
PlanB reinforced the prediction of a $500K Bitcoin by 2028 made in May, based on BTC’s 4-year halving cycle.
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JV
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Inipinator
On your first order. 1-800-contacts. Happy Fourth of July. Freedom Day Bitcoin fam. In today's show we will be celebrating and breaking down the latest bitcoin technical analysis. And guess what? A satoshi era wallet was just resurrected and literally 4.3.5 billion was moved just from a couple of the four wallets. This is Bitcoin OG some are speculating it could be Roger veer. We'll be breaking this down. Also in today's show, a Belgian court sentences three in the kidnapping of the crypto investor's wife. We'll also be discussing the super majority of the bitcoin holders are sitting on 1.2 trillion in profits. Shout out my diamond hands. I'll be breaking down the latest analytics from glass note. Also u. S. Senator Cynthia lummis drafts a standalone crypto tax bill. Let's go. We'll also be discussing the bitcoin price can hit150,000 here in the next few weeks thanks to Trump's big beautiful bill and our breaking story of the day. Plan B crypto analyst predicts an average of five hundred thousand dollar Bitcoin price between now and 2028. And I will be obviously sharing you the numbers of how we get to this as well as the latest from the nipinator indicator. All this plus so much more right here on independence day. Yo, what's good bitty fam? Important update moving forward, I will no longer be streaming on YouTube or posting any of my content over on the YouTube platform. Instead I'll be streaming live daily exclusive on X and rumble as this is first and foremost a video show. So if you want the full premium live stream experience with video, go ahead and visit my rumble@bitcoinnewsalerts.net Again, that's Bitcoin news alerts. Today is Independence Day. Happy Freedom Day, July 4th. Enjoying our Bitcoin freedom, our sovereignty that Satoshi blessed us with these individual property rights. Don't take it for granted. Today is July 4, 2025. One year ago today, Bitcoin was trading less than $50,000 less than today's price action. Consider that a blessing. We're all blessed. We're all blessed and it's a beautiful thing. But anyways, I'm your host JV and my co host Inipinator. You may sp doing what he does best but we're about to kick off the show with our market watch as we do each and every day. As you can see on your screen right about now. Yeah, everything's in the red. We did hit almost 111 yesterday. We did a 17 hour pump watch after the podcast. And for those that don't know that is right. We often do pump watches when the market is a pumping and if you ain't been on a BNA pump watch, you're missing out. So I highly encourage you guys to check it out. You can check it on the rumble. Bitcoinnewsalers.net Correct link. Let's get it. But yeah, Bitcoin down 2% on the day. A great BTFD opportunity. The same as a year ago was a great BTFD opportunity. But yeah, Bitcoin down roughly 2% on the day. Ether down 4%. The bulk of the market correcting. And in the red and checking out coinmarketcap.com the current crypto market cap coming in at 3.31 trillion. The Bitcoin market gap 2.141 trillion. And we got roughly 98 billion worth of volume for the past 24 hours. Hi Joe kids. Hi Joe Wise. Peter Schiffmeister may be in the building and checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. Pudgy Penguins barely in the green as the bulk of the market is all correcting. So there's barely any gainers across the board. And checking out the dominance which we skipped. Bitcoin dominance today coming in at 64.7% with the ether dominance at 9.1%. My question for you guys, how high do you think that bitcoin dom will likely climb for this year year? Do you think we'll reclaim the 70 poll position let me know and checking out the daily market rec city across the board I feel sorry for the coiners and that's how I feel this season. I'm just saying. But yeah, not really much going on there. Sucks you know. Stack more bitcoin. Let that be a lesson for you. Zooming out for the weekly different story. The bulk of the market actually in the green. Zooming out for the monthly a little humble pie. Barely anything in the green. Massive corrections across the board including including top cryptocurrencies like the infamous Trump coin and zcash and Cardano all in the blood red and checking out for the yearly and get a little further perspective and I would dare say practically everything minus a handful of them Massive corrections the big gainers for the years Ave Z Cash what else? XRP got a warm piece of the sidewalk this year up 375 monero up 90 etc sui up 266% and checking out the crypto green interfere index today it's a 73, yesterday 73 last week 65 and last month is 62 in green. And checking out the infamous time chain calendar. Yesterday it was 911sats per dollar being we cracked it considered a great BTFD opportunity. Today we're on block height number 903996. We have 146,004 blocks until the having in 2028 and as of today you can exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for 920. Happy Independence Day. Stack the SATs, put down the gats, light some Roman candles and pick up some bitcoin caps from a man sergio over@bitcoin caps.net and if you don't know now you know. But anyways, next story of the day we'll do a little ta a little astrology for the baddies I dare say shout out all the baddies tuned in this Independence Day celebrating our independence. Bitcoin loses 108 as 14 year old Bitcoin sparks Satoshi rumors the let's just dive right into that. This is actually the most intriguing thing on the day. A Bitcoin OG holding at least 80,000 Bitcoin which is almost $9 billion. FYI woke up after 14 plus years of hibernation and transferred out 40,000 BTC worth $4.35 billion today. Let that just be a great example of store your bitcoin and do jack and then eventually come out of your dormancy or your hibernation and you're extremely wealthy. It's insane. But it gets better. This O controls eight wallets to A which received 20, 000 Bitcoin which was only worth 15000 at the time. It's now worth over 2 billion. Let that sink in. And this was back on April 2nd of 2011 when the price was $0.78 per Bitcoin. So more than likely they were watching the Kaiser report and they heard Max and Stacy talk about this bitcoin and they're like yeah, it sounds like a decent investment. Let's just throw 15000 in and see what happens. Long story short, they're now billionaires. The other six wallets received 60000 BTC which was 202000 at the time. Six and a half billion now. And on May 11, 2011 the price was only $3 and 37 cents. Today the four wallets transferred out 40000 Bitcoin while four more wallets remain dormant. And that's the beauty of bitcoin. It's all on chain. So I mean good lord, if that's, if that's not motivating Broski's to hoddle then truly I don't know what is. And here a bitcoin slip beneath the key 108 level July 4th as transactions involving long dormant coins startled markets. And you can see the correction here on the hourly chart and I'll pull up the live charts here in just a little bit but we're gonna skip this because I just read you the dormant wallet which has just reawoken so but anyways the transfers were ongoing which markets clearly are nervous which could be leading to the cause of the correct rumors on social media bounded that crypto beast linking transactions to Satoshi. I don't know all that but let's entertain his thoughts. The Bitcoin OG had been dormant for 14 years move 40000 Bitcoin likely to sell turning 62000 into 4 billion which is a 64,500x return on investment experts say these wall are so likely linked to Satoshi and then other speculation are saying it could be Roger Veers. I think I pulled up something here. Breaking whale who move 70000 bitcoin worth 7,099.9 Roger Veer and this is right now speculation. No one has confirmed this and I don't even know Roger's current situation. I know, I don't know if he was behind bars right now but I know he's dealing with some serious consequences for alleged tax evasion with the IRS and yada yada yada. But we'll save that topic for another conversation. But let me know if you think it could be a bitcoin OG like a Roger Veer who was a very early bitcoin adopter or if you have any other speculation on who you think it may be, do you think it's linked to Satoshi? Let me know. He says I expect it to retrace, maybe liquidate those high leverage shorts. And here is the bitcoin liquidation heat map. A lot of longs obviously getting liquidated. Continuing on the price action Rec Capital flagged a potential risk to the bull market Upside posting the daily chart saying Bitcoin's losing that diagonal for the moment. But if the price daily closes above the diagonal then this will have ended the downside Wick as part of the volatile reset, upcoming daily close will be pivotal. I repeat will be pivotal. And there you go. Yo and I also want to share something very powerful from Willy Wu, an on chain analyst, very well respected and I'll give you max 2 satoshis Willy Wu wrote, if I was to create a U S strategic reserve, this would be my playbook. Number one, revalue the gold strategic reserve to market price and then sell it for cash. Number two, nationalize micro strategy. Ideally when the M Nav is low during the bear market, pay out all the shareholders fair value. This is bulk Bitcoin Purchase without on.
JV
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Inipinator
Is brought to you by Polestar. There's only one true way to experience the all electric luxury SUV Polestar 3, and that's to take a test drive. It can go from 0 to 60 in as little as 4.8 seconds with the dynamic handling of a sports car. But to truly understand how it commands the road, you need to be behind the wheel up to 350 miles of range. The 3D surround sound system by Bowers and Wilkins. It's all something you have to experience to believe. So book your Test drive for Polestar 3 today@Polestar.com Driving up the Biddy price number three MicroStrategy holders would now need to scramble or scramble to buy back more of their bitcoin Exposure driving up the price exponentially. Number four, buy bitcoin with the remaining cash. Number five, announce the X Prize style competition to the U. S private space industry to mine near earth asteroids for commodities. This puts long term bearish pressure on the gold strategic reserves to the US competitors China and will drive a long term rush for the bitcoin which is stacked early by the U.S. now here's what Max Kaiser had to share. Willie's view is worth considering. It's hard to imagine the US seizing a private company like Micro Strategy or Marathon Riot etc. But imagine if Russia and China were to align and acquired a million bitcoin. As the bitcoin global hash war goes into overdrive, the US in the name of national security can do anything. And this is just another great warning from the prophet Max Kaiser who says that being they have seized gold before, don't think it is so out of line for them to do things like seize the bitcoin ETF btc They have the power to do that in the name of national security. And if they were to do that, nacho keys, not your coins, they would just give you the fiat equivalent and they'd take the bitcoin because you don't own the bitcoin when it's in a wrapper. The custodian for the asset management giant such in this example ibit, the largest ETF out there, Coinbase is the custodian. So at the end of the day actually it's Coinbase that controls the private keys and all the government would need to do. Let's just pretend Hunter Biden became our next president. I'm not wishing this upon the United States, I wouldn't dare. But I'm just saying hypothetical. What if a piece of like Hunter Biden became the next President of the United States and signed an executive order and then just sent it to Brian Armstrong via email, the CEO of Coinbase, and said in the name of national security we need to seize all the bitcoin Etab BTZ this is. Yeah, I mean and then snatch. They have all the bitcoin just like that one swoop. So don't put it past them. 1933 Gold Seizure act comes to mind, if you know what I'm saying. Let's now discuss a very interesting tragedy here with a kidnapping. I mean we discussed some of these stories here and there, but this particular headline, Belgian court sentences three in the kidnapping of the crypto investor's wife. Leave the crypto investor's wife out of this, you bastards. But yeah, let's Go. The Belgian court sentenced three people for their roles in the crypto related kidnapping, targeting the wife of local crypto entrepreneur Stephanie Winkle. Oh, Stephanie. The Brussels criminal court handed down 12 year prison sentence sentences to three kidnappers. Good. Who attacked Winkle's wife or Winkell's wife in December of 2024. Local news agency shared on Thursday, the criminals, drug traffickers, anti money laundering, were convicted of hostage taking after abducting the victim outside her home, forcing her into the van and demanding a ransom in cryptocurrency. I mean, this truly saddens me. We're hearing about this more and more often and I think the judge really needs to. To bring the hammer down even harder. You're gonna have the balls to kidnap somebody to extort them and potentially take their life? I don't know. I'm thinking life in prison versus the 12 years. But what are your thoughts? Let me know now. Alerted by Winkell, law enforcement pursued the van and subsequently arrested the kidnappers and freed the victim. Thank God for that. After taking the vehicle off the road with a risky maneuver. So shout out law enforcement. In addition to the prison sentences, the court ordered the three convicted kidnappers to be at least 1 million euros, which is 1.2 million in civil damages to the victim. But we all know how these civil lawsuits work. Typically no one ever pays anything. I mean, ask Alex Jones then. He's supposed to pay several billions of dollars to the families, you know, the victims of the family, etc. But my understanding is they can't force you to pay what you don't have. Hence most people probably never receive a dime, in my opinion. But you guys let me know your thoughts on that. And while holding the trio accountable, the court acknowledged that the masterminds being the kidnapped remain unidentified. Also rejected the defendant's claims that they were coerced into the crime under the threat of death. Tell it to the judge. According to the report, the case also involves a minor who is being handled separately by a juvenile court. Holy. So I guess one of the kidnappers was a minor at the time of the kidnapping. Now win Kell, a well known crypto investor and coach, runs educational platforms. His YouTube channel has 40, 000 subs, smaller presence than bitcoin, news alerts, and I even stream on the tube. And although when Kell and his wife received urgent assistance from law enforcement, the ordeal left them deeply traumatized and reportedly forced them to relocate. Yeah, that's gonna traumatize you for the rest of your life. A kidnapping. And I guess this is the guy right there. You can see the board eight right behind him. So I mean blessings to him and his family. Quoting him here, I consider myself a defender of freedom, but now I realize that safety must become an absolute priority for me and those around me. The entrepreneur also pledged to continue producing content, but with a safer approach as he shared no more contest or wallet demonstrations. Smart move. Instead focusing on education, simplification and market analysis. I'll share my experience and help others avoid such situations. So I mean, you can't be too safe out there. Just another reason to not brag about your bitcoin holdings. Because all it takes is one bad actor and all of a sudden can hit the fan. Yeah. I mean, so be safe out there fam. Be smart above all. Next story of the day. We got the kidnapping out of the way. Thank God. Next up, 1.2 trillion in profit My long term Diamond Hand Hodlers make some noise. Where yet? The crypto analytics firm Glass Node says most Bitcoin huddlers are now seeing substantial gains for their investment. In a new report, Glass Node said that a super majority of Bitcoin investors are currently huddling unrealized profit following Bitcoin's recovery to 107. That's right. And after finding firm support for the short term huddler cost basis of 98. Three, a level that often delinates local bull and their regimes, Bitcoin rebounded to 107. In fact, we almost hit 111 just yesterday during our 17 hour pump extravaganza. This move pushed the majority of the investors back into profit with total unrealized gains reaching a staggering 1.2 trillion. The dominant market behavior behavior suggests investors are unlikely to cash out the gains. The report said the current price level appears less attractive for the profit taking, but when the Bitcoin breach the three digit mark, which is the 100k milestone, quitting them again. Despite the surge in profitability, investor behavior signals a strong preference for huddling as the current market range appears insufficient to trigger significant profit taking. This is reflected in declining realized profits, a downward continued trend in liveliness, long term huddler supply climbing to the new all time high. Bitcoin's market cap, which takes into the account the digital asset circulating supply at the current price, currently sits at 2.13 trillion. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin realized cap, which values each coin at the last transacted price, is currently pegged to $958 billion. Next headline regarding the tax bill, this caught my attention because I was very disappointed when I saw they remove the zero capital gains tax on bitcoin from beautiful bill because that was the thing that got me the most excited. I thought it would have been fantastic for bitcoin adoption in America. Rep. In the usa. The red, white and blue. Then it got removed and now Senator Cynthia Lummis is proposing a standalone crypto tax bill as per the headline here. So let's discuss it and shout out Senator Lummis. She submitted a draft bill Thursday, which is yesterday, outlining several provisions to overhaul the tax code and exempt certain digital asset transactions from taxation. Amen. Taxation is theft after all, after the crypto amendments failed to appear in the budget package. That's right. The bill proposes a minute what is that? A de minimis exemption for digital asset transactions and capital gains of 300 or less with a 5,000annual exemption cap. Personally, Bitcoin is money, so there's 4 there should be zero tax whatsoever. So personally even this I'd be a little disappointed at. I don't think there should be capital gains tax regardless. If you're a thousand dollars, ten thousand, a million should be zero tax. Taxation is theft and I'm a firm believer in that. And my understanding is that for every dollar you receive, you're really only ever going to see 16 cents because of the taxes and how outrageous taxes already are. And that's not even considering hyperinflation and the devaluation of the dollar and all that, those shenanigans. But anyways, the Wyoming Senator also outlined provisions to exempt crypto lending agreements and digital assets used in charitable contributions from taxation. Additionally, the bill proposed deferring taxes on mining and staking rewards until underlying assets are sold. Well, obviously until there is a realized gain, there should be no taxes whatsoever. Quoting her here, this groundbreaking legislation is fully paid for cuts through the bureaucratic red tape and establishes common sense rules that reflect how digital technologies function in the real world. We cannot allow our architect policies to stifle the American innovation. My legislation ensures Americans can participate in the digital economy without the inadvertent tax violations. And here's a draft of the actual bill. The standalone draft bill is now the Wyoming Senator's best chance of passing the pro crypto legislation promised to the crypto community. After senators passed the spending bill without addressing digital assets, digital asset taxation has become the hot button issue on the crypto industry, with executives, investors, traders and users frustrated by the lack of clarity and tax efficiency, to say the least. In the US one major topic of contention is the tax treatment of completely decentralized finance if you went on a road trip and you didn't stop for a Big Mac or drop a crispy fry between the car seats or use your McDonald's bag as a placemat. But then that wasn't the road trip.
JV
It was just a really long drive.
Inipinator
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JV
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Inipinator
See mint mobile.com protocols and non custodial platforms where the developers do not have control over the funds or consensus rules. Now in June, the lawmakers of the House Financial Service Committee introduced the amendment of the Digital Asset Market Clarity act of 2025, the crypto market Structure bill, exempting developers of the centralized protocols from being classified as money transmitting services. This would also exempt these D5 protocols from the same tax reporting requirements as centralized exchanges and other crypto businesses employing a traditional business structure. U S lawmakers are scrambling to include the crypto provisions and the final version of the spending bill before it hits U S President Trump's desk, which will segue into our next story. Happy 4th of July to the bitty fam holding it down. Next story regarding this 150000 target and thanks to the big beautiful bill. Let's break this down and then we'll discuss plan B's 500, 000 target for the cycle. Bitcoin can gain nearly 40 after Trump signs his big beautiful bill on Independence Day. And that's right, it is today. Let me know if he actually signed it yet. Crypto market participants are eyeing a swift bitcoin price gain as Trump's massive spending bill becomes reality. That's right. Bitcoin has historically reacted extremely positive. Positively it is signals say US Borrowing will increase. Trump's big beautiful bill may be no exception as estimates see US national debt exploding to 40 trillion in 2025. To put this into perspective, at the start of 2020 the total U S debt stood at 23.2 trillion. This would mark a near 17 trillion increase in six years talk about money. Printer go. Brrr. Never in history has the US borrowed even remotely near the levels we are borrowing now. This is a crisis. I repeat this is a crisis. Stack the biddy accordingly fam as outlined right here with a big beautiful bill passing national debt is forecasted to reach 40 trillion this year. No end in sight. Definitely bullish for the bitcoin. Kabisi meanwhile shared 40 trillion figure which we just shared. Bitcoin enjoyed the added risk that increase in the U S Debt Mountain implies. YouTube account Crypto Rover said the spending bill of late 2020 subsequently gaining 38 in a matter of weeks. If the same price action were to follow the big beautiful bill, Bitcoin would end up surpassing 150 000. Obviously price discovery is currently 112 so that would be a new all time high. And I dare say easy peasy, even a bear scenario 150 should be achieved pretty effortlessly. We haven't even saw nothing yet regarding the big bull run of 2025. In my opinion my bear scenario is base case 420 for the Broskis and bull scenario 1.1 million. Let me know if you agree. Disagree REC Capital says unpopular Bitcoin opinion global M2 will continue to climb after the Bitcoin has peaked in the bull market and also this REC Capital acknowledged the M2 can continue rising. Thursday the global M2 hit a new all time high of more than $55 trillion. So you already know fam many bullish indicators for the biddy. And let's not forget the most bullish Bitcoin indicator of all time, the Nipinator indicator. The only Bitcoin indicator with 100 accuracy. So shout out to the Nip now for our feature story of the day. Plan B creator of the Bitcoin stock to flow models predicting a 500000 Bitcoin price on average between now and 2028. So let's break this baby down and shut out Plan B. And of course Nipinator with the Nipinator indicator. Let's actually start with the tweet he just shared plan B wrote FYI I I still believe that Bitcoin's average price will be 5 million which is 500,000 per coin this having cycle between 2024 and 2028. Note that the stock to flow prediction is very rough obviously because the prediction is made only using scarcity stock to flow ratio with a 25 million to 1 million range which is 250,000 to 1 million. So 3 million or.6 million average would also be Fine. And he's ultimately reiterating last year's prediction made on May 7, 2024. Literally one year ago, practically average Bitcoin price 2020 to 2024 having cycle was 34000 a bit below the 2019 stock to float prediction of 55 GS. And I remind you one year ago today we were trading 50000 less from the current price action. So count your blessings. But still in the normal range 4000 when the prediction was made refit for the stock to flow with. The new data as outlined below show similar parameters of results. 0.5 million between 2024 and 2028 and 4 million per bitcoin between 2028 and 2032.
JV
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Inipinator
I mean that's pretty exciting to hear. And here's some of the numbers he shared and here's the original tweet and the proof of work and shout out to the stock the flow. I mean here's a great post as well from bit Harrington. Having one average was 500 check. Having two to the third having the average was 5,000 check. Having three to having four. The average was 50,000. Now having four to having five, will it be 500,000? Another another 10x gain? I mean that's basically the pattern 10x 10x 10x 10x. You guys let me know your thoughts regarding the stock to flow and let's dive a little deeper, deeper here. Plan B reinforced the prediction of 500000 Bitcoin by 2028 made in May based on the Bitcoin 4 year having cycle, which is another topic of conversation. Do you think we're still going to get the four year cyclical cycle as we know it or do you think that's off the table and things have changed since. The institutions, the governments, the sovereign wealth funds and all the things that have changed as of last year when the ETS went live. January 2024 institutional adoption institutional FOMO like a MoFo. Let me know the 20202024 cycle went against a price prediction of 55 G's to only reached 34,000 which was unexpectedly close given the market's performance as well as the bitcoin volatility. Let's not forget we also had no vid early 2020. That's why it crashed to the 3,4000 range. Hopefully you packed B picked up some stats on the low this time around. Plan B projected a bitcoin price should push between 250,000 thousand and a million per coin. Let me know if you agree Disagree. So an average outcome of 400000 to 600 000. That's actually right in alignment with my prediction for the cycle peak. As you know I said my base case is a 420 for the Broskis and so between 400 600, 000. Send it and let's get it. Plan B's prediction relies on the stock to flow model. Let me know if you're familiar with it. We've covered it at least 30, 40, 50 times here in the podcast which assesses Bitcoin's potential price by dividing the Bitcoin current stock by the annual FL stock to flow and based on the data supply demand, the price prediction should be fairly accurate, especially based on the Bitcoin past performance. Based on the stock to flow model, the bitcoin value should theoretically go up which each having due to the increase in scarcity. Quoting them here, this model treats Bitcoin as being comparable to commodities such as gold, silver or platinum. These are known as stores of value commodities because they retain value over the long time frames due to their relative scarcity. And speaking of scarcity, want to know something? Bitcoin's perfect money because it's the only money in human history that we know of. With absolute scarcity there can only ever be 21 million Bitcoin in existence. Guess what Fiat? They just continue to print trillions out of thin air. Hence the 40 trillion dollar deficit we've gotten ourselves into which will soon be this year according to the analysts. As the money printer go Brrr. And also though there's probably 5 or 6 million Bitcoin, I like to use the term stalemated because I'm a chess player, which means they'll never move because 1.1 million belong to Satoshi Wallet, which is more than 3% of the supply. And then we have all the other bitcoin lost and gone forever sitting at, you know, dumps. You know, people who threw out their bitcoin didn't know any better because back then it was literally worthless. We hear these stories all the time. More and more people are going to continue to lose their bitcoin. You know, I mean, maybe some people died unexpectedly due to the COVID poison jab and they don't properly secure their keys to leave it to their, you know, future hairs. That's lost and gone forever as well. So I'm here to tell you there's probably only ever going to be 14, 15 million bitcoin in circulation ever. That's absolute scarcity. Guess what? The second biggest cryptocurrency is no different than fiat money. They can continue to print it. If you look at the supply dynamics, max supply according to coin market cap for ether infinity, they actually use an infinity sign. So there is no second best. And all of these fiat currencies and commodities are trending to zero against bitcoin. That includes all cryptocurrencies including gold being demonetized, silver, platinum and talking real estate. And I'm going to show you the ultimate example of what I'm talking about because sometimes a picture speaks volumes, if you know what I'm saying. Check this out. I love this one. The average home in America in 2016 was 680Btc. The average home literally nine years later in 2025, three and a half BTC. So Bitcoin is literally demonetizing real estate and all assets, commodities, securities, etc in real time. And it's only going to continue to be this way next cycle maybe it'll be a half a bitcoin for the average home, a few more having cycles. Point five, you know what I mean? Maybe 0.01 Bitcoin, we don't know. The truth is bitcoin has no top because fiat, Fiat has no bottom. And speaking of fiat, I love this meme, what's bitcoin nutshot to the Fiat and that's precisely what's happening. And expect the dollar to collapse according to Max Kaiser. Those are featured topic of conversation yesterday. Max says by the time bitcoin hits 300000 per coin, fiat such as the US dollar, the king of all fiat crap, Ponzi scheme, Monopoly money, Tulip mania will fall apart. It'll be the death of the dollar, which he prophesies and decades ago. But you guys, let me know your thoughts and do you think the prediction from Plan B with the stock to flow an average of 500000 to a million per coin between now 2024 and 2028? Holla at your boy. Let me know and I'll read your comments out loud. Happy Freedom Day. Happy 4th of July, happy TGIF and stack sats accordingly. And let's have a good conversation here. I'm going to stick around for a bonus hour and we're going to celebrate the red, white and blue and the bitty. How many bitcoin will there ever be? 21 million is 276 cubed 1.1 million original Satoshi Wallace never moved 3.6 million permanently lost 1 million yet to be mine so 14 million Bitcoin in circulation. Get your SATs right now and don't forget to check out bitcoin news alerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.
Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC News – Episode 2041 Summary
Title: PlanB Predicts Average Bitcoin Price Will Be $500,000 This Halving Cycle
Host: Justin Verrengia
Release Date: July 4, 2025
In Episode 2041 of "Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC News," host Justin Verrengia, known as JV, alongside co-host Inipinator, delves into a spectrum of pivotal Bitcoin developments. Celebrating Independence Day, the duo offers insightful analysis on Bitcoin's technical trends, significant market movements, regulatory updates, and bold price predictions that shape the cryptocurrency landscape.
Bitcoin Market Movement
Current Status: Bitcoin is experiencing a slight dip, down 2% for the day, presenting a potential Buy The Dip (BTFD) opportunity reminiscent of last year's market conditions. Ether is also down by 4%, indicating a broader market correction.
"Bitcoin down roughly 2% on the day. A great BTFD opportunity." — JV [04:54]
Market Capitalization: The total crypto market cap stands at $3.31 trillion, with Bitcoin dominating at $2.141 trillion. The 24-hour trading volume is approximately $98 billion.
Dominance Metrics: Bitcoin's dominance currently sits at 64.7%, while Ether holds 9.1%. JV poses a question to listeners about the potential rise in Bitcoin dominance, speculating whether it might reclaim the 70% mark.
"Do you think we'll reclaim the 70 poll position?" — JV [06:30]
Weekly and Monthly Insights
Weekly Perspective: Zooming out, the weekly charts show a majority of the market in the green, whereas the monthly view reveals a more tempered outlook with significant corrections across major cryptocurrencies, including Trump Coin, Zcash, and Cardano.
Yearly Perspective: Over the past year, nearly all cryptocurrencies have experienced massive corrections. Notable gainers include XRP up 375%, Monero up 90%, and Sui surging by 266%.
Dormant Wallet Activity Sparks Speculation
Resurrection of a Satoshi Era Wallet: A dormant Bitcoin wallet, presumed to belong to a Bitcoin OG or possibly Roger Ver, has been reactivated, transferring approximately 4.35 billion BTC. This staggering movement has stirred speculation about the wallet's owner, with theories ranging from Satoshi Nakamoto himself to prominent early adopters like Roger Ver.
"A Bitcoin OG holding at least 80,000 Bitcoin which is almost $9 billion... transferred out 40,000 BTC worth $4.35 billion today." — Inipinator [09:20]
Market Reaction: The sudden transfer has led to market nervousness, evident in the Bitcoin price dipping below the key 108 level. Experts suggest this could trigger liquidations of high-leverage positions, contributing to the current market correction.
"Bitcoin slip beneath the key 108 level... markets clearly are nervous." — Inipinator [06:50]
Belgian Court Sentences Kidnappers of Crypto Investor's Wife
Legal Outcome: A Belgian court has sentenced three individuals to 12 years in prison for the kidnapping of Stephanie Winkle's wife, a prominent crypto investor. The kidnappers, linked to drug trafficking and money laundering, abducted her outside her home in December 2024, demanding ransom in cryptocurrency.
"The Belgian court sentenced three people for their roles in the crypto-related kidnapping... demanding a ransom in cryptocurrency." — Inipinator [17:10]
Impact on the Community: This incident underscores the increasing risks associated with high-profile cryptocurrency holders, emphasizing the need for enhanced security measures.
"Just another reason to not brag about your bitcoin holdings." — JV [18:00]
1.2 Trillion in Unlocked Bitcoin Profits
Glass Node Report: According to Glass Node, a significant majority of Bitcoin holders are currently sitting on unrealized profits totaling $1.2 trillion. This surge is attributed to Bitcoin's rebound to the $107 level, pushing many investors into profitable territory.
"Total unrealized gains reaching a staggering 1.2 trillion." — Inipinator [19:40]
Investor Behavior: The report suggests that most investors are reluctant to cash out these gains, preferring to "hodl" despite the current market corrections. The declining trend in realized profits and an increase in long-term hodler supply indicate strong confidence in Bitcoin's long-term prospects.
Senator Cynthia Lummis Proposes Standalone Crypto Tax Bill
Legislative Proposal: U.S. Senator Cynthia Lummis has introduced a draft bill aimed at overhauling the federal tax code concerning digital assets. The bill seeks to exempt certain crypto transactions from taxation, including:
De Minimis Exemption: Exempts digital asset transactions and capital gains of $300 or less, with an annual cap of $5,000.
Exemptions for Crypto Lending and Charitable Contributions: Proposes tax exemptions for crypto lending agreements and digital assets donated to charities.
Deferral of Taxes on Mining and Staking: Suggests delaying taxes on mining and staking rewards until the underlying assets are sold.
"This groundbreaking legislation is fully paid for... reflects how digital technologies function in the real world." — Senator Cynthia Lummis [20:10]
Community Reaction: While the crypto community welcomes the move towards clearer regulations, there is disappointment over the removal of the zero capital gains tax proposal, which many believed would significantly boost Bitcoin adoption in the U.S.
"Personally, I think there should be zero tax whatsoever." — JV [21:00]
House Financial Services Committee Amendment
Exemption for Developers: An amendment to the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act of 2025 seeks to exclude developers of centralized protocols from being classified as money transmitters, alleviating tax reporting requirements similar to those for centralized exchanges.
"This would also exempt these D5 protocols from the same tax reporting requirements as centralized exchanges." — Inipinator [22:35]
Bitcoin Could Reach $150,000 Fueled by Trump's Big Bill
Market Expectations: With President Trump's large-scale spending bill poised to pass, Bitcoin enthusiasts anticipate a significant price increase. Historical data suggests that similar fiscal policies have led to substantial Bitcoin gains, with some analysts forecasting Bitcoin to hit $150,000 within a few weeks.
"Bitcoin can gain nearly 40% after Trump signs his big beautiful bill on Independence Day." — Inipinator [23:10]
National Debt Implications: The projected increase in U.S. national debt to $40 trillion by the end of 2025 is seen as a bullish indicator for Bitcoin, as it highlights the currency's attractiveness as a hedge against fiat currency devaluation.
PlanB’s Prediction: Bitcoin Averaging $500,000 by 2028
Stock-to-Flow Model: Renowned crypto analyst PlanB reaffirmed his bullish stance, predicting an average Bitcoin price of $500,000 within the current halving cycle (2024–2028). This prediction is based on the Stock-to-Flow (S2F) model, which assesses Bitcoin's scarcity by dividing its current stock by the annual flow (new supply).
"I still believe that Bitcoin's average price will be $500,000 per coin this halving cycle between 2024 and 2028." — PlanB [26:30]
Historical Context: Reflecting on past predictions, PlanB noted that last year's forecast aligned closely with Bitcoin's performance, reinforcing confidence in his model despite market volatility.
"Based on the Stock-to-Flow model, Bitcoin value should theoretically go up which each halving due to the increase in scarcity." — JV [27:15]
Future Projections: Extending beyond 2028, PlanB envisions Bitcoin potentially reaching $4 million per coin by 2032, emphasizing its role as a superior store of value compared to traditional fiat currencies and other cryptocurrencies.
"Bitcoin is the only money in human history that we know of with absolute scarcity." — JV [28:10]
NIPINATOR Indicator and Additional Analytics
Accuracy Claims: The NIPINATOR indicator, touted as having 100% accuracy, continues to be a key tool featured in the analysis, supporting the optimistic price forecasts.
"Rec Capital acknowledges the M2 can continue rising... the Nipinator indicator remains bullish." — JV [24:50]
Episode 2041 of "Bitcoin News Alerts" presents a comprehensive overview of the current state and future prospects of Bitcoin. From significant market movements and regulatory developments to ambitious price predictions, both hosts JV and Inipinator provide listeners with valuable insights into the cryptocurrency's evolving landscape. Celebrating Independence Day, the episode underscores the importance of Bitcoin as a form of financial sovereignty, urging listeners to "HODL" and stay informed through premium content.
For a deeper dive into these topics and more, tune into the full episode on BitcoinNewsAlerts.net.
Notable Quotes:
"This move pushed the majority of the investors back into profit with total unrealized gains reaching a staggering 1.2 trillion." — Inipinator [19:40]
"Bitcoin is literally demonetizing real estate and all assets, commodities, securities, etc., in real time." — JV [26:50]
"We cannot allow our architect policies to stifle the American innovation." — Senator Cynthia Lummis [20:10]
Stay Connected:
Join the Conversation: Share your thoughts on Bitcoin’s future and PlanB’s predictions on social media using the hashtag #HODL.
This summary captures the essence of Episode 2041, highlighting key discussions, insights, and forward-looking statements that shape the Bitcoin narrative in mid-2025.