Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis

Episode: No Spin News - Weekend Edition - November 8, 2025
Host: Bill O'Reilly
Date: November 8, 2025

Episode Overview

This episode delves into the aftermath of New York City's mayoral election and the expected implications of a potential Zoran Mamdani administration. Bill O'Reilly discusses public safety, police morale, crime, socio-political demographics, and national political strategy with former NYPD Chief John Chell, columnist Miranda Devine, and political analyst Doug Schoen. The conversation is candid, skeptical about the city’s direction, and extends into broader themes of political messaging and public perception across the nation.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. The Mayoral Election: Zoran Mamdani’s Rise (00:40)

• O'Reilly introduces the imminent victory of Zoran Mamdani as NYC's next mayor, referencing polling data and suggesting uncertainty and concern among many city residents.
• Notable Polling: Mandani 41%, Cuomo 34%, “Slew” 24% (01:15)

2. Implications for Public Safety: Conversation with John Chell (Former NYPD Chief) (02:41—09:38)

• Policing Under Mamdani

  • Chell outlines how a shift from law enforcement to social network-centered public safety under Mamdani would have potentially disastrous consequences.
  • Staffing Concerns: NYPD is already short roughly 1,000 officers; up to 3,800 more can leave soon (03:14–03:30)
  • Funding: Mandani plans to fund $1.8 billion in “community action teams” from the police budget (03:45)

• 911 and Morale

  • O'Reilly predicts slower emergency response times and diminished morale due to anti-police civilian review boards.
  • Chell warns of a potential “mass exodus” if the civilian complaint review board becomes the ultimate disciplinary authority. (04:51—05:30)
  • "No cop is going to stay to let some 20 year old kid... adjudicate laws against a police department..." — John Chell (04:59)

• Crime, Bail Reform, and Prosecutions

  • Assaults on police up 40% since bail reform; felony conviction rate for attacking an officer is just 6% (06:01)
  • There's a 30% rise in overall crime post-bail reform (06:14)—reform blamed on state legislature, with weak prosecution by some DAs.
  • Frustration with repeat adjournments and low accountability for dangerous offenders (Attack on two NYPD officers adjourned 20 times, attackers released) (06:48—07:57)
  • "It's a recipe for disaster... response times are going to go higher... the collective effect is going to really hurt the city." — John Chell (09:10)

3. Erosion of Urban Stability: Sociopolitical Analysis with Miranda Devine (14:46—22:04)

• Perspective on Survival in NYC

  • Devine compares living through de Blasio to "the Night of the Living Dead"—crime, homelessness, and city services suffered (14:46–16:03).
  • She doubts current NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch will remain under Mamdani.

• Forecasts for City Services and Crime

  • Both O’Reilly and Devine anticipate a sharp increase in street crime, slower 911 response, and more reactivity than proactivity among police (16:42–18:25).
  • O’Reilly predicts further deterioration of city services, waste collection, and overall efficiency, impacting the poorest residents worst (16:42–18:25).
  • "The people who are voting for Mandani are going to get it the worst." — Bill O’Reilly (18:17)

• Electoral Demographics and Why Mamdani Won

  • Devine: Mandani has locked down the Muslim vote via targeted appeals, especially identity politics, associating with radical figures. (19:03)
  • She suggests the youth vote is driven by anger, a lack of historical education, and a sense of betrayal by the establishment, making them susceptible to ambitious promises. (19:03–21:03)
  • The “rich liberal elite” vote for Mandani as a stance against Trump.
  • O'Reilly: "Do you believe that the people voting for Mandani are stupid?" (18:50); Devine: "In a way I can forgive them... they have been brainwashed." (19:03)

• Anti-Trump Sentiment

  • Devine confirms a significant anti-Trump factor, particularly among liberal boomers and wealthy elites, influencing voting patterns even at the municipal level. (21:03–22:04)

4. Exit Polls and Demographic Breakdown (22:48)

• O’Reilly gives a summary of the election’s demographic turnout:

  • By Race: Mandani carried every group: White (46%), Black (55%), Latino (49%), Asian (61%).
  • By Religion: Protestant (42%), Catholic (33%), Jewish (33%), Atheist (75%).
  • By Age: 18–29 (78%), 30–44 (66%), 45–64 (43%), 65+ (36%) (22:48)
  • O’Reilly laments “communism is atheism” and expresses confusion over significant Jewish support for a candidate he characterizes as antisemitic.

• Predictions for NYC’s Future

  • Widespread emigration, halted real estate and construction, rising crime, falling tax receipts—all “inevitable” under Mamdani.
  • “I do know many people are going to move out because I know them. And real estate projects will stop. That means jobs will decline, tax receipts will decline... Violent crime will rise.” — Bill O’Reilly (24:20)

5. National Political Messaging: Discussion with Doug Schoen (Political Analyst) (25:54—34:49)

• Political Strategy: Trump & Republicans

  • Trump’s focus on issues like immigration overshadows core voter concerns: inflation and cost of living (25:54—27:16)
    • “It is that simple. With all the emphasis on immigration, he’s actually succeeded in stopping illegal immigration. He has not succeeded in bringing down inflation far enough or prices enough." — Doug Schoen (25:57)
  • Democrats succeeded in making the economic malaise “Trump’s fault” through anti-Trump messaging, even without a clear Democratic alternative.

• Need for Clear Communication

  • O'Reilly and Schoen criticize Trump’s lack of precise messaging about economic policy and consequences, especially tariffs (27:16—31:37)
    • "We know what he's doing, we don't know why he's doing it." — Bill O'Reilly (27:23)
  • Voters want to know “what’s in it for me?”—not seeing benefits from tariffs, ICE raids, etc.

• Electoral Prospects and Trump’s Legacy

  • If Republicans lose in the 2026 midterms, Trump's legacy and effectiveness are over, as further actions will be tied up in courts.
  • Further investigations/distractive issues (ballroom scandals, etc.) will not matter unless economic messaging improves. (32:56—33:46)
  • “If they do listen and they are able to perform and communicate, it will be a very different outcome than the first midterm.” — Doug Schoen (34:35)

Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• On Police Morale:
  “No cop is going to stay to let some 20 year old kid... adjudicate laws against a police department... that will be a backbreaker.” — John Chell (04:59)

• On Political Messaging:
  "We know what he's doing, we don't know why he's doing it." — Bill O'Reilly (27:23)

• On Demographic Trends:
  “33% of New York Jews voted for Mandani. He doesn’t like Jews at all. What’s the matter with you people?” — Bill O’Reilly (23:30)

• On Crime and Prosecution:
  "Assaults on police are up about 40% since bail reform... conviction rate for a felony conviction for attacking a police officer is at an abysmal 6%." — John Chell (06:01)

• On Socioeconomic Discontent:
  “Voters want to know that politicians are on their side. They believe Trump is forceful and zealous. They just do not get the logic and the outcomes that he is seeking.” — Doug Schoen (31:11)

Timestamps for Key Segments

• 00:40 — Introduction to Mayoral Election & City Concerns
• 02:41—09:38 — Policing, Crime, and Public Safety with John Chell
• 14:46—22:04 — Urban Decay, Electorate Demographics, and Mandani's Appeal (Miranda Devine)
• 22:48—25:54 — Post-Election Analysis: Demographics & City Forecast
• 25:54—34:49 — National Political Messaging and Trump’s Strategy (Doug Schoen)

Tone and Language

The episode is marked by O’Reilly’s trademark skepticism, directness, and populist perspective. Guests, especially Chell and Devine, match his critical tone, offering empirical data, anecdotal evidence, and sharp social commentary. Throughout, there’s an undercurrent of frustration—at policymakers, voters, and systemic developments both in city management and in national politics. The language is plainspoken, blunt, and occasionally provocative.

Summary

Bill O'Reilly and his expert guests express deep concerns about the direction of New York City under Zoran Mamdani’s likely administration, focusing on anticipated degradation of public safety, city services, and quality of life. They explore the voter coalitions that propelled Mandani, dissect the failures and messaging flaws of national Republican leadership, and forecast political volatility ahead. The episode delivers a bracing, critical narrative interwoven with stark statistical analysis and candid opinion—a snapshot of skepticism toward both urban progressivism and national political messaging.