A (6:25)
But if we're looking at bitcoin, bitcoin is finally coming back down towards the low end of 90k. And this has been an area that we've been talking about for months. We've been saying, Hey, 90k is this massive support for bitcoin. We've tested this area nearly 10 times over the last four months, which means that over the course of November, December, January and now February. We have tested this area so many times and this has been the absolute bottom of support, really just the primary support ever since we came up above 90k. And you can see that bitcoin has been ranging back and forth between 90k up to around 110k, back down to 90k, back up towards 110, back down towards 90. And now hopefully we're trying to find a bottom in here. And that's kind of what I want to talk about first and foremost. So if we look at bitcoin, we've noticed here that since this real like absolute low was put in around 89k on January 13, this was like kind of the pivot point. You know, it immediately led to a new all time high. You know, it was a very slight all time high, but we still pushed up to a new all time high nonetheless. Well then after kind of hitting this, we sold back off to the downside, but we hit a higher low of $2,000. So we went from a low of 89k to a higher low of 91k. Then we went back to the upside. Now we're coming back to the downside and we're trying to put in a higher low here of $93,000. So that would mean that we ended up $2,000 higher after the first swing high or after the first swing low, and then another $2,000 higher if we are going to find another local low in this area. And so what this would do is, you know, if we start connecting these lines, you can see that I have a couple arrows on the chart, but I'm looking to see a consistent pattern here of support climbing higher and higher and higher. Because what that could indicate is that the bears are actually getting weaker. This means that upon every sell off of, you know, every time the sellers are trying to take control of the market, they are not getting as far down as they were previously. And that ultimately is a good thing to see for any kind of buyers. They're going to look at this and say, hey, the bears are not as strong as they were the last time they sold off. And then this time around, they're not as strong as they were the last time that they sold off before that. And we're starting to see this pattern of higher lows. So I'm keeping a close eye on this TiVo saying, Man, I want bitcoin to not only hold above around 90, 91k, that's really the floor that I want to see bitcoin go at the Absolute lowest. But I would even prefer to say, hey, I actually want to see Bitcoin hold above 93, 94K, that would be the ideal zone because that would pretty much imply that, hey, bitcoin's forming higher lows and the bulls are retaking control of the market. The kind of short term analysis here, you know, before we go back to the big picture, is bitcoin is in a bit of a squeeze. You can see that on the high end, right around 98k. This has been the ceiling for about two weeks on Bitcoin, whereas the low end is right here around 93 to 94k. So you can see that there's been this closely knit range right underneath 100k that is only about $4,000 from, from top to bottom in terms of price action. So price has been kind of squeezing inside here. We know that we have this climbing level of support, a big level of support at 90k, but we also have a pretty decent sized level of resistance right below 100k here. And that's what's creating this kind of squeeze range that bitcoin is in right now. And I don't see this holding for an extended period of time. Again, we've already been in this for almost two weeks for the bulk of February so far. And I don't see us sitting around in between 94 and 98k for another two weeks after this. So I think things are going to start accelerating once we see bitcoin moving outside of this range of 94 to 98k again, roughly speaking, right there on that range. And once we see a break to the upside, well, hey, I think bitcoin shoots back through 100k and I think that we see acceleration back towards that ultimate goal of the all time high. Now if we break down here and we start cascading down, we again have support right around 9091k. But if we crack that, that's where I think bitcoin has some real room to the downside, probably pushing into the low 80s, high 70s. And that's not something that people necessarily want to see. Again, I do think it's probably the least favored outcome just because we always like to zoom out and say, hey, the trend is your friend and it has been for a couple years on bitcoin. So when in doubt, zoom out, look at that trend and, you know, just understand that the macro is still very much in our favor and that we have a lot of things that are still looking favorable. And we're going to talk about some of Those regulatory catalysts and maybe some of the frustrations that people have had and why we're seeing just a little bit of a dip here. The other thing is I think that bitcoin is in a unique spot. It has been holding value for two weeks. And if we go and we look at the average altcoin, you know, let's just look at Avax again kind of trending down here over the last couple of weeks. You know, near stacks, imx, you know, all these other charts kind of coming back down to these multi month, maybe even multi year lows depending on the cryptocurrency that you're looking at. Meanwhile, bitcoin's pushing like weekly lows instead of multi like month or even year lows. And bitcoin's holding value a lot better than altcoins. So, you know, if we go and we just briefly look at what's happening over here with Ethereum, again consolidating beneath the 200 day moving average. Solana, beneath the 200 day moving average. There are a few players out here and I want to give some shout outs. XRP well above its 200 day moving average right alongside Bitcoin. And then Sui also trying to find support at this 200 day moving average. Probably something to keep an eye on. Never giving financial advice, but you know, I think these are ones that are technically overperforming in comparison to a lot of other alts. And then of course I brought this one up before, I have no exposure here, but Mantra just new all time high after new all time high after new all time high tivo and it just doesn't stop. I was looking at this with one of our other analysts just yesterday, Rohit, and we were looking at it. It's up like 40,000% in the last year and a half or something. I mean, it is just ridiculous. And so, you know, if anyone follows this project closely, I loosely do. I know that They've landed like $1 billion tokenization deal over with some countries I think in Europe and Asia and they've been doing a lot of RWA work over there. But if you are a lot more plugged in, in with Mantra and you know what's going on, you know why this thing's shooting up 40,000% to a seven and a half billion dollar market cap. Let us know we want to get more plugged in. Maybe if you have a connection we can bring them on the podcast and we can talk to them about what in the world is going on there. Because there's a Lot of just again, crazy stuff that's happening. But I think the big kind of, and maybe a loser is a, is an overstatement, an exaggeration here. But the big loser on the week, I would say is Solana. Seeing a lot of fud, a lot of drama. We're going to get into it, but Solana seen a pretty stiff sell off from around 205 bucks all the way down to around 160 bucks. This marks a 22% drop in the price action of Solana breaking through some crucial support levels through the 200 day moving average. And ultimately, I mean this is the lowest point that we have seen, Solana since pre election days. So you know, the lowest point that we've seen since the very, very start of November 2024. And you know, with that the whole Salon ecosystem is kind of fallen down deeper here. We can look at Jupiter again, fallen down to the lowest point that we have seen it at since September of 2024. Radium falling down since the lowest point that we've seen since December of 2024. So not nearly as low. But we are seeing the whole Solana ecosystem get hit pretty hard here. Radium was one of the best performers in this market. Now it's down about, or it did drop from top to bottom around 35% just in the last couple of days and now it's pushing down about 54% from its all time high. Whereas this was really leading the market for a long time and something that we were covering on. So again, lots of volatility when it comes over to the altcoin market. And you know, again, one of the big catalysts of why altcoins are getting hit here has to do with what's happening On Solana and TiVo, you referenced this in the very beginning, but there's been all sorts of, I mean, dare I say chaos kind of happening on Solana's blockchain. It feels like there's just like a lot of rug pulls going on there. And the latest one was, was devastating, but it was Libra.