← Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis
Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis
Tax Dollars For Trans Prisoners, Elon Musk Against the Big Beautiful Bill, John McLaughlin Analyzes the Latest Trump Polling & Trump's Unreported Court Victory
00:39:22
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- [00:01]
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- [00:31]
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- [01:11]
Bill O'Reilly
Hey, Bill O'Reilly here. Welcome to the no Spin News for Wednesday, June 4, 2025. Stand up for your country. Just before we went to taping, it was announced that President Trump and President Xi of China will have a phone call tomorrow. That's very good news. And I hope that my trip one week ago to Beijing, I know it didn't lead to that, but it might have helped a bit. We have a problem with Putin now growing. And I'm going to get into that tonight. The mullahs in Iran, they are caught in a very difficult position. I think they'll have to fold, but I could be wrong. So there's a lot going on. But I want us, I want to start with something that's very important that a lot of people don't understand and the media doesn't cover it. Okay. And that is these judges that are trying to stop President Trump from implementing his agenda. And that is the subject of this evening's Talking Points Memo. So yesterday, Judge Royce Charles Lamberth, 81 years old, Washington, D.C. district Court Judge nominated by Ronald Reagan way back in 1987. He said, hey, President Trump, you can't stop the federal PRISM system from providing gender affirming care to convicts. I'm going to override your, your executive order. Judge ROYCE CHARLES lamberth, the guy's a nothing. He's a nothing. But yet he's gonna stop the president of the United States. Executive order. Now he'll be overturned because he's a nitwit. If you read the reason is he says it's cruel and unusual punishment that the American taxpayer not pay for convicts. All right? To transition their biology. That's cruel and unusual punishment. So we know what this is, all right? But I want to walk through it so you know what it is. So this lawsuit was brought by the aclu, which is now a radical left organization. Nothing to do with free speech whatsoever, okay? It was brought on behalf of three convicts who are men but want to be women. Fine. Okay. You pay for it, pal. I'm not paying for it. I'm not paying for your hair care. I'm not paying for anything, all right? Because my tax money is supposed to go to the country's benefit, not your benefit, all right, you punk, you pay for your own stuff. Now, the judge goes, oh, no, no, no. All the taxpayers have to. Now, he didn't say that we have to pay for surgery. We got to be fair and report it accurately. But all the grooming and addresses or whatever the hell else these people are doing, again, this will be overTurned now in 2022. Last available Bureau of Prisons info. About $153,000 of taxpayer money went to these people. It's probably quadruple that now that the con is known and these prisoners go, yeah, I'm going to add whatever they're doing, okay? And it is worth going back to President Trump's original executive order. So I'm going to read it to you. The Attorney General should ensure the Bureau of Prisons revises its policies turning medical care to be consistent with, with this order, and shall ensure that no federal funds are expended for any medical procedure, treatment or drug for the purpose of conforming an inmate's appearance to that of the opposite sex. That is the executive order, okay? There's nothing cruel and unusual about it. It's cruel and unusual to take my hard earned money and give it to these people for what they want to do. That's cruel and unusual. And believe me, the two liberal, most liberal judges on the Supreme Court, they won't see it that way. But the others will. All right? Now, these judges that the aclu, they shop to get the crazy left judges all over from Seattle to Key west, they know the ACLU knows who's going to be nutty enough to hold up a presidential order. And so that the ACLU files in those districts, we get the con here. Got to stop. Because it's just chaos. You can't have the President of the United States at the whim of corrupt ideological judges. Can't. Now, the Founding Fathers knew two things. They did not want a king. So in the Constitution, they designed it so that every president has oversight by the judicial system, as it should be, because you could get a loon in the presidency that says, hey, you all have to wear purple socks or something like that. And the judiciary goes, no. All right, so that is in the Constitution that the judges can constrain presidential activity if they say it violates the Constitution. This clearly does not violate the Constitution and it will go up to the Supreme Court. The second thing was that the Founding Fathers understood that Congress can't move fast enough to protect us. They can't. They bicker. Look at this spending tax bill. Takes forever for these people to do anything. And back then there were only 13 states that are 50. So the founding Father said, we're going to give the President the power to issue executive orders to protect the people and the people's treasury, not to abuse the people. That's what executive orders are supposed to be. Now they are subject to review from the judiciary, but now that's being abused to the highest level in our history. And Supreme Court has to rule on it. And they, I assume they will as month because after the end of June they take three months off. I assume that they're going to rule and knock this crazy stuff out to some extent. And that's the memo. All right, the tax and spend bill that President Trump wants, I'm not going to cover it because it changes every hour on the hour and I'm not going to get involved with it this but Elon Musk, who apparently now he and President Trump are feuding a little bit, he doesn't like the bill and he puts this out on X, quote, I'm sorry, I can't stand it anymore. This is Elon Musk. This massive, outrageous, pork filled congressional spending bill is disgusting abomination. Shame on those who voted for it. You know, you did wrong, you know, will massively increase the already gigantic budget deficit to 2.5 trillion and burn American citizens with a crushing unsustainable debt. On quote, Elon Musk, June 3rd, okay. And that's his opinion and he's entitled to it. And there are a lot of people who agree with Mr. Musk. Okay, I have to see the final bill now. What is not being reported and the stats that he use are correct from the Congressional Budget office over a 10 year period. If this bill passes, the big beautiful bill, $2.5 trillion will be added to the debt. Let's face it, the US Economy is under stress, national debt rising, trade war shaking the markets. And meanwhile China is dumping the dollar and stockpiling gold. That's why I protected my savings with physical gold and silver through the only dealer I trust, American Hartford Gold. And you can do this. 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- [10:37]
Discover Representative
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- [11:06]
Bill O'Reilly
However, what the press will not tell you is that the Trump tariffs will bring in the exact amount of money, 2.5 trillion, according to Congressional Budget Office, in 10 years if the situation continues. Isn't that an important thing that you should know? Okay. You're never going to know it watching the corrupt people on television or reading the newspapers. So anyway, it's in the Senate. You know it's in the Senate. I'm watching it. I don't. I can't predict it. I just can't. We're going to have Senator Johnson on next week. He's against the bill, so we'll, we'll have that. Three new polls about President Trump versus Zoghb. Favorable to the president. 1,000 likely voters. Do you approve or disapprove? 48% approve of the job President Trump is doing. 49% disapprove. Split right down the middle. Trafalgar Poll, pro Trump poll. Okay. 1098 likely general election voters. How do you feel about President Trump handling his job? Approve 54. Disapprove 46. That's a very strong number for the president. And the last one is Atlas. This is out of Brazil. But they were the most accurate pollsters in the election of 2024. 3469 adults. Big sample. Okay. Do you approve a disapprove job Donald Trump is doing? Approve 45 disapprove 54. So, you know, there's a big, it's almost exactly the opposite of Trafalgar. So joining us now is our go to guy on the polling. John McLaughlin is an honest man. He works for President Trump. I mean, we gotta let you know that he likes Trump, he likes his policies, he polls for Trump, but he's an honest man. All right, so can you explain to us the difference between Trafalgar and Atlas?
- [13:09]
John McLaughlin
Yes, well, first of all, it's the difference between likely voters and adults. And we just posted a poll that we did last week at the same time as the Atlas poll was in the field. And we polled 1,000 likely voters modeled after the 2024 election and demographics, and we had Trump's job approval of 51 and his disapproval was 44. And it's a big difference because in the election last year, you only had 155 million voters go to the polls. There was over 90 million more eligible adults who didn't show up at the polls. That there's polling. When you do in a poll, what.
- [13:50]
Bill O'Reilly
Difference does that make? Shouldn't they have a right to put an opinion on Trump's performance?
- [13:56]
John McLaughlin
Oh, they can have an opinion, but it's a poll of adults, it's not a poll of likely voters. So you get the disparity. And also when you go through the Atlas sample, they have a cross tab for voted Trump, voted Harris, but in their demographics, they don't tell you how many people that they polled voted for Harris and voted for Trump. And that's been the flaw. We know in our likely voter polls, we used our polling as a strategy to raise his popular vote so we could sweep the battleground states. So we get 50% of the national vote and tariff is 48%. And that was our strategy. So it's not apples to apples. And when you look at Atlas, yeah, they were most accurate last year because they were, they, they were doing something that replicated actual likely voters. These polls that are coming out now where you've got, I mean, the New York Times put out a poll. They had only had 37% Trump voters. The Washington Post, ABC had only 34.
- [14:58]
Bill O'Reilly
Yeah, I know. We don't even bother with them anymore because we know how corrupt it is. They have their thumb on the scale, to use a cliche. How do you think Donald Trump is doing, though? I mean, you're seeing numbers every day. It's obvious he was successful or is successful closing the border. Most people do support the ICE raids and getting that whole thing under control. But the tariff situation is royal. The American people and I think divided it. Would I be wrong in saying that?
- [15:26]
John McLaughlin
Well, we have. Well, they don't grasp it as well as the tax cuts. In the national poll that we put up, 58% want them to. Want them to get the tax cuts passed. 20% secure the border, 7%, you know, lower the price of oil and gas, 7%, strength of national defense. But at the same time, we asked in the same poll, do you think the tariffs are hurt or have they helped? And 47% think they've helped. Right now, as of last week, only 38% said hurt. So the jury's still out on that. It's a much more complex issue.
- [16:04]
Bill O'Reilly
Sure, but it really isn't. You know why, John? Because what it's going to come down to, and this will clarify itself by November, I think, is whether people are paying more money for the essentials of life. That's what it's going to be. I mean, people don't have to understand who's paying it and where that's coming from. And this one's there, and that's steel here, and the cards are there, and agricultural. They. They're going to walk into the grocery store and they're going, I'm getting a break under Trump or I'm paying more under Trump. And that's what's going to decide it. Am I wrong?
- [16:40]
John McLaughlin
No, you're exactly right. And that's why the tariffs issue is secondary and much, much less important than passing the tax cuts, because if we don't pass the tax cuts, only half the voters know this. We know this for our polling, the tech. The Trump tax cuts lapse this year.
- [16:58]
Bill O'Reilly
Yeah. And everybody pays more. There's no doubt about it. So it is a vital thing. And that's why Trump is behind it so hard. I think he's going to get it passed, but there's going to be some Senate modifications, and Trump will live with that. You know, he knows he has to negotiate it. But the Democrats have downside, too here, because if they vote en bloc not to pass it, then easily that can. That anger when people's taxes go up, can be transferred to the Democratic Party.
- [17:31]
John McLaughlin
Right, Right. But hopefully the taxes never go up. But the Democrats, every Democrat in the Senate and the House is on record as voting against extending the tax cuts. So their volume voted for the largest tax increase in the history. And we've got to hold them accountable.
- [17:49]
Bill O'Reilly
We got to get crazy. And they, and they hide behind this ridiculous, oh, we just want to tax the rich. But it isn't that. It's everybody. And, you know, it's the same thing about Medicaid. Oh, they want to throw people off Medicaid. No, they want to regulate it, they want to refine it. But anyway, political lies are, you know, they're never ending. Last question for you. I think President Trump would have been better if he had not done so much so fast. It would have been easier for him to convince the American people of why he's doing what he's doing. But because the change has been so massive, because the Biden administration was so horrible that it all came at once. And it's almost too much for the average person who doesn't do what you and I do for a living to grasp it. So they're more subjected to propaganda. So if he had just not done and just incrementally done it, I think he'd be in a stronger position. Do you agree?
- [18:55]
John McLaughlin
You may be right. But it's hard to get him to do that. You know, him, personality wise.
- [18:59]
Bill O'Reilly
Yeah, I know.
- [19:00]
John McLaughlin
Biden left the country in such a Mess. He has a 40 favorable 56 unfavorable outlast ball. The guy left such a mess that Trump, you know, he's got to solve wars in Ukraine, the Middle east, secure the border and try to get the economy to grow all at the same time. And you're dealing with a president now who has survived two assassination attempts after they tried to put him in jail. So if we don't get the Trump tax cut passed, have a growing economy, and we lose control of the House in the midterms, then we've got a big problem because they'll impeach him again.
- [19:35]
Bill O'Reilly
Yeah, boss, for sure. I'm writing about that in my message today, tomorrow about the midterms and now how it's starting to shape up. So, John, look, if you see any trends, just do me a favor, let us know about the president, both pro and con, because I think our audience is very. We're numbers people here. We don't want the propaganda. We want the hard numbers. And we really appreciate it. As always, thanks for helping us out. Okay, tonight at the White House, a big soiree. She's. Thousands of people are going to show up. They're all individuals hired by the Trump administration. 3,200 political appointees have been put into offices in D.C. since Donald Trump was sworn in. And they're not going to all be there at the White House, but this is going to be a big soiree and they're going to dine on our nickel, so have a good time. That's going on tonight. Today, Trump talked with Putin. Okay, so I was on Hannity and it's worth listening to. We almost did an hour on the Hannity radio program because of my trip to China. You had a lot of questions, but.
- [20:50]
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- [21:50]
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- [22:19]
Bill O'Reilly
Putin came up and Donald Trump miscalculated about Putin and I think I did too. But I was on him earlier than the president. That's why Putin's on the COVID of my upcoming book, Confronting Evil. Because Putin is evil, but he's also psychotic. So did you know that Russian casualties dead and wounded in Ukraine are approaching 1 million? For what? And Putin told Trump on the phone today that he's going to have revenge for the Ukrainian attack on the jets. Well, what do you think this is a war? Ukraine supposed to just let you bomb them and not come back? And Ukraine blew up the bridge that goes to Crimea. That bridge cost $32 billion. The Russians a bill and they blew it up. So Ukrainians aren't laying down and Trump can't do anything about it. Trump thought he could control Putin, but he can't. So what's next? Next is Europe taking the lead in the. I mean, the worst economic sanctions in history have to be imposed on Russia, Russia. Now, China would violate those unless Trump can convince Xi tomorrow to back away from Putin. And I one week ago in Beijing told the Chinese politicians, don't ally yourself with a psychotic individual. That is not going to turn out well. When you're willing to accept 1 million casualties to invade a small country and your army can't even defeat their army, you don't want to be on their side. That's what I told the Chinese. Okay. I don't know how it's going to play out. I am very optimistic that Donald Trump understands the total dynamic in play here, okay? And it all links together. China, Russia, Iran. Now, the positive thing, according to the president, an hour and 15 minutes he talked to Putin today, was that Putin said, I'll help you with Iran. Get no nukes there because Putin doesn't care about Iran and nukes don't do anybody any good in the Chinese. Again, this came up in Beijing with me and I said, why would you want Iran to have nukes? Because if any nuclear weapon goes off, the whole world is negatively impacted and you have a billion and a half people to feed. You don't need Iran handing off nukes to terrorists. So let's help. So I'm optimistic that Iran will fold, but I was wrong about Putin in the sense that I think thought that Trump would have a little juice with the man. Now they're still talking. Good thing. But boy, this Putin. Where do you see what I have come up with in confronting the president, which you can pre order now. And you'll get it first, comes out September 9th. I mean, we explain everything every step on this guy, okay? Back here in the usa. So the Trump administration won a victory, a legal victory today. You never know it. I didn't see it anywhere, not even on Fox. So the state of California sued the Trump administration for opposing tariffs, which is insane. State doesn't have any standing, okay? But a judge, a very liberal judge, Jacqueline Scott Corley, Northern District of California, threw it out through the. And she was appointed by Biden, of course, threw the lawsuit out and said it belongs in the Court of International Trade. That was a big victory for Trump. Didn't hear it reported anywhere. All right, two Chinese nationals working at the University of Michigan. Young Queen John and her boyfriend Zhong Yong Lu are charged with bringing agro terrorist agents into the United States, according to FBI Director Cash Patel. Okay, this is not a surprise. Okay? Everybody who knows what the situation is between the United States and China knows they're spying and there's stuff going on. Sabotage. Look at the balloons. What we're trying to do is tamp it down. Okay, so these two and they're in trouble. And the University of Michigan. You got to look at who you're letting in here. Okay, so they're charged with conspiracy to defraud the usa, smuggling goods in the country, false statements, on and on and on and on. Not going to be any bail. Maybe they'll be in a prisoner swap someday, I don't know. But that happened now. Governor Newsom's people, CEO, these people all have people they met with. Chinese business officials can't get any information about this. I don't even think Newsom was in the meeting. But it took place in Los Angeles about trade. Because both California and China need trade now. Newsom can't do a damn thing. Okay, that comes out of the federal level, but they had that meeting and you should be aware of it. Smart life political opinions. So this is Pew and a pretty Good Pre Research, 3,589 respondents. And they're asking about Democrats and Republicans whether you feel comfortable giving your opinion in public. Remember, this is smart life. So I have a thing at the end here. Republicans very comfortable giving opinion, 74% not comfortable, 25. Democrats very comfortable giving opinion, 70 less than Republicans not comfortable, 30. Okay. And it's obvious that the left is on the run in this country. The woke people, they have no constituency. Now the smart life component to this. Don't do it. It's not worth it. Okay? I know people spout off all the time. I know it drives you nuts. I just walk away now. If it is a family member that you love and respect or a friend who is genuinely accepting of your opinion, wants to hear it, then.
- [29:28]
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- [29:50]
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- [30:14]
Bill O'Reilly
I mean, I talk to my friends about politics and stuff like that, both liberal and conservative, and I'm the same guy. I challenge what they say, okay? But if it's somebody I don't know or somebody who's just a casual person, I'm not doing it because it doesn't lead anywhere. It does you no good. And if you talk politics in the workplace, you're insane, because whatever you say is not going to be reported accurately. Don't say anything. Smart life. So one week ago, I stood in Tiananmen Square with my 21 year old son, right across the street from the Forbidden City, okay, In the middle of Beijing. And I thought about 36 years ago, on June 4, 1989, maybe 10,000 Chinese civilians killed. They were protesting. That happened 36 years ago today. So there was a dissenter in China named Hubang, and he wanted some democratic reform and he rallied a bunch of students who on May 13 entered Tiananmen Square, which is a huge area space in the middle of Beijing, okay? The Chinese government responded by declaring martial law one week later. And after the martial law declaration, quarter of a million Chinese troops went into Tiananmen Square where the protesters were, and they shot him. Boom, boom, boom, boom. Not over their heads, not rubber bullets, but boom, shot. Same thing happened to me in Buenos Aires when the Argentine surrendered in the Falklands War. I saw it, okay? I obviously wasn't in Tiananmen Square. Anyway, that was the last protest in China that meant anything. And that Chinese government sent a signal, you're going to protest against us, we're going to shoot you down. No more protests. And that happened 36 years ago today. Back with a final thought on the Dumb Zone in a moment. Okay, so I'm going to institute some new things here. We've been on air more than eight years, most successful independent news agency in the world. And with this china stuff and YouTube exploding and boy, oh boy, I never in a million years could have predicted this, ever. But anyway, you got to freshen it up. So there's so many dumb things being said on television and radio that I'm going to kind of spotlight not every day, but when I'm feeling a little grouchy all right, so I'm going to give you an example. There's a guy named Ellie Misstel, okay? I think he works for msnbc. See him on there all the time. He writes for the Nation magazine. You know, come on. Anyway, Mestel goes on the View on April Fool's Day, which is appropriate. And he says this, go.
- [33:38]
Xtandi Representative
One of my premises for the book is that every law passed before the 1965 Voting Rights act should be presumptively unconstitutional, Right? Because before the 1965 Voting Rights act, we were functionally an apartheid country.
- [33:52]
Bill O'Reilly
Man, that's just dumb, okay? I mean, it's just, what are you going to do? But even dumber was all the five ladies on the View, none of them challenged him. None of them. Okay? So we were apartheid country. That means that blacks couldn't own land, couldn't have a job. You know, that's what apartheid is. If you look at South Africa, okay? That's what according to this loon and the ABC News people. And remember, ABC News runs the View. Nobody go, well, wait a minute. Yeah, I don't think that's true. I don't think that Franklin Delano Roosevelt ran an apartheid system. I don't think John F. Kennedy did. I don't think that really is true. No, nothing. So the dumb zone. And it's going to keep us busy because there's lots of dumb stuff, but I'm going to keep it very simple. And the reason I'm doing this, I got a letter from somebody. I didn't use the letter, but it said, hey, you don't like people calling people names like moron and this and that. And it's true. I don't. And I wrote back. I try not to do that. I try to label the behavior of the person moronic or stupid or whatever, not the person themselves. I know I'm slicing it here, but I don't like the invective, the personal attacks, and they're all over social media because that's how you make a name for yourself. As I say, you make a name for yourself by partisan ideological attacks. And like Biden or Schumer or, you know, Nancy Pelosi or whatever it may be, and then on the other side of Trump or mosque and what these people do all day long, it's lazy, it's insignificant. But you have to put things into perspective. Joe Biden was so bad as a president. And Hannity brought up this point today on the radio program, which again, I hope you check out on billoriley.com he's like that. Trump was handed all of the things, all of these things that he had to fix fast. It was exactly like Abraham Lincoln when he walked in. Civil war is a fait accompli because of that boob. And I am calling him that. President James Buchanan, the worst president ever. Okay? Because that his cowardice. Buchanan's led to more than a million American deaths. You don't top that. But Biden second, if you can imagine that, and if you don't believe me, read Confronting the Presidents. I mean, there you go. So thank you very much for watching and listening to the no Spin News. We'll see you again tomorrow.