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Tim Miller
Hey guys, it's Tim Miller from the Bulwark. Bad news. The Vice Poster in Chief, J.D.
Bill Kristol
Vance, is back on social media.
Tim Miller
I was talking yesterday with Bill Kristol about how he'd been very quiet.
Bill Kristol
I thought, who knew, maybe he had gotten a spanking from Daddy Trump or maybe he, you know, didn't want to defend the tariffs. I wasn't sure why he wasn't posting.
Tim Miller
Who knows what that reason was? Because he's back and at it this morning. And let me tell you, what JD has put out there should put a chill down your spine if you're worried about your 401k right now because the Vice President United States is using his typical condescending, obnoxious manner to lecture you. If you are at all concerned about the direction of the stock market under the Trump Vance administration, let's go to the tape here.
Bill Kristol
And then I want to talk a.
Tim Miller
Little bit about what else we're hearing from people around Trump Vance with regards to the economic disruption that these guys.
Bill Kristol
Are engineering for no reason. Here's J.D.
Tim Miller
It'S bizarre to see all these limousine socialists screech desperately for dependence on Chinese supply chains and inflated equities.
Bill Kristol
Inflated equities? What. What are you talking. What was inflate? Did you guys campaign on this? I mean, Bill Kristol pointed this out in reply to him. I don't remember Trump and Vance campaigning on saying that equities were inflated, that the market was inflated, that we needed.
Tim Miller
To bring the value of American businesses down.
Bill Kristol
I don't recall that. I thought we were told about there was a golden age coming. I thought we were told that Kamala Harris was going to engineer a depression and that if Donald Trump came in, everybody was going to be rich. That's what they sold. Now it's the vice president out there saying that equities are inflated. That is wild. I can tell you about one inflated equity that I'd be interested in hearing about. The Trump shit coin. You know, your boss is running a fake cryptocurrency.
Tim Miller
That equity is inflated for sure because its value is zero. And, and there are. Speaking of Chinese, there are Chinese crypto investors. And who else, who knows who else.
Bill Kristol
Pumping money into Donald Trump's pocket.
Tim Miller
Meanwhile, we had another headline this morning.
Bill Kristol
Saying that the Department of Justice was.
Tim Miller
Shutting down its crypto investigations unit.
Bill Kristol
So. So we do have some inflated equities. They're mostly in the Trump scam vertical of our economy. But for everybody else, for people who are just invested in regular companies who have a diversified portfolio for businesses that are doing their best to create jobs and create wealth in this company, in this country, rather, their equities are inflated. I don't remember that pitch. So I don't know if we're screeching. I guess to the extent that there's any screeching, we're screeching about the value of our college funds and our 401ks going into the fucking toilet because you guys are having a temper tantrum and Donald Trump really likes the word tariffs. Look, and on this other part of.
Tim Miller
The tweet, this dependence on Chinese supply.
Bill Kristol
Chains, literally the Biden administration was working on this. That was the whole point of the CHIPS Act. That was the point of the Infrastructure Act. We are reshoring important parts of the manufacturing system, particularly when it comes to microchips. We're reassuring that because we didn't want.
Tim Miller
To be dependent on Chinese supply chains.
Bill Kristol
I think there was like a bipartisan.
Tim Miller
Agreement that the US And China needed to decouple at least to some degree. Maybe some would argue a little more.
Bill Kristol
Some would argue a little less.
Tim Miller
But like no one is arguing for that.
Bill Kristol
Like this is just a fake straw man in order to try to cover for the fact that like you're creating some noble rationalization for the fact that you're making us all poor.
Tim Miller
Sorry, J.D.
Bill Kristol
Not interested in becoming poor.
Tim Miller
Just so you know, you can like advance your reactionary ideological ends.
Bill Kristol
So, you know, a couple other pieces of evidence that I'm not alone on this. There was a Anonymous.
Tim Miller
These guys never have any chutzpah, do they?
Bill Kristol
An anonymous Trump donor, big donor, told Rolling Stone this. I'm not willing to go public yet. But I will say this. I don't know if I would be this worried about what will happen to the economy if Bernie fucking Sanders were president. That's how bad this is. And there's very little time to fix the situation and turn the ship around that I, that's not me. That's not somebody with Trump derangement syndrome. That's not us, Never Trumpers. That's not a liberal. That's not somebody who likes Bernie Sanders saying that. That is a Trump donor, a rich guy, a capitalist, saying Trump might have been a worse option than Bernie.
Tim Miller
So J.D.
Bill Kristol
You know, it's not the limousine socialists.
Tim Miller
That you got to worry about. It's the people that funded you and.
Bill Kristol
Put you in there that are concerned.
Tim Miller
About the decreased value of their so called inflated equities.
Bill Kristol
The guys running these companies don't think.
Tim Miller
Their equities are inflated.
Bill Kristol
The workers are getting paid? Don't think so. So, you know, like this whole thing.
Tim Miller
Is just an absolute mess. We had Trump. One more clip. We had Trump a couple of days ago. Summon this all up. Let's watch.
Donald Trump
Is there a Trump put, though? Is there a mark? Is there pain in the market? At some point? You're unwilling to tolerate this idea of a Trump put, but is there a threshold?
Unknown Speaker
I think your question is so stupid. I mean, I think it's a. I don't want anything to go down, but sometimes you have to take medicine to fix something.
Bill Kristol
Take our medicine.
Tim Miller
Put that on a red hat.
Bill Kristol
Take our medicine.
Tim Miller
These guys are flailing.
Bill Kristol
We're having a little market rebound this morning. We'll see how long that lasts.
Tim Miller
But I think that the broader signs. I was binging CNBC yesterday on the plane. You know, things are bad when you're binging CNBC and you just listen to experts and the market's going to fluctuate up and down. But the way that they have created structural pain, that's going to be hard to untangle, cannot be overstated. And these little Twitter temper changes from JD Vance to me just reveal that they know how big of deep doo doo they're in when it comes to the economy and the value of our equities. So there you go. We'll keep an eye on JD Vance's Twitter feed so you don't have to. Everybody subscribe to the feed. Tell your friends I'll be back. We got a couple good interviews today, so we'll be seeing you soon.
Release Date: April 8, 2025
Hosts: Tim Miller, Bill Kristol
Podcast: Bulwark Takes by The Bulwark
In this episode of Bulwark Takes, hosts Tim Miller and Bill Kristol delve into the perplexing social media activities of J.D. Vance, the Vice President of the United States under the Trump administration. The discussion centers around Vance's recent tweets regarding tariffs, his stance on the stock market, and the broader economic implications of his comments. The hosts offer a critical analysis of Vance's policies and rhetoric, highlighting inconsistencies and potential economic repercussions.
Tim Miller opens the conversation by addressing JD Vance's sudden re-emergence on social media:
[00:00] Tim Miller: "Hey guys, it's Tim Miller from the Bulwark. Bad news. The Vice Poster in Chief, J.D. Vance, is back on social media."
Bill Kristol expresses surprise at Vance's return after a period of silence:
[00:11] Bill Kristol: "I thought, who knows, maybe he had gotten a spanking from Daddy Trump or maybe he, you know, didn't want to defend the tariffs. I wasn't sure why he wasn't posting."
The hosts speculate on the reasons behind Vance's hiatus and subsequent return, suggesting it may be strategic rather than based on any specific incident.
The core of the discussion revolves around Vance's tweets, which critique the current administration's handling of tariffs and express concerns about inflated equities.
Tim Miller summarizes Vance's approach:
[00:22] "Because he's back and at it this morning. And let me tell you, what JD has put out there should put a chill down your spine if you're worried about your 401k right now because the Vice President United States is using his typical condescending, obnoxious manner to lecture you."
Bill Kristol challenges Vance's assertion that equity markets are inflated:
[01:20] Bill Kristol: "Inflated equities? What. What are you talking. What was inflate? Did you guys campaign on this? I mean, Bill Kristol pointed this out in reply to him. I don't remember Trump and Vance campaigning on saying that equities were inflated, that the market was inflated, that we needed to."
Kristol recalls a different narrative from the administration, where prosperity was promised under Trump, contrasting sharply with Vance's current stance.
Vance's comments on reducing dependence on Chinese supply chains are another focal point. The hosts argue that previous administrations had similar goals without the negative repercussions Vance implies.
Tim Miller refers to Vance's tweet:
[03:27] "The tweet, this dependence on Chinese supply."
Bill Kristol counters by highlighting bipartisan efforts to decouple from China:
[03:29] Bill Kristol: "Chains, literally the Biden administration was working on this. That was the whole point of the CHIPS Act. That was the point of the Infrastructure Act. We are reshoring important parts of the manufacturing system, particularly when it comes to microchips."
He emphasizes that reducing dependence on China has been a long-term strategic goal, not a novel or destabilizing policy introduced by Vance.
The hosts shift focus to the concept of inflated equities, particularly criticizing Vance's support for Trump's cryptocurrency ventures.
Bill Kristol sarcastically questions the notion of inflated equities, referencing Trump's "fake cryptocurrency":
[02:16] Bill Kristol: "I can tell you about one inflated equity that I'd be interested in hearing about. The Trump shit coin. You know, your boss is running a fake cryptocurrency."
Tim Miller echoes this sentiment, dismissing the value of such ventures:
[02:29] Tim Miller: "Meanwhile, we had another headline this morning... the Department of Justice was shutting down its crypto investigations unit."
This critique extends to the broader economic landscape, suggesting that most inflated equities are tied to questionable ventures like those supported by Trump and Vance.
The conversation highlights underlying economic issues, referencing broader market instabilities and structural problems.
Bill Kristol alludes to the golden age promises that have not materialized:
[01:39] Bill Kristol: "I thought we were told about there was a golden age coming. I thought we were told that Kamala Harris was going to engineer a depression and that if Donald Trump came in, everybody was going to be rich. That's what they sold."
Tim Miller connects these broken promises to the current economic distress:
[02:37] "The guys running these companies don't think. Their equities are inflated."
They discuss how these broken promises have led to decreased trust in the administration's economic policies, affecting investments like 401(k) plans and college funds.
The hosts reference anonymous Trump donors expressing doubts about the administration's economic direction, hinting at internal fears about potential economic downturns.
Bill Kristol shares insights from a private Trump donor:
[04:22] Bill Kristol: "There was a Anonymous Trump donor, big donor, told Rolling Stone this. I'm not willing to go public yet. But I will say this. I don't know if I would be this worried about what will happen to the economy if Bernie fucking Sanders were president. That's how bad this is."
This revelation underscores significant unease among key financial backers regarding the sustainability of the current economic policies.
A brief clip of Donald Trump is played, where he discusses the concept of a "Trump put"—a term used to describe a safety net for the stock market.
[05:44] Donald Trump: "Is there a Trump put, though? Is there a mark? Is there pain in the market? At some point? You're unwilling to tolerate this idea of a Trump put..."
Bill Kristol responds with derision:
[06:03] "Take our medicine."
The hosts interpret Trump's remarks as further evidence of the administration's failing grip on market confidence, leading to increased volatility and uncertainty.
Tim Miller wraps up the discussion by emphasizing the broader economic distress and the administration's inability to manage it effectively:
[06:12] "But the way that they have created structural pain, that's going to be hard to untangle, cannot be overstated. And these little Twitter temper changes from JD Vance to me just reveal that they know how big of deep doo doo they're in when it comes to the economy and the value of our equities."
The episode concludes with an affirmation that the Bulwark team will continue to monitor JD Vance's public statements and provide critical analysis to their audience.
JD Vance's Tweets: Vance's recent social media activity criticizes the administration's economic policies, particularly tariffs and the state of the stock market.
Inflated Equities: Hosts argue that Vance's claims of inflated equities are unfounded, pointing out the administration's own questionable financial ventures.
Dependence on China: Efforts to reduce dependence on Chinese supply chains have been a bipartisan strategy, contrary to Vance's portrayal.
Insider Concerns: Anonymous Trump donors express deep worries about the administration's economic direction, suggesting internal instability.
Market Confidence: Trump's remarks about a "Trump put" highlight and exacerbate existing market insecurities, indicating a lack of confidence in the administration's ability to stabilize the economy.
Bill Kristol:
"[01:39] 'I thought we were told about there was a golden age coming. I thought we were told that Kamala Harris was going to engineer a depression and that if Donald Trump came in, everybody was going to be rich.'"
Tim Miller:
"[06:12] 'The way that they have created structural pain, that's going to be hard to untangle, cannot be overstated.'"
Donald Trump (Clip):
"[05:44] 'Is there a Trump put, though? Is there a mark? Is there pain in the market?'"
This episode of Bulwark Takes offers a critical examination of JD Vance's economic rhetoric, revealing significant concerns about the current administration's policies and their impact on the American economy. Through incisive dialogue and pointed critiques, Tim Miller and Bill Kristol provide listeners with a comprehensive understanding of the underlying economic tensions and leadership challenges facing the Trump-Vance administration.