
Loading summary
Chip Patterson
This episode of the COVID 3 podcast is presented by Cash App. For a limited time only, new Cash App users can use our show's code when they sign up for a reward. Just download Cash App, use our code cover 3 and send $5 to a friend. Within 14 days you'll get $10 right in your account. Terms apply. That's money. That's Cash App. Hate shopping for pants? You're not alone. Jack Archer's Jetsetter Tech pants are basically the answer to every guy's closet struggles with their With a customizable fit, wrinkle free fabric sourced from Japan and all.
Bud Elliott
Day comfort, these pants can take you.
Danny Cannell
From work to weekend without missing a beat.
Chip Patterson
Seriously, these might be the only pants you'll ever need. Style them with the Jetsetter tee legacy button down shirt or the buttery legacy polo sweater and you've got timeless staples to meet your everyday wardrobe needs. Jack Archer is just better For a limited time, get 15% off using the code GetJack@JackArcher.com and again, that's promo code GetJack@JackArcher dot com for 15% off your entire order.
Bud Elliott
Welcome back to the COVID 3 podcast.
Chip Patterson
With your hosts Chip Patterson, Tom Fornelli.
Danny Cannell
Danny Cannell and Bud Elliott.
Chip Patterson
It's your call for the best college football coverage from national signing day to.
Bud Elliott
The national championship and everything in between.
Danny Cannell
CBS Sports presents the COVID 3PO.
Chip Patterson
And welcome back to the COVID 3 podcast here on CBS Sports. That's Tom Fenelli, that's Bud Elliott, that's Danny Canel. I'm Chip Patterson coming to you live@YouTube.com cover3 and everywhere. Get your podcast on demand. Thanks for hanging out. Smash that subscribe smash that like and come and join us in the chat aka the COVID 3 tailgate where boys they need to get them likes up. You get the likes we give you the locks and the locks move the lines. So so many hanging out for the very best time of the week. It is when we are going to give you our locks for the week ahead. But before we do, let's jump into again we have been challenged. We're going to give it to you one of the most comprehensive and speedy recaps there is. Week 10 results. Bud Elliott it was a three and seven week for you. The wins were two lane UTSA over 54, Florida plus seven and a half and Oklahoma plus three. The losses were UT Vandy under 45 and a half, Sam Houston, Louisiana Tech under 49. The Cincinnati plus 10, Virginia Cal over 53, Wake Forest plus 10 Virginia Tech plus 11. Kansas State Tech under 52 and a half. Notes from the weekend.
Bud Elliott
Try to like, throw some more dogs in because I've been crushing the sprinkles and literally every dog I picked except for one lost. So that was great. Yeah, no notes suck.
Chip Patterson
Three and seven for the week has bud at 48 and 50 for the season. Five and six week for me. Five, six and one technically. Vanderbilt Commodores, you are heroes. The Syracuse team total under 23 and a half comes home as a winner. So does Indiana team total over 35 and a half. San Diego State minus 10 and the Georgia Tech NC State over 57 and a half. The losses were and Ohio State minus 20 and a half. Losses were Tennessee minus three. Florida team total over 20 and a half. Wake Forest plus 10. Virginia Tech plus 11. USC team total over 32 and a half. Kansas State plus seven and a half. Five, six and one for the week has me at 57 and 49 for the season. Danny four and six. The wins were Florida plus seven and a half. The North Carolina, Syracuse under 45 and a half. Louisville minus 10 and a half and Arizona minus three and a half. Losses in there on the Texas, Vanderbilt under 45 and a half, USC minus five and a half. Penn State plus 21. Tennessee minus three and the over 50 and a half in the cocktail party also two lane minus five and a half. Danny, what do we make out of 4 and 6?
Danny Cannell
I'm ready to move on. That's what I learned. I'm with the people that say, let's go through this faster.
Tom Fornelli
Okay.
Bud Elliott
It's definitely faster.
Chip Patterson
Okay. Four and six for the week has Danny at 48 and 49 for the season. Tom Fornelli, four and four week for you. You are the week's winner. There we go. The wins were Nebraska plus six and a half, the Air Force army under 49 and a half. We are so proud of our country. San Diego State minus 10. And the Central Michigan, Western Michigan over 40 and a half. Losses in there on the Latifah for the under 45 and a half in Austin. Penn State team total under 10 and a half. Cincinnati, Utah under 55 and a half and the over in the cocktail party. Notes from the weekend.
Tom Fornelli
Cincinnati was or Utah was up 38 to 14 with three minutes left and scored a touchdown. There was no need for that. Not at all. Could have just melted out and we could have been 4, 5 and 3 on the week. But, you know, whatever. Winning by going 4, 500.
Bud Elliott
One quick thing. I think I'm down 7 units, not 5.
Tom Fornelli
Oh, you know what? You're right.
Bud Elliott
I like the. The week by week is correct. Eyeballing this. But the. The sum is not.
Tom Fornelli
Oopsie doopsy. All right.
Chip Patterson
Okay, we'll work on that math and we'll get back to you. Because we're flushing it. That's right. Week 10 behind us. Week 11 on deck. So I ask you to. Gentlemen, y' all ready to lock it up?
Tom Fornelli
Yes, sir.
Danny Cannell
Let's go.
Tom Fornelli
Since 2005, the under in games between service cabinets is 49 and 1.
Danny Cannell
Give me an over in this one as well. A little two for one special.
Bud Elliott
I was a sicko last week. Y' all were watching the good games. I was live betting the hell out of UL in Kentucky. My blue plate special.
Chip Patterson
Five star locks are coming. Five star master lock. Lock it. I'm.
Danny Cannell
I'm living and dying.
Chip Patterson
Every.
Bud Elliott
Every point, every cover.
Chip Patterson
Chair to your eyes and ears, a reminder that locks are sponsored all season long by Cash App. Making money moves should be easy. And that's why there's Cash app. It's fast, safe, and honestly, way more personalized than other apps out there. Thank you to Cash App for sponsoring all of the lox episodes all season long as well as the season long locks competition where we will have The Cash App Cover 3 locks trophy awarded at the end of the season. Let's begin as we always do. According to my notes here, nothing on Thursday from the boys. So at least for those interested in, you know, jumping in and having a little bit of action to any quick words, thoughts, or leans on what we've got Thursday night. That of course would be App State, Georgia Southern, old rivalry game in Boone and utsa. Fresh off that big win, headed to Tampa to take on South Florida. Anyone got lean seer? I know we got no locks.
Bud Elliott
I think that the value got bet out of USF that opened 11. It was like 13 half this morning, 14 almost everywhere. So I think that's probably the right move. I do think USF has some real juice. They look pretty healthy. But man, your guest in Georgia Southern App State is as good as mine.
Chip Patterson
Tom. Got Twitter.
Tom Fornelli
I locked up. Yeah, I locked up USF -13 and a half, but I would have much rather had 11 and a half.
Chip Patterson
Yes, okay. And that and that is kind of.
Danny Cannell
Like over in that game, but it's already 67 and a half, which nice.
Bud Elliott
Weather down here, man.
Chip Patterson
Just. Just good to get out and run.
Bud Elliott
You know, I agree with Jack in the chat. If I was going to play this, it would be that 41 and a.
Chip Patterson
Half over team total.
Bud Elliott
It's, it's higher in season boys.
Tom Fornelli
Very small sample size, Danny. But I did see, I was looking it up. I think games with totals of 65 or higher are going over 62% of the time. But it's a very small sample.
Chip Patterson
That's like at the, when we're sitting here at the fringe. Right. Like the, the market won't let you get to a certain point on a total, but in reality it should be even higher. Interesting. And on the your, your guess is as good as mine. I would say. Just don't lose Thursday night in Kid Brewer Stadium. I mean I could see Georgia Southern winning that game. App State's been super inconsistent, but if I'm Dow Loggins year one, that's a game that means something to the people of Boone, North Carolina. So get yourself a win so that you can at least have that from a season that otherwise has you at 4 and 4, 1 and 3 in conference play. All right, moving on to Friday night where I do know that we've got a lock Bud Elliott. Where are we going?
Bud Elliott
We are going to LA where Lincoln Riley's an offensive coach. Hasn't got to put up big numbers in a couple weeks. This is kind of that like Rhett Lashley principle. If you got a chance to maybe go hammer down defense coming off that road trip, I think the offense is going to stay a little more consistent here. We're going to go over. We got any 50s out there?
Tom Fornelli
I see a 40.
Danny Cannell
Yeah, I see 49. Well shoot.
Bud Elliott
Yeah, I, I, I'll take over 49 and a half. Let's go over 49 and a half in 119. Northwestern, USC.
Chip Patterson
Right. You think Trojan's role as like a general thought on the game?
Bud Elliott
I, I think that they yeah, I, I do but it wouldn't shock me if Northwestern comes in there with the plans able to pop an explosive or two kind of out of nowhere. So I, I do like over better slightly interesting.
Chip Patterson
All right. The other games on Friday night. No other locks, right?
Bud Elliott
No, I mean I think too late. Memphis is all kinds of wild. I'm really looking forward to watching that. Actually.
Chip Patterson
Danny had the, the great analysis. I love that yesterday that when you just, you get these teams at the table. I don't want to like step on your toes. Get these teams at the top of the American together. What just, just get the points.
Danny Cannell
Yep.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Danny Cannell
It wasn't Big 12 kind of like, you know, just yeah.
Chip Patterson
They not I was all when we had our top 25 pick show on CBS Sports Network. I did take Memphis for this. It's clearly not a lock. Danny took two lane. You're not offering it as a lock either, but who knows? It's gonna. It's a huge game. Massive significance there. Friday night, 9:00pm kickoff in Memphis, Tennessee. We will all be watching. We will not have a lock on it. And then Houston, ucf. Sure. I don't know. I don't know.
Tom Fornelli
I wanted to take ucf, it's just then I'd have to bet on ucf.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, I know. Because it. You're being.
Bud Elliott
Houston got pretty banged in that game.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, they're banged up.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. I've thought about a little maybe looking for some alternate ways to play that perhaps.
Chip Patterson
But that's. But that, that is not UCF being able to rise up and take down a Houston team that has played some pretty good football this year.
Bud Elliott
It's also the space game, which is like a very, very, very junior version.
Chip Patterson
Of Red Bandana over if you're going to space.
Tom Fornelli
Going up, baby.
Chip Patterson
All right. Coming up on the other side, we turn our attention to Saturday with some of the biggest games of the day to get us started. And more next. Whether you're raising a glass to your team, winning, catching up with old buddies back in town, or just trying to stay sane with a house full of relatives and how you feel the next morning still matters. That's why you can try pre alcohol zebiotics. Pre alcohol probiotic drink is the world's first genetically engineered probiotic. It was invented by PhD scientists specifically to tackle rough mornings after drinking. Here's how it works. When you drink, alcohol gets converted into a toxic byproduct in the gut. It's the buildup of this byproduct, not dehydration, that's really to blame for those rough next days. Pre alcohol produces an enzyme that breaks this byproduct down so you can feel your best tomorrow. Just remember to make pre alcohol your first drink of the night and of course, drink responsibly. Had a big night with some of my best friends from high school recently. It was a steak night. And of course in that kind of night, when you might have a cocktail, you might have some wine with dinner, and of course, a big meal, you know, you knew there was going to be a lot going on in the gut. But my friend showed up, he had the prebiotic from Zbiotics, and sure enough, the next morning felt a lot better. No sluggishness, no regrets. Make the most of every toast. Tailgate and touchdown this holiday season. Just don't forget to bring pre alcohol along for the ride. Go to ZBiotics.com cover to learn more and more and get 15% off your first order when you use code COVER at checkout. ZBiotics is backed with 100% money back guarantee so if you are unsatisfied for any reason, they'll refund your money. No questions asked. Remember to head to ZBiotics.com cover and use code COVER at checkout for 15% off. This episode is brought to you by White Claw Surge. Nice choice hitting up this podcast. No surprises. You're all about diving in to taste.
Bud Elliott
Everyone in the room can enjoy.
Chip Patterson
Just like White Claw Surge, it's for celebrating those moments when connections have been made and the night's just begun. With bold flavors and 8% alcohol by volume.
Bud Elliott
Unleash the night.
Chip Patterson
Unleash White Claw Surge. Please drink responsibly. Hard seltzer with flavors 8% alcohol by volume. White Claw Seltzer Works Chicago, Illinois Back here on the COVID 3 podcast, we'll get started started in Lubbock with maybe the game of the year. We thought Texas Tech Utah was the first game of the year, but now we've got another game of the year of the week in the Big 12. BYU going to take on Texas Tech gave it a really solid breakdown in Wednesday's big game breakdown. I encourage you to check that out if you want the X's and O's, the matchup factors and more. It looks like Tom, you've got a lock on this game. Why don't you get us started. Oh and you also honors on tee box. You won the week.
Tom Fornelli
Which game is this?
Chip Patterson
Sorry, I was byu Texas Tech.
Tom Fornelli
Oh my play for this game is the under. I just. We talked about it. We got. We don't know if BYU can deal with this Texas Tech defensive line. That is the question that we deal with with every Big 12 team going up against the the Red Raiders. And I I'm not overly confident in their offense's ability to be consistent. I don't think they're going to get shut down. I just don't think they're going to be having a, you know, 30, 35 point kind of game. And I also think Tech's offense in recent weeks has been just very stop and start and also very inefficient. And I think that this BYU defense, well, I'm not going to say that their defensive line is on the same level as Texas Techs. I think their front seven is pretty Damn good. And I think their front seven can win a few of these battles and keep Tech in check. So under 52 and a half.
Chip Patterson
That'S where I'm at too on this one. It was something that I kind of spotted early on, a feel and at every point as I've been trying to dig into this and continue to back it up and continue to say it, the line hasn't moved and I haven't changed my opinion on this one. So it's probably not going to be a dance to the window. You know, the potential for explosive plays is going to be there. And if like we've said with any under you get a, you get a defensive or special team score, it could get real hairy real fast. But, but on a down, two down basis, I think BYU is going to make Texas Tech work for it. I think BYU is going to have a hard time putting together long drives against this defensive line. And I will say again, like I said last week on the reaction show, I just think number 31 is going to be everywhere. You know, 47 is going to have to look out for 31 and I think it's going to be a big game for that defensive line. So give me, give me the under in this game. Not wouldn't be surprised if it's close in terms of this big spread. But ultimately I think if it is close, it's probably just because it's a lower scoring game. It could be a game that is close on the scoreboard but doesn't feel close if that makes sense for that reason.
Bud Elliott
And the only reason I don't love full game like both sides under is I just think like the potential for you know, turnover short field scores definitely exists here with the amount of pressure on the quarterbacks. And also you know, BYU like they can bring the blitz pretty hard like that, that can lead like, like you know, scores on both sides. That's kind of baked into me. I, I'd much rather have under than over here. I'm gonna go under 20 and a half BYU team total. I text offense has been stalling a little bit which obviously helps full game. But I, I think the one thing that is to me is pretty bankable is that Tech D line.
Chip Patterson
And with Will. Great comment in, in from Max in the tailgate with, with Hammond out if Morton gets any one of his, you know, bi weekly nicks or tweaks, we're gonna, we're gonna see that. Yeah, yeah. This Tech offense could end up slowing things down. But I like that shout too.
Danny Cannell
Obviously I will take BYU now. We had a. Was 10 and a half yesterday. I'll still take it at 10. I don't love it at 9 and a half because I do think it's gonna be. I think it's gonna be a lower scoring game. So I kind of agree with all your guys take. But I do think LJ Martin expected to play. Now everything I've said.
Chip Patterson
Bud.
Danny Cannell
Have you heard that too? Bud's always mine.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. L.J. martin's playing for everything I've read.
Danny Cannell
Yeah. So I think that's huge. The last couple games he's been healthy, he goes over 100 including 122 versus Utah's defense, which was pretty good. So I think these teams are both pretty clean. Like they don't turn it over a ton. I think the defenses are good and a lower scoring game. 10 points just seems like a pretty good number to get with a really good team in BYU that I think people are still sleeping on. So I'll take byu.
Tom Fornelli
You know what, Danny, I want to help you enjoy the weekly. So I'm going to give you 10 and A.
Danny Cannell
There we go.
Chip Patterson
Give it to me sharp, Danny. Betting the number, not the name. Nine and a half is a no go zone in his models discipline.
Danny Cannell
Danny at ten and a half.
Chip Patterson
He's. He's good to go. Also in that noon eastern time window, Georgia on the road to take on Mississippi State. I've got a. I've got three different ways I could play this. I haven't decided on which one yet. I don't see anybody else in the dock. Is anybody else jumping on this?
Bud Elliott
On what? Sorry, I was.
Chip Patterson
Mississippi State. Georgia. Mississippi State. Yeah.
Bud Elliott
I'm laying it with Georgia eight. Yeah. Anything under 10 is a go for me.
Chip Patterson
Cool.
Bud Elliott
Don't think that Mississippi State's run game is, is going to be able to move it on them like they could on Arkansas.
Danny Cannell
So give me, give me over 57 and a half. I do think George's offense will be able to score and I just, I think Mississippi State will be chucking around a little bit. Maybe that offers up some pick sixes, some scoring, some capacity that pushes this over.
Tom Fornelli
I get you. I. But I can get you eight and a half and Danny, I can get you 57.
Chip Patterson
Let's go. So there is a treasure map that's available here. Okay.
Tom Fornelli
Oh.
Chip Patterson
If you wanted to string it together, you could go with like a Mississippi State first half. You could go with the first half under, you know, taking all the slow starting dogs into consideration. But instead I'm gonna go with Mr. Halftime Adjustments. I'm gonna go with Captain Third Quarter. Give me the dogs in the third quarter minus three and a half.
Tom Fornelli
Would you rather have two and a half?
Chip Patterson
Yes, I. I would.
Bud Elliott
Okay.
Chip Patterson
Yeah. Yeah. The full treasure map is to say slow starting dogs could lead to either first half under or Mississippi State. First half, third quarter adjustments, then Georgia full game. Shoot, you could do four legs on that.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah. I'm glad you're back on your pre flop bets. You haven't had a second half, third quarter, kind of fourth quarter bet since week seven.
Chip Patterson
And I think. Was that a winning week?
Tom Fornelli
It was. You went five and four and you won that bet.
Chip Patterson
Okay, see, this is about getting. This is about getting back to fundamentals. We don't get an off week. So that's on. That's on us to be able to get into the lab and make sure that we spend some time working on fundamentals, working on ourselves. You give me the dogs in the third quarter. Generally, while we acknowledge it would be very college football and the sandwich spot and everything we said there. Does this mean that we think Georgia? Obviously, bud. Clearly, Danny. Tom. We think Georgia takes care of business.
Tom Fornelli
Yes.
Danny Cannell
I think so too.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, I just did the math for you, Chip. And on your second half, pre flop, third quarter and fourth quarter pre flop bets on this pod, you got the last one correct. That's the only one you've gotten correct.
Bud Elliott
You are one in four on these.
Chip Patterson
He is due. Well, no, the first. The week one. Week one, I got too cute. I was doing a full audit of the season and week one was just too much time to think about games. I. I flew into week one went like 5 and 14 on top 25 best bets. You know, I can't remember what the. What it was for the locks, but it's all right. Yeah. See this? That was too cute. All right, I'll tell you what ain't gonna be cute. I'll tell you what's gonna be. This is why I got my good chick. Saturday. How bad do you want it? Saturday in Iowa City. Because while we have acknowledged that both the Iowa Hawkeyes and even the Oregon Ducks are very familiar with cold and wet, maybe slushy, maybe snowy later on. Conditions you got a little weather alert Saturday for number nine, Oregon, taking on number 20, Iowa, who's got a luck.
Bud Elliott
I think it's a good number. That's crazy.
Tom Fornelli
All right, then I got a lock.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, go ahead.
Tom Fornelli
Give me the over 40 and a half. I don't care about the weather. It's too. It's not that windy. It's going to be rainy and the turf isn't gonna, you know, you're not gonna be slipping and sliding all over the place. And I think that I mean this lot the total was it like 44 to start I believe and all the weather talk is what's knocked it down this lower. So give it to me. I will take it. Hell, there's a path. I don't think it's the most likely one. There's a path. Oregon gets there by itself. I mean we saw it last night with against Toledo against Northern Illinois. The total in that game was 41. Toledo scored 42. So yeah, over 40 and a half.
Chip Patterson
Last night was also a big. How many times has the candle burned you upset alert for Toledo?
Tom Fornelli
No, not with this Northern Illinois team this year.
Chip Patterson
That's. That's the problem is principals have to take into consideration the other team on the other sideline as well.
Bud Elliott
I think if you had bet only Mac games in which Jason Candle's a three score favorite money line you'd be up like a good bit.
Chip Patterson
Right. Which is why you could. I understand why but it's just always funny when it's like you cannot blindly do that. You have to take into consideration what's on the other side. Is it profitable? Yes. But.
Bud Elliott
I think you could blindly do.
Chip Patterson
Like But I'm saying the average fan is. Does not have the bankroll to blindly bet the entire sample size.
Bud Elliott
But I do. So maybe I'll just blindly go against Alito with winner three score favorite every time which. Yeah, that's fair.
Danny Cannell
Give me, give me the Ducks.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, that's. That's where I'm at.
Danny Cannell
I think the demise of Oregon has been a little bit greatly exaggerated about how all of a sudden I see a lot of people calling them out. A lot of people saying oh Dante Moore, do we realize they put up 750 yards of total offense against Rutgers just a couple weeks ago? Like I know the Wisconsin game wasn't great but they had a really nice bounce back after the Indiana game. I still think they're the better team. I think they've got the more well funded team which does matter as Phil Parker alluded to and I don't know, I've just seen enough where I, I think Oregon's defense should be able to slow down mark Gronowski & Co. Oh no.
Tom Fornelli
Bud and Danny are both picking against Iowa. The chat's going to say I hate the Hawkeyes.
Chip Patterson
Wait, hold on. I. What's buds not picking Against Iowa.
Bud Elliott
I'm not picking his Iowa.
Tom Fornelli
I'm sorry, Danny and Chip. If lock agreement, I'll get blamed for it. The Iowa fans say I hate Iowa.
Bud Elliott
Who was the. Remember what Tarkanian said, that the NCLA was so mad at Kentucky that they punished.
Tom Fornelli
Yes.
Ken's
Yeah.
Bud Elliott
Finish the line here.
Tom Fornelli
Somebody remembers unlv.
Bud Elliott
Yeah, exactly.
Chip Patterson
No, no, it was punished. Morehead State. Another one of those small schools in the. In the region. Yeah. Okay, so any. Any other. And then, Bud, you're thinking thoughts on this game.
Bud Elliott
I mean, I. I do think Iowa can probably block Oregon. I just don't know if their skill guys are good enough to really make that matter all that much. I mean it. I may have a thought later. We'll see.
Chip Patterson
Oh, Cleveland State, by the way. Thank you.
Bud Elliott
There we go. Yes. Thank you, Chat.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, we appreciate that. We appreciate you always. Okay, then. Taking it on into the night. Slate Scott Stadium, Wake Forest. Going to take on uva. Who saw their logo? That little V with the tiny little swords.
Tom Fornelli
It was.
Chip Patterson
It was in the bracket that they put on television. Look at us. Can they handle the success? Anybody got a lot. Lay it. Lay it with the Wahoos. I don't think this is the spot. You fight it.
Bud Elliott
I gotta catch you. So.
Ken's
Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Come on, let's go.
Bud Elliott
This is more. All right. The lane becomes a lot. Yeah.
Chip Patterson
All right.
Bud Elliott
Go. Let's fight it. Fight, fight, fight, fight. All right. Down for a back. Back high kick. Give me plus seven on Wake. Yeah, I, I just. That's a lot of close wins for uva. I. I don't think these teams are.
Tom Fornelli
All that different as much as Iowa fans think. I hate the Hawkeyes. That's how much Bud hates Virginia.
Chip Patterson
And I've. And I've got six and a half right now.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah.
Bud Elliott
Yep.
Chip Patterson
For the Wahoos. Yeah. I. I think that Jake Dickard has done a phenomenal job at being able to put together a solid football team. But, Buddy, they are limited offensively and they're going to have to force some turnovers, get some breaks. Because I think that. I think. I think Virginia. This ain't the spot where I see Wake Forest being able to throw a haymaker. Could very well be wrong. But I think that Virginia, despite all of their luck, boxy type nature, still a pretty good football team and has a ceiling and a number that they can hit that Wake Forest would struggle to hit currently with their. With their offensive lineup. All right, then. LSU at Alabama, Bryant, Denny Stadium. Anybody got a lot?
Tom Fornelli
Game gets its own segment.
Chip Patterson
It. Listen, it's got an LSU and it's got an Alabama. No picks.
Tom Fornelli
I mean they'll probably be one or two thrown.
Danny Cannell
I'd lean towards Bama. I just don't know if you're gonna get that big bump that people think you're gonna get from the interim coach. I don't know. You're gonna get Michael Van Buren sprinkled in there. Like, what's going to change the offense? You know, Ty Simpson's been dealing it.
Bud Elliott
It's a little scary for me because Bam against the blitz has been not great. And you know, LSU is going to blitz like crazy. But I'm going to go ahead and lay the nine and a half here with the Tide.
Tom Fornelli
All right.
Bud Elliott
I I don't trust lsu. Yeah. And really have an all year.
Tom Fornelli
So you're locking that up to be clear. Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Yeah. That'll be Saturday night, 7:30pm Eastern time. Coming up on the other side, we open up the Saturday board. All of our best bets for week 11 and more.
Tom Fornelli
Next.
Chip Patterson
Meet the computer you can talk to with Copilot on Windows Working, creating and collaborating is as easy as talking.
Tom Fornelli
Got writer's block?
Chip Patterson
Share your screen with Copilot Vision to help spark inspiration and use Copilot voice to have a conversation and brainstorm ideas. Or maybe you need some tech help with Copilot Vision. Copilot sees what you see. Let Copilot talk you through step by step guidance so you can master new apps, games and skills faster. Try now@windows.com copilot hey friends, it's Karamo.
Danny Cannell
Talk show host, life coach and your next best friend.
Tom Fornelli
You just don't know it yet.
Danny Cannell
I'm hosting a new podcast called started on WhatsApp brotherhoods. We're going around the world to explore male friendships and all the wins, challenges.
Chip Patterson
And bonds that are made in WhatsApp group chats.
Bud Elliott
And that's exactly where you can listen.
Danny Cannell
To it right in the app. It's streaming on the official WhatsApp channel. Just open the app and go to the updates tab to start listening.
Chip Patterson
While you're at it, message your best.
Danny Cannell
Friend and make sure they listen too.
Chip Patterson
I'll see you there. Back here on the COVID 3 podcast, let's review what we've got on the board. So far. Bud is on Northwestern, USC over 49 and a half. BYU team total under 20 and a half Georgia minus eight and a half Wake Forest plus seven Alabama minus nine and a half Chips got BYU, Texas Tech under 52 and a half Georgia third quarter minus two and a half Oregon minus six Virginia minus six and a half. Danny's on BYU plus 10 and a half. Georgia, Mississippi State over 57, Oregon minus six. And then Tom Scott, BYU, Texas Tech under 52 and A half and the Oregon, Iowa over 40 and a half. And on that note, Tom, you do have the honors on the tee box. Where would you like to take us?
Tom Fornelli
I'm going to take us to Morgantown where the West Virginia Mountaineers are hosting a Colorado team that's dead, doesn't look like it cares, has given up 50 points in each of its last two games and is now starting a true freshman at quarterback for the first time on the road in Morgantown. Meanwhile, the last few weeks, West Virginia since making the switch at quarterback has, you know, not looked great, but they've looked better. So give me West Virginia -6.
Bud Elliott
I thought about this, but I found something I think I like a little bit better. Give me Colorado team total under 25. I, I. There's been some noise about a change in play. Caller Sanders wouldn't confirm it this week in the press conference. Yeah, I just not really sure that I trust this Colorado offense to go on the road and do anything.
Chip Patterson
Profiting off their downfall.
Bud Elliott
Oh, oh, no, come on. He's, he's saying all the right things like about, you know, being back next year. I don't know about that.
Tom Fornelli
We'll see.
Chip Patterson
Juju Lewis, we are expecting, right, as the quarterback there.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. Yes, correct.
Tom Fornelli
They've, they've announced that. Yes. Yeah.
Chip Patterson
West Virginia buzzing a little bit as they've, you know, made their own quarterback change here in recent weeks. Okay, what about Como, Columbia, Missouri, Texas A and M at Missouri. Who's got a lock? Go Danny.
Danny Cannell
Give me the under. Under 47 and a half I think I see here.
Bud Elliott
Yep.
Chip Patterson
I don't know.
Danny Cannell
We talked a lot on the big game breakdown about Zoller, like what he could bring to the table. Ahmad Hardy potentially running the football. I think Missouri's defense is the thing that I think presents the biggest challenge. Like if Missouri is able to hang in this game, I do think it'll be because of their defense, which is pretty good and they have been tough at home. I think that's the one thing that could be problematic. So I like a lower scoring game and I don't like. Yeah, Eli Drinkwoods could be in his bag and maybe get something going for Zollers, but he still is a young quarterback. I don't know. I still think that could be a struggle.
Chip Patterson
You know, let's, let's have a little fun Right. You know, hey, you're looking at the board, you're like, oh man, what could this have been? Let's, let's spice it up. Let's, let's ratchet up the intensity. Okay? Fifteen minutes for your life. Okay. Missouri first quarter plus one and a half points. Okay. That means that, yeah, I am counting on those first 15 plays to be nice and dialed in for Matt, aka Sam, aka Dave, aka Dan Zollers. I am counting on that Missouri defense to maybe come out and, and just, just give Texas A M a little bit of, a, little bit of a shock. You know, that physical punch that sometimes you need to get. I mean, Danny, I cannot speak to this, but do you agree with, you know, quarterbacks and football players who say sometimes, especially if you haven't played for a while, that first hit is almost what you need to do to get the blood.
Bud Elliott
Run play.
Danny Cannell
Give me a little design QB run, get him in the flow of the game.
Chip Patterson
I think that we've got a Missouri team that able, is able to at home come out and throw the first punch over the course of four quarters. I think Texas A and M is the better team. I would expect the Aggies to be able to win this game, but give me Missouri first quarter + one and a half points.
Danny Cannell
It was a winner.
Chip Patterson
What?
Tom Fornelli
Trying to do some more audits?
Chip Patterson
Sure.
Tom Fornelli
Talked about your record in the second half pre flops. Would you like to know your record in first quarter bets?
Chip Patterson
Is it one in four?
Tom Fornelli
It's one in three.
Chip Patterson
All right, there we go.
Tom Fornelli
Let's hope it's not one in four though.
Chip Patterson
Okay, let's go.
Tom Fornelli
Saying imagine what your lead would be if you just stuck to totals and spreads.
Chip Patterson
Imagine what my. What would be. Tom, I didn't hear that word. Your lead. Oh, okay. I didn't hear that. Okay.
Tom Fornelli
I'm just saying it would be huge.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. Are you still crushing Splash as well?
Chip Patterson
No, I've, I've let go of the rope. It was like a 2 and 4 followed by a 1 and 5. I've slid back to just being a couple games over.500.
Bud Elliott
The leader on splash is still like above 75.
Tom Fornelli
I think it's not sustainable. We'll catch him.
Chip Patterson
All right. Anything else for Missouri? Texas A M. And I guess if you don't have a lock any, any thought on this one.
Bud Elliott
Just feels like a high variance game with a freshman who showed, I think a lot better flashes against Vandy than I thought he was going to. So you never know what could happen.
Chip Patterson
Eli. I mean, like I said, it is a distraction. Or is it a resume builder? You know, are you worried or is this a job interview? Just saying, you know, opportunities. Opportunities abound. All right, Danny, where would you like to go?
Danny Cannell
Let me go. Let's go check in on our boy Barton Simmons and Diego Pavia.
Bud Elliott
Let's do it.
Danny Cannell
Let's go to the Plains. DJ Durkin is bringing that defense to town. He's trying to coach for his future job there at Auburn and I think he brings a defense which is one of the best in the country. But I don't know what they're going to get on the offensive side of the ball. I think Vanderbilt's should be able to slow down that Auburn offense, whatever changes they make. Lower scoring game. Give me the under. Under 45 and a half. Auburn, Vanderbilt, I mean, Vanity thinks you're.
Bud Elliott
Gonna go knock your teeth then, right? And if that happens, you need to call a dentist. So let's get a little drill here. What a beautiful cover by the Commodore's last week in Austin. What did he bet?
Danny Cannell
He bet.
Bud Elliott
I don't know what he bet last week.
Tom Fornelli
All right, first half team total over 17 and a half in Arkansas minus four and a half.
Bud Elliott
Okay, so let's stick with their game this Saturday. I'm always a little leery of betting against teams in their first game after their coach gets fired. But Auburn still has extreme offensive inabilities. Vanderbilt also has struggled to score except against against really good defenses. So I expect or good D line. So I expect somewhat lower scoring game here. Auburn's team total in this game is 19 and a half. They've only gone over that number once in SEC play this year against Arkansas, which doesn't count, including a measly 3 points against Kentucky last weekend they averaged 15 points per game in SC play with the Arkansas game included 11.4 excluding Arkansas. I'm sorry, but unless the defense puts up some points, I don't see how Auburn gets to 20. Give me Auburn team total under 19 and a half.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, go ahead.
Bud Elliott
No, can't do it. Not yet.
Chip Patterson
Oh, that's nasty work. Nasty. We'll see. You still got time to think about your actions.
Bud Elliott
We do.
Chip Patterson
That doesn't. If history says anything, that won't change his mind. But you know, you still got time, still got time to think about your actions. All right, what about. What do you. Where do you want to go next then, buddy?
Bud Elliott
Go ahead and let's get sick with it. Got Tuesday. Oh yeah, it's time for sicko mode.
Chip Patterson
Let's go.
Bud Elliott
I'm A little bit lower on some of the teams in the bottom of the sun belt. If things go wrong, they could be like UMassu. That's kind of like sicko mode of a sicko mode. By the way, from the book of it pays to watch live. All those overs on USC are now wiped out and the best in market looks like 51. So that got bet pretty hard. All right, we're gonna go to East Carolina. Team that plays a little bit of salty defense, good attitude, big favorites in this game. They're looking a little bit better. Charlotte. Charlotte is lucky that UMass exists because man, I, I, if not Charlotte would be potentially the worst team in FBS. We're going to go Charlotte team total under 14. That offense just does not look like a functioning unit to me. So VCU doesn't turn it over deep in their own end. I would expect ECU to hold them under those two touchdowns. And we're going to go to. Is it Ypsilanti?
Tom Fornelli
Yep.
Bud Elliott
Eastern Michigan.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. I just think this is a real big difference in terms of quality of coaching. Bowling Green has scored 78 points in its five Mac games and I'm getting Eastern laying under a field goal. Eastern -2 to take down Bowling Green. I, I really trust Chris Creighton quite a bit. Like I, I don't think he forgot how to coach. Transfer portal has not treated them well. But once they get in the Mac play, I, I do think Eastern here rolls.
Chip Patterson
Who's the, who's the coach for Bowling Green? You're saying that the coach for Bowling Green is. Yeah. Okay. Yeah. Bud is out on Eddie George and Pudge the cat. Disgusting.
Bud Elliott
I'll probably make their tick tock now.
Chip Patterson
I've, I'm gonna hang back on that one. Have you guys, have you guys seen the injury report for Florida Kentucky?
Bud Elliott
Yeah. I'm not hanging back on this one. So go.
Chip Patterson
Okay, so everybody's out or, I mean, DJ Lagway is supposedly there, but yeah, all of his top receivers are out defensively. And that's the thing is I can't even necessarily attack the full game under with confidence because we've even got key defensive linemen and linebackers that are going to be out. It looks like a laundry list. And if you are another SEC school, it might look like a shopping list because you're thinking about what you might be able to do in the transfer portal or with these players that might be shutting it down. We're at the big checkout line. Give me Kentucky three and a half if they're still there threes. If that's all that's left.
Bud Elliott
There are a couple three and a half, including on our friends at FanDuel. So, yeah, play your game. Similar vein, under 40, four and a half. If Stoops is going to win, I think he knows the path to winning. I, I know the quarterback is playing slightly better for them, but I. Yeah, that. That feels pretty rock fighting to me.
Chip Patterson
All right, Danny.
Danny Cannell
There are a couple of ACC schools on the road this week versus a couple coaches that are in bad moods. Bill o' Brien is not a very good mood. I mean, he's been calling out the media. It's been.
Chip Patterson
Is he ever in a good mood?
Danny Cannell
Yeah, he actually. Is he actually really fun to talk to?
Chip Patterson
Yeah, I used to.
Danny Cannell
I, I used to not like him when I, like just saw him on TV and then met him a couple times in person and he's totally different. Like, it's pretty. It's pretty interesting to see that dynamic unfold. Unfortunately. This time though, I'm gonna go against my guy, Bill o'. Brien. SMU traveling up to Boston College. I know it's the red bandana game and, oh, boy. And that somebody's probably gonna try to fight it. Somebody who might be leading this contest might try to fight it. But smu, I think they're one of the guttiest teams out there. I think they're one of the best three loss teams in the country. They're going to go into Chestnut Hill and get a big win. Lay the points. You like that? They are one of the best three loss teams.
Tom Fornelli
Hang up banner.
Chip Patterson
Yes.
Danny Cannell
Hey, they're still alive in the ACC race. Don't even forget about that. I don't care if Kevin Jennings is on one leg. It's not gonna matter. Give me the ponies as much.
Tom Fornelli
Oh, wrong one.
Bud Elliott
Fight.
Danny Cannell
Yeah, I could lure him right in there. I need to cut into that lead.
Chip Patterson
The sun is shining and we're fighting. What's up, Trevor?
Danny Cannell
That was so good.
Bud Elliott
That was funny.
Chip Patterson
Bill o' Brien at his best, in my opinion, when you get him in storytelling mode because he's a football lifer, he's been everywhere. Like, obviously there's a lot of ties to, you know, his time with the Patriots, but just you could talk about when he was an assistant at Duke, you know, and he's got stories about that and what that experience was like, so. Yeah, I agree with you, Danny, but that's not what's informing me. It is, yes. Red bandana. It is an early kickoff. It is Chestnut Hill. Have you seen the helmet?
Tom Fornelli
No.
Chip Patterson
The helmet looks awesome. I mean obviously they've incorporated the bandana into the helmet, full uniform get up and that fiery message. He said, that's what I'm telling our team. So they are a 1 in 18. They have really had a hard season. There is a poured out moment and SMU's in a letdown spot on the road. I mean it is a because college football if I've ever seen one. So I'll take Boston college plus the 10 and a half.
Tom Fornelli
I can get you 11.
Chip Patterson
That's great.
Tom Fornelli
So you guys can middle it.
Chip Patterson
All right, Tom, what do you want?
Tom Fornelli
I've got a lot of games left on my card. I will start by heading to not so Happy Valley and I will read you a tweet from our very own Tyler Donahue who covers the Penn State denty lines for Penn State 247 quote. In speaking with a few other experienced Penn State beat reporters, our consensus this evening coming off the field is that what is that was the lowest energy viewing window we've ever seen in a long time. The Nittany Lions have four more Big Ten games ahead of them, starting with number two, Indiana. He is referencing the portion of practice they were allowed to watch yesterday. He is saying that the effort you have seen on the field in the last few weeks matches what you're still seeing in practice under this interim staff. Indiana minus 14 and a half. I was thinking maybe, maybe this would be like a rally spot for Penn State. But then after seeing that yesterday I was like, nah, Penn State's done.
Bud Elliott
They're dead.
Tom Fornelli
They don't care.
Chip Patterson
So I saw that tweet after Putting in under 48 and a half, you know, kind of building on the Penn State's just sort of going through the motions. But now I'm concerned that Indiana could come close to hitting that like on their own. That 49 to nothing is not out of the realm of possibility here. So if I am imagining that that's a possibility, then yes, give me 14 and a half all day long. I also saw that message and I do not think that the Penn State assembled media is so in cahoots with Terry Smith that they are going to be trying to filter out information that does not represent what's happening. Like, like did they go low energy then when they closed media portion they had a circle the wagons moment? I think not just not going to be what I'm going to do for my bet, for my thought for this game. Yeah, lay it with Indiana and don't look back.
Bud Elliott
Fight.
Chip Patterson
All right. What?
Danny Cannell
Yeah, Fight.
Bud Elliott
Fight.
Tom Fornelli
Just fight.
Bud Elliott
Second straight, you know, conference road game for Indiana. Now that it's at the 15, it's just a hold your nose and bet the number thing for me. I. I understand my priors are probably wrong here. I. I get it. But like, just If I'm getting 15 at home and Happy Valley with Penn State, I'm going to take it.
Tom Fornelli
Thank you.
Chip Patterson
Danny.
Danny Cannell
I mentioned some ACC teams against coaches that aren't in that great of moods. Jim Mora seems like he's been a little bit moody up there in stores and Manny Diaz and company are going up there. I actually like this one better than the other one because I don't need to get over 10. I got a single digit on this one. And I wonder if I can lure Chip into this one because I know where. He's thinking about a game that Duke has scheduled against UConn on the road, but Darren Mensah has been on fire. The dude is playing lights out. Another team in the mix for the ACC title race. However, on the outside looking in, this is another one that doesn't matter, but I do think Duke gets the win comfortably. I'll lay the nine with the Blue Devils.
Bud Elliott
Danny, you want to break some news or speculate here real quick?
Danny Cannell
Sure. What do you got?
Bud Elliott
If you'd notice this, but the Notre Dame game is no longer on FSU's official schedule on the website. Had you heard about that?
Danny Cannell
I had not.
Bud Elliott
Yeah.
Danny Cannell
What year is that for?
Bud Elliott
For next year. Somebody tipped me to that and now it's. It's officially off the website, so I'm not really sure what happened there, but.
Chip Patterson
Well, Notre Dame did just agree to the home. Home with Auburn, so. Wait, why does that. So you gotta talk more.
Bud Elliott
I don't know why they pulled it, but.
Danny Cannell
Yeah, it's just kind of weird.
Bud Elliott
Yeah.
Tom Fornelli
I thought it was leading into something.
Bud Elliott
I just got the text and I was like, is. Is the dentist texting me more? But he's not. It was about that.
Tom Fornelli
You know, sometimes. Sometimes you step into somewhere expecting to fight somebody and it turns out the guy you weren't paying attention to is the one you had to watch out for because.
Bud Elliott
Fight.
Chip Patterson
Fight.
Tom Fornelli
Daniel, how many losses does Duke have?
Danny Cannell
I think they might be in the market for best.
Chip Patterson
They've got.
Tom Fornelli
They've got three, but they're not the best three loss team in the country.
Danny Cannell
It's a tight race between then and snu.
Tom Fornelli
But Duke is in the race for the ACC title and is in the race for playoff spot, Correct.
Danny Cannell
In the ACC title.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Danny Cannell
If they're in the ACC title, then.
Tom Fornelli
So what's the only way they can get to the playoff? By winning acc. What the hell do they have to gain in this game? They can lose this game. It doesn't matter.
Danny Cannell
Fact.
Tom Fornelli
No, they can lose this game. They're going on the road. UConn's been a lot better at home. It hung with Syracuse. It beat Boston College by like, what, 25?
Bud Elliott
Yeah.
Tom Fornelli
Give me UConn plus nine and a half.
Danny Cannell
Tom hates the accident.
Tom Fornelli
It's true. I do. Anybody who has to talk to you three guys six times a week would.
Bud Elliott
Hate the acc, too.
Chip Patterson
We all have our own biases. They are our experiences. And Tom's experience is that he has to talk to three ACC guys six times a week.
Danny Cannell
That's true.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah.
Chip Patterson
All right, I got a couple more here. What's it looking like for everybody else?
Bud Elliott
I've got.
Danny Cannell
A couple more.
Bud Elliott
A couple more, yeah.
Chip Patterson
Homecoming weekend in Chapel Hill. Fun weekend in Chapel Hill.
Danny Cannell
Who's the concert.
Chip Patterson
Do we know?
Danny Cannell
I'll find it out while you give your.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, I saw Nelly in a commercial last weekend. Maybe he's available. So if you're looking for cash, if.
Chip Patterson
You really want to spin it, you go Friday. If like to really do it, up you go. Friday night, Kansas at North Carolina in the Dean Dome Saturday. Get yourself a nice little, you know, Sutton's breakfast brunch. Then you take it on down. Should be crispy. Should be kind of nice weather. Football weather for sure to take. Get it for a 430 kickoff on the CW. Stanford is in town. Bill Belichick says the system is the system. They're changing up quarterbacks for Stanford, but he's not expecting Frank Reich to. To very, you know, to. To go far off from his path. I think that North Carolina's defense will take advantage the same way they did against Syracuse. I think that Stanford probably has a conservative game plan to where punting from plus territory. Not taking a lot of risks saying Geo Lopez go 85 yards on us. They've got. Sanford's got a good punter. Stanford's got pretty good special teams, but they don't have a great offense. We're going Stanford team total under 16 and a half.
Bud Elliott
I could see that.
Tom Fornelli
Got kind of a fight here. I'm going over 41.
Chip Patterson
Just low total.
Tom Fornelli
Just a low total. I think both of these off. I mean, we're not asking for a whole hell of a lot here, boys. Just give me a 24 to 20 game.
Bud Elliott
I, I could see that.
Tom Fornelli
I also think North Carolina's offense has been improving so well.
Chip Patterson
It was, this was a great line. My friend Adam Gold mentioned this. He said the Syracuse North Carolina game last Friday night was a, like a, a game of chicken to see who would completely throw out any. Even attempting the downfield pass, you know, screen passes, swing passes, extension of the run game stuff, that's fine. But just even attempting a pass more than 10 yards down the field for either one of those teams was going to be a negative. And North Carolina was the first one to do that. Damon June has a big game, you know, hits a couple screen passes, runs the ball hard, and that was why North Carolina was able to pull away. One of many reasons why North Carolina was able to pull away for the win.
Bud Elliott
You want to stay in the acc? Sure.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Danny Cannell
I got some more too. Acclif.
Bud Elliott
Are we going to one of the best crowds of the weekend? You go to Miami Gardens?
Danny Cannell
Oh, yeah.
Bud Elliott
Let's go.
Danny Cannell
Oh, yeah.
Bud Elliott
Give me Syracuse plus 29 and a half.
Chip Patterson
That's.
Bud Elliott
I start with a 29 and a half point lead.
Tom Fornelli
Can't lose.
Bud Elliott
I don't know if I'm gonna score any points, but yeah, I, I think Syracuse will play hard. Like that was embarrassing the other night, right? But I, I, you get the extra day of rest, which maybe they need. Miami's coming off their road lost smu. Yeah, that is a stinky, stinky dog. But I'll, I'll take all those points.
Danny Cannell
Did you guys see Joe Zagaki, the voice of the Miami Hurricanes, doing a little radio show with Mario Cristobal? And my goodness, how dare he bring up that he thought the Miami Hurricanes had the better roster than SMU because Mario did not like that line of thinking. He pushed back.
Bud Elliott
I will say, like, I went back and watched the play that Miami was complaining about and I do think they have a case that SMU held the hell out of that kid that the ball is supposed to go to on the car.
Danny Cannell
Have you seen the end zone view? Like a cell phone camera from the end zone, like where an official would be standing. Jojo Trader, like ran into him and like tackled. He initiated the contact because I thought the same thing. I was like, oh, they got robbed. Shannon Dawson was like, he was unavailable. If you watch the coaches tape, you can't really tell, but there is an angle on the field level from behind and it looks like the defensive backs kind of just holding his ground and Jojo, like, Jojo runs into him and then he kind of runs over him and they just both go down in a heap like it was.
Bud Elliott
He kind of made himself unavailable.
Danny Cannell
Yeah, yeah, exactly. But it is 3:30 in Hard Rock Stadium. It's supposed to be 85 sunny. It's a gorgeous day down here.
Bud Elliott
Beautiful beach day, man.
Danny Cannell
Beautiful beach day. I don't know if they're going to be many Q's fans that to go watch their squad. I kind of think because here's the reason I would like. You're supposed to. This is if you're. If you're supposed to stay in line with Notre Dame, you're supposed to blow out your opponents. Right. That's not really who Miami is. They just. They do not run up the score on anybody because they can't really. So I'm going to take the under. I'm not going to take Syracuse because there is a part of me that worries this could be 35 to nothing, but I'll just take the straight under 46. Is that the best number I can get?
Tom Fornelli
Where we at here? Yeah, there's a 46. Yep.
Danny Cannell
Yeah, I'll take under 46. I think Miami wins. I don't think there's a chance of an upset. I just think it's an ugly game.
Chip Patterson
I'll tell you what.
Danny Cannell
Half full stadium.
Chip Patterson
Rob Robert in the tailgate says this is why Tom hates the ACC having to live through that. Let's bring up another one of them.
Tom Fornelli
Exactly.
Chip Patterson
Let's bring in one of the other great ACC haters of our time and of our era. Let's get to the vip. Let's check in with Club K. Yeah.
Tom Fornelli
Back from Dancing with the Stars.
Ken's
Yeah, Guys, it's been quite the week, so I will say I haven't gotten a chance to do like my full college football betting preview. But what I did get to take a look at, not the ACC not being an ACC hater in this current moment, we're going to the game of the week two lane Memphis. Memphis three and a half point favorites at home, to which I will be laying it with Memphis. I don't know why they're still getting disrespected. They had one hiccup. Okay. And I know their quarterback's always questionable, but then he keeps playing, so I'm going with a pretty solid chance he is going to play. And Tulane just got spanked, so I don't know why we're not drawing any attention to that. So I feel like Memphis in a must win spot. I mean every game is a must win at this point, but I Would like to take the three and a half at home with Memphis.
Chip Patterson
Okay, that's. You know what's interesting? That was a, it was a stay away for all four of us. You're the only one that's brave enough. Yeah, they caught the confidence to step in to get on the other side of some. A market that's taking this from five and a half to three and a half. I mean you're saying you are smarter than the market. That's what Mackenzie Brooks says.
Ken's
That is what they say. Chip, any.
Chip Patterson
Anything else got your eye that we've, we've got obviously that.
Danny Cannell
Are your Bulldogs on upset alert? You think? Whoa, I'm just asking the question.
Ken's
No, I truly think like the floor was only beating Florida by as little points as we did, which obviously could have been an even bigger win if Gunner Stockton didn't kneel, which obviously was smart. But I just feel like they are truly ascending at the right time. Will not call them the Ohio State of last year by any means, but just thinking about that team and how we were questioning them up until the playoffs, like, I feel like this is the right timeline for this team.
Bud Elliott
I mean the chat is giving Ken's all kinds of about her dance moves. Like she might have picked those up and Dancing with Stars, like I, I.
Ken's
Don'T know, like this all over in la. It was crazy.
Danny Cannell
That's where chances of getting on the show though have diminished by some of the dance moves today.
Ken's
All right. You know, people ask me like what my goal is, like what's my five year plan? Like what are your future goals? I'm like, I don't know what I want to do, but I want to be just well known enough to maybe be on Dancing with the Stars and I don't know what that entails, but that's my goal.
Chip Patterson
Just being an ABC employee.
Danny Cannell
Yeah.
Chip Patterson
I'm just, I'm just giving the playbook as I see it, you know, a great way to fast track yourself onto programming. We'll. We'll find something in the Paramount universe. I can, maybe we can get you on Bubble Guppies. I hear we've got here we've got some ends on the Bubble Guppy squad.
Ken's
All right. All right, that'll play.
Chip Patterson
We do any other, any other picks you want to get, get out on record?
Ken's
Not really, truly. Like a hand up. I'm a little behind the ball this week. Flying back. Today is my day to really unpack the college football slate.
Chip Patterson
Maybe you'll be ready to rock and roll Saturday pre game show Check it out on CBS Sports HQ. 10:00am Eastern Time. Start. Ken's. Great to see you. Welcome back and we'll talk soon.
Ken's
Hi, guys.
Bud Elliott
Bye.
Chip Patterson
It's not exactly. Yeah, good stuff. Not exactly sicko. It is musical. And it's musical in that we got to be banging that big old drum. Let's go. Purdue first half plus 17 and a half.
Bud Elliott
Ohio State back in like bunker mode. Showing nothing.
Chip Patterson
I just, I, I'm telling you, I was like watching that game last week and it's just, just rearranging furniture. That's what it is. I don't know if any of any of you are like that or if you've got like my wife or a girlfriend. It's just, we're just, we're just moving couches to move couches. We're just trying running backs out in different orders and we're just seeing what's inside, outside. You know, let's, let's give Julian this kind of look, see how he reacts. Just doesn't seem as though the goal is to do anything more than constantly run diagnostic tests and just feel out the feng shui of the room with different furniture in different places. It's to cover 17 and a half. It would require defensive, special teams, touchdown or scoring most of most every possession here in this game. So, yeah, with a one o' clock start time, give me Purdue.
Tom Fornelli
Self scout chip in first half plays 13 and 7.
Danny Cannell
Let me lock agreement then let's go. Because I no lie, I did have written down Purdue 29 and a half, but I'm sitting there thinking, thinking, my goodness, Ohio. So what's their record against the spread? What is 7 and 1? Are they even?
Chip Patterson
Oh, it goes back to the start of the playoffs last year where it's like 12 and oh, straight up 11 and one against the spread.
Danny Cannell
Yeah. But I'm like, man, that's a lot of points. I just take Purdue. But I actually really do like the first half number there because I do think it just. They're so scary. They're so good. Like, could they be worried about Julian saying chasing the Heisman? Like, do they keep throwing a couple touchdowns late? But I also think Barry Odom's defense has probably been playing better than anybody and realizes out there. So that could be a little bit of a challenge. Not much, but a little bit of a challenge for the Buckeyes.
Tom Fornelli
Honestly, if you just bet Ohio State to cover the spread every week of the Ryan Day era, you would be up a significant amount.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, Ryan gets a little disappointed about one or Two first half drives that stall out, you know, that's all we need. Right? And then you've protected yourself from the get right that could come from the third quarter reminder. Last year Ohio State was the best third quarter team in America. All right, I've got one left.
Bud Elliott
I have three, got a couple.
Tom Fornelli
All right, boys there. Nobody likes watching Wisconsin football and Wisconsin doesn't like playing Wisconsin football because if you've watched them, they are the slowest moving team on offense in the country. They just want to get the damn game over with. They're at home this week facing Washington, who's got a road trip going on. But also if you look at Washington's schedule like their path to the playoff right now is just don't lose to Wisconsin, Purdue and UCLA and then beat Oregon. So I think Washington, on the road in a tough spot will probably be pretty happy just to kind of get a lead and sit on this if presented with the opportunity. So give me Washington. Wisconsin under 45 and a half.
Bud Elliott
I, I don't hate that I'm not going to copy you but like that, that was that I just made the cut like the, the just cut it before the show.
Tom Fornelli
They move so slow.
Bud Elliott
I, I, Are they going to start Carter back?
Tom Fornelli
I've heard, I've heard that they might, but even that even just makes me think they'll go even slower.
Chip Patterson
I, I coastal Carolina -7 and a hook against Georgia State.
Bud Elliott
Thought about that?
Chip Patterson
Yeah, there's sevens out there. Then I will take it. One of the most, one of the most unique twists of fate is when you go to your fourth string quarterback and you get better. Coastal Carolina has been stringing together some wins. They've been stringing together some covers since making the change. So I have clearly making an argument for Georgia State is very, very tough given all the football that the Panthers have played so far this year. So I know that seven and a hook is dangerous, but down there on the teal turf where the concessions are free and the vibes are great in the suburbs of Myrtle Beach, I will take Coastal to cover the spread.
Bud Elliott
They're playing much better. They are.
Tom Fornelli
Did not have this on my bingo card, but a lock agreement on coastal -7 and a half. They've, they've just been much better over the last month and the market hasn't really caught up.
Bud Elliott
I would agree. Somebody also I think is playing better. I'm gonna lock up Liberty. Our friends at FanDuel laying seven and a half hosting Missouri State. I, I just think that team's getting better I don't. I don't think they forgot how to coach. I. I like them here.
Chip Patterson
All right, I'm good.
Tom Fornelli
I got one more. But you mentioned earlier that if it weren't for UMass that Charlotte might be the worst team in the country. You forgot somebody.
Chip Patterson
Oh, can't say.
Tom Fornelli
Sam Houston State.
Chip Patterson
Same Houston.
Bud Elliott
Oh, yeah. Okay.
Tom Fornelli
Dog doo doo. Football team going on the road to play Oregon State. And Oregon State started off 07, but they played five Power Four teams in that time. And then the last few weeks, even before their little two game win stretch, they started playing better. They've won two in a row. Now they're at home against the Sam Houston State team that has absolutely nothing to play for in this game, but has to get on the plane and it's probably not a nice one and fly up there for it anyway. So give me Oregon State -19 and a half.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, actually, you know what?
Bud Elliott
It's time for sicko mode. Let's go.
Tom Fornelli
Oh.
Ken's
I just.
Chip Patterson
I needed to acknowledge that we just had to pick on Oregon State Sam Houston, which I that might get the. The lowest quality score of the week on the chip Olytics, you know, because at least when you're taking Charlotte team total under, you're dealing with a quality team on the other side, Beavers and the Bearcats with a K. Tough scenes. Danny, you good?
Danny Cannell
I'm good.
Chip Patterson
All right, Tom.
Tom Fornelli
Good, bud.
Bud Elliott
A couple more.
Chip Patterson
All right.
Bud Elliott
All right, where does did it hold? Or somebody bet it? All right, give me JMU over 54 and a half against Marshall. I think Marshall's quarterback's playing much better and JMU scores quite a bit. Like you watch how they kind of shot it out with Old Dominion. I think this could be somewhat similar there. And then where's the other one if it held? Are there any six and a half left on tcu?
Chip Patterson
Oh, good shout.
Bud Elliott
Yeah, I just think TCU is like decidedly top half of this conference and they have not always played like it, but when they play well, I do like them to put up a good number. I think they'll play well here. Give me TCU minus six and a half.
Tom Fornelli
What did you get Jon James Madison?
Bud Elliott
54 and a half.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Tom Fornelli
Under or over?
Bud Elliott
Over.
Tom Fornelli
Okay, cool. Just making sure because there was a 55 and a half out there, so I wanted it. No, no, no. I just wanted.
Chip Patterson
Oh, sorry.
Tom Fornelli
I just wanted to make sure you got the better number.
Bud Elliott
Gotcha.
Chip Patterson
I like that TCU shout a lot. That's a, That's a team that as we consider all the different Big 12 scenarios. TCU is going to play a role. They got some big games coming up and keep, keep your eye there. This could be a big week for them. All right to re view Bud is on Northwestern USC over 49 ½ BYU team total under 20 ½ Georgia minus 8 ½ Wake Forest plus 7 Penn State plus 15 Colorado team total under 25 Charlotte team total under 14 Eastern Michigan minus 2 Florida Kentucky under 44 ½ Syracuse plus 29 ½ Alabama minus 9 ½ Liberty minus 7 ½ TCU minus 6 ½ James Madison Marshall over 54 ½ I've got BYU, Tech under 52 ½ Georgia third quarter minus 2 ½ Oregon minus 6, Virginia minus 6 ½ Indiana minus 14 ½ Boston College plus 11 ½ Kentucky plus 3 ½ Coastal minus 7 ½ Purdue first half plus 17 ½ Stanford team total under 16 ½ and Missouri in the first quarter plus 1 1/2 points. Danny's got BYU plus 10 ½, Georgia, Mississippi State over 57 Oregon minus 6, Duke minus 9 Auburn Vandy under 45 ½ SMU minus 10 ½ Texas A M, Missouri under 47 ½ Syracuse, Miami under 46 Purdue first half plus 17 ½ and Tom's on BYU at Texas Tech under 52 ½ Oregon Iowa over 40 ½ West Virginia minus 6 Yukon plus 9 ½ Indiana minus 14 ½ Stanford, North Carolina over 41 Washington, Wisconsin under 45 ½, Coastal Carolina minus 7 ½ and Oregon State minus 19 ½. And those were the locks sponsored by Cash App. As you heard me say at the top of the show, new Cash App users can use our code and get free free money. Just use our code cover 3. Send $5 to a friend within 14 days and you'll get $10 right in your account. Thank you to Cash App for sponsoring this episode. Locks all season long and the season long competition for the Cash App Cover three Locks trophy coming up on the other side, we turn our attention to the money line Sprinkles. Where will the sprinkle king go next? We'll find out and more next.
Bud Elliott
What's good y'?
Ken's
All?
Bud Elliott
It's Vaughn Miller, Super Bowl MVP Sagmaster and now your host of Free Range. This is where NFL meets Real Talk. Every week I'm bringing you inside the game. From locker room stories to league wide headlines you want football iq, locker room insight and real conversations with the people shape in the league. Welcome to Free Range of with Von Miller where nothing is off limits and every down counts. New episodes every Wednesday. Listen and follow Free Range with me, Von Miller wherever you get your podcast.
Ken's
Wayfair's big sale is returning.
Chip Patterson
Get ready for way day for four.
Ken's
Days only, score up to 80 off all things home with free shipping on everything from October 26th through 29th. Score Wayfair's best deals like up to 80 off area rugs, up to 60.
Chip Patterson
Off mattresses, up to 60% off bedroom.
Ken's
Furniture and more exclusive door buster deals. So mark your calendar and shop wayday starting October 26th@wayfair.com wayfair every style, every.
Tom Fornelli
Home.
Chip Patterson
Back here on the COVID three podcast and this moneyline Sprinkles segment is brought to you by FanDuel. Play your game. All right, Last week the Sprinkle King was added again. Kentucky plus 360 Arizona plus Arizona State plus 275 North Carolina State plus 190 West Virginia plus 445 New Mexico plus 160. Only loss was UCF plus 155. That has Bud up to 24 units up on the sprinkles for the season. Then let's see. Danny, you had Kentucky came home, North Carolina came home, Florida, Navy did not. That has you at up 6.65 units on the season. 13 correct sprinkle winners. Tom, you had Mississippi state come home at +170. But UCF, Delaware, Cal, Central, Michigan, Nebraska did not. That has you down 16.65 units on the season. I got North Carolina home but did not with Navy, Virginia Tech and Vanderbilt. That has me down 14 units on the season. So Bud, where are we going now?
Bud Elliott
All right, I I don't see quite as much this week that I like, but there, there is some stuff that I like. We're going to start one. We talked about this earlier. I think if you're starting a freshman quarterback, the game plays to a wider potential range because like the guy does have talent. We don't know if he'll play to that talent in this game. He might totally suck. A M might win by 30, right? But also what if he plays to his talent? Drink which is a good coach. A M's defense is like good but not great. Is it that crazy to think that Missouri plus 230 springs one on a and him or that's the first one. Vandy's offense to me outside of like the garbage time last Week has looked really bad for a couple weeks now and I expect Auburn can shut them down. So Auburn plus 210 in Nashville. Maybe Pavia will get me there again. This is kind of a theme. I just do not trust UNLV's defense to go on the road, on the moon, at home, anywhere and get stopped. So. Colorado State plus 175. I just. I feel like you're flipping coins every time I step on the field. Like they can score, but they just don't stop anybody. And then Delaware should not be plus 197 at home hosting law tech. I. I don't think like, I like law tech. That. That's just. That's too much for me. When I saw that, I'm taking it.
Chip Patterson
Danny, is that because I want to.
Danny Cannell
Show you guys, like, I am not tailing. I am not. But if you could see my picks. I have Delaware, I got Auburn, and I have Missouri. I mean, this is. I mean, I swear I'm not telling. They were written down ahead of time, so give me those.
Bud Elliott
But I, I will say also I, I had planned a prop. I thought we had some sprinkles left over from. From Halloween. Got like a little like the bat colored Halloween colored sprinkles and looks like my boys killed him. So we have no, no prop today.
Danny Cannell
All right, so I got Delaware, I got Missouri, I have Auburn. And then also give me two lane plus 145.
Tom Fornelli
I get you 150.
Chip Patterson
Yeah. All right, Tom, you or me, you go. Okay. Boston College all the way home. Not just the ten and a half. Give me the full win on the field. OTF son is still shining and they're still fighting. Now let's make it sprinkle. I will not take it against the spread because of, you know, the variance rules. I didn't want to be rooting for UConn to get a cover and hang around. It's either alt line or money line. And here's time for the money line. Give me Yukon with Duke in town.
Tom Fornelli
290.
Chip Patterson
I'll take Mississippi State. Is that at 280? 280. 290 it is.
Bud Elliott
Shoot, I lost to them. What? There's a 290.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Chip Patterson
Mississippi State. You know, just a big.
Bud Elliott
There's two 290s on Yukon, by the way.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, I got him a 290. Yeah.
Bud Elliott
Cool.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Tom Fornelli
All right.
Chip Patterson
Yeah. I mean, you know, if they've. They were able to put a scare in Texas in this same stadium, maybe they're able to rise up and catch Georgia in a spot. And then I took the three and a half. So I'm back in this one up as well. Put my chips behind it. Kentucky +140 if I believe that is the best number that we get there. Just tough if it is. If it is a close game, man, I would trust Cutter Bowley and the Wildcats to be able to pull it out. So I'll go Kentucky.
Bud Elliott
All right.
Tom Fornelli
I am Also on Auburn +210. I am also on Boston College +360. I am also on UConn +290. And then my other ones that I have are BYU +320 Iowa which I can hate +205 and California +980.
Chip Patterson
Cal at Louisville. Cross country card sleepwalking.
Bud Elliott
He hates the acc.
Danny Cannell
I told.
Bud Elliott
I thought about that too. Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Danny Cannell
Isaac Brown out.
Chip Patterson
Isaac Brown out. Miller Moss has to go out there, get the job done. Maybe he doesn't. Maybe he does.
Tom Fornelli
It's like a spot.
Chip Patterson
All right, so Bud is on Missouri plus 230. Auburn plus 210. Colorado State plus 175. They are playing UNLV by the way. Delaware plus 197 against Louisiana Tech. I've got Boston College, UConn, Mississippi State and Kentucky. Danny is sprinkling Missouri, Auburn, Delaware and Tulane. And Tom is sprinkling BYU, Boston College, Auburn, UConn, Cal. I mean Cal + 980. That could be the one to bring it home. And then Iowa +205. And before we close out this sprinkle segment, I wanted to note for the record, the tailgate is taking Navy on a. Wouldn't it be hilarious? What?
Tom Fornelli
That's got to be like 1500.
Bud Elliott
It might drop all the way to like 11th.
Danny Cannell
Unless it's close. I mean, if they lose close, it'd be a good loss. Maybe only has one loss.
Chip Patterson
Respect the troops, Navy. Wouldn't it be hilarious in Notre Dame Stadium, the 98th meeting of Notre Dame and Navy. No other opponent has played the Fighting Irish more in that storied program history. So yeah, maybe. Maybe the Mids got something tailgate that can be yours to celebrate if it does come home. I'll pass. And those were the moneyline sprinkles brought to you by FanDuel. Play your game. All right. Any other games that didn't make the cut? I saw a lot of. I saw some. Some commentary did. Did bring up some chuckles. You do have Duke Yukon going on at the same weekend as a Kansas, Arizona, you know, big elite eight energy as college basketball is here. Getting started on this college football Saturday. Any, any other games that stood out. Obviously no locks on Florida State, Clemson from the boys.
Bud Elliott
If I was going to, it's over. But I, who knows who shows up.
Tom Fornelli
I thought about Temple against Army.
Chip Patterson
And.
Bud Elliott
Then they should have beat Navy.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Go ahead.
Tom Fornelli
No, that was really all the ones that I didn't include that I was really given thought to.
Chip Patterson
Nobody wanted a piece of Nebraska, ucla.
Tom Fornelli
No, I have no idea what's going to happen there.
Chip Patterson
I know.
Bud Elliott
Wait, that that's not our game. No.
Chip Patterson
9Pm For a second I was like.
Tom Fornelli
Okay, yeah, we've got to work in Iowa.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, come on, Bud. We got Oregon Iowa on cbs.
Tom Fornelli
American not pay attention to the big time commercials.
Chip Patterson
We will be back by the way before the conclusion of that ucla, Nebraska game. Big Ten network. By the way, just your big ten network kicks are going to be a little bit staggered. You've got Ohio State, Purdue starts at 1pm Eastern Time instead of noon. That's why you've got that 9pm start at the end of the slate. But doesn't matter what time those other games are going on, we going live 11:30pm Eastern time here on YouTube.com cover3 so that we can give you an instant reaction to all the week 11 action. So come and hang out. Smash the subscribe, Smash the like you get notifications turned on. You'll know when we are live. And you can follow him on Twitter at Tom Fenell. You can follow him@bud elliot3. You can follow him at Danny Cannell. Follow me at Chip Underscore Patterson. Gentlemen, thank you very much.
Tom Fornelli
Thank you.
Bud Elliott
See y'.
Chip Patterson
All.
Danny Cannell
See ya.
Chip Patterson
This episode is brought to you by Athletic Brewing Company. No matter how you do game day, on the couch, in the crowd or manning the snack table, Athletic Brewing fits right in with a full lineup of non alcoholic beer styles. You can enjoy bold flavors all game long. No hangovers, no buzz, no subbing out for water in the fourth quarter. Stock the fridge for kickoff with a version variety of non alcoholic craft styles available at your local grocery store or online@athletic brewing.com near beer fit for all times.
Episode Title: Week 11 LOCKS: Best Bets, Against The Spread Picks, Moneyline Sprinkles & More!
Date: November 6, 2025
Hosts: Chip Patterson, Tom Fornelli, Danny Kanell, Bud Elliott
This week’s “Cover 3 College Football” podcast is the panel’s signature “LOCKS” episode, where Chip, Tom, Danny, and Bud deliver their best bets, against-the-spread picks, and spicy underdog moneyline sprinkles for Week 11 of the college football season. The group dives into extensive analysis and banter on nearly every meaningful game, unpacking X’s and O’s, injury reports, betting trends, and the ever-present quest for value. Plus, notorious “fighting” ensues over locked games, updated standings, memorable win-loss recaps from Week 10, and real-time odds shopping for their picks.
[01:30–07:10]
[07:10–11:19]
[14:28–18:28]
[18:28–21:25]
[21:25–25:58]
[26:12–27:17]
[28:12–29:01]
[31:05–32:27]
[32:39–35:03]
[36:00–37:52]
[40:29–41:33]
[41:37–44:15]
[44:23–46:48]
[47:01–49:34]
[50:11–52:38]
[71:39–77:19]
Bud "Sprinkle King" Elliott leads the charge, up 24 units on the season.
“Cal +980. That could be the one to bring it home... and before we close, the tailgate is taking Navy on a ‘wouldn’t it be hilarious.’” (76:04)
For anyone who missed the episode: this week’s Cover 3 LOCKS delivers a treasure trove of picks, energetic squabbling, and inside dope on how each team might attack the critical Week 11 college football slate. Whether you’re tracking vibes, looking for betting edges, or just want to be entertained, this episode is not to be missed!