Bussin’ With The Boys – NFL Week 16 Picks: Bears Over Packers In NFC North? + Will The Patriots Bounce Back Vs. Ravens?

Date: December 18, 2025
Hosts: Will Compton, Taylor Lewan, Delaney, Moneyline Matthews, Clay
Main Theme:
A lively, rapid-fire, and irreverent roundtable of NFL Week 16 predictions and betting strategies, diving into the hottest games, controversial upsets, and playoff implications, with plenty of banter and inside jokes along the way.

Episode Overview

The boys break down a jam-packed Week 16 slate as the NFL playoff race enters its stretch run. Key storylines are tackled: Can the Bears finally topple the Packers in the NFC North? Which AFC teams are for real? Are the Patriots primed for a statement win at Baltimore? Each host weighs in with spreads, money line angles, and bold alternate lines, blending smart analysis with the show’s trademark humor.

Standings & Betting Banter

• Delaney reveals Moneyline Matthews has a sizable lead in the group standings but jokes about the ongoing “climb” by other hosts, especially himself and Will (“batting .500, hall of fame career for batting .500!”) [00:00–03:06]
• Moneyline Matthews and Delaney rib each other about “moneyline militia” picks, with jabs about taking things personally, but ultimately share mutual respect. [04:22–06:10]
• Will tries to justify his 0-6 betting record as “a necessary sacrifice” to finally knock the Chiefs out of the playoffs:
  Will Compton (07:01): “I had to pick the Chiefs to see it fall for good. Now I'm realizing that going 0-6 was also necessary—a necessary sacrifice for the Chiefs to be knocked out. …Would you go winless in all your bets for the Chiefs to stay out of the playoffs? My answer is yes.”
• The group discusses the ups and downs of parlay betting, with Clay cautioning: “That’s the problem with parlays, man, you lose one, you lose it all.” [09:49]

Game-By-Game Analysis

Jaguars at Broncos [13:16–22:43]

Main Discussion:

• Line: Broncos -3; O/U 45.5 (moves up to 46.5 live)
• Will Compton: Loves the Jaguars’ “sneaky” play but goes under 46.5 due to two top-10 defenses and Denver’s stingy home-field advantage—even though the offenses are hot.
  Will (16:12): “Nobody’s bringing up the Jaguars. …Their defense is nasty, Trevor Lawrence is balling. Still, under 46.5.”
• Clay: All-in on Broncos’ momentum (“If Bo Nix keeps playing like that, they might be the best team in the NFL”). Picks Broncos -3.
• Moneyline Matthews: Leans Jaguars plus the points—specifically likes them at +7.5 after talk of close games and upsets.
• Delaney: Echoes that Jags are an opportunistic, overlooked squad; picks Jacksonville +3.

Notable Exchange:

• Matthews’ classic alternate line play:
  Moneyline Matthews (20:23): “If you’re following this guy right here, units. Because that’s what I get is units. I’m taking the Jaguar +7.5.”

Steelers at Lions [22:49–27:42]

Main Discussion:

• Line: Lions -6.5; O/U 51.5
• Clay: Likes Detroit’s offense and doubts Steelers’ ability to keep up—picks Lions to cover.
• Will Compton: Fears Steelers “show up” when the betting world doubts them, but too many question marks—goes with Lions -6.5.
• Delaney: Points out both teams have been .500 over last ten games—picks Lions.
• Moneyline Matthews: Sees improvements in Steelers’ offense and likes them to cover +6.5.

Notable Quote:

Will Compton (24:39): “It’s also bizarre…Steelers shutting down Miami’s run game, the Steel Curtain shows up… I don’t know what to think about the Steelers, bro.”

Buccaneers at Panthers [30:44–35:09]

Main Discussion:

• Line: Buccaneers -3; O/U 45.5
• Delaney: Quietly picks Panthers as the team most likely to win the South; sees them as quietly putting together wins, running efficiently.
• Clay: Won’t touch the sides—chooses the over 45.5 due to shaky defenses.
• Will Compton: Out on the Bucs after last week’s collapse—takes Panthers +3.
• Moneyline Matthews: Moves the line, taking Panthers +6.5 due to their recent competitive nature.

Notable Quote:

Clay (32:16): “Baker for the last eight games has not been playing what we saw in the early half… I just, I don’t feel comfortable picking either of these teams. So I’m going OVER at 45.5.”

Patriots at Ravens [35:38–39:38]

Main Discussion:

• Line: Ravens -2.5; O/U 47
• Moneyline Matthews: Patriots fan this week—believes in Mike Vrabel magic, picks Patriots with the points: “I am the underdog king this week!”
• Clay: Loves the Patriots money line. Cites their ability to bounce back: “Ravens 0-2 at home in primetime. I’m surprised Patriots are underdogs here. Give me the Pats.”
• Will Compton & Delaney: Both hammer Patriots ML, seeing their blown lead last week as a catalyst for urgency down the stretch.
  Will Compton (37:55): “The best thing that’s going to happen for the Patriots' season is blowing that lead.”

49ers at Colts (Philip Rivers’ comeback) [40:18–44:47]

Main Discussion:

• Line: 49ers -6.5; O/U 46.5
• All Hosts: United front—love the Philip Rivers story, but see San Francisco as too strong and well-coached, expect them to cover easily.
• Key Point: Niners offense is finally healthy and humming; defense will “suffocate” Rivers and the Colts.

Notable Quote:

Will Compton (43:10): “Last weekend was a moment; now it’s the end of the road for Philip. Niners cover, no question.”

Packers at Bears (True Classic Game of the Week) [47:41–58:36]

Main Discussion:

• Line: Packers -1.5; O/U 46.5
• Clay: Nervous for Packers’ psyche after injuries: “As a coach, you can just sense the panic in the air… But I can’t bet against my Packers!”
• Delaney: Believes the Bears finally have the edge with momentum and home field, picking Chicago to cover and win.
• Moneyline Matthews: Sticks to his alternate line winner strategy: “Packers cannot play well away! … I’m taking Bears to only lose by 7 (+7.5), but I think they win outright.”
• Will Compton: Backs the Packers to edge out the win, citing their resilience against adversity.
• Group agrees: This may be the game of the week and has huge playoff ramifications for both teams.

Notable Quotes:

• Delaney (57:43): “It’s catastrophic for the Packers losing those two guys. …But I think the Bears are sitting in a more advantageous spot. I’m taking the Bears.”
• Will Compton (58:05): “That’s part of his (Caleb Williams') growing process…They’re stacking wins, he’s getting momentum. Bears are playing awesome football, but I think the Packers get it done in the fourth quarter.”

Parlays, Props & Notable Stat Nuggets [58:39–64:25]

• Delaney shares his alternate-line parlay:
  Bears +6.5, Panthers +6.5, Jags +7.5, Steelers +6.5, Patriots +2.5, 49ers -6.5, for +2046 odds.
• Clay’s “money line parlay:” Broncos, Lions, Patriots, 49ers, Texans (+579).
• Voice Parlay:
  • Jameer Gibbs (anytime TD, Lions)
  • Christian McCaffrey (anytime TD, 49ers)
  • Travis Etienne (anytime TD, Jaguars)
  • James Cook (anytime TD, Bills)
  • Group debates favorite props, leans, and provides quick-hit fantasy advice.
• Quick debate: Will Myles Garrett break the single-season sack record this week? Most agree he’ll at least tie it.
  Clay (63:21): “I think he gets one. I think he ties the record this week.”

Memorable Moments & Quotes

• Will’s noble “sacrifice” (07:01) and dry, tongue-in-cheek explanations for bad picks.
• Clay and Matthews debating the intangible factors of away games and crowd noise for Green Bay.
• The group’s inside jokes about “green dot” leadership, alternate lines, and Will being “solution-oriented.”
• Banter about parlay strategies, betting discipline, and “chasing units.”
• Ongoing running gag about “subordinates”/“green dots,” and who’s truly leading both on the field and at the betting window.

Key Timestamps

• Standings & banter: [00:00–07:32]
• Jaguars @ Broncos: [13:16–22:43]
• Steelers @ Lions: [22:49–27:42]
• Buccaneers @ Panthers: [30:44–35:09]
• Patriots @ Ravens: [35:38–39:38]
• 49ers @ Colts: [40:18–44:47]
• Packers @ Bears: [47:41–58:36]
• Parlays/props: [58:39–64:25]

Takeaways for Listeners

• The boys lean toward several underdogs: Jaguars (+3 or more), Panthers (+3 or more), and most of all, the Patriots (ML) to upset Baltimore.
• Strong conviction that the 49ers will cover easily against the nostalgic Rivers/Colts storyline.
• The NFC North is in for a wild finish—the Bears have the narrative momentum, but the group is split on whether the Packers’ road woes will finally doom them.
• Betting advice is lively, not always precise, but the value is in hearing the rationale, stat breakdowns, and locker room realism from former players.

“That’s gambling.” – Moneyline Matthews [53:38]

“If you don’t have belief and faith, what do you have?” – Clay [65:06]

This episode is a must-listen for anyone chasing NFL bets, playoff intrigue, or just loving the back-and-forth of real football guys breaking it down—at full throttle.