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2103: Here’s How High Bitcoin Price Will Go If 2017 Bull Cycle Repeats
00:28:51
🚀 Analysts say if Bitcoin repeats the 2017 bull cycle, the upside could be explosive - with targets far beyond today’s $114K. On Ep. #2103, we break down what the cycle signals, how high BTC could really go, and why this rally may only just be...
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A
Welcome bitcoin family to the number one daily bitcoin pod in today's show. I'll be sharing the latest technical analysis as we're up almost $3,000 on the day. Let's get it. We'll also be discussing Reserve bank of India says crypto rules risk legitimizing the sector. I've been breaking down this report. Also asset entity surges on merger with strive for $1.5 billion bitcoin treasury also Meta Planet and the headlines again setting 1.45 billion share to fund a bitcoin purchase as the treasury shift continues. Also in Kyrgyzstan they just introduced the state crypto reserve concept and a new bill as a global adoption continues. Global hash wars. Let's get it. Also we'll be discussing here's how high realistically the bitcoin price can go if this cycle is a super cycle. Repeating the likes of 2017 where we went from 1,000 to 20,000. We'll also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more right here in today's show. If you're new to the rumble important smash the likes give us a follow. Hit the repost over our next as we continue to orange pill the masses like BlackBerry molasses. Today is September 10, 2025. Bitcoins are ripping like the new Scotty Pippen rebounding like Dennis Rodman in his prime. We just recaptured 114 G's baby. 3000 on the day. Today is pot episode two 103. I'm your host JV alongside fed chair Nipinator.
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Let's kick it off with our market watch as we do each and every.
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Day as the crowd is going wild. Bitcoin 114 up almost 3% on the day. You got XRP trading at 3 bucks. The bulk of the market pumping and in the green checking out coin market cap dot com. The current Bitcoin market cap is back on the climb. $2.268 trillion. The crypto market cap about to reclaim 4 trillion right on the cusp currently 3.95 trillion 153 billion worth the volume for the past 24 hours and the Bitcoin dominance today coming in strong 57 and a half percent with Ether dominance at 13.4%. Check it out. Top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. Avalanche. No avalanche number three. Pump fund number two and mantle pole position up 17% on the day. Which coins if any are you bullish on for the bull? Holl at your boy and checking out the crypto bubbles. We'll get a visual perspective on the day here.
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Wednesday.
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That's right.
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Hump hump day today.
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And obviously we're humping pretty well. The humpty dance is your chance to do the hump. You know that song, right? Digital underground. But anyways, yeah. 95% of the market in the green today checking out the weekly similar bulk of the market in the green checking out the monthly. There's a little divided but I'd say maybe 50 50. And checking out the yearly we're definitely going to be bulk of the green. Absolutely. About 85 of the market green over red. And checking out the crypto great and fear index today it's a 49 neutral, yesterday a 48. Last week of 55 and last month of 70 in greed. And according to the time chain calendar we're currently on block height 914,094.
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You can exchan one fiat monopoly dollar for 878 sets.
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So you know precisely what to do.
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You pick up the SATs, put down.
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The gats and pick up some bitcoin caps from a man sergio over@bitcoincaps.net Next story of the day. Let's get into it, shall we? Headline here reads Bitcoin must hit 104 to repeat the past bull market dips. Clearly we're on the rip right now. We just recaptured 10,000 above that which is ultimately a God candle 114 at the time of the live. But let's entertain this nonetheless. Bitcoin price action continues to unsettle those who feel that the bull run should already be back. The bulls are back in town I dare say but while the golden wrist assets head higher, Bitcoin stuck in a range between 10 15% below the most recent all time high currently 1245 quoting Glass Note Analytics. Since the mid August all time high bitcoin has entered a volatile downtrend declining to 1008000 before bouncing back towards 112.
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And with the volatility rising the central.
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Question is whether this marks the start of a true bare market or simply a short term contraction. And to answer the question, researchers look at a price at which act of bitcoin supply last move dividing it into various quantiles. Now the 95 quantile corresponds to the price at which 95% of the supply is in profit is of a particular interest. Quoting the week on chain here. At present the price trades between 85 and 95 quantile cost basis or in the 104 to 114 range and we're still in that range. Granted we're at the peak of it now following eu euphoric peaks often leading to a choppy sideways market. So Therefore breaking below 104 would replay the post all time high exhaustion phases seen earlier in the cycle. Whereas a recovery above 114 which we're on the cusp of, would signal demand finding its footing. So hopefully we did reestablish that and and reclaim control of the trend. Remember, the trend is your friend. Glass Node notes that the trip to August highs mark Bitcoin's third euphoric uptrend euphoria within the current bull market and that such moves are by definition unsustainable for long periods. Other key prices on the radar include the aggregate buyin level for bitcoin speculators, also known as the short term huddlers. Defined as entities holding for up to six months, these wallets traditionally prop up the price during the bull market. Corrections quoting Glass Note here the percentage of the short term huddler profit provides a clear lens on this dynamic. With the leg down to 108, their sharing profit collapsed from the 90% to just 42%. A textbook cooling off from the overheated state to a zone of sudden stress. Meanwhile, short term hudders can react suddenly to their profitability flipping negative while quickly becoming exhausted from selling at a loss, allowing the market to bounce. That's why you don't sell. You can't, I mean you, you can't lose what you don't sell. So selling during a loss is kind of idiotic. Or I should say is idiotic. But you already know bitcoin will eventually reclaim those losses and be above and beyond where you started. But a lot of the noobs and short term huddlers have yet to figure that out. But with that being shared next let's pull up some of the live charts. We're going to do some live chart action. Jackson Satisfaction, Bo Jackson, Tony Braxton Dedicated.
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To the baddies today.
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1 hour chart. 3 bull targets lined up consecutively. Let's start at the very top.
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Started from the bottom.
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Now we hear 120. Say 1212 in play on the one hour. We also have another target. Inverted head and shoulders. 119.5. And we also have 118 in play. All bull targets on the hourly and how many green candles? One, two, three, four. Not too shabby. Zooming it out.
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Checking out the four hour.
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I have a feeling it's all Going to be bullish as well.
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Absolutely.
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Three more bull scenarios. The one in the red 123 one. The one in the green.
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The inverted, very similar to the hourly.
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11195 and the blue 1173 in play.
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And zooming it out from there, checking out the daily, see if we have a massive target. We do have a massive green candle already on the day. Again up 3,000. And we do got a purple super bowl bullish flag sitting at 146. Four again, 146. Four in play on the daily chart. Bear scenario. We don't even entertain that if you know what I'm saying.
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And checking out the weekly, we're midway through the week already. You do see this is the second green consecutive candle forming already significant after today's pump. And we did get a weekly close last week in the green after a nice recovery, bounced down. I don't know, 108 was the local low. And so hopefully the bullish momentum continues. We got another green strong weekly close. Checking out the monthly. We are now only 10 days deep. One third of the month has passed for September. Will it be a September? September thus far it's a September. Last month. August, unfortunately. Big corrective month. But the silver lining, we had four consecutive run up. Green candle closes. Will the momentum continue? You guys let me know your thoughts. All right, fam. But anyways, let's move on. Next story of the day. First, this is quite interesting to look at. When the iPhone 4 launched back in 2010, it cost 2842 Bitcoin for one phone. Today it only cost.007 Bitcoin. Practically $1,000 to buy the new iPhone 17, which I believe gets released later this month of September. But it just goes to show you the power of holding bitcoin. Could you imagine spending 2800 bitcoin 15 years ago for an outdated phone with no value today? Well, that's the reality because that's the purchasing power of bitcoin compared to the dwindling purchasing power of the dollar. And this example, you know, says a thousand words. At least a thousand. Maybe ten thousand, maybe a million. But anyways, next story of the day, Reserve bank of India says crypto rules risk legitimizing the sector. Now naturally, India being the largest population of the world, country wise, let's break this down. Indian regulators are reportedly holding back from introducing comprehensive crypto rules over concerns regulation could legitimize digital assets and create systemic risks. So you can see they're ultimately saying it will legitimize digital assets and they don't want to do that because they perceive that as a risk to their current central bank and whatever fiat currency they're pushing. I would assume they're called rbis or rubies or something like that. According to the Wednesday Reuters report, citing documents, the Reserve bank of India maintains.
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That the view containing the risks posted by cryptos to a regulation would be challenging. The document reportedly states regulating crypto would legitimize them, of course, and cause the sector to become systemic. An outright ban on cryptos, good luck with that one, the document continued, would address the alarm and risk of speculative crypto assets, but could not tackle peer to peer transfers or trades on the D5 exchanges. Currently, India lacks comprehensive crypto regulation, but has imposed certain restrictions. You think they'd have better restrictions on scam call centers because it seems like all the scam centers in the world are based out of India, so how dare they in my Greta Thunberg voice When India lacks clear rules for crypto, the government imposes a 30 tax on on digital asset gains. Taxation is theft, just saying and requires registration with the local regulators for the foreign crypto exchanges. At the end of 2023, India's Financial Intelligence Unit requested that the blocks be placed on the global crypto exchanges Bananas, Kucoin, Kraken, etc, the major exchanges out there. And if you don't register, that's a problem. Both finance and competitor exchange Kucoin returned to the country in 2024 after obtaining approval from the FIU top for their services in India. The regulators also impose anti money laundering rules on locally operated crypto businesses. Despite the country's apparent hostility to the crypto industry, it leads in crypto adoption I guess due to the population bro. The 2025 geography of the Crypto report recently published the crypto forensics by Chainalysis revealing that India leads in crypto adoption across all categories. Just like that. Now government officials have also disclosed their holdings.
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Minister J reportedly said that their crypto portfolio grew 19 to 25, 000. Still, industry figures say the country faces a gap between adoption metrics and actual usage. Well, it's because they're corrupt government. The fact that metrics say one thing in reality presents a contrasting image suggests that India stands at a paradoxical crossroads. I'll see you at the crossroads so.
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We won't be lonely. But anyways we got to continue. So let's continue with the next story of the day here, shall we? Next story of the day Asset entities surges on merger with strive for one and a half billion Bitcoin treasury that's right. Shares in the marketing Firm asset entities rose 52 after hours trading Tuesday after shareholders approved the merger with Vivek Ramsawani Strive Enterprises to form a bitcoin treasury company. Asset Entities Entities said Tuesday the strong majority of the shareholders voted for the merger with plans to raise one and a half billion to buy bitcoin. The new company will be renamed to Strive Inc. And continue trading under the ticker ASST. So s t now asset entities shared closed trading Tuesday up 18 trading at 6 bucks and 28 cents and rallied over 52 after hours to 9.5 on the company's merger announcement. You can see the pump right here. Meanwhile, Matt Cole, CEO of Strive Subsidiary Subsidiary Strive Asset Management will lead the combined company while the asset entity CEO and President will serve as Chief Marketing Officer and a board member. The Wuang Sword style It is in clear at this time the role of Ram Suwani, Strive Co Founder will have in the newly merged company. The new firm is the latest addition to the 186 public companies reporting large scale bitcoin buys which has grown from less than 100 at the start of the and spark concerns of an oversaturated market. The trend of public crypto buying companies has fueled bitcoin price rally to 1245 as companies tap equity, convertible debt, perpetual stock and more recently special purpose acquisition mergers. To fund their plans, Strive opted for a reserve manager structure which is considered safer than the faster pace box as it relies less on speculative capital raises, dilution and uncertainty deal timelines. Strive plans to fund its 1 1/2 billion bitcoin purchases with 750 million from private investment and public equity plus another 750 million that could come from exercise of warrants issued in a pipe. The one and a half billion plan raise would allow the company to buy 13415 bitcoin at the current price, putting it in the top 10 largest corporate Bitcoin holding companies. The merger closing is contingent upon certain conditions including clearance of Strives listing application of the nasdaq. Meanwhile, when the merger was announced back in May, Strive said it was looking to acquire 75000 of the Biddy from claims tied to the collapsed crypto exchange Mt. Gox to buy the asset at a discount.
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Strive said the strategy would help boost its bitcoin per share ratio. I wonder what kind of discount they get buying in bulk like that and I wonder why Sailor wouldn't already taken advantage of it. Just thinking out loud, Strive accumulated 2 billion in assets since it launched in 2022 by Ram Sawani, the biotech entreprene entrepreneur who ran for president which I'm sure you guys remember the Indian Dude Asset Entities is a social media marketing firm that has no active involvement in Bitcoin or the crypto industry. Prior to the announce merger with Strive Public, companies now hold a combined 1 million BTC accounting for just above 5% of the total Bitcoin supply in circulation. Meanwhile, Sailor Strategy continues to dominate with bitcoin accumulation race holding 638460 bitcoin valid at above $71 billion. Second place Marathon holdings and then they have 52000 and then the next company which is XXI Roman Numeral I guess that's a number 11. Correct me if I'm wrong but anyways or 21 my bad. That's Jack Mahler's company. They have 43000 so it just goes to show you the difference between Sailor in the number one position compared to number two. There is no second best. It's going up forever. Laura and if you don't know now you know. As more you know, treasury plays are being birthed virtually every week. It won't be the last, but next up Meta planet sets 1.45 billion share sale to fund their Bitcoin purchase A Treasury shift of all shifts. That's right, Meta Planets betting bigger on the Biddy. The Tokyo listed firm locked in a 1.45 billion share sale this Tuesday on a Taco Tuesday marking one of Japan's.
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Largest corporate treasury shifts of all time.
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Formerly priced at 553 yen per share which is 3.73 cents. The international share offering will issue 385 million shares, raising the total of 212 Japanese yen which is 1.45 billion USD monopoly dollars. Net proceeds of the 1.39 billion are allocated almost entirely to the Biddy. Smart set for purchase 139 for the income generation operations according to the notice determining the price.
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Now in the same notice the company reiterated its rationale for buying the Biddy, pointing to elevated levels of national debt, prolonged real negative interest rates and an ongoing depreciation of the yen as primary factors that motivated it to begin stacking the Alpha crypto April of last year. That's right. Who's the Beta Ethereum and all the coins? There's only one alpha, the apex predator BTC. Cheers. Now the share sales follow September 1st shareholder vote in Tokyo approving the overseas issuance of up to 550 million new.
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Shares alongside preferred stock after Meta planet.
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Share price dropped 54 mid June. The latest filing finalizes the terms of the plan shift in it from shareholder authorization to our formal execution, thereby closing a turbulent summer of financing pressures and a collapsing share price. Meanwhile, Meta planet currently holds 2136 BTC valid at 2 and a quarter billion dollars following the latest purchase of 136 BTC disclosed earlier in the week. Its holding position is the sixth largest public COR corporate holder a bitcoin worldwide, clearly the largest out of Japan, ranking behind strategy marathon in 21 but ahead of Tesla Coinbase and the Trump Media Tech Group. And while this still behind others Meta Planet move emerges as a signal from Japan that corporate bitcoin adoption is spreading globally. Konichiwa not just in the U S. Now corporate Bitcoin treasuries are a shift in from experiment to mainstream for the balance sheet strategy, adding that with new accounting rules of the ETF normalization, he expects the public companies to hold over 1 million bits going by the end of the year.
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Also further on that, he said that more firms could follow treating Bitcoin as digital gold. Well, that's a fact. Well, here's the deal. How many companies will be able to say we have 1 million bitcoin on.
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Our balance sheet when there's only 21 million bitcoin to go around?
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Only a handful and sailor. Clearly with the pole position of over 600,000 that means means less Bitcoin for the rest of you.
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Kyrgyzstan Introduces State.
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Crypto Reserve Concept in a New Bill.
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Kyrgyzstan, a key emerging player of the Central Asia's crypto market, advanced the bill to establish the state crypto reserve and support the growth of the wider digital asset industry. Their lawmakers pass amendments to the bill on virtual assets and three readings all at once, officially cementing terms like State Crypto reserve curve and State mining and a parliament on a hump Wednesday let's get it Presented by the Economy of the Commerce Ministry backed side.gov the bill addresses multiple aspects of the Kyrgyzstan's crypto adoption, including establishing a legal framework for the issuance and circulation of the stable coins as well as the real world assets and state run industry operations. Quoting them here. A crypto reserve would allow the state to accumulate its own assets in cryptographic form through crypto mining as well as tokenization of real world assets and issuance of stable coins backed by fiat currency. According to this dude and I'm not going to try to keep pronouncing the name because I I'm not good with Russian you know names. But anyways, a state crypto reserve would help Kyrgyzstan increase financial stability by diversification and adoption of new accumulation instruments. He also mentioned the government will not be exempt from mining rates established by the state in response to concerns over possible issues related to their energy supply. There is a separate tariff for mining in the country and the state is no exception. There will be no farm at the thermal power plant. The main purpose of the thermal plant and the combar ata one is not mining. And following the parliamentary readings, the draft bill is yet to be signed by their president Japarov, who signed the law on Central bank digital currencies a few months ago. Not a good look bro. And according to the bill, their potential crypto reserve would not solely rely on the pure crypto assets like Bitcoin, but in the shitcoin CBDCs, the lizard folks currency of choice. A state crypto reserve is set of virtual assets owned by the state formed through their mining, issuance, tokenization acquisition. The procedure for the formation the stores the management to use for the crypto reserve to be determined by the President of their Republic. Meanwhile, their moves with the state crypto asset reserve came amid neighboring countries like Kagus Stand who are aggressively exploring similar initiatives as well. That's right, that was one of our feature stories of the day. I think it was yesterday, if not yesterday, the day before. If you missed that pod, check it out. We just had the celebratory episode 2100. Today is Pod2103 and cheers to our next 2100 episodes, making us the most consistent persistent bitcoin pod on the entire planet. Bitcoin news alerts for the Wing. I meant win and Nipinator is the king.
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All right fam. Now for our feature story of the day, let's entertain how high the bitcoin price may climb if we Repeat the the 2017 cycle. The Bitcoin bull cycles have always been similar in the fact that each one has always ended in with the bitcoin price multiples higher than the previous high. That's a fact, Jack. In fact, that's a blackjack. While the digital asset has hit a new all time high this cycle, currently124.5. It is far from being multiples of the previous all time high Exact Mondo and has yet to hit the 2x mark. However, with a lot of the similarities popping up between this cycle and what.
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Was seen back in 2017.
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Let me know if you were around. Back in 2017, the heaven was 2016, the massive parabolic run up occurred in 2017 when I first got inaugurated into Bitcoin. We were 15 hundo by the end of the year December. It was literally just on the cusp of 20G's baby. Practically a 20x rise. So there's still the possibility of the.
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Bitcoin price can run a lot higher than what we have seen.
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We're talking about a potential super slight. Michael, crypto analyst Merlin the Great the trader to share some of the similarities.
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They noticed between a current bull bitty.
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Price trend that was recorded back in 2017 is outlined on this chart here. Putting both charts side by side. The charts don't lie.
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Check the scoreboard.
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Broskis, the crypto analyst pointed out the ways in which the two cycles have performed very similarly. That's right. One of the first things is how the bear market ended which is highlighted by the red box. You can see the 2017 compared to the 2025 eight years later.
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Deja vu Bitty Brosis.
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After some choppy movement the bare market would come to an end with the initial breakout. This was followed by a short retracement leading to the next step in the trend.
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And remember the trend is your friend.
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So you can see the climb up.
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Again in the red.
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You can see from the chart highlighting the first things of the bare market when it ended. So it looks like bitcoin was roughly $460. That's going to be circa 2016, year of the having.
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So it went from $650 to the following year roughly.
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You see August September, you can see the box. And then you can see where we peaked out just shy of 20,000.
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That was like practically a year and a half. We went from 4 or $500 to 20,000. So now compare that to now 2025. A lot of similarities. You can see the red box sitting at roughly 30000 or maybe just shy of that.
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Then you can see the similarities with.
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The blue box which this cycle is roughly the 69000 which was the previous cycle all time high. And then breaking out to the current all time high which is the August September box currently124.5 leading us to the next leg up which would take us to 222 which I've been calling practically all year alongside the Oracle. Bring facts and many of our very own OGs. But you let me know where you feel the pretty little bitty price action will likely take us. Now the next box, the blue box and let's keep the boxes up to reference. It is the level of the accumulation where the bitcoin investors loaded up their bags in anticipation of the upwards move. Naturally, the accumulation lasted for a number of months before it was complete and.
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Then the breakout of all breakouts occurred.
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That's right. The third box is the green box. And the crypto analyst explains that this is the level that launched the Portfolios back in 2017. After the Green box, the bitcoin price rose rapidly and more than doubled by the time of the rally was done. And with the current trend sitting at the green box, it carries some hefty bullish implications for the pre little bitty price. Seeing how the bitcoin price is mirroring the 2017 trend thus far, it is likely to continue to play out in a similar way. From the green box, the price Dublin like it did Dublin like we're from Dublin. Ireland. Shout out. Conor McGregor running for Bitcoin president. Ireland elections actually later this year he proposed in a bitcoin strategic reserve. But that's a topic for another conversation. Bitcoin could end up crossing the 2 2, 2 mark. We've been calling the 222 all year. The crypto analyst charts point to the 222 with some dips along the way. Dip and let her rip tater chip. That way they're expected to be eaten up quickly. Eaten up, eh? The time frame also seems similar. And if the trend holds, the trend is your friend. This could play out for the next three months leading into the year 2026. Now, hypothetically, let's entertain what needs to be entertained.
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What if we had a 20x rip from where we're currently at, Then we're talking realistically Max Kaiser's 2.2 million target in play. How would a 2.2 million Bitcoin price transform your life? And even if we fell short and we did a mere 10x this cycle, maybe between the fourth quarter of this year and the extended cycle theory of next year. In 2026 we're still talking over a million per coin. What if we fell short of that and we only did a damn near 5x? We're still talking a half a million per coin. All hail the Fed chair. Nipinator. Nipinator indicator in full effect. The only bitcoin indicator with 100 accuracy. So you've heard it here first from the Fed chair Nipinator. Keeping them nipah Nathan. There's bring facts 222222 until it happens or I'm blue.
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You've been calling it brother. I'm with you.
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Do we the queens atomic Dreams Stacking sacks like bitcoin streams from the lab to the blockchain we reign supreme Periodic table we to eat the hot old teen skippy pop but a boom scat dropping bars where the brass dabs at? Send it to the moon, carbon girl I bomb like a boss Six protons popping, no atomic loss I float so hot, it's a fusion flare Got the whole club shook Hater, stop and stare diamond drip, no graphite wannabe My rhymes cut sharp like a covalent spree from the lab to the trap I'm stacking that hash Elemental queen, yeah, I'm making that cash Periodic queens reignite the scene from hydrogen to gold we keep it pristine but about fast Stack, zoom zoom, zap we dropping science put the crypto on the map we the queens atomic dreams Stacking sacks like bitcoin streams I'm helium floating lighter than air Second on the table but I'm rare, yeah, rare and nerps My bars got the gas glowing like a star in a supernova blast Call me neon I'm lit in the dark My rhymes hit harder than a quark on quark spark Einstein vibes E equals MC squared Haters try to flex but they can't compare Skitty bop bop, we never gonna fly from the blockchain to the lab we rising to the top Bada bye ziggity zap woo Periodic queens, yo, we breaking through Bitcoin in my wallet I'm hoping for life Sparking up the mic Call me Ms. Fahrenheit I'm Uranium girl I'm radioactive My bar so heavy they chain reaction massive Splitting atoms, splitting beats I'm a nuclear queen Dropping bombs like Fermi Blowing up the scene they try to diss But I'm Krypton untouchable My flow's so cold it's sub zero impassable Galactic with the drip I'm a cosmic sensation Sleep Bitty's favorite I'm the queen of the nation Boom Blow up or go home yo, periodic queens we run this game from the lab to the block we spit and flame zoom, dance sore quick, make the whole club bloom we the queen's atomic dreams Sacking sats like bitcoin streams hold strong, stay hard Shine bright, y' all, Good night.
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And don't forget to check out bitcoinnewsalerts.net for the full premium experience with video. And to participate, participate in the live stream along with the Q A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.