← Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis
Bill O’Reilly’s No Spin News and Analysis
The Iran Gamble: Huge Stakes for Trump, a Bigger Risk for Democrats, Sen. Tommy Tuberville on the Capitol Hill Divide & California’s First Lady in a Charity Controversy
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Bill O'Reilly
Here. Welcome to the no spin news. Tuesday, March 10, 2026 stand up for your country. So yesterday we analyzed the big risk President Trump is taking by participating in the action of against Iran. Now if it works out, the President will win the midterms, the Republicans will win, I believe. And remember, it's Trump on the ballot, up or down. That's what it is. Okay? And if the Iran situation deteriorates or it's deemed by the American voter not worth it, then the Democrats will surge. So obviously this is very important for our future here in the United States. And it's not just theoretical, it's real. But there is an even bigger risk on the Democratic side and that is very rarely discussed. And that is the subject of this evening's Talking Points Memo. So like Vietnam, the Democrats have set themselves up as the anti war party. Okay. In Vietnam it didn't really work out for them as Richard Nixon, Republican, staunch Republican, was elected president in 1968. You remember LBJ was forced to resign because he mishandled the Vietnam War and Nixon just trounced the Democratic opposition across the board. You might remember that 53 Democrats in the House of Representatives voted against recertifies that Iran is a terrorist state. That just happened last week. 53. And the usual radical suspects, okay. Now this week, members of the Senate, Democratic members of the Senate, Cory Booker, Chris Murphy, Tim Kaine, Tammy Duckworth, Adam Schiff, Tommy Baldwin, all Trump haters, all right, have said we're going to shut the Senate down unless Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Secretary of War Pete Hegseth testified before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the Senate Armed Services Committee. When they shut it down, that means we're not going to even consider any legislation. So nothing will get done. Does kind of blackmail, right. No matter what the issue, they're not going to cooperate. In addition to that, a number of these same senators objected to the June bombing, June 13, 2025 of the Iranian nuclear headquarters. Remember that? Which was successful and set back the Iranian nuke weapons program. However, there were other smaller facilities that still continue to operate. And that's what the current controversy is all about, that Iran will not let weapons inspectors in to see what they are doing. And in the last meeting, the Iranian representative actually told the Americans, hey, we're going to, we're going to enrich as much uranium as we want. Too bad. I mean, that's where it was. And then the military action started. So these are the senators who. I can't name all of them, but they didn't want them. They condemned the bombing of the Iranian nuclear facility. Hirano, Hawaii. Rand Paul, he's a Republican. He's an isolationist. Bernie Sanders, Chris Van Hollen, Tim Kaine, Chuck Schumer, Alex Padilla, Adam Schiff, Chris Murphy, of course, the worst. He's the worst. Elizabeth Warren, and on and on and on. So just step back for a minute. Doesn't matter really what party you're in, whether or conservative or liberal. These people are saying it's okay with them if Iran develops a nuclear weapon. They're fine with it. We should not intrude on that. That's how you have to analyze the news. You boil it down to really what it's about, the essence of it. So they don't want Israel, usa, any country, to inhibit the Iranian pursuit of nuclear weapons. It's shocking, absolutely shocking that they would take that posture. What they have, it's on the record. So the Democratic Party then runs a risk, a huge risk, if the Republicans are smart and this thing turns out to be a regime change, and that's what it's going to have to take, or a neutralization, complete neutralization of Iran's ability to make any weapons okay. Democrats are going to be in huge trouble. But right now, they are strutting around. So here is the worst Trump hater in the Senate is Senator Chris Murphy of Connecticut. Roll him.
- [06:18]
Democratic Senator
But anyone who is cheerleading the United States into a war with Iran has very quickly forgotten the disasters of the Iraq War and the Afghanistan War, where there were early tactical successes. But it became a quagmire that ultimately got thousands of Americans killed, created new insurgencies against US Interests and against our allies in the region. So I do not think there's support in this country for the United States to go to war again in the Middle East.
- [06:45]
Bill O'Reilly
Yeah, I just said it out, no matter what happens. And of course, he's making an invalid comparison. There is no scenario for which infantry American military would be on the ground in Iran that would destroy the Trump administration because Americans would not support that. And I got back up for that in a moment. Now, in the House, the leading radical is California Congressman Ro Khanna.
- [07:13]
Progressive Politician
Roll is a profoundly moral vote. It is a vote to direct our resources towards healing our own people, towards health care that saves lives, jobs that restore dignity, housing that shelters families instead of raining destruction on other nations. It is a vote to renew an America that leads once more through diplomacy, statesmanship and principle. An America that strives to end cycles of violence rather than ignite them.
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Bill O'Reilly
So this is the usual, I don't have any solution to Iran, although they don't let them do what they want. Okay, but we got to do things at home. Like, you can't do both. I think he can. I could. So that's just, that's just called gibberish. Political gibberish. All right, Summing up, big risk for President Trump, bigger risk for the opposition Democratic Party, which once again has branded itself anti war and would allow villains of the highest order. All right, These are villains of the highest order. All you got to do is read my book, Confronting Evil. You don't believe me? I do. Factor fact after fact after fact on how bad Iran is, how many millions of people they have killed, that country has killed. And you can go back into history and every tyrant in the world, when you fail to stop the tyrants, things get worse. And that is the memo. Okay, Quinnipiac poll. It's not a great poll, but it's out and very simple. This is 1,002 registered voters. Would you support sending ground troops into Iran? Support? 20% oppose. 74%. By party, 37% of Republicans would oppose. 52. So the majority of the Republican Party would not support that. Democrats, only 3% would support. 95%. Opposed. Independents, 19% support 75%. So that is not going. I'd just be stunned. That would be such a self inflicted wound if President Trump did that. All right, joining us now from Washington is the guy right in the middle of all of this, Senator Tommy Tuberville from Alabama is on the Armed Services Committee, which is in play right now to interview. Did you know Fast Growing Trees is America's largest and most trusted online nursery with thousands of trees and plants and more than 2 million happy customers. It's like your local nursery bought anywhere you live, with more plants than you'll find anywhere else Right now. They have great deals on spring planting essentials, up to half off on select plants. And listeners to our program get 20% off the first purchase. When using the code bill at checkout that's an additional 20% off. Better Plants and Better Growing at fast growingtrees.com using code BILL at checkout fast growing trees.com code BILL now is the perfect time to plant. Let's grow it together. Use bill to save today. Offer valid with a limited time. Terms and conditions may apply.
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Bill O'Reilly
so, number one, have you talked to your Democratic colleagues about kind of the blackmail? We're going to shut everything down in the Senate unless you do what we want. Have you spoken to them?
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Well, Bill, thanks for having me on. But for six years that I've been up here, from a football coach to a United States senator, I've never seen a group of people like the Democrats that hate President Trump or our country so much that they would do anything to harm our country. And again, you just had a couple of people on that. I don't know where these people come from. I mean, if Donald Trump said the world was all green, they disagree with him. I mean, just everything in the world that he does. Now, at the end of the day, on harmed Services Committee, most of us in there, including some of the Democrats, we all understand because we've been well briefed on what's going on in Iran. And it's hard to con to say that these people would be against it. But they listen very well, they ask great questions. And are they on the same side as President Trump? Probably not. But they understand the significance of the safety of what President Trump is trying to do and trying to take Iran down a notch before these evil people would shoot off nuclear weapons. So it's a very interesting time up here, Bill. We're not getting anything done other than President Trump executive ordering doing anything in terms of going after Venezuela, after Iran. I've been all for it because I've, I've said all, I've seen all the briefings, all the classified stuff. He had to do this. He had no doubt. Now, as you just said, ground troops, I don't think that's going to happen. But you never say never at the end of the day because you don't know how they're going to react along the next three or four weeks.
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Bill O'Reilly
No, I mean, I'm not talking military strategy here, as you know, Senator, I'm talking the perception of the American people that if you did that, you would lose the country. The only Democratic senator that spoken in favor of this action is Fetterman of Pennsylvania, while the others may be listening respectfully in your committee. And I believe you. They're afraid, I believe, to speak out and say, you know what, based on the classified information that we've seen, this was the right tactic to take. You have to neutralize a dangerous regime like this. Why do you think they're all afraid to say that?
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Well, I think they're afraid to say it because you're going to give President Trump an opportunity to have A plus on his side of the aisle, and they don't want to give President Trump credit for anything.
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Bill O'Reilly
Again, every Democrat in the Senate that, you know, there's not one or two that would say, put their country first and rise above the partisan politics. Nobody.
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Nope. Nope. Because Chuck Schumer runs that floor with a. With the iron stick, and they follow him like a bunch of ducks following each other in the line. Ever since I've been here, that's happened. Now, Fetterman has come out because he's. He's big for the Israelis, and that's the reason that he's on the side of President Trump on this invasion, because he understands the significance of what Iran could do to Israel if they had a nuclear weapon. That's the only way this is working out. But that, again, they would not vote for anything if, even if they thought it would really help the American people. The Democrats aren't going to vote against it because of the hate for Donald J. Trump.
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Bill O'Reilly
And Schumer used to be a rational person, but now he's 100% partisan person. Am I wrong on that?
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
No, you're exactly right. But they all follow Barack Hussein Obama. He's the one running the show here, and ever since I've been here.
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Bill O'Reilly
How do you know that, though? How do you know Obama's involvement?
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Well, just. Just because of being up here for four years and seeing Joe Biden and the people that were making all the decisions for him. We knew that all the people that were making those decisions had worked for Barack Obama in his previous tenure as being president. And you can't tell me that they weren't conversing together with the people that were implanted in Joe Biden's administration. They all worked for.
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Bill O'Reilly
But Obama didn't want Iran to be empowered. He tried to make deals. They broke the deals. And Biden was ridiculous in handing over the billions of dollars that he did, and that didn't work. Okay, Now, I don't want you to give away any national security secrets, but the dissenters of this say, look, President Trump bombed Iran's nuclear facility in June, and supposedly that just set them back and wipe them out. The capacity to develop a nuclear bomb went away because of that action. Now, the administration, the Trump administration said, no, they still have a capacity to develop this bomb. Where, how did that happen? We didn't get everything.
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Well, they were enriching uranium. But here's one of the reasons that President Trump went in. They were building ballistic missiles right and left. It wasn't as it was about nuclear weapons. It was about that. But it was also about the ballistic missiles that they were building that could reach far and near, and they were very, very accurate. And so that's one of the reasons that we win at this time. Of course, you know, you, you look at a situation that, how weak they were, we knew they were weak. We knew they were struggling in a lot of areas. President Trump had put them in a bad situation. When it come to. It come to having a lot of loyal people on the ground in Iran, he was killing his people right and left. Now, we know that for a fact. Tens of thousands of people were laid down. Their life was, was, was spared because they were not loyal to the Khomeini. So President Trump put all that together and said, enough's enough. We're going to do this. We're going to go in with Israel. We're going to make a statement. And they have made that statement. And again, also, there's another thing there. The, the oil that they have, they were, they were given cheap oil to China. And it was, it was a situation like Venezuela. We cut off Venezuela, we cut off China, Iran's oil, then they have a tough time. But again, it all goes back to one thing. If it wasn't for nuclear weapons and ballistic missiles, President Trump would not have. Would not have done this.
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Bill O'Reilly
All right, so the delivery system of the nukes. But as far as you know, and you would know, their nuclear weapons development is an imminent. That they're going to have a nuke to put on the ballistic missile to fire into Tel Aviv.
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Exactly, exactly.
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Bill O'Reilly
Okay, so it's still a little. It's still a ways away from that happening.
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
So, but you, you go in there, Bill, when they're, when they're weaker, okay? Don't wait, don't wait until they're stronger. Go in there when they're weak, they, they're as weak as they've ever been. And it was a perfect timing because they didn't think this would happen so quick after the strike back in, in June. So it was a perfect time to do this. Well orchestrated. And again, you know, you got to look out for the people that, that are also your allies. And it was about Israel also.
- [18:33]
Bill O'Reilly
Okay. But it doesn't look like the Persian people are going to be able to rise up and, and overthrow that government. So the number we hear, and you can confirm this number, if you can, is 30,000 protesters were murdered by the regime in Tehran. And now the people are frightened that they're going to be murdered. So there is no uprising in coordination with the bombing of that country. Do I have that right?
- [19:05]
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Yeah, 30,000 plus. And then of course you would hope that, that they'd have regime change of somebody that would be more of like the people that.
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Bill O'Reilly
Is that possible? Low Senator, is it possible that the people will rise up? Because that would make our lives here in America a lot easier, wouldn't it?
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Oh, it really make it a lot easier. But you never know when you do this, you go in there and you see these pictures on television. You don't, you don't know what the price propaganda is. You know, you see all these people out in the streets and, and we've seen this in other countries too. They're behind the scenes. Tell them you get out there with this sign. You get out there and chant this or that. You got to remember there's what, 90 million people in Iran and there's a lot of people, there's a lot of land there. It's the biggest, bigger than Texas, bigger than Alaska. So there's a lot more people there than you would think. It's just the people in charge were able to, to pull off this and I guess get Khomeini's son elected. But my understanding too that he's had a few health problems himself the past couple of weeks.
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Bill O'Reilly
Well, he'll have more if they never find out where he is. How do you see this playing out? I mean, I'm not big on speculation on this program. We're fact based. But you're a guy who has access to an awful lot of information. How do you see this playing out? Keeping in mind that the American people really don't have the heart to suffer economically. I mean, we just don't, we're a soft nation. We don't want to suffer for something, you know, 5,000 miles away. So how do you see it playing out?
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Well, first of all, you know, we, Bill, in your, in my lifetime, we hadn't won a lot of wars since World War II, especially ones that go longer and longer. Vietnam, for instance, we supposedly won in Iraq, but there wasn't even a fight there. You know, we went in for false causes because, because of weapons of mass destruction. But that being said, President Trump's not going to be over there that long. He's not that type of person. Now I will tell you this, and he's, he said this publicly, all hell is getting ready to rain on Iran the next few weeks because he wants this to end and he's going to get it to the point where he thinks might have a regime change or put them in a situation where they never can can recoup from what we have destroyed. So, yeah, things are going to pick up. It is just, that's the way it is. And again, President Trump went in there. He didn't, he wasn't going, he wasn't going in there, as I will say, half ass. He's going all in. And I've talked to the Secretary of War, I've talked to General Kane. This is something that they've been planning for a while and if they were going to do it, they were going to do it the right way. But this is not Going to be a long grown out war that's not going to happen.
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Bill O'Reilly
All right, so just summing up, there has to be some kind of change in the Iranian government in order for this to end, correct?
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Well, yeah, there has to be some kind of change in direction again. What direction do you take though? If we destroy everything that they've got
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Bill O'Reilly
in terms of, but you gotta, gotta make sure that the tankers can go in and out. You know, an interesting aside, China hasn't said a word about this publicly. I mean, they issued some kind of mealy mouth statement, but you would think they'd be more bellicose in supporting Iran. They haven't been, which tells me that they were tipped off and they don't want to disrupt the conference that begins at the end of the month when President Trump goes to Beijing. I don't know if you're aware of this, Senator, but I was in Beijing speaking to the government there in May, not on President Trump's behalf as a journalist. They invited me and they want to make a deal with the usa, but they're kind of just sitting this thing out, as is Putin. He's not doing anything. So Iran's pretty much alone right now. And if US and Israel can basically decapitate all of their ability to wage war, I guess that would be considered a victory. Last word.
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Yeah, I think you're exactly right. I think Russia and China both are going to sit back and see how far this goes. Again, President Trump wants to make a statement here. We do have to get the straits opened up for oil and gas to go, go in and out. That will happen in the very near future. But again, I just can't believe that this regime, after losing all their top leaders, maybe even their second team leaders, that they're not trying to make some kind of deal because they've got a death wish here. Because President Trump is not going to stop the bombing. It's going to keep going and, and they're not going to have anything to work with. You hate it for the Iranian people that want some kind of freedom. But this group continues to hang on. I think what you'll see in the very near future will open the straits up. China and Russia is not going to say a word because when they get the straits opened up, it's going to probably help China a little bit with, with their oil and gas and they'll be a little bit more calm in that area. But it all goes back to one other group, Israel. How much more do they want? Are they going to send in ground troops.
- [25:06]
Bill O'Reilly
They won't do that. Netanyahu will do pretty much what Trump tells them to do. Just my opinion, Senator, but I kind of know a lot about this kind of stuff. Anyway, look, keep us posted. You're a great guest, and we really appreciate you taking the time. I think you brought more clarity to this than any other person I've seen on television. So thank you very much for helping us out tonight.
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Senator Tommy Tuberville
Thank you.
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Bill O'Reilly
Okay. Trump had a call with Putin yesterday. You know, he's got to do it. You know what I think about Putin? Can't believe a word the man says. But here's how the President encapsulated that phone call. Go look.
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Donald Trump
There's tremendous hatred between President Putin and President Zelensky. They can't seem to get it together. But I think it was a positive call on that subject. And we obviously talked then about the Middle east, and he wants to be helpful. I said, you could be more helpful by getting the Ukraine, Russia war over with.
- [26:09]
Bill O'Reilly
No, Putin's not going to do that. Putin is just hoping that the United States gets hurt in all this Iranian stuff. You know, just if we could overthrow Putin, but we can't, because he does have nuclear weapons, and he would use them, so that's that. Cuba. So that island nation is going to fall, thank God. It'll probably be along the lines of the Venezuelan model. I don't think we're going to kidnap and arrest anybody over there, but the government's going to capitulate, and basically, Havana will do what Washington tells it to do in return for economic assistance. Here's what the President said about Cuba.
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Donald Trump
They trust Marco, and so do the American people. Trust he's been successful no matter where he's been. He also speaks the language, which is always nice and always helpful, but he's dealing. And it may be a friendly takeover, it may not be a friendly takeover. It wouldn't matter, because they're really in. They're down to, as they say, fumes.
- [27:21]
Bill O'Reilly
Yeah, I expect that to happen within the next couple of weeks. All right, Back home, as you know, California Governor Newsom's running for president, 2028. His wife runs a charity called Girls Club LLC. Jennifer Siebel Newsom. And this is a charity that empowers women, whatever that means, since charity takes in between a million and a million and a half dollars a year. There are reports from the Daily Mail, not a reliable source of information, that Mrs. Newsom took out about $4 million for herself from this charity over the past decade. Okay, now we Expected some kind of reaction from her or from the governor. Silence. This is not unusual. All right? I have a charitable foundation named after my parents, Winifred and William O'Reilly Foundation. And we don't take a dime from anybody. I don't take a dime from anybody. Only expense that I have charged to the charity is for my accountant to do the taxes because we have to file the irs. Okay, all right. But nothing else. Every cent goes to the charities that I support. There are numerous, and we have them listed on billow reilly.com some of them. Okay. We don't take any outside money, unlike Mrs. Newsom's charity, which solicits money, okay? From other people. They give money. But Jennifer's winding up with about a third of it, so that's not good. That's why I was always very suspect of the Clinton foundation, because Bill and Hill were racing all over the world. Travel expenses charged to that foundation. Now, they're way bigger than mine, obviously. They got foreign money. They got, you know, millions came in when she was Secretary of State. All of that, okay? But they benefit from it. I'm not in business to benefit from any charity. Now. I get a lot of mail saying, well, who should I give to? We are very generous people. American, most generous people on earth. Charity Navigator, one word. Charitynavigator.org they rank them, okay? And I just send people there. But from my experience, it's better to give your charitable dollars locally so you can actually see, okay, what's being done with your money. For example, I set up a bunch of college scholarships with schools that I believe are worthy. Well, I can see, you know, who was getting the money, the kids and all that. And so I know that nobody's, you know, putting the money in their pocket, but I thought that was an interesting story. Had zero coverage. It might be because of the daily mail, which, you know, but they should have. The Newsom should have reacted. Let's take a quick break and be back with a final thought. All right. My staff that lives on social media and would commit suicide, mass suicide, if social media ever evaporated, tells me that the announcement of our new podcast, which I'm not calling a podcast because a podcast is something where two guys sit together in a basement smoking pot. That's my image. These are really good conversations with people who are very interesting. So Rob Schneider kicks it off on Thursday. Okay, we'll drop it. And it's called we'll do it Live. And then we have something for premium and concierge members only called killing time. So this is a whole bunch of stuff that nobody else will ever see, including a conversation I have with Adam Sandler on a phone, which is hysterical. So if you're not a premium or concierge member, to Bill O'Reilly, DACA, it's worth it, you know, because we'll have this every week for you. And the episode with Schneider, I respect Schneider. And it's getting massive publicity all over the place because Schneider knows all. He's talking about Jimmy Kimmel, he's talking about the entertainment industry. He's talking about how his politics and his career have been impacted by President Trump. Is really a good interview. It's the fastest. I think it was about 50 minutes, 50 you'll ever experience. So again, that's on Thursday and we hope you check it out. And thank you for checking us out tonight. I'm Bill O'Reilly. We'll see you again tomorrow.