Transcript
A (0:02)
This is a Global Player original podcast.
B (0:09)
Hello, everyone, and welcome to the Q and A episode of the X Files with me, Cristiana Manpour and Jamie Rubin. Remembered this is where we answer your questions. So let's get started. Jamie, you go first.
A (0:22)
All right, the first question from Ilana on email. If the US does end up carrying out military strikes on Iran, do you think any of its Western allies would join in? If not, is that because they don't feel as strongly as against the United States, does feel as strongly against the Iranian regime?
B (0:42)
Well, I'll try, but I think you probably know more about this. Basically, the allies have not, they didn't last time. So the last time it was just Israel and the United States. And I think the Western allies have made it clear that they are not interested in going to war against Iran. And not only that, all the allies in the region, the Middle Eastern allies, the Gulf allies, they don't want to do it either. And in fact, I, I've been quite surprised that even these people, certainly in the region who have, you know, their policy for, for decades has been to contain Iran. None of them want to see a, a, a war against Iran, another war in the Middle east, and certainly none of them plan on joining anything that the United States may have in mind.
A (1:29)
Yes, I think you're right about that. But I would make one amendment to it. There's a difference between conducting airstrikes and helping Israel and the region defend itself. And I think it's very important to distinguish between the. For example, back in the Biden administration, we had a glimpse of a possible future in the Middle east when Israel struck Iran and Iran began its retaliation against Israel. Think about this. Regional allies, the Europeans and the United States joined together in a defense cooperation arrangement to defend Israel against Iranian retaliation, to use their air defense systems, their aircraft and their surveillance systems all across the region. Gulf allies, Jordan, if I remember correctly, European countries like Britain and France, the United States. And that showed you what could happen if one day the Israelis finally realized that they could achieve the dream of their founders, get recognition with their neighbors and join in an alliance with the Gulf Arabs like Saudi Arabia, normalizing relations with Israel, with the uae, with Bahrain, with all of these countries, countries and the Europeans and the United States conducting a regional defense arrangement, not treaties that guarantee everything but defense arrangements that would be dramatic and would change the face of the Middle East. And those alliances could all be joined together with NATO, with our support for Asian allies, and then the west, the global west, what you might say the countries that believe in a rules based order, that believe that Russia and China shouldn't be able to invade their neighbors could all be working together. And all of that hinges on an Israeli election which will determine whether a government finally comes into power willing to make peace with the Palestinians.
