Bussin’ With The Boys – NFL Week 12 Picks: Cowboys Over Eagles? Will Compton Says Yes + Will The Chiefs Lose Again?

Date: November 20, 2025
Hosts: Will Compton, Taylor Lewan
Guest: Clay Matthews
Special (Absent): Delaney Walker

Overview

This episode dives deep into NFL Week 12 picks and analysis, with a heavy dose of banter among Will, Taylor, and Clay. The crew breaks down the week’s marquee matchups, debates betting strategies, and delivers hot takes—while mixing in hilarious personal stories, friendly ribbing, and signature “locker room” energy. The main themes include: making sense of playoff races, team identities, and the ever-present struggle of picking winners against the spread—plus a running comedic thread about the missing-in-action Delaney Walker.

Key Discussion Points & Insights

1. Personal Updates & Banter (00:00–12:00)

• Delaney Walker’s Absence:
  • Delaney had a rough week (2-4) and is comically declared “missing.” The guys riff on calling the police and whether to bring in a replacement guest.

    “Called the police. They said he’s got to be missing for 24 hours before we can actually put something in.” – Taylor (04:00)

• Life Off the Field:
  • Clay tells a story about bush-hogging his property, battling poison ivy, and chainsaw mishaps.
  • The group shares college injury stories, debating if walk-ons get rougher treatment than scholarship players.

    “I broke the tip...just the tip broke off. AC.” – Clay (07:09)

• Collegiate Recognition:
  • Clay’s unconventional route from walk-on to first-round pick is discussed, including the underwhelming college stats but over-the-top NFL performance.

    “In my career, I had five and a half or six and a half sacks in four years...and you got picked in the first round.” – Will (11:41) “Name, name, name, name.” – Taylor on genetics, re: the Matthews legacy (12:02)

  • Clay details the draft process, emotional family moments, and being picked by Green Bay (14:41).

2. NFL Week 12 Picks & Analysis

(Central runtime: Picks interspersed from 19:30 onward; highlights for each game below.)

Bears vs. Steelers (19:31–25:24)

• Sentiment/Analysis: All see the Bears as must-win due to a brutal upcoming schedule.

  “They have to win this week…next six; at Philly, Packers twice, at 49ers, Lions…” – Will (20:08)

• Praise for Caleb Williams & Ben Johnson:
  • Offensive improvements, play-action success, and a surging defense are noted.
• Picks:
  • All on Bears -2.5, except Delaney (absent but picks Steelers +2.5).

    “It’s good for football when Chicago has success.” – Clay (20:20)

Vikings vs. Packers (26:02–37:12, 51:00–52:20)

• Clay’s Packers Dilemma:
  • He wants to take Packers moneyline, but Will and Taylor rib him about needing to play spreads for better odds.
  • “You might as well take Vikings plus six and a half.” – Taylor (32:41)
  • Heated/absurd argument about money line vs. spread betting—becomes a running joke.
• On Jordan Love:
  • Will praises his performance despite drops: “Adjusted completion rate is 86%...game’s completely different” (33:12)
• Key Quote:
  • “This is a pass rusher brain making a bet.” – Will (32:45)
• Picks:
  • Taylor: Vikings +6.5 (unless key D-lineman is out, then Packers)
  • Will: Packers -6.5
  • Clay: Packers moneyline (but for show standings, grumbling about being forced to use spreads)
  • Delaney: Packers -6.5

Eagles vs. Cowboys – Sunday Night Football (38:33–47:13)

• Debate:
  • Clay likes the under (47.5), citing the Eagles’ injuries, conservative offense, and both defenses.

    “Their pass game is horrible right now…no run game…risk averse offense.” – Clay (40:05)

  • Taylor and Clay lean Eagles; Will goes Cowboys, bullish on the Dallas defense’s recent additions and home advantage.

    “I’m buying in on Dallas right now.” – Will (44:27)

• Picks:
  • Taylor: Eagles -3.5
  • Will: Cowboys (no spread specified, but clear support for Dallas)
  • Clay: Under 47.5, Eagles ML if forced
  • Delaney: Eagles -3.5

Bucs vs. Rams – Sunday Night (47:27–50:58)

• Discussion:
  • Close matchup expected. Rams offense (“surgical” with Stafford, Puka, Kyren Williams) favors LA, but Bucs are “back against the wall.”
• Picks:
  • Taylor & Will: Bucs +6.5
  • Clay & Delaney: Rams -6.5

Panthers vs. 49ers – Monday Night (51:38–58:37)

• Analysis:
  • 49ers touted as gaining health and form; Panthers scrappy but outmatched for now.
  • Praise for Bryce Young’s best performance, but 49ers seen as superior.
• Picks:
  • Taylor: 49ers -7
  • Will: Panthers +7
  • Clay: 49ers moneyline (as part of parlay)
  • Delaney: 49ers -7

Colts vs. Chiefs (65:40–73:01)

• Sentiment:
  • Chiefs in “backs against the wall” mode with potential to miss playoffs; running dynamics analyzed.
  • Will and Taylor think Colts pull the upset; Clay advises the under.

    “This is Colts money line for me… Chiefs are done after this week” – Will (71:02)

• Picks:
  • Will: Colts moneyline/Colts +3.5
  • Taylor: Colts +3.5
  • Clay: Under 49.5
  • Delaney: Colts +3.5

3. Betting Strategy Comedy & Arguments (26:10–52:56, recurring)

• Moneyline vs. Spread Soap Opera:
  • Clay tries to parlay favorites on the moneyline for better odds, but the hosts push him to stick to ATS picks for the show.
  • “You’re the worst.” – Taylor (38:33)
  • “Do they tune in to…our takes or just fade everything we say?” – Will (34:58)
• Recurring theme:
  • Clay, “standing on business” with his “principle” (hilariously misspells “principle,” leading to a mock spelling bee: 60:28).
• Resolution:
  • For standings, Clay’s moneyline favorites must be parlayed; if one loses, all are marked as losses.

4. Notable Quotes & Memorable Moments

• Locker-room banter at its peak:

  “If I die in the next seven days, you guys do this show and just pretend like I never actually died.” – Taylor (55:22)

• Will’s Chiefs hot take:

  “If you’re in Chiefs Kingdom, that fan base needs to start thinking about life not in the playoffs… the playoff hopes… will not be there in the postseason.” – Will (77:04)

• Clay’s ultimate hot take:

  “USC Trojans upset Oregon Ducks at Austin Stadium…represent Southern California in the College Football Playoff.” – Clay (77:23)

• On betting ‘like a pass rusher’:

  “This is a pass rusher brain making a bet.” – Will (32:45)

• Delaney’s meta presence:

  “No one knows where he is. Yeah, feels good. Hell of a show. Had fun.” – Taylor (78:52)

5. Final Segment – ‘Final Bite’ Predictions (76:45–78:52)

• Will: Chiefs miss playoffs after losing to Colts.
• Clay: USC upsets Oregon, makes the College Football Playoff.
• Taylor: Predicts in-studio staff (Mitch) wins back-to-back flag football championships.
• Delaney (in absentia): Same as Taylor.
• Each sign-off is styled with characteristic banter and references to the show’s running jokes.

Game Picks Summary Table

| Game | Will | Taylor | Clay* | Delaney | |--------------------------|----------------|--------------------|-----------------|---------------| | Bears vs. Steelers | Bears -2.5 | Bears -2.5 | Bears -2.5 | Steelers +2.5 | | Vikings vs. Packers | Packers -6.5 | Vikings +6.5 | Packers ML† | Packers -6.5 | | Eagles vs. Cowboys | Cowboys | Eagles -3.5 | Under 47.5 | Eagles -3.5 | | Bucs vs. Rams | Bucs +6.5 | Bucs +6.5 | Rams -6.5† | Rams -6.5 | | Panthers vs. 49ers | Panthers +7 | 49ers -7 | 49ers ML† | 49ers -7 | | Colts vs. Chiefs | Colts ML/+3.5 | Colts +3.5 | Under 49.5 | Colts +3.5 |

**Clay’s moneylines must be parlayed per show agreement.

Tone, Style, & Atmosphere

• Classic “Bussin’ With The Boys” energy: irreverent, candid, and filled with sports banter.
• Frequent tangents and inside jokes, but always circling back to football analysis.
• Emphasis on “locker room” camaraderie, with a touch of chaos and affection.

Memorable Quotes with Timestamps

• “Delaney's gone. Called the police. They said he's gotta be missing for 24 hours…” – Taylor (04:00)
• “If your name was Will Compton, you're not making the Pro Bowl.” – Taylor (12:24)
• “I'm standing on business. Ten toes down.” – Will, ribbing Clay (29:14)
• “This is a pass rusher brain making a bet.” – Will (32:45)
• “Their pass game is horrible right now…” – Clay on Eagles (40:05)
• “If you’re in Chiefs Kingdom…start thinking about what life looks like not in the playoffs.” – Will (77:04)
• “USC Trojans upset the Oregon Ducks…represent Southern California in the College Football Playoff.” – Clay (77:23)
• “If I die in the next seven days, you guys do this show…” – Taylor (55:22)

Noteworthy Segments with Timestamps

• Draft/personal injury stories: (05:00–16:00)
• Bears-Steelers breakdown: (19:31–25:24)
• Vikings-Packers pick (includes betting argument): (26:10–37:12)
• Cowboys-Eagles deep dive: (38:33–47:13)
• Rams-Bucs & 49ers-Panthers picks: (47:27–58:37)
• Chiefs-Colts & Clay’s parlay soap opera: (65:40–73:01)
• Final hot takes (“Final Bite”): (76:45–78:52)

Takeaway

This episode is classic Bussin’ With The Boys: football-focused but unfiltered, packed with sharp observations on team arcs, playoff races, and betting—but always with a side of goofiness and brotherly roasting. The hosts’ “for the boys” approach shines, making even the betting quarrels and off-topic rambles part of what fans crave.

Missing Delaney, “pass rusher brain” logic, and bold playoff takes—this one’s for the true football (and Bussin’) fans.