil. I. I would need a battery help. I can't do that. 80% say they can refill the air in a tire. I can do that. Packages by Expedia. You were made to occasionally take the hard route to the top of the Eiffel Tower. We were made to easily bundle your trip.
- [31:18]
Ryan Reynolds
Expedia made to travel flight inclusive packages are atoll protected. Hey, it's Sean Spicer from the Sean Spicer show podcast reminding you to tune into my show every day to get your daily dose inside the world of politics. President Trump and his team are shaking up Washington like never before. And we're here to cover it from all sides, especially on the topics of the mainstream media.
- [31:41]
Bill O'Reilly
Won't.
- [31:42]
Ryan Reynolds
So if you're a political junkie on a late lunch or getting ready for the drive home, new episodes of the Sean Spicer show podcast drop at 2pm East coast every day. Make sure you tune in. You can find us at Apple Podcast, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcast.
- [31:57]
Bill O'Reilly
But 73% say they can't change their spark plugs. I can't do that. So I got a guy who does it for me. But I thought it was pretty amusing that most Americans at this point in history cannot change a flat tire. Okay, here is Another thing, this from Canadian casino website Gamble Lizard. Take it for what it's worth. 43% of Americans say they would leave their romantic partner for $1 million. 43% Throwing a partner under the cliche ridden bus for a million bucks. Okay. Also for a million dollars. 41% say they would swear off sex forever. That is what they say for a million bucks. 59% say they would give up their cell phones and live off the grid. And 15% say they would frame a friend for a crime the friend did not commit for a million bucks. Now, that jives right into my stat, that 15% of the world's population of human beings are evil. A lot of folks. That's why I wrote Confronting Evil out in September. So that could perfect. So Gamble Lizard has right into my wheelhouse. Some other stats. 57% of Americans would quit their jobs immediately if they got a million bucks. Say in history. 24-7-29. Senator John Kerry accepts the Democratic presidential nomination. Roll the tape. I'm John Kerry and I'm reporting for duty. We are. Thank you. We are here tonight. We are here tonight because we love our country. We're proud of what America is and what it can become. My fellow Americans, we're here tonight united in one purpose, to make America stronger at home and respected in the world. Well, Kerry almost won 2004. That was in Boston. Bush beat him. Bush the younger, 286 to 1 to 251. Remember, 270 is what you need to become president. United States electoral vote count. I was there in Boston and, you know, I hung out with that those few days. Ben Affleck, the actor, because his mother is a huge fan of mine. I hope she's still around. But that was a very interesting convention in Boston. And that happened, the nomination, 21 years ago today. Subsequently, of course, Kerry was Secretary of State under Obama. He was the climate czar under Biden. I don't know what that accomplished. I'd love to know if all that money. Remember Kerry flew private all over the place, all over the world. We pay for that. Well, what did we accomplish there with the climate czar? Now he is working for Galvanized Climate Solutions, a green investment group. All right, we'll be back with a final thought in a moment. Final thought. We're going into August. Oh, boy. You know, and I have to make decisions about how much vacation time I'm going to give my staff and myself. It's very intense this summer, as you know, with breaking news almost every day now. Trump's not taking any vacation. I thought we were going to get a couple of weeks where he would play golf in New Jersey or something. It doesn't look like that's happening. So what I've decided to do is that we're going to be very nimble and I'm not going to take up any blocks of time until the end of August. We traditionally take a week before Labor Day and that, that kind of thing. We'll still do that. But throughout August I got to give my, my people a break. I have to and I will. But I'm going to spot it. So it's not going to be like the whole week depending on the news cycle. I think that's fair. Our memberships in billorilly.com are amazing. We got like 90% renewals. And I know you guys depend on our information flow because all the other media is lying to you and the right wing media, too. They're not telling you the truth. They're spinning it their way. Okay, but we will. And I know that that becomes addictive. You every day you want to know what's going on. So that's what I've decided to do. We'll spot it. I'll give you a heads up, you know, and all that. But I'm not going to be, I'm not going to take, you know, whole weeks until the end of August. Will take a day here, a day there. I think that's a fair way to do it. All right. So thank you very much for watching and listening to the no Spin News. I'm Bill O'Reilly. We'll see you again tomorrow.