Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis

Episode: TPM Edition – November 14, 2025
Date: November 15, 2025
Host: Bill O’Reilly

Overview

This episode centers on the recent U.S. government shutdown—the longest in history at 43 days—and its resolution, dissecting the political strategies behind it, with a focus on Senate and House activity, health care spending, and the economic realities under President Trump. O'Reilly critiques both parties, accuses Democrats of orchestrating the shutdown for higher health care spending, and highlights what he sees as media manipulation of public perception. He also provides a detailed breakdown of inflation, wages, and insurance rates to challenge narratives that the U.S. economy is in crisis.

Key Discussion Points and Insights

The Government Shutdown: What Really Happened?

[03:17 – 07:35]

• O’Reilly shares personal observations about consumer spending in Los Angeles, using it to set up a larger commentary on the importance of a functioning government for American prosperity.
• The government shutdown lasted 43 days, stemming from a deadlock:
  • Democrats demanded COVID-era elevated spending for Obamacare to continue.
  • Republicans refused, insisting on reverting to pre-COVID spending per the law.
• The final Senate vote to reopen government: 60–40, with 8 Democrats joining Republicans.
• Schumer, as Senate Minority Leader, is portrayed as caving to pressure from the left.
• O’Reilly calls the shutdown “contrived”:
  Quote:

  “It’s a complicated but interesting exercise in how corrupt our government is. It is corrupt. It’s still the best government in the world as far as our freedom is concerned, but it’s corrupt.” – Bill O’Reilly [04:08]

• Analysis of the far left’s goals: Democrats pushing for eventual nationalized health care, with COVID emergency levels of spending as a stepping stone.

Notable Quote

“Now, Schumer, you may remember last March, voted to keep the government open. He was savagely attacked by the far left... Schumer does not want to be brutalized by the far left. He’s a coward. He is. He’s always been that way.” – Bill O’Reilly [06:05]

U.S. Versus Canadian Health Care

[07:36 – 08:30]

• O’Reilly points to Canada as an example of government-run health care leading to longer wait times and doctor shortages:
  • Claims Canadian system’s limits would drive American doctors to private “concierge” models if adopted in the U.S.
  • Predicts a two-tier system: wealthy get faster care, regular folks would not.

Notable Quote

“If the Canadian system were brought down here... the American health care system will collapse.” – Bill O’Reilly [08:06]

Senate and House Votes: The Endgame

[12:52 – 15:10]; [30:08 – 33:25]

• Senate passed reopening with 8 Democratic crossovers: Fetterman, King, Cortez Masto, Rosen, Durbin, Shaheen, Hassan, Kaine.
• In the House, 6 Democrats crossed lines to reopen; 2 Republicans defected.
• O’Reilly asserts Democrats “capitulated... got bupkis” after the shutdown, suffering political embarrassment.
• He critiques Senator Rand Paul for “obstructionist” behavior as the only Republican Senate defector.

Notable Quote

“On the record is we, the Democratic Party, shut down the United States government for 43 days and got bupkis. That’s pretty embarrassing, I think, right?” – Bill O’Reilly [32:11]

Obamacare and Medicaid: What Was at Stake?

[15:12 – 21:45]

• COVID era temporarily raised subsidies for Obamacare; Democratic side wanted to keep the higher spending, Republicans insisted on reverting to pre-pandemic levels due to mounting debt.
• Bernie Sanders is criticized for “not telling the truth” about Medicaid changes:
  • Requirements now include work or volunteer mandates for able-bodied adults, with exceptions for health.
• O’Reilly describes much of the public debate as misinformed, blaming both partisan media and late-night satire.

Notable Quote

"He has lost all of my respect. He is a charlatan. He’s a communist, hardcore radical, dangerous." – Bill O'Reilly on Bernie Sanders [20:35]

Media Spin, Public Perception, and Polling

[21:45 – 23:15]; [33:26 – 36:23]

• O’Reilly accuses “80%” of media of supporting Democrats and obscuring the truth.
• Polls show Republicans blamed more (52%) than Democrats (42%) for the shutdown.
• He emphasizes: most Americans lack accurate information about what happened.

Economic Reality Check: Wages, Jobs, and Insurance

[23:15 – 30:08]

• Host counters claims the economy is tanking under Trump:
  • Unemployment is 4.3% (up only slightly from 4.0% at start of Trump administration).
  • Food prices mostly stable or down:
    • Grocery prices up 1% overall; eggs down 16%; spaghetti/macaroni down 12%; chicken up 2%; ground beef/steak up 12%; bacon up 5%.
  • Utilities up 11%; gas prices down 1%.
  • Obamacare insurance costs for lower-income earners down 14%; corporate health insurance premiums up 7%.
  • Home insurance up 38%; auto insurance up 15%—biggest burdens for families.
• Mortgage rates slightly lower now than when Biden left office: 6.22% vs. 6.85%.
• O’Reilly stresses that, despite the media narrative, it’s “not a disaster”—but insurance inflation must be addressed.

Notable Quotations

“If you live in Maine, and there’s a hurricane in Florida, the Allstate and the Geico and all these people, they just slap it on there.” – Bill O’Reilly, on insurance rate hikes [30:16]

What’s Next? The Political Outlook

[23:15; 30:08 – 36:23]

• The central question for the 2026 midterms: how do Americans feel about their lives and finances?
• O’Reilly: “If Americans are doing well... then Trump will retain his power control over the House and the Senate. If the economy is not doing well, the Democrats will make gains. That is the truth.”
• Critique of “embarrassing” Democratic performance and reminder that non-ideological voters respond to their wallets, not party slogans.

Memorable Moments & Quotes with Timestamps

• “It is corrupt. It’s still the best government in the world as far as our freedom is concerned, but it’s corrupt.”
  — Bill O’Reilly [04:08]

• "Schumer does not want to be brutalized by the far left. He’s a coward."
  — Bill O’Reilly [06:05]

• “If the Canadian system were brought down here... the American health care system will collapse.”
  — Bill O’Reilly [08:06]

• "He has lost all of my respect. He is a charlatan. He’s a communist, hardcore radical, dangerous."
  — Bill O’Reilly on Bernie Sanders [20:35]

• “On the record is we, the Democratic Party, shut down the United States government for 43 days and got bupkis.”
  — Bill O’Reilly [32:11]

• “If you live in Maine, and there’s a hurricane in Florida, the Allstate and the Geico and all these people, they just slap it on there.”
  — Bill O’Reilly [30:16]

Important Segment Timestamps

• [03:17] — O’Reilly’s firsthand account of American consumer spending and lead-in to shutdown discussion
• [05:44]–[06:05] — Critique of Schumer and party infighting
• [07:36]–[08:30] — Comparison of U.S. and Canadian health care systems
• [12:52] — Breakdown of key Senate votes and party defections
• [15:12]–[21:45] — Medicaid and Obamacare debate, media spin, Bernie Sanders criticism
• [23:15]–[30:08] — Economic data: food, wages, insurance rates, mortgage rates
• [30:08–33:25] — Final government reopening votes, O’Reilly’s summing up
• [33:26–36:23] — Post-shutdown political fallout, outlook for the midterms

Tone and Style

O’Reilly’s commentary is direct, opinionated, sometimes sarcastic, and fiercely critical of Democratic leadership, media, and ideological spin from both sides. He repeatedly assures listeners that his analysis is based on facts over spin, often simplifying complex policy for accessibility.

Summary

Bill O’Reilly's episode provides an in-depth, combative breakdown of the recent government shutdown, the political chess behind it, and the real data on U.S. economic life under Trump. He blames the Democrats for the shutdown, details infighting among party members, and portrays the resolution as a Republican victory. Throughout, he questions media honesty and insists that the economic situation—while strained by insurance costs—is not dire, urging listeners to focus on actual financial impacts over rhetoric and polls. The episode ends with a warning: the party in power will depend on Americans’ sense of personal prosperity at the ballot box in 2026.