
A groundbreaking new Supply & Demand Model projects Bitcoin could surge to $10,000,000 in less than 6 years and hit $20,000,000 within a decade - a staggering 17,000% gain from today’s price. We break down how this model works, the forces...
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JV
In today's show, I'll be breaking down the latest bitcoin analysis as we're on the cusp of reentering price discovery. Also record 37 trillion US debt and M2 money growth set the stage for the next leg up of 132,000 for the Bitcoin price action. Also, 6 billion is about to get liquidated in bitcoin shorts as soon as we smash 125,000 full send it. Also breaking news, Max Kaiser just enlisted me in the 24. 7 toxic Bitcoin maximalist spaces channel which can be found@orange pill.net this isn't a podcast, it's the global hash war Command Demand center where fiat states collapse live on air and bitcoin supremacy gets broadcast to the world 24. 7 Wall street and Central banks. We're not here to negotiate, we're here to take over. Also Bitcoin institutional volume hit 75% on Coinbase and a new Bitcoin price signal. We'll also be discussing meta Planet outperforming Japan's most liquid blue chip stocks in 2025 as well as BitGo back Central Asia's first spot Bitcoin ETF in Kagan. The global hash war is here. Also the Trumpsters crypto ventures yield him 2.4 billion since 2022. I'll be breaking down this latest report and Dennis Porter I'll be breaking down this latest report and Dennis Porter shared. You need to read this. A new paper using the supply and demand model shows that the bitcoin price can reach $10 million per coin in less than six years and 20 million.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Per coin in 10 years.
JV
That bullish case would result in nearly 17,000% increase in price.
T Mobile Representative
1.
JV
Also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more in today's show. If you're new to the Rumble, very.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Important to smash the likes and give us a follow and then hit the repost on X. We stream live two hours every day. And this is Pod episode 277.
JV
I'm your host JV. It's August 13th, 2025 alongside my co.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Host Fed chair Nipinator.
JV
The entire crypt markets pumping new all time high. And also the bitcoin market cap is a new all time high. And we're on the cusp of hitting price discovery. We were above 122 this morning within $1,200 from a new all time high. It may happen. During today's live stream we'll be looking out for the Nipinator indicator, the number one Bitcoin indicator, the only one with 100% accuracy. And with that being shared, let's kick it off with our market watch as we do every day.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Everything in the green ether.
JV
Look at that. We ain't seen price action like this for ether since 2021. It's literally $100 away from hitting an all time high and that ultimately is like giving permission for the rest of the alts to have a nice run up. Even bitcoin's doing its thing again this morning I saw it above122. We're currently121.5 at the time of the live stream as per coin360. And checking out coinmarketcap.com we did hit a new all time high crypto market cap. It's currently 4.12 trillion which is fantastic. Bitcoin market cap all time 2.421 trillion. Almost 250 billion worth of volume of the past 24 hours, which is pretty epic. And the bitcoin dominance coming in today.
Fed Chair Nipinator
58.7% with the ether dominance at 13.8%.
JV
Checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. OKB leading the pack. I don't know why it's up 117%.
Fed Chair Nipinator
On the day, but that is massive.
JV
That's a obviously a big exchange. So something's going on there. Arbitrom up 16% and fart coin up 12 and a half percent. Which alts if any are you bullish on? For the bull do let me know. And checking out the crypto bubbles, we'll get a visual perspective on the day.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Virtually everything pumping and in the green. And again, OKB clearly has pulled position up 118% for whatever reason. I don't know, that's a pretty impressive gain on a on the day. Holy moly. And check it out. Actually let's pan it out. Let's go to the weekly very similar. Virtually everything in the green. Zoom it out on the monthly almost everything in the green Zooming out for the yearly kind of almost everything in the green. I'd say 90ish. And checking out the Crypto Greed and Fear index. Let's see where we're ranking today. I would imagine it's higher up. Only a 73. That gives us more room as the higher that goes in extreme greed the more likely of a pullback that means we have more room to run up. So that's actually good. Yesterday was a 68, last week of 54 and last month of 74. Once we hit 75 that's extreme greed territory. And checking out the infamous time chain calendar JV block height today 909, 862.
JV
And.
Fed Chair Nipinator
We have 140138 blocks into the having a 2028. The last block shows 3 hours and 19 minutes ago and the average for.
JV
The week is 10 minutes and 32 seconds. Of course the target's always 10 minutes. Tick tock next block. And as of today August 13, 2025 you can exchange one fiat monopoly dollar for 822 sats. So you know precisely what to do. Pick up the stats, put down those gats and pick up some bitcoin chaps. Anyways, let's dive into today's TA aka Astrology for the Baddies headline here. Record 37 trillion U S debt and M2 money growth set the stage for 132000 next leg up for the bitcoin price and also that big beautiful bill that Trump signed. I know they propose spending like another 3 trillion. That's going to bring that U S.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Debt to above 40 trillion just FYI.
JV
But yeah, the US federal debt has reached a record 37 trillion, adding fuel to calls that rising deficits and potential money supply growth may underpin a bitcoin.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Rally to 132,000 by year's end. Thanks to the one big beautiful bill.
JV
Act, the debt just officially passed the 37 trillion mark. The US deficit has risen to the largest record high a month after President.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Trump signed the One Big Beautiful Big act into law July 4, which he said could cut as much as 1.6.
JV
Trillion in federal spending.
Fed Chair Nipinator
But ironic they have to spend 3 trillion to cut the 1.6. I guess I just don't get it. But anyways, analysts said swelling deficits can eventually prompt looser policy, including quantitative easing.
JV
Which is a large scale bond purchased.
Fed Chair Nipinator
By central banks that inject liquidity into the financial system. I mean just look at that number 1, 2, 3, 4 commas for Christ's sake.
Elena
That's nuts.
JV
Now U.S. treasury data shows that the U.S. debt soared from 26.7 trillion in 2020 to over 37 trillion which is a 30% increase in five years. Bitcoin rose over 925% during the same period with its historic price growth directly correlated with U. S debt. And ultimately this will impact the American monetary system as a considerable amount of cash will be deployed into servicing this debt. The more the debt grows, the higher the likelihood of a bitcoin price soaring to new highs. And that's precisely what we've been witnessing all year and most likely going to continue to witness throughout the rest of the year. Just saying if we have the extended cycle we can expect to witness it in 2026 to the as well. But moreover, US government may also start exploring Bitcoin to fix the ma massive national debt, adding that the odds are stacked in favor for the BTC. Also Elon criticized the spending bill on June 5, warning that it would increase the deficit to 2 1/2 trillion. Servicing the debt may also lead to an increase in them to money supply which could be the next significant catalyst for the bitty. Based on this correlation with BTC, the growing money supply can push Bitcoin above 132. My response? Send it before the end of the year.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Oh easy peasy.
JV
We're going to be in the 200,000 range according to the NIP NATOR indicator, the most accurate bitcoin indicator in existence. But what are your thoughts on that? Do let me know now. The rising inflation increase out of the M2 money supply may catalyze Bitcoin's rally to the 132 high. Obviously here soon and still the estimate remains modest compared to other perspectives by the OGs. Arthur Hay is a BitMax calling for 250,000. Of course we got Samson Max lets.
Elena
Map out this week's amazing destinations and travel tips.
Will
Honestly Will, I didn't plan any trips but I did switch to T Mobile with their new Family Freedom offer.
JV
That's not the itinerary we're following.
Will
Well I'm departing from ATT and embarking on a new journey with T Mobile. They paid off my family's four phones up to $3200 and gave us four new phones on the house.
JV
Bon voyage.
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JV
Short term and then we can hit a million in a violent upheaval. According to his own words, shout out Jan3's Samson Mao. But you guys already know and as Vivek point out here there's 6 billion worth of Bitcoin shorts which are on the cusp of being liquidated at 125 000. So as soon as we smash 125 the shorts get wrecked. Hence you can't short, you dork. We can't afford that. And breaking news. Check this out. Max Kaiser tweeted:20 hours ago, I'm organizing a24.7 toxic Bitcoin maximalist spaces channel. Make sure to follow this account, it's Orange pill net. Give it a follow. This is where we're going to do the 24 hour live streaming. And so naturally I had to represent. I wrote Max Kaiser just enlisted me into the 24. 7 toxic Bitcoin maximalist spaces channel which is Orange pill Net. This isn't a pod, this is the global hash war command center where fiat states collapse live on air and bitcoin supremacy gets broadcast to the world. 24, 7 Wall street and central banks.
Fed Chair Nipinator
We're not here to negotiate, we're here to take over.
JV
Also Max reached out to me yesterday letting me know at the conference in January for the Max and Stacy Invitational. Guess what? They're going to have a live streaming booth.
Fed Chair Nipinator
So I'm going to be live streaming from the live event and it's going to be awesome. And if you don't know now you know. Next up we'll be discussing institutional volume hitting 75% on Coinbase, which is the largest exchange at least here in the United States.
JV
Institutional fomo like a mof, know what I mean?
Fed Chair Nipinator
But yeah, bitcoin due for fresh gains within a week as institute I dare say this week we're going to have a new all time high. We're so close, we're like a 15 Honda away so just send it. But these analysts agree.
JV
Charles Edwards, founder of quantitative digital asset.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Fund Capriole Investments, pointed to the booming outflows from U S Exchange, Coinbase Bitcoin.
JV
Is once more target for institutional buyers.
Fed Chair Nipinator
As US inflation cools and markets see lower interest rates next month. Capriole data showed that on Tuesday 75% of the Coinbase volume came from the institutional players quitting them here. All reading above 75% have seen higher prices one week later. Now Capriole calculates institutional excess demand this week at 600% of the number of the roughly 450 BTC mine daily.
JV
There's really not that much Bitcoin in the grand scheme of things. Bitcoin treasuries alone added 810 bitcoin to their holdings on Tuesday. That's has double the minted supply on the day. And that's just Treasuries bro. With Monday's tally even larger at nearly 3,000. So how many times does 4 go into 3,000? 4? 8?
Fed Chair Nipinator
12?
JV
6? 2024? That's like 7, 8 times more Bitcoin being scooped up by the institutions than the minted supply. If that doesn't hint mother of all supply shocks. I mean come on now. The move accompanied lower than expected CPI data for July. The bitcoin price push towards all time highs. Asked why institutions went crazy as a result drew specific attention to the outlook for the interest rates. Quoting them here because yesterday inflation was as expected, which means it's a certainty and the Fed will cut the rates next month and probably three times this year. Market is now excess and possibility of a large half a percent cut even given the poor job backdrop. Rates down equals risk, assets up and Bitcoin is the fastest horse historically. That's right. You can't short your dork. We can't afford that now. The latest data from the CME Group Fed Watch Tool shows markets overwhelmingly intended to anticipating a quarter percent cut in September. Market implied cuts for 2025 were unchanged following the release with the price still reflecting around 60bps of the rate cuts. Quoting the CPI data here. The terminal rate has also held steady despite the softer labor market expectations for a more dovish fed chair in 2026. The only fed chair we need, his.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Name is Nipinator and he's already here.
JV
But anyways quoting them again futures positioning suggests investors see 3% of the Fed floor in 2026. The Fed's floor. You guys let me know if you agree or disagree and what's your thoughts.
Fed Chair Nipinator
On these interest rates?
JV
Without further ado regarding the Japanese micro strategy. That's right, Meta Planet outperforms Japan's most.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Liquid blue chip stocks this year.
JV
Meta Planet making big moves the Bitcoin focused investment company Meta planet surged almost 190% thus far year to date, leaving Japan's largest most liquid blue chip companies in the wake. On Wednesday, Metap Planet, and that's today.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Nine hours ago released the earnings report.
JV
For the second quarter of this year. The report showed the company's year to date performance dwarfed the 7.2% average gain posted by the Tokyo Stock Price Index Core 30, a benchmark tracking giants like Toyota, Sony and Misubishi Heavy Industries. Meta Planet standout performance in 2025 comes amid the aggressive bitcoin pivot. With the Tokyo listed company expanding its treasury through regular phases, investors are placing bets on Meta Planet's bitcoin strategy paying off and according to the report, the number of Meta Planet shareholders climbed to.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Over 180000 as of June 2025, up.
JV
350% since it started its Bitcoin accumulation strategy in the fourth quarter of 2024. And this chart says it all.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Growth and Meta Planet shareholders look for June 25th. Just massive unprecedented growth and every single month it's just increasing the Meta Planet shareholders by thousand which is pretty amazing.
JV
Apart from the Meta Planet outperforming the.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Average gain by the index, the company also surpassed the performance of popular individual stocks. The report showed Meta Planet's year to day gains exceed even the top performing top picks core 30 including Mitsubishi, Nintendo and Softbank Group.
JV
Now Mario is all salty these.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Com and Yoshi as well. These companies posted double digigit gains throughout the same time period but still still lag behind Meta Planet by a wide margin. Other index members like Japan Japan Tobacco, Mizuo Financial Group and Tokyo Marine holdings posted modest gains. Some companies like Toyota and Marata showed slight declines highlighting a gap in market sentiment and founded as a hospitality company, Meta Planet rebranded itself smart move in 2024 as a Bitcoin accumulation vehicle genius mimicking the playbook of Sailor and according to the company, it remains the only firm offering regulated bitcoin exposure in Japan with a public company framework. I mean they got the first movers advantage in Japan, hence we're referring to it as the the Japanese strategy B Now Meta planet to raise another 3.7 billion to buy more of the biddy following in the Sailor playbook Meta Planet previously announced aim to acquire 1% of the total supply by 2027. This means the company plans to purchase 210000 Bitcoin over the next two years. What is that 105000 per year on average for the next couple the help achieve this particular goal. The company announced August 1st it'll raise 3.7 billion through the stock offering again following the sailor put and in August the company already spent over 100 million buying up the biddy. On August 4th, Meta Planet purchased 463 BTC for 53.7 million and the company followed up with 61.4 million Bitcoin purchase on Tuesday. And of course Tim Draper, the billionaire venture capitalist is calling for 250,000 this year. Let me know if you agree or disagree with the og this is big.
JV
News coming out of Central Asia Bitgo back Central Asia's first spot Bitcoin ETF in Kagistan and later I'll share with you why I believe this is super significant. But first I'm going to read you the story. BitCo, the US regulated crypto custodian will safeguard assets for Central Asia's first spot Bitcoin ETF, which debuted Wednesday on the Asana International Exchange in Kagastan. Now that word is also an anagram for Satan, but like I said, I'll save the conspiracy theories for later. The Astana International Exchange is a stock exchange operating within the Astana International let's.
Will
Analyze this week's tech innovations and startup moves.
Elena
Honestly Elena, I didn't track the updates, but I did switch to T Mobile with their new Family Freedom offer.
Will
That's not the disruption we're covering.
Elena
Well, I'm pivoting from AT&T and scaling up with T Mobile. They paid off my family's four phones up to $3200 and gave us four.
Will
New phones on the house Unicorn status.
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JV
Framework announced the listing of the F Bitcoin Exchange Traded Fund. The the kicker or ticker is betf, managed by AIFC registered Asset Manager Fonte Capital. BETF offers indirect investment access to Bitcoin and a wide range of investors, including retail participants. The BETF fund is physically backed by Bitcoin, held in custody of Bitgo Trust, a US based subsidiary of Bitco, which is known for providing Bitcoin custody to major U.S. bitcoin, et cetera, ETF issuers including ARC invests. Of course, that's Cathie Woods Co. BitGo's involvement in Fonte Capital issues. Bobby going ETF marks the first time for the platform to provide institutional grade Bitcoin access to investors in Central Asia, the company said in their statement on X Kazan is entering the new era for digital assets, according to the company, adding it'll offer its custody services through secure US Regulated cold storage. Here's the official announcement from Bitco Kakistan entering a new era for digital assets Fonte Capital introducing Central Asia's first BoP on the Asana International Exchange. The BETF Fund is physically backed by Bitcoin with custody from the Bitco Trust and all those secure U S regulated cold storage. Bitco is helping deliver institutional grade Bitcoin access to investors in the region for the very first time. And while Bitgo publicly acknowledged the role of the new Spot Bitcoin etf, neither Fonte Capital nor Astana International Exchange mentioned the custodian in their announcement, so we'll keep you posted. BIT goes right Role as a double edged sword the growing role of platforms like Bitco in the spot Bitcoin products worldwide as a double edged sword, according.
Fed Chair Nipinator
To Shady L. Demanti, digital identity inventor and co founder of Human Tech. Interesting.
JV
On one hand you're getting institutional grade.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Custody right out of the gate, which.
JV
Matters for investor confidence. On the other hand, it highlights how concentrated this layer of infrastructure is. He also highlighted the growing needle for.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Local crypto products in developing markets, suggesting.
JV
Relying on a single global player isn't.
Fed Chair Nipinator
A long term solution and I do agree with that.
JV
But it still gets products like spot.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Bitcoin ETFS to market faster. Makes a good point. BO's involvement gives Kagistan an instant credibility boost, quoting them here. Ideally, countries should be working towards building local custodians that meet the same security standards. That way you're not just important financial infrastructure, you are growing it at home. Given the market bull sovereignty and resilience, how will this impact the market? Well, founded in 2017, AIX, backed by.
JV
The AIFC, the Shanghai Stock Exchange and.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Silk Road Fund and NASDAQ handle 130 million in monthly trades as of July of this year and AIX volumes are modest compared to the giants like the Nasdaq which saw 73 billion in European equity trades just last month. The BET or the BETF launch is significant, providing regulated Bitcoin access to investors who have historically been excluded. So yeah, more institutional fomo like a mofo. And as you know there's a lot of wealth especially in Asia and Kakistan and specifically is very significant. And I'll again I'll save the conspiracy theories for the Q A.
JV
According to this headline, Trump's crypto ventures yield $2.4 billion since 2022. There was a report just published. I'll be giving you the highlights here. Trump gained roughly 2.4 billion from his crypto related ventures since entering this space three years ago in 2022. According to the New Yorker. The gain show a diversification of the Trump family crypto income streams and raised new concerns for the commander in chief.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Overseeing the industry's regulation in the U.S.
JV
According to the report, Trump gained an.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Estimated 14.4 million from his NFT collections.
JV
Remember the mug shot collection? 412412 million from token sales via World.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Liberty Financial, 243 million from crypto deals with the the UAE 13 million from Bitcoin mining company American Bitcoin and 1.3 billion from Bitcoin treasury company Trump Media and Technology Group and she's and 385 million from the official Trump meme coin. Obviously Trump is a serial entrepreneur and serial crypto guy. I mean to say the least. Overall, crypto ventures account for for 43.
JV
And a half percent of the known personal wealth. That's almost half his wealth as he has accumulated during his political career, according to the report.
Fed Chair Nipinator
However, it's important to note that while these ventures are linked to Trump, they may not reflect his direct involvement as operations are often managed by advisors and family members. Well, naturally, right? I dare say it's the Trump family. Collectively, the shift is noteworthy, giving Trump's early skepticism towards the crypto industry. In fact, back in 2019 he publicly.
JV
Criticized criticized cryptos for their price volatility.
Fed Chair Nipinator
And raised concerns about the potential use in illegal activities. That's right, he was fighting bitcoin because he said it undermines the value of the dollar and his job as president is to, you know, make sure the dollar is strong. And then he reversed his stance when.
JV
He was running for president.
Fed Chair Nipinator
More recently, Trump's crypto ventures raised new.
JV
Conflicts of interest concerns.
Fed Chair Nipinator
Democratic lawmakers pushed the issue before holding protests about the President's meme coin and his USD1 stablecoin such as Cynthia what is her name? Senator Warren. In addition, they have called for investigations and possible impeachment, even though that seems unlikely given Republican control legislature. After the Trump announced dinner at Washington, D.C. for the largest holders of the Meme coin. In May, two Democratic senators responded warning that the offer of such access could potentially vi violate several federal ethic laws and constitutional provisions, including the federal bribery statue and M aluments clauses of the US Constitution, quoting them here. It also raises the troubling prospect that foreign actors are using a meme coin as a vector to buy influence with President Trump. Justin's son comes to mind and his associates without needing to disclose their identities publicly. According to the senators, under the Trump admin, various government agencies have changed their instances towards the crypto industry. For example, the SEC dropped investigations or pending enforcement actions against many crypto companies. Kraken, Coinbase, Uniswap, you name it.
JV
And there has been a push to.
Fed Chair Nipinator
End the banking of crypto firms across the country and hopefully that is soon as we hear there's still speculation that.
JV
There'S still a war on crypto because many of these big banks are targeting crypto firms. So hopefully all that changes here soon now that we got a pro crypto administration for the US for the first time in US history, which is a big deal. Now for our featured story of the day. Dennis Porter brought to my attention. He wrote you need to read this. A new paper using the supply and demand model shows that bitcoin can reach 10 million per coin in less than six years and 20 million per coin in 10 years. That bullish case would result in nearly 17,000% increase of the bitcoin price. So let's break this down. I did download the 42 page report, you guys can do the same. But I'm just going to read to you the abstract which is the gist and also show you one of the charts so you can see the particular model and shout out Dennis Porter for this of course. And but anyways it was published here and there is a link to download the actual PDF document. But I'm just going to again read this to you. It says Bitcoin Supply, Demand and Price Dynamics. It's a 47 page report. It was just posted just recently on August 12th, which is yesterday actually. Satoshi Action Education, Marie Rudd and Dennis Porter of the Satoshi Action Fund. So yeah, it was actually written on August 10th. It was published on this website on the 12th just FYI. So this is brand new. We've never read it before, we've never entertained it and it's a brand new model. So let's break it down. Here's the abstract track. In this research report we develop a bottom up quantity clearing model of the bitcoin price formation that couples it with fixed 21 million coin cap with plausible demand growth and execution behavior. The model relies solely on first principle economic supply and demand dynamics, rather than assumptions about Bitcoin price appreciation, its historical price trend, or its potential effectiveness in demonetizing other asset classes. To estimate Bitcoin price and market cap.
Fed Chair Nipinator
We'Ve considered five key variables. Number one market demand shifts, intertemporal investment.
JV
Preferences, withdrawal sensitivity, initial liquid supply, and.
Fed Chair Nipinator
The daily withdrawal levels from the liquid supply. A Monte Carlo simulation that randomly sampled across all five variables found a 75% likelihood the Bitcoin price will exceed 4.81 million in US dollars by April of of 2036. Again, Bitcoin will surpass 4.81 million by April of 2036. Generally, prices from the low single millions to the low tens of millions per coin by 2036 emerge under broad parameter sets hyperbolic paths. The higher price levels are relatively rare and concentrate when liquid supply falls near or below 2 million. Bitcoin and withdrawal sensitivity is low let's.
Will
Analyze this week's tech innovations and startup moves.
Elena
Honestly Elena, I didn't track the updates but I did switch to T Mobile with their new Family Freedom offer.
Will
That's not the disruption we're covering.
Elena
Well, I'm pivoting from AT&T and scaling up with T Mobile. They paid off my family's four phones up to $3200 and gave us four.
Will
New phones on the house unicorn status.
T Mobile Representative
Introducing Family Freedom Our lowest cost will switch our biggest family savings all on America's largest 5G network. Visit your local T Mobile location or learn more@t mobile.com FamilyFreedom up to $800.
Per line via virtual prepaid card typically takes 15 days. Free phones via 24 monthly bill credits with finance agreement eg Apple iPhone16128GB8299 Eligible trade in eg iPhone11 Pro for well qualified credits end and balance due if you pay off early or cancel contact.
Fed Chair Nipinator
T Mobile Cross model triangulation shows alignment with forecasts from Instit solutions at the cutting edge of the bitcoin investing. We identify measurable state variables and policy neutral levers time to threshold metrics, withdrawal sensitivity estimation encumbrance mapping that could help better locate where the right tail risk concentrates and steer trajectories towards steep but bounded price appreciations. Now I'm gonna actually go to the post with the chart and I'm going to share with you with you this and I'll read This figure out loud.
JV
To you as well.
Fed Chair Nipinator
You should be able to see this on your screen. And again, this is taking from the 4,243 page report which if you are interested in learning more about this model, of course you can download it and read the whole thing, but here's what it says. Figure 13 charts these price bands over time. Fan width expands rapidly after 2026 showing.
JV
Uncertainty starting liquidity amplifies forecasts dispersion more than any single behavioral parameter. No. Note that the median price trajectory is higher relative to The Monte Carlo simulation 1 reflecting the downward skew of the initial liquid supply in the simulation. Also the bitcoin price for various probability bands on figure 13 of the Monte Carlo simulation 2 to the end of the model's time horizon which is April 16th of 2036 and then 4.62 implications a shift in liquidity assumptions. Figure 14 shows projected liquid supply probability bands. The 1% worst case path slips below 2 million Bitcoin by January 19th. Again worst path the absolute low 1-19-2026 we'd be a million dollars or 2 million below 2 million with 1 million by December 7th of 2027 entering the regime that produced hyperbolic moves in section 4.23 medium and upper tail pass. However next never breach 5 million coins illustrating how even the modest uncertainty of the initial stock can separate Benin scarcity from a runaway squeeze because the liquidation zone is reached only in the tails with the thin supply. Extreme price outcomes in Table 13 oh, more to relativity rare opening conditions then to the mid course parameter draws and you can see this. I mean again this model is showing surpassing blowing right through $20 million within the next the next 10 years which means ultimately by the year 2035 and a 10 million price action in less than six years. Let me know your thoughts on this. And as simply Bitcoin wrote. I'll just read you what they wrote. Bullish New model shows Bitcoin can reach 10 million per coin in less than 6 years and 20 million per coin in 10 years. Rocket ship to the moon full send it and there you have it. Let me know your thoughts with that price projection and read your comments out loud. Welcome everyone to the Q A segment of the live stream. Let's freaking go. There we have it. Since I am a trader I just buy Bitcoin and Ethereum. My strong point is the Bible scriptures. I love it. We need some Bible experts here. So thank you Tammy for bringing God into the equation which I find very important and relevant especially in Bitcoin where Bitcoin is God hacking humanity. Just saying, quoting the High Priest Max Kaiser. And don't forget to check out bitcoinnewsalerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.
Title: Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC News
Host/Author: Bitcoin News Alerts
Release Date: August 13, 2025
Episode Title: $20 Million Bitcoin Forecast Revealed in Explosive New Model
In episode 2077 of "Bitcoin News Alerts | Daily BTC News," host JV delves deep into the current state and future projections of Bitcoin (BTC). This episode is particularly notable for introducing a groundbreaking model that forecasts Bitcoin reaching $20 million per coin within ten years. The discussion is enriched by insights from co-host Fed Chair Nipinator, providing listeners with a comprehensive analysis of market dynamics, institutional investments, and significant developments influencing Bitcoin's trajectory.
The episode kicks off with a robust market update, highlighting that both the cryptocurrency and Bitcoin market caps have reached new all-time highs.
Bitcoin Performance: As of the live stream, Bitcoin is trading at approximately $121,500, mere $1,200 shy of a new all-time high ("[03:04]", JV).
Crypto Market Cap: The total crypto market capitalization has surged to $4.12 trillion, with Bitcoin's market cap standing at $2.421 trillion ("[03:04]", JV).
Dominance Metrics: Bitcoin holds a dominance of 58.7%, while Ethereum (ETH) is at 13.8% ("[03:48]", Fed Chair Nipinator).
Top Gainers: Among the top 100 crypto gainers in the past 24 hours, OKB leads with a 117% increase, followed by Arbitrum at 16% and Fart Coin at 12.5% ("[03:53]", JV).
Crypto Sentiment: The Crypto Greed and Fear index is at 73, indicating a high level of investor optimism with room for further upward movement before reaching extreme greed territory ("[04:18]", Fed Chair Nipinator).
A significant portion of the discussion centers around the escalating US federal debt and its implications for Bitcoin.
Rising US Debt: The US federal debt has soared to a record $37 trillion, marking a 30% increase over five years from $26.7 trillion in 2020 ("[06:01]", JV).
Impact on Bitcoin: JV posits that the growing debt and potential quantitative easing measures could propel Bitcoin's price to $132,000 ("[02:28]", JV). He emphasizes the historical correlation between US debt growth and Bitcoin's price surge, noting a 925% increase in Bitcoin's value during the same period ("[06:55]", JV).
Government Intervention: There's speculation that the US government may explore Bitcoin as a means to address the national debt, further bolstering Bitcoin's position in the financial system ("[06:55]", JV).
Notable Quote:
"The US deficit has risen to the largest record high... Bitcoin's price is poised to soar to new heights as the debt continues to climb." – JV ([06:04])
Institutional involvement in Bitcoin is highlighted as a critical driver for future price gains.
Institutional Volume on Coinbase: Institutional volume on Coinbase has reached 75%, indicating heightened interest and investment from large-scale investors ("[10:39]", JV).
Bitcoin Indicators: The Nipinator indicator, touted as the most accurate Bitcoin indicator, suggests a bullish trend with Bitcoin potentially reaching $200,000 ("[10:30]", Fed Chair Nipinator).
Supply Shock Potential: Institutional buyers are accumulating Bitcoin at a rate significantly higher than the minted supply, hinting at a potential supply shock that could drive prices upward ("[12:01]", JV).
Notable Quote:
"Bitcoin treasuries alone added 810 bitcoins to their holdings on Tuesday. That's double the minted supply for the day." – JV ([11:41])
Meta Planet, a Bitcoin-focused investment company, has outperformed Japan's most liquid blue-chip stocks, showcasing the growing influence of Bitcoin in traditional markets.
Performance Metrics: Meta Planet has surged nearly 190% year-to-date, surpassing the Tokyo Stock Price Index Core 30's average gain of 7.2% ("[13:32]", Fed Chair Nipinator).
Shareholder Growth: The number of shareholders has increased to over 180,000 as of June 2025, marking a 350% rise since initiating its Bitcoin accumulation strategy in late 2024 ("[14:20]", JV).
Future Plans: Meta Planet aims to acquire 210,000 Bitcoin by 2027, with ongoing purchases funding this ambitious target through stock offerings and direct Bitcoin acquisitions ("[15:01]", JV).
Notable Quote:
"Meta Planet's Bitcoin strategy is paying off, clearly positioning them ahead of traditional blue-chip giants in Japan." – Fed Chair Nipinator ([14:23])
A landmark development in Bitcoin's institutional acceptance is the introduction of Central Asia's first spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF).
ETF Details: Managed by Fonte Capital and listed on the Astana International Exchange in Kazakhstan, the Bitcoin ETF (BETF) is physically backed by Bitcoin held in custody by Bitgo Trust, a U.S.-regulated crypto custodian ("[16:39]", JV).
Significance: This ETF provides institutional-grade Bitcoin access to investors in Central Asia, marking the region's entry into the digital asset era ("[16:39]", JV).
Custody Concerns: While Bitgo's involvement ensures secure custody, there are concerns about the concentration of infrastructure reliance on a single global player, which could pose long-term risks ("[19:50]", Fed Chair Nipinator).
Notable Quote:
"The BETF launch is significant, providing regulated Bitcoin access to investors who have historically been excluded." – Fed Chair Nipinator ([20:17])
The episode also touches upon the controversial involvement of former President Donald Trump in the cryptocurrency space.
Financial Gains: Trump has reportedly amassed $2.4 billion from various crypto ventures since 2022, including NFT sales, token offerings, and Bitcoin mining operations ("[21:20]", JV).
Regulatory Scrutiny: These ventures have raised ethical concerns and calls for investigations from Democratic lawmakers, citing potential conflicts of interest and violations of federal ethics laws ("[22:47]", JV).
Industry Impact: Under Trump's administration, regulatory bodies like the SEC have relaxed their stance on crypto firms, dropping investigations and easing restrictions, which has fostered a more favorable environment for crypto growth ("[24:18]", JV).
Notable Quote:
"Crypto ventures account for almost half of Trump's known personal wealth accumulated during his political career." – JV ([22:22])
Arguably the most compelling segment of the episode is the introduction of a new model forecasting Bitcoin's price trajectory.
Model Overview: Developed by Dennis Porter and the Satoshi Action Fund, the "Bitcoin Supply, Demand, and Price Dynamics" report employs a bottom-up quantity clearing model. It integrates the fixed 21 million Bitcoin cap with plausible demand growth and execution behavior, focusing solely on fundamental supply and demand dynamics ("[25:10]", JV).
Forecast Projections:
These projections represent a nearly 17,000% increase from current prices and are based on variables such as market demand shifts, investment preferences, and withdrawal sensitivity ("[26:22]", Fed Chair Nipinator).
Monte Carlo Simulations: The model utilizes Monte Carlo simulations to account for various uncertainties, with a 75% likelihood of Bitcoin exceeding $4.81 million by April 2036 ("[26:22]", Fed Chair Nipinator).
Notable Quote:
"This bullish case would result in nearly a 17,000% increase in price." – JV ([01:58])
Visual Representation: Fed Chair Nipinator shared charts from the report illustrating price bands over time and the projected liquid supply, emphasizing the potential for hyperbolic price movements under certain conditions ("[28:42]", JV).
Episode 2077 delivers a comprehensive and optimistic outlook on Bitcoin's future, supported by robust data and innovative models. With institutional investments soaring, strategic moves by companies like Meta Planet, and pioneering offerings like Central Asia's first Bitcoin ETF, Bitcoin's path to widespread adoption and unprecedented valuation appears promising. The introduction of the new price forecast model adds a layer of analytical depth, highlighting the transformative potential of Bitcoin in reshaping the global financial landscape.
Listeners are encouraged to engage with the content, share their perspectives, and stay informed through ongoing live streams and premium content offerings on bitcoinnewsalerts.net.
Closing Quote:
"This isn't a podcast, it's the global hash war Command Demand center where fiat states collapse live on air and Bitcoin supremacy gets broadcast to the world." – JV ([10:27])
For a more in-depth analysis and to participate in the live Q&A, visit bitcoinnewsalerts.net.