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Krystal Ball
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Krystal Ball
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Krystal Ball
Let'S talk here about Zoran Mamdani and the New York Times because this is an interesting story. So before we jump into the New York Times piece, we have to get a little bit of Steve Bannon's take on Zoron.
Steve Bannon
So Much Bannon in today's show.
Krystal Ball
So Much Bannon. And by the way. I do want to just say, like, Bannon has taken a lot of Ls, so. So I don't wanna overstate his importance, but I just. I always think it's interesting to hear his thoughts because he does have a better grasp, I think, of the political moment than many others.
Steve Bannon
Let me just say anecdotally, someone who was recently on War Room told me, like, after they went on War Room, immediately they had, I think, like within a couple of minutes, 100 plus new followers on X. And so Bannon has, like, you know, it's still true that your average X user is exceptional from the average American, because not most people are on Twitter and most people aren't watch. Aren't watch. Watching. Most people are not watching Steve Bannon. But he does actually have a really, I think, strong tether to the MAGA base itself. I think the hardcore maga. Bannon still sets the tone for them. That is not a majority of the American public, but it's a small group that he does have a lot of sway with and listens to him every day.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, but I mean, usually what he uses his sway for is, yeah, he'll protest in advance about, let's say, Medicaid cuts or about the tax cuts for the Right.
Steve Bannon
Trump decides.
Krystal Ball
Or about Elon. And then once Trump decides and does whatever, then Bannon's role becomes explaining to the MAGA base why, actually, this is fine, trust him and why you have to trust the plan and why, oh, well, he must have attacked Iran because he had more intelligence than we did. We just have to trust this guy. So that is actually the role that he serves. Nevertheless, his analysis of Zoran Pandani was a lot more interesting and intelligent than the people who are claiming that he's going to implement Sharia law in Manhattan. Let's go ahead and take a listen to a little bit of what he had to say.
Tim Dillon
That's one of the most sophisticated races. And he focused on affordability and he addressed their issues. Now, his response, he took.
Krystal Ball
The anger.
Tim Dillon
Of the moment of populism and got engaged with people. Cuomo ran a traditional thing. This kid ran a very sophisticated campaign, a very sophisticated campaign on the grassroots.
Krystal Ball
And we can put the next piece up on the screen. I mean, he talked also about how the messaging was intelligent. He said that Mamdani's diagnosis of New York's affordability crisis sounds quite similar to Bannon's description of America's. The two seem to agree on 70%. Bannon says 50%, but that's still a lot Politics today is all about authenticity. Mamdani's campaign was today's equivalent of Barack Obama's. He's walking down grocery aisles, chatting on TikTok. He accepted every interview request, relied on grassroots organizing, Cumba name recognition. His campaign raised almost $40 million, secured Bill Clinton's endorsement. His appearances were curated. The traditional Democratic Party is dead. I wish that were true. Mamdani blew it up. I that were true. Do you share the conservative view that an unabashed socialist in support of the Palestinian cause is a gift to Trump? Bannon shakes his head. You shed more tears for answered prayers than unanswered prayers. He replies. Mamdani can bring people out. Populism is the future of politics. So he sees him as basically like. And I do think that I don't wanna understate actually the significance of Mamdani's victory, because being able to run as an unabashed anti Zionist in New York City and when is an earthquake and you have a huge schism in the Democrat between the Democratic base and Democratic elites. I do not think that most people vote on Gaza, but I do think that Gaza is becoming a litmus test issue for the Democratic base, which says to people, does this person have a shred of integrity? Are they willing to stand up against, you know, political forces or, you know, well organized, well funded forces and actually fight for something? And it is the sort of schism between the base and the elite of the party that, you know, it's the sort of thing that Trump actually exploited in his 2016 victory. And I think there is going to be a real reckoning with that in 2028. Not to mention of, of course, the economic pieces that everyone is like, you know, melting down about the grocery stores and the rent freeze, et cetera, and the overt embrace of like, yes, I'm a Democratic socialist and that's just who I am and I'm not running away from it whatsoever.
Steve Bannon
No, I think that's right. And I think what Bannon is recognizing. And again, like, I've seen an interesting discourse on the right about Mom Donnie, since he won. Because you notice that Bannon was talking to Marjorie Taylor Greene, right, who posted the initial hilarious meme of the Statue of Liberty and what, like a full burqa? Is that what. Yeah, and there have been there was this, like, initial reflex to just be completely grossed out, icked out by Mamdani, that people like Bannon started to, I think, change a bit. And you've seen it's not like it's the whole Right. Is embracing Mamdani. But you've seen this interesting strain, and I think it's probably in part due to new media. This interesting strain of people being like, whoa, look at what he did with young voters and millennials in New York City.
Krystal Ball
Shocking.
Steve Bannon
We have this information right in front of us. That's like a pretty clear sign that he was speaking to something. And it's just not only a smart observation by Bannon, but I don't think it's an easy one to make right now. He can make it because he's sort of seen as like a godfather like figure, but not an easy point to make at all.
Krystal Ball
All right, let's talk about the New York Times. So they published this big scoop that they apparently raced to the presses because they wanted to beat Chris Ruffo.
Steve Bannon
Yes.
Krystal Ball
Who is also chasing down the same story. Let's put this up on the screen. They reveal exclusively that Mamdani identified as both Asian and African American on his college application to Columbia. Specifically, they says he doesn't consider himself black, but he said the application did not allow for the complexity of his background. They included the specific form and how he checked the box showing. These are the questions Colombia posed to applicants about race and ethnicity during the 20092010 application cycle when he applied. And he indicated he was both black or African American and Asian. Okay, now, little quick refresher on his background here. He was born in Uganda. He was. And his family had been in Uganda for generations. There were a bunch of Indian labor who were brought over by the British in the early 1800s to do basically like, you know, slave labor in Uganda or indentured servitude in Uganda. And it became this thriving diaspora community that ends up being actually quite successful within Uganda. And so his family is part of that history, obviously. He's also South Asian, being, you know, ethnically from the Indian subcontinent. So he marks these two boxes, and they are acting like this is sort of a giant scandal. There were three reporters put on it. One of them was a health reporter, by the way, at a time when people are, like, losing Medicaid and hospitals or rural hospitals are under attack, and this is what they're focused on. In addition, you may ask yourself, well, how did they come upon this information, Emily? Where did they get this from? And we can put C3 up on the screen. They got it from this guy who posts as Cremieux. He runs a substack. He's also very prominent on X.
Steve Bannon
Your French is beautiful, Crystal.
Krystal Ball
Oh, thank you very much, Merci. He focuses a lot, Emily, on race and iq, quote, unquote. Academic who focuses a lot on race and iq. Prominently featured post there. Seeks to defend the argument that average national IQs vary by up to 40 points, with countries in Europe and North America, East Asia at the high end, countries in the Global south at the low end, and several African countries reportedly having average national IQs at a level that experts associate with mental impairment. So basically, he's your sort of average Twitter racist that got a hold of these hacked documents from Columbia. Now, listen, I am not against news organizations using hacked material, even if it comes from a sketchy source. But you know who has been against that in the past? That would be the New York Times, who refused to report on, for example, the Iranian hacks of Trump campaign documents, including the J.D. vance dossier, and refused to publish it, in part apparently because of the source of those hacks. In addition, when they first put out this report, they really glossed over who this guy was. They called him like an academic who's opposed to affirmative action, when in reality, he's just like a brazen racist that posts like your average Twitter racist post.
Steve Bannon
Ultimately, I didn't go back and look at his feed. Is it bad?
Krystal Ball
It's exactly what you expect. Yeah.
Steve Bannon
So it's also, I mean, this whole story, we teased this at the beginning of the show. So many layers to peel back, the first of which is like, I don't. I think it's pretty clear that Mamdani was playing by the rules that we as a society set for college applications for a very long time.
Krystal Ball
Correct.
Steve Bannon
Now, I don't know. I mean, if we're. If you're. If you're going to do and say all of these different identities are important and material to whether or not you belong academically at Colombia, I would probably disagree with a system like that. At the same time, that is the system that existed. What's actually somewhat remarkable, Crystal, is that with all of that, he didn't get into Colombia. Apparently you couldn't come up with, like, a bigger parody of, like, affirmative action system on paper than the Zoramdani application.
Krystal Ball
Being like, well, the Asian part might have killed him. That's right.
Steve Bannon
Maybe he should have left that off. So this is really a story about.
Krystal Ball
Claim you're black, then that, you know, I mean, I think it's what he said, and I think it's reasonable. And I also think it's reasonable to say, like, you know, he was putting what he thought would be beneficial for him on a college Application, as one does. But I think when he was like, these boxes don't really fit my identity. And I think that's fair. His identity is complex. He talks about it a lot. It's something his, you know, his dad is a professor of these sorts of things and they clearly thought deeply about it. So I also don't think it was casually done. He sees himself as like, he is from Uganda. His family is from Uganda for multiple generations.
Steve Bannon
Absolutely.
Krystal Ball
But he also. Right. Yeah. But he, you know, also is, you know, has this Indian ethnic heritage. So to check both those boxes, like, I'm not really sure how else he should have filled out that form.
Steve Bannon
I completely agree. And I think it's the problem. I mean, so from my position on, and I bet it would have been Rufo's position on this, I think it exposes sort of the absurdities of the critical theory that Mamdani and his father actually wax poetic about and believe really deeply in. At the same time, he has a much stronger claim to both of these heritages than somebody like. And I'm going to use this as a proxy. And I know it's cringy, but Elizabeth Warren, who many such cases like, she's an example of something that's happened for decades in college admissions. And I just think it all, like, exposes the absurdity of this and how immaterial and silly that it can be to insist that by checking off these boxes, you know a significant amount about the person based on it and you can make a determination as to whether they belong at your school. I mean, I think it's all just absurd. But the New York Times doesn't believe what I believe. So it's like an incredibly funny. It's just an incredibly funny anecdote, or not even an anecdote, like an experiment in them having to. It's because it's the Ramamdani. The New York Times has declared decided that they're going to apply a very critical lens.
Krystal Ball
You might say they're waging a jihad against him in the language of Kirsten Gillibrand. I want to jump to Curtis Lewis here, who is the Republican nominee for, you know, in this race. And by the way, there's so much billionaire pressure on him. Bill Ackman is going to bat to try to get Sliwa out of this race so that Eric Adams or Andrew Cuomo, I guess, who did he get behind? Adams or Cuomo, I forgot. Anyway, one of them can consolidate and ride to victory over Zoran Mamdani. In any case, Lewa Gets asked about this on Fox News. I'm sure Fox News was expecting him to attack Zoran over this and he did not. He chose not to do that. So let's go ahead and take a listen to C7.
Ryan Seacrest
I do know he is a practicing Muslim and I've advised our colleagues which there are many on our side of this issue. Cuz we know Zoran will destroy this city. Do not attack his religion. Leave the religion alone if you don't want to see him elected. There are a million Muslims in New York City who can vote, many of them with conservative values, many of them who voted for Donald Trump for president. So but he put that background the center of his campaign, right? You can criticize him as being a communist, socialist, anti Semite, Czech. Leave the religion alone. Now he would consider himself Southeast Asian, although he's of Indian heritage. His mother and father, he grew up in Uganda. So I guess you could sort of put it in the blender. I don't have a problem with how he self identifies.
Krystal Ball
Put it in a blender, Emily. That is to me also such a New York response, you know, and I mean you say a lot of things about Curtis Lewis who I used to be on a bunch of Fox panels with. I told you so. I've like met him a few times in real life but he is a New Yorker and so he's looking at this, he's like don't attack him because he's Muslim and because of his identity. Like you want to go after him, you know, talk about his policies and whatever. But yeah, he's from Uganda, he's Muslim, he's Indian, he's all those things. Put him in the blender. However he self identifies, whatever, who cares? How is this really the issue?
Steve Bannon
Producer Mack went viral for posting that video and saying sliwa just out woke the New York Times.
Krystal Ball
Yeah, true. I mean it is a point in favor of the like race as a social construct.
Steve Bannon
Well, it's a point in favor of that, absolutely. And I have always taken that as being a point in favor of not using it as such a material of such material importance in certain processes like affirmative action for example. But we don't necessarily have to have that debate. It's just funny.
Krystal Ball
No, I mean I don't actually disagree with you on that. Let's go and put, let's see. I think the New York times response is C5 because they clearly their comment section was furious with them. They took a lot of heat over this because I mean think about this. They used hack documents from a quote, unquote, race. Realistically, to rush out this piece. They were apparently rushed it out because they were trying to beat Chris Ruffo to the punch. Like, what are you doing? In any case, this is one of the reporters, Patrick Healy, talking about why they did. And this is so funny. He says sometimes sources have their own motives or obtain information using means we wouldn't, like Trump's taxes, WikiLeaks, or Edward Snowden. It's important to share what we can about sourcing. We always independently assess newsworthiness. Okay, you are comparing this to WikiLeaks exposure of war crimes or Edward Snowden's exposure of mass surveillance. That's what Zoron's Columbia application race selection. You're comparing that to WikiLeaks. And again, just to reiterate, it would be great if the New York Times had a consistent standard here. They do not.
Steve Bannon
Right.
Krystal Ball
They do not. So what is the standard, ultimately? Because apparently sometimes it matters whether it's hacked and who it comes from. And sometimes when they just want to go after a particular candidate, then it doesn't matter. And they're happy to use hacked documents from wherever they come.
Steve Bannon
I mean, from my perspective, I can't help but enjoy this because it's a story of such little consequence that I have to laugh my way through the entire thing.
Krystal Ball
They are embarrassing. They're absolutely embarrassing.
Steve Bannon
They're a mess.
Krystal Ball
Last piece I'll put up here, we've got Eric Adams, you know, grabbing onto this. And a lot of people commented, too. This is C8, guys. It could put up on the screen. A lot of people were noting that in the primary, Cuomo was, like, Cuomo aligned Super pac, to be specific. Here was, like, darkening Zordon's skin and, like, ramping up his beard to make him look, like, scarier. And now in the wake of this story, they're trying to, like, lighten his skin and make him look more like, oh, he's just, you know, basically a white guy. And so Eric Adams says Zoran Mamdani identified as Asian, African American. He's got the picture there of him checking Asian and African American. So whatever. Yeah, there you go.
Steve Bannon
It's like, you just have to enjoy it. You just have to enjoy it.
Krystal Ball
Incredible. All right, let's go ahead and get to Tim Dillon and Joe Rogan.
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Krystal Ball
So we have continued to see some concerns raised from the sort of bro podcast fear that had been pro Trump leading up to his election, and specifically over the issue of immigration, which to be honest with you, is a little bit of a surprise to me because there are lots of things in Trump 2.0 that I think it's reasonable to have been surprised by. His aggressive approach to immigration is not one of them. They were literally holding up mass deportation. Now signs at the rnc. Nevertheless, it's good to see that there are concerns being raised here with people who maybe will be influential among a large sort of more independent base. Let's go ahead and start with Tim Dillon and some of what he had to say.
Ryan Seacrest
You're collecting people that are law abiding, that have been in the country a very long time, that have committed no crime. You're picking people up in church parking lots, at high school graduations. It's inhumane. And, and I think a lot of people feel that way. But in fairness to the Trump team, they did think of this and say, what if we put them all in a prison surrounded by alligators? Would that make it feel more humane? Like, I think Trump and his people were like, sure, people find these raids to be a bit abrupt and, you know, soulless, unkind. But if, if we then took the people we swept up and put them in a prison built in an alligator swamp, would that make people feel better? It's a great way, I think, to show that it's not just a heartless policy, it's a policy that we've put a lot of thought into.
Krystal Ball
So there you go. Tim Dillon's take on alligator Alcatraz. Like, oh, your policy that was already dreadfully unpopular, of snatching up, like, innocent people who've been paying their taxes, been here for years and years from a Home Depot. This will make it better. I'm sure that will mean that we're serious about this. And he goes on a whole thing, too, about how there are many other types of deadly animals throughout the US Why not put them inside of a shark? Literal shark tank down in the ocean with the sharks swimming around. Maybe we could get some grizzly bears involved. So in any case, it's interesting to me, Emily, that, I mean, first of all, it's interesting to me that anyone was surprised by this direction from the Trump administration, given that you've got Stephen Miller running the show and running the show, and even more like, I think he has completely taken over this portfolio in a way, even beyond what was the case in the 2016 Trump. But given the first administration, given the rhetoric on the campaign trail and given the explicit promises that were made that this was gonna be a focus. I know Trump claimed that, oh, well, this will just be focused on. He didn't say just be focused on criminals, but he made it seem like the focus of the policy would be on a mass criminal, illegal alien population.
Steve Bannon
They said first, over and over again.
Krystal Ball
Right?
Steve Bannon
That's what we would do first.
Krystal Ball
Definitely not the case. But also they projected, they made it seem like the vast majority of undocumented immigrants were, in fact, criminals, which is just not reality. So I think that's where they're running up against the difference between the projection of the Trump campaign and the way this was portrayed. And then the actual reality of seeing moms, dads, neighbors, people who have lived in this country and caused no problem, committed no crimes, done all the right things, even people who were actually following the process and trying to apply for asylum and showing up for their hearings and all of those things. This is the same thing that happened, really in the first Trump administration as well, where mass immigration has never been more popular than it was during the first Trump administration, which is why then.
Steve Bannon
You had every 2020 Democrat running on a very pro immigration immigration and a very relaxed border policy. And Biden particularly talked tough about border security and all of that, but they were telegraphing the signaling over and over again was that this would be a much more lenient and welcoming administration. And so, yeah, I mean, we should roll this Rogan clip as well, because it echoes Tim Dillon. I mean, to your point, Crystal, this is one of those political, I don't want to say conundrums, but it is kind of a conundrum for the gop, which the Republican base is very different from the rest of the country. The Trump base, I should say, actually is very different from the rest of the country on the question of the mass deportation. So it polls very differently depending on what you're looking at when you get it. And you've pointed this out a lot when you get into the specifics of what quote, unquote, mass deportation looks like, people are less supportive than when you just use the phrase mass deportation. But this is really, really important to the Republican base. People like Steve Bannon and Stephen Miller believe that you never have the same country again if there isn't a process of mass deportation over the course of the Trump administration. And their definition of mass deportation is really undoing the entire Biden era, which will involve basically, if you wanted to take 8 million, if you wanted to deport the 8 million estimated people who came in at least during the Biden administration. First of all, that's not all illegal immigration. A lot of it was legalized by the Biden administration, which created the asylum process. And, well, not created, but expanded the asylum process and made it really easy. And they did not detain people and let them into the interior of the country while their asylum hearings waited because there were so many people. And so to undo that, you're talking about tens of thousands of deportations a week. If you wanted to do it in a year, it would be like 20,000 deportations a day at least. So it's not going toI think they always knew it wouldn't be what the public looked like, it wouldn't be congruent with the public's expectation. When you hear mass deportations and you see that juxtaposed with constant rhetoric about criminality and all of that, to look different in practice.
Krystal Ball
And they want to go further than just rolling back what happened during the Biden administration, by the way. I mean, you have a memo from the DOJ talking about, let's prioritize denaturalizing U.S. citizens. I mean, that goes far beyond you. Genuine. I mean, Stephen Miller is a genuine ideologue who wants a white ethno state. And anyone who doesn't fit his category of what an American should be, he thinks should be fair game to get out of the country. And so that is the project that they're embarking on. And as aggressive as the raids have been so far, you now also have the one big, beautiful bill that floods ICE with resources where they're supposed to have 10,000 ICE agents, largest federal law enforcement agency, as I said before, larger than the military budget of places like Brazil and Israel. Just a huge influx of resources, not to mention an extraordinary flooding of money to private prison contractors who will be setting up these mass detention centers. So in any case, you've already got the Tim Dillons and the Joe Rogans of the world somewhat uncomfortable with what's going on. Let's go ahead and roll. What Joe Rogan had to say about this. D2.
Tim Dillon
We were told there would be no. Well, there's two things that are insane. One is the targeting of migrant workers.
Krystal Ball
Not cartel members, not gang members, not.
Tim Dillon
Drug dealers, just construction workers showing up in construction sites and raiding them. Gardeners.
Krystal Ball
Yeah.
Tim Dillon
Like really? Or Palestinian students on college campuses or. Or not. Like, there's a turkey.
Steve Bannon
Did you see this video of this.
Tim Dillon
Turkish students at Tufts University that wrote an essay? And then there's video of like, ICE agents.
Steve Bannon
Like, I don't know.
Tim Dillon
Is that the woman?
Krystal Ball
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Tim Dillon
What was her essay about? It was just critical of Israel.
Steve Bannon
Right?
Krystal Ball
Yeah.
Lowe's Representative
I mean, and that's enough to get.
Tim Dillon
You kicked out of the country.
Steve Bannon
There's a.
Tim Dillon
There's a long history of, of. Of anti colonial activism in US colleges, you know, that led to, to, you.
Steve Bannon
Know, South Africa changing and all of that. And I think this is a continuation of that.
Krystal Ball
And Emily, it seems to me like there have been a few things that have really touched a nerve for people in the Trump 2.0 era with regard to the immigration policy. Number one is the. What they were talking about there. The kidnapping of Ramesa Ozterk, which happened on camera, you have these masked ICE agents. I think they were ICE agents. I don't even know what federal agency they came from. Who came, multiple of them grabbed her off the street. And then lo and behold, we learn. What did she do? She wrote an op ed for the student newspaper calling for the university to divest from Israel. Like the most basic First Amendment protected call to activism. And I think the visual.
Steve Bannon
Not anti American at all.
Krystal Ball
No. And I think the visual of seeing her snatched off the street for that, I think that was really searing for people.
Steve Bannon
Totally agree.
Krystal Ball
I think Kilmara Brego Garcia and what happened there, he really became, you know, as you had him and hundreds of others swept up, no due process. And the Trump administration admits that this was, they shouldn't have done this, that this was a wrongful deportation. And yet they're so committed to keeping him in this horrific slave labor camp dungeon in El Salvador. I think that you can see in the poll numbers that the favorability of Trump on immigration really begins to decline there. And then the other thing that really touched a nerve for some reason was these Home Depot raids. And you have a moment with, you know, reportedly Stephen Miller goes to ice and yells @ them and says, why are you focusing on the criminals? I want to see you go to the 7 11s. I want to see you. He name checks at Home Depot specifically. And then you see an escalation in the tactics. That's what also leads to the anti ICE protests in places like la. But something about picking up the Home Depot day laborers really struck guys like Joe Rogan, guys like Tim Dillon. Because I think it feels so familiar. These are not like, you know, the scary theoretical gang members who are out there terrorizing community. It's like, you know, Rogan has probably been to that LA Home Depot where that raid happened. He may have used some of those day laborers for some project around his house or something. Like, it just feels so suburban and so familiar that it's impossible to caricature these guys as some like, like nasty menace to society in the way that the Stephen Millers and the Trumps of the world want to.
Steve Bannon
Well, I was gonna say, and this is another example of where that golf is significant because Rogan and Tim Dillon are wealthy independents. You talk to the kind of red meat Trump base, they are going to be all for Home Depot raids in the Stephen Miller. And Donald Trump is not quite on board with the Home Depot raise, by the way, because he's clearly been hearing from the hospitality industry, construction Industry and is himself Big Ag. Big Ag not sold on. What we saw from it was like Vallejo, where you had workers running through the fields when ICE was trying to make arrests. And that gulf is. I mean, it's not going anywhere because you have Stephen Miller making this his single priority. This is Bannon's. And like, if Bannon is ranking his priorities, this is probably the literal top one. Because they actually believe that this is like the Jenga block, that once it's pulled, everything crumbles. They really see it that way. And because of that, Donald Trump can say we're going to be lenient with hospitality workers and agricultural workers as much as he wants. But if they're going to be funding a bunch more detention centers like Alligator Alcatraz has taken any money from FEMA so far, which is interesting because DeSantis did it on his own. Now Ice has all of this money and is going to be building more detention facilities. And most of those migrants who came in during the course of the course of the Biden administration, if they are quote, unquote, criminal, it's because they crossed the border twice, for example, like, they got deported and then recrossed or they didn't go to an asylum. Hear whatever it is, like, that's what hasn't been followed. And for the average American, they're not going to like seeing those people rounded up and put in detention camps, let alone like shoddy ones that were constructed in a week. But the Trump base both demands it and loves it. And that's a huge political problem for the administration.
Krystal Ball
Well, here's what I would say. Yes, the Trump base, they are not going to complain. They're going to delight in the, you know, Alligator Alcatraz and the Home Depot raids and the, you know, whatever Trump does, they're going to be on board with. But. But whatever Trump does, they're gonna be on board with. So if he wanted to moderate this policy at this point, he could, and I don't think he'd face any significant backlash from the base. There's no indication that there has ever been any significant backlash from the base over any Trump policy. So I don't see him as. They are beholden to him. He's not beholden to them at this point. And maybe there was a different point where that was the case. But, I mean, the famous, like, I could shoot someone on Fifth Avenue. It's true.
Steve Bannon
True.
Krystal Ball
It's true. His base is with him. They will justify anything. We talked about the Epstein thing, even though there's been all this online, oh my God, the Epstein and Trump's gonna reveal it and blah, blah, blah. Him turning on a dime and being like, ah, no client list, nothing to see here. They're gonna find a way to justify it. So I don't think he's really held hostage by the base. I think he has, I think, well.
Steve Bannon
He'S held hostage to the extent that Stephen Miller is very powerful in the administration and Stephen Miller wants to do it.
Krystal Ball
That's the point is I think he has outsourced this to Stephen Miller and Stephen Miller and other things as well, by the way. And Stephen Miller's running it and he's not really concerning himself too much with the details and, you know, feels like, okay, I ran on mass deportation and you know, the only time he cares is when, yeah, some rich business owner calls him and is like, my farm workers are getting round up, rounded up or I don't have my seasonal hospitality workers or whatever, and he'll express some concern, but then days later he'll go back on it and Stephen Miller's still doing his thing.
Steve Bannon
Yeah, I think Stephen Miller is obsessed with the details of the policy, but not at all concerned about the politics of it. Because they see this, at least most.
Krystal Ball
Of them see this as a one term administration ideologue.
Steve Bannon
Yeah, they see this as the second term, Trump doesn't have to run again, and that this is their last chance to walk a lot of the stuff back that walk what happened back during the Biden administration. And just as we were talking Crystal, Tom Holman did a gaggle at the White House and he said that deporting 3,000 people a day is, quote, not enough. And said for Those that say 3,000 a day is too much, we have to arrest 7,000 every single day for the remainder of this administration just to catch the ones Biden released into the nation. And as we were just saying, I'm sure that math actually adds up because it was a really significant wave of immigration, the most significant since Ellis island, as David Leonard had written for the New York Times not too long ago. So, yeah, I think those numbers add up. But the only people that really, really is going to relish seeing that is the slice of the country that is hardcore Die Hard MAGA and the rest of the country. It's not as though they're just gonna be like, whatever, they're going to be revolted by it and it's gonna be a huge shot in the arm for the Democratic Party in the left as they try to mobilize in opposition to Trump 2.0 in. But Stephen Miller understands that that's a risk that they, from his perspective, have to take for like to have the policy outcome that he and Tom Holman want. The political risks they believe are well worth taking.
Krystal Ball
Well, and Stephen Miller was going to be an anti immigrant zealot regardless of what happened during the Biden administration, how many immigrants came in because he thinks it should be a white ethno state. And he believes in this. He does, he believes. I mean even Trump, I think, has.
Steve Bannon
A guy, he has said that, that.
Krystal Ball
Stephen Miller, Miller only wants white people here. That is his policy. And you increasingly have people like Charlie Kirk who are out and out admitting we need to have zero immigration from what do you call it, the third world, which again is just like we don't want brown people here. So the mask is kind of off for some of these guys. And he is in control. It is ultimately his policy and he is running it. In terms of the political fallout, the last point I'll make on this is because it's not just horror at what is being done to other people. It's also that when you have any federal law enforcement agency with this large of a budget who are doing things like snatching people off the street cuz they wrote an op ed and who are saying they're going to prioritize denaturalizing American citizens, you very quickly realize that. But this thing does not stay confined even among the immigrant population, even among the naturalized citizen population. You are constructing a mass surveillance state, a mass police state and that will have reverberating impacts for everyone. We already have seen American citizens who got picked up and detained for hours and hours because they, you know, had the wrong, were in the wrong place and had the wrong, wrong level of melanin in their skin and look like they might be an immigrant. And even if they had their papers, they weren't believed or they weren't listened to and were detained. But this, the increase in the ICE budget means those things are going to be happening more and more regularly. Palantir wants to build their big database of absolutely everyone. I mean, this is a mass operation that if the Stephen Millers of the world get their way, like I said, it's not just going to be about the way it impacts immigrants, although that part is important as we are all human beings and deserve some level of human rights and dignity. It's also going to impact everyone in this country. So I think we're kind of on the cusp of seeing that. And I think the best hope is just that there is a tremendous level of incompetence and they're not actually able to marshal the level of resources, the flooding of resources that they're being given.
Steve Bannon
I mean, that's a pretty decent bet.
Krystal Ball
It's a pretty, that's a strong possibility of that.
Steve Bannon
We've never seen a deportation effort on the scale in modern history. I mean, 7,000 a day. For Tom Homan's point, yes, they have a lot of money, but they also only have, what, three and a half years at this point to do it. It won't be popular with the public. So it's the, it's an uphill, uphill climb for them to be sure. That much we know.
Krystal Ball
All right, let's go ahead and get to Jeremy Scahill on Trump's meeting with Netanyahu this week.
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Krystal Ball
So, as we mentioned a couple of times earlier, Benjamin Netanyahu is in town this week in D.C. to meet with Trump once again. So to analyze this and the possibility of any sort of a ceasefire deal and what's going on in Iran and all sorts of other things, we're lucky to be joined by Jeremy Scahill, of course, co founder of Dropsite News. Great to see you again, Jeremy.
Tim Dillon
Thanks for having me back.
Krystal Ball
So let me just start with that question. What do you think is the consequence? What sort of things are going to be discussed at this meeting with Netanyahu and Trump?
Tim Dillon
Well, you know, of course, Donald Trump has said this is the final proposal for a Gaza ceasefire. And what we've seen over the past week or so is a process where the Israelis have essentially been negotiating with themselves within Netanyahu's power structure on what positions they want to stake out. The proposal that Trump put forward was drafted in consultation with the Israelis with primarily Ron Dermer, who is Netanyahu's lead official dealing with these negotiations. And Hamas for its side didn't do much in terms of revising the document, but they did zero in on three key things that they wanted changed. And basically one of them is they want a bit stronger language from Donald Trump confirming that he will continue to force Israel to hold its fire beyond an initial 60 day period so that a permanent ceasefire can be declared. Israel has pushed back very hard on that. They want to be able to resume the military assault on Gaza after two months if Netanyahu decides that's what he wants to do. The second is that they wanted to to have a reversion to the original ceasefire agreement's map positions for Israeli forces to withdraw from Gaza. Netanyahu has been saying that he wants to stay in the south of Gaza, that they want to create a zone along the Egypt border and try to force all of the Palestinians, 2 million-plus Palestinians, into this small sliver of the Gaza Strip. And then presumably they think that they would then fight a guerrilla war against Hamas fighters in the rest of the Gaza Strip. And then the final term that Hamas wanted changed had to do. And this is the one that I'm told this morning by Hamas officials is most central right now in the negotiations. Hamas wants unrestricted aid to flow into Gaza and they don't want this deadly aid scheme, cynically known as the Gaza Humanitarian foundation, to be in any way involved with the distribution of aid. So you have a delegation right now that Netanyahu, who grudgingly sent to Doha, Qatar, and I was told by a Hamas official this morning there's been absolutely zero progress in those talks. Another Palestinian close to the negotiations said that if Netanyahu insists on Israel controlling the aid, that it could be a deal breaker. But all parties involved, including Hamas, know that it's irrelevant what's happening right now in Doha. All that matters is what happens between Netanyahu and Trump if Trump decides he wants a deal. He's the only person in the world that can force Netanyahu to accept terms that he doesn't want to accept.
Krystal Ball
Yeah. As has always been.
Steve Bannon
Yeah. And you broke this down in your drop site report, which folks just saw up on the screen and can read and go into great depth and detail on Jeremy. So could you also flesh out for us what some of that stronger language might look like? Because I think when I hear that, at least I think stronger language, but, but what is like, does the stronger language still leave wiggle room for Netanyahu? And would that be part of something that Trump sort of comes to the table and says, you got to have the stronger language, we'll agree to the stronger language, but wink, wink, that's just stronger language. It's language at the end of the day. So can you tell us a little bit more about what Hamas is looking for when it comes to the language?
Tim Dillon
I mean, this is a really important question. I think it bears repeating that Israel has constantly violated cease fire agreements, including the agreement that Donald Trump and Joe Biden pushed through. That original January agreement wouldn't have happened without Donald Trump and Steve Witkoff. And Israel killed more than 160 Palestinians during the ceasefire. Then it unilaterally abandoned it and resumed the military assault on Gaza on March 18. And so as the discussions have happened, Emily, over the past couple of months since that ceasefire was blown up, Hamas has been pushing US Mediators. And there have been some direct talks between the United States and Hamas, something that Joe Biden wouldn't do, Trump has done. And during those talks, the Palestinians have said, you know, we hear what Donald Trump says, that he wants to end this war and he wants it to be definitively ended, but we need to have Israel bound to that agreement. And so, you know, it may seem like it's splitting hairs, but what Hamas wants is for very clear language that, that states that the United States, Egypt and Qatar. Egypt and Qatar are the regional mediators dealing with this ceasefire negotiation process, that they want them to guarantee that while Hamas and Israel negotiate a final resolution to the Gaza war, that the terms of the 60 day initial truce are going to apply, meaning Israel will not put a blockade on aid and meaning that Israel is not going to violate the ceasefire. Hamas knows that Israel will likely violate any agreement that it signs. So they're sort of struggling to find what is the best that we can get in this situation. And they believe that by having Trump publicly state that he is going to keep Israel in check because he wants a permanent end to the war. Now, we could talk about Trump's agenda and what he wants to see happen as a result of it, but there are indications that Trump actually does want this resolved. He also likely wants to expand the so called Abraham Accords. He may wanna make a deal with the decrepit, corrupt, unpopular leader of the Palestinian Authority. Whatever happens next, Hamas understands that it really only matters what Donald Trump wants and is willing to do right now. So that's why you see what appear to be kind of minor language changes actually meaning something to Hamas. And look, if you put the two versions next to each other, there is a big difference because they took out hedge language, they took out vague phrases like if necessary, they removed just Egypt and Qatar being the guarantors of that and reinsurgent the United States. It's possible that Trump is going to grant some concessions on this. The bigger issue really is going to be where do Israeli troops withdraw to if a cease fire is signed, because Netanyahu is saying they're going to remain there no matter what. And then this other issue of the aid, I mean, it's an unspeakable situation right now in Gaza. And I'm told that that is actually the main issue that is being debated and discussed right now.
Krystal Ball
So let's actually skip forward to talk more about that aid situation. The quote unquote, Gaza Humanitarian foundation that has been running the aid traps and corresponding massacres. There's an interview recently with the head of the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation. Now, this is the guy who replaced the original guy who stepped away after saying, I don't think that this is a good idea anymore. This is E3, guys. Let's go ahead and play a little bit of this interview. And then I want to get Jeremy's reaction on the other side.
I
We have spoken to doctors, British doctors, Western doctors, there's eyewitnesses on the scene who tell us that almost every Day, they are coming under fire from Israeli forces trying to get to the aid point just before. And as they leave, they are being fired on. What are you doing to ensure their safety?
Riley Herbs
I don't think anybody knows entirely what's happened in the Gaza Strip. From our point of view, based upon our experience on the ground, we don't see the evidence of this degree of mass casualties directly related to people seeking.
I
Aid, because you have absolutely zero way of verifying who's taken that aid.
Riley Herbs
While we can't verify that every individual pack of a flower, for instance, isn't somehow ending up in some place that it wasn't intended, what we can absolutely verify is that there is no mass diversion issue.
I
Based on what? Because you're not verifying the people who collect the food. There is no system. Their names are not anywhere. There's no id. And also, we have filmed your food being sold at astronomical prices on the black market.
Riley Herbs
I just have a question for you, Deborah. Do you have anything positive to say whatsoever about what we're doing? We've made a decision, and the decision is that it's worth operating in a war zone with all the complexity and all the risk, as deadly as it.
I
Is, because Gazans deserve food, and that is laudable. So my challenge to you is take us in. Let me come and see it for myself and report the good and the bad. Because if there is nothing to hide, and this process is exactly how you're explaining and you're saying it, if it's a good process, then let us film it. Be transparent.
Riley Herbs
That's not a decision I can make alone. I mean, there are lots of different aspects to that, including the diversion of resources solely dedicated to the people of Gaza. I would like to see from a few people in the press a little less cynicism.
Krystal Ball
A little less cynicism from us, Jeremy. So that was Reverend Johnny Moore, who is an evangelical leader and is now the new head of the Gaza Humanitarian foundation, saying there are no mass casualty events. But also, you can't come and see and verify for yourself.
Tim Dillon
Yeah, I mean, a couple of things. First of all, we have to understand this, not as an independent entity, but as an agent of the Israeli state. That's how Netanyahu and other Israeli officials have spoken about it. And mainstream major news organizations, including npr, the BBC, the Washington Post, have recently done exposes where American mercenaries who went to Gaza as part of this aid scam actually describe the lethal actions of their own operatives. We have Palestinians that have filmed the aftermath of these shootings. We have Doctors, including international doctors in Gaza that have described the sorts of wounds and fatal wounds that they have treated in the aftermath of people desperately trying to go and get what is actually a pittance of aid. While this clip sort of went viral and it was sort of portrayed as a gotcha moment, the journalist actually engaged in what I think is a bit of journalistic malpractice. She started questioning him about Hamas diverting the aid. Senior U.S. officials, including the head humanitarian officer from the Biden era, have said that there's no evidence of any significant theft of aid by Hamas. But just this morning and over the past few days, Yasser Abu Shabaab, who is the head of an Israeli and Palestinian Authority backed militia in Gaza, has openly said in Hebrew language media interviews that his forces have stolen aid to then distribute it to people that they want to give it to. So, you know, yes, there were really important things that came out of that interview. But also the journalist wasted so much time in her questioning based on an entirely false premise. The reality is, and I don't think anyone can dispute this, this Israel has used food as a weapon of war. And the Israeli cabinet over the weekend voted to intensify the use of food as a weapon of war. And they're rejecting, putting in charge a neutral independent body that had a very effective system for distributing aid. And it was not being stolen by Hamas. That's just the fact.
Steve Bannon
So Jeremy, have to get your take on this Wall Street Journal piece from Elliot Kaufman that published over the last couple of days. This is E2. We can put it up on the screen. I mean, just fascinating for a lot of reasons, especially from somebody who follows this, even just as a student of the media coverage, like yourself, Jeremy. So a new Palestinian offer for peace with Israel. Hebron sheikhs proposed to leave the Palestinian Authority and join the Abraham Accords. The reaction to this piece from people in the region, Jeremy, was really fascinating. Could you, could you tell us first of all what you make of the Journal dropping the story a couple of days before Netanyahu's visit and basically some of the reaction that has poured out since it was published.
Tim Dillon
I mean, throughout the history of Israel's occupation, you've always had small clusters of Palestinians that have sort of appeared to be more pro Israeli or maybe for their own reasons, want to try to cut a deal. I mean, the reality is this is a tiny fraction of the Palestinian population that is making this offer. And it's not even clear that they speak for the entire community of Hebron. You know, often when these Stories come up that appear to be presenting an alternative to established Palestinian political figures or movements that are about Palestinian liberation. They get an enormous amount of attention in the West. The reality is that this is based on basically a non story on the ground in Palestine. People are concerned about the genocide in Gaza and they're concerned about the largest forced displacement campaign in the occupied West bank since 1967. Fifteen members of Netanyahu's party, the Likud Party, over the weekend wrote a letter to Netanyahu saying now is the time to seize, to formally annex the entire territory of the occupied West Bank. So you know, these kinds of stories may be appealing to an op ed writer in the Wall Street Journal or sort of fun for coffee talk among people that delude themselves into believing that somehow you can co opt the Palestinian liberation struggle. But at the end of the day, the vast majority of Palestinians in poll after poll support the idea that they need an independent homeland, that it needs to be a unified one that that connects both Gaza, the occupied west bank and Jerusalem. So you know, I think that we have to look at this through the lens of who's really promoting this story because it really we're talking about a teeny tiny fraction of the Palestinian population that is advocating for this solution.
Krystal Ball
Lastly, Jeremy, just to circle back to the meeting today with Trump and Netanyahu. They'll obviously also be discussing Iran. Tucker Carlson just dropped his interview with the President of Iran. I haven't had a chance to watch it, but I'm seeing some of the clips floating around. Apparently he got asked about the supposed Iranian sleeper cells in the U.S. he denies that and says this is just being used basically to scare Americans. He also apparently revealed claimed that Israel had tried to assassinate him, which I don't think would be a big surprise to anyone. In any case, what is your understanding of what Israel's interest is with regard to Iran, what they would like to do and what we would like towhat they would like us to do on their behalf and what Trump himself's orientation towards Iran is at this point?
Tim Dillon
Well, I mean, I think it's pretty clear that Netanyahu wants full scale regime change in Iran. And you know, to his credit, even though there was a lot of speculation that Trump was going to go forward and actually, you know, assassinate the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and and bankroll and arm Israel as it actually enacted regime change in Iran, it doesn't seem to be as of now the direction that the United States wants to go in. But I think it's very likely that we will again see bombing of Iran. Whether it's only Israel or Israel and the United States remains to be seen. But Iran time and again has defied people's declarations that the end of the government is just on the horizon. And it really speaks to the bankrupt nature of the political media in the United States that it's left to Tucker Carlson to do interviews not just with the president of Iran, but with other figures that the United States has designated as official enemies. Anytime you get to hear the perspective of the people on the other side of American missiles, it helps to inform a society that purports to be Democratic. So. So we should have more hearing from people that live on the other side of American missiles. And at the end of the day, whether you're a conservative or a liberal or you're a political radical of some sort, more information means a better ability to make decisions. And I think there is a fundamental question that shouldn't only belong to the MAGA movement, and that is what is fundamentally in the US Interest. I would argue that none of these wars powers are in the US Interest. And I know that there's a minority section of Trump world that also, for their own reasons, believe that same thing. We can't continue this bankrupt neocon view of the world that the United States can be a hammer in search of nails. And we certainly shouldn't be doing Israel's agenda, because what Netanyahu wants, and clearly he has a lot of support for this in Israel, is to continue setting that region on fire. What may seem to be tactical victories right now in the short term could well produce a generation of people that seek to oppose the United States and Israel, that are far more radical than any of the forces that we now see in the region. It's born of an idea called blowback. And I think that Netanyahu can try to do his victory dance being the only leader that's been invited three times to see Trump. But Americans should really be asking, and I see increasingly conservatives asking this question, major media figures in the conservative ecosystem are asking these questions, and I think it's important. Why is the United States doing the bidding of this rogue regime in Israel? That's a serious question that should be on the table right now for all Americans.
Krystal Ball
Jeremy Scahill, well said as always, and great to see you, sir. Thank you so much for your reporting.
Tim Dillon
Thank you both.
Krystal Ball
All right, guys, that does it for us here today. I will be back for breaking points tomorrow, and then we'll have actually Sagar in for Emily on Wednesday and whatever useful chairs. Yeah, absolutely. We'll just keep you guys guessing out there. Thank you guys again so much for your support. We're going to go ahead and do that AMA Live now for Premium subscribers. If you are not a premium subscriber, you can become one@breakingpoints.com in any case, hope you guys have a great day and I will see you back here tomorrow.
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Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar
Episode: NYT Smears Zohran, Rogan Shocked By Alligator Alcatraz, Gaza Aid Group Massacres
Release Date: July 7, 2025
Overview
In this compelling episode of Breaking Points with Krystal and Saagar, hosts Krystal Ball and Saagar Enjeti delve into a range of critical topics that challenge mainstream narratives. From scrutinizing the New York Times' portrayal of political candidates to analyzing aggressive immigration policies and their societal impacts, the episode offers a fearless critique of established institutions and policies. Additionally, the duo engages with guest Jeremy Scahill to unpack the geopolitical implications of recent high-profile meetings involving Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu.
Krystal Ball opens the episode by addressing a controversial New York Times (NYT) story about Zorond Mamdani, a political figure who identified as both Asian and African American on his Columbia University college application. The discussion centers on the NYT's decision to highlight this as part of a broader narrative, which Krystal and Saagar argue is an attempt to smear Mamdani.
Steve Bannon's insights add depth to the conversation, suggesting that while he doesn't place undue importance on his influence due to recent setbacks, he recognizes the significance of understanding political dynamics.
The hosts critique the NYT for potentially using hacked documents from dubious sources to advance a biased story, undermining their credibility.
A significant portion of the episode focuses on the Trump administration's aggressive immigration stance, particularly mass deportations and raids targeting seemingly law-abiding immigrants.
Tim Dillon criticizes the administration's inhumane methods, mocking the idea of imprisoning immigrants in locations like Alligator Alcatraz to make deportations seem "more humane."
Steve Bannon emphasizes the administration's commitment to mass deportations, despite public disapproval, highlighting the internal conflicts between policy execution and public perception.
Krystal Ball further explores the implications, noting that such policies not only target immigrants but also contribute to the creation of a mass surveillance state impacting all Americans.
The hosts critique mainstream media outlets, particularly the NYT, for their inconsistent standards in reporting. They argue that the NYT's focus on Mamdani's racial identification is an example of media bias aimed at undermining political opponents.
In an in-depth interview, Jeremy Scahill, co-founder of Democracy Now!, joins Krystal and Saagar to discuss the high-stakes meeting between former President Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
Key Discussion Points:
Ceasefire Negotiations in Gaza:
Scahill outlines the complexities of the ceasefire proposal, highlighting Hamas's demands for stronger language to ensure Israel's adherence to the truce.
Iran's Role and Regional Stability:
The conversation touches on Iran's influence in the region and Israel's persistent desire for regime change, emphasizing the potential for increased instability.
AEconomic and Humanitarian Concerns:
The discussion also covers the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, critiquing organizations like the Gaza Humanitarian Foundation for alleged mismanagement and diversion of aid.
Krystal and Bannon analyze how aggressive immigration policies are affecting public perception, noting a decline in favorability towards Trump among the general populace. However, the administration remains steadfast, largely supported by the hardcore MAGA base.
Krystal Ball contends that while the MAGA base supports these policies, broader public opposition could pose significant challenges to the administration's agenda.
The episode wraps up with reflections on the broader implications of current policies and media practices. Krystal and Saagar emphasize the need for independent media to hold powerful institutions accountable and warn of the dangers posed by unchecked governmental power and media bias.
Conclusion
This episode of Breaking Points offers a thorough and critical examination of contemporary political and media landscapes. By dissecting the New York Times' reporting practices, scrutinizing aggressive immigration policies, and exploring international geopolitical dynamics, Krystal Ball and Saagar Enjeti provide listeners with a nuanced understanding of the forces shaping today's society. The inclusion of guest Jeremy Scahill enriches the discussion, offering valuable insights into the implications of high-level political maneuvers on global stability and humanitarian concerns.
Notable Quotes:
Krystal Ball [17:47]:
"The New York Times doesn't have a consistent standard here. They do not."
Steve Bannon [03:19]:
"Mamdani can bring people out. Populism is the future of politics."
Tim Dillon [21:57]:
"They fire up Chumba Casino... How is this really the issue?"
Jeremy Scahill [43:13]:
"Hamas wants unrestricted aid to flow into Gaza and they don't want this deadly aid scheme to be involved."
Krystal Ball [35:08]:
"His base is with him. They will justify anything."