A (29:21)
You know, I was just trying to think through how deceptive returns are, how deceptive it is for returns. And I was thinking through mutual funds and there's some that have some high name recognition. I would say probably over the last few years. I feel like the ARK fund has had like a lot of name recognition. It's been in the press a lot. And when you see a mutual Fund that has super high returns. It's very tempting to say, well, I want to do the one with the best return. And this is a huge mindset shift that you just, you won't process until you've been investing for a while. Like you personally, it just, this is not intuitive. What does it mean to chase returns? This is the problem. If you take a look at, oh well, my guy has, you know, he got the last 15 years, got 300% returns, right? Well that's, that's, that's pretty good. Over the last 15, 300%. Well, what was the return for someone that invested in January of last year to now? Those are two different things completely two things. And it is irrelevant what someone did over a horizon. What matters is from your entry point to your exit point, whatever that is, what is that return going to be? And that is completely unknown, including to the fund manager. But if, if your money goes down, they're still going to collect your fees, right? They're going to get their fees regardless. And so, you know, over Ark's inception, maybe it's like a 300% return, something like that. Well, over the last year, maybe it's been more like 10% or 13% or there was a year where it was down 20 or 30% or something like that. Very volatile, right. And so for individuals that are hopping in and hopping out, maybe that's okay, maybe. But the point is for the person that looks at, you know, morning storage, top five returns, you're chasing returns. Those returns are already locked in. Now think about this like as an individual, if you made a bet on something that blew up and it blew up and you know that, that thing, you found value, you identified something that was undervalued by the market, you invested it, you made a great choice and it had a 10x or here you are. Well, the problem is now you have to find the next one because maybe that one's done or maybe it peaked and you have to get out. Well, that's going to create taxable events. And then two, you have to figure out what the next bet is and they do stumble. Now the problem for you as the individual investor is you, you haven't found the person that will never stumble. And regardless of whether or not they land the next bet or not, their fees are a locked in thing for you. Do you understand that? And so these are just, you got to process this because it's so deceptive to go look at a mutual fund that has great returns. You're not getting any of those returns. You're getting what happens next, the next chapter. And if you don't know, which none of us do, you're not even relying on your own judgment, you're relying on theirs and how they see things, right? You're relying on some level personalities come because they don't have a crystal ball. They have to make guesses based on maybe additional information that. But they have to outperform their fee, they have to outperform the market, so they have to take more risk. And it is extraordinarily nearing impossible to outperform the market over a longer period of time. And this is why, even though we have some people in our community that are huge fans of picking individual stocks, like Brian Feroldi likes picking individual stocks. He would never in a million years dismiss index fund investing. It's a core of his holding. But occasionally what he does is he as an individual feels like he has identified value that the market isn't priced in and he will take a position, a long term position. And again, as an individual investor, maybe you can afford to do it. But here's the real thing that's great for Brian Ferold. He's doing a lot of research and he makes some great choices. He's a long term buy and hold investor. But that is not what a mutual fund is, that's actively managed. They have to outperform the market. They have to make new bets to keep capturing value. And that comes potentially at, you know, you're at the disadvantage on that end of the equation. So I just wanted to throw these up there. To be intellectually honest, when you're thinking about long time horizons and you want to take your brain out of it, keeping up with the market will do exceedingly well for you. And the vast majority of individual investors do not keep up with the market. So just keep that in mind. So part of control has to be, you appreciate the why of that. You stop getting shiny object syndrome. You take your lizard brain, using a lot of Brad's terms here, but you take your tiny lizard brain out of it and you just say, all right, I'm going to automate and control what I can control and I'm going to reduce the fees and I'm going to look for keeping up with the market over a long time horizon. So Brad, I know I just circled the wagons there, but I just wanted to provide some context because when we're talking about the right side of the equation here, what do you do with the difference? You know, we have income, we have expenses. Now we're talking about investments, but it's a circular loop for someone that's saying, I'm in control, at least with regards to the investment side of things. What would you say are table stakes for saying you're in control?