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You're listening to the no Spin News Talking Points edition.
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Okay, so the stock market opened today, down 800 points. And you know, it goes up and it goes down, but it's lost more than 2,000 points since February 28, the start of the Iranian conflict. Okay, so if you have stocks, hold on, because they'll come back. But painful oil is the worst. So oil was $72 a barrel at the start of the Iranian conflict. It's now way above 100, about $104. Now, that's a problem because it just spirals into everything. Food costs, travel costs, on and on. I'll get to that in a moment. And then inflation ignites because everybody's paying more money for the products because oil drives commerce in not only the United States, but the world. So this is the key component now in the Iraq War. The Strait of Hormuz is where the oil tankers. 20% of the world's oil comes through Persian Gulf. They got to go through the Strait of Hormuz, which is fairly closed. So it's easy to attack it with drones, which is what Iran is doing. But they're running out of drones. I understand. And some ships are getting through. So 16 million barrels of oil a day has been held up worldwide. And that just means everybody is going to suffer. The whole world. I do believe that will unclog itself because as I said, the Iranian munitions, your ability to attack is declining rapidly. Secretary of War Pete Hegseth went on 60 Minutes last night. Now, some of you will remember I was not a supporter of him being appointed to that position, Secretary of War, because he's too young. And I was at Harvard talking to the students at the Kennedy School on Thursday. And Mr. Hegseth has a Harvard Kennedy School degree he got in 2013, public policy. My master's degree is public administration, but it's pretty much the same thing. Hegseth is a smart guy, all right, but he's a little bit too undisciplined, in my opinion. But here in the Iran situation, he's. He did pretty well, I thought. And you want to be fair about it, he didn't make any major gaffes. Came across a little cocky. And that doesn't do anybody any good. I think that's his nature. I mean, I do that, but I wouldn't do it if I were talking about war. I think you got to be very circumspect. Now, Hegseth addressed two questions by Major Garrett. You may remember that name. Major Garrett used to work at Fox News. Excellent correspondent. CBS is working him into the big interviews because he's not an ideologue, he's not a liberal, he's neutral. I don't know what Major is, and I've known him for 30 years. I don't know what he is, but he conducted a very good interview. All right, here's the first part of it. Go.
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This is war. This is conflict. This is bringing your enemy to their knees. Now, whether they will have a ceremony in Tehran Square and surrender, that's up to them.
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Okay? So that's the mission to break Iran. Now, when you use the words regime change, okay? I mean, the United States and Israel and a few others, not that many, want a different mentality running the country. So they want to be able to inspect all the nuke sites. So because they can't develop nuclear weapons and get rid of all the ballistic missiles that are aimed at Jerusalem and Tel Aviv, that's what they want. And that has to happen. They will not stop until that happens. Now, there's a variety of ways to get there. You can sign a treaty. You could have new people, Persian people themselves could, could rise up. There's a lot of Kuds. But it's going to be a different country, okay? Sooner or later, and let's hope it's sooner. The second thing is about, and this is what the left wing media is obsessed with US Casualties.
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Go, there will be more casualties. And no one is, I mean, especially our generation knows, knows what it's like to see Americans come home in caskets. It's. But that doesn't weaken us one bit. It stiffens our spine and our resolve to say, this is a fight we will finish.
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Okay, I don't have any problem with that. I would have a problem if infantry were put into Iran. That would not be good based upon what happened in Iraq. So we can't do that. Afghanistan was a different situation. But there are enough militants in Iran, Revolutionary Guard types, that it's just impossible to protect Western troops. So you break them in a variety of ways. The Iranian government. But I can't imagine President Trump putting infantry in there. And I'm not going to use the word boots on the ground, because that's a stupid cliche. These people are boots on the ground. Okay? We're not going to have mechanized units roll in. I'll give you an interesting aside. Last week, we edited out my analysis of the Kurds, which were reported that they were going to go in and fight on the ground. Now, the Kurds are a group of people, some of whom have descendants in Iran. Some are Turkish, some are Iraqi. It's across the board. Now, I did not believe the report. Because of resupply, you can't supply them. And I had that in my talking points to tell you. And then this report comes. Well, the curves are already in there, so I didn't want to mislead anybody, so I pulled it. But it turns out I was right. And when I pulled it, I went to the producer. I went. And I don't know about this. It does not seem right to me. Just be skeptical of what you hear. Do not believe all of this stuff. Okay? Now back to the USA and how it is responding to Iran. So the Senate minority leader, Senator Charles Schumer, says we should open the oil reserves. And I had that exact thought, which frightens me, because I don't want to be on the same wavelength as Schumer, who I don't respect, but that should happen. So let's put the oil reserves into the marketplace to keep a lid on the rising costs of gasoline. Okay? Now, we did some research. The Biden administration gutted the oil reserves. You remember that? To try to get inflation down. They threw everything out. They didn't have anything left. Trump has tried to replace it, but he started only in last fall and signed a bunch of contracts to replace it. The oil. So I don't know how much oil left in the reserves. But the Trump administration is trying to replace the stuff that the Biden people put on out there, just so you know. All right, Finally, President is trying to do the right thing here. This is important. The right thing is to confront Iran because Iran is a terrorist state that wants to develop a nuclear weapon. That's reality. Everybody knows that. The Iranians say that we have a right to develop our nuclear weapon. Okay? So the right thing to do is to prevent them from doing that.
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Nobody knows a time frame. Nobody knows what secret labs they might have or anything like that. So Trump is trying to do the right thing for the world. Not just for the United States, for the world. But sometimes the right thing is the hardest thing to do right in your life. When my urchins come to me with a problem and it's a difficult problem, I said, well, what do you think the right thing is to do? And they'll come up with an answer. But it's always painful to do the right thing. Always. You know, in theory, it was the correct thing to try to provide a measure of freedom to the South Vietnamese. It was to protect them from totalitarianism. But it couldn't happen because of a variety of problems. But we did the right thing. And it worked in Korea, but it didn't work in Vietnam. So sometimes the right thing can't be done. The right thing is to remove Putin. He's a menace to the world. He's a murderer, he's a psychopath, but he's got nukes and he could use them. But the people who are attacking President Trump for doing the wrong thing are lying to you. Not the wrong thing.
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You're listening to a special edition of the no Spin News.
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So, like Vietnam, the Democrats have set themselves up as the anti war party. Okay? In Vietnam, it didn't really work out for them as Richard Nixon, Republican, staunch Republican, was elected president in 1968. You remember, LBJ was forced to resign because he mishandled the Vietnam War. And Nixon just trounced the Democratic opposition across the board. You might remember that 53 Democrats in the House of Representatives voted against recertifies that Iran is a terrorist state. That just happened last week. 53 and the usual radical suspects. Okay. Now, this week, members of the Senate, Democratic members of the Senate, Cory Booker, Chris Murphy, Tim Kaine, Tammy Duckworth, Adam Schiff, Tommy Baldwin, all Trump haters, all right, have said we're going to shut the Senate down unless Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the Senate Armed Services Committee. When he shut it down, that means we're not going to even consider any legislation. So nothing will get done. Does kind of blackmail, Right. No matter what the issue, they're not going to cooperate. In addition to that, a number of these same senators objected to The June bombing, June 13, 2025, of the Iranian nuclear headquarters. Remember that? Which was successful and set back the Iranian nuke weapons program. However, there were other smaller facilities that still continue to operate. And that's what the current controversy is all about, that Iran will not let weapons inspectors in to see what they are doing. And in the last meeting, the Iranian representative actually told the Americans, hey, we're going to, we're going to enrich as much uranium as we want. Too bad. I mean, that's where it was. And then the military action started. So these are the senators who. I can't name all of them, but they didn't want to. They condemned the bombing of the Iranian nuclear facility. Hirano, Hawaii. Rand Paul, he's a Republican, he's an isolationist. Bernie Sanders, Chris Van Holland, Tim Kaine, Chuck Schumer, Alex Padilla, Adam Schiff, Chris Murphy, of course, the worst. He's the worst. Elizabeth Warren, and on and on and on. So just step back for a minute. Doesn't matter really what party you're in, whether you're conservative or liberal. These people are saying it's okay with them if Iran develops a nuclear weapon. They're fine with it. We should not intrude on that. That's how you have to analyze the news. You boil it down to really what it's about, the essence of it. So they don't want Israel, usa, any country to inhibit the Iranian pursuit of nuclear weapons. It's shocking, absolutely shocking that they would take that posture. But they have, it's on the record. So the Democratic Party then runs a risk, a huge risk, if the Republicans are smart and this thing turns out to be a regime change and that's what it's going to have to take, or a neutralization, complete neutralization of Iran's ability to make any weapons, okay, Democrats are going to be in huge trouble. But right now, they are strutting around. So here is the. The worst Trump hater in the Senate is Senator Chris Murphy of Connecticut. Roll him. But anyone who is cheerleading the United States into a war with Iran has very quickly forgotten the disasters of the Iraq War and the Afghanistan war, where there were early tactical successes. But it became a quagmire that ultimately got thousands of Americans killed, created new insurgencies against US Interests and against our allies in the region. So I do not think there's support in this country for the United States to go to war again in the Middle East. Yeah, just sit it out, no matter what happens. And of course, he's making an invalid comparison. There is no scenario for which infantry, American military would be on the ground in Iran that would destroy the Trump administration because Americans would not support that. And I got back up for that in a moment. Now, in the House, the leading radical is California Congressman Ro Khanna. Roll it. It is a profoundly moral vote. It is a vote to direct our resources towards healing our own people, towards health care that saves lives, jobs that restore dignity, housing that shelters families instead of raining destruction on other nations. It is a vote to renew an America that leads once more through diplomacy, statesmanship, and principle, an America that strives to end cycles of violence rather than ignite them. So this is a usual. I don't have any solution to Iran other than let them do what they want. Okay. But we got to do things at home like, you can't do both. I think you can. I could. So that's just. That's just called gibberish. Political gibberish. All right, summing up. Big risk for President Trump, bigger risk for the opposition Democratic Party, which once again has branded itself anti war and would allow villains of the highest order. All right, These are villains of the highest order. All you got to do is read my book, Confronting Evil. You don't believe me? I did. Fact, fact after fact after fact on how bad Iran is, how many millions of people they have killed. That country has killed. And you can go back into history and every tyrant in the world, when you fail to stop the tyrants, things get worse. And that is the memo.
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You're listening to a special edition of the no Spin News.
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So the Vatican is a country. Lot of people don't know that. It's a nation and it has a foreign policy. And as part of that policy, it says that you should not fight militarily unless you're involved in a just war.
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Okay, a righteous action. And there are three things that define just war. Just cause. You gotta have a reason, right? Intention, what you want to happen after the military action is over, and proportionality. So if some nation kills 5 of your people, you don't kill 5 million. That's proportionality. Now, this is based on the writings of a very brilliant scholar, St. Augustine. And it has changed over the centuries. You remember way back, the Crusades, where the Catholic Church tried to dislodge Muslims from the Holy Land. That was not a just war. I mean, it was a conflict between two religions, but it went on forever. And it was back and forth. It was more about territory than imposing some kind of belief system in a deity. Anyway, right now we have a schism in the Catholic Church. People like me who respect the church's teaching believe that the Iranian action is righteous. So it is a just war. I said, President Trump is doing the right thing. But often the right thing is very painful and very difficult to accomplish. In fact, most of the time. And it doesn't help when you have a powerful religion lining up against you. So Catholics are the biggest religious group in the United States of America. And Pope Leo has weighed in, and here's what he said. Quote, we lift our humble prayer to the Lord so that the thunderous sound of bombs may cease, weapons may fall silent, and a space for dialogue may open up in which the voice of the people can be heard on. Okay, in theory, that's perfect. That's what should happen. But we have been trying to negotiate, we the United States, with Iran, to stop their nuclear weapons program for years, and dialogue doesn't seem to be doing it. And Iran itself admits, we're going to develop our nuclear weapons, whether you like it or not. That's why the bombing started. That was the reason. In the last Geneva Conference between the United States, led by Steve Witkoff and the Iranians, the Iranian foreign minister said, hey, we don't care what you say. We're going to do what we want. In addition to that, 30,000 Iranians have been murdered by their own government over the last few weeks. Those Are protesters. You saw it, 30,000 dead. That's a lot of dead bodies. All right, so I'd like to hear the voice of the people, you, Holiness. I would, but they can't talk because they're dead. So this is reality intruding on theory. Now in the United States, the Cardinal in Washington D.C. robert McElroy said this quote, the criterion of just cause is not met because our country was not responding to an existing or imminent and objectively verifiable attack by Iran. As Pope Benedict declared categorically, Catholic teaching does not support preventive war, a war justified by speculation about events in the future. Now, we asked Cardinal McElroy to come on. He was so disrespectful to us, he didn't even reply to the invitation. That's not the Christian thing to do there, Cardinal. I'm scolding a cardinal, so hell awaits me. I understand that, but it's not. It was disrespectful totally. And the cardinal is not a stand up guy. Sorry. Got to tell the truth. Now the cardinal says does not support preventative war. In the Civil War, if Presidents Pierce and Buchanan had taken aggressive action against the south, which was supporting slavery, which was brutalizing human beings, if they had taken preventative action, Pierce and Buchanan would not have been a civil war because the Confederacy at that point was too weak to fight. But neither president did Pierce actually sympathized with the south and Buchanan was an incompetent fool. And so it fell on Abraham Lincoln, President after Buchanan. Now, if the Union had taken action against the south to stop the rebellion, more than a million people would not have died. Then you go to 1938. Everybody knew Adolf Hitler wanted to conquer the world and was willing to kill as many people as possible to do it, including murdering civilians that he didn't like. Like Jews, Gypsies, homosexuals. Everybody knew that that was not a secret. And interestingly enough, while the Catholic Church gets a black eye in the run up to World War II, that's unfair. Because if you look at the roles of the first concentration camp at Dachau in Bavaria, it's still there if you want to go over and see it. There were scores of Catholic priests who spoke out against the Third Reich incarcerated in that concentration camp. Now, the Vatican couldn't do anything about it because it was so small. It is a nation but doesn't have any power. But if Europe and America had united Against Hitler in 1938, 39, 20 million people wouldn't have died. So you're Telling me that preventative war is off the table. Cardinal McElroy, you're willing to see millions and millions of people die. That doesn't make any sense. And I don't believe Jesus would support it. I'm sorry, it makes no sense at all. Iran. So we all know that 1200 people were killed by Hamas in a raid of October 7, 2023. How did that happen? Well, if you read Confronting Evil, and all of this swirls around my book, Confronting Evil, all of it. Hitler, civil war, attack on October 7th. It's all in there. And the overarched theme is if you don't stop evil, it gets worse and worse and worse and worse and more and more people die. That's a theme of confronting evil. Okay, so Hamas goes over, he kills, rapes, you know, 1200 people. They could not have done that without Iran. Iran arms them, okay? And then the blowback from Israel into Gaza with the Palestinian people. What do we got, 60, 70,000 dead there because Israel had to protect itself and Hamas was hiding behind the civilians. I mean, come on, that's. Iran did that. Hamas and Hezbollah, which is firing the rockets at Israel now from Lebanon, they're bought and paid for by Iran. So how many more people got to die? And then you go back to the Iraq war, where Iran was making all the roadside bombs killing Americans, on and on and on and on. You know, I got Ayatollah Khomeini on the COVID of Confronting Evil, and we explain exactly what he did in 39 years. Millions of people he killed. But you don't do a preventative war. And the Pope. Space for dialogue. What do you want to talk about? This is a regime that admits it's going to develop a nuclear weapon, and you let it go. You let it happen based upon all of the things that we have seen in the last 39 years. I wouldn't want that on my conscience. I really wouldn't. The un, a paper tiger, has no power, actually condemned Iran and said, look, they are developing a nuclear weapon and they're dangerous. They now, Iran never signed. Neither did the United States or Russia. The UN nuclear treaty. Iran didn't sign it. We didn't sign it. Russia didn't sign it. But the UN understands that at this point, Iran was fairly close to developing at least 10 nuclear bombs. Okay? When the UN condemns you, you know you're bad. So let's sum it up. In 1938, Hitler could have been stopped. He wasn't stopped. All right? 20 million dead, at least. At least in Europe and, you know, millions more displaced. Civil war, a million dead. Okay. Could have been stopped. This is all preventive action, which was not taken. But we're dealing with the Catholic Church now that even doesn't understand history or ignores it. Because I think I've made the most powerful case you can make that if you got a dangerous nation. Now we have nukes involved. Hitler didn't have nukes, Black. Believe me, he would have used them if he did. Putin has nukes, which is why we can't preempt Putin. That's why we can't do it. Okay. But you can't, according to the Catholic Church, have a preventative war.
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Theme & Overview
This episode focuses on the escalating Iranian conflict and its broad repercussions—financial, political, and moral—for the United States and the world. Bill O’Reilly provides analysis on the military situation, oil and inflation spikes, U.S. policy, Democratic Party positioning, and the growing debate over the morality of “preventive” war, particularly from the Catholic Church’s perspective.
“If you have stocks, hold on, because they’ll come back. But painful oil is the worst.” – Bill O'Reilly [01:07]
“16 million barrels of oil a day has been held up worldwide. And that just means everybody is going to suffer.” [01:07]
“He did pretty well, I thought. And you want to be fair about it, he didn't make any major gaffes. Came across a little cocky.” [02:42]
"This is war. This is conflict. This is bringing your enemy to their knees. Now, whether they will have a ceremony in Tehran Square and surrender, that's up to them." – Pete Hegseth via O’Reilly [04:37]
"There will be more casualties. ... That doesn't weaken us one bit. It stiffens our spine and our resolve to say, this is a fight we will finish." – Pete Hegseth [05:55]
“I can't imagine President Trump putting infantry in there. And I'm not going to use the word boots on the ground, because that's a stupid cliche...” [06:14]
“That should happen. So let's put the oil reserves into the marketplace to keep a lid on the rising costs of gasoline.” [08:07]
“But sometimes the right thing is the hardest thing to do right in your life.” [10:18]
“Democrats have set themselves up as the anti war party.” [12:00]
“But anyone who is cheerleading the United States into a war with Iran has very quickly forgotten the disasters of the Iraq War and the Afghanistan war...” – Sen. Chris Murphy [16:17]
“It is a profoundly moral vote. It is a vote to direct our resources towards healing our own people, towards health care...” – Rep. Ro Khanna [17:07]
“We lift our humble prayer to the Lord so that the thunderous sound of bombs may cease...” – Pope Leo, quoted by O’Reilly [24:28]
“The criterion of just cause is not met because our country was not responding to an existing or imminent and objectively verifiable attack by Iran. ... Catholic teaching does not support preventive war.” [25:28]
“So you're Telling me that preventative war is off the table. ... That doesn't make any sense. And I don't believe Jesus would support it.” [27:59]
“How many more people got to die? ... That is the memo.” [29:29]
On Oil and Economic Pain:
“Oil was $72 a barrel at the start of the Iranian conflict. It's now way above 100, about $104. Now, that's a problem because it just spirals into everything.” – Bill O’Reilly [01:07]
On Political Ironies:
“I had that exact thought, which frightens me, because I don’t want to be on the same wavelength as Schumer, who I don’t respect, but that should happen.” – Bill O’Reilly [08:07]
On the Stakes of Inaction:
“If you don’t stop evil, it gets worse and worse and worse and more and more people die.” – Bill O’Reilly [28:28]
On Catholic Doctrine and History:
“If Europe and America had united Against Hitler in 1938, 39, 20 million people wouldn’t have died.” – Bill O’Reilly [26:47]
Bill O’Reilly’s analysis pulls together economic, political, and moral threads of the current Iran crisis, criticizing both Democratic opposition and the Catholic hierarchy’s resistance to preventive war. Drawing historical parallels, he underscores the risk of inaction and makes a case for confronting Iran decisively, all while critically examining the consequences for both parties—especially the Democrats heading into the next election cycle.
Memorable closing argument:
“When you fail to stop the tyrants, things get worse. And that is the memo.” [18:35]