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Krystal Ball
NBC Nightly News legacy isn't handed down or NBC News.
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Krystal Ball
I'm Lester Holt. It's carried forward.
Ryan Seacrest
Tom Yamatz is there for us. Firefighters are still working around the clock.
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Hey guys, Sagar and Krystal here.
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Independent media just played a truly massive role in this election and we are so excited about what that means for the future of this show.
Krystal Ball
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Krystal Ball
We need your help to build the future of independent news media and we hope to see you@breaking points.com.
Ryan Seacrest
Let'S go ahead and talk about Jon Stewart and Stephen A. Here because this is a little more fun than nuclear war, death and nuclear war and pending fascism.
Krystal Ball
Is it more fun than waymos fleeing?
Ryan Seacrest
It's on Par. I'd say it's like roughly, roughly equivalent. So in any case, Stephen A. Goes on with John Steerer. I watched the whole interview. You know, they were, they were broing out. They were like bonding over their Knicks. Tragic result, which, you know, I have some of that going on in my household as well. In any case, the part of the conversation people are really interested in though is Stephen A. Is this like very centristy figure. He also just like, he's not a. I know he's like floated this idea of running for president, but his political takes are pretty surface level. He's not like deep in the weeds with this kind of stuff, you know. And Jon Stewart obviously is like deeply in the weeds with this kind of stuff. So they get into a bit of a battle over what is the reason why the Democratic Party with Kamala Harris lost to Trump in this last, last election cycle. Let's go ahead and listen to how that went down. The left definitely blew it. I thought that they, I thought that.
Tom Yamas
The progressive left, the extreme left, really, really ruined the election for the Democrats. And that's, that's how I view it.
Ryan Seacrest
It's the truth.
Tom Yamas
And I think that, I think that.
Ryan Seacrest
Because that happened, it positioned him to.
Tom Yamas
Get away with a lot of things. Then you're putting forth some of these policies, whether it's transgender issues or other stuff that they would bring up. You had a lot of people that.
Ryan Seacrest
Saying that's not where our focus should lie. We're not trying to think that's their focus.
Tom Yamas
The right, I feel like the right.
Ryan Seacrest
Is far more focused on where you go to the bathroom. They allowed a, what people would consider to be a centrist, old guard Democrat to run again for president. And then you say the progressive left wing is the one that didn't, they didn't choose Joe Biden. They don't have the power in that party. Chuck Schumer is out there, you know, writing eight strongly worded questions to Donald.
Tom Yamas
Trump about getting the progressives are the.
Ryan Seacrest
One going people in this country want Medicare for all do something. They're the ones that have a principled agenda that they are going to put forth that all the Democrats have run from under the guise of we have to be moderate and we have to be centrist. But that doesn't appeal to changing the culture and dynamic of how this government.
Tom Yamas
Should work by the people, for the people of the people. That's a great argument and I don't disagree. What I'm saying to you is that we're done here.
Ryan Seacrest
So John Stewart then goes on, Emily, to make a case that I think you'll be maybe more sympathetic to than that one. I mean, that one I totally agree with. Right. As like, utterly obsessed with gender identity and genitals at this point. But we'll. We can pause that debate for the moment.
Krystal Ball
We did a whole sequence with Kyle and friends on that. People can look it up.
Ryan Seacrest
I fought with Piers Morgan on this. You can.
Krystal Ball
Oh, much better than me.
Ryan Seacrest
But in any case, he goes on to make this case of, like, don't you think the real problem is that Democrats didn't actually, like, deliver or promise to deliver anything real? And so when you've got Bernie Sanders and AOC on they're doing this, like, stop Oligarchy tour, and they're saying, like, we're gonna help you with your wages, we're gonna get you health care. Isn't that really. The problem is that Democrats had no credibility on actually addressing people's heat and put it this way, but addressing people's material concerns. And so Stephen A. Couldn't really. Couldn't really respond to that. He just. That's a good point. And then went on to say, you know, some other stuff. But, you know, I thought John did an effective job of positioning this because to just frame it in terms of left. Right. I think is deeply confusing. And this gets to this other piece of news that just came out, like, Josh Hawley is now introducing $15 minimum wage bill in the Senate. I don't know if it'll make it to the floor. I'm sure there's like, literally no other Senate Republicans who would vote for it. But really getting to the left of some of the Democrats on an issue that should be a core Democratic issue. And no one would look at that and be like, oh, this is gonna cause, like, Josh Hawley to lose or this is gonna be bad for Republicans. No, there is a broad recognition that any of the sort of more populous pieces that whether it's Josh Hawley or Trump has pushed with the no tax on tips or whatever, that these are good ideas that are also really popular. And so Jon Stewart's point is basically like, Democrats should do more of that, and that would be an effective way of winning people over if they actually feel like you have credibility delivering on something real to them. Yeah.
Krystal Ball
And I mean, I think this is one of the biggest problems, but also opportunities for the left, opportunities in the sense that Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio Cortez on the Fighting Oligarchy tour have leaned into. I. I think the opportunities presented by that challenge. So it's actually a challenge that I think forces Democrats to confront those questions. On the other hand, I think part of the problem here is that politically, the left wing of the Democratic Party has the most attractive, appealing, palatable economic agenda. A lot of my conservative friends blanche at that be like, what the hell are you talking about? But it's actually much easier to sell voters on Medicare for all than it is to sell voters on the status quo or some tweak to the status.
Ryan Seacrest
Quo, like, we're going to negotiate drug prices or Medicare on, like, five drugs. Isn't that amazing? Aren't you. Don't you feel like your life is transformed by that? I mean, it's like, okay, well, that's better, I guess, but.
Krystal Ball
Right. But the problem is when the left wing's economic solutions are the most palatable and appealing, then you also have the people who have signed the ACLU pledges, like Kamala Harris did, that allowed the Republicans to run that ad on supporting taxpayer funded. I think it was transition surgeries for incarcerated migrants, the most specific thing possible. But I think that's where you see Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio, Cortez and Hawley is trying to do this from the right, by the way, because it's also a challenge opportunity for the right, where you have the most MAGA people having economics that are easier to sell, more palatable to sell to general election population, statewide populations and all of that. But they're also the ones that are now super, super tied down to the MAGA brand. If you look at Holly, for example, a lot of people remember Holly because of the image of him with the raised fist outside of the Capitol in the morning of January 6th. So it's not as though any side has the upper hand politically on the question. It's actually something that they're both confronting in their own ways, which is quite interesting.
Ryan Seacrest
I think there's a lot to that. Because what always irritates me is, first of all, number one, it is 100% Republicans who bring up transgender issues more regularly than Democrats because they feel like it's a good issue for them.
Krystal Ball
I laptop you.
Ryan Seacrest
There is a. Go ahead and try me, Emily. So there's. There's an obsession. There is an obsession there. I mean, there's no doubt about it. But what drives me crazy is I'm like, okay, so let's accept that, like, Democratic positioning on this specific issue, not even transgender issues in general, the specific issue of transgender girls in sports. Let's accept that Democratic positioning on that is not in sync with public opinion. Look at how many wildly unpopular things that Trump says, does and embraces. Pardoning the violent January Sixers, some of whom beat up cops. Polls at about like 10%. Okay, wildly unpopular. A bunch of the things that were done at Doge. Wildly unpopular, insane across the board, haphazard tariffs, wildly unpopular. So then you ask the question, okay, so if, if both sides have, and I would say that Trump has specifically more issues that poll way worse then the overall broad like Democratic program or what Kamala Harris specifically ran on, where you know, she intentionally in her campaign didn't talk about a lot of the things that were less popular for her. If Trump has, let's just call it even and they both have unpopular issues that you know, that they support and that they have said things about in the past. Why does it matter for one and not the other? And to me the reason is, number one, Trump is just a talented figure. Number two, he has a story that I think is wrong and bad and evil and all of those things, but makes some sense. The reason your life is bad is because of immigrants, trans people, cultural elites. So if people sort of broadly get on board with that narrative, they're willing to forgive and forget some of the bullshit that is like wildly indefensible. Democrats first of all don't seem like they stand for literally anything at all. Which is why this whole like poll testing, let me put my finger in the wind, let me try to reposition on trans issues, let me like test some response on girls in sports that's gonna not piss off this person, but is gonna appeal to a moderate, et cetera, et cetera. Like people can smell that a mile away. So if you don't have a coherent story to tell and there aren't things that you are demonstrably willing to fight for, then yeah, they're going to have a lot more room to tar you with your least popular positions and frame them in the way that they want to frame them. So to me that's the, you know, the big difference between why the rights, why Trump specifically unpopular issues don't seem to matter as much as Democrats is. Cuz Democrats frequently don't have a spine, don't stand out for themselves, don't have principles they're willing to stand on, aren't willing to fight for anything and don't have a coherent story about what has gone wrong or honesty really about the struggles that people are facing. Bernie Sanders is the most popular politician in the country right now. Most popular politician in the country. Does he have a different position on trans issues? No, no, he doesn't. The reason is because he has credibility on fighting for things that people care about. And he has a story that makes sense to people about who is screwing them over, why things have gone sideways in this country and how critically it could be put back on track.
Krystal Ball
Right. People believe him. Speaking of the opportunities created by all of this, let's put D3 on the screen and talk about Zomentum, Zoran Muhamdani. Actually, he's now trailing, according to this new poll, Andrew Cuomo in a one to one race. So keep that in mind. He's now trailing Cuomo by only two points. My suspicion is that that's at least pretty close to the margin of error. I'll have to go look at the poll here. But that was also conducted the Alexandria Ocasio Cortez endorsement of Zoran Mamdani. And we can put D4 on the screen as well.
Ryan Seacrest
And before the debate, which went well for Zoran.
Krystal Ball
Yes, yes. And went very poorly for Cuomo. So big thing for Zoran here across the board. The places where he's lower net favorabilities are just the places where fewer voters know about him to have an opinion. No demo has particularly high unfavorables for him overall. And then another post, A tale of two candidates. Zoran plus 43 net favorability 28% haven't heard enough. Cuomo minus 1 net favorability 3% haven't heard enough.
Ryan Seacrest
So Crystal room to grow for Zoron.
Krystal Ball
Also, you heard it here first. Truly, you heard it here first. Zonetum is absolutely real. Zomentum is absolutely real.
Ryan Seacrest
Yeah, no, there's no doubt about it. I mean, listen, I want to be fair and say there are other polls out. Salem's. Salem's rejoined the chat. There are other polls out that show a larger gap in favor of Cuomo. This particular polling outfit though, was extremely accurate in the Eric Adams mayor race.
Krystal Ball
It's not a crazy poll, right?
Ryan Seacrest
No, they do have a track record. I don't think anyone denies that. Zoron has significant momentum right now. And this poll coming before the debate, before AOC endorses is significant because interestingly, in terms of the gender divide, Zorin is actually doing better with men. So Democrats, if you're looking for a candidate who can appeal to men and specifically actually white men, there's something to learn from Zoran's candidacy because he's doing really well with young white men, are probably his. I'm quite confident are his best demographic. So he's got some answers for you in this whole man conversation. But, you know, the point about the groups where he's faring the poorest are also the ones that know the least about him, I think is a really important one and may help to explain some of why women are voting more for Cuomo than Zoran at this point with otherwise disturbing and really a little bit head scratching. But women also knew less about Zoran at this point, so there may be room to grow there. You know, he still has some of the demographic challenges that have plagued the left. I think, you know, older black voters are the weakest demographic for him. Makes sense because you have a larger number of conservatives who, you know, older black voters tend to as a group be more conservative than some of the other parts of the Democratic base. He's doing pretty well with Latinos, though, so he's, he's gained a lot of ground there. And, you know, we'll see. They're hitting him quite hard. They're really trying to, to go after him in all sorts of ways. And it's a, it's going to be continue to be a difficult hill to clim. But I think if you're looking at who has room to grow, obviously he is way more favorable highway, way higher favorability than Cuomo. I think he's, you know, he's really got a shot in this thing, which is pretty wild and pretty extraordinary commentary on the way that the Democratic base has moved in Trump 2.0 as well.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, that favor favorability gap is insane. And it'll be really sad if New Yorkers are stuck with Andrew Cuomo, because I don't think anybody wants that. Even people who are saying they're maybe favorable to Andrew Cuomo are probably favorable to him in the respect that they don't like the other candidates. And they're like, okay, he's fine. I know him. But really, nobody wants Andrew Cuomo to be the mayor of New York City. I mean, maybe like five people want Andrew Cuomo to be the mayor of New York City. They're all named Cuomo. So if voters are stuck, maybe they're uncomfortable with Zuron's full Democratic socialist platform. And honestly, that's fully understandable, especially after the city was mismanaged under Bill de Blasio. I get it. I get it. So if you're forced to choose between Andrew Cuomo and somebody who's by his own admission, on the left flank, that just sucks for voters. So if it ends up Cuomo, I mean, Good luck everyone. That's just, I'm sorry that those are your choices.
Ryan Seacrest
Let me say something about the way Zorin's run his campaign though too, because to the, you know, circles back to the, like downstairs, Stephen A. Smith and positioning. So Zoran has, you know, all the lefty positions. No doubt about it. His tagline is Zoran for New York you can afford. And every time we played his clips, you guys talk to him. Like every time you talk to him, you know what his policy platform is? Freeze the rent, you know, government owned grocery stores to compete so that you can, you know, in food, desert, so that you have some fresh fruit food options. He is laser focused on housing in particular, free busing, you know, so that people can ride, public transit and additional investments in public transit. People know what his platform is. They know what he stands for. It's really clear. He has a very clear message, very clear story about what has gone wrong in New York, the way it's become an intentionally a luxury good under mayors like Bloomberg and Giuliani and Eric Adams. And he wants to make it so that you can live in New York and it doesn't have to be such a struggle. Now will one person be able to accomplish that in one term? No. But he's put forward some achievable, I think, concrete goals that people can really wrap their heads around and that's why his campaign has taken off. And it's not just against Cuomo. Like there are a bunch of longtime, established New York City Pauls in this race who are getting no traction. He has sucked up all of the oxygen, all of the like, not Cuomo oxygen. And it's a real testament to the strength of his very straightforward proposition and his direct pitch to people's materials concerns and his story about, you know, how, how we got here and what went wrong as well. Yeah. And you know, the white, the white bros, the young men, Emily, they're eating it up. Can't get it up. Lessons to be learned here.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, it's how AOC won. It's not like esoteric DSA navel gazing. It's, yeah. A huge lesson, I think, for national Democrats. So Krystal, should we move on to updates in the case of Greta Thunberg?
Ryan Seacrest
Yeah, let's do that.
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Krystal Ball
NBC NIGHTLY News Legacy isn't handed down or NBC News.
Tom Yamas
I'm Tom Brokaw. You hope to see.
Krystal Ball
I'm Lester Holt. It's carried forward.
Tom Yamas
Tom Yamas is there for us.
Ryan Seacrest
Firefighters are still working around the clock.
Tom Yamas
As the world changes, we look for what endures.
Ryan Seacrest
We are coming on the air with.
Krystal Ball
Breaking news Right now we look for.
Tom Yamas
A constant and from one era to the next, Trust is the anchor For NBC Nightly News. I'm Tom Yamas. A new chapter begins NBC Nightly News with Tom Yamas. Evenings on NBC.
Ryan Seacrest
We'Ve been covering the Gaza Aid Freedom flotilla which was intercepted in international waters illegally by Israel. The members of that vessel were, including Greta Thunberg were arrested in President Trump's words and minus, well, kidnapped by Israel, taken to an Israeli prison. And then they, in order to effectuate their release, were made to sign these forms that would consent to their deportation but also would confess to basically illegally entering Israel, which is not what happened whatsoever. So some of the activists have refused to sign those forms. Greta did sign the form and has been released. She was flown back to Sweden. Reporters spoke to her there about the ordeal and why she did what she did. Let's go ahead and take a listen to a little bit of what she.
Krystal Ball
Had to say is speaking to reporters. Let's take a listen to what she has to say. Yeah. On international waters, we were illegally attacked and kidnapped by Israel and taken against our will to Israel where we were detained. And then some of us deported, some are still there. There are very big uncertainties because it was quite chaotic and uncertain. So I don't really know what's going on. I haven't had a phone for many days and I what were the conditions.
Tom Yamas
For you over the last few hours.
Krystal Ball
They were absolutely nothing compared to what, what people are going through in Palestine, especially Gaza right now. And it is, this is yet another international, a violation of international rights. Adding to the list of countless of such, especially towards Palestinians, that Israel are committing by blocking and preventing humanitarian aid from entering Gaza. That is illegal.
Ryan Seacrest
How did the Israelis treat you? We saw them give me sandwiches on their social media.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, they probably have posted lots of PR stunt videos. As I said, I have not seen anything. But they did an illegal act by kidnapping us on international waters and against our will, bringing us to Israel, keeping us in the bottom of the boat, not letting us getting out and so on. But that is not the real story here. The real story is that there is a genocide going on in Gaza and a systematic starvation following the siege and blockade now, which is leading to food, medicine, water that are desperately needed to get into Gaza is prevented from doing so. But of course there are many attempts like the, like this mission both by sea and land to break that siege and open up a humanitarian corridor.
Ryan Seacrest
And this was a mission of attempting.
Krystal Ball
To once again bring aid to Gaza, which is desperately needed, but also to.
Ryan Seacrest
Send solidarity and say that we see.
Krystal Ball
You, we see what is happening and we cannot accept just witnessing all this and doing nothing.
Ryan Seacrest
That can never be an option. She also spoke more about how these horrors in Gaza have been allowed to persist. Let's go ahead and take a listen to her reaction there.
Krystal Ball
Why do you think so many countries, governments around the world are just ignoring what is happening in Gaza? Because of racism? That's the simple answer. I would say. Racism and basically desperately trying to defend a destructive, deadly system that systematically puts short term economic profit and to maximize geopolitical power over the well being of humans and the planet. And right now it's very, very difficult to morally defend that it is impossible. But still they are desperately trying, which is absurd, it's not the word, but.
Ryan Seacrest
There are no words to describe it. And Emily, I'm curious for your reaction to this. You know, there's a lot I think that she said there that is interesting. But in particular I want to highlight that she mentions this isn't part of just one effort. And in fact the organization that she's involved with, we spoke with the, the spokesperson for the Freedom Flotilla group, they plan to attempt this many more times and there are two separate additional efforts that they're in coordination with to also try to break the siege. So it's been a lot of discussion about Greta, in particular, what do you make of, of what's gone down here?
Krystal Ball
Yeah, I mean, I don't have a, like, super. I think it kind of went exactly as I expected that it would. And, you know, it's better actually than it could have gone. It's a little interesting.
Ryan Seacrest
Bar was low. They didn't murder her.
Krystal Ball
Bar was really low. Bar was really low. And it's interesting that people still over there. I also think, hey, this is an example of people putting their money where their mouth is and actually doing the thing, walking the walk. So even if I disagree with her, I'm not mad about it, to be honest.
Ryan Seacrest
It was genuinely courageous. I mean, that's, to me. And the other thing is, look, she is a high profile person. People paid much more attention to this effort because she was on board. I think Israel's reaction, which I don't want to underplay, I mean, was illegal. Like, they acted as pirates, kidnapping, even, like I said before, Trump called it, said they kidnapped her. Right. But they didn't kill her, which they've done before with humanitarian activists previously, back in 2010. And in fact, the spokesperson we talked to was on board that ship that they attacked and killed 10 people who were on board. So they didn't do that. And, you know, I think that level of quote, unquote restraint also is partly attributable to the fact they realize, like, shit, we can't kill Greta Thunberg. Like, this is going to. There's going to be a lot of international attention to that. So I think she very effectively used the large platform that she has undertook, an action that was genuinely courageous that entailed genuine personal discomfort and extreme risk in order to try to do something. And so, you know, if you have. I saw Omar Badr, friend of the show, tweeting, like, if you had a thousand people who did the same thing and also sent ships trying to break the siege, it would become, you know, intercepting all of those people and trying to hold on to this blockade, preventing starving people from getting food like that would become unsustainable with even, you know, a comparatively small level of organization that Greta has, you know, made much more likely and much more possible here. So I, I think what she did was extraordinary. I think. I don't know. I. I don't really understand why the right really fixates on her and really hates her in the way that they do. But I think she's also proved a lot of the haters wrong who felt like she had this sort of, like, corporate friendly level of, you know, approved activism. This was certainly not in that vein, both because of the danger of the action and also because there is nothing corporate approved about standing up for Palestinian rights.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, I mean, I think she had like a youthful naivete that was easy to make fun of on the climate issue. I genuinely feel badly for anybody who gets famous as a child, whether it was their choice, their parents choice or nobody's choice. So I feel like she's growing up in front of cameras and Panopticon and that just sucks. But much more. This is a, this is a version of Greta Thunberg that is definitely grown up compared to. Then there's, there's no question about it. Big W for Greta on this one, not for Bibi.
Ryan Seacrest
Yeah, I would say so. Let's go and put this image up on the screen. This is the latest video of the quote, unquote aid. And the way that this operation looks. I know drop site is reporting that you had another massacre in the context of Hungary Palestinians attempting to obtain aid from this Gaza humanitarian foundation. You know, hundreds of people now who have been killed because of this setup of this aid effectively trap at this point. And at the same time we also have the ambassador to Israel, Mike Huckabee, who is Cat. Oh my God.
Krystal Ball
The ambassador to Breaking Points, Salem Salem.
Ryan Seacrest
Yes, Mike Huckabee. Significantly changing U.S. policy and just, I mean, making it plain. No, we don't support the previous contours of any idea of a two state solution. Let's go ahead and take a listen to that. I think the question is what does.
Tom Yamas
That Palestinian state look like? Where is it? Where is it going to be? Well, does it have to be in Judea and Samaria? Does it need to be somewhere different? Does it need to be an opportunity for people to have a true place that is completely their own? Or is it going to be in the existing areas that are currently under the dominion of the pa?
Ryan Seacrest
So there's a lot of questions.
Tom Yamas
That's why I'm saying I don't believe anybody can say it's impossible, it'll never happen. But if someone wants to declare that this is the exact strip of geography that is going to be the future Palestinian state, that's where the complication comes from.
Krystal Ball
Well, maybe the word is exact.
Tom Yamas
That's the problem. Are you suggesting that somewhere other than mandatory Palestine area that it could be.
Ryan Seacrest
In Saudi Arabia or something? Or are you suggesting.
Tom Yamas
I'm just saying that I think every option should be and could be on the table.
Krystal Ball
Wow.
Ryan Seacrest
What did you. Yeah. What did you make of that, Emily? So he's Palestine, but not in Palestine.
Krystal Ball
Well, yeah, but he's also, like, being clever and winking and nodding and saying basically Palestine is impossible because none of that land belongs to Palestine. From his perspective.
Ryan Seacrest
And Judea and Samaria.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, it reminds me of when the Biden administration, Joe Biden, is Mr. Two State Solution, is funding a war for Netanyahu, who is explicitly against the idea of a two state solution. Here you have Mike Huckabee actually saying something very different than the president himself. And Trump is hard to pin down on this issue, obviously. Like, is his maragaza idea technically under the umbrella of a Palestinian state, as pro Palestine activists would define it? No, absolutely not. But he also would not be comfortable with just saying, hey, screw it, give it all to Israel because he has all of these relationships with other Arab states that he thinks are important and contingent upon finding a fair solution or a solution that they see as fair for the people of Palestine. So Mike Huckabee in that clip, it's not at all surprising. He's saying exactly what people from the dispensationalist evangelical movement believe about that land. And it happens to be what a lot of Israelis believe about that land. But it's not what the quote, unquote, America first movement believes about that. Believes about the solution.
Ryan Seacrest
Yeah, well, I mean, it is quite consistent with Trump's, like, we're going to ethnically cleanse Gaza and push them somewhere else. Like, it certainly fits with, with that. And we know there have been discussions that have been ongoing with a variety of different countries to try to push them to accept these Palestinian refugees that, that Trump wants to create. And so, you know, I think it's, I think it's part and parcel with that. You know, the easy thing to say here is like, okay, well, if you've made it impossible to have a two state solution with the ongoing settlement, illegal settlement project, which all Israeli prime ministers have engaged in, by the way, but have really ramped up in recent years under Netanyahu and specifically post October 7th. If you've made that impossible, okay, then how about everybody gets equal rights? How about that? How about you just live up to your rhetoric about how, you know, you don't discriminate in your democracy and making it an actual democracy where everybody's actually treated equally. Because if a two state solution is not gonna be possible and you're putting that off the table and you're doing everything you can, which is a stated goal of Netanyahu to make it so that's impossible, well, that's the other solution that's available to you, but in a.
Krystal Ball
Sense, I don't think he's being honest about it. In a sense, it's the sadly realistic situation on the ground. Is that that area in, I mean he's in Jerusalem right there. But the Temple Mount, I mean the Al Aqsa, like nobody wants that to be given to the other side, least of all people who are of the like dispensationalist ideology as people like Mike Huckabee are. So. Yeah. I mean, is it impossible? Sure. Should it be impossible? No. And I think that's where the just depressing reality sets in.
Ryan Seacrest
Yeah. Indeed. We've got a great guest standing by to talk about some extraordinary developments with regard to AI. So let's go ahead and get to that.
Tom Yamas
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In five minutes or less. Paid for by Public Investing Inc. Member FINRA and SIPC. Full disclosures@public.com disclosures hey, this is Jenny Garth from I Do Part 2 Ozempic in a Pill.
Ryan Seacrest
It's oral Semaglutide and is now available from Future health. Go to futurehealth.com to get affordable access to oral Semaglutide, Ozempic and zepbound for only $3 a day. No insurance needed. Visit futurehealth.com future without the e to start losing this week. Future Health weight loss data based on.
Tom Yamas
Independent studies sponsored by Future Health.
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Future Health is not a healthcare services provider. Meds are prescribed at providers discretion.
Krystal Ball
NBC Nightly News Legacy isn't handed down or NBC News.
Tom Yamas
I'm Tom Brokaw. We hope to see you back here.
Krystal Ball
I'm Lester Holt.
Tom Yamas
It's carried forward.
Ryan Seacrest
Tom Yamas is there for us. Firefighters are still working around the clock.
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As the world changes, we look for what endures.
Ryan Seacrest
We are coming on the air with.
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Breaking news right now. We look for a constant and from one era to the next.
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Trust is the anchor for NBC Nightly News.
Krystal Ball
I'm Tom Yamas.
Ryan Seacrest
A new chapter begins.
Tom Yamas
NBC Nightly News with Tom Yamas. Evenings on NBC.
Ryan Seacrest
There have been a bunch of very significant developments with regard to AI development that we did not Want to lose sight of this week. So, really excited to be joined this morning by Taryn Steinbruckner Kaufman. She's the CEO of the Golden Gate Institute for AI and she's going to take us through some of these developments. Taryn, it's great to have you. Great to meet you.
Tom Yamas
Thanks so much. It's lovely to be here.
Ryan Seacrest
So, first of all, in the wake of the protests which at times turned violent in L. A, there has been an effort to spread all kinds of propaganda, as is quite typical in these news cycles these days. But added to the mix now we have these just outright AI generated scenes, which this one in particular I'm about to show. It's kind of crazy to me that some people even thought this was real because it takes a very surreal turn quite quickly. But some people did just watch a piece of it and actually think that it was real. So. And you know, that's putting aside more sort of sophisticated efforts to create these images and shape people's understanding of events that are happening in this country. So let's go ahead and take a look at this one video in particular I generated that went viral.
Tom Yamas
Why are you rioting?
Ryan Seacrest
I don't know.
Tom Yamas
I was paid to be here and.
Krystal Ball
I just want to destroy stuff.
Tom Yamas
Is what you are doing illegal?
Krystal Ball
Well, these are peaceful protests.
Tom Yamas
Even that guy over there says so.
Ryan Seacrest
And so, Taryn, this really speaks to one of the concerns people have with regard to AI development, which is just how difficult it makes it to sort through what even is reality.
Tom Yamas
Yeah, this is really important issue. These are going to get. One thing to know is that these are going to get much more realistic. Like these are, you know, if you're a discerning eye and you sort of know what you're looking for, it's pretty obvious that this is AI generated still. It kind of has like a sheen. It doesn't quite kind of look exactly photorealistic. And they've gotten much more realistic in the last year and they're going to keep getting much more realistic. I would assume that a year from now I won't be able to tell easily whether something like that is real or not based on the actual images and audio. The second thing to know is this is a really hard problem to solve. I've heard lots of solutions floating around. Like we should require AI generated video to have a watermark, or we should. It's just really hard. It's not really clear how any policy solution at scale could work to, you know, to stop bad actors from making videos and circulating them that are not real. And the third thing which you pointed to, I think is this sort of what I call the truth fog, which is it goes beyond the effect of the actual negative videos, the false videos, which is to say that like now I can't, you know, in a year I don't think I'm going to be able to tell whether a video is real, which is going to make me discredit true real videos evidence as well. Right. And that's a problem too, because anything, you know, I'll be able to share. If I share a video of, you know, a candidate for president saying something and I'm like, you should vote for them because they said this, people are going to be like, how do I know they actually said that? Right.
Ryan Seacrest
And we are, I think, Emily, already seeing some of that. I know there was an incident with regard to a doctor in Gaza whose kids were killed by the Israelis. And there was, you know, video of the aftermath, the horrific aftermath of that. And there are all these claims that the videos weren't real, that these were just AI generated. So I think we're already seeing some of that fallout that Taryn's talking about.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, that's a good point. I mean, it just becomes harder to trust anything at all. Wanted to ask about this news both from the New York Times and Bloomberg, that Mark Zuckerberg is announcing a nine figure buy to bring top talent on for, quote, unquote, super intelligence that year, timescale. I'm glad you mentioned it because that was one of the things I asked about. At what point are we going to have a situation where even experts have to exert a huge amount of effort to tell what's real and what's fake on social media and even then maybe have a hard time doing it. What does superintelligence mean as defined by Mark Zuckerberg and the industry? And is this, you know, hurdling us even more quickly along in that timeline?
Tom Yamas
Everybody has their own term. There's super intelligence, there's advanced general or artificial general intelligence, AGI, there's asi, there's all these terms floating around and a lot of people don't define what they mean by them. So I don't know exactly what Mark Zuckerberg means. Like when I think about this, what I'm thinking about is an artificial intelligence that can do most or almost all of the things that humans can do on a computer. And that includes therefore many, many jobs. There are many, many jobs that people can do from their computer. And when we have an artificial intelligence that can do all of those tasks remotely. That's obviously going to have very huge economic impacts. It's going to have a lot of other impacts on society as well. So that's, that's my own definition and I think it's probably sort of roughly aligned with many people in the industry's definition. But as I said, different people mean different things. I mean, I think the number one thing to take away for there's still a large segment of people, I think, who dismiss AI as hype and you know, sort of like, oh, this is kind of like crypto, like this thing these tech bros in Silicon Valley are doing. Mark Zuckerberg has never paid anyone nine figures for crypto. Right. AI is in a different category and everybody needs to be taking it very seriously. It's going to have extremely large impacts on the economy, on the way our democracy works, and on the rest of our society in many, many ways. And I think that that's my number one takeaway from this is like, look, the world's largest corporations are taking this extremely seriously and you need to as well.
Ryan Seacrest
What does it look like to you to take this extremely seriously? Because I feel like that's where I get a little lost. I am deeply concerned. I think the job loss is going to be extraordinary. I don't put off the table some of the most maximalist, dystopian possibilities here as well, but I'm not really sure what to do about it at this point because you have this administration that is totally like, no brakes on the car. Wild, wild West. We've got to, we're in this race versus China and we've got to be the first to get to it. And they, you know, have this very aggressive, no regulations approach to it. You have people like Sam Altman and others who are overtly out there like, yeah, we want to replace as much of human labor and possibly all of human labor as possible. And we're probably going to have to completely upend the social contract in order for this to all work out. And yet, you know, I don't see any real large scale conversation, which is where you come in about what that new social contract is going to look like and how we're going to make sure that people outside of trillionaires are okay in that new world. So when you say something like we need to be taken seriously, like what specific things do you have in mind in particular?
Tom Yamas
Yeah, it's hard because the field is moving so fast that we haven't had time for a real like civil society ecosystem to evolve around AI. So if you're somebody who might have the like interest in wherewithal in like starting a new organization around AI, there are gaps everywhere. Like here's an example is I don't know of any concerted programs to like educate state legislators about AI. That's just like one example. Another example is like I've heard many experts in the field like Ezra Klein and Kevin Rus and think tank people in D.C. say we don't have nearly enough economic frameworks for thinking about the labor dislocations that we expect are going to happen from AI. There's just gaps everywhere. If you're familiar with this field, if you think that somebody's doing something about AI and you've got an idea that somebody should be doing something, probably nobody is yet or certainly not enough people. So you should go investigate and maybe think about starting an effort in that field. And I don't think that there are a lot of pathways yet for people who to like engage. But I think, but I think you should call your legislators, I think you should talk to your legislators about how big of an issue this is, how much you're worried about it right now. AI is still not showing up as a big issue in public opinion polling and legislators and politicians aren't hearing that much about it. I mean, when I say it's not showing up as big issue, I mean it's not showing up. Like if you ask people what their top issues are, what they're most worried about. AI is not showing up on those lists and we need to shift politicians perceptions of that. So if you're not going to go start a new organization, you can at least talk to your legislators and your representatives about why that they need to be paying attention to this.
Krystal Ball
And I want to ask. Oh, go ahead.
Tom Yamas
No, go ahead.
Krystal Ball
I want to ask about this next element we put on the screen the Apple paper that went viral and got a lot of reactions to it. This post from Ruben Hasid says Apple just proved AI quote unquote reasoning models like Claude Deepseek, R1 and O3 mini don't actually reason at all. They just memorize patterns really well, here's what Apple discovered. Parentheses hint. We're not as close to AGI as the hype suggests. I read that post and I think, okay, yeah, I mean, no, they don't reason, they just memorize patterns really well. They're freaking computers. Yes, that's exactly right. But then on the other hand, and to use that as a way to dismiss our current proximity to AGI and to say that this is all overhyped and it's really moving very slowly seems ill advised. And I just kind of wanted to get your reaction to, I guess your reaction to the reaction from that paper.
Tom Yamas
Yeah, look, there's a set of people out there who do make their money off of, and their fame off of dismissing AI and you know, they'll sort of seize onto papers like this to do that. I don't think that this paper is actually that big of a deal in some sense. It's not saying anything that's particularly surprising. As you pointed out, it's asking the models to do a set of very hard problems. And they at some point are like, basically the models are like, this problem is too hard. I'm going to stop now. And then the authors, well, I don't even think the authors are necessarily interpreting that as, as these models aren't good at what they do. It's. So then there's a sort of a whole, you know, Twitter ecosystem that's like, well, now we've proved that these models aren't good at what they do. Guess what? If you give me one of these hard problems that they gave these models, I'm also going to be like, yeah, sorry, I don't have time for this. This is like you said, I have to solve this. They give the models constraints like, you have to solve this in a certain context window, which is maybe roughly equivalent to telling me I have an hour to solve it. And I'm like, I can't solve that problem in an hour, so I'm gonna stop now and then interpreting. But I'm. I hope you all think that I'm artificial intelligence. Sorry, I'm general intelligence.
Ryan Seacrest
Right.
Tom Yamas
I'm not artificial intelligence. And so they're sort of actually in some ways behaving a lot like humans in these situations. And we're interpreting. Some people are interpreting that as saying that they aren't smart, which I think is just not true.
Ryan Seacrest
Another thing that I've wondered is we. There's this sort of like, line that's drawn. We were talking about the META project to develop AGI, artificial general intelligence, and you were saying there's all kinds of different terminologies for, you know, meeting, whatever this milestone is, like, how much of a, just sort of like line that you cross is AGI and how much of it is more of a sense. And it's a little bit hard to tell whether you're there or you're not. Like, help me understand when people talk about AGI, how much. It will be clear when we've achieved this, whatever this benchmark is. Because I also see things like, I see that study from, you know, I see that particular study that was going around. I also see these other studies where AI is scheming to make sure it's not getting shut off and trying to, like, blackmail an engineer with an affair that they think the engineer is engaged in to avoid having their programming change. You know, I see things that are deeply disturbing in terms of AI engaging. I mean, those are very like, human type behaviors and trying to defy the wishes of their programmers. So where are we in that development? And will we really. Is it like this hard, fast line of we are not at AGI and now we are at AGI and it's very clear cut?
Tom Yamas
Yeah, this is a great question. I think different. Well, I think most people in the industry would say it's not a hard line. And there's a term that's called the jagged frontier. It's like the models can be very good at some things and very bad at other things that humans can do at that. By the same token, you could say that humans have a jagged frontier. Like, humans are very good at some things compared to AI and very bad at other things compared to current AI. So I don't think we're going to immediately cross the Rubicon of, like, suddenly the models are very. Are better than humans at everything, including, for instance, operating a physical body in physical space. Right. That's not going to happen literally overnight, probably. But you always have to qualify everything you say about AI as like, I think so probably anybody who's not qualifying their statements, I think you have to be worried about how much you can trust what they're saying. So, but, but I think that, you know, are we. Are we at AGI now? I mean, it's an interesting question because for a long time, the test that everybody thought we were going to use for this was called the Turing Test. And for people who haven't heard of it, the Turing Test is you put a human behind a computer and an AI behind a computer or in the computer, and then you have another human interview both of them. Right. And if the human who's interviewing can't tell whether they're talking to the other human or to the AI, then the AI has passed the Turing Test of intelligence, and these models pass that test. Now, the cutting edge models. Right. And so by that definition, the definition that we had all used for literally decades invented by Alan Turing, we've already gotten there. And yet these Models are very bad at a lot of things that humans are good at. And I don't think anybody, is anybody of serious repute is saying, we've actually hit AGI. So the goalposts are moving over time and I think the goalposts will keep moving. Yeah, yeah.
Krystal Ball
The interesting rate of acceleration is just unbelievable. I was listening to an old throughline episode on Ralph Nader and thinking about this actually, because deaths from car accidents used to be like five times as high as they are now. It took us actually a really long time and a lot of tragedy to adapt our policies to make our roads relatively safe. I mean, relatively is an important word there. And I guess I'm just wondering how optimistic you are about the policy evolution, meeting the moment, because right now it looks very bleak for some understandable reasons. I mean, it's hard to define. It's hard to see what the future looks like. Exactly. Things are moving very quickly, but it just seems like the reaction is completely non existent here in dc.
Tom Yamas
Yeah, I mean, there's a lot of reasons to be pessimistic. I think the reason to be optimistic is sort of like if you take a step back. Humanity's faced a lot of threats in the past and so far we've survived them all right? And so, you know, humans are resilient and we, we do live in an era when lots of people have agency. And I hope, I mean, these are choices we are making, right? These are not inevitable conclusions. These are choices that we as individuals and as society are making about how to respond to AI. And I hope we can rise to this challenge. I don't think it's impossible, but it is a huge challenge. There's no doubt about that.
Ryan Seacrest
Taryn, thank you so much for joining us this morning. It's been great to chat with you, let people know where they can find you and follow the work that you guys are doing.
Tom Yamas
Thanks so much. Goldengateinstitute.org and we've got a newsletter that you can subscribe to where we try to make sense of what's happening in AI for folks who are outside of the Silicon Valley bubble.
Ryan Seacrest
All right, well, I'm definitely going to subscribe to that. Thank you so much again and we'll talk to you again soon.
Tom Yamas
Thank you.
Ryan Seacrest
All right. Really interesting talking to Taran there, huh? Emily Crystal, I feel like we are.
Krystal Ball
At a breaking point.
Ryan Seacrest
I'm just going to leave with regard to the end of the show.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, okay. See, you got me that. I walked into it and I didn't expect it. But both of us should go to prison for what we just did.
Ryan Seacrest
Indeed. All right, I'm sure Trump Stormtroopers will be here to arrest us shortly. Emily, always great to see you guys. Thank you so much for watching the show. Let's see, today is Wednesday. Tomorrow I will be in with Sagar. So we'll have all of the latest for you guys then. Thank you for subscribing over at Breaking Point. Make sure you use that free promo code, BP free. And there it is up on the screen. BP free breaking points.com and we will see you guys tomorrow.
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See you then.
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It's Oral Semaglutide and is now available from Future Health health. Go to futurehealth.com to get affordable access to Oral Semaglutide, Ozempic and zepbound for only $3 a day. No insurance needed. Visit futurehealth.com future without the e to start losing this week, Future Health Weight Loss Data based on independent study sponsored by Future Health Future Health is not a healthcare services provider. Meds are prescribed at providers discretion. Are you still quoting 30 year old movies? Have you said cool beans in the past 90 days?
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Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar - Episode: June 11, 2025
Hosts: Krystal Ball & Saagar Enjeti
Released on: June 11, 2025
Platform: iHeartPodcasts
Episode Title: Jon Stewart Shreds Stephen A, Greta Thunberg Reveals Israel Kidnapping Details, AI LA Video Goes Viral
Timestamp: 02:08 – 19:23
In this segment, Krystal Ball and Saagar Enjeti delve into a recent interview between Jon Stewart and Stephen A. Smith, analyzing the clash of ideologies concerning the Democratic Party's performance in recent elections.
Key Points:
Election Analysis: Stephen A. Smith criticizes the Democratic Party, attributing their loss to the influence of the extreme left, particularly on issues like transgender rights. He argues that these distractions prevented the party from focusing on substantive policies that resonate with voters.
Krystal's Counterpoint: Krystal discusses the potential for the left to use the criticism as an opportunity to present a more robust economic agenda, referencing figures like Bernie Sanders and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
Policy Proposals: The conversation highlights the need for the Democratic Party to adopt clear, actionable policies such as Medicare for All, better wage support, and comprehensive healthcare reforms to regain credibility and voter trust.
Mayoral Race Insight: The hosts discuss the New York mayoral race between Zoran Muhamdani and Andrew Cuomo, emphasizing Muhamdani's rising popularity due to his clear and focused policy proposals.
Timestamp: 19:23 – 34:12
Krystal and Saagar transition to international issues, focusing on Greta Thunberg’s involvement in the Gaza Aid Freedom Flotilla and her subsequent kidnapping by Israeli forces.
Key Points:
Kidnapping Incident: Greta Thunberg recounts her harrowing experience of being intercepted on international waters by Israeli forces. She describes the conditions onboard and the coerced signing of deportation forms.
Humanitarian Crisis in Gaza: The discussion underscores the ongoing genocide and systematic blockade in Gaza, highlighting the dire need for humanitarian aid and the international community’s failure to intervene effectively.
Political Reactions: Krystal criticizes global inaction, attributing it to racism and the prioritization of economic and geopolitical interests over human welfare.
US Policy Stance: The hosts analyze statements from US Ambassador Mike Huckabee, noting the inconsistency and complexities in America's approach to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Timestamp: 34:12 – 55:00
The conversation shifts to the burgeoning field of Artificial Intelligence, featuring insights from guest Taryn Steinbruckner Kaufman, CEO of the Golden Gate Institute for AI.
Key Points:
AI-Generated Content Concerns: The hosts discuss the viral spread of AI-generated videos depicting violent protests, raising alarms about the blurring lines between reality and fabricated content.
Challenges in Regulation: Taryn highlights the difficulties in implementing effective policies to manage AI advancements, particularly in preventing the misuse of AI-generated media.
Economic Implications: The potential for AI to disrupt labor markets is discussed, with a focus on the urgent need for new economic frameworks to address job dislocations.
Superintelligence Debate: The hosts explore the definition and implications of "superintelligence," debating whether current AI models qualify and the realistic timelines for achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI).
Policy Evolution and Public Awareness: Krystal expresses concern over the slow policy response to AI advancements and the lack of public discourse on establishing a new social contract for the AI-driven future.
Future Outlook: Tom Yamas offers a cautiously optimistic perspective, emphasizing human resilience and the potential for society to adapt to AI-related challenges through proactive decision-making.
In this episode of Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar, the hosts navigate through intense discussions ranging from internal Democratic Party dynamics and international humanitarian crises to the rapid and often unregulated advancements in Artificial Intelligence. Krystal and Saagar emphasize the importance of actionable policies, credible leadership, and societal readiness to address the multifaceted challenges posed by both political landscapes and technological innovations.
Notable Quotes:
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This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the episode, providing a comprehensive overview for those who haven’t tuned in.