Transcript
Podcast Sponsor/Advertiser (0:00)
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Podcast Host (0:19)
Bloomberg Audio Studios Podcasts Radio News now let's.
Podcast Co-Host (0:25)
Bring in Rohit Chopra to discuss the state of the economy this upcoming year. He's a former Consumer Financial Protection Bureau director and also a former ofTC commissioner from 2018 to 2021. We have a lot to discuss here, especially because I wanted to kick some things off with the ACA subsidies expiration that we've been talking a lot about right now. Rohit, what exactly are these enhanced ACA subsidies and what changes if they do in fact expire?
Rohit Chopra (0:52)
Yes. So the law until really today gave people a little bit of a break on their health insurance premiums, but that's going to go away. And what we expect is that about 5 million people are going to go completely uninsured and many more will likely move to plans with much higher deductibles and co pays. I think the way this ends up playing out, it's not that people are suddenly going to get healthier, but we will see the costs for health care land in different ways. For example, I think we're going to expect much credit card debt for people who are having to put that health care expense on a credit card or even using things like buy now, pay later in a health care setting. All of that I think is going to be a bit of a drag on consumer spending going forward.
Podcast Co-Host (1:45)
Yeah, definitely sounds like a lot to grapple with if this ends up being the case. But Rohit, who gets hard hit the hardest here? Would it be low income families, middle class workers, maybe older Americans?
Rohit Chopra (1:58)
Well, we're seeing actually a lot of people from all different demographics are going to get hit because it's not just people who purchase insurance through those exchanges, employers and small businesses. They are seeing their premiums go up and up. Some people dealing with over 30% increases. That could lead a lot of employers to slow some of their wage growth. It could also mean that people are going to deal with, you know, less, less high quality health insurance. The statistics suggest that the biggest hits are going to be in southern states, Texas and Florida. We'll see some big increases in the number of uninsured. So that's going to have to play through their own economy. And to the extent that hospitals and others are no longer going to be able to make ends meet, especially in rural areas, I really worry about those patients and where they're going to go.
