A (14:32)
Yeah, absolutely, man. I mean, let's take a quick look at this and we'll see what bitcoin is actually doing over here, because, again, I do find it really, really fascinating when. When we look at this. But, I mean, bitcoin coming down, I think even a little bit lower than I would have expected. I was expecting the mid-80s and we came down to just above 80,000, flat around 80,500. 80,600 was the bottom that we hit last Thursday on November 21st. And so when we zoom out here, this is where we're coming back into. You know, we're coming back into this prior consolidation zone. We fell right through the floor of this. And I think the last time that I was on here, we were kind of looking at this break through this big floor, come up, reject all these areas and start coming back down. And this is like a bit of a warning sign, kind of seeing this inverse break, hook and go. And after this happened, I mean, it was just a straight move downwards here from this consolidation zone up in here to this one down in here. And we did it pretty aggressively. So I think now that we're coming down in here, there's a couple of things that I'm looking for. Number one, we're kind of seeing a V shape like recovery so far, which is what we want to see more often than not. These kind of V shaped recoveries tend to indicate a bottom. Not always, but again, you kind of want to see that happened. That's, that's usually a good indication when you're getting one of these V shaped recoveries in an overall uptrend. So I am seeing this and I'm liking that. I also like the fact that we're bouncing around this consolidation zone, but we're still above these lows that we had from the tariff lows around 74, 000. So I like the fact that again, we're pulling back in here, but we're not quite as low as we were last time. And I think so long as we form some sort of like higher low inside of here, that's really what I want to want to see from Bitcoin. Furthermore, if you're looking at where we're at, I want to use three different measurements. Number one is going to be the daily rsi. And if we look at that, I mean, we're at the lowest level that the daily RSI has hit since August of 2023. And if we go to the weekly RSI, we're at the lowest level that we've seen the weekly RSI since the end of 2022, start of 2023. 3. Now remember those two dates, right? August of 2023 and the very end of 2022. When are those? Well, we're going to have to zoom out on this chart all the way back to the very bottom of the market cycle. The very end of 2022 was right here. And we'll zoom out even more at the very bottom of the market before it pivoted, this is where it was. And August of 2023 is right here, right? And this is right after the first major pullback after the market had pivoted and we saw what followed afterwards. So we're saying, hey, the daily RSI is at the lowest level that it's been since this point. The weekly RSI is at the lowest level that we've seen since this point right here. And I think when you look at it like that, it's like, man, maybe this isn't as, as horrible as people are maybe making it out to be. Now granted we did go leap deeper in some of these pullbacks. It's not to say that we can't go deeper because we did see slightly deeper price action on the relative strength index. But not by much, right? Not by much. During some of these, these Time horizons. And then the final thing that I want to share here is just the Fear and Greed index being oops, not the movie, but looking at the Fear and Greed index and what this has been, because this has been another one where the Fear and Greed index hit a 10. The last time that we hit a 10 was at the bottom of the tariff crash. And then when we went to or below a 10 after that was the again the bottom, the bottom of the market in late 2022. So when we go back, we say, okay, well, the weekly RSI is at the lowest point since the bottom of the market at the end of 2022. The fear and greed index hit a 10. The last time we were here was either at the bottom of the tariff crash or the bottom of the market cycle in 2022. Or the only other times that we've been here is like on the Daily RSI, which is after that first major pullback in 2023, all of which have historically been close to being bottoming points. And I think the big takeaway here is that these aren't tools to say that the exact bottom and price are necessarily in. But what it does tend to mean more often than not is that the bottom is close in terms of price point and that the bottom is also close in terms of time. And usually what this means is maybe we could go a little bit lower, which we have seen, maybe that maybe that happens a couple of weeks or a month later or something like that. That's still something that's on the table as a possibility. But historically, you kind of look at this as being close to or near a bottom, and that's what it's represented in the past. And so when I'm looking at this, I think the only other thing that we need to really look is for a higher swing low on this relative strength index, otherwise known as the rsi. And when we use the relative strength index, we can get things called bullish divergence, which is when the RSI is forming higher lows, specifically in this oversold territory down here. And even with prices forming lower, if we can see that relative strength is growing and gaining strength, it's a really good thing to see. So that is like the number one thing that I'm watching out for is, hey, we hit this oversold territory, we came as low as a 20, 20, or we came as low as a 20, a 22. Excuse me. Now, what I want to see is for us to kind of, you know, rally up, come in, form a higher low, and then continue Higher. And this will kind of create that, that, that hopeful divergence or convergence, depending on what happens of what could happen next. And I think once we get this, this bullish sign and this higher low on that relative strength index, for me, that's getting about as close to confirmation as we can get. So we're not fully there. And I wouldn't come in here and say the absolute bottom is in, it's guaranteed. You know, we don't have that kind of data in front of us yet. But what I hope that this can do is show that there's all these different historical and different data points that we can look at to reference what these kind of levels and moves have meant in the past and show people like, hey, here's kind of where the odds are going. So we don't have full confirmation. I think the story looks good enough to be cautiously optimistic down here as a long term opportunity, but we still do need some more data to kind of really push us over the edge. So again, listen, I like bitcoin down here in the 80 thousands, I think I like a lot of cryptos down here where we're at. I'm waiting for a little bit more confirmation, but I am doing a bit of dollar cost averaging on my end to make sure that I get some exposure down here because I do think that this could easily be one of those long term areas of value.