Transcript
Dan Senor (0:04)
You are listening to an art media podcast.
Ron Dermer (0:08)
In the United States. There's been a kind of consensus in both parties that you need to kind of pivot to Asia. Now, if you're going to pivot, you pivot from strength. Now, with Iran defanged, your whole base structure is different because the threat that it was supposed designed to deal with was Iran. So now, all of a sudden, if you want to do that, if you're thinking about moving more resources and more focus elsewhere to the pac, Trump's action actually enables you to do it. Now, what's the vacuum that you leave behind? Well, here, Israel stepped up into that vacuum. And if we have other partners in the region that are willing to step up into that vacuum, and I think you have them, you can actually envision a whole regional security architecture that'll enable the United States to make that pivot, but that Israel and our Arab states in the region start taking a much more prominent role.
Dan Senor (1:11)
And now for part two of our conversation with Minister Dermer, if you've not watched part one, we encourage you to look out for it. Watch that first, and then watch part two. Onto today's conversation. You were dismissive of the Palestinian Authority playing a role in Gaza.
Ron Dermer (1:27)
Yeah.
Dan Senor (1:27)
Why?
Ron Dermer (1:28)
Because I think it's like unifilm. Like, how many decades of failure do you have to have to not keep trying to do the same thing over and over again? And this is one of the things I changed my mind about on October 7th. October 7th. And this may seem Pollyannish to some of your listeners. You know, I was never a believer that we could find a solution to the Israeli Palestinian conflict. I didn't see a solution for a simple reason, because the peace. You know, I've been dealing with this for, you know, as a keen observer since the mid-90s, but as somebody who's involved with it for about two decades. Okay. And you had all these people of goodwill that were trying to negotiate with the Palestinians and peace envoys and experts and secretaries of state and presidents and all sorts of people who were involved in it. And first of all, they never understood the basic problem. And the basic problem is the Palestinians do not accept the legitimacy of a Jewish state in any boundary. That's what the core is. And it's been that core for 100 years. Not just since 1947 or 48, but for 100 years. That's the core of the problem. And people don't want to accept it because it's much harder for them to deal with. But beyond that being the Core of the problem, what has been happening for over 30 years, since the Oslo process started 32 years ago, is the Palestinians have systematically poisoned a generation of people, now a generation and a half of Palestinians against Israel, against Jews. And so I would see these peace envoys go, and all this diplomacy and these texts, and I would work on those texts to try to change this or that word, to make sure that Israel's basic security requirements are protected in any potential agreement. But I didn't believe that this process was going to lead to any kind of a piece because I asked myself, what is a six year old Palestinian? What are they learning in school? What is a 10 year old Palestinian watching on television? And who are the heroes of 15 year old Palestinians? And they're all people that murdered Jews, so there's no chance to do it. And the PA made the problem worse. You speak to Israelis who've been dealing with this for 50, 60 years and they'll tell you the generation that came before the PA took over was more likely to try to reach an accommodation. Okay, I don't know. I wasn't there. But what I've seen is this whole process has poisoned a generation and a half of Palestinians. And what happened to me on October 7th that night, I remember and I remember I said it to people in my office and I may have even said it at the Cabinet and it may seem like I said very Pollyannish. It was the first time that I saw a light at the end of the tunnel when it came to the Israeli Palestinian conflict. Because I knew and I believed in the resolve of our people and certainly the courage of our soldiers. And I believed in the leadership of the Prime Minister and still do, that we were going to win the war. Like I knew that we were going to rally and win. But to me, the hope for a change with the Palestinians would come in the wake of a war. Because you have to change the culture and the educational system. If you don't deal with that, nothing we do is going to work. And there are people who don't believe that can ever change. Why? They said the Palestinians are the Palestinians. It's never going to change. I disagree. And I think the United States did it. Of course, no two situations are alike. I think the greatest thing the United States did is it took their worst enemies and turned it to some of their best friends in Japan and Germany. And that came because in Japan you changed the educational system there and you detoxified Japanese society that was really, really poisoned. You did the same thing with the Denazification program. Now, the Palestinian issues are much more complicated because, you know, there's no Hirohito, there's no emperor that can just turn the tide. And it's not Germany, I get it. There's 5,000 different reasons why. But I believe that in this region, particularly in Saudi Arabia and the Emirates and maybe there are others, Morocco, we'll see, that can be partners in trying to begin the detoxification of Palestinian society. They're doing it in their own society. Saudi Arabia today is not the country it was 10 years ago. And the Emirates, I don't know enough about the history of it, but 20 years ago, you see that they're actually trying to deal with the issue of extremism in their societies. Now, I could see a situation where in the wake of the war, we now have partners for the day after of what could be a new beginning. Now, I'm not saying that we're gonna succeed. I'm not saying we're gonna succeed, but you have to try and to take the pa, the unreconstructed, unreformed pa, or just check boxes, cuz, you know, another story. So the former Secretary of State, Blinken, I remember in Japan in 2023, he was at a conference, he talked about a rejuvenated Palestinian Authority. And he didn't speak to me about it before. And I was interfacing with him throughout the war and also with Jake Sullivan and Brett McGurk. And listen, I appreciate many things that they did during the war. And I think many of them on many instances were more helpful than they get credit for, and they should get the credit for it. But on this, I call him up and I said, tony, what does that mean? What does that mean? Because to me, rejuvenated means going to a day spa. What does that mean? He says, well, it means good governance. It means fighting corruption. And I said, tony, there are a hundred countries around the world that can't govern themselves, and they're probably 120 are corrupt. I'm looking for a government that won't teach their children to murder Jews. That's what we need, and that's what goes on there. And a lot of people who say, we need the day after plan, really, if you ask them what their day after plan is, is we're going to take the Palestinian Authority and we're going to throw it back in Gaz. Going to repeat 30 years of failure, and then there's no hope to have any different future. Now, if we get the day after plan, which is exactly the kind of stuff that you have to work in the 60 day period, if you get that right. It's going to take a long time to do it, but at least you're going to put it on rails, which you can see light at the end of the tunnel. And when I tell people and I get into, you know, my ideas with them, they say, well, what you're talking about something that's going to take a generation. I said, yeah, it may take a generation, but if you think about it in terms of a generation, you might get there in 10. And here what happens is everybody wants to make peace in two years or four years because of political calendars, and then nobody deals with the underlying problem. So what we need to do is actually have a government that's dealing with Gazans, which will not poison the next generation. And then you may have a situation where a six year old goes into their educational system and comes out as an 18 year old not trying to murder Jews, not turning mass murderers into heroes, but actually wants to do what other people want to do. That's very hard to do. And again, there are probably people who listen to this, who dismiss this, but I actually think that's the only way you have to move forward with the Palestinians. And even if you don't get there, the fact that you're trying to do that is what we need to do moving forward, because or else you have no chance. And this gives us a chance to reset what happened with Oslo. Because one of the core failures of Oslo, it was not the desire to ultimately see peace between Israelis and Palestinians. And there were people with goodwill that worked on it. The core failure was to not care what Palestinians were doing within their own society. And the one who actually understood it.
