Bryce Paul (14:07)
Yeah, no, not the week to do that. Yeah, if you're long, you're liquidated. If you're short, you're liquidated. Unless you timed it near perfectly and you had a good stop loss and take profit and everything else. You know, most people are liquidated in both directions here. And that leaves us with like the next big question. And before we even do that, you know, we just flashed an awesome, like little meme and graphic up on the screen. If you want to follow us in all of the graphics and charts and articles that we reference on the screens here, you got to go over to our YouTube channel. So if you're listening on Spotify or Apple podcasts or anywhere else, then go over to our YouTube channel. It's the Crypto 101 podcast on YouTube. And that's where you're going to see all the videos that we're referencing over the course of this session. So with that being said, again, friendly little reminder there, but let's answer the big question here. TiVo, what in the world is happening? And I wish I had just a one word fits all answer of like, oh, you know, it was this, this week, TiVo, someone tweeted something and that was it. Well, unfortunately, it's not that easy. There is definitely a lot that's going on in the current state of the market, as we alluded to earlier. There's the fear of tariffs, there is the trade war going on. There's essentially every asset risk on, risk off. Almost all of them are falling. Stocks, cryptos, long term bonds, the US Dollar, the oil market, all of it just straight down since the year has started. And that has created a lot of fear. And on top of this, you know, there are more tariff deadlines coming up. So you know what's happening here. You know, they were on, they're off, they're on, they were off. Now they look like they're back on. They could be, maybe back off. But you know, at this point we're getting double whiplash from the crypto markets and from the tariff news and people have been a little Bit frustrated because they're saying, why in the world should this affect the crypto markets in the first place? And you have to understand that this is something that affects all risk assets. And when we look at risk assets, crypto is kind of at the top end of that spectrum because of its volatility. It is inherently going to be more risky. You know, what is going to give you a higher return? The S&P 500 or a cryptocurrency? Well, probably a crypto. What is going to give you more downside risk potential? Also a cryptocurrency. So when we look at the risk markets and how they're affected by any kind of news, again, they're the ones that see the most volatility. They tend to sell off first in correlation to this stuff. And so when there's the fear of tariffs and a trade war and all the stuff that's happening, cryptos are affected. You know, there's some collateral damage here because whenever people are reducing risk, one of the way they, one of the ways that they do that is through cryptocurrencies. So the update here is that, you know, the tariffs are back on for Canada, for China, for Mexico, for, you know, all these other ones. And it doesn't look like there is a ton of negotiation room. Again, I've seen some conflicting data here, but that is enough to kind of scare people out, cause a little bit of a sell off. And as a result of this, you know, we have more deadlines coming up. There's March 12th going to be deadlines for steel and aluminum tariffs. April 2nd, there's going to be deadlines for auto, semiconductors, copper, lumber. And then, you know, after that we have reciprocal tariffs as well. So there's a lot of stuff that people are still just saying, hey, we're fearful or uncertain or doubtful here. That's where the whole acronym of FUD comes from. Fear, uncertainty and doubt. And we've talked about this before, but uncertainty is the worst thing for investors. If they know what's going to happen, at least they can brace for it. They can plan for it, they can hedge, they can long, they can short, they can act accordingly. But it's the uncertainty that freaks investors out the most. So when there is the uncertainty of, you know, are these going to stay, are these going to go, what are the future deadlines going to do? That's where people kind of reduce risk. And I think that's why we're seeing a big sell off over here in the first place. And again, it's A shame. I think it is kind of silly that we see, like, bitcoin selling off in relation to this stuff. I know I've had a lot of people reach out and say, why? Like, how does that make sense that bitcoin crypto should be selling off because of, like, U.S. tariffs? And I agree it can be really frustrating. However, I hope that that explains a little bit of the mindset as to, as to why we get this stuff in the first place. Now, secondly here, you know, what in the world is happening? Let's answer the second part of this question. Well, Trump came out on Sunday. He had a really big tweet, kind of came out of left field. And maybe we can flash him up on the screen here, TiVo. But Trump came out and he said, hey, here's an update on the strategic crypto reserve. And he dropped the bombshell. Up until this point, we were looking at it saying, hey, you know, this will probably be a bitcoin thing. Well, he came out and he said, we are looking at elevating the crypto industry. He labeled it as critical. He said, it is a critical industry. He wants to recover it. And then he went to take this a step further and he said, hey, we're going to move forward on a crypto strategic reserve that includes xrp, Solana and Cardano. He also said, hey, we want to continue to make crypto or the US the crypto capital of the world. But it's those three altcoins that shook everyone up a little bit because people were going, oh, you know, there's going to be altcoins included in this. And there's a lot of speculation. Why did he choose these three specific altcoins? Well, he chose these three because they are American cryptocurrencies. Right? You look at who founded them, the teams where they're, you know, headquartered and focused. These are essentially American cryptocurrencies. And they're all on the. The big side, right? They're all big names. Solana, XRP and Cardano. They're not small fries, they're really large market caps. But it fits into the narrative of a lot of his campaign points so far. The whole American fir, or America First, Made in America, promoting American companies. This fits in line with those themes. So when people are saying, why those three, that's the big reason there. It's not overcomplicated. It's not like he personally examined the tech here and was like, oh, you know, I see this and that, and, you know, how they utilize blockchain technology is Fascinating. It was really as simple as like, hey, these are three of the biggest American focused crypto companies. And, you know, that's why they're kind of being batched in here. And then, of course, there's a tweet after this saying, of course we're going to talk about Bitcoin and Ethereum pioneering the way alongside these, but there's at least the interest of altcoins with a focus on American altcoins. So, you know, now we have the speculation, you know, what other coins could be included into that pool. And we have a picture on the screen right here kind of showing those, those other tweets, but what other cryptos could be included? And the final takeaway, and this is really the way that I interpreted this, is if we're going to see those three altcoins get added to a US Crypto reserve, then there is a near certainty that they all get a ton of ETFs as well. I cannot see a world TiVo, and I want to pass it off to you, but I can't see a world where we get a reserve that includes XRP, Solana and Cardano and ETFs that don't flood in alongside them.