← Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC Macro Signal
Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC Macro Signal
1903: “Bitcoin Is On Pace To Likely Reach Our $1,500,000 Bull Case”
00:29:34
Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood doubles down on her $1,500,000 Bitcoin price prediction bull scenario as the most likely outcome.
Loading summary
Transcript6 lines
- [00:02]
JV
This episode is brought to you by Amazon Business. We could all use more Time Amazon Business offers smart business buying solutions so you can spend more time growing your business and less time doing the admin. I can see why they call it smart. Learn more@amazonbusiness.com.
- [00:20]
Max Keiser
This episode is brought to you by Indeed. When your computer breaks, you don't wait for it to magically start working again. You fix the problem. So why wait to hire the people your company desperately needs? Use Indeed sponsored jobs to hire top talent fast and even better, you only pay for results. There's no need to wait. Speed up your hiring with a $75 sponsored job credit@ Indeed.com podcast. Terms and conditions apply. Welcome crypto fam to no. 1 Daily Bitcoin Pod in today's show, I'll be sharing the latest technical analysis as we just had a flash crash to 94 but recovered right back above 97,000. Also breaking news, Wyoming Highway Patrol association to buy Bitcoin and self custody meaning law enforcement associations are here for the bitty, including Max Kaiser GME. Putting 5 billion into Bitcoin would be another major milestone in the global Bitcoin treasury revolution pioneered by Sailor and Micro Strategy now known as Strategy B. We'll also be discussing breaking news 114 billion Van Matthew Seagull says the demand from the 20 US Bitcoin reserve bills could see the States buy over Twitter @42,787 Bitcoin. We'll also be discussing Bitcoin's average acquisition cost hits 4900 record high in 2024, as well as Japanese mobile gaming firm Gummy looking to accumulate six and a half million worth of the biddy. And speaking of Japanese companies, we also have met a planet exploding 3,575 in a year amid their Bitcoin accumulation. Also Trump's WLFI launches macro Strategy Fund for the Biddy, Ether and Alts. Also breaking news, Bitcoin price is likely to reach the bull scenario of 1.5 million as per Kathy Wood of Arc Invest. We'll also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more in today's show. Yo, what's good Crypto fam. This is first and foremost a video show. So if you want the full premium experience with video, visit my YouTube channel at crypto news alerts. Again, that's crypto news alerts.net today is pod episode 1903. I'm your host JV. It's February 12th, 2025. Happy hump day. A Bitcoin mass volatility we were all the way down to 94 this morning and we're right back at 97 and a half, up over 22 hundo on the day. Taking a look at coin360 you can see the bulk of the market back in the green. After yesterday the majority of the market was in the red. Bitcoin up 2% on the day, trading above 97,400. At the time of the live we have Ether up 3%, trading just shy of 2027 Hundo and BNB is a big gainer up 10.5%, trading just shy of $700. And checking out coin market cap.com the current crypto market cap is sitting at 3.2 trillion. Bitcoin market cap 1.93 trillion. As far as volume we got 124 billion worth of volume for the past 24 hours with the Bitcoin dominance at 60.1% and Ether dominance hanging on at 10.1%. Checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours we got pancake swap of 40% followed by Sonic up 23 followed by BNB up 11%. Which alts if any are you bullish on for the bull Holl at your boy. And checking out the crypto bubbles we get a visual perspective on the day. As you can see bulk of the market back in the green. We love to see it like this. Safe to say 90 over 10, green over red. Zooming out on the monthly. Unfortunately this always humbles us. Majority of the market rec city as far as the ALS are concerned. 30, 40, 50% losses over the course of the past month. And checking out the crypto green inter inde today we're back in fear. Rated 46 yesterday 47 last week of 54 and last month 61 in greed. Ultimately the higher this number goes, the more likely of a correction. We have a lot to run up from here which is a good bullish sign in my opinion. And check it out those hunching calendar. We're currently on block number 883457. We have 166,543 blocks until the having a 2028 and you currently exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for 1027 sats. So stack the stats, put down the gas, pick up some bitcoin caps from my boy sergio@bitcoinc.net and long live the king. All hail the bitty pre little bitty going up just like that. Let's dive into today's technical analysis AKA astrology. For the Broskis, shall we? So yeah, I'll also be pulling up some of the live charts. Bitcoin prices 94 dip as crypto retreats on US CPI overshoot But obviously as we're at right now, we recovered quite well and we're back in a green but more volatility ahead. Bitcoin dip below 95 Feb. 12 Wall street open as US inflation data beat estimates across the board. Here you can see on the one hour chart trading view showed new lows of 94 GS over on bit stamp. The January print of the CPI was higher than expected on both the monthly and yearly time frames. Data from the U.S. bureau of Labor Statistics confirmed the CPI rose a half a percent last month, a conspicuous 2% more than anticipated. The year on year increase was 3% versus the forecast of 2.9%. Quoting the Cabisi letter here, Headline CPI Inflation is up four straight months and core CPI is officially back on the rise again. Inflation is the U.S. it's hot. They also said this officially marks the highest CPI inflation regarding since June of 2024. Even more concerningly, headline CPI inflation rose a half a percent month on month.
- [05:46]
JV
A massive jump this episode is brought to you by Global X. Since 2008, Global X ETFs has been committed to empowering investors with unexplored intelligence solutions. Global X specializes in exchange traded funds that offer exposure to the artificial intelligence ecosystem, including themes like data centers, robotics, semiconductor conductors and cloud computing. To learn more about Global X's entire suite of ETFs from covered calls, fixed income, emerging markets and more, Visit global.
- [06:15]
Max Keiser
X etf's.com Rate cuts will be delayed even further. The latest estimates from the CME Group Fed Watch Tool shows bets on the Fed cutting interest rates next meeting in March dropping sharply to only two and a half percent. That's right. Traders additionally lowered the likelihood of cuts coming in the first half of the year instead of favoring October as the next date for policy easing. Quoting the Kabisi letter again from there the market does not another 8 cut until December of 2026. The market effectively sees higher rates for years to come amid the recent data shifts. So here we have Bitcoin at a critical juncture. SCO analytics says stacked bids were filled in. This selloff thus far could see an attempt to force a bounce later in the day. So expect more of the volatility. And of course analysts are all going to be tagging different types of targets. Another one wrote here, while I currently lean towards the yellow scenario, confirmation of A bottom or failed breakdown is still needed to adopt that view with confidence. I personally feel the bottom is in and we must go up. And before I pull up some of the live charts, some breaking news. Wyoming Highway Patrol ain't talking about the dog patrol a dog patrol association to buy the bitcoin in the self custody. The Lauren Law enforcement associations are here to stack the video and a very powerful quote just shared from Max Geyser. As you can see the GME founder or CEO just met with Michael Saylor. What do you think they're discussing as Sailor is rocking the bitcoin infamous shirt? Well max wrote gme pudding that's gamestop. Putting 5 billion into bitcoin would be major milestone in the global treasury revolution pioneered by Sailor in micro strategy as the hash wars which Max Kaiser Coin continues around the world Game Theory Senate and also breaking news 114 billion asset management giant VX Matthew Siegel says the demand from the 20 US Bitcoin reserve bills the state adoption could see the states here in the United States by over 242,787 Bitcoin and that doesn't include what if Trump signed a strategic Bitcoin reserve act to accumulate 1 million bitcoin? Add it to the balance sheet. Send it. Pretty little bitty going up Supply shock. Only a matter of time as the supply continues to dwindle on the exchanges. Also Fed Chairman J. Powell we don't want to get in the way of banks serving perfectly legal bitcoin and crypto customers. So move and get out of the way and let the banks do what the banks are going to do. Bitcoin back loans, bitcoin custody. Send it and let's freaking get it. And pulling up some of the live charts. A little live chart action. Jackson satisfaction for the Broskis. Let's see how the charts are reacting right now. Alive and in the flesh. This is via Trading View via Coinbase Is the one hour chart very bullish? We have a red target on your screen and play of 104. Send it. We also have a blue bull target sitting at 106 which would take us 3000 shy of price discovery. Currently sitting at 193 and zooming out for the one hour. We'll check out the four hour. The four hour says it's going up forever. JV you have a target sitting at 130000 that's the bull orange target. We also have the red target bullish. 1039 Let will likely hit these 4 hour targets here likely soon as we're in February, a very bullish month historically for the biddy. And zooming out on the daily survey says we're going up forever. Laura rising wedge formation sensation Bullish green candle back in the green on the day and that's with the 94, 000 little correction rejection because we're back pumping and thumping. How do you. How do you like that? And zooming out from the daily. Here's the one week chart bros. Very bullish. You can see 124000 cup and handle target still there. I love it. And zooming out from the weekly which I got the monthly the monthly says February thus far in the red but it's very early yet. We have more than half the month yet to go to finish bullish in the green and hit these 124130 targets. Price discovery in play but you let me know your thoughts. Bitty fan. But anyways next story of the day headline here reads Bitcoin's average acquisition cost hit 40,900 record high in 2024. That's right. Bitcoin's aggregate cost basis, the key metric measuring the original value of the bitcoin holdings reached the all time high of 49 80. Let me know if your average price is above or below 40,980 and this was at the end of 2024 according to Ark Invest's Big Ideas report. And speaking of Ark Invest, you know our feature story of the day. Stay tuned. Kathy Wood projecting we most likely hit her bull scenario for Ark invest 1.5 million. I'll be breaking down the timeline for you. Stick around. The bitcoin cost basis on 86.6percent increase during the past year, reaching a record 40,980 per bitty, or 811 billion in total, according to the report. Some investors view the aggregate cost metric as an indicator of Bitcoin's fair value of the long term, which may emerge as a crucial support level during the next bitty bull market. Now analysts, including Adam Back, the OG himself, co founder of Block Stream, some say Satosh says that Bitcoin's floor price has already surpassed the 40,000 mark, making it a significant, significant level of support. Some metrics suggest the Bitcoin's floor price is near 44 GS including the 200 week moving average, which is a popular technical indicator used to determine the long term market trends by removing the daily volatility. Bitcoin's 200 week moving average reached roughly 44,000 on my birthday this episode is.
- [11:28]
JV
Brought to you by bank of America. What if your business could see beyond what is and into what can be? And what if you had a partner as visionary as you are? Bank of America gives customers access to trusted experts, real time insights and digital tools to make every move matter. What would you like the power to do? Visit bankofamerica.com banking for business bank of America is proud to be the official bank sponsor of FIFA World Cup 2026.
- [11:57]
Max Keiser
Yesterday, February 11th as Bitcoin traded above 95, 740 and we're currently approaching 98 GS and it's only a pit stop price discovery on the way. This key indicator crossed the 40,000 psychological mark October 18th. According to Adam, the Bitcoin 200 we moving average effectively the Bitcoin floor up only price cross 40 GS. You can view it as roughly the Bitcoin floor price without the volatility, at least historically. Now speaking of the short term, Bitcoin's price remains vulnerable to the economic indicators, including January's US CPI data, which we touched upon a little earlier in the stream. Quoting an analyst here, a higher than expected reading may shift the investor focus back to the rate hikes affecting the bitcoin near term trajectory. Elsewhere, Japan's January ppi, Germany's January inflation data and the suite of the UK indicators will offer further clues for the markets direction. The stage is set for the week where both bullish potential and volatility remain in play. Well, volatility, as a wise man named Sailor once said, is life force. Embrace it and let's enter Bitcoin Super Saiyan Level 3. Just like Goku. You feel what I'm saying? But anyways, let me know your thoughts on that. Let me know your average cost basis for the biddy above 40 below 40. Holla. Keep the comments of flowing next. Story of the day. Broski's a company I've never heard of before. Japanese mobile gaming firm Gummy looking to accumulate six and a half million worth of Bitcoin. And then we'll be discussing Meta Planet, which is another Japanese company has been following the Sailor put and absolutely crushing it. The Japanese mobile gaming firm Gummy plans to and let me know if you ever heard of this one plans to accumulate more than six and a half million worth of Bitcoin as part of the new corporate strategy. A translated announcement from the gaming company indicates the firm will invest 1 billion yen equivalent to 6 and a half million USD between now and May to acquire the Bitty. Gummy had already expanded into the blockchain gaming sector and node operation. The firm plans to use the bitcoin as security collateral for other blockchains and it plans to invest some surplus funds into Bitcoin for staking on the Babylon Protocol. Gummy isn't the only Japanese company buying the bitty Meta Planet which we'll dive into deeper later. The Tokyo based, you know, investment firm which has been absolutely crushing it. But I just wanted to point that out because JAP Japan is absolutely, you know, stacking bitcoin their companies at least and only a matter of time before their central bank or whomever in the government of Japan says we need to sign a strategic Bitcoin reserve as the game theory continues in full effect. Well, let's continue with the news fam. We still have a lot to share. Speaking of Japanese companies, we discussed the new one, Gummy. Well, let's discuss now Meta Planet. Their stock literally exploded over 3, 500 a year just because the bitty accumulation. That's right. Japanese hotel investment firm Meta Planet, the Japanese microstrategy witnesses stock explode a staggering 3,575in the past year as it launched an aggressive bitcoin accumulation strategy. Meta Planet gobbled it up 1762 BTC and became the best performing stock world worldwide. Quoting them here, by year end 2024, our Bitcoin holdings were 14x our market cap in April, A pace unmatched by any public company. Meta Planet is now Asia's largest public bitcoin holder and a top 15 holder globally. Our ongoing ability to access capital markets efficiently translates directly into the biddy per share growth ensuring every yen raise increases our bitcoin reserves. In Q4 we launched Bitcoin Income Generation, a structured capital efficient program that monetizes as bitcoin volatility through option premiums without touching our cold storage reserves which is 1762 BTC. This strategy leverages newly raised capital and excess collateral generating sustainable revenue to strengthen our balance sheet and accelerate bitcoin accumulation. Meta planet holds the 15th largest Bitcoin corporate treasury in the world according to bitcoin treasuries.net and of course strategy B, formerly known as micro strategy, would be number one by far. The Japanese firm aims to acquire 10,000 bitty by the end of this year and 21000 biddy by the end of 2026. That's a hell of a target. Meta Planet also continues to operate a Tokyo hotel. When I go to Tokyo and visit Japan for the first time, where do you think I'm going? I'm going to the Meta Planet Tokyo hotel because they embrace the biddy. I am. I support them. If you want people to support your company, put bitcoin on the balance sheet. It'll probably likely blow up. There's like 200 million cyber hornets Bitcoin huddlers around the world looking to support you. We support one about them right now. The only reason they put bitcoin on the balance sheet now we talk about them virtually every day. So I can't wait for the rebrand for the bitcoin hotel. If I'm going to stay at a hotel, it's going to be the bitcoin hotel facts. But yeah, let me know if you guys ever been to Japan. I'm looking forward to going now. Now let's discuss next story Trump WLFI World Liberty Financial that stands for they're about to launch a macro strategy fund for Bitcoin, Ether and altcoins, according to this source. So let's break this down and then we'll dive into Cathie Woods 1.5 million projection, which he feels is the most likely scenario. Her bull scenario. But first, U S President Trump's blockchain platform launched a strategic reserve fund to back the growth of some of the biggest cryptocurrencies. Trump's World Liberty Financial WLFI Decentralized finance platform unveiled the macro strategy Fun for the biddy, Ether and other cryptos at the forefront of the reshaping of global finance. According to the February 11 announcement on my B Day, the fun aims to strengthen those projects and expand their roles in the evolving financial ecosystem. Quoting them here, Together we're building a legacy that bridges the worlds of traditional and decentralized finance, setting new standards for the industry. The fund aims to enhance stability by diversifying the platform's holdings across the spectrum of tokenized assets to ensure resilient financial systems and to invest in emerging opportunities within the D5 landscape. As per the official announcement from WLFI over on X, it also says the purpose of the macro strategy will serve as a robust financial backbone for WLFI to enable us to enhance stability, diversify our holdings across the spectrum of tokenized assets, and mitigate market volatility and ensure a resilient financial ecosystem. The announcement comes three weeks after widespread speculation about the Trump family launching a giant business of a theory or on Ethereum. According to Joseph Lubin, co founder of Ethereum and founder of Consensus, that's not going to be a good look. Based on what I'm aware of, the Trump family will build one or more giant businesses on Ethereum, said Lubin. The Trump administration will do what is good for the usa. I don't know if that's really good for the usa. You guys let me know your thoughts and that will evolve. Eth interesting. Lubin suggested that Trumpet men might eventually integrate Ethereum tech into the government activities. Oh boy. Similar to the current use of Internet protocols, The Trump family D5 platform will also be working towards more partnerships with traditional financial institutions, according to the announcement, which states, in alignment with our mission to bridge traditional financial, you know, finance and decentralized finance, we're actively engaging with esteemed financial institutions to contribute tokenized assets to our reserve. It added that Tradfi institutions partnering with WLFI's new fund will gain public blockchain visibility, an innovative marketing opportunity. WLFI is set to release a comprehensive protocol for the Macro Strategy Energy Fund on the Governance forum shortly. Meanwhile, Bitcoin's institutional adoption continues as the University of Austin is set to raise a first of its kind Bitcoin fund worth over 5 million as part of the institution's 200 million endowment fund. And if you don't know now you know. What are your thoughts on WLFI and the US Government using or choosing Ethereum to build their financial landscape on? I find that very sus personally, but I want to know your thoughts and I'll read them out loud. Now for our feature story of the day. Bitcoin price likely to reach the bull scenario of $.5 million by 2030, according to ARK Invest CEO the one and only Kathy Wood. Always up to no good. Kathy, where you at? Bitcoin chances of reaching one and a half million are improving as institutional investors increase their exposure to digital assets, according to the Ark Invest CEO Kathy Wood. Bitcoin has been trading under the key hundred thousand level since February 4th after investor sentiment was pressured by global trade war concerns turns following the new import tariffs announced by the U S and China. And right now we're back above 97G's only 3,000 away from the Hundo. Despite the temporary market slump, the bitcoin odds of surpassing one and a half million per BTC have continued to increase, according to the one and only Gather Wood, quoting her here from a new video. Many people know us for our bitcoin bull case 1.5 million, she said. And she also shared we actually think the odds have gone up up that our bull case will be the right number because of what is becoming the institutionalization of the new asset class. Remember she had like a Bear scenario, a base case and a bull scenario. And she says as time is going by, she's doubling down on the bull scenario. And she did it on my birthday on February 11th. That's an 11 11. That's a divine omen. She also says many institutional investors are now looking at the bidding and thinking they need to add it to the asset allegation because its return and risk profile looks so much different from all the other assets in their profile. Optimistic price predictions from investment giants such as Woods ARC Invest may invite more institutional confidence for the biddy. And as you can see here, an increasing number of the public companies now holding the Bitcoin. 74 public companies now hold bitcoin on their balance sheet. The value on corporate balance sheets quintupled during the past year from 11 billion in 2023 to $55 billion. And you can see MicroStrategy leading the package Marathon Digital, one of the miners. Another minor riot platforms hut 8. Tesla which just announced having over a billion worth of bitcoin. Coinbase, Clean Spark Block, Bitcoin Group and Boya International. Continued institutional ETF adoption may bolster the biddy price because institutions hold large numbers of capital that can move the crypto markets. Bitcoin's price is on pace to reach the 1 1/2 million bull scenario case by 2030 according to the Ark Invest Big Idea is 2025 report that was recently published. And here you can see, here's the tail of the tape. 2030 Bitcoin price target. You can see the bear case is 300,000. Pretty similar to my bear case this cycle of 222. Base case 710,000. And then the bull scenario and this is all by $2031.5 million. Let me know if you guys agree or disagree. And a potential rally to one and a half million would assume the biddy realizes an average compound annual growth rate rate of 58 during the next five years, which is what the initials of the CAC or the CAGR show you. 21 on the bear case, 40 on the base case. And we have 58 for the bull scenario. Still, ARC Invest based the numbers of a 40 CAGR for the biddy which could mean 710000 per bitcoin by 2030. And here are the price target assumptions outlined right here in the chart. Let me know which you're leaning more towards. I'm leaning towards the pool scenario as well, especially by 2030 because that's not this having us the following. So obviously the next having will be in 2028. So in ARC's bear case, Bitcoin would see a 21 CAGR to 300 GS by 2030. In my humble opinion that's extremely bearish. That would be the following cycle. However, Bitcoin's upside will be limited to the near term until it performs a decisive break above 100 GS. I think we'll be right back above 100 GS in no time time here in February. Let me know your thoughts. Current all time high is 1093 achieve January 20th inauguration day. Traders are increasingly expecting a break above 100 GS. A failure to breach could lead to short term selling pressure towards 95. While a successful move might push the price towards the next resistance at approximately 10 6, 5. Investors also hoping to see a potential bitcoin rally driven by the supply shock. With only 2 1/2 million Bitcoin left on the crypto. That's what I'm saying. We're going to get a supply shock. It's inevitable when that happens. Super cycle in play. Hyperinflation in play. Super Bitcoinization. Bitcoin Super Saiyan in play. Bitcoin Super Saiyan Bitcoin indicator. We're going up forever. Nipinator's giving it to us right now as he's sniffing the paw when he scratches and then does the sniff and goes back to the scratch to the sniff to the scratch. It don't get more bullish. That's all I gotta say. It took me years to realize most blockchains were just vaporware or promises. But let me know your thoughts fam. Regarding Cathie woods bull scenario. Do you most likely hit her bull scenario by 2030? Yay. Nay Holl at your boy. I'm going to read your comments out loud. Welcome everyone to the Q&As. Amen of the live stream. We're live and in the flesh. 1600 people here. We're live on X rumble and YouTube. We're going to play some music videos. We're going to kick it with a famine lamb and we're going to flip this mofo into a pump. Watch when we're watch the pre little bitty going up jamming out to some shanny jams back above 100G's nipinator showing off the gonads. Take that Warren Buffett. Those gonads are for you. And don't forget to check out cryptonewsalerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in our Q A and I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode, Hoddle.