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Krystal Ball
Guaranteed Human.
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Saagar Enjeti
Black Friday is here and Pandora Jewelry is offering up to 40% off store wide and site wide now through December 2nd. Explore jewelry designed to last beyond the.
Seth Harp
Season, from classic charms to modern rings.
Saagar Enjeti
Bracelets, earrings and more.
Seth Harp
Whether you're holiday shopping or treating yourself.
Saagar Enjeti
Now'S the perfect time to find something Special. Shop@pandora.net or your local Pandora store. Exclusions apply. Hey guys, Sager and Crystal here.
Krystal Ball
Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election and we are so excited about what that means for the future of the show.
Saagar Enjeti
This is the only place where you can find honest perspectives from the left and the right that simply does not exist anywhere else.
Krystal Ball
So if that is something that's important to you, Please go to BreakingPoints.com, become a member today and you'll get access to our full shows unedited ad free and all put together for you every morning in your inbox.
Saagar Enjeti
We need your help to build the future of independent news media and we hope to see you@breakingpoints.com let's turn now to data centers, more of the political world and the news media is opening up to this live issue. And let's put this up here on the screen. Quote, the new price of eggs, the political shocks of data centers and electric bills. The New York Times starting to attention, actually doing a decent enough job of going over and actually, you know, interviewing some of the people who are most affected. So they actually opened the story with cattle ranchers in Georgia. Quote, they had one thing on their minds when they cast their ballots for the state's utility board to make a statement. They were irked by their escalating electric bills, not to mention extra 50 bucks a month levied by their local utility to cover a new power plant more than 200 miles away. But after they heard a data center might be built next to their ranch 60 miles southwest of Atlanta, they had enough of Republicans who far too recept to the interests of the booming AI industry. First time I ever voted Democrat, Mr. Payton, 58, says. So you can see in that anecdote the political price now, as this has propelled two Democrats in the state of Georgia to upset you. Also, as I have said here before, there are opposition organic movements across the nation. Tucson, Arizona, here in Virginia, New Jersey. All the candidates here in Virginia basically were like against data centers, the power bills. Just what it demonstrates, I think, is that because we have finite amounts of power for a variety of reasons, mostly corruption, but for, because of that reason, and we're all kind of competing against one another and at the same time, the government is going all in based literally on the AI industry, that this will offset a lot and a lot of their costs, which are, you know, a huge bet on AI, which may not actually be a good bet, and then socialize it to the entire United States and the consumer who's already struggling with inflation. So I think it's one of those where as power prices, you know, look, I think they're going to continue to go up or broadly stay up because of this. And a lot of the industry has, continues to pour all these billions of dollars, which is good for the stock market, not necessarily good for the, quote, real economy, because it's the only thing really propping us all that up. It's a huge bet that's increasing costs on the way up, and it could also increase costs on the way down if it does cause a recession. I think that's one of the most dangerous points.
Krystal Ball
No. In that Georgia election. So no Democrats had been elected to that board since 2007. Okay. And you have two Democrats who won by like massive. They won by like 20 points. It was not close. And so, you know, there were a variety of reasons. When I saw that, I was like, you know, it fits my own view of the world a little too closely that this would be all driven by electricity prices and by data centers. So I was glad to see the New York Times go and actually interview voters and come to find out those voters were like, yes, I'm a lifelong Republican and I cast my ballot for two Democrats because I am disgusted with the rate hikes and the data center build outs that are impacting my life directly. So I'm not saying that's 100% of what was going on. Part of what was going on is a low turn on election. Part of what was going on is there were some, I think Atlanta municipal elections that drove more Democrats to the polls. Those were factors as well that led it to be such a blowout. But it certainly appears that the data center build out and the fact of consistent rate hikes and electricity bills skyrocketing led to the blowout victory of these two Democrats. Now you have other Democrats who are really picking up the message, realizing that this is an incredibly potent issue. As Sagra mentioned, you had a few trial runs in Virginia as well where that messaging really seemed to pay off. Mikey Sherrill also ran on freezing any rate hikes on the utilities in New Jersey. So that seems to have helped to power her victory as well. Tomorrow we're going to cover this Tennessee special election that is happening tomorrow in a Trump +22 district where you have the Democrat Afton Bain who is running aggressively also on overall affordability, specifically on electricity prices. And I don't know that she's going to be able to pull it off. It is a tough hill to climb. And again a Trump +22 district. But they are nervous enough on the Republican side that they've sent in JD Vance, they've sent in Mike Johnson, they're fundraising aggressively. They're running all sorts of very aggressive ads against her. They are nervous that this could be an upset and the fact that she's even in the ballpark is completely insane. So we've covered here how Steve Bannon and others realize that this is an incredibly potent populist issue and the Trump administration is driving the train in terms of the AI buildout. Republicans, of course, are always very close to, you know, to corporate power. Many Democrats are as well too, by the way. But I think this is going to become a more and more salient issue as people connect the dots of these data centers that are going in that I'm not super happy about anyway. And my electricity prices going up.
Saagar Enjeti
Yeah, of course. And one of the things that we have to keep looking behind the scenes at is what about the money? How where is it going to come from? Because it's not just now. It's already fueling the data center boom and it's 10 years in the future. Let's go to the next one. Please put this on the screen. So they say OpenAI is quote a loss making machine estimates it has no road to profitability by 2030 and will need a further 200 billion in funding. Even if it gets there, quote, don't call it a bubble. Loss making monster is on the hook for 1.4 trillion with a T in compute commitments as companies start turning to debt to to fund the AI Craze. I actually thought that they summarized it really well and showed even within their funding, because even I didn't understand the extent to which not only are the losses the problem, how even with their hundreds of billions in capitalization, that they still don't have the money to even fulfill all of their commitments. This is why I said, you're going to pay on the way up in terms of power prices and you'll pay on the way down. If we have a recession that's going to affect everything and everybody's going to get fired no matter whether you work in AI or not. Because that's what happened with the financial crisis too. That's what happens. Stocks start to go down 25, 30%. It's a disaster. Right. Obviously. And so you can see in all of this that the signs are bubbling up. Let's go to the next one. This. This is one of the most important ones. We didn't cover it, unfortunately, at the time. This happened about 12, 15 days ago. But you'll remember I talked about a lot of those vendor finance deals where they announce a deal and then the stock goes up, effectively paying for it, even though no money has yet changed hands. This Oracle deal was really important. They say Oracle is already underwater on its, quote, astonishing $300 billion OpenAI deal. Because what happened is that when Oracle announced the $300 deal with the chatbot, its stock shed some 315 billion in market value. Now, obviously, market cap is not the only thing, you know, that's not exactly saying that they lost some 300 billion, but the equivalence Oracle shares have little change over twine. So the $60 billion loss figure is not entirely wrong. And what it has done is it's cost it nearly as much as one entire General Motors or two entire Kraft Heinz. Investor unease stems from the betting of a debt finance data farm on OpenAI. We have nothing. What they show also is that the theory goes that OpenAI is in a rush to, quote, discover AGI and that Oracle is, quote, uniquely able to scale the compute capacity. They promise the upfront costs and the fastest path to income generation. But, quote, Oracle doesn't have as much operating profit to burn as its competitors, so throwing everything that it can at supporting this one customer in exchange for an iou. Now, the fact is, though, is that the fact that their market cap and their stock is not performing means that people are having less faith in that IOU for the. And you should, shouldn't you? It doesn't make any sense in the aggregate. So I don't know, I just think. I think that the problem remains. The cost is going up for all of us. And if it works, the cost will only continue to go more. But as it goes down and just increasingly looks like at some point something needs to pop, that we will be left kind of like with the wreckage of all these data centers, and then it will be put to use for what we won't have AGI. We won't cure cancer. Well, I'll show you all what it's being used for right now. C4. Let's put this up here on the screen. This is new quote Nano Banana versus Nano Banana Pro. So on the left, this is an image generator was a previous image generator of. This is a girl who's at a bar. If you're just listening, bartender in the back, you can just tell it doesn't pass the test.
Krystal Ball
It has this sheen to it where it looks a little. It looks good, but it looks a little surreal.
Saagar Enjeti
Right.
Krystal Ball
If you have a sophisticated eye, you could look at that one and go, I think that's AI.
Saagar Enjeti
The one on the right, for those who are watching, that's also AI generated. It looks 100%. There's nothing in that photograph that I could be able to identify as fake. Not one. Not absolutely not. The lighting is perfect. It looks everything in the background.
Krystal Ball
Whoever's sitting across from her took a picture with their iPhone and posted it.
Saagar Enjeti
Yes.
Krystal Ball
It's indistinguishable from reality.
Saagar Enjeti
Not a single thing passes the test on that one. For me to say that that is fake. And so, yeah, I mean, that's. That's really what it all. And this is kind of remains. My critique is that everything they're doing is slop. It's just sloppifying the entire economy. It's like, oh, image generation. I keep talking about the NFL, but it is important because nobody who's curing cancer is advertising on the NFL. They just, they. The results are the same. Instead, they're like, hey, book a flight or whatever. I'm like, oh, so you want to replace Expedia. You basically want to replace Google Chrome. That's what they did with the ChatGPT browser. That is not worth all this money being poured and the power bills and everything. Image generation, like, I'm sorry. Yes, it's a better research tool. Cool. I think that's. I actually think it's cool. I use it often. But that's not the promise of like this breakthrough, you know, kind of thing. It could come potentially with all of that. But I'm not buying. I'm not buying it.
Krystal Ball
Right. Well, I hope you're right because I think the, the actual promise being fulfilled, you know, I think is a much scarier prospect of them actually making good on their promise to eliminate all or most jobs. I don't think we're ready for that. I don't think we're ready for this. I don't think we're ready for a world where we can't tell fact from fiction. I mean, you think we have responsible political actors and an educated society to be able to parse things down? Do you think that our tech oligarchs that are running our information ecosystem, like Elon with Grok, do you think that they're gonna responsibly use this technology? I think this is already where it's at, incredibly disturbing and incredibly destabil. For us to have a sort of shared project here, we have to at least have some metric of a shared reality. And that is under full scale assault by these AI tools. And there is nothing in place to protect us at this point. One last thing, going back to that Financial Times piece about Oracle and the deal with OpenAI, one of the reasons why this is so significant is because if you think about that infamous chart that showed all the lines going From Nvidia to OpenAI and from OpenAI back to Nvidia, you know, all these companies just doing deals with themselves. The way that the bubble has continued to be inflated is that every time one of those deals got done, even though no real new value was being created, investors liked it and the stock price went up. So there was some, you know, sort of theoretical value that was created even though nothing real had happened in the economy. Because this deal, which was a sizable deal, didn't react, there wasn't a similar stock market reaction. It begs the question of whether this mechanism that they've used to inflate the bubble, inflate the bubble and keep the line going up, whether that has run its course. So one of the things that has inflated the bubble seems this is one indication that that particular mechanism may have run its course. The way they put it in the article is they say, beyond the charts, a broader question relates to whether an open air deal is still worth announcing. A few months ago, any kind of agreement with OpenAI could make a share price go up. OpenAI did very nicely out of its power to reflect glory, most notably in October when it took AMD warrants as part of a chip deal that bumped share price by 24%. But Oracle is not only the is not the only laggard. Broadcom and Amazon are both down following OpenAI deal news, while Nvidia has barely changed since its investment agreement in September. Without a share price lift, what's the point? Combined trillion dollars of AI Capex might look like commitment, but investment fashions are fickle. So another warning sign that possibly this thing could be running out of renmini Now. My own opinion, not being an expert in any of this, is that they are going to continue to inflate this bubble as long as they possibly can because they have to. Because a bunch of their fortunes are tied to it. The entire US economy is tied to it. I mean these companies already are too big to fail simply from the fact that we have, as you know, that our leaders have decided to bet our entire economy on this stuff. So I think they will move heaven and earth to make sure line continue to go up. But at some point either they're going to deliver on their promise threat to take all of our jobs or you're going to have a tremendous financial calamity and also perhaps both is also on the table.
Saagar Enjeti
Yes, that's exactly right.
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Saagar Enjeti
Okay, let's get to Afghans. We're going to skip our fraudster block just because we've gone a little bit long. We want to make sure we have plenty of time with Seth Harp to discuss. Let's get to it.
Krystal Ball
So, as you guys probably know, over the holiday, two National Guardsmen were shot here in Washington D.C. and one of them actually succumbed to their wounds. We are learning quite a bit about the suspected gunman who was an Afghan national, who was apparently part of our CIA backed death squads in Afghanistan before coming over and being granted refugee asylum status here in the US So to dig into this background and what exactly the hell is going on with it, we have literally the perfect person, Seth Harp, who is an incredible investigative journalist and also the author of the also incredible book the Fort Bragg Cartel, which we learned is being turned into a series by hbo. Seth, great to have you.
Saagar Enjeti
Good to see you, man.
Seth Harp
Good to be with you all. Thanks for having me.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, of course. So let's put E2 up on the screen. This is some of your writing on Twitter about who this guy was. You say he was recruited at 15 to kill for the CIA, assigned to a death squad run by the top drug lord in Afghanistan. Soul destroyed, murdering innocents on behalf of a pedophile heroin cartel, then brought to live in the alienated hell world of late capitalist America with predictable results. Tell us what we know about him specifically and about the death squads that he was involved with.
Seth Harp
Well, that statement that you just showed up there might sound hyperbolic, but unfortunately those are all accurate statements of reality around this guy and who he was and what the. What the Zero Units did in Afghanistan. Raman Walla. Lock on. I'm sorry, pronouncing his name. He apparently was recruited at 15 to serve in what's called zero unit. Zero unit number three was the one, apparently that he was assigned to, also known as the Kandahar Strike Force, which was headed by a US ally, a warlord named Ahmad Wali Karzai. Who. The top drug lord in Afghanistan is a fair way to describe him. He ran, you know, what's. The Zero Units were basically US Proxy forces that operated at the direction of the CIA and the Special Forces in Afghanistan. And they primarily did what's called night raids, euphemistically known as night. They're more like assassination missions. And they were used extensively throughout the country to. To kill people that the US intelligence suspected of being Taliban. Whether or not they actually were Taliban is quite a different matter. And the reference to pedophilia there is the fact that a lot of these proxy forces, proxy militias, in fact, practiced something called bacha bazi, which was a really despicable cultural practice where underage boys were trafficked and sold. All this, this ugliness and stuff that went on in the sort of. In the criminal client state that the U.S. american national security objectives in Afghanistan, the Kandahar strike force that he served in was, was in the middle of all of it. There's more stuff to it than that as well. Land theft, all kinds of criminality. So it's really sad to see that stuff blowing back onto the United States.
Saagar Enjeti
Yeah. So let's put the next one, guys up there on the screen. This is E3. This talks about his dark isolation. The community was raising concerns. Many of the people around him. Seth, I wanna put my conspiracy hat on and I'll just have you kind of steel, man. The official narrative is that this is somebody who was exposed to CIA death squad for years. He's brought over to the United States, suffered mental isolation at the same time. We've seen many cases of people come to the United States. They're in a dark, they're in a fragile case, they have this killer background. Is it outside the realm of possibility? I'm not saying there's evidence or anything, just based on your, based on your interpretation, your experience of covering this. I mean, how was there, is there any likelihood or possibility of being prodded or influenced by some organization or others around him? I think a lot of people are asking that question considering his background.
Seth Harp
I mean, it would be irresponsible of me to just speculate about that without evidence. I do hear what you're saying. You know what? It was the guanos from Cuba of the 1960s, all the Cubans that were brought to Florida to train to try to overthrow Fidel Castro in the failed Bay of Pigs operation. Well, after that operation failed for years and years in the 1960s and 70s and 80s, those same veterans of the Bay of Pigs, those. They were used to carry out all sorts of off the books CIA and JSOC objectives. And all across Latin America, they did terrorism and drug trafficking at the behest of some of the shadiest actors in the American national security state. And so when you look at the idea that 10,000 of these, the zero units, you know, doing assassination missions for 10, 15 years that they've all been repatriated to the US and are dependent on their CIA handlers for their immigration status, for their Special Immigrant Visas. You kind of wonder, you know, to, to what extent they're a malleable group of people, use and directed for all kinds of nefarious ends. But I don't have any specific information about this, about this killer's motives. Lock on wall. Is his last name.
Saagar Enjeti
Yeah.
Krystal Ball
You have pointed out, put E4 up on the screen, that there was another one of these Afghan mercenaries who you said was brought to the US After Cobble fell, shot a cop in Virginia. You say, listen to the incredible rant he delivers before he snaps. And watch how smoothly he draws and racks his weapon. Obviously a professional killer at his wit's end. And I believe Seth Denier say something like, you know, I should have worked for the Taliban. Yeah, I should have served with the fucking Taliban. Before he draws his weapon on the cops.
Seth Harp
Yes, that video is very distressing and impressive. Hearing all the things that that Afghan man says. You know, he's another guy who apparently served in a zero unit or served with the Special Forces in the CIA. By the way, when we say these people served with the CIA, I should point out that that's, you know, these are substantially military operations. It's what this is what they call sheet dipping is where they say, okay, nominally the CIA is in charge of this mission. We're going to attach like 30 JSOC guys or 30 Green Berets to this raid or whatever. And that way that they're exempt from a lot of the rules that normally apply to military operation in certain things like lining people up against the wall and just shooting them, which is the sort of stuff that the zero units did. But in any event, this guy Jamal, Wally apparently also served in the same sort of capacity. And in the video, which is really incredible 8 minute long video, when he gets pulled over in Virginia, you can the sort of frustrations that he faces coming to the United States. And it's hard not to sympathize with the guy because, you know, imagine being an Afghan who only knows the world of death and drug dealing that that characterized occupied Afghanistan. To come over to the United States and try to try to make a life in a place like suburban Virginia and try to figure out things like getting a job and car insurance and like he's complaining that he can't get a job, that he can't get disability and that he can't get a driver's license because he doesn't have insurance, which is the reason why the cop pulled him over. You can just see that the guy is really, you know, completely at his wits end. More police are arriving on the scene and the tension is building and the guy is armed for some reason. He appears to be wearing his sidearm and ammunition like externally on a belt, which, you know, it's, that's legal in Texas. I don't know. Virginia. Yeah, but when he finally makes the decision he's going to escalate and turn this into a confrontation with the cop. I mean the way he draws his weapon and, and racks it so quickly and immediately is able to turn around and fire a couple of shots like underhanded across his body at the police officer sitting in his window so smoothly shows. You know, I just watching it, you can tell this, this is a guy who's been in fights probably, but you know, there was a cop at his other window who just really quickly put him down. But it's another really disturbing example of, you know, violence blowing back or emanating from these guys that were brought to.
Krystal Ball
The US with certain, I mean it's about the clearest example of imperial blowback you could possibly imagine.
Seth Harp
I think that's fair to say. Yeah.
Saagar Enjeti
And I think one of the things that's been crazy about this, Chris Seth, is that, you know, we, we're reading the news and it comes out CIA at age 15. Everyone's like, oh, it was CIA at age. And I'm like, hold up, say that again. Teenager working for a CIA death squad in Afghanistan. And we're just like all supposed to just accept that this is apparently normal. I mean, I didn't even know, you know, based upon your work and others later on. But at that time nobody was going around telling the American people that this is exactly what they're up to in Afghanistan combined. I think with your book, what we're watching is an organized kind of effort for all of us to deal with. Like you said in the, in your book about the blowback of what all these special operations, the mental toll on others that this 20 year campaign, failed campaign ultimately accomplished and what it brought to our soil. That's the way I was looking at this.
Seth Harp
Well, the idea that they would recruit 15 is perfectly consistent with the type of logic that us, that the US military and intelligence agencies bring to bear with these conflicts. Because they certainly won't hesitate to kill somebody who's 15. They treat that as a military age male. So there's no internal inconsistency there. But back Now, I think, reflects the brutality and ruthlessness with which the United States waged war in Afghanistan for 20 years.
Krystal Ball
Kristi Noem was asked about the killer's background. This is E1, guys. Let's go ahead and take a listen to that.
Seth Harp
Why did he do this? Why did he drive across the country and carry out this brazen attack in Washington?
Kristi Noem
Well, the investigation is still ongoing, and we're allowing our partnership with the FBI and DOJ to continue to reveal all of the sources of motivation. But we do believe this individual, when they came into the country, we know he was unvetted. He was brought into the country by the Biden administration through Operation Allies welcome, and then maybe vetted after that, but not done well based on what the guidelines were put forward by President Biden. And now since he's been here, we believe he could have been radicalized in his home community and in his home state. So as we continue to talk to his family and his contacts, more details will be revealed, and we'll release those when it's appropriate. But this is something that for these individuals, when they're brought into our country, it's a dangerous situation. If you don't know who they are, if they're coming from a country that's not stable and doesn't have a government that can help you vet them, that we shouldn't allow it.
Krystal Ball
And she indicates that he, quote, could have been radicalized in the United States, which, you know, I would say probably the radicalization came from being on the CIA destination squad at the age of 15. But they have an interest in making it sound like a scary Islam thing versus a scary deep state, CIA imperial blowback thing. And then obviously, her thing about he wasn't vetted, I mean, in the context of being part of the death squads and being brought here, et cetera, he was, quote, unquote, vetted. They knew who this guy was. They knew what he was up to. And also worth clarifying that he was actually granted asylum under the Trump administration. So they want to make it a partisan thing. They want to make it a scary Islam thing, because that serves their interest in using this for a more aggressive crackdown on immigration from all sorts of countries. Trump has been talking a lot about Somalians lately, too.
Seth Harp
Yeah, I don't know what they mean when they say vetted. Vetted for what? I mean, I guess for connections to the Taliban.
Saagar Enjeti
Right.
Seth Harp
But it can't be for, like, terrorism or crime. I mean, the. The people that the US Worked with were the. The drug traffickers and the Terrorists in Afghanistan.
Krystal Ball
Right.
Seth Harp
So I, I don't know what kind of connections they're looking for or looking to rule out. But yes, like you said, Crystal, in any event, you know, participating in death squad activities when you're still a teenager, that's sufficient to radicalize anybody. You don't have to look too much farther for an explanation. Even though, you know, the precise, perhaps mentally ill reasoning that led him, you know, to that street Corner in Washington, D.C. we may never know. But it's not really necessary to grasp at the idea that he might have been what radicalized him. Suburban Virginia? Yeah, I don't, I don't think so. I really doubt that radical Islam had anything to do with the shooter's motivation. I mean, that's why he was attacking National Guards. But he's. It looks like he's lashing out at the people who shaped his life with military operations and brought him to the United States and basically set him up to fail in community where, you know, a person from Afghanistan just has. Has little chance, especially if they're dealing with all the accumulated trauma of having participated in, in violence and having killed people and having seen innocent people killed and have probably having friends killed as well. So. Yeah, yeah. Christine um's statements can safely be dismissed in that regard.
Saagar Enjeti
All right, well, thank you so much for joining us, man. We appreciate you, Your book and everything, and the work you do is just so important. I remember the first time we had you on the show for that drug trafficking story. From the very beginning, I was like, man, this guy, it's one of those where you just bring together so much information, which I think a lot of us knew. But you put the facts, the words, and some of the work behind it. So thank you. Thank you so much.
Krystal Ball
And the balls, by the way. Yeah. Which we all do stand up, appreciate and respect. Seth, thank you so much. Great to see you.
Seth Harp
Thank you guys so much. I'm a big fan of the show. I watch every day.
Saagar Enjeti
Thanks, brother.
Krystal Ball
Appreciate that.
Knix/Advertisement Announcer
The wait is over. The NYX Black Friday sale is on now@Knix.com shop early and save up to 60% off site wide plus all kinds of limited time daily deals from the number one leak proof brand in North America. Don't miss your chance to save big on innovative intimates like leak proof underwear, wireless bras, shapewear and more. Everything is on sale. Millions have made the switch to nyx's revolutionary period underwear. And there's never been a better time for you to try them too. During the Black Friday sale. Save up to 60% on super comfy Machine, washable and stylish leak proof undies. Plus shop the best deals of the year on NYX's best selling assortment of wireless bras. Don't miss this chance to stock up on your NYX favorites or try something new during the NYX Black Friday event. That's knix.com the sale ends December 2nd and sizes will sell out. Go to nyx.com, that's kn I x.com.
Starbucks/Advertisement Announcer
It'S the season to come together over your holiday favorites at Starbucks. Warm up with a creamy caramel brulee latte, get festive with an iced gingerbread chai or share a velvety peppermint mocha together is the best place to be at Starbucks.
Ulta Beauty/Advertisement Announcer
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Krystal Ball
So we have some significant developments coming out of Israel. In particular, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is officially requesting a pardon. As you guys probably know, he has been mired in corruption allegations and a corruption trial for years that he has been pushing off again and again into the future by bombing various places and starting various wars. Let's put this up on the screen. This is from the aap. Netanyahu requests the pardon to end his ongoing corruption trial in Israel. I'll read you a little bit of this. On Sunday, he asked the country's president to grant him a pardon from corruption charges, seeking to end a long running trial that has bitterly divided the nation. Netanyahu has been at war against Israel's legal system over the charges, said the request would help unify the country at a time of momentous change in the region. But it immediately triggered denunciations from opponents who said a pardon would weaken democratic institutions and send a dangerous message that he is above the rule of law. Netanyahu had submitted a request for a pardon to the legal department of the Office of the President, the prime minister's office said in a statement. The president's office called it an extraordinary request, carrying with it significant implications. Netanyahu is the only sitting prime minister in Israeli history to stand trial after being charged with fraud, breach of trust and accepting bribes in three separate cases accusing him of exchanging favors with wealthy political supporters. He has not been convicted of anything. Netanyahu rejects the allegations has described the case as what a witch hunt orchestrated by the media, police and judiciary. And we can put next one up on the screen. So one of his rivals supports pardoning Netanyahu if it's conditioned on his leaving politics, which I do not think that Netanyahu would agree to. You know, for those who have followed this closely, prior to October 7, Netanyahu was extremely unpopular. The country was driven with mass protests demanding his ouster and people, you know, who were outraged over this corruption and also the changes that he tried to make to basically co opt the judiciary in order to undercut the corruption charges against him. And our own president, of course, has gotten involved here as well. I can put F3 up on the screen. So Trump called for Bibi to be pardoned when he gave that what was basically looked like a victory speech at the Knesset after the Gaza deal was struck. But he had also put out this truth social saying it's terrible what they're doing in Israel. To Bibi Netanyahu, he is a war hero and a prime minister who did a fabulous job working with the US to bring great success in getting rid of the dangerous nuclear threat in Iran. Importantly, he's right now in the process of negotiating a deal with Hamas. This was was back from a while ago, which will include getting the hostages back. How is it possible that the Prime Minister of Israel can be forced to sit in a courtroom all day long over nothing and then he says cigars, Bugs Bunny doll, et cetera. It is a political witch hunt, very similar to the witch hunt I was forced to endure. This travesty of justice will interfere with both Iran and Hamas negotiations. In other words, it is insanity doing what the out of control prosecutors are doing to Bibi Netanyahu. The US Ave spends billions of dollars a year, far more than any other nation, protecting and supporting Israel. Well, that part at least is true. We're not going to stand for this. We just had a great victory with BB Netanyahu at the helm and this greatly tarnishes our victory. Let Bibi go. He's got a big job to do. So, you know, pretty extraordinary, I guess, for one of the things they're saying is typically you like, go through the trial and find out whether or not the person is found guilty before you grant the pardon. So that is one part of this that would be extraordinary. But Netanyahu has pushed this thing off. Pushed this thing off, pushed this thing off. Pushed a reckoning over the security failures too of October 7, off and off and off into the Future and really has consolidated a lot of political power, control and popularity within Israel over his conduct of this genocide.
Saagar Enjeti
Yes. But I think that the irony of it is that he still has to admit guilt if he wants his pardon within the Israeli legal system. And so, I don't know. I mean, it's one of those where the mere pardon. One of the things that is fascinating about Trump is that the United States, when it intervenes in other countries, usually does so under much more of the veneer of respectability. But as we talked about earlier with Honduras, he's straight up like, I want this government to win, and so I'm gonna pardon this guy. And you guys should vote for Orion with Milei. He's like, your aid is contingent on who you elect. I mean, it's as open and shut, but as, like, there's no Maidan conspiracy.
Krystal Ball
Or anything that you're. Yeah, it's just brazen in the open.
Saagar Enjeti
Right? It's just out in the open. And so I guess what this admits, though, is that, yeah, Israel is a client. Like, one of the things that Bibi often does is he'll be like, well, we're an independent nation. Right. But that's not what this is about. Trump, straight up, was like, you guys need to pardon him. His contingent relationship is on this leader and making sure that he can continue to serve, also to omnish bullshit. Did we hear about how throughout the war is. We'll talk about October 7th, after the war. Now, obviously, the war is still continuing. Cause there's ceasefire violations happening from the Israelis all the time. But in Israel, what happened to that? Does anybody want to. You know, it's obvious that his entire strategy, it worked two years, led Israel through the war. Okay. And now he's gonna get his pardon. I don't know if he'll win reelection or not, but they're currently feuding with Ehud Barak over whether Epstein was a Mossad asset and intervening in their election.
Krystal Ball
Over who was working on behalf, over.
Saagar Enjeti
Which Israeli government he was working on behalf. Okay. Yeah.
Seth Harp
It's just.
Saagar Enjeti
It's so crazy, you know, this entire thing. So the pardon. I mean, again, the funny part about it all, for the whole Qatar thing, is it all involves Qatar. Like, in terms. Not just in his own case, but I'm saying the corruption within the Likud Party, so much of it revolves around Qatari money and bribery. And yet, of course, that's skated over by the Zionist people here in the US So, I don't know. You learn a lot from it.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, it's crazy.
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Krystal Ball
At the same time. We also wanted to highlight this horrifying video that is forcing at least some sort of a response from Israel. You know, I mean it's seldom that their war crimes actually rise to the level of them even pretending they're this this one rose to the level of we're going to pretend to do an investigation. That's what this one rose to. This video is very disturbing. Before I play it, just a warning. This is deeply disturbing. I'll put this up on the screen. This was in the West Bank. You can see these two suspects who are exiting what appears to be a warehouse and they lift up their shirts to show that they are unarmed and they don't have any explosives. Then they are instructed to go back into the warehouse and they are executed. And then the, you know, this heavy machinery sort of drops this Door on top of them. But, you know, you have two individuals, hands up, unarmed, and whoever they were, Palestinian Islamic Jihad is claiming them as their own, whoever they were. You are not supposed to execute people who are surrendering and who are unarmed. And yet that's exactly, exactly what happened in this video. And again, this happened in the West Bank. But, you know, so there are some recrimination, some like, oh, we'll look into it, we'll investigate what happened here. But not everyone is even going along with that. You've got Ben gvir, who took it upon himself. We can put this next piece up on the screen to promote the officer in particular who sort of took charge of the scene and had his soldiers shoot dead these surrendered Palestinians. So the, you know, the, the people who committed these brazen crimes on camera, not only are they not being punished, but Ben GVIR has promoted this officer and job well done. Great work on this. This is exactly what you should be doing. So I want people to understand, like, every time some Zionist or liberal Zionist whoever tries to tell you, like, oh, he's a Ben gvir, he's a fringe character, he doesn't represent all of Israel, blah, blah, blah, this guy has real power in that. He is a part of this administration. He has real and significant power and he is able to take actions such as this. There was another video. I decided not to keep it in the show because it included like young children in it of Smo Church, who is another complete and total psycho going into what appears to be a classroom and these young girls going crazy. Like he's, you know, like he's the beatles in the 60s, like, going wild for him. You know, this society has just, it's just captured by this. Not everyone, but captured by this genocidal media. You can see it in the polls. You can see it in the response to actions like this. You can see it in the way that they like, lionize and revere Smocherson. This is something we talked about towards the beginning saga when everyone's like, why are these IDF soldiers filming their atrocities? It's because they were celebrated and treated like heroes oftentimes for recording the cruelty the barbers and the war crimes that they were committing against Palestinians. So there was a domestic reward for them from those videos.
Saagar Enjeti
Yeah. And it shows up in policy. And I think that's one of the parts where, you know, in the US everyone just whitewashed, like that video. If it. Yeah, you'll see it here. You're not going to see it. Most places in the mainstream media or others, even with the west bank in the way that we approach, like our ambassador. It's just amazing to me, the shit they get away. I'm still not over Jonathan Pollard, are you? No, I'm still so.
Seth Harp
I.
Saagar Enjeti
Well, I'm so angry about it.
Krystal Ball
The hypocrisy they tell us, oh, these, they share our Western values. That's what I'm saying. They're a light of a beacon of democracy and that's why we should support them endlessly. And then you see a video like this and you're like, well, tell me about that. And the officer involved gets a promotion. How is this anything approximating the values that we're supposed to stand for?
Saagar Enjeti
Yeah, I. Exactly. Same with the West Bank. And that's why, here's the reason is because if you take this in, then when they start talking about Qatar or Saudi, they're like, oh, Saudis, they chop people's heads off. I'm like, yeah, it's pretty bad. It's kind of like shooting people who are unarmed or murdering innocent women and children. That's all bad, right? But the point is, is that then we start to view everybody on the same terms. That's a nightmare for them. They need their special exception and they just have to maintain this, this insane image. You know, here in the US a lot of this, like, again, everything they accuse, a lot of the things that they accuse others and specifically Islamic nations, they do the same shit like in their own society. And so, yeah, you guys, you're just the same. If anything, I think it's a nightmare actually for, for their relations with the U.S. and you know, look, us neutral observers and others, you can see that, like you actually can. And this is genuinely dispassionate. It just to look at it and be like, okay, this is apparently how this nation, its people want to conduct themselves. All right, fine. But you know, you're not. That doesn't mean you get a blank check from me or the, you know, full force of my empire to backstop your insane dreams of Greater Israel. But that's what they need to maintain and that's why they keep up their efforts here in the West.
Krystal Ball
I did want to share one piece of significant good news, which is that a Palestinian American teenager, 16 year old, who was being held in Israeli detention for nine months, who was in the west bank visiting from Florida, visiting some relatives. The Israelis claimed that he had thrown rocks, which he had denied, and they held him in this prison system as known for torture and abuse. Again, an American citizen. And he was finally, finally released. And I want to shout out Jasper Nathaniel, and I want to shout out his mom, who have been relentless in calling attention to this case and demanding that American politicians act on his behalf to get him released from this unjust imprisonment. And I also wanna shout out Chris Van Hollen, senator of Maryland. I mean, this isn't even. This guy's from Florida. This isn't even one of his constituents. But he was apparently very aggressive pushing for Mohamed Ibrahim's release here. He was 15, by the way, when they originally detained him. He was taken to a hospital afterwards. He was pale, underweight, suffering from various conditions that he contracted in captivity. But he's back with his family. And so that's at least one small piece of good news, that this particular American hostage, which was being held by the Israelis, a child, has been freed and returned to his family where he belongs.
Saagar Enjeti
Yep, that's. At the very least, it's good. But, yeah, I mean, it's not like there's any outrage or campaign, barely any coverage even of something like this.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, it's sick.
Saagar Enjeti
I don't know what's going on with this relationship. But anyways, thank you guys so much for watching. We appreciate it. We're gonna get to our AMA now, and so we'll see you all tomorrow. Ah, greetings from my bath festive friends. The holidays are overwhelming, but I'm tackling this season with PayPal and making the most of my money. Getting 5% cash back when I pay in 4. No fees, no interest. I used it to get this portable spa with CH jets. Now the bubbles can cling to my sculpted but pruny body. Make the most of your money this holiday with PayPal. Save the offer in the app ends 1231.
Seth Harp
See paypal.com promoter points can be redeemed for cash and more paying for subject to terms and approval. PayPal Inc. And MLS 910457.
Krystal Ball
You know what a girl's best friend is not diamonds.
Seth Harp
Her lawyers.
Saagar Enjeti
From executive producer Ryan Murphy comes a fiery new legal drama.
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Saagar Enjeti
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Krystal Ball
Make it rigged.
Seth Harp
Showtime.
Krystal Ball
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Saagar Enjeti
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Krystal Ball
Room like a storm no one saw coming.
Saagar Enjeti
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Date: December 1, 2025
Episode Title: OpenAI Financial Disaster, CIA Linked Afghan DC Shooter, Bibi Begs For Pardon
Hosts: Krystal Ball and Saagar Enjeti
Guest: Seth Harp (Investigative Journalist & Author)
In this episode, Krystal and Saagar dive into three major stories:
[01:42-15:22]
Data Centers and Power Politics:
Electoral Impact:
OpenAI’s Financial "Disaster":
AI Image Generation – Promise vs. Reality:
Guest: Seth Harp, Investigative Journalist
[17:11–31:19]
Background on Shooter:
Blowback and Mental Toll:
Speculation and Mischaracterization:
[33:18–47:53]
Netanyahu’s Pardon Request:
Recent Israeli War Crimes & Societal Normalization:
U.S.-Israel Double Standards:
Small Victory: Release of Palestinian-American Teen:
| Segment | Timestamps | |--------------------------------------------|------------------| | AI/Data Centers & Political Fallout | 01:42–15:22 | | Afghan DC Shooter w/ Seth Harp | 17:11–31:19 | | Netanyahu Pardon & Israeli War Crimes | 33:18–47:53 |
The episode maintains Breaking Points’ signature skeptical, anti-establishment tone—informal but incisive, critical of both corporate and government power, and sharply attentive to issues of imperialism, populism, and double standards. The language is direct and sometimes blunt, keeping the discussion relatable and the stakes clear.
For listeners:
This episode is a deep dive into the unintended consequences of America’s AI bubble, imperial adventures, and uncritical foreign alliances—illustrated by elections shaken by power prices, ex-proxy fighters bringing trauma home, and a U.S. client state seeking exemptions from both accountability and morality.