
Loading summary
Chip Patterson
This episode of the COVID 3 podcast is presented by Cash App. For a limited time, only new Cash App users can use our show's code when they sign up for a reward. Just download Cash App, use our code, cover three, and send $5 to a friend. Within 14 days, you'll get $10 right in your account. Terms apply. That's money. That's cash app. On September 19, producer Jordan Peele asks what. What are you willing to sacrifice? In a new horror film called him, starring Marlon Wayans and Tyreek Withers. Stay tuned to hear an exclusive trailer for the film.
Tom Fornelli
Right now, do I look at you or the camera?
Chip Patterson
He'll just look right at me. He'll just ignore the camera.
Bud Elliott
There are a lot of people saying.
Chip Patterson
You could be the next great quarterback. I can already see it now.
Bud Elliott
Him running down the tunnel with the.
Tom Fornelli
Crowd, chanting his name.
Chip Patterson
I hear you've been invited to train with legend Isaiah White himself. Care to elaborate?
Bud Elliott
I want to be the goat. Cameron King. Great meeting you. I'm a fan.
Chip Patterson
That's crazy.
Bud Elliott
I damn near worshiped you growing up.
Danny Cannell
Who are you?
Chip Patterson
I'm him.
Bud Elliott
Who are you? I'm him. Let's play a little catch.
Chip Patterson
We going to the lake.
Bud Elliott
You want to play at your highest level? You want to be a legend? Cause let me tell you something. The game. Who are they?
Chip Patterson
Just going to toss the ball around a little.
Bud Elliott
You want to hit this? You can't handle it.
Tom Fornelli
I understand.
Bud Elliott
Shut up. Oh, too slow.
Tom Fornelli
Wait, what are we doing?
Bud Elliott
That man smile about to be on the floor. This how you do, teammate? What is this?
Chip Patterson
Enemies.
Bud Elliott
In this game, violence is rewarded. So learn to enjoy it.
Chip Patterson
Get your together.
Bud Elliott
Activate my cam.
Chip Patterson
Are you okay?
Bud Elliott
I think something's off. You want to know what you're getting yourself into.
Chip Patterson
Now? We playing some football.
Tom Fornelli
Don't have to do this.
Chip Patterson
Activate my.
Tom Fornelli
I've never been more certain of anything in my life.
Bud Elliott
And how bad does Cameron Cade want it? I ain't a killer, but don't push me. I'm not just gonna give it to you. You got to take it.
Chip Patterson
For me, I'm a killer, but don't push me.
Bud Elliott
What if I say no? Think of it as a gift from the gods. So what are you willing to sacri. Welcome Back to the COVID 3 podcast. With your hosts, Chip Patterson, Tom Fernelli, Danny Cannell, and Bud Elliott. It's your call for the best college football coverage from national signing day to the national championship and everything in between. CBS Sports presents the COVID 3PO.
Chip Patterson
And welcome back to the COVID 3 Podcast. Here on CBS Sports. That's Tom Fenelli, that's Danny Cannell, that's Bud Elliott. I'm Chip Patterson coming to you live@YouTube.com cover3 and everywhere you get your podcast on demand. Thanks for hanging out. Smash that subscribe, smash that like and come and join us in the chat, aka the COVID 3 tailgate where our friend Matt wants to know who else is tied for first on Splash. That's right. Coming up in we will have an update from the leaderboard of the official cover 3 college football pick them brought to you by Splash. Matt, you are not the only 1 tied for first place with a 60 record 7 points because you got your extra bonus lock. But before we get to the Splash leaderboard, we of course have to begin our Thursday with a recap of the week. That was Bud Monster. Just an absolute monstrous week. Seven and one. The wins were NC State ECU first half under 31 and a half, Akron first half plus three and a half. I believe that was 00 at halftime, right? Yes, for a while but yeah, you, you were able to get that one home. Texas, Ohio State first half Under 23 and a half Notre Dame, Miami first half Under 24 and a half Two Lane Northwestern Under 46 Virginia Tech, South Carolina Under 52 and a half Tennessee first quarter -3 and a half Seven and one for the week has you eight and two for the season. How, what's, what's the recap, what's the post game press conference sound like?
Bud Elliott
I feel pretty good about most of these. You know Auburn had the kickoff return obviously which helped but they still moved the football. So it probably wasn't a great handicap by me I thought a little bit fortunate with, with Tulane. I thought they moved the football better than the points they scored. But the transfer at quarterback Northwestern took just can't play, at least not through one game. So you know, felt pretty good there. Scoring is way down across the sport. I think a lot of that is just the, the amount of veteran players who have had to move on because we don't have these 24 year old covey kids anymore. And I also like you know, shout out to our friend Bill Connolly who had all the numbers on it in his Tuesday column about how much too high teams are seeing now. And just like they're really copying that NFL model that they understand the analytics dictate that you really got to deny the explosive play at all costs. You know, it's not just hey, stop the run. It's like actually it's, it's denied the explosive and make teams really, really drive the football and you make them be consistent. Which I think with all these transfer rosters, by the way, is even more difficult. First time a lot of these guys have played together in a game. Can you successfully execute 10, 12, 13 play drives with guys you just met? Sometimes it's tough. I think scoring will increase, the season goes on, but man, we are way down.
Chip Patterson
Stop talking, bud. You're putting my record on the screen for too long. This guy right here is trying to just let his record sit up there. That guy is not focused on the week ahead. All right, Bloodbath Saturday for me. Unlv same. Houston State over 61 was a Texas first half, plus a half was a Alabama minus 13 and a half. I mean I, I do not have a sound effect to properly describe how awful that one was. Clemson did not win the third quarter. Notre Dame, Miami. I felt good about that one. Y' all had the first half. I went the full game. That thing was, was pacing. All right, even Mario trying to sit on it. But obviously that's a loss. Losses are losses. Indiana fourth quarter. We are absolutely concerned about the smoking habits in Bloomington. Georgia Marshall under 55 and a half is a win. Utah UCLA over 51 and a half as a win. Texas a and m first half -13 and a half is a loss. And then Montana State plus 28 and a half is a loss. Two and eight for the week. Five and eight for the season. Danny, he's got six and four on the week. The wins were USF plus five and a half, Georgia Tech minus four. Texas, Ohio State under 48. Notre Dame, Miami first half under 24 and a half. Florida State first half plus seven and a half. Utah minus five and a half. Losses were NC State minus 13 and a half. Clemson minus three and a half. Indiana minus 23 and a half. Virginia Tech plus seven and a half. What we learned what are we taking moving forward?
Danny Cannell
We have a couple of rookies here on the show that really pissed me off because I'm driving up to tallahassee. I'm going 90 miles an hour trusting the autopilot to work. I've got quad box on my phone like set up so I can keep it my peripheral. And I get texts from one. Tom Fornelli and Chip Patterson. I wanted to start one zero. Tom said NC State is a juggernaut. Chip Patterson, the Pack have the Pirates in hell. Little did they know it was a four quarter game. They're giving me the win early. You can't Jinx me like that. Don't ever say anything until the game has gone final. Come on. Bunch of rookies.
Tom Fornelli
Danny going for that Georgia scholarship. Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Six and four for the week has Danny at six and six for the season. Tom very strong. Five and three week. We are unlv Sam Houston State. Oh, let's go with the wins. Illinois, western Illinois under 63 and a half. We love it. Ohio State minus one and a half. LSU, Clemson under 57 and a half. Purdue minus 17 and a half and Mary Mac minus Mack Mack plus six and a half. A back and forth battle. They. They threatened to get it done on the field, but the COVID bringing it home. The only losses again that UNLV Sam Houston over Alabama -13 and a half and Penn State, Nevada under 56 and a half. Five and three for the week, seven and four for the season.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, the Merrimack play, that was discipline rule ruling me. I, I was originally considering taking Merrimack on the money line and then I thought better of it right before the show started and I was like, you know, I'll just take them in the points. I don't want to get too crazy. So it was a good thing that I did. Although I nearly would have won the money line too. I didn't learn a ton, honestly. Except maybe Alabama stinks. But if I look at my losses, first of all, the Penn State, Nevada loss was a heartbreaker with Nevada scoring in the final minute and then going for two to push the total to 57. That was just a. Come on, Penn State, be better. And then I am. I have filed a protest about UNLV Sam Houston.
Bud Elliott
If.
Tom Fornelli
If you guys actually watched that game. There was no game clock for like the entire second half. The officials were keeping it on the field. So as far as I'm concerned, there still might be 10 minutes left in that game. So I don't know. I'm filing a protest.
Chip Patterson
Our friend Colin Wilson, I think was the one who tweeted. Millions of dollars have been wagered on this total and it's being kept in Las Vegas by officials with their little stopwatches.
Tom Fornelli
That's right. Pablo Torre on that. I want to find out what happened.
Chip Patterson
And Tom, we were close. We were pacing and we were pacing and we finished close. But. But yeah, I hope that we can get a reversal. Like, I think I had a Jose Ramirez total bases from the summer that got reversed. Maybe we can get the same luck here. All right, before we find out from the locking chair, we do also want to recap our splash Leaderboard because congratulations to not one, not two, not 12, not 24, not 48. 52 people went six and. Oh, clarification here. You see that 192.50 or 192 and some change split up. That. That is not awarded right now. That is if the contest ended right now, the first place money would be divided across those 52 people. Again, remember, this was free to enter and. And it was impressive to see 52 people go 6 0, which means you get seven points since obviously one of those wins was the lock. No, boys, I'm sure you got to revel that Alabama was the most picked team. Yikes. Sorry, guys. Georgia Tech was the second most picked team. A lot of commentary from everyone in the tailgate. Sounds like we do have a lot of Splash participants who are watching us live. We thank you for signing up and your support of the game. My Splash picks went 2 and 4, so I'm tied somewhere in the 4000s. What everybody else come in at on Splash?
Tom Fornelli
I've got four points.
Bud Elliott
I think four and two.
Chip Patterson
Four and two.
Bud Elliott
Let me see.
Tom Fornelli
I was one of the people who locked up Alabama.
Chip Patterson
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. That's. That's, that's how you. That's how you take an L. 4 and 2. All right.
Tom Fornelli
A lot of season left.
Chip Patterson
A lot of season left. Absolutely. And, and remember, thanks to our partners at Splash. All right, gentlemen, let's flush the week behind us. Good God. Let's flush the week behind us and let's go. Eyes ahead on what's coming in week two. So I say to you gentlemen, y' all ready to lock it up?
Tom Fornelli
Do it.
Chip Patterson
Go.
Tom Fornelli
Since 2005, the under in games between service academies is 49 and 1.
Danny Cannell
Give me an over on this one as well.
Bud Elliott
A little two for one special. I was a sicko last week. Y' all were watching the good games. I was live betting the hell out of UL in Kentucky. My blue plate special.
Chip Patterson
Five star locks are coming. Five star master lock. Lock it. I'm.
Bud Elliott
I'm.
Chip Patterson
I'm living and dying.
Bud Elliott
Every. Every point, every couple.
Chip Patterson
From the locking chair to your eyes and ears. A reminder that locks are sponsored all season long by Cash app. Making money moves should be easy. And that's why there's Cash app. It's fast, safe and honestly, way more personalized than other apps and out there. Cash app is sponsoring the locks episode all season long. We are supposed to get a trophy that will go to the season long winner. Obviously. Bud. Off to a fast start there. Okay for that around Here. Yeah. You got space. Absolutely. Hey, but it worked out really well for Virginia Tech and Texas A and M. You know, you should definitely just go ahead and like, set that spot and put the little plaque up there. You know, this is where it's going to go. All right, let's begin as we always do, with the weeknight. No, no. Thursday night college football. There's some, some other JV league is going to be going on, getting a lot of attention. Then on Friday night we've got maybe about a handful of games. Anybody got a Friday night lock? Yeah, I know. It's a. Learn something Friday, I'll tell you. Louisville, James Madison's the one I'm, I'm tuned into because I don't think I learned a lot about the Cardinals. JMU is a good enough team to at least make Louisville do something, but I don't have a good feel enough to bet that was at 17 and a half somewhere around there.
Tom Fornelli
Louisville's currently 13 and a half.
Chip Patterson
13.
Danny Cannell
Good restraint.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, yeah, yeah. No way. No way. Any. Anybody else got anything Friday night?
Bud Elliott
No, I, I thought maybe, you know, you can run the ball some on, On Maryland. You know, didn't FAU throw six interceptions in that game like that? That's a lot. If I read that box score correct. I didn't get eyes on the game, though, other than a couple of Malik Washington highlights. So I, I'm gonna pass. I, I thought about a little first half under stuff there, but it's been ticking up, so I'll just wait that out. Maybe closer to game time if a 24 at reasonable odds shows, maybe take a little pizza money on it.
Tom Fornelli
Yes, they did throw six interceptions.
Bud Elliott
That's a lot.
Tom Fornelli
That, that is. I, I would argue different quarterbacks.
Bud Elliott
You know, you might not throw six passes.
Chip Patterson
Right.
Bud Elliott
Like there's a difference here.
Chip Patterson
Yeah. Yeah. All right, then let's go ahead and rock on into some of the big games on Saturday. We begin with the Cy Hawk Trophy. El Asico for those of a certain breed and generation. Iowa at Iowa State. Iowa State. Three. Three and a half, depending on your number. Over, under around 41 and a half. Who's got a lot? All right, let's get it started.
Tom Fornelli
Oh, well, first of all, I'm scared to speak about anything to do with Iowa State because, man, those guys are really upset with us this week. My God. Did you guys calm the hell down?
Bud Elliott
I'm gonna go over.
Tom Fornelli
I just think the total is too low. I think that Iowa's defense in recent years has not been up to the same level that we have seen that we would normally expect. I also think Iowa State's defense has proven to be somewhat soft so far to start the year through two games giving up a lot of explosive plays. They have one of the lowest pressure rates in the country as far as getting after the quarterback. I know Mark Gronowski was horrible last week, but I also don't think Iowa was trying to put anything on tape ahead of this game. It was a very, very basic game, which is not an excuse for how he played because he played like crap. But I do expect a better performance here. I also expect Iowa to show some things they haven't yet, which could cause some problems for the Iowa State defense. And forty one and a half points isn't that much to ask for. So give me the over 41 and a half.
Chip Patterson
I'm. I've got. I've got the cousin of your lock. Iowa team total over 19 and a half. 20 points. I mean we did a drive to 325. Just asking him to score 25. You know, like we just, we just got to get 20 points as we saw last year. It. It doesn't even, they don't even need capable quarterback play to necessarily be able to see an increase in, in yards and production and scoring. Yeah. Let's go. Iowa team total over 19 and a half. So the, the same kind of game should, should have both of us being able to get this thing home.
Danny Cannell
What are you on, bud?
Bud Elliott
Hit it.
Chip Patterson
Hit it. Oh y.
Bud Elliott
Man. I need to bring back whatever my, my camera settings I had on that video is great. I'm actually going to pass this. I, I think Tom's probably right. Maybe the Iowa State receivers will play a little bit better. I was thinking under. It's just been bet down so much open 44 and a half now we're looking at like 41 and a half. Decent juice under or 41 flat. I. I'm gonna pass. I, I am. I, I lean under because of the reliance on tight ends from this Iowa State offense and those generally are not going to create explosives. But you know, Iowa does like, like to play a lot of split field coverages and sometimes you can hit tight ends on those. I, I lean under. I'm a pass.
Danny Cannell
I got a lock. I've been the Mark Granowski fanboy this whole off season. I kind of. I hope you guys are right. I hope there's more points. I don't trust that I'm gonna take Iowa in the three and a half. They're seven and two in the last nine. Now they've lost the last two in Ames. One was by one point, the other was by a field goal. I think this game comes down to the wire, so I'll take Iowa plus three and a half, man.
Chip Patterson
And the Iowa State hate continues. Golly.
Danny Cannell
Hey, they can win by one. By the way, we did a, what, 10 minute preview of this game when they said we didn't yesterday, we did it on Tuesday.
Chip Patterson
I know it's. Listen, it'll take a couple weeks for everyone to get used to the rhythm. We've. We hit a lot of the biggest Big Ten games on Tuesday show a lot of other big games. On Wednesday show big game breakdowns. Two episodes. You should be thanking us. Double the breakdown. Come on. Now.
Tom Fornelli
I will say it's rivalry week. They're a little on edge, so I give them some benefit of the doubt there, but just a little, little, little, little much this week, boys.
Chip Patterson
All right. Also noon Eastern time. Couple good, good nooners right here. Illinois going to play Duke Wallace Wade Stadium. Duke narrow dog here. Anybody gonna lock something up?
Bud Elliott
Yeah, we're gonna take first half under 24 and a half friends at Fanduel. I, I'm a little nervous about Illinois playing that much man coverage against Duke. Duke likes to run a lot of crossers and, and stuff like that. And that, that's. That can be kind of hard if, if you're playing a lot of man, you got to chase guys a lot. But I do think that Illinois can get movement against Duke's front and keep the clock moving. Like, this is a real battle of tempos. You know, Duke wants to go insane mode tempo. And you know that, that Illinois wants to probably do. I would think the exact opposite. They, they. I mean, they've shown some tempo occasionally with Altmeyer. And if you wanted to tell me, bud, you're an idiot, they're gonna go tempo because it prevents Duke from getting in as many exotics, I guess. But I don't really give a damn if Duke's an exotics. If I, if I'm in third and three because I'm running the football well. Right. And I, I can't imagine Illinois is like, yeah, we want to give Duke 13, 14 possessions in this ball game. So also, Altmeyer has been pretty bad against the blitz in his career. So I think heavy run game. You know what? You're not bad against the blitz if you're handing it off. So first half, under 24 and a half for me in 335. Illinois, Duke. Yep.
Chip Patterson
I Mean, run the dagum football. Take, take, take, take the life. I mean, I know that it's somebody in, you know, hold on.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. First app owners are boring. I was told last week. Boring. So let's match these a little slower, a little soft, you know, nice.
Tom Fornelli
Boring.
Chip Patterson
I, I think that they are bigger sweats than anyone realizes.
Bud Elliott
I was told they're the worst possible gambling entertainment content. And this is supposed to be an entertainment program?
Chip Patterson
No, this is only supposed to be entertaining for us.
Danny Cannell
There's some money making.
Chip Patterson
We just invite you guys to come. We would do this even if nobody was here. We're just inviting you guys to come and hang out with us. Okay. No, I, I love this, especially with the urgency that kicks in at the end of the first half. The natural urgency for both teams. Yeah, it's a, it's a great one. Yeah. 24 and a half. I was, I was dialed in on, on that number. I like that from our friends at FanDuel. And I, I think that you, you might not believe that there's going to be any kind of atmosphere. And I'm not going to sit here and try and tell you that it's out, like, going to be buzzing. But Illinois coming in, ranked opponent. Ranked opponents have lost at Duke in the last couple years. I could see them trying to set the tone and they're going to set the tone at the line of scrimmage and that would be a way to limit things. Darian Mensah, also, slow start. That was 10, 10 against Elon. So I will go first half under as well.
Danny Cannell
We want the excitement, though. We want some excitement. Maybe we can all win. Give me the over for the whole game.
Chip Patterson
Oh, a treasure map.
Danny Cannell
Yes.
Chip Patterson
Let's see.
Danny Cannell
I think this quarter. Go ahead.
Bud Elliott
No, go ahead. Exciting opportunity.
Danny Cannell
Yeah, exactly. Then you can really have a ton of fun. You're rooting for totally different things. First half, second half. I think both these quarterbacks are too good to just not see a lot of production. And I do worry that Illinois could slow the game down. But I think Darian Mento, who did start slow, but he finished strong, he might be running for his life, but I do think he has some weapons. I do think he can get some big plays. Maybe this is one of those where you get this late backdoor, they have to start throwing it around a little bit. I'm gonna go over 49 and a half.
Bud Elliott
You know, it'd be cool thing for like, for books to add since they've taken away so many fun things that we could Bet in this year. Unfortunately, I'm still a little salty. These, these derivative totals for the year. You know how you can bet like first half full game? Like I, I had a lot of Georgia Tech first half full game like Moneyline result, both sides. Wouldn't be cool if you could do like for like, if you could parlay that at the book. Like first half, you know, under for the first half full for the game and, and get like some, you know, sometimes these like anti correlated stuff actually are not quite as anti correlated as you think.
Danny Cannell
Be cool if Lard Sock doesn't offer that yet.
Bud Elliott
They do.
Danny Cannell
Only correlated.
Bud Elliott
That's correct. They have like first quarter under, half.
Danny Cannell
Under, whole game under.
Bud Elliott
I cannot wait for the boys to get home from school because they're dredging the creek by our house. All right, cool.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, a lot of machinery.
Bud Elliott
This is a, it's a, it's a water excavator that like they're gonna love that. These dudes are gonna go absolutely ape over this. Look at this. I mean, wow. Water excavator. I'm sorry, I just. My neighbor's texting me, so I hope they're working all day. This is gonna be fun. Oh, that's, you know, it's like on a barge. This is really cool.
Chip Patterson
Patrick, by the way, has gotten a first half under and a full game over. Parlayed for plus 675.
Danny Cannell
Nice.
Tom Fornelli
But the unders 23 and a half. It's not 24 and a half. So yeah, I, I think first half unders caught strays last week for being boring. And I think the reason everybody thought it was boring is because, you know, we didn't have last week an upset, a lock fight.
Chip Patterson
Oh, who are you fighting, us or Danny?
Tom Fornelli
Play the damn music, Chip.
Chip Patterson
Oh my God.
Bud Elliott
This is a bar fight, right? Fight. Two on one is bar fight. Do we have a bar fight?
Tom Fornelli
No, it is not a bar fight. This is. I'm taking the full game under. The Illinois. The Illinois game last week hit under. I took it. It went the way I expected it. But it's one thing to also remember. Illinois scored a touchdown on a punt return. First time in 12 years they've done that. They also had a long 60 yard run by Aiden Loughery in the second half. Like they were hitting a lot of explosives against Western Illinois late in that game that I don't expect them to be able to hit against this Duke defense. So I think Illinois is going to have more of a conservative approach on offense here going on the road. Even though they are a veteran team because the secondary is good and they haven't had anybody truly emerge at receiver. As far as your concerns about the defense playing, man, I do think we'll see them play more zone because they did do that in certain matchups last year. And I think this is a spot where they'll feel like they can do so. And I also think the defensive line, like, yeah, yeah, the defensive line was feasting against Western Illinois and I don't expect it to look the same way, but I do think what they have up front is legitimate based on just what I have heard and what I was able to see with my own eyes. Duke was giving up pressure to freaking Elon, man. So I have a feeling Illinois is gonna be able to get pressure on Mensa. So I, I don't think this is going to be a very high scoring game.
Bud Elliott
Y' all tackled well last week too, I will say, like that secondary and I would assume if you're playing more SAG stuff like you guys don't press that much. They used to press more. I felt like, yeah, they've changed it.
Tom Fornelli
Up a little bit. Like, Aaron Henry's kind of adapting. He's adapting more to the personnel. They're still being aggressive. They're just going about it in different ways.
Bud Elliott
Aaron Henry's good coach, dude. Like, I know he got dragged for that. That, like that Kansas game the first year, but like, I think that dude can coach.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, that was like his third game ever as a defensive play caller.
Bud Elliott
Yeah, we.
Chip Patterson
We are an Aaron Henry podcast. Do not let that be mistaken. Yeah, I want that read into the record and a Luke Altmeyer podcast. So that's. That's what we got right there. All right. Also noon eastern time on the cw. Baylor at smu. Boys, boys, boys, boys. Let somebody write the SEO post. What channel is the cw? Where is true tv? I mean, Baylor gotta have it moment. SMU needs once obviously to be able to start to build. It's. It's got the Baylor game, the TCU game, couple big non conference games for its outlook. Who's got a lock?
Bud Elliott
What are we trading at here?
Chip Patterson
So this. I. This is. I'm gonna need to bring this to the committee. Okay. There is a. I can get a minus 140. Ish. Whoa, whoa.
Bud Elliott
140.
Chip Patterson
Whoa. No, on. On a first.
Danny Cannell
Like somebody went one and seven last.
Chip Patterson
Week on a first quarter over.
Bud Elliott
No, hold on.
Tom Fornelli
I mean, if I'm outvoted, I'm outvoted, But I think 140, 140.
Bud Elliott
Is like if it was just amongst us boys and you were taking like a plus, you know, 130 something later on to offset it. So you want a first quarter over?
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Bud Elliott
Oh, it's on. Hold on. I can find you something here. Jeez, you look at 13 and a half?
Chip Patterson
Yeah, I'm trying to get it. See if I can get the 13 and a half. This thing's. That.
Bud Elliott
That's actually like the best price in mark. What?
Tom Fornelli
If you want to do 14, I can find you a 14.
Chip Patterson
Let's just do round 14.
Bud Elliott
Yeah, yeah, yeah. You actually get a little plus juice on that. Penny's dealing 17 to the under. So what's. What's the comeback on that? Yeah, that's. That's probably more in range.
Chip Patterson
Okay, we'll do round 14, first quarter over. Yeah.
Bud Elliott
Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Okay, so I'll need a third score now, but I. I just think both these teams are gonna get off to really fast starts.
Tom Fornelli
You know what?
Chip Patterson
What?
Tom Fornelli
I got a proposal.
Chip Patterson
Okay.
Tom Fornelli
Lockspot. First, we can give chip the minus 140 line, but if he loses, it counts as 2.
Chip Patterson
No, I would rather have the 14. Would much rather have the 100%, because I think we can get to 7. I mean, this thing could be 14 to 7, you know, at the end of. If they both march down the field, I think that we could have three scores in the first quarter. So I've. I've got again, hey, second shout out of the week for our friend Parker Fleming. It's his. Now, let's see. The unscripted drives has been, like, a really, really good reminder all throughout. All throughout the college football season. I think both these teams are going to get off to really, really hot starts for. I mean, the first half under, I think, isn't a great line. I like the full game. I mean, first half over isn't a great line. Then the full game over, I think, is another good play here, but I think that there's a. There's an opportunity to. To just jump on these first 15 minutes.
Bud Elliott
Match up here. Baylor likes to play a lot of split safety stuff. And RJ is still not back for smu, right?
Chip Patterson
No, he is supposed to be back.
Bud Elliott
Is he back?
Danny Cannell
Okay, give me the over on the game. What are you afraid of? Why are we overthinking this? I think they start fast. I think they finish fast. I think this is sort of a Big 12 shootout type of feel to it. Two really good quarterbacks going toe to toe. Kevin Jennings, I don't think he's going to be as willing a runner as Jackson Arnold was against that Baylor defense, I don't know if he has to be. I think Sawyer Robertson is one of the better quarterbacks in the country. I think this one's back and forth. I think it's a little bit of a track meet.
Bud Elliott
I'll go over. I was listening to Mac and Cube Cole's radio show and I think, I think they do a pretty good job. Like they actually. I know both those guys have exos. They do watch stuff. They were like, where would Sawyer Robertson rank on this? On the quarterbacks that, that Auburn is going to face this year? It was actually like a pretty like after watching Simpson at Bama. Auburn plays what, Oklahoma. They play Georgia. They don't play Tennessee. They don't play LSU in top three at work. I don't have all these.
Chip Patterson
I guess the argument that they're making is Sawyer Robertson might be one of the best quarterbacks Auburn's defense is going to face.
Bud Elliott
We've long been a Sawyer Robertson podcast.
Chip Patterson
100 fast start high school.
Bud Elliott
You know this game opened five.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Tom Fornelli
What if they know that we don't?
Chip Patterson
Hey, Sharps are wrong 40 of the time.
Bud Elliott
That's right.
Chip Patterson
Don't ever forget it.
Bud Elliott
Weird opener.
Chip Patterson
Any. Anything else? Oh, you mean just the number? Like why?
Bud Elliott
I mean five to two and a half is a pretty big move.
Chip Patterson
Yeah. Anything else here?
Tom Fornelli
No, I got nothing for this.
Bud Elliott
No.
Chip Patterson
3:30Pm Eastern Time. We go to Como. Kansas at Missouri. Border War is back. Who's got a lock?
Tom Fornelli
Are they not teaching the Civil War in school anymore? Bo Pribula had no idea what the rivalry between these two states like why it's called the Border War.
Chip Patterson
It is very possible they are not teaching the Civil War.
Bud Elliott
Very possible.
Chip Patterson
Very possible they are not teaching the Civil War.
Bud Elliott
This is the game that like I spent the most time on this week and don't have a play.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, I, I would agree.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Bud Elliott
Like I, I think Missouri may have hit on the transfer receivers they took. I actually like those guys quite a bit. I don't really trust Bo as a passer yet. I'm not sure that I think Missouri's offensive line is like quite as good as it once was. I don't think I like Kansas defensive personnel much at all. Kansas also like, you know, they kind of gave up a lot of pressure against Fresno.
Chip Patterson
Yeah. Can Kansas block Missouri?
Bud Elliott
Yeah, I don't know. They can. Do you trust to get. To get margin?
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, I, I really want to watch this game just because I don't know what the hell is going to happen.
Bud Elliott
To the chat are you know what.
Tom Fornelli
The Civil War was about first half under?
Chip Patterson
No, it was states rights, not first half unders.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, the states rights to what Chip?
Chip Patterson
First half unders, half unders. I yeah, I I'll tell you what. I I'm not gonna lock it up. I lean Missouri here but I've I'm more interested to learn learn something Saturday.
Danny Cannell
Tom, what were the unders in week one? 83 and 61.
Bud Elliott
It's like 83.
Tom Fornelli
I can't remember the exact but yeah, it was something to that effect.
Danny Cannell
There's an adjustment that takes place between week one and week two. We've had Kansas already see two games. Jalen Daniels looks like the star he was a couple years ago. As long as I don't see him with one of those back massagers on before the game, I'm feeling good about it. Give me the over 50 and a half.
Chip Patterson
I can rock with that.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, I hope it's I hope it goes over. I think this has a chance to be one of the most entertaining games of the weekend by far.
Bud Elliott
I wanted to bet it under and then I watched the Missouri receivers and it's like I don't know, they're actually worse than they were last year.
Chip Patterson
Then also or not then also at 3:30pm Eastern time hits big time on CBS. It is Oklahoma State at Oregon on America's most watched network, the network of stars. You can stream it on Paramount. Plus Brad Nestler, Gary Danielson, Jenny Dell on the call from Eugene as as Mike Gundy's Mike Gundy's budget roster goes into to face the high dollar top shelf Ducks. So we got 28 and a half on the spread. Anybody want to tackle any angle to Oregon and Oklahoma State?
Tom Fornelli
Oregon minus 28 and a half.
Danny Cannell
Lock it up.
Bud Elliott
Yeah.
Danny Cannell
So nice.
Bud Elliott
Didn't their top pass rusher get popped for shoplifting this week? I was I thought Lanning might throw in a joke there like hey, maybe need a little more nil money there but I guess he's going to travel. I haven't seen anything about him not playing, so nothing for me here.
Tom Fornelli
I just think the Ducks see that OSU and they get angry. They're going to imagine it's Oregon State and they're going to take them down. I also think taking shots at their operation in public is probably not the wisest move for Gundy. And I also think that Oklahoma State without its starting quarterback, the line might not have adjusted enough to this. So I like Oregon -28 and a half. I don't love the actual number. I would be so much happier if it was 27 and a half. But I think the Ducks can beat this team up.
Chip Patterson
When we have the opening, opening graphic, you know, we, we. We've got those pizza boxes and Danny, what's that called? What's that called when special? Yeah, that's right. We got a little two for one special right here. Okay, I'm doubling up. All right. This is, this is someone who's very clearly responding well to last week's results. Give me Oregon first half minus 16 and a half and Oregon minus 28 and a half. Bloodbath.
Tom Fornelli
I mean, Zane Flores came in for Hoax Haney last week. Zane Flores is a freshman quarterback going on the road to Austin Stadium to face that defense. Like, what's the over under on Oregon's defensive touchdown here? Like, you think they're going to get one?
Bud Elliott
How much is Oregon State going to throw?
Chip Patterson
You think they're just going to try.
Bud Elliott
To get Oregon, Oregon and Orange on.
Chip Patterson
The brain, Orange and Black, you know, playing in Eugene, you're fair. That's all good there.
Danny Cannell
By the way, just quickly shout out to B. Stone out there. I said I was driving with the quad box. He's out there driving with the COVID 3 locks podcast up in his dash while he's driving around. Atta boy. You can't miss this.
Chip Patterson
We are available on demand.
Bud Elliott
Shout out to Chris Johnson, who drives a semi for a living and does pull over to watch locks live.
Chip Patterson
Let's go.
Bud Elliott
Delivery Late traffic. Real bad traffic.
Chip Patterson
All right, Anything else from Oklahoma State at Oregon?
Bud Elliott
I am excited to see if Oregon will throw in the second half because we do know that they like not Lonergan, who's the. The quarterback that we know the OC Likes there. The backup.
Danny Cannell
Yeah.
Bud Elliott
Yes. Yeah. I. I do know that staff likes him some, so let him eat. He could have transferred. I think the fact that he didn't transfer, maybe they let him chuck it around a little bit in the second half. Yep.
Chip Patterson
Which would. Which would be great. That would all work. All right. And then one last one. It is 7:30pm Eastern time. Norman, Oklahoma, Michigan and Oklahoma, we've discussed this game ad nauseam. Now we just got to get to the locks. Put your money where your mouth is. What are we going to be locking up.
Tom Fornelli
Under full game? Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Defensive touchdown plus plus 400. Whatever the prop is at.
Bud Elliott
I probably will take some of that, actually. Like, I know, I know we're probably not doing props on the show, but. Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Oh, Moneyline materials Back in the tailgate Moneyline, let us, let us know what your, what the best bet is here. We always appreciate the inside information. Under. Go ahead, Tom.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, I just don't think Oklahoma's offense will have as much success this week against Michigan as they did last week against Illinois State. And it's really hard for me to think that a freshman quarterback is going to go on the road to face eventables defense and have a great day. Like Michigan is going to lean on its ground game. I just think this is going to be a lower possession, lower scoring game.
Bud Elliott
I definitely think Michigan tries to run the ball more here. We're going to go first half under pretty much.
Chip Patterson
Three.
Bud Elliott
Yeah, I, I, I do think that Michigan, despite the fact that they may just have that dude at quarterback, like he looked good man, but this is Brent Venables. I think you'll have some drive killers cooked up. I imagine they're going to tell Matier hey like we can get, we can get to a number. We feel okay winning this ball game. We don't need you to win this thing in the first half for us. And you know with, with Barham suspended maybe a little bit less pass rush for, for Michigan maybe they're able to, to make Oklahoma drive a little more.
Chip Patterson
Does anybody know what the record is when Brent Venables is calling a defense against a freshman quarterback?
Danny Cannell
Does he have the signs or not?
Bud Elliott
All right, so he faced what I got him. He faced James Blackman one time when he was Clemson in Florida State.
Chip Patterson
There's 26 games in this sample set. I know it back into it.
Tom Fornelli
Do you want me to spoil it?
Chip Patterson
Yeah, yeah. I mean sure that's, that means 21 and 5. 21 and 5. Now granted you some of those were like with Clemson peak Clemson. Right. So signal noise take that into consideration. But yeah, just another aspect that would lead to everyone's feeling on, on an under either in the first half or of the full game variety.
Tom Fornelli
I do hope that if Brent steals Michigan signs for this game that Michigan files a formal protest afterward.
Chip Patterson
Does Brent Venables have a brother in the FBI or whatever that hat angle was?
Bud Elliott
I don't think 23 and a half is, is a fair number to give out here by the way like 23, there's some -1/10 on that. 23 and a half is juice to high. Hell yeah. They're very record keeping like that.
Chip Patterson
I don't know.
Bud Elliott
I would feel kind of scummy with that.
Tom Fornelli
But yeah, so I will with 20. Let's see if I can find.
Bud Elliott
There's 23s. Yep.
Tom Fornelli
I'll change 23 pair.
Chip Patterson
23S. Okay. I mean, you get some boosts out there. Come on, you got some big game boosts. You can just take some of the haircut, the juice off.
Bud Elliott
I got the bank. I was pulled up. I got a million bucks. Like, 23. Like, that's.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, there's a lot of minus 138s and stuff.
Chip Patterson
Yes. All right, that's fair.
Tom Fornelli
So what we should do is. Minus 138 is fine, but chips minus 140 too far, that cross.
Chip Patterson
All right.
Bud Elliott
Also, like. No, no, I think we're good. Sorry.
Chip Patterson
Okay. Coming up on the other side, we open up the Saturday board with all of the rest of our best bets for week two and more. Next. Hi, I'm Kristen Bell, and if you know my husband Dax, then you also know he loves shopping for a car. Selling a car, not so much.
Danny Cannell
We're really doing this, huh?
Chip Patterson
Thankfully, Carvana makes it easy. Answer a few questions, put in your van or license, and done. We sold ours in minutes this morning, and they'll come pick it up and pay us this afternoon.
Tom Fornelli
Goodbye, Truckee.
Chip Patterson
Of course, we kept the favorite.
Bud Elliott
Hello, other Truckee.
Chip Patterson
Sell your car with Carvana today. Terms and conditions apply.
Bud Elliott
Abercrombie is an official fashion partner of the NFL, and I'm CeeDee Lamb, wide receiver for the Dallas Cowboys. You know, I'm here for Abercrombie's Cowboys gear. That's not a question, but I need a whole wardrobe to go with it. No shade to the guys, but I'm used to having the best tunnel outfits this season, Abercrombie has me covered. Shop NFL by Abercrombie in the app, online and in store.
Chip Patterson
Back here on the COVID 3 podcast. Let's review what we got on the board so far. Bud is taking Illinois, Duke, first half, under 24 and a half. Michigan, Oklahoma, first half, under 23. I've got Illinois, Duke, first half, Under 24 and a half. Michigan, oklahoma, first half, under 23. Iowa team total over 19 and a half. Baylor SMU first quarter over 14. Oregon, first half, minus 16 and a half. Oregon, full game minus 28 and a half. Danny's got Iowa plus three and a half. Michigan, Oklahoma million first half, under 23. Illinois, Duke over 49 and a half. Baylor SMU over 63 and a half. Kansas, Missouri over 50 and a half. And toms on Iowa. Iowa State over 41 and a half. Michigan, Oklahoma, under 45 and a half. Illinois, Duke under 50 and Oregon minus 28 and a half. All right, bud, you have the honors on the tee box. You won last week and you also need to fill this thing out. So where do you want to go, Chip?
Bud Elliott
What's the first thing you do when you get up in the morning?
Chip Patterson
After that? Okay. All right.
Bud Elliott
Oh, man. We need some drill. All right. This is a book. I did not read this last night. I just. I. All right. Thought I had a great pick last week until I learned the Georgia State player went over to the Ole Miss sideline before the game and ripped the chain off an Ole Miss player and threw it into the stands. That led to three unnecessary touchdowns at the end of the game to run up the score. Big thanks to the chain ripper for cost me what should have been an easy under. I have no idea if that's true. So I guess he didn't put player names. All right, on to this week. Ole Miss has won a combined three of the last four games versus Kentucky by a combined five points. Kentucky had a three point victory last last year, which we do recall. So differential is 2 points in the last four meetings. The average point total in the last two meetings is 39. So my gut tells me this will be a close lower scoring game. The only reason I can't pick UK plus 10 and a half here is that the Kiffin has this game circled. That UK loss last year basically kept Ole Miss from making the playoff and was certainly one of the most disappointing games of the season. I wish you would use paragraphs. I believe Kiffin would would like some redemption here and usually does have success in those games he has circled. Except for Saban. I'm trying to find an angle on that and I think the best place to do that is first quarter or first half. With the thought that Kiffin would like to jump on UK early. I think that is safer than giving up the ten and a half on the full game. So the Crest, Proctor and Gamble Dennis pick of the week is Ole Miss minus six and a half for the first half. Tooth emoji, lock emoji, wave emoji. Georgia State red flag. Not at Mackenzie.
Chip Patterson
That's a good line. I like that pick. I've got. I mean, I'm not gonna just jump on this now. I sent in to Mikey the potential of doing Ole Miss -10. I like the lane Kiffin circles this game. I mean. And you know what else I'm not gonna do? I'm not taking Kentucky. I'm not.
Bud Elliott
I'm.
Chip Patterson
I mean, are you taking Kentucky, Bud?
Bud Elliott
I am not.
Chip Patterson
Okay.
Bud Elliott
All right.
Chip Patterson
Good gravy.
Bud Elliott
I took a little Ole Miss earlier in the week, but those are.
Chip Patterson
Are long gone at nine and a half. Nine and nine.
Bud Elliott
Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Anybody else gonna. Gonna jump on that one?
Bud Elliott
Nope. Not on the side of the dentist, but I thought Ole Miss gave up a little bit of pressure last week, which was surprising against the Georgia State front that although I'm kind of higher on Georgia State this year, I have their win total over. I did not expect them to get that kind of pressure. And one thing Kentucky does pretty well against Ole Miss is denied the big play. Typically. Now Kentucky does not have the studs up front this year that they did last year, but they do got a couple guys who can penetrate. I don't trust this Kentucky offense at all. Like Calzada to me is that was not great. But I am going to go first half under 26 if I'm Kentucky, I do not want to get into a shootout. I want to play this game slow. I want to deny the big play. I want to see if Ole Miss can score in the red zone. Under 26, first half for me.
Danny Cannell
I like that.
Chip Patterson
I know. You want to add it to the card? Late edition.
Danny Cannell
Sure.
Chip Patterson
Let's go. Yeah, let's go.
Danny Cannell
I would have been tempted to take Ole Miss to Lamb. The only way Mark Stoops in Kentucky can keep this close is if they slow the crap out of the game. And so. And if they do that, I think they're only able to do it for a half before it gets away. So I like that play.
Tom Fornelli
Do you think they teach the Civil War in Mississippi schools?
Bud Elliott
Yes, actually, maybe a little different than what y' all teach Chaga, though.
Chip Patterson
Yeah. Because you got to teach them before you do the reenactment. Tom, you're always training for the reenactment.
Danny Cannell
We.
Chip Patterson
We size you up to see what that gray suit's gonna. What you need to. Which size you need. All right, let's.
Danny Cannell
Like most of the fraternity parties, like Civil War themed.
Chip Patterson
Oh, the K A. Old South.
Bud Elliott
Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Bud Elliott
Do they still build the fort?
Chip Patterson
I mean, I just thought it was weird. They.
Bud Elliott
They built like a fort or at least my freshman year. I don't know if they're still doing that.
Chip Patterson
I mean, different. Different time. I just. Different time. All right, let's say, Danny, what do you want to do?
Danny Cannell
I will go look at my board. I'm gonna get one before. Hopefully it's still at this number because it's key number Stanford. Frank Reicht as talked a little bit about what he's gonna do at quarterback with Ben Goldbrinson, I think he's sticking with him. So give me BYU. Lay him 20 and a half. Is it still under 21?
Bud Elliott
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
Danny Cannell
Bear Bachmeyer. Whatever Bachmeyer's out there is going to be. Just lighten up the Stanford defense.
Chip Patterson
I hate the Portland. Did you see the Portland State coach talking about Bear Bachmeyer?
Tom Fornelli
Yes.
Chip Patterson
He was like, boy, look at his calves. The calves on that quarterback.
Danny Cannell
You know how. I think it was Urban Meyer? People have talked about, you know, the. Find the. Find the fish, find the duck. Like whatever term you look for the guy that you want to pick on. Unfortunately, I think it's going to be Stanford this year, so I'm going to get on it early before the word gets out and it's already a big number, but I don't think it matters. Lamb with byu.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, it. At. In the North Carolina circles now, we call that the Marcus Allen, the guy who gave up nine catches on nine targets, had four missed tackles for 173 yards. Number 29, for those of you in your program from. From Monday night. Not.
Tom Fornelli
Not the best Marcus Allen to ever play football.
Chip Patterson
Nope. No, no, no, not at all. I like. I mean, yeah, just. Just jump on them and fade them to oblivion. Can't. Can't argue with that.
Danny Cannell
Tom.
Chip Patterson
What you want.
Tom Fornelli
You know who didn't cover last week, who didn't smoke it through the filter and who's kind of angry about it? Just based on what I saw in the press conferences this week, that would be Kurt Signetti. And I just feel like. Hold on, let me see if this line's moved. Is there 35 left on what number Indiana on? 338. Can you find one?
Bud Elliott
Yeah, yeah, there's a 35. A couple of them actually.
Tom Fornelli
Give me Indiana minus 35. I think Kennesaw State has to suffer the punishment for the fact that Indiana wasn't able to cover against Old Dominion last week. We gotta. We gotta send that crowd home happy, keep them excited.
Chip Patterson
The inability to finish drives was problematic for Indiana. You got to clean that up.
Bud Elliott
So you think Wake is awful?
Chip Patterson
Yes.
Tom Fornelli
Yes.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. All right.
Chip Patterson
I don't. I. And like. Yes. Because Claiborne got hurt in the game, and that's the best part of their offense right now. But even still, I just. I. I don't think that there's a lot of. A lot of positivity about where Wake is at right now. That's. They. They. You know, bud, they could be better by the end of the year. Right. They really could and keep working on it.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. I think Clausing was a wizard.
Chip Patterson
Yes.
Bud Elliott
Yeah.
Tom Fornelli
I mean, one of the first things I did when I woke up on Sunday was to look for the line for Wake Forest's next game. So I could bet the other team, but they're playing an FCS team, so there wasn't a line posted yet.
Chip Patterson
Gonna be. Gonna be. Gonna be a tough road out there. Anyone gonna take a bite of Mississippi State? Arizona State?
Bud Elliott
Are you? Yep.
Tom Fornelli
I'll go and take it.
Bud Elliott
You under.
Chip Patterson
No, I'll take Mississippi State.
Danny Cannell
Donate it.
Tom Fornelli
Let's see what I can get you here. Six and a half.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Tom Fornelli
There's seven anywhere.
Bud Elliott
What is that? No, it's.
Tom Fornelli
No, I see sixes, but not sevens, so.
Bud Elliott
Six and a half. Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Yep. This. Look, I just. I think Mississippi State's got. I think they've got athletes. Not that Arizona State doesn't, but I just. I don't think it's a spot where Arizona State is going to be able to show up and. And just be able to clearly be the better team, you know, six and a half on the road. You're telling me Arizona State's 10 points better. And you run the simulation against all the other opponents that Arizona State's going to play and Mississippi State's going to play, and you try to adjust for opponent difficulty. I get it. I mean, on this, on this Saturday in Starkville with the ranked opponent in town, in a season where you're maybe you're not going to have a lot of games, this is kind of a Super bowl type approach for Klanga. So I'll take Mississippi State plus the points.
Danny Cannell
You don't think Arizona State is going to have that huge edge since they practiced with three cowbells ringing at practice?
Bud Elliott
3.
Danny Cannell
I don't know how many it was, but it wasn't enough.
Chip Patterson
All right, let's. Let's keep it moving. Who wants to jump in? All right, fine. I'll keep rolling. Team total over 43. That's Arkansas, I guess. Arkansas State, for those who didn't have that one dialed in. I thought Taylor Green is very much hitting the ground running while he's still healthy. We're gonna just keep maxing out on this and Arkansas State. Hello. We're. We're not expecting a lot of stops from the Red Wolves, so Arkansas team total over 43.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. Arkansas State was not the best defensive effort in their opening week against the FCS team. I did not watch that, so I'm not going to pretend I did. But the Scoreboard was not. They gave up a little bit then.
Tom Fornelli
Grinding the tape on that game. Lots of missed assignments. Just undisciplined. Yeah.
Bud Elliott
No, I have no idea. Yeah.
Chip Patterson
All right. I got a couple left.
Tom Fornelli
I've got. Let's see.
Bud Elliott
I got a couple, too.
Tom Fornelli
I've got three empty.
Bud Elliott
I'm gonna need some music.
Chip Patterson
Oh, yeah. Hey, thanks to the. The quarterback play card that we got.
Bud Elliott
Now we gotta get you a wristband, dude.
Chip Patterson
I know.
Bud Elliott
All right, it's time for Sicko mode.
Chip Patterson
Let's go.
Bud Elliott
I'm a little bit lower on some of the teams in the bottom of the Sun Belt. If things go wrong, they could be like you, Massey. That's kind of like Sicko mode of a Sicko mode. So we're gonna go to Lubbock and.
Chip Patterson
Whoa.
Bud Elliott
Yeah.
Chip Patterson
Willingly.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. Yeah, we're gonna go to Lubbock and. Look, I know Kent State looked awful and failed to cover against Merrimack, but there's a pretty big conference game coming up in two weeks for the Red Raiders because Utah is going to be welcoming them in on September 20th. They get Oregon State next week. But I. I just don't know what the incentive is for Texas Tech to keep Hammer down here. I. They got a lot of guys who are kind of dinged. You know, maybe you go out and get the good start. Give me Kent State plus 48 and a half in this one. I just don't. That's a big, big number, guys. And I just think it's a little bit too high. I made it 44.
Chip Patterson
Wow.
Tom Fornelli
Kent State. That's twice they've been the Sicko.
Bud Elliott
There's kind of got to be a number which you would play both sides in every game. If you're making numbers on games, you're kind of agnostic teams, and it's, you know, like, do I like this, man? I like the bet. Do I actually like watching this game? Not at all. But I'll be scoreboard watching.
Tom Fornelli
I mean, if. If Kent State's a 48 and a half point dog against Tech, then Merrimack's got to be, what, 45?
Chip Patterson
Yeah. I. Everyone who's. Who's taking this in live on the road. I hope everybody's still okay after that one. I saw somebody said they threw up on their windshield, you know, so now we're gonna have to take that thing to the car detail. Whoa. Whoa. That is 136. That is the number 136 team in.
Bud Elliott
FBS, and they're probably like, number 200 in football there's a good number of FCS teams that that would be over.
Chip Patterson
And you know what? To, to echo a common refrain from our good friend Robbie Calland starting with a 48 and a half point lead. But if Texas Tech comes back, that's an all time comeback. About a 48 and a half point lead for 60 minutes of football. Come on, Kent State, you can defend it. Let's go.
Tom Fornelli
Just hold for like a point and a half a minute or not even like what a point in the quarter.
Chip Patterson
All right, bud, how many more do you have left?
Bud Elliott
I have a couple more.
Chip Patterson
All right.
Bud Elliott
A team that I, I really liked a lot of the fundamentals I saw out of them for the week and they just, they got the COVID They did not get the win in the game. And this is what, nine days ago now? Or no, about seven days ago now. It'll be nine days on Saturday, so a little bit of extra rest. Offensive coach looking to exercise a demon here. Got an in state team coming to town. Give me Cincinnati -21 to lay it on Bowling Green. I think they'll hit some explosives. I think they can run the football. I think Cincinnati's defense is pretty damn good and I, I think they'll win by margin.
Chip Patterson
Brendan Sorsby just scooting. Maybe one of the better running backs in the Big 12.
Tom Fornelli
Come on, come on.
Bud Elliott
I bet you he throws at least two touchdown passes this week.
Tom Fornelli
Yep.
Chip Patterson
Okay.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, it's gonna air it out against those boys.
Chip Patterson
All right, Tom. You got it.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, I will go with an over here. We saw it last week when Rutgers got into a shootout with a Mac team. This week, Rutgers is welcoming another Mac team to Piscataway. Give me the over 45 and a half in Rutgers Miami of Ohio. I know Miami got shut out last week against Wisconsin, but Wisconsin's defense a lot better than Rutgers. Rutgers's defense looked awful in that game. They were giving up explosive after explosive. And I also think Rutgers offense doesn't get nearly the amount of respect it probably deserves. I think they will be able to move the ball against this Miami defense who only gave up 17 points to Wisconsin. But it's important to remember there was a red zone turnover by the backup quarterback in that game because he was in the game because their starting quarterback, Billy Edwards got hurt.
Bud Elliott
It.
Tom Fornelli
So I think Rutgers will be able to put up some points here. This strikes me as like a 31 to 17 kind of game. So give me the over 45 and a half.
Bud Elliott
Also, Rutgers lost defensive lineman Doug Blue Eli for the year and he was supposed to be one of their better players.
Tom Fornelli
Oh, no, that hurts me.
Chip Patterson
But we are sorry.
Bud Elliott
We do hope heels up.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, but just not in time for Saturday.
Bud Elliott
Have a strong 2026.
Chip Patterson
Rhymes with clovers. You know, we've our friend, our friend Jordan Giorgio will be on the call out in Allegiant Stadium. I, I hope she has planned her, her flight home aware that this might be a high scoring game. We are going ucla UNLV over 54 and a half lock agreement. Oh, man. An emphatic one at that.
Bud Elliott
Yeah, I, yeah, you go first.
Chip Patterson
Yeah. All right, so first of all, what, what a great refreshing spot for Nico Iamaliava to not be running for his life. But, but I told Danny this. Yeah, you know, I mean, I told Tom this. Danny was out here dropping pressure rate on CBS Sports Network yesterday and what was it? Danny? 59, right?
Danny Cannell
Yes.
Chip Patterson
Yeah.
Danny Cannell
Drop backs. Come on.
Chip Patterson
I, I, I think that UCLA is going to have a lot easier time just operating the offense when a half a second after the snap your quarterback's not running for his life. So UCLA gets to get into a little bit more of a flow. We know Tino Senseri's offenses like to put up points. UNLV's defense seems very accommodating. And at the same time, we are still starting to see Dan Mullen put the pieces together. You know, we had the heartbreak last week with the Sam Houston game, but I still felt like there was enough moving in the direction to not throw me off the principal. So yeah, we are CUCLA UNLV over 54 and a half. You can watch it on CBS Sports Network. Fired up to see Jordan on part of the team there.
Bud Elliott
That's not a bad assignment. Stadium in Vegas.
Chip Patterson
Oh, no. Of all, of all the Mountain west locations. I mean, I just, let's line up all these different ones. Yeah, I think Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada is a good one there. I'm close to closing this thing out.
Tom Fornelli
I've got two left. Okay, give me, we'll start with one. Give me Fresno State plus three and a half against Oregon State.
Chip Patterson
And yes.
Tom Fornelli
I just, I, I don't, I don't think that line is correct based on, I mean, I know Fresno got absolutely dog walked by Kansas in its opener, but I think Fresno is better than that line suggests. And I thought that they did a decent job of showing that last week. And I'm just not sold on the Oregon State Beavers right now.
Chip Patterson
So how did Fresno respond and how did Oregon State look against Cal that was on my notepad right here. Fresno State did respond. There was that big overreaction. They ended up winning the Georgia Southern game. Nice bounce back. And Cal just, I mean we, we spent a lot of time, you know, praising the way that Cal has sort of ducked the expectations, how good JKS looked. But at the same time there was an Oregon State side of that beat down as well. So I'm, I'm right there with you.
Bud Elliott
Two defensive minded coaches here.
Chip Patterson
Matt Ants.
Bud Elliott
Yep, two defenses that I think are better than the offenses to establish it type teams. Malik Murphy got a little dinged at the end of that game by the way. I did stay up and watch that because I had under for the full game. I don't think I had it on the show. But first half, under 23.
Chip Patterson
Let's go. Let's go. I can't wait for this recap.
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, and my last one.
Chip Patterson
Yep.
Tom Fornelli
This line's a little disrespectful to me. I think this game could be fun. I don't know how many people are going to actually be watching it, but I do think there's some kind of silly shootout potential in the air when we head to Ohio where I am taking Western Kentucky plus seven and a half against Toledo.
Bud Elliott
Just.
Tom Fornelli
I, I think the, the toppers are kind of frisky and fun. I think the Rockets are also kind of frisky and fun, but maybe not frisky and fun enough on defense to keep the toppers from keeping this one close.
Bud Elliott
Lock agreement.
Tom Fornelli
There we go. See?
Bud Elliott
Yeah. Now look, I'm not going psycho on this. There was some real big money behind Toledo midweek, so like maybe something, somebody knows something but seven and a half. I'm gonna take that. I do like those receivers. They probably should have won by a lot more against Sam Houston if they didn't have those drops. Didn't have like the one broken play. Touchdown.
Tom Fornelli
Syndicates are wrong 40 of the time.
Chip Patterson
Love, love fighting the syndicates. Let's go. Danny, you good?
Danny Cannell
I got two more.
Chip Patterson
All right.
Danny Cannell
South Florida Bulls are going to Gainesville 17 and a half point dog. Could they shock the world? I don't know. I don't even know if they keep it close. But what I do know is both of these offenses have some pretty good weapons on the outside. Against Boise, USF had two receivers just under 100 yards. We know DJ Lagway is a big play hunter, he likes hit those big plays and usf, they like to give them up. I'm gonna go over in this one. I Also think you'll see Alex Golesh. If the score does get a little bit out of hand, they gotta try it for resume purposes. They gotta try to score late. That could lead to a pick six, which could put this one over. But I think this will be a little bit higher scoring. So I'm gonna go over 55 and.
Bud Elliott
A half floord in the first half. Minus 10 for me. I, I had USF last week moneyline. I, I don't think that they are that much better than Boise. I think they had. They played well, they played hard. Boise played probably a little bit below level. They also were pretty fortunate in terms of how the game played out. I, I think that's a big step up in quality of opponent. I think Florida will dominate both lines of scrimmage. Florida has LSU on deck here. So I, it, it would not be surprised if they put this in park. But I, I do think that Florida can come out and handle them.
Chip Patterson
Yeah, Brett. And the tailgate. Mentioning the net success rate. We, we talked about that a little bit on. Upon further review. It was, was a. There were some things to be seen through a lopsided score. You know, if you were just looking at the scoreboard, I think that, you know, USF still was a little bit vulnerable. Very curious to see what goes in there. All right, so we, we tapped out one more.
Bud Elliott
No.
Danny Cannell
Did you guys see army last week lost to Tarleton State?
Chip Patterson
I did, yes.
Danny Cannell
Some of the celebration afterward. I'm sure army didn't love that. Coach Monkin. I'm sure he didn't appreciate it. Did you also see Kansas State in an absolute dogfight?
Chip Patterson
Yes.
Danny Cannell
Last week. The cobwebs from Dublin are gone. Now Kansas State, after winning that game, did drop out of the top 25. Army lost their quarterback. I think that could be an issue. I'm gonna say Kansas State buttons things up, gets back to where we thought they were going to be. If not, I got my big concerns for Kansas State. If this game is. Maybe they don't cover, but if they, if it's close. I'm getting real worried about Kansas State. But I still think Avery Johnson had a pretty good game. Three touchdown passes. I think they'll be able to score against Army. So I'll go ahead and lay the 17 and a half.
Tom Fornelli
Get you 17.
Bud Elliott
Perfect.
Chip Patterson
What did I hit? Oh, we didn't have to talk about this yesterday. I feel like the.
Danny Cannell
Because they dropped out.
Chip Patterson
They dropped out. Yeah. If, if Kansas State cannot. If Kansas State doesn't hit its team total like, if Kansas State can't score then. Whoa. Big time panic for. For the boys from Manhattan. All right, I'm. I'm tapped out, bud. You good?
Bud Elliott
No, I want music one more time.
Chip Patterson
Again.
Bud Elliott
Again. This is sicker.
Chip Patterson
How many games?
Bud Elliott
Oh, no, no.
Tom Fornelli
Oh, there goes the cheat sheet.
Bud Elliott
It's time for sicko mode.
Chip Patterson
Let's go.
Bud Elliott
I'm a little bit lower on some of the teams in the bottom of the Sun Belt. If things go wrong, they could be like you, Massey contact. That's kind of like sicko mode of a sicko mode.
Chip Patterson
Got long covet over here. You know, Repeat, repeat infection.
Bud Elliott
I saw a long co joke that I will not be sharing on air, but maybe for the group text, you guys will crack up. All right, we're going to the state of New Mexico and we're going to take a team that I think I've had to adjust my power ratings on really fast. This Tulsa team is pretty good, at least for that level of competition. I do not think New Mexico State is this already got bet from an opener of two to four and a half five. I don't like Tulsa. I. I think they go in. I think they're win by more than touchdown. I made it seven and a half. So I mean I'll lay the four and a half all day there. Give me Tulsa.
Tom Fornelli
Donate that.
Bud Elliott
It's pretty sick.
Danny Cannell
Yeah, Love it.
Chip Patterson
You know, I. I would bet that there are a large. There is a large percentage of college football experts that might not realize that Kevin Wilson's still not the coach at Tulsa. It's Trey Lamb for. For those who aren't aware. But it. Tulsa's been that far below the radar like they have been just in obscurity. You know, you are at the bottom of the American like it is.
Danny Cannell
That is +1.7 Handicap Trey Lamb better than scratch.
Bud Elliott
Also shout out Tulsa King on Paramount plus.
Chip Patterson
Yes, that's right. Hey, speaking of Paramount Plus. Coming up on the other side, we recap our week two locks and get into Moneyline, sprinkles and more next. When did making plans get this complicated? It's time to streamline with WhatsApp, the secure messaging app that brings the whole group together. Use polls to settle dinner plans, send.
Tom Fornelli
Event invites and pin messages so no.
Chip Patterson
One forgets mom 60th and never miss.
Tom Fornelli
A meme or milestone.
Chip Patterson
All protected with end to end encryption.
Tom Fornelli
It's time for WhatsApp message privately with everyone.
Chip Patterson
Learn more@WhatsApp.com this episode is brought to.
Bud Elliott
You by Jack Daniels.
Tom Fornelli
Jack Daniels and music are made for each other. They share a rhythm in the craft of making something timeless while being a part of legendary nights. From backyard jams to sold out arenas.
Bud Elliott
There'S a song in every toast. Please drink responsibly.
Tom Fornelli
Responsibility.org, jack Daniels and old number seven are registered trademarks. Tennessee Whiskey 40% alcohol by volume Jack Daniel Distillery, Lynchburg, Tennessee.
Chip Patterson
Back here on the COVID 3 podcast, let's review the action we've got on our week two card. Bud has Illinois, Duke first half under 24 and a half Michigan, Oklahoma first half under 23 can't state plus 48 and a half Ole Miss Kentucky first half under 26 Cincinnati minus 21 UCLA UNLV over 54 and a half Fresno Shoot Oregon State Oregon Fresno Oregon State first half under 23 Western Kentucky plus 7 and a half, Florida first half minus 10 Tulsa minus 4 and a half I've got Illinois, Duke first half under 241 and a half, Michigan, Oklahoma first half under 23 Iowa team total over 19 and a half Baylor SMU first quarter over 14 Mississippi State plus 6 and a half, UCLA UNLV over 54 and and half, Fresno State plus 3 and a half Arkansas team total over 43 Oregon first half minus 16 and a half and Oregon minus 28 and a half and Mississippi State plus 6 and a half. Danny's got Iowa plus 3 and a half, Michigan, Oklahoma 1st half under 23 Illinois Duke over 49 and a half, Ole Miss, Kentucky under 26 that'd be first half, right?
Bud Elliott
For which one?
Chip Patterson
Danny's Ole Miss Kentucky oh yeah, sorry.
Tom Fornelli
That'S the first half under okay, Ole.
Chip Patterson
Miss, Kentucky first half under 26 Kansas Missouri over 50 and a half Baylor SMU over 63 and a half, BYU minus 20 USF Florida over 55 and a half and Kansas State minus 17 and Tom Scott Iowa Iowa State over 41 and a half Michigan Oklahoma under 45 and a half, Illinois Duke under 50 Oregon minus 28 and a half Indiana minus 35 Miami Rutgers over 45 and a half, Fresno State plus 31 half and Western Kentucky plus 7 and a half and those locks were sponsored by Cash App. As you heard us say at the top of the show, new Cash App users can use our code and get free money. Use our code cover three, send $5 to a friend within 14 days and you'll get $10 right in your account. Thank you Cash App for sponsoring the locks today and all season long on the COVID 3 podcast. And now it's time for the Moneyline Sprinkles brought to you by fanduel. Make every moment more all right, let's look at our sprinkles from last week. We had Miami was a winner that came in for Tom and Chip. USF was a winner that came in for Danny Bud. The Charlotte and Charlotte plus 180 was a loss against App State. That means that so far our lock leader is Tom up 0.25 units. Danny down 1.15 units. Bud down 2. Chip down 2.75 units. So, Tom, what would you like to sprinkle?
Tom Fornelli
I've got two this week. We mentioned earlier there was one game that spent a lot of time trying to break down. Couldn't really figure it out. And I feel like if there's a game where I'm spending a lot of time trying to figure out what's going to happen and I can't really see an edge for one team over the other and I think it's going to be close. But that team is currently +210 on the money line. I'm going to take that team. So Give me Kansas +210 at Mizzou. And then finally, they might still be teaching them that the siege of Vicksburg is still going on in the state of Mississippi. But they're also teaching them how to ring cowbells and how to make a whole hell of a lot of noise and how to make life very, very difficult for the opponent. The same opponent who you lost by one score to on the road last season while your team was terrible, but your team is a little bit better this year. I think at least I'm more encouraged by what I saw against Southern Miss than compared to what I saw from the Bulldogs last year. So give me Mississippi State at home to pull the upset. Plus 2 10.
Chip Patterson
Love those. All right, Danny.
Danny Cannell
Sometimes for a quarterback, it's about finding your level where you kind of thrive. Chandler Morris is doing that at Virginia. This line is stinky right here. I think you have a live dog on the road. Give me Virginia to beat NC State. I would hate to say I like Dave Doran a lot. I think Virginia might be one of the more improved teams out in the acc. So I'm going to take Virginia to pull that. That one. You know what else I'm going to tie in here? How about a former Virginia quarterback? The Whoopsie Daisy King. It feels like Dan Mullen has figured out who his guy is in Anthony Calandra. That's right. Give me unlv. It's their super bowl to potentially get that win against a power four. I have my concerns about ucla. Nico, he's got to be having second thoughts about what just transpired. He's running for his life. I don't know if it makes a difference playing against that defense. They can't protect him. Give me UNLV to win the game outright. Last one. Lock agreement with Tom on Kansas. Give me Kansas over Mizzou.
Chip Patterson
Bud.
Bud Elliott
There's a lot of stuff I, I, I like, but not a lot of stuff I love as far as Moneyline this week. So I'm trying to figure out what to give here on the show. This is not good enough to put on the official record. Very, very like personal pan pizza on Delaware plus 1300. But not for, not, not for the locks record. Where, where is Boston College?
Tom Fornelli
Boston.
Bud Elliott
Yeah. Give me BC +170. Yeah, I, I don't know that those teams are that different. Certainly, you know, Michigan State at home, that's, that's a real crowd. But quarterback practice for bc, I think they can probably go there and throw it around a little bit. I don't know if I love the pass rush for Michigan State. And, you know, Charles is talented, but he's been talented and I didn't see a real improvement in decision making there from him. So. BC +170 for me.
Chip Patterson
I am also on a BC +1 7. I am also on Virginia. Did you. I had sent it to Mikey at +115. Would you end up.
Tom Fornelli
I can get it at 122.
Chip Patterson
122. I am also on Mississippi State. And then listen, lean in, right? Iowa +140. Go into Ames and, and, and come out with the victory. So why, why not, why stop now? Why jump to the other side when we can just absolutely steer into the skid? So four. I, I don't, I, I don't. I don't have bc, but I'll take it. Yeah, I didn't like, I didn't sprinkle BC just to be fair. Yeah, just to be fair to the integrity of the process. The ones I sent over before the show. Iowa, Virginia, Mississippi State. So those are mine.
Bud Elliott
And one more.
Chip Patterson
Sprinkles. Okay, one more.
Bud Elliott
Let's go back to Norman. Give me Michigan.
Tom Fornelli
What can you get?
Bud Elliott
What number is this game? This is 399 plus 176.
Tom Fornelli
There we go.
Chip Patterson
Listen.
Danny Cannell
Hey, that'd be big for the Big Ten.
Chip Patterson
I know Danny. Danny had that one locked and loaded.
Danny Cannell
He's like a carpal tunnel. If they start off 0 and 2 versus big 10.
Chip Patterson
Oh, man.
Bud Elliott
Firing away.
Chip Patterson
Oh, man. Hey, I'm sorry. Danny's having trouble.
Danny Cannell
Oh, man.
Chip Patterson
Danny's having trouble with his dexterity because the big kid keeps winning games against the sec.
Danny Cannell
Holy cow.
Chip Patterson
All right. That's awesome. And those were the Moneyline sprinkles brought to you by fanduel. Make every moment more. All right, boys, week two in the books. Oh, no. Week two locks in the books. Week two, very much on deck. Any, any, any Cowboys, Eagles thoughts?
Danny Cannell
All I know is everybody on ESPN just took the Eagles. I picked him in the survivor pool that Noah has going around. So I'm very nervous all of a sudden when nobody gives them a chance. The NFL, there's just a lot of parody.
Bud Elliott
Can I add one more money line?
Tom Fornelli
Yeah, sure.
Bud Elliott
Texas State, 160.
Chip Patterson
Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
Bud Elliott
I think they hit on that quarterback.
Chip Patterson
So here was. I was thinking about that for body blow also. Yeah, UTSA might have just sort of really tried to empty the tank in that big game against Texas A M, but Texas State wasn't awesome. Right? But yeah, at least worth the sprinkle. Don't hate that one at all. Saturday night we will be back 11:30pm Eastern Time. Instant reaction to everything that we saw from week two. So make sure you come and hang out YouTube.com cover three and. And then we're just back at it. I'm excited about getting back into the normal flow at the game week. The, the five day week one throws everything off. So this is, this is when we settle in. This is when we get things moving downhill. And you can follow him on Twitter at Tom Franelli. You can follow him at Danny Canal. You can follow him at Bud Elliott. 3. You can follow me at Chip Underscore Patterson. Gentlemen, thank you very much.
Tom Fornelli
Free Matt Chapman.
Bud Elliott
See y'.
Chip Patterson
All.
Tom Fornelli
Now streaming on Paramount plus it's an all new season of adventures.
Chip Patterson
We have to stop this invasion, get into this shit.
Bud Elliott
This crew is a team.
Chip Patterson
We are going to find our way out of this.
Tom Fornelli
Star Trek strange new worlds. New season now streaming on Paramount Plus.
Date: September 4, 2025
Hosts: Chip Patterson, Tom Fornelli, Danny Kanell, Bud Elliott
The Cover 3 team (Chip Patterson, Tom Fornelli, Danny Kanell, and Bud Elliott) delivers detailed analysis and spirited picks for Week 2 in college football. The hosts recap their previous week’s records, discuss scoring trends and betting insights, and offer their LOCKS, best bets, and Moneyline sprinkles for an event-packed Saturday. They break down major matchups—including Michigan-Oklahoma, Illinois-Duke, and Baylor-SMU—discuss strategies, banter about betting superstitions, and react to trends, upsets, and interesting lines across the board.
"Scoring is way down across the sport...they’re really copying that NFL model...deny the explosive play at all costs." (Bud Elliott, 05:19)
"Bloodbath Saturday for me...I do not have a sound effect to properly describe how awful that one was." (Chip Patterson, 06:30)
"You can't jinx me like that. Don’t ever say anything until the game has gone final." (Danny Kanell, 07:59)
"There was no game clock for like the entire second half. So as far as I'm concerned, there still might be 10 minutes left..." (Tom Fornelli, 10:08)
"You might not throw six passes...Like there's a difference here." (Bud Elliott, 15:30)
"We just got to get 20 points...they don’t even need capable quarterback play..." (Chip Patterson, 17:04)
"I think Sawyer Robertson is one of the better quarterbacks in the country." (Danny Kanell, 31:05)
"Bloodbath. Zane Flores came in for Hoax Haney last week. Zane Flores is a freshman quarterback going on the road to Autzen Stadium to face that defense..." (Tom Fornelli, 36:44)
On betting first-half unders:
"First half unders are boring... I was told they're the worst possible gambling entertainment content. And this is supposed to be an entertainment program?"
(Bud Elliott, 21:56)
On being jinxed by early texts:
"Don’t ever say anything until the game has gone final. Come on. Bunch of rookies."
(Danny Kanell, 07:59)
On rivalry tension:
"It's rivalry week. They're a little on edge, so I give them some benefit of the doubt there, but just a little..."
(Tom Fornelli, 19:43)
(All odds and picks as of episode release; see timestamps ~74:00 min onwards)
Tom:
Danny:
Bud:
Chip:
A must-listen for College Football fans looking for both sharp insight and a sense of community, Cover 3’s Week 2 LOCKS episode sets the table for a wild weekend of college football with spirited debate, high-value picks, and plenty of laughs along the way.