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Andrew Egger
Oh look, we're live. I missed the jump. Hi everybody. I'm Andrew Egger with the Bulwark. This is Bill Kristol, also with the Bulwark. We write the Morning Shots newsletter and as we have begun to do, we're coming to you live on Tuesday morning at 10am for Morning Chaser to talk about some of the stuff we wrote about in our newsletter today. Some of the other stuff that's going on in the world today. It's most of the same stuff. Because I don't know how you feel about it, Bill. It kind of seems to me like we are looking around. There's so much going on in the world. There's the conflict in Iran, there's the ongoing negotiations over funding the Department of Homeland Security. And in theory, Donald Trump is sort of the prime mover of basically everything that's happening. And yet when you actually sit down and listen to him talk and sort of follow along with the way that he is participating in all of these things, there's a strange disconnect a lot of the time. I mean, it seems like the, the way that he speaks, the way that he sort of like issues commands out into the air that then aren't really followed up by anybody, including him. It's kind of new. It seems unlike the way that he has done things in the past. We're gonna talk about a lot of that stuff today. But let's just start with the latest kind of breaking news about the DHS funding fight about the government shutdown. You wrote about this in Morning Shots today, Bill, and we've even got some new details from Politico about what the shape of the possible agreement that seems to be taking shape might end up looking like. So let's throw a couple of these pieces of reporting from Politico up on the screen for you guys now. Basically, what we're looking at here is Donald Trump seems to be getting out of the way of a possible deal that would let government funding go through for everything in homeland Security except for ice, which means most obviously that TSA agents who are not being paid right now, it's leading to a lot of chaos at airports. They would start getting paychecks again. That problem would be solved and that then Republicans would turn around, as this Politico's reporting here indicates, and they would then pass a reconciliation bill, a budget bill that would only require 50 votes instead of the 60 for a normal spending bill. And they would try to get ICE refunded as part of that reconciliation package. Politico reports that even though Trump had been formerly opposed to this plan, Trump agreed in a meeting last night to back off his demand to link the bills on the condition that provisions from the SAVE act, the voter ID and a few other goodies bill that is the other big Republican priority right now become part of the reconciliation push. Two people granted anonymity to describe the meeting, told Politico. So this is kind of where we are right now. It kind of seems as though Democrats have succeeded in one respect. They have held together despite the pressure from Republicans and the attempts of Republicans to try to blame them for this DHS shutdown. And so Republicans are still kind of trying to scramble here. I mean, do you see this as a Democratic win bill? I mean, what's kind of your assessment of how they have handled this spending fight on DHS specifically since it's been shut down?
Bill Kristol
Yeah, no, I do think it looks like a win. Let's see what happens here in the negotiations. As with Iran, These things are all up in the air. On your earlier point, which we'll come back to, I think it's so interesting you had a good piece this morning in morning shots on the disconnect in a way between Trump talking and what Trump's doing or what the administration is doing. But I wouldn't go too far. I'm only cautious. He is doing. I mean, he has been an extremely consequential president and remains so there would be no war if Donald Trump didn't decide to go to war in Iran. That was not like the administration had many deliberations and many Cabinet secretaries and many allies. He wanted to go to war. We're at war. He wanted to kill the deal on Sunday with dhs. He killed it Monday evening. They came to the White House. They seemed to have persuaded him to go along with basically the Democrats demand, which was to fund the rest of dhs, TSA and FEMA and all that, not ICE and Border Patrol. Obviously, the Republicans could always. Not obviously, they presumably always could fund that later on or add funds to those parts of DHS later in a reconciliation bill which only takes 50 votes. We'll see. That's not gonna be so easy to do, but they can try. So I think it's a pretty big victory for the Democrats. They hung tough. I don't know who was. They weren't. They may not have been succeeded in blaming Trump entirely for what's happening at the airports, but I think they succeeded in not being blamed. More blamed than the Republicans. Right. There's no evidence in polling or anything else that the Democrats are paying a price. Maybe some little evidence the other way. At any rates, the Republican senators seem to be feeling the heat more than the Democratic senators. So I think this is a case where, for all that, one likes criticizing Democratic leadership on the Hill and Democratic messaging and Democratic incompetence in general. And they've done pretty well on this, I've got to say, both these issues, incidentally, on the war and on ice, I feel like they've been pretty unified and pretty coherent in their messages.
Andrew Egger
Yeah, yeah, let's pull up the one kind of flying the ointment. All this stuff is the other Politico point here on some potential Democratic tripwires. There are a couple of caveats that may keep Democrats from fully embracing this bill. One of the things is that, for instance, this deal would ultimately fund some parts of immigration enforcement, but not ice. I mean, it looks like Border Patrol is actually part of the deal that would get funding under the terms of this agreement that's just starting to take shape. So we will see how Democrats end up deciding respond to that. But I think the point that you made about the reconciliation package is an interesting one. I mean, it kind of appears as though Trump thinks that this will end up permitting him to get everything that he wants on a party line vote later. That's not necessarily true. Right. As you were kind of just suggesting, there are a lot of sort of weird little fiddly rules, parliamentary rules of procedure about what can and can't be passed under this, you know, strange budget reconciliation apparatus. And we can get Joe Perdicone on to talk about some of that stuff later. But it almost seems as though John Thune and some of these other Republican senators are kind of giving Trump a bill of goods here. Right? I mean, he crushed their last attempt to relieve some of the pressure here by getting TSA reopened. And it seems as though maybe now they have pitched him on. Yeah, no, don't Worry about it, Mr. President. We're absolutely gonna push to get all the provisions that you want through on this party line. Vote later. Let's play this one clip again. This is Trump just talking just yesterday about the situation when he was in Memphis. And this is kind of what I'm thinking about when I'm trying to get my head around this disconnect. Right? Because this is Trump talking about this exact thing just less than 24 hours ago, less than 12 hours before this meeting and this deal was supposedly struck and, and talking in kind of no uncertain terms about how he does not think this is the right strategic play. So let's just play that clip here of him in Memphis.
Donald Trump
In any event, the Democrats are being blamed by the American people for the catastrophe going on right now at our airports and at other points of transportation and beyond. And we want the public to know we're not going to let them out of this trap that they created for themselves. And I'm suggesting very strongly that the Republicans, in going for the Save America act, that you weld it into exactly this because voter ID is part of homeland security. Think of it. We're talking about two separate items, but they're really the same. Voter ID is part of homeland security. And citizenship, proof of citizenship is part of homeland security. So I think it should be welded in. I think it should be together. You should vote together. Because the public has not liked what they've done at the airports, and they've done it, and the public understands it.
Andrew Egger
So, first of all, he's totally kind of slurring his words. And, you know, he's getting up there. He's a little bit difficult, more difficult to understand than he used to be, but not so difficult to understand that it's not very clear what he's arguing. I mean, he is very explicitly making the case there, there should be no deal that does not just continue to hold Democrats feet to the fire, continue to kind of push their faces down in the TSA problems and try to blame them for that. And not only should the Republicans be holding out to get ICE funding, they should be holding out and not willing to strike any deal until they're. Until Democrats are willing to Roll in the entirety of this massive voting bill that is like the main thing that Republicans want this year. And just again, just a few hours before, apparently it's been. He was willing to completely go back on that sort of after this meeting with senators. I mean, am I missing something?
Bill Kristol
Yeah, I'd say you're, I mean, I'm sure somewhere in the Art of the Deal, one of those books that Trump never read but quote wrote, he says something about how you got to stick with your maximalist terms until you make the deal. You know what I mean? Don't show weakness. And so with Iran, too, right? The bluff, it'll last the 48 hours. Ultimatum, I think that is sort of his style. And therefore I think, no, I don't want to credit him with playing four dimensional chess or anything silly like that. A lot of it is bluster, A lot of it is him. He feels he pays no price for it, I guess is the way I put it. And it's fun to beat up the Democrats. And maybe he tries it for a day or two or a week or two. He tries the war for three and a half weeks and then his attitude is kind of, he's not like a normal human being who thinks that you are somewhat constrained by what you said a week ago or a day ago or five hours ago. And I mean this seriously. It's part of his narcissism and almost, you know, sociopathy or something. He just pivots and decides and who knows what he was told. I would say one more thing. I mean, I think everyone's taking it. Trump has had total control of the Republicans on the Hill, obviously for during the last year and a half and before 2024, he killed a budget deal that they were enthusiastic about and that a lot of them voted for in the Senate by just saying, I'm against it. Right. And it was a Republican, ish, tough on the border deal because he didn't want to give Biden a victory. So he has had that kind of amazing stranglehold on the Republicans. Maybe that's getting a little weaker with Trump at 40%, not at 50%. Maybe privately. I mean, again, it's not as if Trump literally can snap his fingers and stop these deals, right? I mean, five Republicans, four Republicans could defect and pass the Democratic version of the DHS bill or maybe take, depending filibuster their own, you know, take 13 Republicans. But it's not as if there's no one in the Republican conference who has said that he wanted such a deal. Senator Kennedy said of Louisiana said on Sunday that he was hoping for a deal and that Trump killed it. And he was disappointed that Trump had killed it. So maybe the dude went to him and said, look, I can't hold him forever. And maybe Trump has grown up enough and responsive enough to real world events, just as he maybe has been with his trade of Hormuz and gas prices and energy prices. To say, without ever saying it, to kind of register that somewhere. That's a big question about Trump. How much of it is. How much is he registering beneath all that surface idiocy and bluster? And how much is he sort of, I don't know, literally making things up every hour?
Andrew Egger
Yeah, yeah. I mean, the other component of it is that so much of Trump's stranglehold on the Republican Party has always been a question of how's he gonna get back at you. Right. And especially early on, you know, he was careful and, you know, he was punctilious and he really made sure, especially in the first term, that if people crossed him in high profile ways, he was gonna go back and get them later. There has been some of that, don't get me wrong, in the second term. I mean, he's pretty determined, for instance, to try to primary Thomas Massie, the representative from Kentucky. And yet I do wonder, again, I'm still just trying to get my own mind around some of this stuff is like, why do we now see this sort of upsurge in, for instance, the stuff you're talking about with Senator Kennedy being willing to kind of like go out there on TV and say, yeah, it was Trump who blew up the deal. Let's just play that clip real quick. We have it, the Kennedy clip you're talking about here.
Senator Ted Cruz
Senator Cruz and I came up with a plan. We said, look, it's a two step process. The Democrats have offered to open up everything but ice. Ted and I said, okay, let's accept their offer. And then at the same time, we would offer a bill for reconciliation where we don't need any Democratic votes to do whatever we wanted to do with ice. And that way we're out of the shutdown and DHS is back open. We submitted that. Senator Thun submitted that to President Trump.
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Senator Ted Cruz
His right, he said no, no deals with the Democrats. So we're back to square one.
Andrew Egger
Yeah, I mean, like it's, it's, it's strange, right? Because on the one hand you're totally right. I mean, Trump, Trump still exerts like never before seen levels of sort of personal control over basically all of these people. And yet at the same time, here they are out there in public basically saying, we're still gonna wait until we get Trump's say so on all of this stuff. But I mean, they're not kind of shying away from the fact that he is at this point the main impediment to a deal. And it appears as though as of last night, again, the details are still coming out. But that Trump is the one who has blinked on this, right?
Bill Kristol
Yeah, I think so. I mean, one interesting fact here is, I mean, filing deadlines are beginning to pass for filing for primaries. Primary filing deadlines for the House and for the Senate I think now pass in most states, actually, which means if you're a Republican House member, you suddenly can't be primaried, depending on what state you're from, by Trump or at least it's very late in the day to do so. If you cross him Senate, even he has less leverage because obviously two thirds of the senators aren't up this year. Some of them will retire. Trump will be less, presumably less powerful in 28 and certainly, well, presumably in 2030 than he is today in terms of primary challenges. It'll be a lot of time will have passed. So people may well feel less constrained to differ with Trump, maybe not to cross him directly. It was striking the Kennedys as well. We submitted it to Trump as if I'm old enough to remember when senators thought if they made a deal, they made a deal and they wanted the president, if it was their party, to support it. But often they went to the President said, hey, we got 80 votes for this, you better support it, you know, and that's still like submitting it as a As a. As a. What's the word I'm looking for? You know, not a beggar, but a kind of supplicant. Supplicant, thank you. Yes, a very good word there. Supplicant to Trump. So I think the primary situation is sort of interesting. I do think you mentioned Massey. I think it's kind of important what happens in the Massie primary in Kentucky. I'm blanking on exactly when that is, but I think it's maybe a couple of months off, maybe. And the Cassidy primary for Senate is the incumbent who voted to impeach Trump. He's since been pathetically and desperately trying to make up with Trump, including voting for Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. And then criticizing Kennedy, but never quite pulling the trigger. Anyway, all that. Still, Trump's out to get him and has endorsed his opponent. And so. And that, I think, is also maybe May or June, I can't remember. And so it'd be sort of interesting what happens there. I do think that if Massie can win and if Cassidy can win, and I'm not sure either will, but that would, I think, weaken Trump. If, obviously, if Trump beats them, there'll still be some threat hanging over people's heads. But again, I come back to the fact that once we get past June, basically, they all have their general election. They passed the primary stage. The margins are narrow enough, God knows in the House, but also in the Senate, that no one's gonna be willing to sabotage. None of the big committees are gonna be willing to sabotage a Republican running in a competitive seat in either place. So at that point, Trump's leverage disappears. So I think actually Democrats are also smart just to kick everything down the road as much as possible. I do think after July 4th, let's say Trump has much less leverage over his own party members in the House and the Senate.
Andrew Egger
Yeah. Yeah. If anybody happens just to be tuning in, I'll say one more time. I'm Andrew Egger, White House correspondent with the Bulwark. This is Bill Kristol, our editor at large. We write the Morning Shots news. We come to you live on Tuesday mornings at 10 Eastern to talk about what's going on. This is Morning Chaser. There's one other interesting contrast here that I wanted to bring up, because I do think it just really illustrates the fact that there is no single path to the way things get done with this administration. All of the lines of argument are so snarled. Donald Trump himself has always, obviously, been an extremely impulsive and kind of erratic thinker and trying to shove the Save America act into a DHS funding bill is a pretty striking example of that. But that is not the only policy pipeline. It's not just sort of brainstorms from the mind of Donald Trump that are getting translated into real policy these days. We should talk a little bit about the other new thing that's going on in DHS this week, which is ice at the airports. This is a new thing as of yesterday. Seems to come about very quickly and abruptly over the weekend. There's been a lot of reporting that ICE was sort of taken by surprise by Donald Trump's announcement that they were going to be performing this task. We've already seen a couple of sort of strange and sort of unsettling incidents. Maybe we can play real quick a clip that took place at the San Francisco airport yesterday that was kind of welcome to the new era. There's ice at the airports now. What's your name? Show the badge. Where's the badge? Where's your badge? Can someone call 919?
Bill Kristol
Where's your badge?
Andrew Egger
Can I see.
Bill Kristol
Let me see your badge. Okay.
Andrew Egger
No. Can I see your badge? I don't know if that's legitimate. Can I see your badge number, sir? What is your name? Yeah, so, I mean, that's obviously, you know, unsettling and horrible footage. We don't know to what extent, you know, this is a widespread thing, as far as I've seen. This is the only, like, this is the only footage of an actual arrest being taken place. But there's a lot of footage now of ICE just sort of milling awkwardly around at these airports. It's not really clear what they're there to do in a lot of circumstances, whether they are there to just help out with TSA tasks or, as that clip seemed to indicate, doing normal ICE enforcement at the airport. It's not clear how that is supposed to lower anybody's stress levels or make things less chaotic at the airport. But a lot of people over the weekend were kind of scratching their heads about all of this. Like, how does this exactly fit into Donald Trump's political objectives when it comes to the funding fight? Like, what's this for? And we have gotten an interesting suggestion of what this is for. And we'll play a couple of clips now from a conservative podcast and then from Fox News. That kind of trickled up last week. People are starting to pay attention to now. I think I have a solution to the TSA problem. What we need to do is we
Bill Kristol
need to supplement where we're missing out
Senator Ted Cruz
on TSA agents who can't afford to work for us anymore.
Andrew Egger
We need to bring in ICE agents. Linda, that's, I'm going to say it's kind of a brilliant idea. I had a caller on the show, the Clay and Buck show today, Charlie, had an interesting idea. What if President Trump announced that ICE agents were now going to be supplementing TSA agents inside of all of the airports? Yeah. And there you go. I mean that, that was then the tweet that came up a few hours later. And look, we don't know for a fact that this is what happened, but we do know for a fact that the idea seemingly came out of nowhere, that nobody was kind of pre prepped for Trump to make this announcement. And that this announcement came, you know, pretty shortly after Clay Travis said that on Fox News. And this is far from kind of the first time that we have had this sort of, sort of sloppy list policy up filtering from just kind of like a random person in conservative media who the algorithm happens to bless enough for more important pundits to see it and then magnify it and then it going straight to the White House. I mean, this is what we saw. This is what kicked off the whole Minneapolis ICE operation was that very viral kind of like investigative video of that right wing YouTuber Nick Shirley who went there and cut a video purporting to demonstrate millions and millions and millions of dollars in fraud at Somali run daycares. And I mean, we don't know for a fact, again that this is exactly what happened here, but the timing at least is interesting, wouldn't you say?
Bill Kristol
I think we know for a fact that this is what happened here. You have a very high bar here for what we know and don't know. I'm going to say that that's why it happened. It's an idiotic idea. No one suggested it. ICE doesn't want to be doing it. They're not trained to do it. There are many, if you want to add people to TSA or people who are not part of tsa, to say ICE would not be your first choice. Of all the other law enforcement entities in the federal government, incidentally, there are others who were trained for things that are more like what TSA does, you know, so it's, I suspect I'm gonna, obviously I don't know for a fact, but I, I think that's how it happened. What it tells me though, is that Trump and people advising Trump in the White House were worried about the TSA situation and wanted to be seen to be doing something I think that's why he's doing it. Right. I mean, it shows that he's not telling the truth when he said Monday, they're blaming the Democrats. If you're blaming Democrats, no pressure on you. If they're blaming you. I'm showing I'm doing something. I'm sending the ICE guys there. And he did get, for maybe, I don't know, 12 hours at least among his own supporters, a little bit of. See, Trump's even doing something about it. Those Democrats are just blocking the funding now. It turns out this was ineffectual and it's silly or pernicious. And anyway, it didn't affect the lines on Monday, obviously. And so the pressure was on for Trump to accept the deal that he rejected. I guess it was on Sunday. Right. So anyway, I do think it shows the politics of this were against Trump. It shows how Trump makes these idiotic thinks these are all interchangeable. I would say it's not even quite like Minneapolis, not to go back to that too much, but I mean, at least there, I mean at least. But he had a mass deportation agenda and he found an excuse to go to Minneapolis. Again, why ISIS related to. If you want, if there's fraud going on, you can send it to people who investigate fraud, not ICE. That's not what they do. These were 90% citizens who were doing the fraud. Apparently they were originally from Somalia, their parents were. But anyway, it's not an ICE issue. And of course they went into Minneapolis and did nothing, so far as one can tell, with Somalis particularly, and went around doing terrible things otherwise. But again, that was an excuse, I would say. Whereas here I feel like. Yeah, really. So I think it fits in with the point you make in morning shots, though the degree of flailing is a little different. Right? I mean, the Somali fraud didn't justify ice, but it was a real problem. There was real fraud. Our Jonathan Cohen wrote about it. Cohen wrote about it and you know, and again, if you gave him a little bit of a hook to say crisis in Minneapolis. This is literally a caller, with all due respect to her, to a right wing talk radio show, who then gets himself on FOX to promote his college brilliant idea seems to go unfiltered to Donald Trump. And there's not even the normal staff work of I don't know, is this really wise? And is this going to help us or hurt us? And how does it look 48 hours later? And should we at least pretend to train them for two or three days before we send them into the Airports. And clearly Trump or someone said, no, I want them there Monday morning. I want to be able to say this, I'm doing this on Sunday. That is a level of decision making that's not good in this case. It's mostly pointless. It doesn't do great damage. But I would just get back to the war for a minute. This is the one worries how much of the decision making about the war is similar. Someone told me about Cargill Island. I think it's over there somewhere near the strait. It's like 350 miles north of it. But anyway, you know. And that's where the Iranians ship their oil from, right? And. Well, yes sir. But you know, we're actually trying to. We want them to ship the oil out. We just took off the sanctions because you think it relieves the, whatever the merits of that, but you know, decision, but still it relieves the pressure on the oil, saying, yeah, but we should take Cargill and. Or at least think about it, send the Marines. I mean, I, this is one reason on the war, incidentally, why even if you're a hawk on Iran and even if you're not opposed to some of these interventions, you cannot trust these people to do it. I mean, I think. Don't you think? I think for me, this has been one thing that's seeping through to people now out there who are not never trumpers, but who are kind of just not following politics too much or a little ambivalent about some of these policy areas. Do these guys know what they're doing? And just this thing would be another instance of this. And again, it's one thing to be sending a few people to stand around the airport. And it's another thing to be getting us in a war and having Marines coming and using ground troops for stuff that's not been thought through at all.
Andrew Egger
Yeah, yeah, I mean, that's such a good point. And bringing in the war is apropos there as well. I mean, I think that to me, the thing that kind of unites all of this stuff is there's just been sort of a great flattening of the decision making process and it almost doesn't matter what the input. You can be a senator who's been doing all this legwork to try to strike a funding deal across the aisle. There's different moving parts and it's very kind of fragile. And you might be going into the office or you might be on the National Security Council and you might have done analyses or had analyses done about the various effects of different strategies. And you might be needing to present those to the president. Or you might be Linda from Arizona. And no shade to Linda. She sounds like a nice lady. You might just be happen to find your suggestion on Fox News. And in each of those cases, Donald Trump will not have done the preexisting like work. He will not kind of have any. If he has preexisting thoughts about whatever it is you're proposing, it will just be kind of whatever happens to flit across his brain. And you need to sort of like shake the dangly object in front of his eyes long enough to capture his attention and get his oh, yeah, I guess that sounds pretty good. Kind of sign off on it. And everything runs that way now, you know, like all of the policy of the United States of America is choked off at the bottleneck of getting Donald Trump's attention span and finding some way to kind of move through the tortured neurons of his brain to get the. Yeah, okay. I guess, sort of.
Bill Kristol
Yeah. And no checks apparently within the system or almost none. That's what's I think on the military side, hopefully there are some. And hopefully, you know, at the end of the day, we're not going to be landing Marines in places that we haven't. If we were to land them in places that haven't been prepared and the work hasn't been done and so forth. The military presumably will ensure that. But in almost every other part of the government has no sense in any of this work sense to look at the Justice Department with all these cases. I want a case for it against those people. Well, it turns out it gets dismissed. I mean.
Andrew Egger
Right.
Bill Kristol
I mean just it's so, you're right that it's so pervasive. And you know, I came to Washington in 85 and worked for Bill Bennett when he was Secretary of education as a special assistant and then chief of staff. And Bill was a hard charger as secretary of Education. I think effective in being that he used to joke, I only have a gas pedal, not a brake. And he was proud of being in Reagan second term when some people were kind of a little steam was going out of the Reagan revolution. Bill, who just became Education secretary at the beginning of the second term, was a full steam ahead guy. But he himself would then say, hey, I'm the guess pedal. You guys need to be the brake where it's needed. Or at least tell me we can't hit the gas for 48 hours. We need to staff this out. And so a lot of what I did as chief of Staff was pretty easy. I asked other people in the department who knew a heck of a lot more about the laws covering education policy and about previous. Previous decisions that have been made and research that have been done of whether this was a good idea or a bad idea to include in a speech to say, hey, look, secretary is really interested in doing this. Give me a pretty quick turnaround on whether it's, you know, out of the question, great idea, or somewhere in between, or we can tweak it in this way and that way. And that was a lot of what I did and a lot of what the senior staff did at that department. And I think it's done in White Houses over the years and in most cabinet agencies. It's not a bad way to run it. One person pushes a little on the gas and the other person says, wait a second. One gets the impression that with the exception maybe of the military, no one is doing that in the Trump administration. And that is dangerous. I mean, it's just in life it's dangerous.
Andrew Egger
Right.
Bill Kristol
It would be as if every stupid idea I had or you had, no one else at the Bulwark said, well, actually, there's reasons why we can't do an eight hour podcast on Tuesdays, even though you guys have eight hours worth of stuff to say, because our audience probably wants 35 minutes. I mean, I just feel like I do think, and that was not the case in the first term where there were all these people saying, no, sir, and you can't do this. And he didn't steamroll it, didn't steamroll Jim Mattis or Gary Cohen and so forth. There's a tiny bit of it in the second term. I guess the only breaks now are the military internally, the markets kind of externally, and gas prices and things like that, I suppose. And him watching the brakes could be when a policy of his looks like it's backfiring, I guess, the lines at the airports and so forth, where he's getting blamed for it. But in terms of actual staff work, I wonder what it's like to be a staffer in the White House. Susie Wiles, I mean, she's, you know, not. She's taking treatment now for. I hope she does fine, obviously, but. So she. Maybe she is a little distracted as chief of Staff, but I don't know, it just feels like there's no normal process to vet anything and that can't be good.
Andrew Egger
Yeah, yeah, yeah. I liked the Bulwark comparison there. Mr. President, sir, if you're listening, we recommend you hire Sam Stein Immediately bring him on board. He'll shoot down all your bad ideas, and probably some of the good ones, too, if we're. If we're being honest. But, yeah, I mean, the fact that it is just the man alone, the man alone in the chair, this has always kind of been the way it is with Trump. It has been really obvious during the second term. And I mean, just again, to go back to. I wrote about this a little bit this morning, to go back to that Memphis event yesterday, where anytime the man is putting himself on display, it's not just the fact that it's only one man in a chair, which would be bad under any circumstances, but it's this guy, right? This particular man is a pretty bad man to have be the sole guy in the chair. And, and the fact that he is so surrounded at all times by just the biggest lick spittles and flunkies and, I mean, the tongue baths that they give him all day, every day, I mean, it would ruin anybody's brain to be in that environment. And he was already pretty predisposed to, you know, like, solipsism and monomania and thinking, you know, he's the smartest guy in every room. And it's just. I mean, it plainly has completely accentuated and caricatured all of those characteristics in his own mind to such an amazing extent. Let's just dwell on a couple of these moments from yesterday. This is after Donald Trump got done sort of slurring his way through his Borscht belt shtick about how Chuck Schumer is a Palestinian now and how beautiful young women keep coming up to him in the streets of D.C. to talk about how grateful they are that he's made it safe. But this is, after all that, and this is when it came time for Stephen Miller and Cash potential tell to. To weigh in on how good Donald Trump is. So let's. Let's take a look at that. What President Trump has done on border security and public safety is a national miracle that will be studied not only for generations, but for centuries to come.
Donald Trump
Thank you, President Trump. Thank you, Steve. So, Cash, see if you can top that. I don't know. That's a tough one, Cash.
Kash Patel
That is tough. You know, Mr. President, as I look around this venue, I see and I'm reminded again why we have the greatest warriors on God's green earth. The men and women serving in uniform, the men and women serving and wearing the badge, and law enforcement, our police, our sheriffs around the state of Tennessee. I'm reminded that Americans exist to protect this country day in and day out. And they've done it like we've done it here. But what we didn't have was you. We didn't a have commander in chief who backed the blue, who resourced the blue, who funded the military, who did whatever it takes to safeguard every single life.
Andrew Egger
Isn't that nice? I mean, that clip doesn't even hardly get it. Like you would have to. We're not gonna subject all of you fine people to it. But I mean, Stephen Miller talked for about three minutes on that topic of just the dark age that came before and the miraculous sort of rebirth and renewal of America under Donald Trump. And Donald Trump takes that, he's like, oh, that was great. And he turns to Kash Patel, he's like, all right, there's the bar to clear. What do you got? I mean, that's just. And they're in public, they're out on a stage. This is how these men interact with one another. God knows how much more obsequious it is behind closed doors. I'm not sure how much more obsequious it's even possible to be, but that's the sort of, that's the sauce that Trump's mind is marinating in as he carries out these duties all the time. It's an interesting situation.
Bill Kristol
It's kind of sickening as an American. I mean, the one thing we've been pretty good at in America is we are a democracy where there's been a certain amount of little deference to big shots, obviously at the presidents. I've been in the White House, I've seen it a little bit. But on the whole, we're pretty irreverent, which is good for the country and pretty good at talking back and pretty good at not simply being sycophants. And this is one weakness of old fashioned kingships, but also of, I mean, there's a lot of studies of war. Democracies are often caught flat footed, slow to react. You know, popular public opinion is kind of doesn't quite see what's going on as much as maybe one far sighted statesman would. On the other hand, the great advantage democracies have is you don't have this kind of stuff that we just saw, right? You don't have the total, the chief, the leader, the dictator, the autocrat in a little balloon of his little bubble of his own, only being surrounded by sycophants and never getting a dose of reality. And in America, we've been pretty good at making our political leaders at Some point get subjected to reality. I guess Trump still does a little bit with the, you know, he doesn't see gas. Again, the fiction, I guess you just make up. He makes up stuff. He always has. Right. The women coming up to on the streets of Washington, he literally has not had a single human being. I mean, his only time he's been in the streets of Washington is in his car. Has he ever walked anywhere? I don't think so. It's not like he doesn't go to restaurants the way, I don't know Bush or Obama did or anything.
Andrew Egger
I wonder whether it's like he's thinking about his own sort of junior comms staffers when he happens to bump into them, it's like these young women he just sort of happens across.
Bill Kristol
Does he even. Yeah. And they say, Mr. President, I live up in Petworth. And it's just been so much safer since you said. I'm a little doubtful. So, yeah, I mean, the whole thing is fantasy, but it is. I mean, my only semi serious point is, even if Trump were a different type of person and much more serious in his personal thinking, it would still be bad. They should still have the cocoon and the bubble. Right. And the lack of reality testing. And it's so un American. It's so un American. I mean, one just thinks of what everyone thinks of all these presidents we've had. None of them wanted this, none of them subject this. Nixon maybe seems to be so insecure the most. And there are things in the nicks and tapes that one sees that are embarrassing with Kissinger sucking up to him and so forth. But again, not in public you sort of say, made this point about the private thing, but in public you didn't see this level of pathetic sycophancy. And I mean, honestly, it's worrisome. This is only 14 months into the second term. What's it going to be like 14 months from now and then another 14 months, right?
Andrew Egger
Yeah, it is grisly. It's alarming. I mean, it's comical. And then when you stop and look and think about it at all, you stop laughing pretty quick. But I will say we're only flesh and blood. We got one more good clip that's pretty much just straightforwardly funny for you because the other thing that Trump did yesterday in Memphis, he did not just go there to kind of puff out his chest and talk about his crime record and have all of his toadies do the same for him in front of an audience. He also took a little pleasure trip, trip after his speech to that task force, and he went over to Graceland. He went to check out. Check out Elvis's home. You know, there's not much going on in the world. Oh, you can. We can afford a few. A few extra little bonus trips when we're in the area. And so here's just one clip of Trump at Graceland yesterday.
Donald Trump
He was just comfortable here.
Senator Ted Cruz
Yeah, very.
Bill Kristol
This was his home.
Kash Patel
This.
Bill Kristol
This.
Kash Patel
No matter where he lived, he always
Bill Kristol
came back in, always came back to Memphis.
Andrew Egger
And whenever he talked about Memphis, it was always home. And that's what this represents.
Donald Trump
Yep. And now it's safe again.
Bill Kristol
Yeah.
Donald Trump
That's great.
Bill Kristol
So our next.
Andrew Egger
I mean, what can you even say? I mean, thank you, Mr. President. Thank you, Donald Trump. You've done it. You've made Graceland safe again. Nobody is touring the Elvis house and worried about getting stabbed or pickpocketed or seeing any illegal immigrants of any kind. I mean, it's just. That's the mind, right? That's the mind. I'm the guy who made Graceland safe again. While Pam Bondi looks on adoringly from behind. You got anything on that Bill?
Bill Kristol
Have you been to Graceland?
Andrew Egger
I've never been to Graceland from Missouri. I should have gone. I could have gone. Maybe someday.
Bill Kristol
I'm not a big Elvis person, if I could be honest. I guess he really was talented. I've read the places that he became such a caricature of himself, unfortunately, in his later years, all the drug use, I guess, and stuff. But I guess he really was a phenomenon, obviously in the 50s and genuinely a real talent. But I was never, never my thing.
Andrew Egger
Maybe we missed Elvis.
Bill Kristol
Go ahead.
Andrew Egger
My wife lived in a house called Graceland in college, off campus house. And it had, I still remember, a large, like, Americana, like black velvet portrait of Elvis in his Vegas era with one tear running down his face very prominently in the living room. So I have fond, you know.
Bill Kristol
Do you still have that?
Andrew Egger
No, the house does. The house does. We didn't, you know, we wouldn't have.
Bill Kristol
Should have brought it. You should get another one. Put it up behind you when you do one of the, you know, do this podcast.
Andrew Egger
Yeah. You can't run off with the household gods when your stint in Graceland is over. But yeah, I mean, we can put a pin in that. We can put a pin in all Elvis discussion. Or we could talk for another hour. Suddenly this is a musical review program. It's an underrepresented market for bulwark content. We don't get into it. Enough. Tim does some, but our tastes are different than his. I would go so far as to suggest. Anyway, we can call it there. I'm just ranting at this point. That's a pretty good sign. It's time to get off. But thanks Bill for coming on talking through some of this stuff. Thanks to you guys all out there for watching. Obviously there is a lot of insane stuff going on in the world right now. We're gonna keep following this DHS fight. We're gonna keep following the war in Iran, obviously, and all the economic ramifications of that. And if Donald Trump heads over to Liverpool to visit the birthplace of John Lennon, we'll let you know about that too. So thanks to you all for watching. We hope you'll subscribe here. Subscribe on our YouTube on our substack. Head over to thebullbrook.com and get Bill and my newsletter morning shots in your inbox every weekday morning for free. Thanks and we'll see you all next
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Date: March 24, 2026
Host(s): Andrew Egger, Bill Kristol
Podcast: Bulwark Takes
This episode of Morning Chaser dives deep into two high-stakes political dramas: the negotiations over Department of Homeland Security (DHS) funding and the continuing conflict with Iran. Hosts Andrew Egger and Bill Kristol discuss Donald Trump’s evolving—often contradictory—role in these events, examining how his unpredictable approach, personal style, and influence on the GOP are shaping American governance and policy. The episode also explores the “flattening” of the executive decision-making process and the disquieting culture of sycophancy surrounding the president.
Bill Kristol (04:08):
“They may not have been succeeded in blaming Trump entirely for what's happening at the airports, but I think they succeeded in not being blamed… At any rate, the Republican senators seem to be feeling the heat more than the Democratic senators.”
Andrew Egger (09:03):
“He is very explicitly making the case there, there should be no deal that does not just continue to hold Democrats feet to the fire… And just a few hours before, apparently, he was willing to completely go back on that.”
“I don't want to credit him with playing four dimensional chess or anything silly like that. A lot of it is bluster… He's not like a normal human being who thinks that you are somewhat constrained by what you said a week ago or a day ago or five hours ago. And I mean this seriously. It's part of his narcissism and almost, you know, sociopathy or something.”
“If Massie can win and if Cassidy can win [their primaries]… that would, I think, weaken Trump. If, obviously, if Trump beats them, there'll still be some threat hanging over people's heads.”
Bill Kristol (22:47):
“It's an idiotic idea. No one suggested it. ICE doesn't want to be doing it. They're not trained to do it. If you want to add people to TSA… ICE would not be your first choice.”
Andrew Egger (27:00):
“All the policy of the United States of America is choked off at the bottleneck of getting Donald Trump's attention span and finding some way to kind of move through the tortured neurons of his brain to get the ‘yeah, okay, I guess’ sort of.”
“I just feel like…that was not the case in the first term where there were all these people saying, no, sir, and you can't do this… The only breaks now are the military internally, the markets kind of externally…”
Andrew Egger (34:14):
“I mean, Stephen Miller talked for about three minutes on that topic of just the dark age that came before and the miraculous sort of rebirth and renewal of America under Donald Trump… and they’re in public, out on a stage. God knows how much more obsequious it is behind closed doors.”
Bill Kristol (35:07):
“It’s kind of sickening as an American… the great advantage democracies have is you don’t have this kind of stuff that we just saw… the leader only being surrounded by sycophants and never getting a dose of reality.”
The conversation is brisk, insightful, and laced with dark humor and exasperation, reflecting both hosts’ frustration with the state of politics and the surrealness of daily governance. There’s a continual undercurrent of alarm over the collapse of process and rise of cult-like loyalty.
This episode captures a government “under pressure” in multiple senses: Congress straining to govern around Trump’s unpredictability, Republican lawmakers testing the limits of his control, and a presidency increasingly adrift from institutional norms. Through changing positions, rash decisions sourced from talk radio, and an ever-thickening bubble of sycophancy, the Trump administration’s second term is shown as a time of instability and an ongoing stress test for American democracy.
For those keeping an eye on policymaking in the Trump era, this episode is both a primer on the real mechanics of Washington dysfunction and a cautionary snapshot of what happens when “the man in the chair” is the only process that matters.