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JVL
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Sarah Longwell
Yeah, that's what we're doing.
JVL
So you and I are not protest people. My temperament.
Sarah Longwell
I went to my very first rally on Friday for the free Andre before the show that we did. And that was my first rally like that. I've seen many people living in Washington D.C. do such things. I've been invited to many, many things over the years. But it's just, you're right, it is not my temperament to rally. But.
JVL
No, but for different reasons you and I like, I mean my, my reasons for not going to these things because there are people and I don't, I just generally don't like being around the people. And when I have to be around people, I judge them. And so like, you know, getting me to rally against a cause, the surest way to do that is putting me at a rally for the cause, whatever it is. Take me to an ICE Cream day rally. And I'm going to be like, yeah, you know what? Ice cream blows. You people are suckers. You, I think, are probably just a little more of your. Your lapsed Republicanism. Right? Like, you look at this like the Big Lebowski. You're like, get a job. Yeah, the bums had their chance, Mr. Lebowski, and they lost.
Sarah Longwell
I think a little bit of it is that for a long time, it's just such a. It's been sort of a social justice posture to think, like, we gotta. Everything needs a protest, and it didn't matter, like, right or left. Like, I never would have done tea party stuff. It's just not.
JVL
That's what I'm saying. These things are like temperament. Yeah, they're just temperament. Right.
Sarah Longwell
They're.
JVL
They're. They're deep down, character, logical things.
Sarah Longwell
That being said, I do recognize the importance of bodies in the streets at certain times, and I think we're maybe just. We're getting to a place where. Now, I guess. I guess it's true that during Black Lives Matter, I did some standing on the street. Good for you. You went out in the very early days, like where we line 16th Street a little bit, and we, like, took our kids because it was. I don't know. The point is, it's not something I do very often, but I have been feeling of late, and by. Of late, I mean, since Donald Trump, you know, that the part of me that says, no, this does require people to do something. Like, I can feel that sort of welling up in me in a way that. Where. Even the women's march, where I felt deeply sympathetic, like I didn't attend, and I just still felt like, this isn't for me, like the. The hats and the. The signs, but I'm the Vera Bradley bag.
JVL
Yeah.
Sarah Longwell
I don't know what that is. I actually think somebody was. I think we were asked about this at the show. Did you listen to the big gay show?
JVL
I haven't. I haven't. Yeah, I can't wait to.
Sarah Longwell
Well, we were. We were asked. They, like, we did a thing where we did straights versus the gays, and they showed us a picture of a bag. I didn't know what it was, but I think it was that Vera Bradley, whatever that is.
JVL
There you go. It's a. It's a middle aged, blind mom thing. You're not there.
Sarah Longwell
Okay, so tell me what you make of these protests.
JVL
Yeah, I don't. I don't know. And again, so I. I start by understanding my blind spots. Here, which is that I don't like protests, not for me. But protest movements can be really powerful and they can achieve things. Right. The Solidarity movement in Poland, which helped bring about the end of the Soviet empire. The color revolutions in Eastern Europe. The civil rights movement in America, which is like a 14 year long struggle. The Tesla takedown, very, very recent vintage, very. I mean, as these things are a pretty small scale protest, we're talking hundreds of thousands of people, not tens of millions, maybe a very, very real difference. So they can matter. They can also not matter. I think at the end of the day, this is without passing any value judgment on Occupy Wall street or Black Lives Matter or like the Campus Gaza protests, just from a purely. Did this create an outcome that was helpful to the cause? I think the answer is pretty clearly no, they didn't. And they, they can be counterproductive.
Sarah Longwell
Yes.
JVL
You know, I would say the, the Unite the Right rally in Charlottesville probably wound up hurting the cause of white nationalists overall. Right. And that was a rally and a protest. We think, you know, we think of always like rallies and protests as being on our side, but they, they happen on all sides. So you don't know, you don't know what you're getting when you, when you open up that box and you have a protest movement. And the other thing I struggle with is this idea of like, well, they got to be non violent.
Sarah Longwell
Yeah.
JVL
The reason I struggle with that is because, I mean, there are 330 million people in this country. You put 100,000 or even just 10,000 people on the street, like you do that at a football game, somebody's going to be violent. Right. And there is no, there's no such thing as a perfect protest. Right. I mean, they're messy. These things like all human endeavors are, they're messy. And that, you know, we don't. Sorry. Go ahead.
Sarah Longwell
Leaders. I'm sorry. I apologize. When I think about perfect protests, I don't know that I agree that there were wasn't such a thing. Like the protest movement that Martin Luther King led and the civil rights movement was enormously cognizant of the PR components of protests. They understood that they had to be nonviolent, they had to show peace and solidarity, but that the face that they wanted to show the world had to be one that, you know, didn't invoke backlash and they were just, they were just smart about it. Whereas I think today the absence of a leader who can set the tone for these things and can, can lead a movement in such a way that people are following a person's lead, I think, is just a big part of the problem. Right? Like if, because, because to your point to imagine trying to. You're trying to control what you can, but then there's a bunch of people there who are like, oh, yeah, but I want to set some waymos on fire.
JVL
Yeah. And you had that during the civil rights movement too, right? I mean, you had Malcolm X leading a more militant branch of the civil rights movement. And, you know, you had the Black Panthers and later New Black. I mean, that's what I'm saying. Like, these things are always, you know, like, they're always messy and they're always going to be able to, you know, put 10,000 people together, somebody somewhere is going to shove someone or throw a water bottle or something. And like, if, if, if your standard is like, they got to be totally perfect, well, then what your standard is is like they, there can't be protests at all. And I don't think that I'm with that. I think that they probably, probably are good. Another component is they can't go on for forever, right? People's capacity to live in that is pretty, pretty time limited, I would say, in history of protest movements. Like, one to three years is pretty much, you know, like the, the median for very serious protest movements. Like, I don't know what the point of protesting now, four months into the Trump administration is. Like, what's the end goal? What's the decision point? Also, what's the ask? Right? I mean, this is a. There's something I talked with Bill about. I mean, people, I think, are protesting what they believe to be and I believe to be. I agree with them. Right? Like really bad, inhumane law enforcement actions, but legal law enforcement actions for the most part, because this is what people voted for. Part of me is like, I don't know, don't you save your, save your protest for like, Kilmar Abrego Garcia, where he has been, you know, illegally extradited, Right? And just like ICE agents being terrible and carrying out a horribly immoral policy that's different than illegal. Like, you know, saying, like, part of me is just like, document it all. Like, come out, come out on the streets. Don't protest it. Just come out on the streets with your cameras and just videotape all of it, right? Get all of that stuff published out into the world so the world can see what the government does. But, like, I don't know. I mean, do you want to go to the mattresses on this? I don't Know, do you see what I'm saying? Like, you know, can you focus on illegal stuff? But maybe this is wrong. As I said, I have many more questions than answers.
Sarah Longwell
Yeah, I mean, I'm just thinking it through with you, I think, part. Because I'll be honest, this would not have been my flashpoint, probably. I think the disappearing people to the foreign prisons without due process for me is a much easier thing to show up for. Although, you know, what's happening in la, it's like, here's the problem is, like, this goes back a long way. Like, essentially what happened in our country is that we made a tacit agreement culturally that, yeah, we knew there was a lot of people here illegally that were either overstaying their visas or had come here from someplace. And now they were cleaning houses and they were going to the Home Depot and they were working on construction crews and they were working in the fields and they were working in kitchens and the rest.
JVL
And we're citizens who went to college, right?
Sarah Longwell
Yeah. And like, and, and we basically just. Everybody kind of said as a. Like, we don't have the system to process everybody. And so we're all gonna just. It's sort of like weed, I feel like in the 70s or something where. Or 80s where it's like, yeah, it's illegal, but, like, everyone's doing it and there's a whole cultural movement around it and cops, like, yeah, they bust people for it, but also lots of times they don't. And, and some people get to get away with it more than other people get away with it. And so I just, I feel like then we suddenly changed the contract, right? Like, Donald Trump came in and said, no, we're going to, we're going to get rid of everybody who now. But he did. And this is you. And I've talked about this a lot. I know that Donald Trump gave people a pretty clear vision of what he wanted to do. Like, if you came here illegally, you're going back. But like, a lot of people, they were so used to that tacit agreement that under the table agreement, we all just lived with that they were like, well, I heard criminals and gang members, not the person who's lived here for 15 years, who has American children and who's been cleaning houses or working hard, driving a truck, whatever it is they've been doing. Like, they're part of the community. And so you can't tear people out of a community. This is what happened with Carol, right? When somebody is embedded in a community and then you take them out, people Are like, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait a minute. This is not what I meant. Because this is part of this thing we've been all been doing for a long time that we understood and was cool. I thought you were going to go after bad guys. And then everybody else says, no, no, no, guys. He was pretty clear he was going to deport millions and millions and millions of people. And if you think that, you know, 20 million people are criminal, are like, they're here illegally, like, they did do a thing that's not legal, but they did it at a time when America was like, yeah, we know every. No, people are doing this. And then we're basically just putting them to work. And because we never put in. It's our fault. We never built a system that was meant to deal with these people. So, yeah, you can't just go rip them out of communities now without expecting some backlash.
JVL
Yeah, yeah. And. And it's. I don't know. So this is my, My question to you then is. And maybe this is sort of an academic question, because the truth is, none of us have any control over protest. Protest movements are like, you know, the patterns. Flocks of birds fly in or fish, right. Where they're evading a predator. It's a whole school of them. They all change direction at the same time and move. And that's. That's kind of how protest movements are. Right. There's no real way to, you know, unless there's a special leader who emerges to really take control of them, which can be either good or bad, by the way. And they just sort of have a mind of their own. And. But I don't know, is this kind of thing you feel like, yeah, like we should push a lot of chips into the. Into the table and center of the table on this one, or make you a little nervous?
Sarah Longwell
Here's the thing. I do know that Donald Trump wants this to happen. And so I think that makes it hard for me to feel great about it happening, is because he is desperately looking for a reason. He's just sitting there saying, give me a reason to come in and screw you guys up. Give me a reason to put the Marines in there. And I know that voters, their reflexive desire to not like chaos, like people in the streets, things being on fire. Trump will come out ahead on this. If there are fires being set and violence in the streets, people will want that to end. End. And this is where Trump is gonna, I think, be able to bolster himself. Even though we're gonna sit here, we're essentially screaming about process. And everybody else is like, put those fires out. Get the people off the street. And we're sitting there saying like, well, but people get to protest. And obviously we want it to be non violent and we want it to be peaceful and you can't control a few bad apples. But like, that's the problem with movements is you will get judged by some of your most destructive people unless you can develop an overwhelming corresponding sort of national effort so that you overwhelm with peaceful protests the very small amount of violent protests. But right now, I mean, literally every headline is like.
JVL
On fire. Right?
Sarah Longwell
Everything's on fire. Everything's a catastrophe. And so let me, let me though.
JVL
Offer you a counter example.
Sarah Longwell
Okay.
JVL
There was a protest movement in America not that long ago in which people walked around with long guns and improvised weapons and they went to the United States Capitol and they, they made a, you know, they vandalized America's capital and beat up police and, and those people are now patriots and martyrs and it did not seem to hurt their movement at all. That's not true because they, they had a lot of conviction, right? They had the courage of their convictions. They believed that American democracy had been thwarted. And so they took direct action, as our, as our Marxist friends would say from the 1970s. And, and it worked out okay for them. This is what I just, what I'm, what I'm trying to say is, like, there aren't ironclad rules. There's just like exceptions to everything here. Right? And sometimes it breaks one way and sometimes it breaks the other. And it's really hard to understand why. I guess.
Sarah Longwell
Yeah, I don't think it all worked out. I mean, it did ultimately in the sense that Trump pardoned them, but many of them went to prison and went to prison for several years. And it is, the wrongness of that, is the fact that Trump pardoned them like that is. But it, of course it did damage to Republicans in the short term, not the kind of damage it should have done.
JVL
I don't know.
Sarah Longwell
But to say there was no effect.
JVL
Did it, did it damage Republicans? I don't know if Republicans lost many elections because of that. Like Trump, they lost it 22 because.
Sarah Longwell
Of Dobbs and January 6th, like democracy, like, I think the 2022 wave that never crested was a little bit punishment for January 6, punishment for the Trumpy candidates and punishment for Dobbs maybe.
JVL
I mean, we're really squinting pretty hard though, to see that. Then, you know, like, like it. I don't know. I'm just saying, like Sometimes a movement can get away with this stuff, and it's hard to. It's hard to parse why.
Sarah Longwell
Here's the. Here's my bigger question to you. I think that there should be a mass mobilization against Donald Trump, and I think it should be whatever inspires mass mobilization. I think my question is, like, do you. Are you able to build mass mobilization off of L. A, off of this issue? Or is there. Are there other things that would sort of. Because the reason they're uncontainable is because they are a. An act of sort of last resort to make a visible sign. Right. Your lobbying's not working or whatever. Like, you need to put your body somewhere to show up, to show people how upset you are. And I wonder if this is a moment or if you're going to end up with, like, all of these little micro moments that don't layer up to something big, maybe.
JVL
And I will see you tomorrow.
Sarah Longwell
Yeah. Gonna go to a ball game together.
JVL
Meat space. You'll be next to my meat heat. We'll see you later, guys. Good luck.
Sarah Longwell
Bye.
Podcast Summary: Bulwark Takes – "Could The Rage after LA Defeat Trump or Embolden Him?"
Introduction
In the June 9, 2025 episode of Bulwark Takes, hosted by The Bulwark's team member JVL and publisher Sarah Longwell, the discussion centers around the escalating tensions following the Trump administration's intensified ICE deportations targeting Los Angeles. This episode delves into the effectiveness of protests in influencing political outcomes, particularly in the context of President Donald Trump's controversial immigration policies.
Current Situation: ICE Deportations in Los Angeles
The episode opens with JVL highlighting the severity of the Trump administration's actions in Los Angeles. The administration has ramped up mass deportations, leading to widespread protests against ICE (Immigration and Customs Enforcement) raids. This aggressive stance has not only provoked significant public outcry but also led President Trump to deploy the National Guard against California's Governor's wishes, exacerbating the already tense situation.
Effectiveness of Protests: A Double-Edged Sword
JVL initiates a critical examination of protests, questioning their efficacy. He draws parallels with historical movements, such as Poland's Solidarity movement and America's civil rights struggle, to explore whether contemporary protests like those against ICE are achieving their intended outcomes.
Sarah Longwell acknowledges the traditional role of protests in social justice but expresses skepticism about their current impact, especially in the absence of unifying leadership.
Historical Context and Leadership in Movements
The conversation shifts to the significance of leadership in protest movements. Sarah emphasizes the strategic non-violence of the civil rights movement, contrasting it with modern protests that lack clear leadership and PR strategies, which can lead to mixed public perceptions.
JVL adds that no protest can be entirely free of violence due to the sheer number of participants, arguing that expecting perfection is unrealistic.
Impact of Trump's Policies on Protest Dynamics
The discussion delves deeper into how Trump's hardline immigration policies have disrupted previously tacit social agreements regarding undocumented immigrants. Sarah explains that long-standing under-the-table agreements allowed communities to absorb undocumented workers, but Trump's stance has shattered this balance, leading to widespread community backlash.
JVL reflects on the unpredictable nature of protest movements, citing the recent Capitol riot as an example where violent protests failed to achieve meaningful support, ultimately harming their cause.
Challenges in Mobilizing Mass Protests Against Trump
Sarah raises concerns about whether the current situation in Los Angeles can serve as a catalyst for a broader national mobilization against Trump. She fears that Trump may exploit any ensuing chaos to strengthen his position, especially if violent incidents become prominent in media portrayals of protests.
JVL counters by questioning the consistency of the impacts of protest movements, noting that some have succeeded despite apparent setbacks.
Potential Outcomes and Future Directions
The hosts ponder whether the current rage and protest movements will culminate in a significant shift against Trump or simply fragment into smaller, less impactful actions. They discuss the importance of a clear end goal and the necessity for large-scale, sustained efforts to outbalance any negative perceptions caused by isolated violent incidents.
JVL concludes by emphasizing the unpredictable nature of protest movements and the challenges in steering them towards desired outcomes without clear leadership.
Conclusion
The episode of Bulwark Takes presents a nuanced exploration of the current protest landscape in the United States, particularly in response to the Trump administration's immigration policies. While acknowledging the historical power of protests in driving societal change, both JVL and Sarah Longwell express concerns about the effectiveness and strategic direction of contemporary movements. They highlight the complexities introduced by aggressive political tactics and the absence of unified leadership, questioning whether the current wave of dissent can either defeat Trump or inadvertently strengthen his political footing.
Notable Quotes
Key Takeaways
This engaging and comprehensive discussion provides listeners with a deep understanding of the complexities surrounding modern protest movements and their potential ramifications on the political scene, especially in the context of President Trump's policies and actions.