Krystal Ball (29:32)
Get the House in a situation where it is permanently defendable by the MAGA movement. So is Bannon just blowing smoke here? After all, he's not Trump. He's not a Trump official either. In fact, if you look, though, at everything the Trump administration is saying and doing, it is undeniably clear they are in the midst of executing a sophisticated plot in an attempt to rig the midterm elections in favor of Republicans. This plot has several different elements and, of course, no guarantees of success. But we need to grapple with what we are facing right now. So I'm going to take time to go through each of the various elements. Top line, though. First element is personnel. Federal government divisions dealing with election, cybersecurity and civil rights violations been gutted and replaced with 2020 election deniers from the stop this deal fraud. Second executive orders. Trump has signed several executive orders seeking to consolidate control of election mechanics, voter rolls and even election machines in his hands. A Republican operative, by the way, now owns Dominion Voting. Third, gerrymandering. Trump is pressuring Republican states to redraw maps to block out Democrats and is getting a major assist from the Supreme Court. Most likely fourth threats. Trump is sending election monitors to California and New Jersey, deploying National Guard in blue cities and threatening to invoke the Insurrection Act. All of this is occurring as he repeated insists elections are rigged, undocumented immigrants vote illegally and mail in ballots are fraudulent. Taken together, you can see they are serious. They are operating on a variety of fronts. They are unwilling to accept the verdict of voters. So let's start in depth with personnel. According to the New York Times, Trump has installed a number of Stop the Steal wackos in key election related roles after gutting departments which previously dealt with election integrity and rights. So several of these new officials come from the so called Election Integrity Network. This is a far right group at the heart of inventing lies during Trump's effort to steal the election in 2020. Now in the newly in the administration, in the newly created Election Integrity position at the Department of Homeland Security, Trump has installed a woman by the name of Heather Honey. She is a Stop the Steal nut who immediately jumped on official government calls when she was appointed to spread wild conspiracies about rigged voting machines. Prior to her appointment, she floated invoking a national emergency in order to gain control over state voting. Another wacko, a guy named Kurt Olson, has also been brought into the Trump administration to investigate the supposedly stolen 2020 election. Just in case you were wondering if they had given up on those old lies, Olson helped Cook Up MyPillow CEO Mike Lindell's 2020 Rigged Election Delusions. In addition to them, you've got the former DeKalb County, Georgia Republican chair, Marcy McCarthy is appointed to be Director of Public affairs at the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, or cisa. Marcy was at the heart of spreading Georgia voting machine conspiracies back in 2020. But perhaps even more critically, she was involved in purging thousands of legitimate voters from the rolls in Georgia in 2024 in an effort that resulted in tens of thousands of voters losing their ability to vote in what appeared to be a racially biased manner. Now that experience of Marshall might be particularly relevant when you consider the election related executive orders that Trump has been signing. So back in March, Trump signed an executive order mandating more stringent IDs recertifications of voting machines under new rules that literally none of the existing machines currently comply with. And perhaps most troubling, this executive order granted Elon's doge access to voter rolls for, quote unquote fraud audits. Now, lest you think that with Elon's departure, this aspect would be dropped, the Trump Justice Department is demanding that states provide them with their voter rolls, an action that many, even red states, have actually resisted so far. The Trump DOJ has sent demands to 30 states already with intent to send to all 50. What's more, they have already sued eight different states for refusing to hand over their voter rolls so far. An additional executive order seeks to end mail in balloting, which of course is used more often at this point by Democrats, Democrats, and reiterates the commitment to get rid of every existing voting machine about those voting machines. By the way, you remember all the furor around Dominion Voting machines, supposedly rigged in 2020 by the Ghost of Hugo Chavez or some such nonsense? Well, that company has now been bought by a Trump ally, the former Republican elections director in St. Louis. And in the announcement of the purchase, this guy made a point of nodding towards that Venezuela conspiracy and of saying he was going to prioritize complying with Trump's executive orders. Dominion is being renamed Liberty Vote now. Now, perhaps this guy is just trying to rebrand, trying to pander to the conspiracy nuts in the MAGA base. But half of the voting machines in the country are Dominion, and they are now under partisan ownership. Next, we've got, of course, the mass gerrymandering push coming directly from the White House. Three states, Missouri, North Carolina and Texas. They've already drawn new maps that more heavily favor Republicans. Republicans. Five more states are considering following suit. In a sign of what a priority this is for the regime, JD Vance has visited Indiana twice to pressure lawmakers to draw new maps. And Trump spoke directly with Indiana Republicans earlier this month. Just yesterday, Governor Brown called an emergency session to consider the President's demand. In addition, the Supreme Court looks set to deliver a major assist on this front, striking down parts of the Voting Rights act, which would plausibly allow Republicans to eliminate roughly a dozen seats currently held by Democrats. Let's go ahead and put this chart up on the screen. So Nate Cohn did this analysis, and he found that the upshot of all of this gerrymandering, when you take into account Democratic attempts to retaliate in places like California, is that it could take Democrats winning the popular vote by as much as 5 points or 6 points in order to take back the house 5 point popular vote wins. Those are the stuff of modern day waves. We're talking the Obama wave in 2008, the Tea Party wave in 2010. This slanted playing field, it doesn't make a House majority impossible for Democrats, but it does make it very, very difficult. And that is of course, before you consider all the other efforts that I'm tracking here today to shape who can vote and how. Now, the last category of election rigging activities is both the most ominous and the most vague, and that is the threats which are emanating from this White House. Under this category, I place Trump's consistent rhetoric about stolen elections, his use and abuse of the military, and his promise to send election monitors into California and into New Jersey. Just yesterday, Trump posted this on Truth Social. He said, what's worse, the NBA players cheating at cards and probably much else, or the Democrats cheating on elections? The 2020 presidential election being rigged and stolen is a far bigger scandal. Look what happened to our country when a crooked moron became our president. We now know everything. I hope the DOJ pursues this with as much gusto as befitting the biggest scandal in American history. If not, it will happen again, including the upcoming midterms. No mail in or early voting. Yes to voter id. Watch how totally dishonest the California prop vote is. Millions of ballots being shipped. Get smart Republicans before it is too late. So consistent with this baseless claim that California is rigging the ballot initiative to determine whether they can redistrict, Trump has announced he is is sending DOJ election monitors into both California and New Jersey as a blatant intimidation tactic. And of course, as you know, he has sent the National Guard into multiple blue cities and is flirting with invoking the Insurrection Act. And Secretary of War Pete Hegseth won't deny the development of a rapid response military force that could be deployed in all 50 states before the midterms.