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Unknown Speaker
Foreign.
Dan
You are listening to an art media podcast. Hey, it's Dan. There's been some developing news from Israel, so I didn't want us to do a full episode on it quite yet. Instead, we're trying out a new format here by sending Amit and Nadav a voice memo. Here we go. Amit, Nadav, it's a little after midnight for me in New York on Tuesday, August 5th, which means a little after 7am for you in Israel on Tuesday, August 5th. Over the course of this night here, I saw news that Netanyahu and the government had ordered the IDF to effectively take over Gaza, occupy Gaza in its entirety. And I just had two quick questions for you. One, is this just a negotiating tactic, effort to pressure Hamas diplomatically, politically, to take a deal, a ceasefire deal? And two, what if Hamas calls Israel's bluff? What are the practical implications if Israel actually has to go through with it? Can it go through with it? Does it have the capacity to go through with it? Please share your thoughts with me. I'm eager to hear your quick take on both topics. Thanks.
Amit
So here's the thing. Everyone then is convinced that Netanyahu is cheating. But the question is, who is the town cheating? Is he trying to talk the right wing out of leaving his government, saying, promising, I'm going to attack Gaza soon to occupy it, everything is going to change, or the other way around, and according to which he actually says to Hamas, listen, I'm coming after you, so you better do a midterm deal releasing 10 life hostages so I don't have to occupy Gaza. And I would like to offer a third option that Netanyahu decided after a long, very long term period of time, that it is no longer possible for Israel to actually muddle through, that it has to take the decision to either occupy all Gaza, conquer Gaza City, defeat Hamas, or releasing all the hostages and leaving Hamas in power. That was the very, very difficult decision to make. But the worst thing to do is to actually do none of the above. Not releasing the hostages because the war is still going on, and not defeating Hamas because you're still waiting for a deal. So in my opinion, the decision that Netanyahu is trying to promote is to actually occupy Gaza. I'm not sure that the IDF plans are the same as Netanyahu's. And since in Israel the army is very, very strong, and since none of the options that the army have offered over the last few days include occupying all Gaza, so I guess it will still not be the full Monty, it would still not be the Full occupation of Gaza.
Unknown Speaker
So here's the thing. Israel needs to somehow pressure Hamas into a deal. Hamas officials are rejoicing at the humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip. Now to be fair, we this humanitarian crisis is very much the result of mistakes made by the Israeli Cabinet of the Israeli Cabinet stopping all food and assistance into the Gaza strip back at March 2nd and all the way to May 19th. This created or at least escalated a humanitarian crisis in the Gaza Strip. And now it's playing into Hamas hands. Hamas officials of course, don't care about the situation, the actual situation of civilians in, in the Gaza Strip. And they're seeing the international distress of Israel and that's the reason that they're saying between themselves, hey, let's wait and see what happens. Now that Israel is bleeding internationally and countries are threatening to recognize Palestinian state, a victory for us, why should we go now to the type of deal, the type of Witkoff phase deal that the Israelis were discussing. On the other hand, Israel at this condition, in this difficult spot, wants to get the Witkoff type deal. I think this is the case. I don't think that Netanyahu today, if he would be approached by the mediators, by Hamas and they would tell him let's go back to releasing just 10 hostages. I don't think Netanyahu would have said no. But he is left with no options but to try to have some sort of a credible military threat leveled against Hamas in order to, to push them. And the reason he's left with no options is basically because he said again and again no to the Israeli defense apparatus that wanted the type of a deal that will end the war at this stage and will continue the fight later on. And still the chiefs of staff are extremely critical of the plan as it is being seen right now. They do not want to go to, to a full military occupation of the Gaza Strip. They will do as they are ordered. But this is a difficult spot for the IDF that feels very worn out. And this is the reason why now the Netanyahu government is facing probably the worst crisis since the beginning of the war, together with Israel, of course, that as a result of that is facing the worst crisis internationally since the beginning of the war. Is, is it a bluff? It is a bluff right now, but it can develop to a very real action, one that can tear the Israeli society if it is not agreed in unity.
Amit
The idea is not very new. It's actually releasing Gaza from Hamas, defeating it, eliminating the senior figures, taking the infrastructures, tunnels, lpg, rai, et cetera. And then handing Hamas ending Gaza. Sorry. To a new governance system. The latest idea is a US Based administration with local officials and the representatives from the Emirates, Egypt, et cetera. I'm not sure that we will see the American flag over Gaza soon, but this is the idea and then again the idea of differentiating Hamas from the population. I'll give you one example. There is an initiative by Trump to have a declaration according to which he promises to fund the recovery of Gaza, rebuilding the infrastructures if Hamas. And this is one effort to actually differentiate HAFSA and the population. Because now the pleasure knows that the only barrier for a full recovery of Hamas with American taxpayer money is surrender of Hamas. Let's hope it succeeds.
Dan
All right, thanks guys. This is a topic the three of us will be digging into in the days ahead and that I'll be talking a little bit about in the first episode of Inside Call Me Back, our new subscriber podcast, which will be released late Wednesday night, early Thursday morning.
Call Me Back - with Dan Senor: Episode Summary
Title: Voice Memo: Occupy Gaza?
Release Date: August 5, 2025
Host/Author: Ark Media
Description: Presenting the challenges and dilemmas facing Israelis to a global audience.
In the August 5, 2025 episode of Ark Media's "Call Me Back" podcast, host Dan Senor explores the escalating tensions between Israel and Gaza. Opting for a novel format, Dan sends voice memos to experts Amit and Nadav to delve into the recent directive by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) to occupy Gaza entirely. This strategic move raises critical questions about its intent, feasibility, and potential consequences.
Dan Initiates the Discussion [00:04]:
Dan opens the conversation by highlighting Netanyahu's announcement for the IDF to occupy Gaza. He poses two pivotal questions:
Amit’s Analysis [01:19]:
Amit responds by scrutinizing Netanyahu's motives, suggesting that the prime minister might be leveraging threats of occupation to maintain political unity within Israel's right-wing government. He states:
“The worst thing to do is to actually do none of the above. Not releasing the hostages because the war is still going on, and not defeating Hamas because you're still waiting for a deal.”
[01:19]
Amit emphasizes that Netanyahu may feel cornered, believing that occupation is the only viable option left after rejecting alternative strategies proposed by the military and defense officials. He points out that while the army is robust, their current plans do not include a full occupation, implying a potential disconnect between political directives and military capabilities.
Nadav Weighs In [03:02]:
Nadav shifts the focus to Hamas, explaining how the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Gaza serves Hamas’s interests. He attributes the crisis to Israeli policies that halted food and assistance to Gaza from March to May, exacerbating civilian suffering. Nadav observes:
“Hamas officials of course, don't care about the situation, the actual situation of civilians in, in the Gaza Strip. And they're seeing the international distress of Israel...”
[03:02]
He argues that Hamas is capitalizing on international sympathy for Israel to delay negotiations and potentially push for the recognition of a Palestinian state. Nadav underscores the desperation within the Israeli government to secure a ceasefire, noting that Netanyahu may feel compelled to present a credible military threat to avoid conceding to Hamas’s demands.
Amit Discusses Occupation Plans [05:44]:
Returning to the topic of occupation, Amit outlines the potential framework for governance post-occupation. He suggests that the strategy involves dismantling Hamas’s infrastructure and establishing a new governance system possibly led by a US-based administration with input from regional players like the Emirates and Egypt. Amit remarks:
“The idea is not very new. It's actually releasing Gaza from Hamas, defeating it, eliminating the senior figures...”
[05:44]
He highlights initiatives like those from former President Trump, which aim to fund Gaza’s recovery contingent upon Hamas’s surrender. This approach seeks to differentiate the Palestinian population from Hamas, ensuring that reconstruction efforts support civilian well-being rather than fortifying the militant group.
Dan Concludes the Discussion [06:51]:
Dan wraps up the episode by acknowledging the complexity of the situation and hinting at future discussions. He mentions the upcoming "Inside Call Me Back" subscriber podcast, where these critical issues will be further examined.
Strategic Occupation: Netanyahu’s directive to occupy Gaza may be a strategic maneuver to maintain political support and pressure Hamas into negotiations.
Hamas’s Leverage: Hamas is exploiting the humanitarian crisis to delay ceasefire agreements and push for broader political gains.
Military vs. Political Plans: There appears to be a divergence between Netanyahu’s political strategies and the IDF’s military plans, raising questions about the feasibility of a full occupation.
International Involvement: Future governance of Gaza may involve international actors, aiming to rebuild infrastructure while isolating Hamas’s influence.
Societal Tensions: The potential for a full occupation could lead to significant societal divisions within Israel, highlighting the delicate balance between military action and political stability.
Amit on Netanyahu’s Dilemma [01:19]:
“The worst thing to do is to actually do none of the above. Not releasing the hostages because the war is still going on, and not defeating Hamas because you're still waiting for a deal.”
Nadav on Hamas’s Strategy [03:02]:
“Hamas officials of course, don't care about the situation, the actual situation of civilians in, in the Gaza Strip. And they're seeing the international distress of Israel...”
Amit on Future Governance [05:44]:
“The idea is not very new. It's actually releasing Gaza from Hamas, defeating it, eliminating the senior figures, taking the infrastructures, tunnels...”
This episode of "Call Me Back" provides a nuanced examination of the precarious situation in Gaza, Israel’s strategic considerations, and the broader geopolitical implications. By incorporating expert analyses and direct quotes, the podcast offers listeners a comprehensive understanding of the ongoing conflict and its potential trajectory.
Stay Tuned: Further discussions and in-depth analyses of these developments will be featured in the upcoming episodes of Ark Media’s "Call Me Back" and the new "Inside Call Me Back" subscriber podcast.