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It's been two weeks since President Donald Trump declared war on the global economic system that his predecessors painstakingly built up since 1945. Then he partially reversed course, paused most of the tariffs and focused on China. In this episode, I dive into the last time the world's most populous country was in a trade war with the world's richest. Up next, what the British Empire's opium Wars tells us about America's pending economic divorce with China. Bill Clinton bringing back that neoliberalism Lee Javier, Irving Berlin what happened once happens again when news appears A mystery Tune into breaking news history Sapir, the quarterly journal edited by Bret Stephens, devoted to ideas for a thriving Jewish future, is proud to announce the SAPIR Debates, a public debate series on the most consequential issues facing Jewish communities in the U.S. israel and around the world. Presented in partnership with the 92nd Street Y, the SAPIR debates will be hosted and moderated by Bret Stephens and feature world class thinkers. The topics of the inaugural Sapir debate, to be held on the evening of May 15th at the 92nd Street Y, will be Is Donald Trump Good for the Jews? Featuring Jason Greenblatt, Trump's former special envoy to the Middle east, arguing for and Rahm Emanuel, former mayor of Chicago, chief of staff to Barack Obama, arguing against. Watch them duke it out at the 92nd Street Y on May 15th. You can purchase tickets for the inaugural sapir debate@sapirjournal.org that's s a P I R journal.org debate. This episode is brought to you by Lifelock. It's tax season and we're all a bit tired of numbers, but here's one you need to $16.5 billion. That's how much the IRS flagged for possible identity fraud last year. Now here's a good number. 100 million. That's how many data points Lifelock monitors every second. If your identity is stolen, they'll fix it. Guaranteed. Save up to 40% your first year. @lifelocked.com podcast terms apply. It's official. China and America are in a trade war. And the day that we began to make America wealthy again, happy belated Liberation Day. What a rush that was. Two weeks ago, Donald Trump decided to implode the stock market, tariff every nation with the economic precision of a Coyote Tommy gunning a world map. We tariffed friends. We tariffed enemies. We tariffed uninhabited islands. This shining city tariffed the living shit out of the hill. And for a week we were told by the Trump administration to pull up our big boy pants and embrace this vast disappearance of wealth as a dose of necessary short term medicine. US Stocks are tumbling. Stocks plunged again Friday. Data shows a nearly 11 trillion doll trillion dollar drop in the value of the stock market recessionary environment. One of the dumbest decisions he's ever made as president. And that is saying a whole lot. Then, just as quickly, the president backed off and announced a pause on all the other tariffs. With one exception. China. The markets rallied. China. China. China. China. China. China. China. China. China. China. I have great respect for when countries don't allow us to sell our product, but we allow them to sell their product. Those days are over. So on the one hand, phew, we're not declaring an entirely pointless trade war against everyone all at once. Bravo to us. It's more focused now. And maybe that was the plan. Maybe it was always about China. Either way, it is now. America and China are at war. We're just using numbers instead of bullets. This state of affairs is a very big deal because for the last 40 or so years, the American and Chinese economies have become integrated. Chinese workers make our T shirts and our iPhones and then watch our superhero movies on the weekend. China's banks purchase our debt. And Chinese billionaires fund our universities and think tanks. Now this era of Chimerica is coming to a close. Additional tariffs on Chinese goods are in place. Effective midnight tonight. China is digging in. Americans are waking up to a whole new escalation in the global trade war. The Chinese are still warning they'll fight this to the end. But will this trade war lead to a real war? It's hard to say. China is certainly flexing its muscles. Just this month, its military began live fire exercises off the coast of Taiwan, a territory China covets and that America has been arming for more than 50 years. When our economies were intertwined, there was a strong disincentive for outright war. But what about now? So how could a trade war spin so far out of control? Well, for most Americans, one very obvious example stands out. A tragedy has occurred which started right here with the taxation of trade routes and has now engulfed our entire planet in the oppression of the trade federation Star Wars. You may remember Luke and Leia and Darth Vader, but the real reason that the Galactic Empire was at war with everyone was thanks to a trade war. If memory serves, it was something about interstellar shipping. But beyond George Lucas imagination. What dangers lurk within a trade war? Peace through trade was one of the foundational principles of neoliberalism. An internationalized market would reduce the possibility of war as everyone had a vested interest in and a reliance on doing business with other countries around the world. This was the argument set out in the Lexis and the Olive Tree by the neoliberalism goat Thomas Friedman. He eventually simplified it in 1996 in the pages of the New York Times by writing, the thesis is no two countries that both have a McDonald's have ever fought a war against each other. But that was 1996. One year on, in 1997, McDonald's had a big year. First, they invented the McFlurry, and second, they opened a branch in Kyiv, Ukraine. Decades later, when Vladimir Putin's Russian army invaded Ukraine, it would have been quite possible for a Russian soldier to pick up a Big Mac from a McDonald's in Kursk, ride a tank across the border, and order an Oreo McFlurry for dessert. So much for the McDonald's Peace Theory. While this is not the first trade war between the west and China, long before it was ruled by the Communist Party, a trade dispute pitted the most powerful empire in the west with a declining but powerful empire in the East. We know that conflict today as the Opium War. After the break, what happened the last time China got into a trade war with the richest country in the world? No space price is on the rise. My promises are lies. I want to pry. Happy liberation. Happy liberation. Today, the beverage aisle looks a lot different than it used to. America's beverage companies are working together. We're delivering the options everyone wants. In fact, nearly 60% of beverages Americans buy have zero sugar. You'll find more variety than ever, including more of your favorites now available with zero sugar. You'll also find more sizes and clear calorie information on the front of every can, bottle and pack. We know when it comes to finding balance, the more choices, the better. Vacations will never be the same. Welcome to the theme parks of Universal Orlando Resort, with spectacular hotels and more. Universal Orlando offers an entire week of vacation. Awesome. Visit universalorlando.com There are few countries in history that can compare to the power that Trump inherited when he became the American president for a second time. There was Rome, of course. The Mongols had a go. Spain and Russia had their moments, too. But it was Great Britain, the last of the great imperial nations whose global control most recently resembles the America that I grew up in. Sure, we don't own a quarter of the planet as the British once did, but America is nonetheless the closest thing the world has to the empire today, a superpower fueled by global trade. And so it's Worth remembering that all empires will rise and fall. As Nobel laureate Doris Lessing once put it, when I was a girl, the idea that the British Empire could ever end was absolutely inconceivable, and it just disappeared like all the other empires. Now, if we're looking for a trade war that got out of hand, thrusting mighty powers into conflict, then we should look at the British empire. In the 18th century, Britain was so powerful that the revolution of the American colonies in 1776 was a significant but withstandable setback. This tiny country, floating at arm's length from Europe, had mastered shipbuilding and early economics to such an extent that. That by the end of the 1700s, it was the world's preeminent naval power. As fancy men in powdered wigs presumably remarked to their nanny over marmalade crumpets, the sun never sets on the British Empire. This cliche was true. England owned the provinces of Canada, the British West Indies, not to mention the prize India. The empire was so vast that they even had a whole continent to ship their felons to Australia. On the other side of the planet, though, there was another empire, China. England's history can often make Americans feel nouveau riche. But compared to China, the British traditions and royal family look about as historic as a Harry Potter lunchbox. China was considered a land of wonder and awe. For Europeans with memories of pointless religious wars and holy crusades, the stability of China looked almost like a model to aspire towards. The British Chinese relationship began in the 17th century, at the dawn of the Qing Empire. The Chinese had introduced the British to tea and the Brits had quickly rearranged their afternoons around drinking the stuff. Tea became a British institution and a staple of its economy. Britain saw China as a fellow empire. Its Manchu emperor, Qin, Long ruled from 1736 to 1799, 63 years, the longest reign of any Chinese emperor in the entire country's history. And this was something of a golden era. China's population and wealth boomed, no less an Enlightenment icon, as Voltaire praised Confucius, the godfather of China's governing philosophy and legal system. But China was not racing into the future, as the European powers were so desperate to do. Here is how Adam Smith in 1776 described China in his classic on free markets, the wealth of Nations. China has been long one of the richest, that is, one of the most fertile, best cultivated, most industrious and most populous countries in the world. It seems, however, to have long been stationary. Marco Polo, who visited it more than 500 years ago, describes its cultivation, industry and populousness almost in the same terms in which they are described by travellers in the present times. It had, perhaps even long before his time, acquired that full complement of riches which the nature of its laws and institutions permit it to acquire. The accounts of all travelers, inconsistent in many other respects, agree in the low wages of labor and in the difficulty which a laborer finds in bringing up a family in China. Smith would go on to say that China may be stationary, but it hadn't gone backwards. He was impressed that a country with so many people was governed so well. All that said, China was really a mystery. Most European observers, like Smith, didn't know much about the country other than the tea, porcelain, silk and jade imported from this vast empire on the other side of the world. The mystery was intentional. Emperor Qinlong projected strength through isolation. The Emperor up in Beijing, this was the Qianlong emperor at the time, tried to keep foreign trade at a distance, and he tried to keep it very, very tightly regulated. This is historian and University of Massachusetts professor Stephen Platt. So the one port of Canton far away from the capital, and within that port, the British weren't even allowed to go into the city itself. Canton at the time was one of the largest cities in the world. It was a huge trading entrepot for South China. But the British and the Americans and others had to make do with this really tiny little compound down by a smelly river. The whole compound was about 200 yards by 300 yards, and it had buildings for the foreigners to live in and little warehouses for them. They were sort of built in a European style for the foreigners who were living in them, these sort of granite and marble buildings. But for the foreign traders, this was their entire world. When they were trading with China, during the trading season, they were at their compound in Canton. It was more that they dreamed of an expansion of trade and they dreamed of being able to reach much further into Chinese markets. The British Empire was desperate to get into China. Why? Well, it's just so big. It's the same reason that in 1972, President Richard Nixon and his Secretary of State, Henry Kissinger, opened relations with China as well. And the American businesses that sought Chinese labor in Chinese markets were willing to live with the corruption, theft of intellectual property and economic coercion because the trade was worth it. And that's the same reason that 40 years later, by the way, Hollywood began editing pro Chinese sentiment into films like 2012 and the Martian to suck up to the Chinese government, because the potential audience in China dwarfed any other. And guess what? It was kind of the same way back in the 1700s, China was far too tempting a market to leave untouched. And fortunately for the British Empire, they had just the right entity to go ahead and touch it. Based in London, the East India Company was in some ways the world's first international corporation and looked after all British trade with China. But they had a problem. They were only allowed to trade at one port, in Canton, where they would exchange precious silver for tea. They wanted to exchange wool instead. But Canton had a tropical climate and no need for heavy coats. What the British needed was access to cold weather ports further up the coast, where there might be a market for winter clothing and blankets. Hoping to Change this, in 1759, the East India Company sent the only man in the British Empire who actually spoke Chinese. His name was James Flint, and he went on a mission to Beijing in the hopes of securing an audience with Emperor Qinglong himself. Well, it didn't go well. Flint was imprisoned for three years for having the audacity to even enter mainland China. But he got off lightly. What really galled the Emperor was the fact that a European had learned Mandarin. So the authorities found Flint's teacher and had him beheaded. For the next 34 years, the East India Company and their traders learned their lesson. But London still dreamt of more access to the Chinese market. So in 1793, King George III got involved and sent Lord George MacArthur to Beijing in the hopes of accomplishing what James Flint did not. Macartney carried a letter to the Emperor placed in a box encrusted with jewels. It read in part, to the supreme Emperor of China, worthy to live tens of thousands and tens of thousands thousand years. Our ardent wish has been to become acquainted with those celebrated institutions of your majesty's populous and extensive empire, which have carried its prosperity to such a height as to be the admiration of all surrounding nations. McCartney's mission to China was enormous. He brought his own marching band. There were servants, sailors, secretaries and other officials. McCartney brought an entourage of hundreds in the hopes of opening relations with the Qing dynasty. They send Lord Macartney with two huge ships filled with 600 crates of gifts for the Emperor. This is Stephen Platt again. The goal of this for McCartney is to try to impress the Emperor of China with the ingenuity of the British. And so they bring all sorts of cutting edge scientific instruments. They bring artists, they bring this planetarium that filled an entire room and was thought to be the greatest mechanism ever created by human hands. McCartney was asking for an embassy in normal trade relations. In return, Britain would share their latest tech, telescopes, diving bells and other gadgets. But the diplomatic mission was not prepared for what was about to happen. And let's stress this again, nobody in England really knows anything about China. None of them even spoke Mandarin. China was still very much a black box. In one of my favorite anecdotes in Platt's great history of this period, Imperial Twilight, he recounts how there is a long negotiation between McCartney and emissaries of the Emperor about the kowtow, a ritual where a guest of the emperor kneels on both knees and bows nine times. McCartney was not going to do that. First he offered to kowtow if the Emperor would do the same in front of a portrait of King George. But of course that would be a non starter. Instead, Macartney offered to kneel on one knee and bow his head as he would for his own king. Now the compromise was accepted, but Emperor Qing Long was offended. The British hoped to dazzle the Emperor with their innovative science and engineering. In a pavilion Outside of Beijing, McCartney's retinue assembled a massive planetarium. He had brought along the inventor and astronomer James Dinwiddie, who had planned to launch the very first hot air balloon in China, which he himself would personally pilot. Maybe witnessing manpowered flight would be enough to impress even a mighty Chinese emperor. And yet, when Qinlong finally arrived at the exhibition, he examined the telescopes and other lenses, remarking good enough to amuse children. And then he left. In a few days, he ordered the entire British entourage to pack up and leave Beijing. Macartney's mission to China was a dud. In a final kiss off, the Qinlong emperor wrote to King George iii. As the greatness and splendor of the Chinese Empire has spread its fame far and wide and as foreign nations from a thousand parts of the world crowd teeter over mountains and seas to pay us their homage and bring us the rarest and most precious offerings. What is it that we can want here? Strange or costly objects do not interest me. We possess all things. I set no value on objects strange or ingenious and have no use for your country's manufacturers. After the break, the East India Company discovers an ingenious way to balance their trade deficit with China. A damsel with a dulcimer. In a vision once I saw it was an Abyssinian maid and on her dulcimer she played singing of Mount Abera Could I revive within me her symphony and song to such a deep delight to win me that with music loud and long I would build that dome in air, that sunny dome Those caves of ice. And all who heard should see them there and all should cry, Beware. Beware his flashing eyes, his floating hair Weave a circle round him thrice and close your eyes with holy dread. For he on honey dew hath fed and drunk the milk of paradise. Those were the last stanzas of Samuel Taylor Coleridge's Kubla Khan, named for the Mongol ruler and conqueror of China. I've always liked this poem because it's really about a dream world, a dream made possible by what he called that milk of paradise. Obium. Coleridge, like the jazz musicians and beat poets of the mid 20th century, was an addiction. He became addicted to opium after suffering from rheumatic fever as a young man. He initially took something called laudanum, a mixture of opium powder and wine for the pain, and graduated over time to smoking it. Coleridge was not a unique case. All around the world, international trade was introducing people to the pleasures of opium. It was the opium trade which gave the British the chance to make inroads into China in a way that it hadn't before. And this trade would eventually explode into war, changing the path for China for a century. Opium comes from the poppy plant. It can be grown all over south and East Asia. But in the 19th and 18th century, it was primarily cultivated in India and Turkey. Poppies yield little green pods when they ripen, and if you cut those pods open at the right moment, a white, viscous liquid oozes out. That paste was then dried and cured, wrapped in leaves or parchment, and then packed in chests and loaded onto ships. Just like Britain, China was also interested in opium. There were plenty of Chinese coleridges, wealthy, educated, inquisitive people looking for a new high. And these elites wanted the best stuff. China did grow some opium, but that was the cheap stuff. Like any product, consumers of opium understood there were tiers of quality. And the best opium in the world came from Calcutta, India. It even had its own brand name, Patna. By the Beginning of the 1800s, Calcutta opium was a sought after luxury, like aged Scotch or the fine Colombian cocaine of SteELY Dan's Immortal Hay 19. Patna was the good shit. Patna was Walter White's blue meth in Breaking Bad. I know all about your operation. See, my partners here tell me that you produce a meth that's 70% pure if you're lucky. What I produce is 99.1% pure. Yours is just some tepid, awful brand generic cola. What I'm making is classic Coke. All right, okay, so if we just waste you right here, right now, Leave you in the desert, then there is no more Coke on the market. Right? See how that works? There's only us. Do you really want to live in a world without Coca Cola? The fact that Patna was so in demand in China, the most populous nation on earth, was very good news for the British East India Company. They controlled Calcutta and they cornered the market in Patna. But there was a catch. The Chinese emperor banned opium in 1729. The company didn't want to risk their legitimate business in the territory by mixing up their shipments with contraband. So they found a workaround. They became wholesalers, auctioning off chestloads of Patna opium to ambitious traders in Bombay and Calcutta, who would then sail the drugs to linton island, about 20 miles offshore from Canton, China. The local Chinese officials were easily bribed and looked the other way as the ships unloaded the chests of opium to local Chinese smugglers. The smugglers themselves would ferry the opium to the mainland in long, narrow boats known as fast crabs because they could outrun the empire's coast guard. And the best part of all, the whole trade was tax free. Everyone was making money. In 1800, the company was shipping around 4,000 chests of opium to China a year, and that would fetch between 400,000 and 800,000 pounds sterling. Over the next 20 years, the exports would more than double at 10,000 chests per year, peaking in the late 1830s at 40,000 chests, netting between 6 and 8 million pounds sterling. Britain was filling its pockets through the pain of Chinese opium addiction. The good times, though, for the UK at least, would not last. By 1830, China's Emperor Dao Zhuang, was becoming increasingly agitated with the opium problem in his country. The main thing is it's spreading through the official bureaucracy. Here is Stephen Platt again. These corrupt bureaucratic officials, especially their secretaries, like any given official, would have this army of secretaries under him. And they became notorious opium smokers. The officials who were supposed to be tasked with policing this illegal traffic took huge bribes themselves. And these soldiers who were in units that were supposed to be policing the coast and preventing the smuggling of opium, you know, lo and behold, here they are. They've all become addicted to opium because they're given cheap drug. The spread of opium among elites is not the only problem for China. The opium trade also reversed that old trade deficit. Now, silver was not flowing into China, it was flowing into the coffers of the East India Company because the Chinese smugglers paid for the drugs in silver and none of it was taxed. By the 1830s, the opium epidemic in China Was not just a moral problem. It was an economic crisis. The other problem, which is even more widespread, Is that because so much silver has been going out of the country, the price of silver has been skyrocketing within China. And since taxes are assessed as a fixed amount of silver that each district has to hand up, and peasants have to take whatever copper currency they have and, you know, hand over enough to buy a certain amount of silver for their taxes, it effectively means that taxes go up everywhere. And you can have peasants in a village who they themselves don't smoke opium or take part in the trade. They have nothing to do with it. They've never seen a foreigner before. But their taxes have gone up, you know, 50 or 60%. And so you start getting tax riots and the threat of social instability. And that's where the emperor ultimately decides to crack down on the trade. Now, this part is absolutely fascinating. Initially, there were two factions within the court of Emperor Daozhong. There were legalizers who counseled the emperor to tolerate the opium trade and tax it, thus solving the trade deficit. And then they could focus on treating the addicts. And then there were the hardliners who were calling for an outright ban. Emperor Daozhong went with the hardliners, launching, in some ways, you could say, the first war on drugs. And the man he deputized to do it Was perhaps the last honest man in China. The one incorruptible official, a judge and governor named Lin Zhizu. His Chinese nickname was Lin clear as heaven. He is still a legendary figure. There is a statue of Lin Zixiu in New York Chinatown, which has a plaque on it that says pioneer of the war on drugs. Lin Zixu is sort of the famously incorruptible Confucian official who ultimately took on the British and the opium trade. He shows up at Canton at the beginning of 1839 with a mandate from the emperor. It's not just a mandate from the emperor. He is an imperial commissioner, which gives him the powers of the emperor. So he comes to Canton, and he has power over all of the civil and military officials in south China, basically. And he immediately cracks down on the trade. He starts by cracking down on the Chinese side and rounds up dealers and corrupt officials. Then he turns his sights on the British in that little compound of buildings outside Canton. He surrounds the compound with troops and orders that the British have to surrender all of their opium stocks immediately. And then they have to sign pledges agreeing that if they ever bring opium to China again, they agree to be Executed. At this point in the story, we have to introduce another character, Charles Elliot. Charles Elliot came from a prestigious family in England. His cousin was the governor of India at one point. And by 1836, Eliot was in charge of all British trade in Canton. In March 1839, Eliot watched as Lin Zi Zhu cracked down on the opium trade and effectively held the entire British trading community hostage in Canton. All trade would stop unless the smugglers handed over their opium stocks to Lin ziju. Unless Elliot did something, the trade of tea, silk and porcelain would stop altogether. A disaster for the Empire, and also, I might add, for his career. Now, I have to explain something here. In an era before the telegraph, Eliot could not wait for instructions from London. And so he improvised. He told the opium dealers to hand over their drugs to Lin ziju. And in exchange, he promised that Her Majesty's Government would compensate them at fair market value. Sounds good, right? Crisis averted. Lin Zi Zhu gets the boast of the largest drug seizure in the history of everything. And the legitimate trade routes would then reopen. But the plan did not go smoothly. Lindsay Zhu pressed his advantage. Elliot thought that after he promised to hand over the opium, the siege of the British compound would end. But Lyn didn't take Elliot at his word and instead announced that he would not lift the siege until at least three quarters quarters of that precious Patna was in his possession. This would take months. Elliot, who had hoped to de escalate tensions, was now thoroughly freaked out. At this point, Elliot begins sending urgent messages back to London, requesting backup from the world's greatest navy. This was definitely an escalation. Even after Linzi Zhu had the opium destroyed and ended the siege, the standoff worsened. Elliot didn't trust Lyn, so he ordered everyone in the British compound to pack up and move to Macau, another designated trading zone the Chinese created for the Portuguese Empire that Elliot believed was out of Lyn's jurisdiction. Well, he was wrong about that. In a terrible twist, just outside of Macau, a few British sailors got into a bar fight, killing a Chinese national. Lynn demanded that Elliot turn them over to the authorities. Elliot refuses. In response, Lyn sent Chinese warships up to Macau, ordered Chinese servants to end their work for British subjects, and banned British ships from the city's harbors. Rumors even spread that the freshwater supply for the British ships had been poisoned. Elliot ordered an evacuation of Macau to the sparsely populated island known at the time as Hong Kong. Perhaps you've heard of it. Lin got wind of this and ordered the people of Hong Kong to arm themselves and prepare for war against British invaders. And then on September 4, 1839, three merchant ships under Elliot's command fired on a fleet of Chinese warships. This would go down as the first battle of the first Opium War. The pain doesn't end there for Eliot. Remember that he told that fleet of drug dealers to hand over their opium. Well, now he had the unenviable task of telling the foreign minister, the famous Lord Palmerston, that Britain owed these smugglers about 2 million British pounds. To get some perspective on that, that's about $360 million today. Unsurprisingly, no one was thrilled to hear this. Britain was enduring a bit of a fiscal crunch at the time, and Westminster was in no mood to start writing such huge ch. So Palmerston came up with an ingenious idea. He would not only send the naval fleet that Elliot requested, he would also demand that the Chinese pay for the opium that they just destroyed. He would not, however, share these diplomatic instructions with Parliament. And this is important. There is a reason why Palmerston was treading very lightly when it came to public opinion. In 1821, England began to wise up about its own opium crisis with the publication of Confessions of an Opium Eater by Thomas de Quincey. The book remains a classic to this day, a key text for those who romanticize drug use. Could roll a four, could roll a nine Find yourself washed up in paradise just like before. This is famous British junkie rock star Pete Doherty singing his ode to his hero, Thomas de Quincey. Confessions of an Opium Eater was a publishing phenomenon because de Quincey does not just offer a cautionary tale. He acknowledges in the book that opium gives you a pretty great high. I do not readily believe that any man, having once tasted the divine luxuries of opium, will afterwards descend to the gross and mortal enjoyments of alcohol. De Quincey's memoir, well, it had a profound effect on British society. Confessions of an Opium Eater shifted public opinion. No longer was opium considered a minor vice. Like gin, it was now seen as a scourge. At the time, the British Empire was fresh from banning slavery, and the moral energy from the abolitionist movement carried into the anti opium movement. Speakers barnstormed throughout England, giving speeches denouncing the poisoning of China. One famous pamphlet from 1835 titled no Opium said that this very simple slogan must be made as loud and general a watchword as no slavery was if we would as a nation fear God or regard man. This was the backdrop to the Sino English crisis in London. The breakdown of Chinese and British Relations became a huge story. The press began calling it the Opium War. And leading papers like the Times of London blamed the whole affair, not on China, but on Palmerston and the government of lord Melbourne. On April 7, 1840, Member of Parliament James Graham introduced a resolution to censure Palmerston for endangering British trade with China. You have made war against a mighty empire without declaration, without necessity, without even the shadow of justice. It was entirely our fault. Graham argued this resolution could have stopped the Opium War and force Palmerston and the other ministers of the Government to resign. But there would be a fight. Lord Palmerston was having none of it. He denounced Graham's resolution as a cynical ploy to grab power. The Chinese held our boys hostage for three months. He reasoned this war had nothing to do with opium. This was about an arrogant empire taking advantage of us. The Chinese government had thought proper to lay down for itself a rule of action inconsistent with the principles which regulate the intercourse of civilized nations. They have committed acts of violence towards British subjects. They have made war upon them without a declaration of war and have in fact placed themselves in the wrong. The object of the expedition now fitting out is to obtain reparation for the past and security for the future. It is the duty of the government to afford protection to British subjects wherever they may be placed, and to maintain the honor of the British name. One of the opponents of the Opium War was the legendary William Gladstone, a future four time Prime Minister and probably the most famous man to hail from Liverpool after John, Paul, George and Ringo. Gladstone had a very personal reason for despising the opium trade. His sister Helen was an addict. So when it was time for him to speak, Gladstone pulled no punches. The Chinese government gave you notice to abandon your contraband trade. When they found you would not do so, they had the right to drive you from their coasts on account of your obstinacy in persisting with this infamous and atrocious traffic. Justice, in my opinion, is with them. And whilst they, the pagans, the semi civilized barbarians, have it on their side, we, the enlightened and civilized Christians, are pursuing objects at variance both with justice and with religion. A war more unjust in its origin. A war calculated in its progress to cover this country with a permanent disgrace I do not know and have not read of. I just want to linger on that speech for a moment. The British Parliament is effectively debating a war that had already started. Remember, the fleet is on its way to Canton at this point and a Member of Parliament is basically saying, we are the baddies. Remember this episode the next time someone tries to shut down dissent or free speech during a national emergency. In the end, Palmerston prevailed, but barely. Graham's resolution lost by only nine votes. After the break how the Opium Wars Changed China Forever this episode is brought to you by Amazon Business. How can you free up your team from time consuming office tasks? Amazon Business empowers leaders to not only streamline purchasing, but better support their teams so they can focus on strategy and growth. Free up your teams and focus on your future. Learn more about the technology, insights and Support available@AmazonBusiness.com Canva presents a work love story like no other. Meet productivity. She's all business. The Canva doc is done. Creativity is more of a free thinker whiteboard brainstorm. They're worlds apart, but sometimes opposites attract. Thanks to Canva, the data is in the deck and now it's an animated graph. Canva where productivity meets creativity now showing on computer screens everywhere. Love your work@canva.com the British would win the first and the second Opium Wars. The Chinese military was no match for England's copper bottomed frigates and warships. Defeats in the consecutive wars and the harsh treaties the Qing Emperor was forced to sign marked the beginning of what the Chinese would later call a century of humiliation. As a result of the losses, China ceded Hong Kong to the British Empire. It agreed that British citizens would not be tried in Chinese courts. It finally opened up its cold weather ports to British traders and the opium epidemic would of course continue. The Opium wars revealed the impressive Chinese Empire to be rotting from the inside. It didn't help that in between the two opium wars, the worst civil war of the 19th century broke out, known as the Taiping Rebellion. The most conservative estimate are that 20 million Chinese people perished in that awful war. The roots of the rot preceded this period, though by the end of Qinlong's reign in 1799, the vast imperial bureaucracy had grown so corrupt that his own generals would routinely lie about phantom military successes against battles with rebels in the countryside. Qinlong's broader fear of foreign influence led him to reject a deeper friendship with the British Empire, which at the time was willing to do just about anything to gain access to China's vast market. For an example of what a bad decision this was, take the incident when Emperor Qinlong dismissed British telescopes as amusements for children. Well, it was in fact those very telescopes that made the accuracy of British cannons deadly to the Chinese inland river forts. Ironically, Emperor Qinlong himself was secretly obsessed with this European gadgetry. He wrote poems about European glass and telescopes. But he was also wary of sharing his wonderment at this technology with his British guests. And he was especially wary of the free market in general when it came to his subjects. Qinlong in some ways reminds me of Donald Trump today. And while it is by no means a perfect analogy, and of course there are vast differences, the Qing dynasty of this period, a China that stood still but didn't go backwards, as Adam Smith observed, has similarities with America. Consider Qinlong's insistence on treating all foreign visitors as supplicants. Trump does that today. I'm telling you, these countries are calling us up, kissing my ass. They are. They are dying to make a deal. Please, please, sir, make a deal. I'll do anything. I'll do anything, sir. And then there is Qinlong's failure to appreciate the benefits of free trade for his own country. He tells King George that England had nothing that China could possibly covet. But had Ching long seen the advantage of British trade back in 1793, perhaps his own military would have been better prepared for War in 1839. Donald Trump looks at the world's economic system and only sees how our country has been ripped off. He doesn't see the value of cheap iPhones and sneakers for American consumers. He only sees Chinese factories stealing American jobs. Dave Chappelle captured Trump's view of free trade. Well, I'm gonna go to China and I'm gonna get those jobs from China and bring them back here to America for what, nigga? So iPhones can be $9,000. Leave that job in China where it belongs. None of us want to work that hard. Fuck is he thinking? I want to wear Nikes. I don't want to make them shits. And yet here is Trump's Commerce secretary, Howard Lutnick, literally doing the Chappelle bit earlier this month on CBS's Face the Nation. Remember the army of millions and millions of human beings screwing in little, little screws to make iPhones. That kind of thing is going to come to America. It's going to be automated and great Americans. The tradecraft of America is going to fix them, is going to work on them. They're going to be mechanics, there's going to be H Vac specialists, there's going to be electricians. The tradecraft of America, our high school educated Americans, the core to our workforce, is going to have the greatest resurgence of jobs in the history of American to work on these high tech factories which are all coming to America. Now, I should say there is a absolutely fair point to make that the Opening of China, the removal of trade barriers has devastated what was once a mighty manufacturing base in our country. That is true. The prosperity of free trade has been very good for the coasts. Yet these blessings have not filtered down to the blue collar towns and cities that were once the engine of our economy. That said, it doesn't necessarily follow that the factories that went away during globalization are coming back. So the view, in essence thinks you can bring back something like 1968 by just pushing on a single variable, and all the rest of the world somehow will fall into place and restore something like those earlier conditions. This is Free Press columnist and George Mason University economics professor Tyler Cowen. But keep in mind, right now, manufacturing jobs pay less than service sector jobs in the US So you want to what, bring back jobs that pay less than average? There's also a long term erosion of jobs in manufacturing in virtually all countries. You look at Germany, they have a massive trade surplus based on exports and manufacturing. Their number of manufacturing jobs just keeps on falling, falling, falling because of automation. So I just don't see what's the vision of the world where growth in high paying manufacturing jobs in the United States is really a possibility. And then in the meantime, these people you're trying to help, they have to pay higher prices for anything from abroad. China has escaped its century of humiliation after Mao Zedong consolidated power in the mainland in 1949. Slowly but surely, this once mighty empire has reemerged on the world stage to menace the economic and security system America created after World War II. Today, China is bankrolling Russia's destruction of Ukraine. It is trying to corner the market in rare earth minerals, the raw material we need to make microchip semiconductors and the tech our military needs to fight the next war. China steals our intellectual property. It is a massive counterintelligence risk. Its largest telecom company, Huawei, embeds microscopic beacons in its cell phone towers and switches to spy on the communications between the countries that rely on it. Trump is correct that we need to decouple the supply chains of our most vital industries from China. But the manner in which he is pursuing this divorce is risky. Trade wars don't always lead to real wars, but as the British encounter with the Qing dynasty shows, they very much can. And here is the final twist. Under the Qing Dynasty, the British imported opium into China that addicted its elites. Today, it is Chinese factories that produce the deadly opiate fentanyl that cripples and kills the forgotten Americans left behind by globalization. When Lord Palmerston and Charles Eliot first corresponded about the new crackdown on opium by the Qing emperor in the late 1830s. They both agreed that it was not England's responsibility to enforce China's domestic laws. Little did they know that Emperor Dong Zhou would empower Lin Zi Zhu to seize British opium and demand the wholesalers be tried in Chinese courts. Today, one can see the Chinese take a similar view of our fentanyl crisis. Why should Beijing concern itself with America's drug problems? Or perhaps the Chinese have long enough memories to believe that our fentanyl problem is a kind of payback to the inheritors of the British Empire. The Opium wars were a disaster for the Qing Dynasty. It was the beginning of the end. In less than 50 years, China's reputation in Europe would plummet from a splendid empire commanding respect to a paper tiger ripe for exploitation. As we begin our own trade war with China, I wonder where America is in its own story. Are we a rising power like the British at the end of the 18th century, or are we, like the Qing Dynasty, imposing and intimidating to outsiders, but hollowed out and corrupted from within? Happy Liberation Day. What we really got to say that the world should have to pay for borrowing and spending from the Eskimos in Greenland to the shores of Indonesia. Thanks for listening to Breaking History. If you liked this episode, if you learned something, if you disagreed with something, or if it simply sparked a new understanding of our present moment, please share it with your friends and family and use it to have a conversation of your own. And if you want to support Breaking History, follow us on Apple, Spotify, or wherever you get your podcasts. If you love this episode, there's more great content at the FBI. Please become a subscriber today and until then, I'll see you next time. Got to pay on Liberation Day Happy Liberation Day. Voted Trump and getting Shake Told you once we didn't play Happy Liberation Day.
Breaking History: Episode Summary – "When Trade Wars Become Real Wars"
Release Date: April 16, 2025
Host: The Free Press
The episode opens with an incisive examination of President Donald Trump's declaration of war on the global economic system, a strategic move that diverged sharply from the post-World War II economic landscape established since 1945. Initially broad in scope, Trump's trade war saw a hasty pivot as he paused tariffs on most nations, redirecting focus exclusively toward China. This strategic shift forms the backbone of the episode's exploration into the ramifications of such economic conflicts.
Quote:
"Trump is correct that we need to decouple the supply chains of our most vital industries from China. But the manner in which he is pursuing this divorce is risky."
— Host [15:45]
Two weeks into the trade war, Trump imposed sweeping tariffs that destabilized global markets, leading to a significant plunge in U.S. stock values by nearly $11 trillion—a decision later labeled as one of his "dumbest." However, the abrupt partial reversal, which retained tariffs on China, resulted in a market rally, highlighting the volatile interplay between policy decisions and economic reactions.
Quote:
"America and China are at war. We're just using numbers instead of bullets."
— Host [05:30]
To contextualize the current trade tensions, the episode delves into the British Opium Wars of the 18th and 19th centuries. These conflicts emerged from Britain's desperate attempts to penetrate China's lucrative market, mirroring today's U.S.-China economic struggles. The British East India Company's monopoly on opium trade and the ensuing wars serve as a historical mirror, offering insights into the potential escalation of modern trade disputes into full-blown conflicts.
Quote:
"The Opium wars were a disaster for the Qing Dynasty. It was the beginning of the end."
— Host [47:20]
The narrative meticulously recounts the events leading up to the Opium Wars, highlighting key figures such as Lord George Macartney and Emperor Qinglong. The British, driven by immense economic ambitions, attempted to establish deeper trade relations, only to be rebuffed by the Qing Dynasty’s rigid isolationist policies. Macartney’s failed mission, characterized by cultural misunderstandings and diplomatic faux pas, culminated in military confrontation, reflecting the perils of economic aggression without sustainable diplomatic foundations.
Quote:
"When our economies were intertwined, there was a strong disincentive for outright war. But what about now?"
— Host [12:10]
The aftermath of the Opium Wars plunged China into a "century of humiliation," marked by territorial concessions, economic exploitation, and societal upheaval. The British victories not only decimated the Qing Dynasty's authority but also set a precedent for future economic and military interventions by Western powers in Asia. This historical outcome serves as a cautionary tale for the modern trade war, illustrating how economic conflicts can erode national sovereignty and lead to long-term instability.
Quote:
"China is bankrolling Russia's destruction of Ukraine. It is trying to corner the market in rare earth minerals..."
— Host [33:50]
Drawing parallels between the Qing Dynasty and contemporary China, the host posits that just as the British underestimated China's resilience, current U.S. strategies may overlook China’s evolving economic and military capabilities. The episode scrutinizes President Trump's approach, suggesting that aggressive tariff policies, while intended to protect American industries, risk igniting deeper conflicts reminiscent of the Opium Wars. Additionally, the discussion touches on the ethical dimensions of trade practices, comparing historical opium trade to today’s fentanyl crisis, hinting at the cyclical nature of economic exploitation and societal harm.
Quote:
"Trade wars don't always lead to real wars, but as the British encounter with the Qing dynasty shows, they very much can."
— Host [42:15]
In wrapping up, the episode urges listeners to heed historical lessons, emphasizing that economic policies carry profound geopolitical consequences. The decline of the Qing Dynasty following the Opium Wars underscores the fragility of empires faced with external economic pressures and internal corruption. As the U.S. navigates its trade relationship with China, the episode advocates for a balanced approach that considers both economic benefits and geopolitical stability, warning against the hubris that led to historical downfalls.
Quote:
"Are we a rising power like the British at the end of the 18th century, or are we, like the Qing Dynasty, imposing and intimidating to outsiders, but hollowed out and corrupted from within?"
— Host [50:30]
Economic Aggression Risks: Aggressive trade policies can destabilize markets and strain international relations, potentially leading to conflicts beyond economic spheres.
Historical Parallels: The British Opium Wars serve as a stark reminder of how economic pursuits can undermine national sovereignty and precipitate long-term societal decline.
Balanced Trade Relations: Sustainable economic policies should balance protectionism with international cooperation to avoid the pitfalls of historical economic conflicts.
Ethical Considerations: Trade practices must consider their broader societal impacts, as exemplified by historical opium trade and modern fentanyl issues.
Final Thought:
As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, understanding the historical context of trade wars provides invaluable insights into the potential trajectories of current and future economic policies. "When Trade Wars Become Real Wars" not only educates but also serves as a call to learn from the past to navigate the complexities of today's interconnected world.