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Circle Back is back with another live episode, breaking down the biggest stories and chaos from Gambling Twitter this week. Host Jacob Gramegna is joined by Porter, Isaac Rose-Berman, and Joey Knish as the crew dives into the wild finish to the World Cup: Team USA's elimination at the hands of Belgium amid controversy over President Trump's call to FIFA president Gianni Infantino, Cristiano Ronaldo and Portugal's exit from the tournament and the prediction market frenzy over whether he shed a tear, Conor McGregor's massive return to the Octagon against Max Holloway at UFC 329, and the growing allegations that prominent sports betting figure Mikki Mase may be broke after asking fans to use their betting accounts on his behalf. Tune in live for hot takes, sharp analysis, and unfiltered reactions to everything moving the needle in sports betting and gambling media this week. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna 🔵 Follow Knish - https://x.com/joeyknish22 🔵 Follow Porter - https://x.com/BAanalytics_ 🔵 Follow Isaac - https://x.com/roundrobin42 OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Jacob Gramegna, Isaac Rose-Berman, Porter & Joey Knish 1:38 - The USMNT were embarrassed by Belgium after FIFA's circus 11:41 - Did Cristionao Ronaldo cry after Portugal's loss? Bettors want to know 20:08 - Connor McGregor vs. Max Holloway preview + odds 30:01 - Bettors allege that Mikki Mase has gone broke 36:46 - Big Brother 28 42:50 - Reading Your Comments 53:46 - The new way to get accounts? Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #GamblingTwitter #SportsBetting #CircleBack #WorldCup2026 #ConorMcGregor #UFC329 #CristianoRonaldo #MikkiMase #FIFAWorldCup #ProphetX Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Most people are using AI as a betting oracle, and it's costing them money. Rob Pizzola breaks down the right way to actually use AI for sports betting — not by asking it who wins tonight's games, but by treating it as a research assistant, a coder, and a data scientist that does the labor while you bring the judgment. Rob walks through a real example from the World Cup, where he built an expected goals model with AI, ran a Poisson distribution across dozens of markets, and found a spot where his numbers diverged from the market by 4% — including exactly how that bet turned out and why the result doesn't matter as much as the process. If you've ever asked ChatGPT or Claude for picks, this video will change how you think about AI in betting for good. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America's #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 🔴 Why Betting Without Watching The Market Is A Mistake : https://youtu.be/ZhNnPtayBoM 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - The Dumbest Way to Use AI in Betting 0:48 - The Two Camps 1:59 - Quick Context 2:55 - What AI is Actually Good For 4:24 - Example 1: Coding & Datasets 7:12 - Example 2: Automation & Time 9:22 - Sponsored by ProphetX 10:47 - The World Cup Bet 14:15 - Is This Model Even Good Enough? 16:54 - What NOT to Do 18:05 - How Are You Using AI? 18:28 - The Bottom Line Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #SportsBetting #AIBetting #ChatGPT #Claude #PredictionMarkets #ProphetX #BettingStrategy #BettingTips #WorldCupBetting #RobPizzola #CirclesOff #TheHammer #SportsBettingAI #BettingModel #Gambling Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The FIFA World Cup is in absolute chaos after reports that Florian Balogun’s red card suspension was reversed ahead of USA vs Belgium following a high-profile intervention involving Donald Trump, sparking major backlash over corruption concerns, competitive integrity, and whether governing bodies are being influenced at the highest level. The crew also breaks down a separate controversy involving Spotify requesting removal of its branding from prediction-market-linked ranking manipulation allegations, raising fresh questions about how betting-adjacent markets could be impacting real-world platforms. On top of that, England’s dramatic 3–2 win over Mexico in one of the most chaotic matches of the tournament is being called an all-time World Cup classic. Host Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and George Tsilfidis as the panel unpacks the biggest stories from across the World Cup and sports betting world, including the integrity concerns surrounding FIFA decisions, the intersection of markets and platform manipulation, and the fallout from a historic England-Mexico clash that has fans and analysts debating its place among the greatest matches ever played. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America’s #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola 🔵 Follow George - https://x.com/georgetsilfidis 🔵 Follow Geoff - https://x.com/gfienberg12 OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, George Tsilfidis and Geoff Fienberg 1:46 - Donald Trump asks FIFA to allow Florian Balogun to play the USA's R16 match vs. Belgium 22:03 - More World Cup: England/Mexico, Canada loses, etc. 35:51 - Reaction to the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 44:58 - 2026 MLB All-Star selections controversies 51:05 - NHL offer sheet drama 59:12 - Spotify goes at prediction markets 1:05:09 - Charlie Sheen lost 18 bets in a row 1:15:38 - Reading your comments 1:25:10 - Chopping Block Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Live on this week’s Circle Back, the crew breaks down one of the biggest cross-sport news days of the year. The United States have advanced in the FIFA World Cup, but the win is overshadowed after a controversial red card to Florian Balogun that will now see him miss a massive matchup against Belgium. The panel discusses what the decision means on the field — and what it could mean for the betting markets moving forward. The biggest story of the day comes out of the NBA, where Malik Beasley has been indicted on federal charges tied to an alleged sports betting scheme involving point shaving and prop bets, with reports indicating a voluntary surrender is being coordinated this week. The conversation digs into what this means for the league, the integrity of sports betting, and why this case could have ripple effects well beyond one player. Later, the crew reacts to Jordan Spieth’s comments on betting in golf, and the perceived contradiction between his public stance and his partnership history in the space. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna on Circle Back, part of Circles Off on The Hammer Betting Network, joined this week by Thon Misser, Joey Knish, and Isaac Rose-Berman. Circle Back goes live every Thursday at 4 PM ET breaking down sports betting news, industry drama, and the biggest stories across sports. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America’s #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna 🔵 Follow Knish - https://x.com/joeyknish22 🔵 Follow Thon - https://x.com/thonmisser 🔵 Follow Isaac - https://x.com/roundrobin42 OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, Jason Cooper and Geoff Fienberg 3:03 - Jaylen Brown and Kawhi Leonard trades shake the NBA 16:30 - Malik Beasley indicted on gambling charges 27:11 - USA advances at the World Cup but loses Florian Balogun to suspension 38:37 - Matt Miller breaking news 41:19 - Did another bettor expose a big edge? 45:27 - Reading your comments 51:27 - The Joey Tunes lending company 54:55 - Jordan Speith's hypocritical take on betting in golf 1:00:08 - Chopping Block 1:05:02 - Joey Knish's Hot Dog contest banger Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #NBA #WorldCup #sportsbetting Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Most bettors think their edge comes from projection models, numbers, or opinions they’ve built on their own work. But there’s one thing many of them ignore completely: the market. In this video, Rob Pizzola breaks down why ignoring line movement and market information is one of the most expensive mistakes a bettor can make — not because the market is always right, but because it constantly provides free information that can improve your timing, your price, and your decision-making. From understanding when to bet early vs late, to recognizing steam moves, to spotting when your projection is wildly out of sync with sharp money, this is a deep dive into how the market actually functions in sports betting. Bet timing can matter just as much as the bet itself, line movement can create bets that didn’t exist moments earlier, and ignoring market signals can hide major EV opportunities. At the same time, your model being different doesn’t automatically mean it’s right, and sharp money plus liquidity at key moments matters more than most bettors realize. This isn’t about blindly following line movement. It’s about understanding that your projection and the market are not enemies — they are two inputs that should be used together. And if you’re only using one of them, you’re leaving information — and likely money — on the table. If you want to think about betting at a higher level, this is where it starts. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America’s #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 🔴 Fixed Fights, Stiffed Partners, and a Decade of Sharp MMA Betting: https://youtu.be/Hje5wiHVwhg 🔴 Stop Betting Player Props Until You Watch This: https://youtu.be/B8JTvjk0xh0?si=pw0ZTyli-De2Z8Sg 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Ignoring the Market is Expensive 0:44 - The Comment That Inspired This Video 2:25 - Where the Commenter is Right 3:49 - Quick Context 4:24 - Your Projection + The Market = More Than Either Alone 6:24 - Example 1: Bet Timing 9:03 - Example 2: Line Movement Creates Bets 11:53 - Sponsored by ProphetX 13:21 - Example 3: The Gut Check on Your Own Work 14:59 - The Arrogance of Ignoring the Market 19:00 - Catch Me Live on Pizza Buffet 21:14 - Comments — Convince Me 21:37 - The Bottom Line Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #SportsBetting #BettingStrategy #LineMovement #SportsBettingTips #SportsBettingCommunity #BettingMarkets #PredictionMarkets #RobPizzola #CirclesOff Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

On today's Circle Back, we break down the controversy surrounding Matt Miller after years of allegations resurfaced following his recent GoFundMe campaign, discuss Canada's dramatic 1-0 stoppage-time win over South Africa to advance at the World Cup, look at the latest World Cup odds including the United States and Bosnia and Herzegovina, and debate the NFL tampering questions surrounding Adam Schefter, Robert Kraft, A.J. Brown and Diana Russini. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg and Jason Cooper for another episode of Circle Back on the Circles Off YouTube channel. The crew reacts to the biggest stories from the sports world, sports betting and gambling media, offering analysis, opinions and discussion. Presented by ProphetX. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America’s #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola 🔵 Follow Jason - https://x.com/takesbyj 🔵 Follow Geoff - https://x.com/gfienberg12 OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, Jason Cooper and Geoff Fienberg 1:47 - Canada defeats South Africa to advance to the Round of 16 18:02 - More World Cup drama 33:05 - Viktor Hovland wins the Travelers Championship after an overnight delay 41:28 - Matt Miller scam allegations unearthed after scary car accident 1:00:30 - Adam Schefter potentially involved with tampering in the NFL? 1:16:28 - Reading your comments 1:21:03 - Chopping Block Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Today on Circle Back LIVE, we’re diving into the biggest gambling conversations happening right now — from World Cup betting angles and market reactions to the growing debate between prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks. The panel breaks down where sharp bettors are finding edges, what’s driving the latest sportsbook vs prediction market discussion, and the “hidden” sources of betting information that most people overlook. We also react to the biggest stories and discourse shaping the betting world this week, including what actually matters versus what’s just noise. Circle Back LIVE streams every Thursday at 4 PM ET on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, joined by Alex Moretto (Director of Content at The Hammer), Isaac Rose-Berman (sharp tennis bettor), and Mike “Mr. Peanutbettor” (professional sports bettor). 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America’s #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna 🔵 Follow Alex - https://x.com/alexjmoretto 🔵 Follow Mike - https://x.com/peanut_bettor 🔵 Follow Isaac - https://x.com/roundrobin42 OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Peanut Bettor, Isaac Rose-Berman, Alex Moretto and Jacob Gramegna 1:21 - World Cup 24:18 - 2+ goals markets 39:04 - NHL/NBA trades 48:33 - Matt Kalish sounds off again 55:11 - Didn't get let it 59:33 - Reading your comments 1:05:09 - The best thing that can happen in gambling 1:08:49 - Chopping Block Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #circleback #worldcup #sportsbetting Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Every time a new sport gets going or a new account starts popping up on social media, the same question starts flooding in: should I trust this person’s record? Rob Pizzola breaks down the exact checklist he uses when evaluating whether a sports bettor is actually legit or just riding variance and good timing. From win-loss records that don’t tell the full story, to missing tracking metrics like closing line value, timing, and market access, this video exposes the red flags most people completely ignore. Most bettors are not evaluating the right things. They look at ROI, win streaks, or a clean-looking record and assume it translates. But the reality is that how someone tracks, where they bet, and what prices they actually get matters just as much—if not more—than the results themselves. This is a framework designed to help you avoid one of the most common mistakes in sports betting: tailing someone whose results don’t actually translate to your real-world betting experience. 🟢 Sponsored by ProphetX, America’s #1 Sports Prediction Market. Sign up with promo code CIRCLESOFF — Trade $10, get $20: https://www.prophetx.co/ 🔴 Stop Betting Player Props Until You Watch This: https://youtu.be/B8JTvjk0xh0?si=pw0ZTyli-De2Z8Sg 🔴 I Bought Sports Betting Picks for Years… Here’s What I Learned: https://youtu.be/EMjvjIAJoQA?si=rgilnK8fHSg1FeQT 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Another DM, Another Capper 2:46 - Win/Loss Only Is Missing the Point 5:17 - The Cherry-Picked Record Trap 6:31 - Tracking Platforms — What Actually Matters 9:00 - Books You Don't Have Access To 12:11 - The Trap Even Good Cappers Fall Into 16:09 - Fake Stakes at Soft Books 18:16 - Comments — What Did I Miss? 18:48 - What You Should Actually Be Asking 21:26 - The Bottom Line Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #SportsBetting #BettingTips #SportsBettors #BettingStrategy #ClosingLineValue #ProphetX #CirclesOff #RobPizzola #BettingMarkets #PredictionMarkets #BettingAdvice #GamblingStrategy #BettingEducation #SportsAnalytics #BettingCommunity Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

The Wall Street Journal investigation into a major prediction market platform alleging offshore promotional tactics, misleading creator campaigns, and staged “wins” sparks debate about how far marketing manipulation may be going in the space. The crew also reacts to a blockbuster NHL trade sending Brady Tkachuk to the Florida Panthers, and breaks down Cabo Verde’s stunning World Cup run after securing another major result against Uruguay as they push toward a historic knockout stage appearance in their debut tournament. Jacob Gramegna is joined by Rob Pizzola, Geoff Fienberg, and Jason Cooper on Circle Back, part of The Hammer Betting Network, to break down the biggest sports betting, sports media, and global sports stories of the week with sharp debate across the panel. 🟢 Check out ProphetX, the number 1 sports prediction market, and use code CIRCLESOFF when you sign up: https://www.prophetx.co/ 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 🔵 Scale with Betstamp PRO → https://bit.ly/3QIPbFW LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on Twitter - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Jacob - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna 🔵 Follow Rob - https://x.com/robpizzola 🔵 Follow Jason - https://x.com/takesbyj 🔵 Follow Geoff - https://x.com/gfienberg12 OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Jacob Gramegna, Rob Pizzola, Jason Cooper and Geoff Fienberg 1:20 - Wyndham Clark wins the US Open 12:51 - Brady Tkachuk traded to the Florida Panthers 27:48 - Cabo Verde earns another shock draw at the World Cup 43:19 - Freddy is starting to ruffle some feathers 54:16 - WSJ investigation into Polymarket + Rob Rant 1:04:12 - Are we cooked? (Taylor Lewan) 1:10:11 - Survivor rake vs. no rake 1:19:35 - Reading your comments 1:29:38 - Chopping block Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #circleback #worldcup #predictionmarket #tkachuk #wyndhamclark Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Prediction markets are putting real pressure on traditional sportsbooks as reduced-vig pricing continues to reshape how odds are being offered across the industry. The panel breaks down how books are still hanging onto outdated pricing structures—like heavy two-way lines and inefficient World Cup markets—while prediction markets push tighter spreads and more competitive pricing models. The conversation dives into what that actually means for bettors, including why small pricing edges (even down to cent-level differences in straddles) compound into a massive long-term advantage, and whether sportsbooks are being forced to adapt or risk being outpaced entirely. The group also unpacks the broader shift in betting philosophy—from “democratization” to what might actually be a rising meritocracy—where sharper bettors and better information tracking are starting to matter more than ever. That leads into a deeper debate on bet tracking, where third-party tools, sponsorship incentives, and logistical limitations (especially across different jurisdictions like Nevada) collide with the reality that many serious bettors still rely on manual spreadsheets to stay disciplined and consistent. Hosted by Jacob Gramegna, this episode features Mike (Peanut Bettor), Porter (@BAanalytics_), Jacob Gramegna, and Thon Misser as they debate the biggest structural changes hitting sports betting right now. It’s a LIVE episode of Circle Back on Circles Off, part of The Hammer Betting Network, streaming every Thursday at 4 PM ET, breaking down betting market inefficiencies, industry drama, and the evolving edge between sportsbooks and bettors. 🟢 Check out ProphetX, the number 1 sports prediction market, and use code CIRCLESOFF when you sign up: https://www.prophetx.co/ 📅 New episodes of Circle Back LIVE every Monday at 1 pm ET and Thursday at 4 pm ET. Plus, watch for additional content every Wednesday, ranging from interviews with industry experts to instructional videos! 📊 Building in prediction markets? Get your trial API key for unified prediction market and sportsbook data: https://bit.ly/4blx5BR 🔵 Get Betstamp PRO 14 Days Free → http://bit.ly/427Zkhq LINKS 🎮 Join The Hammer's Discord: https://discord.gg/hammer ✉️ Sign up for our newsletter: https://kirknewsletter.thehammer.bet/ 🔨 The Hammer Betting Network: https://thehammer.bet/ SOCIALS 🔵 Circles Off on X - https://x.com/CirclesOffHQ ⬛️ Circles Off on TikTok - https://www.tiktok.com/@circlesoffhq 🟪 Circles Off on Insta - https://www.instagram.com/circlesoffhq/ FOLLOW 🔵 Follow Jacob Gramegna on X - https://x.com/jacob_gramegna 🔵 Follow Porter on X - https://x.com/BAanalytics_ 🔵 Follow Mike (Peanut Bettor) on X - https://x.com/Peanut_Bettor 🔵 Follow Thon Misser on X - https://x.com/ThonMisser OUR OTHER CHANNELS 🔨 https://www.youtube.com/@TheHammerHQ 🏈 https://www.youtube.com/@FwdProgressHQ 📚 https://www.youtube.com/@HitTheBooksHQ SHOW INDEX 0:00 - Circle Back w/ Mike, Porter, Thon Maker and Jacob Gramegna 1:58 - Prediction markets are taking over? 12:17 - The best time to be a sports bettor? 19:57 - World Cup 28:37 - Third-party tracking debates 37:34 - Wasting time price shopping 44:31 - Suspended from betting 49:35 - More transparency to wagers 54:55 - Chopping block Disclaimer: The content presented in this show is intended for entertainment purposes only. All opinions expressed are those of the hosts and do not necessarily reflect the views or opinions of any individuals or organizations mentioned. Statements made about public figures or entities are based on publicly available information and are not intended to harm or defame any person or business. This show relies on the fair use of social media posts, which are presented in good faith for the purpose of commentary and criticism. Viewers are advised to form their own opinions. Circles Off podcast is an entertainment podcast. The opinions expressed in the podcast are for the purpose of discussion in the area of sports betting, online gaming and other like markets. Circles Off podcast does not condone unlawful or illegal activity, and if you are unsure of the laws in your jurisdiction surrounding these markets, please seek the appropriate legal advice about strategies that you intend to implement. Please gamble responsibly. #sportsbetting #predictionmarkets #sportsbooks #bettingedge #circlesoff #thehammer #prophetx #bettingmarkets #sportsanalytics #bettingstrategy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices