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2154: "67.67% Chance Bitcoin Shatters $150,000 on Nov 12" – Max Keiser
00:29:24
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Transcript15 lines
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Welcome Bitcoin fam and happy sat stacking Sunday. In today's show I'll be breaking down the latest technical analysis. What's happening in the market? We've been bouncing 111, 110, 111, 110. Quite interesting, right? Bitcoin money vessel amasses 8 billion but recovery lacks the ETF inflows. Also in the headlines today, Coinbase M's 2 billion BVNK startup acquisition and stablecoin push breaking down the latest report. Also 95% of Iran's 427,000 active crypto mining devices operate illegally according to the officials. And speaking of the lizard folk, Digital Euro CBDC is the symbol of trust in our common destiny, says the ECB head everyone's least favorite human being, Christine Lagad. We'll also be discussing very bullish prediction from fun strats Tom Lee suggesting 3 million price pathway for the king. And speaking of the king, Max Kaiser says Bitcoin will shatter 150,000 on November 12th this year. There's a 67.67% chance it will. We'll also be taking a look at the overall crypto market. All this plus so much more right here in today's show. But anyways, welcome everyone to the live stream. Happy satstack And Sunday, it's November 2nd, 2025. I'm your host JV alongside the Fed Chair Nipinator. Today is Pod episode number 2154 and we have lots to cover. Bitcoin's been up, down, up, down, left, right, left, right, B, A, B A select start, Infinite Contra life, Nintendo old school throwback. But anyways, yeah, we bounced 111 earlier and last night. Now we're right back at 110 and we kind of been in a 19 to 111 range. And will we break out to the upside or the downside for the new week? That's the question at hand. It is novemble, so the bulls are back in town. But let's kick it off with our market watch as we do each and every day. Checking out coin360, the bulk of the entire market, unfortunately. In the red, checking out coinmarketcap.com the current crypto market cap is sitting at 3.69 trillion. It is down about 3/4 of a percent on the day. Bitcoin market cap back under 2.2 trillion. So we are down compared from yesterday, unfortunately. And checking out top 100 crypto gainers past 24 hours. Dash made another massive dash. That's crazy. Another 25% gain on the day, 79 gain on the week. Volume wise we are 100 billion worth of total crypto volume over the past 24 hours. And the Bitcoin dominance is back up at 59.4%. Ether dominance took a step back at 12.6%. But yeah, privacy coins have been doing very well. In particular Zcash and dash number two gainer on the day Aster up 24% followed by ICP. And I ain't talking about the Insane Clown Posse, if you know what I'm saying. But checking out the crypto bubbles, I say close to 90 to 93% of the market red. Unfortunately a few of the obvious gainers, Dash, ICP and Aster on the daily. Checking out the weekly, very similar, but more losses for the alts and a lot of the respectable ones. Down 10, 20, 30% in the past week but Dash again leading the pack up now 76% of the week and Zcash up 13%. And checking out the monthly it's Zcash and Dash Neck and neck. The privacy coins for the winners. Zcash up 182% on the month and Dash up 181%. Monero is up but only 7% so it pales in comparison. And my understanding is it's very limited on the exchanges, whereas zcash and Dash is just more convenient to buy across all the exchanges. That's what the people tell me. But not looking so good on the monthly overall in the market. But if we zoom it out for the year that's the silver lining. Bulk of the market back in the green 6040 split respectable gainers and the top ones for the year. Zcash up 935% XRP big gainer up almost 400% dash up 300% Monero's up 124% HBAR 320 XLM 222% respectable gains across the board but obviously not all alts are doing so well. Checking out the Crypto Greed Inferior index today it's a 37 fear, yesterday at 33 and last week a 40 in fear. And there you have it. Yo. Next up here's our Bitcoin astrology for the Brosis. Headline reads bitcoin price hits 111November high but the bare market fears persist. We've been ranging between 111, 109 and currently we're just at roughly 110. We were 111 late last night when I went to bed. So a lot of volatility in the market. But I also want to pull up the live charts and I'll read you what I see perception wise here on the one hour there is a bear target sitting at 10:58. Again we're currently at roughly 110 at the time of the live stream. Unfortunately we've been cracking in the past couple of hours. There's two big red candles most recently on the one hour. But let's zoom it out. Checking out the four hour. Unfortunately big red candle forming here as well as again we did top 111 already for November late last night yesterday and we are correcting now. We're stuck in this range which tells me we're going to have a breakout. But the question remains to the upside or downside. Will we continue to correct before we resurrect or will we just ascend from here. You guys got to let me know Checking out the daily we do have a purple target. This is where we get some bull perspective. Bull flag sitting at 1464 on the daily chart and also even though we're in the red on the day yesterday November 1st was a green candle and and October 31st the 17 year Bitcoin Satoshi white paper we were also in the green and then prior to that we had 1, 2, 3, 4 five consecutive red days and we've been bleeding ever since. In fact the last nice little bull pump we had that was respective was literally one week ago. It was Sunday of last week. We had a Sunday Monday pump and then a big dump come Tuesday. So we'll see how it plays out for the new week here now that we're in November which is historically the most bullish month of the year, checking out the weekly unfortunately big red candle form. We will get a red candle close probably within the next 90 minutes during the live stream unless we have a massive pump between now and then. So most likely going to close in the red unfortunately. But checking out the monthly again only two days deep minuscule it look it's hard to even tell but I think it's in the green but barely. Obviously anything can happen between now and the end of the month, but considering is historically the most bullish month of the year, I'm optimistic and I do believe we can hit a new all time high. Will we hit Max Kaiser's 150 target? Stay tuned and I'll give you some perspective into that as well. So yeah, Bitcoin saw a late bid into Sunday's weekly close Key reclaim level stayed out of reach Trading view showed bitcoin hitting a high a111 one gotta love the ones 1111 omens on Bitstamp while still range bound. That level marked the new November high amid the sudden return of bitter interest on the major exchanges. Quoting Ted Pillows Bance and Coinbase are bidding on bitcoin now. Pillows noted the trend contrasted that seen during last week US sessions in particular characterized by the sell side pressure. Now a weekend move to the upside he implied would not hold after the return of the tradfi markets. Quoting him here, I would really appreciate that if they'd bid on weekdays too. But another Sunday pump and we know how this ends typically not good. It could mint is still $15 a month for premium wireless and if you haven't made the switch yet, here are 15 reasons why you should. 1. It's $15 a month 2 Seriously, it's $15 a month. 3 no big contracts 4 I use it 5 My mom uses it. Are you, are you playing me off? That's what's happening, right? Okay, give it a try at mintmobile.com/switch.
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And fees extra CMN create Acme futures gap and then we just dump over the weekdays to close the gap. And that's what happened last week. Now another person commentator Exit Pump they have the best names in crypto. Exit Pump forecast further Sunday gains topping out at 114 at the most though we're nowhere near there at this moment. He wrote. If that's going to happen then due to the nature of a Sunday price can easily tag 113114 but has low conviction in this and lo and behold I think even entertain that because last week we had a pretty substantial pump but this week, nah not everyone was in the mood to buy a trader. Bitbull observed renewed distribution from the bitcoin whale wallet without flows worth 650 million since Bitcoin crashed up 20% from the all time high in October which was achieved the very first month. And it's ironic because that's when they announced the garment shutdown. Instead of tanking we've ripped we hit the new all time high 1263 then the next three weeks bare unfortunately. And here we are now turning to important support in the resistance levels. Analyst R Capital Flag Bitcoin's 21 week exponential moving average is a nearby trend line to reclaim and it's currently at 111 230. So we're practically 1000 right below that critical level right now. He says Bitcoin is not too far away from reclaiming the 21 week EMA for a successful post breakout retest. He also another analyst saw the need for the bulls to flip112 quoting again Ted Pillows Bitcoin pumped a little on the US China deal but the strength is still not there. Bitcoin needs to reclaim 112A level for the strong volume for more of the upside. A fair failure to do that will result in a bigger correction. And the wonderful thing about bitty is a bitty the wonderful thing. Now regarding the Fibonacci which we pay a lot of close attention to, Bitcoin usually bottoms at around 38% Fibonacci level. This has been the case since Q1 2023 and and last month something similar happened. An analyst points out here, bitcoin dropped to this exact Fibonacci level and then bounced back. So if history is anything to go by, Bitcoin has already bottomed out. And if Bitcoin closes a monthly candle below it, the bull run will most likely be over. So the level in question was just above the 100,000 mark. And as you know, we did get a flash crash not too long ago. It was like 103, 104, but 100 has held strong. We haven't even really tested 100. So you know, there's the latest, there's the greatest, but you guys got to let me know where you feel pretty low bitty likely Take us this month of November. Next story of the Day. Next headline. Bitcoin money vessel amass is 8 billion but the recovery lacks these have inflows Unfortunately, Bitcoin's onchain inflows signaling robust demand from the world's largest crypto, the btc. Both investors and miners ramping up their activity despite the negative market sentiment since the 19 billion crypto crash, which I'm told was the largest crypto liquidation event in 17 years. Over the past week, Bitcoin's realized cap rose by over 8 billion, surpassing the 1.1 trillion as Bitcoin's realized price rose above 110,000, indicating strong onchain inflows. Precisely where we're sitting right now. Bitcoin's realized cap measures the dollar value of all the coins at their last move price, revealing the total investment held by the Bitcoin holders holders. The new inflows are mainly attributed to Bitcoin treasury firms and ETFs. According to Kijung Yu, the co founder of Cryptoquan. However, the bitcoin price recovery will remain limited until the Bitcoin ETFs and Michael Saylor strategy restart their large scale acquisitions. Come on Sailor, you're making me look bad. Demand is now driven mostly by the ETFs and MicroStrategy, both slowing buys recently. That's right, Sailor was buying new massive amounts of Bitcoin earlier in the year and then it slowed down. If these two channels recover, the market momentum likely returns. And that's kind of crazy just between Sailor's company strategy and the likes of Black Rock, Fidelity, etc, how that can impact the market so much. And it does. Meanwhile, Bitcoin miners are expanding their operations leading to a rising hash rate, another good sign. Typically the price follows the hash rate, so it's a clear long term bullish signal, and I agree with that. Multiple large bitcoin miners have recently expanded their mining fleets, including the Trump family linked American Bitcoin. They just purchased 17280 ASICs for $314 million. That's a pretty sizable investment for mining because they're heavily involved. And despite the 8 billion of the new inflows, crypto investor sentiment was unable to recover from fear since the record 19 billion market crash at the beginning of October, which led to where we're at now. Investor sentiment remained poor despite the White House releasing a comprehensive statement outlining the trade agreement reached between Trump and President Xi. However, a resurgence in ETF inflows, a potential monetary easing announcement from the Fed may propel the bitcoin price to 140 in November and stick around. Max Kaiser, the high priest, is calling for Bitcoin shattering 150 by November 12, 10 days out. I always save the best for last, so stay tuned and we'll entertain that. And also another analyst says our base Casey bitcoin rising towards 140 with total ETF inflows between 10 and 15 billion not being surprising. Meanwhile, the catalysts include fed easing with two cuts in Q4 ETF inflows doubling, as well as seasonal Q4 strength which remain around tariffs and geopolitical risk as the Bitcoin continues to do its thing. Next headline reads Coinbase M2 billion BVNK startup acquisition and a stablecoin push here's the latest insights from a report just published. Coinbase Global, the world's third largest crypto exchange, is continuing a stablecoin push after key legislation of the U S sparked renewed wave of corporate interest in the blockchain based payments. Coinbase Exchange is reportedly in our late state talks to acquire stablecoin infrastructure startup BVNK and a 2 billion dollar deal, people familiar with the matter told the news outlet Bloomberg on Friday. The 2 billion acquisition is expected to close later this year or in early 2026 pending due diligence from the exchange, according to the anonymous source. The stablecoin push could bring additional source of revenue for Coinbase, which mainly relies on crypto training fees to generate a profit. However, about 246 million 20% of the Coinbase revenue came from Stable coins during the third quarter, 20% of the revenue from stables, according to the exchange's earning results, which was just published on Thursday. Founded in 2021, London based BVNK, let me know if you heard of them offers merchants enterprise grade stablecoin payments. Coinbase's venture capital Wing. Coinbase Ventures is an investor in the Stablecoin Infrastructure startup BVNK thus far raised 90 million in funding over the past four years from investors including City Ventures, Visa and Han Ventures, according to their homepage. Meanwhile, the 2 billion doll deal would mark the latest large scale acquisition amid the growing wave of corporate interest and stablecoins and catalyzed by the passage of the Genius act back in July. The Genius act established clear rules for stablecoin collateralization and mandates compliance with the anti money laundering laws. More importantly, the bill has legitimized stablecoins for institutional usage as the first step towards establishing a unified digital financial system which is borderless, programmable, inefficient. The passage of the act inspired multiple payment giants announcing plans for stablecoin. For example, back in September, Visa launched the pilot program that enabled the banks, businesses and remittance firms to fund international payments directly with the stable coins instead of the pre funded local accounts. But there's the latest I mean coinbase. I don't have the numbers in front of me, but they're calling all new.
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Insanely wealthy, I would assume hundreds of billions of dollars. If someone could look it up, that'd be great. What's their market cap? So a 2 billion dollar acquisition is peanuts to them. And again, 20% of their revenue is coming from stable coins. So it seems like it could be a strategic approach to acquire this, you know, UK based firm next story of the day Broskis 95% of Iran's 427,000 active crypto mining devices operate illegally. That's illegal. As Dana White would say, Iran's crypto mining industry facing widespread illegal mining crisis with authorities estimating over 95% of the country's 427,000 active mining devices are operating without authorization. Dana White, what do you have to say about this? That's illegal. Precisely. Now Akbar, the CEO of T Province Electricity Distribution, said Sunday that Iran has become the world's first fourth largest crypto mining hub, fueled by the country's heavily subsidized electricity prices which have made it a paradise for the illegal miners. These unlicensed operations consume more than 1400 megawatts of power around the clock, placing immense pressure on the national grid threatening stability of the electricity supplies. Now he also noted the most illicit miners disguise their activities as industrial facilities to access to cheaper power. That's illegal. Still illegal. You can mine one bitcoin in Iran for $1,300. This is a fact. And sell it for 108,000. Is Iran nice this time of year? People contemplating like what the. That's a nice ROI again. You could mine one Bitcoin in Iran illegally obviously for $1,300 and then sell that for 100 ags. That's illegal. Pretty much. Now authorities have intensified their crackdown on illegal operations in Tehran province. 104 unauthorized mining farms have been shut down. 1465 machine seize equivalent to the electricity usage of nearly 10000 households. Meanwhile, the government identifies several hot spots for illicit mining including POC dashed Mallard, Charay and southwestern Turan's industrial zones. Inspectors have uncovered farms hidden in underground tunnels in factories using subsidized power connections to evade detection. He also says specialized inspection teams are working with the law enforcement to dismantle these operations. Also back in August, Iran announced it was offering cash rewards to citizens who report illegal crypto mining operations, ultimately incentivizing people to rat on you. I'm sure that's effective. The CEO of the state run utility Mustafa announced that the informants will receive 1 million Tolman, which is $24 for every unauthorized mining device reported. That's illegal. And according to the June report from Coin law, Iran ranks fifth globally in Bitcoin hash rate distribution, contributing 4% of the total network's computing power. United States leads with a dominant 44, followed by kakistan at 12%, russia 10 and a half percent in canada at 9%. And if you don't know now you know that's illegal. It's illegal. That's crazy though. You can mine bitcoin so cheap illegally. Is it worth going to prison? Absolutely not. But still intriguing to say the least. Next story of the day. Yo digital Euro CBDC is a symbol of trust, says Christine Lagod. Just this lady's on a whole nother level. European ECB President Christine Lagad released a statement on Friday touting the digital euro, a central bank digital currency, as a unifying force in the European Union and said the ECB is aiming to launch it as early as possible. Quoting her here as much as banknotes will continue to circulate. We want a cash. We want cash to be in the form of the digital euro. Well, of course you want total control. Adding that the central bank. Digital currency. Currency can be used for online payments. Yeah, if you're. That's exactly what your guys are going to be using. This is a big project because the euro is our currency, your currency. It brings us all together. It's a symbol of trust in our common destiny. So off we go to the digital euro and the next and final phase of preparation. Sounds like the final phase of humanity is doomed. If you'd ask me, I can't stand Christine Lagarde. She just looks like a lizard. And I'll leave it at that. The ECB Governor Council announced Thursday it'll move ahead with building the technical infrastructure test and deploy retail CBDC slated to begin rolling out 2029. And if EU lawmakers pass legislation allowing them to issue it and which I'm quite confident they will. CBDCs are widely seen as anti. What is that? Antithetical crypto. And the core ethos of permissionless decentralized finance. What the critics argue CBDCs create a digital prison. That's true. That can endanger civil liberties. Not can the real factors it will freedom of speech and human rights. The ECB announcement drew heavy criticism from the crypto community and receive overwhelmingly negative feedback. As it should. I've been warning people about the dangers of CBDCs forever be gone. Which Exactly. We're going to use private money, said Mertz Momas, the CEO of remote producer RPC Node provider. Yeah, I agree. Be gone, witch. The common currency is a symbol of trust in our common destiny. Go yourself, Christine. But creating a central bank digital currency erodes the trust by opening up the door to the real time monitoring of our payments and spending habits. Fact. Meanwhile, legal proposals have been submitted from the European lawmakers in France, Germany to ban the CBDCs and embrace Bitcoin. The doing a decentralized neutral supply cap digital currency. Eric Chiati of the Union of the Right of the Republic political party of France spearheaded a proposal Wednesday. We covered this on the live show to ban the CBDCs in the country. I'm all for the banning of CBDCs. We all know they're evil, but then they're just gonna roll out the stable coins which are the same concept, programmable digital euros or digital fiat dollars at the end of the day, I mean what can go wrong there? Even Trump said we're not allowing CBDCs, but they're perfectly fine with embracing the stable coins which are just another name for the same evil. Anyways, German political party Alternative for Germany also submitted a motion October we covered this I think a couple of POD episodes ago urging the government to consider bitcoin as a national strategic asset. And we all know that was one of the biggest fumbles as far as the government. I think it was last year maybe around this time they dumped their seized bitcoin and as soon as they dumped it, bitcoin doubled up from like forty thousand to a hundred thousand and they ended up losing billions of dollars. So now they just submitted a motion and they want to learn from that mistake. Stockpile the seized bitcoin just like we have with the executive order with Trump in the United States. And I think that's at least a step in the right direction for these countries if they know what's good you I mean but we shall soon see. Now for our feature story of the day. I got two bull price predictions. I'm going to lead with the high priest Max Kaiser because of how bold it is to share the exact probability in percentage terms that bitcoin will hit 150,000 with the exact date, which is very rare in our crypto sphere. So here's what Max just posted. Will Bitcoin shatter $150,000 on November 12 this year? That happens to be my brother's birthday, by the way. Shout out Frankie. There is a 67.67 chance that it will. Now obviously if you're a fan of numbers, that's a very strong probability. So what does the high Priest know that we don't know because that's 10 days away. Today's November 2nd. So someone wrote feels less like a prediction, more like destiny. Someone else said on 1111 it'll be 153 GS. I say either way we're in for a ride of our lives as that's roughly a 40, 000 price appreciation now Bitcoin to 3 million, says Tom Lee. Now in a recent interview with Mr. Pumpliano, my Paisano crypto bull and bit mine chairman Mr. Thomas Lee, explain how gold helps bitcoin's future terminal price. The bitcoin historian Pete Rizzo, that's R I Z Z O. Open your ears, jackass. Little jerky boys. Little for you there. Shared an insight from the discussion. While predicting that bitcoin might reach 3 million, Rizzo shared a snippet of the discussion where Mr. Lee I ain't talking Bruce discuss bitcoin and ether's potential with respect to gold. He says, quoting him verbatim from the interview with Pompliano. I still see 3 million per bitcoin. The doing doing doing. Let me know if you agree. The BITM chairman explains that the recent gold rally we saw reach a new all time time. I remains very bullish for the bitcoin and Ethereum as gold moves first and bitcoin catches up. Lee added he thinks gold is actually helping bitcoin's future terminal price. When asked what the fair value of bitcoin might be if gold hits 5,000 an ounce, keep in mind we just recently hit 4,400 an ounce with a 30 trillion market cap. Ms. Deli responded if the gold market cap is divided by the number of the bitcoin that gives 1.6 to $2 million per bitcoin. And when asked when here's what happens le projection implies the fair value of the bitcoin to be 1.6 to 2 million per coin if it matches gold's network value at 5,000. When asked about the time frame that it he might think it takes for bitcoin to get there, Lee responded within the next five years. Of course you can't short your dorks. You can't afford that which puts this at the year 2030 top of the decade. He says I can see that in five years for bitcoin coin adding the bitcoin does not get capped by gold as it actually gets pulled up by it and I think 100 it's going to get pulled up because all that money is going to flow out of gold that 30 trillion roughly maybe today it's closer to 27 trillion and flow into Bitcoin which is damn near 2.1 trillion right now and that's pretty respective. Lee reveals a 200000 price projection for Bitcoin by the end of the year. So within the next 6060 days 200 GS that's another what is that 90,000 price increase. Send it saying that the chances of bitcoin having a huge fourth quarter remain high. And I agree. And if you understand bitcoin you understand why it's a sign of the times with the cycle. We ain't seen the big leg up yet. The bit mine chairman names the Fed's easing as the catalyst for the Bitcoin Q4 price action. Asked about the validity of the Bitcoin four year cycle, here's what he said. I'm more in the camp that it's a longer cycle. So extended cycle theory, but there would still be 50 plus percent drawdowns in the future of their kind of cycle is broken. So he's ultimately saying it's extended cycle A theory meaning we could cap out at 200000 this year, but next year we get the next leg up. There's just no talent with the constipated Janet Yellen ban. But you guys got to let me know if you agree disagree with Mr. Tom Lee. And Max is very bold prediction in 10 days. November 12th. Broski's B Day, 150 G's. Holla at your boy and welcome everyone to the Q A segment of the live stream. How did Max come up with the prediction? Well, I didn't get to talk to him, so I, I don't know. You gotta scour his timeline. Maybe he'll have more insights. But he said 67.67. My speculation is there's a big event him and Stacy are hosting for the bitcoin office and I believe it's on that day. So he's ultimately saying on this historic day, expect bitcoin to break out and smash this all time high. And you know there's going to be some very influential speakers there from Uncle Ricky, you know the Mexican billionaire. I would assume Nig Bo Kele will be speaking. You're gonna have Max, you're gonna have Stacy. I know Russell Brand's going to be there, all the big movers and shakers, you know, El Brandon Martin, you got Sergio. So maybe when you gather kind of like Voltron forming, you know, I mean, we'll see. December 6th, 2024. When the Bitcoin crack was it December? Okay, December 6th. Thank you. For the first time it almost broke 100 early. November was a few hundred bucks short, so we must have been like 996. So the official date was December 6th. So it hasn't even been a year yet. But it feels like centuries, doesn't it? I'm not selling. That's right. Why would you sell Oracle? November 6th. Wait, November or December? So Oracle says November 6th. And maybe as Greg said, depends on the exchange. Maybe we got super close within hundreds of bucks. But Greg is saying the official date was December 6th. I honestly don't remember. I'm sure I was streaming and we got to witness it together. I just don't remember the exact which day it was. But either way, November, December, practically a year ago. Show your support for JV and the BNA crew. Hit the likes you degens there is a special place in hell in my mind for people that loan out their bitcoin. And don't forget to check out bitcoin news alerts.net for the full premium experience with video and to participate in the live stream along with the Q A. And I look forward to seeing you on tomorrow's episode. Hoddle.