Bloomberg Tech: “Arm Warns of Phone Market Weakness”
Date: May 7, 2026
Hosts: Caroline Hyde (New York) & Ed Ludlow (San Francisco)
Episode Overview
This episode dives deep into several pivotal stories shaping the global tech industry, with an emphasis on semiconductors, AI, quantum computing, and the evolving landscape for public offerings. At its core, the show focuses on ARM’s latest earnings and the warning signs emerging from the smartphone market, contrasts this with booming AI and data center growth, examines a landmark deal between Anthropic and Elon Musk’s Space X, and features exclusive interviews with top executives from ARM, IonQ, Hawkeye360, and Chime.
Key Topics & Segments
1. Market Snapshot and Technology Earnings
- [01:54–03:41]
- The NASDAQ 100 hits record highs, propelling a 6th straight week of gains.
- Tech stocks remain buoyed despite geopolitical concerns (Iran/US tensions).
- ARM’s stock drops 8% after a strong rally, with investors digesting both AI optimism and smartphone royalty headwinds.
2. Feature Interview: ARM CEO Rene Haas
Main Themes
-
Sluggish Smartphone Market
- Smartphone royalties are under pressure, especially in the lower end of the market where ARM is less exposed.
- “A lot of our volume comes from the premium segment where the royalty rates are quite rich using version 9. And where the slowdown has taken place we’ve seen is mostly in the lower end of the market...” — Rene Haas, 04:08
-
AI & Data Center CPU Demand
- ARM’s data center business doubled year-on-year, with explosive demand for the ARM AGI CPU.
- Rapid growth in agentic workloads—“agents” needing immediate computing answers in data centers.
- “Demand for CPUs is exploding...this is the kind of work only a CPU can do. This is not something accelerated GPU can manage.” — Rene Haas, 05:25
- Significant demand: CPU order forecasts recently jumped from $1B to $2B in just five weeks.
-
Partners & Ecosystem
- Customers: Meta, OpenAI, Cerebras, SK Telecom, Rebellions, SAP, F5 Networks.
- ARM AGI CPU systems provide twice the performance/power efficiency compared to x86.
-
Supply & Long-Term Outlook
- Supply chain working smoothly for existing orders; additional demand not perishable.
- Long-term target: $15B revenue by fiscal year-end 2034.
- “We are very confident that we are on track to that $15 billion number in a very, very short time, which is quite transformational for the company...” — Rene Haas, 08:24
-
SoftBank Synergy
- Haas now overseeing both ARM and SoftBank International, coordinating strategy across portfolio companies like Ampere and Graphcore.
- “A lot of synergy between the kind of work they’re doing that could fit into ARM. So Masa has asked me to help with that orchestra, administration and that coordination across the companies.” — Rene Haas, 09:34
3. Anthropic’s Deal with Elon Musk’s Space X
- [10:08–12:42]
- Anthropic inks a deal to lease 300MW at Space X’s "Colossus 1" facility for AI compute needs.
- Despite industry rivalry (Anthropic vs. Musk’s Xi, OpenAI), both sides benefit: Anthropic needs immediate capacity; Musk’s facility has idle resources.
- Orbital data centers remain a future priority for Musk.
- Elon Musk: “...went and visited senior staff at Anthropic last week and decided they’re not evil...” — Seth Figgman relaying Musk’s remarks, 12:13
4. Quantum Computing with IonQ CEO Peter Chapman
Highlights:
- IonQ beats Q1 revenue guidance, raises full-year outlook—first to reach nine-figure revenue in quantum.
- “We tripled revenue last year. We’re the first seven, eight and nine figure revenue Quantum company in history. I want to be the first to 10 figures.” — Nicola Damasi, 17:57
- Launch of the “walking cat architecture” for fault-tolerant quantum computing—modularity and scalability emphasized.
- “It’s a truly groundbreaking design that I think will be in textbooks and history books...” — Nicola Damasi, 18:36
- Quantum business lines growing (computing, networking, sensing, security); one-third of revenue is international.
- Outlines a vision to be the Nvidia of quantum, emphasizing open ecosystem but control over hardware/software stack.
- Stresses manufacturing robustness and readiness: quantum sensors used in submarines and spacecraft.
- “Sensors have very high, what’s called technology readiness levels by the military. Our quantum networks are also deployed quite high levels...” — Nicola Damasi, 21:54
5. Tech Layoffs & Impact of AI Investment
Key Points:
- 85,411 planned tech industry layoffs in 2026—a three-year high.
- AI, not as a direct job killer yet, but as a cause for increased investment spending, leading to staff cuts.
- “It’s not necessarily at the moment that artificial intelligence is replacing workers, but the spend that is necessary, that is what is taking over...” — Julia Penzerries, 23:44
- AI-attributed layoffs are only 3.5% of the total since 2023.
- Overall labor market remains strong; layoffs haven’t significantly shifted national employment data.
- “At the end of the day it might be statistics, but it’s actually really people’s livelihoods...” — Caroline Hyde, 25:41
6. Earnings Highlights: Datadog, DoorDash, Quantum & AI Momentum
With Sylvia Jablonski, CIO at Defiance ETFs
- Datadog rallies 30% on strong AI-powered software results.
- IonQ discussed as evidence that quantum is moving from “science project” to commercial enterprise.
- “A lot of these disruptive and thematic themes are playing out because these companies are starting to generate revenues...from being science projects to actually being commercial.” — Sylvia Jablonski, 27:38
- Pick-and-shovel plays (AI infrastructure, photonics, energy) seen as having long investment runways.
- Investors becoming discerning about which software companies truly harness AI.
- “Not everybody is AI. And so I think Datadog has done something differently...if you see these major software companies integrating AI into their infrastructure, they will be potentially fine.” — Sylvia Jablonski, 29:37
- Geopolitical risks (Middle East, supply chain) add volatility; long-term “buy and hold” is the recommended investor mindset.
7. Hawkeye360 IPO & Satellite Intelligence
Interview with CEO John Serafini:
- Satellite signals intelligence firm Hawkeye360 raised $416 million at IPO (25x oversubscribed).
- “It’s a wonderful day for our company and for our customers around the globe.” — John Serafini, 36:02
- Operates a >30 satellite constellation for real-time signals intelligence—used for defense, maritime, and tracking “dark vessels.”
- US government makes up 75% of revenue, but international business is robust.
- IPO proceeds to pay debt and fuel further acquisitions—focus on organic and inorganic growth.
- Serafini values IPO for both validation and increased resources, aiming to deliver best-in-class capabilities.
8. Chime’s Growth & AI Transformation
Interview with CEO Chris Britt:
- Chime adds 700,000 new active members in Q1; 25% YoY top-line growth and first GAAP profitability.
- “We added 700,000 new actives ... 25% year over year, top line growth and great outperformance...” — Chris Britt, 40:30
- Heavy AI integration: “Archimedes” internal tool enables employees to build AI-powered agents for product development.
- “Over 80% of our code that we shipped last quarter was AI, was done with AI and so it’s a huge accelerator...” — Chris Britt, 42:56
- Launched Chime Prime product (5% cashback in select categories), focusing on engagement and financial health advice via AI copilot “Jade.”
- Chime’s customer base remains healthy and engaged, unaffected by broader macroeconomic gloom.
- AI fuels efficiency: $1.5M gross profit per employee—workforce excited about AI’s potential.
- “We are really entering into a golden era of what can be done with software products as a result of AI...” — Chris Britt, 44:33
9. CoreWeave Earnings & AI Compute Demand
With Bloomberg’s Dana Bass:
- CoreWeave’s stock surges 79% YTD; demand for cloud and AI compute remains “extremely strong.”
- Recent deals with Anthropic, Meta, and financial firms highlight diversified customer base.
- Investors want to see how CoreWeave is financing its rapid expansion and managing customer concentration risk (notably Microsoft/OpenAI).
- Company is also diversifying into software services and collaborating with Nvidia.
Notable Quotes
- Rene Haas (ARM): “Demand for CPUs is exploding...the timing of the ARM AGI CPU launch I think just reinforced huge demand for that kind of product.” [05:20]
- Seth Figgman (Bloomberg): “Elon said he went and visited senior staff at Anthropic last week and decided they're not evil...” [12:13]
- Nicola Damasi (IonQ): “We’re the first seven, eight and the nine figure revenue Quantum company in history. I want to be the first to 10 figures of revenue.” [17:57]
- Julia Penzerries (Bloomberg): “Artificial intelligence is not necessarily at the moment replacing workers, but the spend that is necessary, that is what is taking over...” [23:44]
- Sylvia Jablonski (Defiance ETFs): “These companies are starting to generate revenues, they’re starting to go from being science projects to actually being commercial.” [27:38]
- John Serafini (Hawkeye360): “We have a value proposition of providing signals intelligence to the warfighter community during times of geopolitical volatility...” [36:21]
- Chris Britt (Chime): “Over 80% of our code that we shipped last quarter was AI, was done with AI and so it’s a huge accelerator to the velocity of what we launch.” [42:56]
Timestamps for Key Segments
- ARM CEO Interview: 03:41–10:08
- Anthropic & Space X Data Center Deal: 10:08–12:42
- IonQ CEO Quantum Outlook: 17:46–22:32
- AI & Tech Layoff Insight: 23:31–25:41
- ETF/Market Sentiment Discussion: 27:32–32:06
- Hawkeye360 IPO Interview: 35:39–39:43
- Chime CEO Interview: 40:30–46:48
- CoreWeave/AI Compute Market: 47:25–49:22
Conclusion
This episode is packed with real-time reporting and executive insight on key shifts in the tech landscape: ARM’s repositioning around AI/datacenter growth as smartphones soften, the practical chess moves between leading AI companies and hyperscale compute facilities, a quantum inflection point with IonQ, and the rising tide for tech IPOs. Through conversations with market leaders and analysts, the show links groundbreaking innovation with market realities and investment themes, offering tech investors and enthusiasts a compelling pulse on the future of business.