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Political Commentator 1 (1:00)
Hey, y'.
Political Commentator 2 (1:00)
All.
Political Commentator 3 (1:00)
A couple hours ago I was on MSNBC with Katie Tur and I was in a different shirt. So the shirt's gonna change halfway through this video. But you know, you guys, we get, we know each other at this point, it's fine. I can be in different shirts. I was just thinking when I was doing school pickup on about the conversation we were having. And, and you know, it was this very, it kind of started as this very kind of DC Focus. Who's interviewing Jake Sherman, who's great, covering the Hill on Punchbowl about, like, what are the political implications of the shutdown and how could the shutdown come to an end and how are negotiations happening on the Hill? And this is like how the shutdown has usually been covered traditionally, right? It's like one party wants to shut down the government because they're trying to get something or because they're trying to decrease spending. You know, they have leverage on it. There are other people that have specific asks and like the question is, can they come to the table? You know, will Obama negotiate with Boehner? Like this is, you know, will the Freedom Caucus guys negotiate with Paul Ryan? Like that was the history of these things, at least the modern history of them. This one's a little different, right? Because the House and Senate Democrats do have a substantive ask, you know, which is these Obamacare subsidies and that's like the stated reason for the shutdown. But nobody's negotiating. They don't really have a counterparty for that. And I think most of us believe that, like well, that's the stated reason for the shutdown. Like, the unstated reason for the shutdown is the Democrats trying to use any lever of power they have to demonstrate they're going to stand up against this authoritarian, lawless administration, this regime. And, and so with, in that context, it's kind of like, well, you know, is so and so in the Connecticut's third district, who's vulnerable because of healthcare? Like that kind of stuff, right? Like, can you get the moderate faction from the other party to agree with you? Like, there is no Republican moderate faction. The only Republican speaking out about this is Marjorie T. Green. Right. And so I though it's just the wrong prism to look at this through, right? Like, eventually it will have to come to an end. Eventually there'll be some kind of negotiation. But, like, what's happening right now is power politics. And Trump is trying to do power politics by demonstrating that he can fund whoever he wants, whenever he wants. He's going to be lawless. He doesn't care about the shutdown. He'll just fund the troops and not fund these other projects. He'll fire government workers. You know, so, like, there are real consequences for the government workers that are being laid off. And that's serious. So, like that, I don't want to ignore that. But like the as, as from the political standpoint, like Trump didn't care about them, Trump doesn't feel any political pressure. House and Senate Republicans are just going to do whatever Trump wants. So if Trump doesn't feel any political pressure, they don't feel any political pressure. And then the Democrats, again, their motivations, stated motivation, is to get this Obamacare subsidy extended. But like, their real political incentives are to demonstrate their fighting to be tough, to stand up to the administration, to draw attention to the fact that health care premiums are going up, prices are going up, there are illegal federal troops in the streets of your cities menacing and harassing people, even in US Citizens, Right? Like that's what they want to get out of it. And so looked at through that prism, right, where it's not really about the policy negotiation, but it's about the broader power politics. Neither side is incentivized to stop this anytime soon. So the thing that will have to happen to get this to stop is like some actual.