Bloomberg Tech – “Nvidia Buyer Megaspeed Faces Smuggling Probe”
Episode Summary
Date: December 23, 2025
Hosts: Caroline Hyde (NY), Ed Ludlow (SF)
Key Topics: Nvidia chip smuggling probe into Megaspeed, ServiceNow’s cybersecurity acquisition, U.S.–China semiconductor trade tensions, billionaire wealth strategies, transformative energy and AI investments, Tesla door safety controversy, and the year in crypto
Main Theme
This episode investigates Nvidia’s largest Southeast Asian buyer, Singapore-based Megaspeed, over a U.S. government chip smuggling probe, exploring the global impact of chip controls, trade policy, and technology flows between the U.S., China, and intermediary countries. The show balances this major story with breaking coverage of ServiceNow’s biggest cybersecurity M&A deal, major trends in crypto asset regulation, an overview of tech’s impact on the U.S. power grid, and an inside look at design decisions behind Tesla’s controversial car doors.
Key Discussion Points & Insights
1. ServiceNow acquires cybersecurity firm Armis for $7.75bn
- Context: Largest acquisition to date for ServiceNow; trend of tech platforms adding cybersecurity to their core suite.
- Key Insights:
- Mirroring Microsoft (bundling cyber with cloud) and Google (acquiring Wiz for integrated security).
- Caroline Hyde [04:14]: “They basically automate IT and personnel, and now they’re offering cyber as a broader package to entice customers.”
- Armis, like many Israeli-founded cyber startups, uses real-time AI to spot and remediate vulnerabilities—well-suited to big automation platforms.
2. Nvidia, Megaspeed & the Southeast Asian chip probe
- Story: U.S. authorities are investigating Megaspeed, Nvidia’s top Southeast Asia customer, for possible diversion of advanced Nvidia GPUs into China, which is barred under U.S. export ban.
- What we know:
- Megaspeed imported $4.6bn of Nvidia hardware since 2023, denies wrongdoing, says it complies with all regulations.
- Ed Ludlow [06:14]: “Singapore-based Mega Speed... wasn’t its obscure spin off of a Chinese gaming enterprise could become a prime example of Washington’s fears of Beijing gaining access to advanced chips...”
- No evidence yet of actual chip diversion to mainland China, but “inconsistencies” in demand and relationships raise U.S. suspicions.
- Caroline Hyde [08:16]: “There’s nothing illegal with setting up a data center and serving Chinese customers, provided those customers don’t have links with a banned entity...However, there is suspicion about these links...”
- The Biden administration’s 2022 restrictions prompted new flows through Southeast Asia; the rules are in flux, and direct access to China may return.
- Caroline Hyde [09:42]: “Nvidia wants to do business directly in China. At the moment it cannot do that because of these restrictions.”
3. U.S.–China Semiconductor Trade Policy Developments
- New findings:
- U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) accuses China of unfair trade practices in semiconductors but delays tariffs until mid-2027.
- Caroline Hyde [12:44]: “China is targeting the semiconductor industry for dominance… Sell those chips at below market rates… The irony is that the U.S. is pretty much trying to do the same thing...”
- Both sides seeking global dominance of their tech “stack”; U.S. not hiking tariffs for now, focusing on stabilizing trade relations.
4. Billionaire Wealth: Larry Ellison’s Paramount/Warner Deal
- Story: Larry Ellison may guarantee $40bn to back son David Ellison’s Skydance bid for Warner Bros Discovery.
- Takeaways:
- Ellison holds most wealth in Oracle stock, rarely sells, prefers leveraging debt.
- Caroline Hyde [18:50]: “It’s important to say that he can afford this, of course, many times over… But historically Ellison has relied on debt to finance many of his investments, his lifestyle purchases…”
- Potentially, Ellison may need to break pattern and sell shares or increase leverage for the deal.
5. U.S. Media Merger Scrutiny
- Guest: Prof. Fiona Scott Morton, Yale (antitrust expert)
- Insight:
- Regulatory scrutiny high due to overlapping assets; streaming’s competitive landscape (YouTube, TikTok) blurs legal definitions.
- Fiona Scott Morton [22:28]: “If there’s some harm to competition and that can be shown by a state or private plaintiff, then they can go to court and try to block the transaction...”
6. Crypto Billionaires: Winners & Losers
- Summary:
- 2025 saw structural progress for Bitcoin (policy, products, mainstreaming), but fortunes diverged:
- Winklevoss twins’ Gemini down after IPO
- Jeremy Allaire’s Circle’s USDC up with better regulation
- Michael Saylor’s portfolio shrank by 40%
- Elise Killeen, Stillmark [25:47]: “2025 was one of the most consequential years in Bitcoin’s history, not because of price appreciation, but because of structural progress.”
- U.S. policy, (Genius & Clarity acts) seen as path to institutional adoption and clearer definitions (Bitcoin as a commodity).
- 2025 saw structural progress for Bitcoin (policy, products, mainstreaming), but fortunes diverged:
7. AI, Cloud, and Data Centers: Energy Market Disruption
- Tech sector energy demands:
- Four major tech companies spent $344bn in 2025; $1.1 trillion grid investment over 5 years coming.
- Josh Saul, Energy Reporter [29:26]: “We’ve never seen so much money rushing into the power sector. The numbers are just wild…”
- Utilities structure contracts to protect themselves but customers feel price pressures.
- Policy response:
- Speed Act aims to cut red tape on energy projects.
- Jason Oxman, ITIC [31:53]: “The biggest (law) that I’ve seen...is something called the SPEED act… would invoke regulatory reforms to speed up the permitting process…”
- Massive job and wage growth seen in AI-adjacent industries; efforts to balance acceleration with checks and balances.
8. National Security: Chip Export Controls & Federal vs State AI Regulation
- Chip diversion debate:
- Industry association CEO (Oxman) says cutting off global markets is wrong; supports targeted enforcement not blanket bans.
- Jason Oxman [36:41]: “The broader question… is national security and economic security. The Biden administration...cutting off access to the world is the wrong approach. We need to make sure...America has access to the rest of the world.”
- AI regulation:
- 2025: Over 100 state AI laws, with 1000+ pending; push for single federal standard.
- Jason Oxman [38:23]: “We want to have one uniform national regime rather than a patchwork of 50…”
9. Economic Outlook: Data Center Investment Payoff
- Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan:
- Sees infrastructure investment starting to drive U.S. growth (2.4% forecast).
- Consumer spending up 4%+ y/y, wage growth persists despite moderating jobs market.
- Brian Moynihan [40:49]: “In the third quarter it was up about 5%… so far in October, November, I’d say it in a four, four and a half percent…”
10. Tesla Electric Door Failures: Safety Lawsuits and Industry Impact
- Bloomberg investigation:
- At least 15 fatalities linked to Tesla’s electric door design, which abandons traditional latches for “flush” electric mechanisms.
- Max Chafkin, Bloomberg [49:55]: “The best part is no part.” (attributed to Elon Musk—Tesla’s design philosophy)
- Designers prioritized sleekness/vertical integration, but manual releases are obscure, inconsistent, and can trap users after electric failures post-crash.
- Tesla has acknowledged issue, plans redesign, but solution not feasible via software alone.
Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments
-
Caroline Hyde [04:14, on ServiceNow's acquisition]:
“They basically automate IT and personnel, and now they’re offering cyber as a broader package to entice customers.” -
Ed Ludlow [06:14, on Megaspeed probe]:
“Singapore-based Mega Speed...wasn’t its obscure spin off of a Chinese gaming enterprise could become a prime example of Washington’s fears...” -
Caroline Hyde [08:16, Nvidia & China]:
“There’s nothing illegal with setting up a data center and serving Chinese customers, provided those customers don’t have links with a banned entity... However, there is suspicion about these links...” -
Jordan Fabian [12:44, U.S.–China chip trade]:
“China is targeting the semiconductor industry for dominance… Sell those chips at below market rates… The irony is that the U.S. is pretty much trying to do the same thing...” -
Fiona Scott Morton [22:28, media antitrust]:
“If there’s some harm to competition… state or a private plaintiff can go to court and try to block the transaction just like the federal government can…” -
Elise Killeen [25:47, Bitcoin in 2025]:
“2025 was one of the most consequential years in Bitcoin’s history, not because of price appreciation, but because of structural progress.” -
Josh Saul [29:26, energy investments]:
“We’ve never seen so much money rushing into the power sector. The numbers are just wild…” -
Jason Oxman [36:41, export controls]:
“Denying U.S. companies the access to the global market is the wrong approach... the success of American technology is dependent on America having access to the rest of the world.” -
Max Chafkin [49:55, on Tesla design]:
“The best part is no part.” (citing Elon Musk’s design mantra)
Timestamps for Important Segments
- [04:14] ServiceNow acquisition breakdown with Andrew Martin
- [06:14] Nvidia/Megaspeed chip smuggling probe deep dive begins
- [10:44] U.S.–China semi trade, tariffs, and policy with Jordan Fabian
- [17:29] Larry Ellison’s wealth strategy and Paramount bid
- [21:50] Media merger regulation, with Prof. Fiona Scott Morton
- [25:47] Crypto year-in-review with Elise Killeen (Stillmark)
- [29:26] AI & data center energy demands, with Josh Saul
- [31:53] Regulatory reforms (SPEED Act) with ITIC CEO Jason Oxman
- [36:41] National security vs. export controls and global strategy
- [38:23] Federal vs. state AI regulation and push for a unified regime
- [39:39] Economic outlook with Bank of America CEO Brian Moynihan
- [46:27] Tesla electric door controversy—with demonstration and historical context
- [49:13] Max Chafkin on Tesla decision-making and industry impact
Episode Takeaways
- Nvidia Probe: Highlights complexity and global interconnectedness of chip supply, with Singapore’s Megaspeed in the crosshairs of suspicion but not yet proven culpable.
- U.S.–China Tech Wars: Both sides ramp up industrial policy; U.S. investigation into unfair practices without immediate retaliatory tariffs.
- Crypto & Billionaires: Regulatory clarity fuels adoption for some (Circle, USDC), pain for others (Winklevoss, Saylor); industry matures regardless of price.
- Energy & AI: AI/cloud boom is rewriting the U.S. power investment playbook; environmental impact and consumer costs under fresh scrutiny.
- Tesla Safety: Design choices for sleekness can backfire; human safety and consumer muscle memory clash with “fewer parts” minimalism.
Recommended for listeners interested in:
Tech policy, supply chains, cybersecurity, U.S.–China relations, crypto regulation, M&A, clean energy, and safety/design in next-gen vehicles.
