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Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis
The 'Big Beautiful Bill' Passes the Senate, John C. Goodman on Tax and Medicaid Propaganda, President Trump Visits Alligator Alcatraz & Airport Chaos
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Bill O'Reilly
Foreign here. Welcome to the no Spin News for Tuesday, July 1, 2025. Stand up for your country. Shortly after noon, the Senate passed the big bill. Okay. Vote was 50, 50, a tie. And what happens when there's a tie in a Senate vote? The vice president breaks that tie. And he did. J.D. vance voted for the bill and so it passed the Senate. Three dissenters on a Republican side, Collins of Maine, Paul of Kentucky, Tillis of North Carolina, they did not like the bill. So now it goes back to the House for a vote. And the House bill wasn't the same as the Senate bill. But I do expect that the House will pass this. 218 votes are needed or as close the first time. But any congressperson who wants to run again on the GOP ticket voting against the bill is done. So just keep that in mind. Pressure is enormous. And that is the subject of this evening's Talking Points Memo. So this is President Trump's D day. Has to get this bill, as I've explained a number of times. I'm sorry to be repetitive, but this is very, very important. It's really not about the bill per se because the bill is loaded with federal spending that's non vital. It's called pork and it's there. And that's why Elon Musk doesn't like it. That's why Rand Paul doesn't like it. That's been the case since World War II. But I'm not making an excuse. The bill is just ridiculous in some of the stuff that we, the taxpayer, are going to have to fund. But this point in history is key. So if the bill fails at the end of the year, all our taxes go up and go up significantly. Okay? If that happens, there will be a recession because consumers are strapped now. They can't afford to pay any more taxes to the government, state, local, whatever it may be. Can't. So that there'll be a severe pullback in our economy which will doom President Trump. He's done if that happens, because he'll lose the midterms, both houses. So now it's not just a vote about pork and overloaded federal spending. It's a vote about you want to keep this president or not, okay. In power. So I know where I do. I want Biden back. And the Democrats, not a single Democrat voted for this bill. And the reason is because if they voted for it, they'd be shunned out of the Democratic Party. So we don't really have freedom of conscience anymore. So there's two big things attached to this bill that are just a scandal. The first you've heard over and over and over again, it cuts Medicaid. It does not cut Medicaid payments. Doesn't. But the media lies about it over and over and over so that not smart people, people who don't watch or listen to this broadcast think that Medicaid is going to get cut and all these people are going to be thrown into the streets with no medical care. Okay? What the bill does, and again we explained it and explained it and explained it, is it tightens up people's eligibility. All you have to do to be eligible to get Medicaid is to search for a job or volunteer for a job for 20 hours a week. That's it. You either have to look or volunteer. 100% of people should be able to do that. I shouldn't say that. 95%. There are 5% who are medically debilitated. They can't do it. And there is a exemption for them, a medical exemption. If you are medically frail. That's what the bill says. You don't have to do that. But the layabouts, okay, and they number millions have to do it or they don't get Medicaid. That's the so called Medicaid cuts, okay? So when you hear that on the media and yesterday ABC News did a piece of and they said that older people are not going to be able to look for a job. That is a deception by ABC News because they didn't mention the volunteer aspect or the medical exemption. ABC News just didn't even mention it. I mean, come on, I used to work for that organization. I was proud to work there. It is now a dis honest operation. The second lie is that this bill aids tax cuts for the rich. No, it doesn't. It carries on the tax cuts that was passed in 2017. There aren't any other tax cuts with the exception of the tips of up to $25,000. You can take a deduction. So my son is a waiter this summer. He gets tips on his income tax. He'll be able to deduct, okay, a lot of that. And so he'll keep the tips. Also for senior citizens paying tax on Social Security, you'll get a bigger deduction. Anything wrong with those two things? Trump promised the tips thing, so he's delivering on that. Right. But it doesn't aid the rich. It's Bernie Sanders. I mean the guy just goes on and he just says his stuff. That's just patently untrue. He knows it's untrue. Okay. Oh, it's for the billionaires. Eight years we've had this system, okay? All you're doing is continuing it. So those two things are paramount in the Americans not understanding what this bill actually says and does. Will it pass in the house? Probably these 218 votes. And that's coming up now. Last night I was on News Nation and Cuomo and Vitter, you know, we're pounding Senator Ron Johnson who doesn't like all the pork. Johnson and I share that, but he voted for the bill because of the Trump danger. He doesn't want to destroy the Trump administration. Vitterd and Cuomo criticized Johnson for doing that. Here's what I said. Go. The bill is a bunch of bull, but there's no choice. In this time in history, the Democrats don't want to cut any entitlement spending or supervise who gets it or keep it away from undocumented people or do anything. They'll cut border funding, they'll cut defense. That's all. There's not one Democrat on Capitol Hill, not one who will vote for this bill because it doesn't cut Medicaid. That's a lie. They that spewed out over and over by the corrupt TV journalist so called. All right, it supervises. It does exactly what Bill Clinton did in 92, saying if you don't look for work and you're able bodied and you don't have a kid in the House, you're not getting it. Okay? And that is fair to the hard working people who are paying their taxes and don't want a bunch of drug addicted layabouts gaming the system. Am I clear? As Jack Nicholson once said. Yeah, crystal clear, Jack. Okay, so it was 96 that the cash Assistance act passed under Clinton. But there was, you know, Newt Gingrich was the speaker and there was this movement that began in 92 to clean this up. And Clinton, to his credit, did clean it up a bit. All right? He did impose requirements to get cash assistance. Quote, recipients has work after two years on assistance. With few exceptions, 25% of all families in each state must be engaged in work activities rising to 50 fiscal year 2002. Single parents must participate for at least 20 hours per week the first year, increasing 30 hours per week freight. Fiscal year 2002, parent families must work 35 hours per week by July 1, 1997. Okay, so Clinton got it. Everybody got it at the time that you just can't have lazy, addicted, whatever people gaming the system. Now if this bill passes, it will save about a trillion dollars, according to the Commonwealth Fund and the Congressional Budget Office, $1 trillion over 10 years. It will. That will be saved by the federal government, obviously, with a $36 trillion debt. We need that now. Is it going to add to that debt over the same period of time? The trillion dollar savings is just Medicaid. Just Medicaid. The other spending will increase the debt if President Trump doesn't do what I am suggesting. And that is okay. Sell oil from federal land like Anwar and use all of the profits to pay down a debt and use all of the tariff profits. $1 billion a day is coming into the U.S. treasury from around the world. All of that money should be earmarked to bring the national debt down. Next time I see the president or talk to him, I am going to mention that, that I hope he will get behind it because that can bring it down. All right, so summing up, not one, as I predicted last night on News Nation, Democrat voted for it because if they did vote for the bill, they'd be drummed out of the party. Okay. And if the Republicans in the House vote against it, they're going to be drummed out of the Republican Party. That's the way this system is now. It is vicious. This is D day for Donald Trump. He must get this passed. So if you want to keep him as president. All right, an effective president, a president that can get legislature done. Okay, then you have to vote for the bill. There's no other choice. And that's the memo. All right. Joining us now and Dr. John Goodman from Dallas, Texas. He is a senior fellow with the Independent Institute, a nonprofit, nonpartisan public policy research group. So first of all, Doctor, am I making any mistakes in my analysis?
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Dr. John Goodman
No, I don't think you are. I think what this bill reflects is that Donald Trump is probably the best marketer in politics today. And it's very obvious that he wants to connect with blue collar families. And when you hear him talk about it, he says no tax on tips, no tax on, on overtime, no tax on Social Security. That's the way he describes it. In fact, none of those taxes are really going away. What's happening here is there is a small tax break for people with moderate incomes and it goes away in four years. But it's a terrific way for Donald Trump and the Republican Party to connect with people who used to vote for Democrats.
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Bill O'Reilly
Okay, but $25,000 on tips deductible, that's significant for the service industry people. It's absolutely significant. And it goes away in four years. Let's hope that it doesn't go away, because those people need all the assistance they can get. But overall, the American public, and I'm going to do this right after we wrap this interview with you, has a negative view of this bill because they haven't been told the truth about it. And, you know, I got millions of viewers, doctor, all over the world. But it's, you know, there are 365 million people in America right now counting illegal aliens. And they hear this stuff. They're not paying attention, many of them. And, oh, they're going to cut Medicaid and Medicare. They're going to cut this, they're going to cut that. This is a concerted, propagandistic effort to undermine what Trump wants to do. Am I wrong?
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Dr. John Goodman
No, you're right. The public is being lied to about how the income tax system actually works. And Republicans have done a very, very poor job of defending themselves. Now, the way our system works is the rich are not getting away with not paying their fair share. In fact, the rich pay almost all the income taxes. The bottom half of the income distribution pays 2 or 3% of all income taxes. They pay almost nothing. The top 1% are paying 40% of income taxes. Top 10% pay 75%. So we have the most progressive tax system in the whole world, far more progressive than any European country. And why is it that way? Because of Republican tax legislation. Every time the Republicans have legislated, they've thrown more and more people off the tax rolls. And Republicans never brag about it. They never go out and say, look, we've, we reason half the people aren't paying income taxes is because of us. You never hear them say that. So they have shifted the burden to, to the rich. And they don't want to tell you that. And the Democrats lie about it, okay?
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Bill O'Reilly
But the Republican, their basic philosophy is lower taxes and the wealthy, because we're in a transitional age into high tech, all right? There are plenty more billionaires than they used to be, just as there were at the 20th century. You know, that turn of the 20th century with Rockefeller and Morgan and all those people, with these big colossus corporations taking over the infrastructure of the United States. I write about in Confronting Evil, which is beyond September. I mean, some of these people, they call them the robber barons, were as evil as they come because there was a transition and they got fabulously wealthy. The same transition is taking place, or has been for the last 20 years, into technology. And the founders of Apple and all these people they make gazillions of dollars because that's happening. But the Republican Party doesn't want to punish them. It doesn't want to confiscate what they have earned or in some cases inherited. Am I wrong on that?
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Dr. John Goodman
Well, a little bit. Again, what the Republican Party has done is shift the burden of taxation to the upper part of the income distribution.
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Bill O'Reilly
Which would be that Democrats didn't do.
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Dr. John Goodman
That, Republicans did that. And through every single time they legislated, they threw more people off the tax rolls and shifted the burden. Well, let's take the 2017 first Trump tax cut. What did it do after it passed? We were told that was a tax cut for billionaires. Right. And within a few years we find out that the top 1% have a greater share of the tax burden than they did before the bill was passed. So that's pretty much the way tax law has gone. And Republicans don't talk about it.
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Bill O'Reilly
All right. Because most of the voters are not wealthy people and both parties want those voters support. And it's not only that they don't pay any taxes, Doctor, as you well know, federal government sends millions of Americans money. If they don't, you know, reach a certain threshold of income, they get to get checks in the form of tax credits. And so you're right. But I think that the philosophy is Democrats tax up to here, have the government run the economy, socialism, Republicans lower the taxes as much as possible, even for the big corporations and let capitalism run. That's what I think the two philosophies are. Last word.
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Dr. John Goodman
That's certainly the way they talk about it. But in reality, we have a very progressive tax system. Republicans have created it and they don't explain it very well.
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Bill O'Reilly
All right, Doc, we appreciate it very much. Thank you again. We'll see if this bill passes in the House. Going to be a brawl. Pretty interesting situation. We should know by this time next week if we do have a new spend and tax bill. Now, As I mentioned, CNN's propaganda is now at a record level and they don't like the bill at all. There isn't one corporate entity outside of FOX that supports this bill just tells you where they are as far as their politics is concerned. Here's what was said on CNN last night about the big bill. Go.
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Charles Barkley
I'll give you some adjectives. How about awful, horrible. And to quote our dear friend Mr. Sir Charles Barkley, terrible, terrible, terrible. What are we talking about here? Well, why don't we take a look at the big beautiful bill. I got 4, 5, 5 not just 4. Five different polls across the screen. For you, this is the net favorable rating. The highest rating comes from the Washington Post at -19 points.
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Bill O'Reilly
Okay. I mean, I'm not arguing the numbers. I know what people hear constantly every day, and they do not hear the truth. Which is why I'm so happy that you are watching and listening to me right now, because we will always tell you the truth. Always. All right, American Pride. New poll. Gallup, just in time for the Fourth of July. How proud are you to be an American? Extremely, very proud. 58. Moderately. Only a little proud. 30. Not at all proud. 9. Now, that extremely, very proud number is down 23 points in 10 years. So in 2015, 81% of Americans were extremely or very proud, and that is because of President Trump, the polarizing effect that he has had. Second question to Republicans. How proud of you to be an American? 92% of Republicans say they're proud to be an American. Democrats, 36%. Independence. 53. This is extremely and very proud. So there you go. Democrats, they do not like the country right now because of Maga. The Maga people overwhelm them. McAmala is not president, thank God. That would have been an unmitigated disaster. Because coming off Biden, the second worst president ever. And again, confronting the president's documents, it. There you go. So Donald Trump went down to Ochobee, Florida, to a migrant detention center. Let's throw that map up. And there's Ochopi in the middle of the Everglades. And this new migrant center has been called Alligator Alcatraz. Lots of gators down there, no question. Very humid, big snakes. There's lots of stuff. So even if you escape from the detention center. Oh, gonna be a little dicey. This is a publicity stunt from President Trump. But there's something behind it is to discourage illegal migrants from coming here. All of the stuff that the ICE is doing, the raids and the detention centers, is to discourage other foreign nationals who haven't made the decision to come here yet not to do it. Here's what Donald Trump said about his visit. Go.
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Donald Trump
But I wouldn't want to run through the Everglades for long. It will keep people where they're supposed to be. This is a very important thing. We're setting records at the board. You know, we had no people come through last month. Zero. No people?
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Bill O'Reilly
No. So what the president meant to say was there were no migrants who crossed the border illegally released into the usa. That's what he meant to say, according to the Trump administration. Okay. You know, everyone knows the president does not speak in a precise manner, but there's no arguing the fact that he has shored up the border and that the flood of migrants into the United States under Joe Biden has completely collapsed. And again, if Kamala Harris were president, that would not have happened. It would be worse. Just keep that in mind. This Ochobee, Florida detention center is 50 miles west of Miami. And you know, the detainees are there while they're processed or whatever. We'll keep an eye on it. Now, here's a story you haven't heard anywhere. So yesterday in New York City, there was a thunderstorm, okay. In and around the area, but nobody really knows where the thunderstorm was. I had my producers all day trying to figure out, did the storm hit the airports? JFK, LaGuardia, Newark, nobody knows, okay? It was very light, no matter where it was. I'm here, okay? I'm about 10 miles away from JFK and LaGuardia. I hadn't seen any thunderstorm. They didn't come to my house. All right. Because of that thunderstorm, the whole traffic, air traffic situation collapsed in the Northeast. Ready? 1500 flight delays, 600 flights canceled. This is all according to Flight aware. They track it. Okay? And the. If you were at the airport in Newark four hours before you can get on a plane, LaGuardia, three hours, JFK, hour and a half. Nobody knew where the storm was. That. So once again, I will tell you. If you are going to fly in this country, don't think you're going to get there because if you do, it's, you know, and if during the summer, if it's a storm anywhere near shut down in the winter, if it snows, shut down in the fall and spring, if it's windy, shut down and then all the connections die. And if you can drive to your destination, you are much better off. Air Force. So they're up. Okay. So the Air Force has taken over some of the surveillance on the US Southern border. It's announcement from the Defense Department. So the Air Force is going to monitor the wall, install barriers physically. The Air Force Corps will build the barriers, conduct patrols and stop any trespassers. So the Air Force is now involved with national defense on the border. So this morning I wake up pretty early. I got lots to do, way too much for a man of my age. And I have to check my phone, okay. And on my text thing is a number I've never seen before. And it just one, maybe five or six words of a sentence. I am Jason, a job Recruiter. That's what's on my text. And then he wanted me to open it to see what the rest of the text was. If I had opened it. Jason or whoever behind this gets all my information. Smart Life, do not open any texts at all. When you don't know who the person is texting, you don't do it. If you do it, you're setting yourself up. Because the technology hackers are so advanced now, they can go in, they can get whatever they want from you. All right, so I don't know anything. I'm a Luddite about all this, but I do know I see something on my phone that I don't know, it vanishes, I erase it. I do report it, though. I have a mechanism that I can report this kind of stuff on my phone. I hit a little button, it says report it. So I do that. But the authorities aren't. They're overwhelmed. I got to do anything about Smart life. Okay? Be smart with the tech, Stan. History. July 1, 2005. One of my favorite performers of all time, Luther Vandross, dies at age 54 from a heart attack. Now, a lot of people don't even know him. Now, that was 20 years ago, but this guy is just unbelievable. I listen to him all the time and working class guy. And he was fabulously successful for about a six or seven year period, maybe a little longer. And you may remember some of his classic tunes. Bill, Best backup group, three backup singers. Unbelievable. So I listen to Luther all the time. I mean, he's just. He's got to be in my top five vocalists. But what's interesting about him is he had 11 platinum albums, eight Grammys, and he, he wasn't a drug addict. He was a junk food addict by his own admission. And that killed him. So his weight fluctuated from 160 pounds to more than 300 pounds. He would go on his binge eating and he developed diabetes, heart disease, high blood pressure just from the garbage food, which took him out at age 54 from a heart attack. And he was incapacitated before that. I think he had a stroke. So, you know, we're big here on eating good food. That's another Smart Life theme. You know that. Okay. But when he died, I went and I saw him in concert at Westbury on Long Island. The guy was just phenomenal. His voice range. But again, I mean, you know, when I want to listen to, you know, R and B, and that's one of my favorites, he's first choice, Four tops up there. Okay? The Philadelphia group, Hall and Oates. Okay. They're up there. And, you know, I'm a big R and B fan, but Luther doesn't come better than that. He died 20 years ago today. Final thought about a nice gift you might Give on the 4th of July. Back in a moment. So we Americans celebrate the Fourth of July, and we usually have a barbecue. You know, the usual drill. Some of us travel and visit people, but we don't give gifts. Okay, But I think that might be a mistake. So if you know someone who's really patriotic, particularly a veteran or a senior citizen who served, you know, and they really love their country. All right, I'd like you to consider giving them a premium membership to Billorilly.com as a gift. And if you know somebody who's in trouble, as we just demonstrated on our commercial, who's having a hard time negotiating life. No, I can't. I don't have a magic wand here. I can't make an irresponsible person responsible. I can't do that. Okay. But if you're getting hosed, somebody's hurting you, I can give you a pathway to solve the problem. And we can also get involved if it's at a level where I believe we have to. And we do that. Okay. Might have a staff that does that, a good one. So if you know somebody who's very patriotic or somebody who's having a little bit of trouble in life, you might consider gifting them a premium or concierge membership to Billorilly.com this 4th of July and explain it to them, just as I explained it to you. Okay. Americans are the most generous people on Earth. There's nobody that comes close to us in our charitable giving, in our helping of our neighbors, in our concern for other people. No one on this planet comes close, and that's documented. Okay. About charitable giving and interest in other people. That is the Judeo Christian tradition that we in America have built our country on. That is the foundation of the Constitution. So we're in the business here@billorilly.com to inform you honestly, to help your life with information, and to help you directly if we can. Thank you very much for watching and listening to the no Spin News. We'll see you again tomorrow.